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2022-06-10 · +1d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 172 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1435
172 of 172 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.58%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
37.8%
in alpha space · 33.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-2.32%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (172 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000070280.000071414+1.61%0.0000695-1.11%0.0522✓3.382.2M2022-06-11
WOOWOOEthereum0.14820.149016+0.55%0.1288-13.09%0.1073✗1.641,7522022-06-11
SOLSolanaSolana37.1337.3157+0.50%33.91-8.67%0.0573✗1.63107.6M2022-06-11
BRISEBitgertEthereum4.20e-74.22e-7+0.48%3.17e-7-24.62%0.2633✗1.02877k2022-06-11
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010120.000010166+0.45%0.00000932-7.91%0.0519✗1.49850k2022-06-11
BFCBifrostEthereum0.066060.066354+0.44%0.06237-5.59%0.0305✗1.3455k2022-06-11
APEApeCoinEthereum5.1685.1898+0.42%4.736-8.36%0.0391✗2.2317.0M2022-06-11
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche22.0522.1428+0.42%19.89-9.80%0.0668✗1.7250.1M2022-06-11
MOVRMoonriverBase18.441218.5173+0.41%17.8217-3.36%0.0004✓1.61229k2022-06-11
KSMKusamaHydration58.5558.771+0.38%57.01-2.63%0.0017✓1.371.1M2022-06-11
NANOnanopayBase1.05631.0602+0.37%1-5.33%0.0257✗1.40129k2022-06-11
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos8.0978.1267+0.37%7.55-6.76%0.0371✗1.5615.2M2022-06-11
YFIyearn.financeEthereum7,054.397,079.06+0.35%6,353.67-9.93%0.0773✗1.313.7M2022-06-11
ETHEthereumEthereum1,660.781,666.41+0.34%1,531.09-7.81%0.0584✗1.12340.5M2022-06-11
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.6528.6805+0.33%8.03-7.19%0.0411✗1.5713.5M2022-06-11
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.0936.1127+0.32%5.966-2.08%0.0177✓1.7910.6M2022-06-11
DASHDashDash53.8654.0255+0.31%48.95-9.12%0.0674✗1.33837k2022-06-11
UNIUniswapEthereum4.8084.8223+0.30%4.379-8.92%0.0609✗1.512.6M2022-06-11
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.641.6448+0.29%1.48-9.76%0.0588✗1.99580k2022-06-11
STORJStorjEthereum0.507690.509152+0.29%0.47161-7.11%0.0362✗1.7263k2022-06-11
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.0338.0561+0.29%7.036-12.41%0.0990✗1.5532.1M2022-06-11
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum29,029.0029,112.03+0.29%28,488.70-1.86%0.0013✓0.9836k2022-06-11
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004080.004092+0.29%0.00362-11.27%0.0933✗1.242.1M2022-06-11
XEMNEMnative0.0466790.046812+0.29%0.0446-4.45%0.0107✗1.6139k2022-06-11
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.008560.008584+0.28%0.00819-4.32%0.0263✗0.88180k2022-06-11
BTCBitcoinBitcoin29,063.1129,143.89+0.28%28,388.63-2.32%0.0028✓1.00602.3M2022-06-11
STXStacksnative0.49560.496965+0.28%0.4676-5.65%0.0279✗1.40165k2022-06-11
LTCLitecoinLitecoin56.6256.773+0.27%52.13-7.93%0.0538✗1.3417.5M2022-06-11
AAVEAaveEthereum87.9588.1837+0.27%77.02-12.43%0.0916✗1.877.5M2022-06-11
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14240.142774+0.26%0.1332-6.46%0.0321✗1.5951k2022-06-11
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.8166.8333+0.25%6.098-10.53%0.0764✗1.602.5M2022-06-11
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.2111.2384+0.25%10.23-8.74%0.0638✗1.29524k2022-06-11
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.0271.0296+0.25%0.908-11.59%0.0912✗1.475.1M2022-06-11
GALAGALAEthereum0.06910.069273+0.25%0.0626-9.41%0.0523✗2.08142k2022-06-11
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5971.6009+0.24%1.409-11.77%0.0871✗1.7376k2022-06-11
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7570.758835+0.24%0.694-8.32%0.0607✗1.22372k2022-06-11
BTTCBTTC0.000001010.000001012+0.24%9.50e-7-5.94%0.0421✗0.926.0M2022-06-11
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.27080.271432+0.23%0.2544-6.06%0.0326✗1.37230k2022-06-11
XTZTezosTezos1.96441.969+0.23%1.7948-8.63%0.0596✗1.41928k2022-06-11
XVGVergenative0.0040.004009+0.23%0.00375-6.25%0.0279✗1.66705k2022-06-11
UMAUMAEthereum2.7672.7733+0.23%2.558-7.55%0.0467✗1.451.2M2022-06-11
