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2022-05-29 · +1d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 170 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2110
170 of 170 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+3.19%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
69.4%
in alpha space · 10.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+7.69%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (170 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0143290.014346+0.12%0.014997+4.66%0.0109✗0.75176k2022-05-30
WOOWOOEthereum0.1620.162175+0.11%0.1926+18.89%0.0662✓1.431,7182022-05-30
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.21712.2192+0.09%2.3025+3.85%0.0360✗0.984.2M2022-05-30
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.7571.7585+0.08%1.978+12.58%0.0016✗1.61110k2022-05-30
STEEMSteemnative0.24660.246769+0.07%0.266+7.87%0.0518✗1.71782k2022-05-30
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9051.9063+0.07%2.098+10.13%0.0476✗1.94508k2022-05-30
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.14230.142385+0.06%0.1566+10.05%0.0257✗1.637.2M2022-05-30
CVCCivicEthereum0.16350.163587+0.05%0.1766+8.01%0.0359✗1.52314k2022-05-30
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2050.205083+0.04%0.229+11.71%0.0219✗1.791.4M2022-05-30
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6170.617228+0.04%0.661+7.13%0.0557✗1.6811k2022-05-30
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06630.066321+0.03%0.0703+6.03%0.0751✗1.802.2M2022-05-30
ORCAOrcaSolana0.850.850192+0.02%0.88+3.53%0.0498✗1.1487k2022-05-30
PHAPHALAEthereum0.13060.130624+0.02%0.1345+2.99%0.0640✗1.2616k2022-05-30
APEApeCoinEthereum6.2326.233+0.02%7.215+15.77%0.0263✗2.3341.9M2022-05-30
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.34812.3481-0.00%2.4274+3.38%0.0467✓1.083.0M2022-05-30
LTCLitecoinLitecoin63.5863.5788-0.00%69.07+8.63%0.0114✓1.2719.8M2022-05-30
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6120.611959-0.01%0.671+9.64%0.0265✓1.60210k2022-05-30
SUNSun TokenTron0.009240.009239-0.01%0.00966+4.55%0.0394✓1.135,3132022-05-30
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.3323.3316-0.01%3.404+2.16%0.0528✓1.001.7M2022-05-30
XMRMoneroMonero185.63185.5873-0.02%203.87+9.83%0.0101✗1.132.5M2022-05-30
YFIyearn.financeEthereum7,435.407,432.68-0.04%8,376.52+12.66%0.0246✗1.283.5M2022-05-30
AVTAventusEthereum1.11.0996-0.04%1.17+6.36%0.0090✗0.72174k2022-05-30
CELLCellframeEthereum0.3140.313882-0.04%0.3897+24.11%0.1064✗1.4845k2022-05-30
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos9.599.5862-0.04%10.51+9.59%0.0160✓1.4618.8M2022-05-30
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.15930.159233-0.04%0.1682+5.59%0.0085✓0.85313k2022-05-30
GLMGolemEthereum0.25730.257189-0.04%0.2807+9.09%0.0144✓1.37105k2022-05-30
COMPCompoundEthereum56.0856.0549-0.04%62.98+12.30%0.0041✗1.5230k2022-05-30
BTTCBTTC0.000001030.00000103-0.05%0.00000113+9.71%0.0300✗0.857.6M2022-05-30
MANADecentralandEthereum0.972980.972398-0.06%1.0853+11.54%0.0167✓1.711.2M2022-05-30
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.15780.157704-0.06%0.1674+6.08%0.0144✓1.003,0542022-05-30
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.13635.1331-0.06%5.2454+2.12%0.0008✓0.30289k2022-05-30
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum29,404.7029,384.42-0.07%31,731.20+7.91%0.0051✗0.9778k2022-05-30
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.27840.278181-0.08%0.326+17.10%0.0604✗1.33420k2022-05-30
STORJStorjEthereum0.550150.549713-0.08%0.59565+8.27%0.0398✓1.6265k2022-05-30
GTGateEthereum5.41485.4103-0.08%5.6995+5.26%0.0125✗0.534.4M2022-05-30
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.2513.248-0.09%3.398+4.52%0.0802✓1.696.5M2022-05-30
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.0870.086914-0.10%0.0905+4.02%0.0163✓0.77239k2022-05-30
ZENHorizenBase20.2520.2279-0.11%22.81+12.64%0.0027✓1.6696k2022-05-30
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.94911.947-0.11%2.3387+19.99%0.0883✗1.285.5M2022-05-30
FTTFTXEthereum27.2827.2499-0.11%29.16+6.89%0.0063✓1.0010.2M2022-05-30
BTCBitcoinBitcoin29,447.0729,414.12-0.11%31,711.42+7.69%0.0011✗1.00676.2M2022-05-30
XEMNEMnative0.04910.049044-0.11%0.053343+8.64%0.0291✓1.5331k2022-05-30
AMPAmpEthereum0.01180.011787-0.11%0.01263+7.03%0.0117✓1.092.1M2022-05-30
NMRNumeraireEthereum12.2712.255-0.12%12.86+4.81%0.0241✓0.98473k2022-05-30
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.153.1461-0.12%3.34+6.03%0.0184✓1.06660k2022-05-30