SCSiacoinnative0.00490.004911+0.23%0.00448-8.57%0.0503✗1.77239k2022-06-11
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.32190.322628+0.23%0.3004-6.68%0.0365✗1.486.3M2022-06-11
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7630.764641+0.22%0.72-5.64%0.0170✗1.84578k2022-06-11
COMPCompoundEthereum51.6651.7705+0.21%45.28-12.35%0.0968✗1.5828k2022-06-11
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.21.2026+0.21%1.1-8.33%0.0616✗1.1871k2022-06-11
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.161.1624+0.20%1.066-8.10%0.0366✗2.13356k2022-06-11
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03550.035569+0.20%0.0329-7.32%0.0387✗1.67257k2022-06-11
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0011050.001107+0.19%0.001013-8.33%0.0484✗1.721.8M2022-06-11
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.420.420808+0.19%0.394-6.19%0.0205✗1.93609k2022-06-11
XVSVenusEthereum4.674.6789+0.19%4.46-4.50%0.0006✓2.011.6M2022-06-11
CHZChilizEthereum0.11360.113816+0.19%0.1045-8.01%0.0501✗1.50844k2022-06-11
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0752880.075423+0.18%0.069729-7.38%0.0483✗1.291.3M2022-06-11
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06510.065213+0.17%0.0578-11.21%0.0774✗1.841.7M2022-06-11
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.014250.014275+0.17%0.013157-7.67%0.0526✗1.232.1M2022-06-11
FTTFTXEthereum27.627.6467+0.17%27.47-0.47%0.0172✓1.019.2M2022-06-11
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.36880.369421+0.17%0.3504-4.99%0.0189✗1.4514.6M2022-06-11
ETCEthereum Classicnative19.9920.0218+0.16%18.23-8.80%0.0614✗1.382.6M2022-06-11
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08740.087533+0.15%0.0843-3.55%0.0212✗0.70299k2022-06-11
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.362980.363524+0.15%0.33297-8.27%0.0531✗1.48111k2022-06-11
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0256320.02567+0.15%0.024591-4.06%0.0145✗1.2111k2022-06-11
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.034780.034831+0.15%0.03183-8.48%0.0532✗1.5718k2022-06-11
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008110.008122+0.15%0.00779-3.95%0.0136✗1.20637k2022-06-11
ADACardanoCardano0.57370.574511+0.14%0.5535-3.52%0.0017✓1.6649.8M2022-06-11
HIVEHivenative0.50510.505791+0.14%0.4854-3.90%0.0060✗1.501.4M2022-06-11
LRCLoopringEthereum0.47860.479252+0.14%0.4408-7.90%0.0414✗1.80159k2022-06-11
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12140.121564+0.14%0.1114-8.24%0.0555✗1.36828k2022-06-11
XECeCashnative0.000047860.000047925+0.14%0.00004524-5.47%0.0209✗1.573.2M2022-06-11
AMPAmpEthereum0.010940.010955+0.13%0.01046-4.39%0.0184✗1.181.5M2022-06-11
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7820.783021+0.13%0.763-2.43%0.0038✓1.271.8M2022-06-11
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.177240.177465+0.13%0.16333-7.85%0.0389✗1.88276k2022-06-11
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.025920.025952+0.12%0.02402-7.33%0.0521✗1.08156k2022-06-11
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.0218.0422+0.12%16.29-9.60%0.0617✗1.722.5M2022-06-11
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11930.119446+0.12%0.1108-7.12%0.0446✗1.308,4042022-06-11
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010840.010853+0.12%0.01027-5.26%0.0156✗1.6914.1M2022-06-11
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash167.29167.4842+0.12%156.57-6.41%0.0374✗1.284.4M2022-06-11
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3360.336382+0.11%0.297-11.61%0.0947✗1.27890k2022-06-11
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4560.456512+0.11%0.414-9.21%0.0671✗1.3115k2022-06-11
QTUMQtumQtum3.6743.6781+0.11%3.3617-8.50%0.0587✗1.3333k2022-06-11
NMRNumeraireEthereum10.9110.9219+0.11%10.29-5.68%0.0341✗1.09289k2022-06-11
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.48852.4912+0.11%2.2757-8.55%0.0553✗1.5068k2022-06-11
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.1330.133138+0.10%0.1159-12.86%0.0974✗1.763.3M2022-06-11
UOSUltraEthereum0.352020.352371+0.10%0.32232-8.44%0.0535✗1.52480k2022-06-11
XYMSymbolnative0.0543760.054426+0.09%0.052386-3.66%0.0187✗0.8367k2022-06-11
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.6482.6504+0.09%2.386-9.89%0.0638✗1.76187k2022-06-11
LSKLiskEthereum1.23361.2347+0.09%1.1426-7.38%0.0464✗1.3248k2022-06-11
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.020130.020147+0.09%0.01781-11.53%0.0645✗2.5037.4M2022-06-11
QNTQuantEthereum61.1661.2131+0.09%55-10.07%0.0785✗1.222.0M2022-06-11
XMRMoneroMonero174.19174.3386+0.09%166.23-4.57%0.0206✗1.152.1M2022-06-11
ORCAOrcaSolana0.810.810687+0.08%0.74-8.64%0.0635✗1.1869k2022-06-11
MANADecentralandEthereum0.88840.889148+0.08%0.8164-8.10%0.0412✗1.88789k2022-06-11
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5810.581485+0.08%0.535-7.92%0.0434✗1.70120k2022-06-11
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0152670.015279+0.08%0.013159-13.81%0.1306✗0.80273k2022-06-11
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1370.137106+0.08%0.1232-10.07%0.0651✗1.785.9M2022-06-11
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.14510.145206+0.07%0.1355-6.62%0.0282✗1.753,5392022-06-11
XLMStellarStellar0.1329610.133055+0.07%0.125213-5.83%0.0325✗1.2010.3M2022-06-11
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.0780.078054+0.07%0.0736-5.64%0.0281✗1.31153k2022-06-11
COTICOTIEthereum0.11970.119782+0.07%0.1088-9.11%0.0543✗1.781.1M2022-06-11
ZENHorizenBase17.7917.8014+0.06%16.5-7.25%0.0350✗1.7465k2022-06-11
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.7511.7521+0.06%1.597-8.79%0.0474✗1.93264k2022-06-11
ZECZcashZcash88.8588.8968+0.05%79.58-10.43%0.0773✗1.423.8M2022-06-11
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.6220.622287+0.05%0.541-13.02%0.0979✗1.79886k2022-06-11
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.922.9213+0.04%2.777-4.90%0.0248✗1.1072k2022-06-11
DODODODOEthereum0.16440.164472+0.04%0.148-9.98%0.0649✗1.732.9M2022-06-11
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09650.096542+0.04%0.0883-8.50%0.0441✗1.92436k2022-06-11
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.452.4508+0.03%2.333-4.78%0.0010✗2.063.0M2022-06-11
SUSHISushiEthereum1.381.3804+0.03%1.2-13.04%0.0984✗1.771.2M2022-06-11
GTGateEthereum5.36415.3655+0.03%5.2873-1.43%0.0007✗0.603.2M2022-06-11
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.546.5416+0.02%5.99-8.41%0.0509✗1.58420k2022-06-11
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30780.307876+0.02%0.2599-15.56%0.1336✗1.5231k2022-06-11
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.28420.284229+0.01%0.2586-9.01%0.0600✗1.47330k2022-06-11
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.004330.00433+0.00%0.00391-9.70%0.0707✗1.335,7382022-06-11
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.643.6401+0.00%3.74+2.75%0.0530✓1.11686k2022-06-11
KCSKuCoinnative15.53815.5375-0.00%15.02-3.33%0.0085✓1.086.2M2022-06-11
TRXTRONTron0.0787320.078728-0.01%0.075758-3.78%0.0169✓0.92682k2022-06-11
SUNSun TokenTron0.00970.009699-0.01%0.00918-5.36%0.0285✓1.132,4432022-06-11
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.050.049994-0.01%0.04731-5.38%0.0294✓1.104,5412022-06-11
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5250.524919-0.02%0.533+1.52%0.0575✗1.804,3562022-06-11
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.94322.9426-0.02%2.6845-8.79%0.0571✓1.483.4M2022-06-11
GLMGolemEthereum0.27120.271144-0.02%0.2524-6.93%0.0400✓1.35105k2022-06-11
ASTRAstarEthereum0.05420.054188-0.02%0.0509-6.09%0.0181✓1.8923k2022-06-11
DIADIAEthereum0.495560.495443-0.02%0.43727-11.76%0.1091✓0.67249k2022-06-11
CVCCivicEthereum0.16740.16736-0.02%0.1611-3.76%0.0007✓1.59183k2022-06-11
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.062350.062335-0.02%0.05764-7.55%0.0279✓2.142.0M2022-06-11
API3Api3Ethereum1.4541.4535-0.04%1.305-10.25%0.0665✓1.76826k2022-06-11
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.77321.7725-0.04%1.6454-7.21%0.0426✓1.352.0M2022-06-11
NEXONEXOEthereum1.1731.1725-0.05%1.088-7.25%0.0495✓1.081.0M2022-06-11
BORABORAKlay Token0.369440.369248-0.05%0.35094-5.01%0.0139✓1.5716k2022-06-11
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04970.049667-0.07%0.046-7.44%0.0413✓1.51425k2022-06-11
LCXLCXEthereum0.07680.076746-0.07%0.0687-10.55%0.0795✓1.33396k2022-06-11
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.38611.3851-0.07%1.2205-11.94%0.1086✓0.762,8352022-06-11
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum10.410.392-0.08%9.2-11.54%0.0738✓2.052.8M2022-06-11
IMXImmutableEthereum0.8890.888129-0.10%0.794-10.69%0.0659✓1.972.7M2022-06-11
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV57.26557.2026-0.11%52.899-7.62%0.0539✓1.041.1M2022-06-11
CTSICartesiEthereum0.23060.230277-0.14%0.2195-4.81%0.0114✓1.55696k2022-06-11
CBKCobakEthereum1.16741.1656-0.15%1.093-6.37%0.0349✓1.256,1812022-06-11
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3601920.359612-0.16%0.332152-7.78%0.0430✓1.552.3M2022-06-11
BANDBandEthereum1.8751.872-0.16%1.772-5.49%0.0133✓1.77342k2022-06-11
OPTIMOptimism0.880.87854-0.17%0.761-13.52%0.1201✓1.007.9M2022-06-11
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.57512.5708-0.17%2.399-6.84%0.0435✓1.093.5M2022-06-11
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.8473.8403-0.17%3.46-10.06%0.0812✓0.981.8M2022-06-11
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.425.4099-0.19%5.07-6.46%0.0453✓0.841.6M2022-06-11
DKAdKargoEthereum0.057740.057627-0.20%0.0527-8.73%0.0620✓1.1715k2022-06-11
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.50995.4985-0.21%5.5003-0.17%0.0078✗0.32253k2022-06-11
GMTGMTEthereum0.9070.905093-0.21%0.798-12.02%0.0727✓2.272.0M2022-06-11
AVTAventusEthereum1.321.3172-0.21%1.2-9.09%0.0689✓1.04153k2022-06-11
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.1780.177582-0.23%0.1608-9.66%0.0761✓0.99278k2022-06-11
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.870.867955-0.24%0.79-9.20%0.0526✓1.77212k2022-06-11
RADRadworksEthereum2.052.045-0.24%1.9-7.32%0.0426✓1.32268k2022-06-11
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.944.9259-0.28%4.57-7.49%0.0547✓0.861.2M2022-06-11
FLOWFlownative2.2852.2783-0.29%2.056-10.02%0.0792✓1.00592k2022-06-11
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.1971.1935-0.29%1.073-10.36%0.0829✓1.001.3M2022-06-11
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.65830.656344-0.30%0.624-5.21%0.0166✓1.452.9M2022-06-11
STEEMSteemnative0.24970.248952-0.30%0.2405-3.68%0.0005✓1.49585k2022-06-11
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.29422.287-0.32%2.0307-11.49%0.0939✓1.063.5M2022-06-11
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2460.245221-0.32%0.221-10.16%0.0566✓2.021.2M2022-06-11
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana7.817.7818-0.36%7.19-7.94%0.0644✓0.632.0M2022-06-11
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.022580.022493-0.38%0.02121-6.07%0.0433✓0.66608k2022-06-11
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.214.1931-0.40%3.9-7.36%0.0504✓0.941.7M2022-06-11
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.584.5613-0.41%4.16-9.17%0.0736✓0.791.9M2022-06-11
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.655870.653097-0.42%0.59423-9.40%0.0421✓2.233.0M2022-06-11
PROPropyEthereum0.990.985577-0.45%0.92-7.07%0.0506✓0.78183k2022-06-11
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.53.4826-0.50%2.63-24.86%0.2331✓2.03294k2022-06-11
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.6552.6413-0.52%2.422-8.78%0.0445✓1.80105k2022-06-11
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.075590.075135-0.60%0.071-6.07%0.0331✓1.001,6002022-06-11
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.4694.4382-0.69%4.07-8.93%0.0687✓0.766.4M2022-06-11
GITCOINGITCOIN3.4473.4189-0.82%2.59-24.86%0.2286✓2.0915k2022-06-11
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.7863.7502-0.95%3.162-16.48%0.1507✓0.852.1M2022-06-11
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.6781.6617-0.97%1.714+2.15%0.0703✗1.675.0M2022-06-11
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.0594.0075-1.27%3.371-16.95%0.1583✓0.623.8M2022-06-11
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.2421.2246-1.40%1.217-2.01%0.0469✗2.266.0M2022-06-11
TRBTellor TributesEthereum15.7815.451-2.09%16.25+2.98%0.0969✗1.98252k2022-06-11
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.