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25990.259572-0.13%0.2796+7.58%0.0266✓1.36318k2022-05-30
UNIUniswapEthereum4.944.9333-0.14%5.64+14.17%0.0322✗1.373.0M2022-05-30
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.023830.023796-0.14%0.02442+2.48%0.0164✓0.57582k2022-05-30
TRXTRONTron0.0804590.080344-0.14%0.083152+3.35%0.0311✓0.881.5M2022-05-30
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.047910.047841-0.14%0.05182+8.16%0.0012✓1.064,9292022-05-30
KSMKusamaHydration71.5571.4439-0.15%77.84+8.79%0.0131✓1.331.6M2022-05-30
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.372280.371724-0.15%0.40164+7.89%0.0252✓1.39168k2022-05-30
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche26.1326.0909-0.15%27.7+6.01%0.0576✓1.5852.8M2022-05-30
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.5932.5889-0.16%3.2+23.41%0.1378✗1.00132k2022-05-30
ETHEthereumEthereum1,811.101,808.17-0.16%1,998.30+10.34%0.0205✗1.07383.9M2022-05-30
ZECZcashZcash92.392.1457-0.17%98.78+7.02%0.0303✓1.354.9M2022-05-30
QNTQuantEthereum66.3666.2472-0.17%73.65+10.99%0.0221✗1.132.6M2022-05-30
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.444.4323-0.17%4.56+2.70%0.0296✓0.78829k2022-05-30
BORABORAKlay Token0.428760.428009-0.18%0.45944+7.16%0.0549✓1.7021k2022-05-30
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8880.886378-0.18%0.986+11.04%0.0151✓1.64749k2022-05-30
FLOWFlownative2.4312.4266-0.18%2.681+10.28%0.0256✗1.001.1M2022-05-30
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.1340.133749-0.19%0.1459+8.88%0.0408✓1.725.4M2022-05-30
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.2531.2505-0.20%1.385+10.53%0.0014✓1.406.8M2022-05-30
XVGVergenative0.004950.00494-0.20%0.00544+9.90%0.0188✓1.56807k2022-05-30
NANOnanopayBase1.12051.1182-0.20%1.1952+6.67%0.0330✓1.34167k2022-05-30
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.375.359-0.21%5.45+1.49%0.0405✓0.772.8M2022-05-30
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum10.1410.1177-0.22%12.58+24.06%0.0944✗1.676.1M2022-05-30
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.6612.6321-0.22%13.53+6.87%0.0285✓1.31655k2022-05-30
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.004480.00447-0.22%0.0047+4.91%0.0404✓1.229,8712022-05-30
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001290.001287-0.23%0.00137+6.20%0.0643✓1.712.2M2022-05-30
QTUMQtumQtum3.85673.848-0.23%4.1804+8.39%0.0087✓1.2463k2022-05-30
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.127.1035-0.23%8.11+13.90%0.0161✗1.578.0M2022-05-30
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3900590.389112-0.24%0.428413+9.83%0.0128✓1.473.6M2022-05-30
ETCEthereum Classicnative23.6523.5913-0.25%24.8+4.86%0.0487✓1.333.9M2022-05-30
CHZChilizEthereum0.11360.113317-0.25%0.1218+7.22%0.0312✓1.40998k2022-05-30
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.008450.008429-0.25%0.00884+4.62%0.0110✓0.79146k2022-05-30
DIADIAEthereum0.45460.453455-0.25%0.48531+6.76%0.0226✗0.61121k2022-05-30
MOVRMoonriverBase21.929521.8736-0.25%23.4037+6.72%0.0510✓1.60247k2022-05-30
KCSKuCoinnative16.47416.4298-0.27%17.06+3.56%0.0406✓1.066.6M2022-05-30
AAVEAaveEthereum95.3395.0742-0.27%117.41+23.16%0.0868✗1.688.3M2022-05-30
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.62180.620129-0.27%0.6872+10.52%0.0084✓1.504.8M2022-05-30
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.723.71-0.27%3.78+1.61%0.0511✓0.94741k2022-05-30
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.4362.4294-0.27%2.419-0.70%0.0808✓1.03811k2022-05-30
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.2774.2654-0.27%4.438+3.76%0.0006✓0.544.3M2022-05-30
SOLSolanaSolana44.9144.7861-0.28%47.2+5.10%0.0606✓1.53104.0M2022-05-30
BANDBandEthereum1.5471.5427-0.28%1.809+16.94%0.0393✗1.62418k2022-05-30
SCSiacoinnative0.00540.005385-0.28%0.00579+7.22%0.0528✓1.69329k2022-05-30
HIVEHivenative0.47270.471363-0.28%0.5199+9.99%0.0032✓1.371.3M2022-05-30
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14620.145783-0.29%0.157+7.39%0.0486✓1.6689k2022-05-30
STXStacksnative0.520.518514-0.29%0.57+9.62%0.0102✗1.14217k2022-05-30
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.4818.4271-0.29%23.98+29.76%0.1545✗1.473.1M2022-05-30
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.716.6901-0.30%7.45+11.03%0.0008✓1.4419.8M2022-05-30
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana7.617.5874-0.30%7.7+1.18%0.0152✓0.401.3M2022-05-30
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.10830.107976-0.30%0.1132+4.52%0.0920✓1.88501k2022-05-30
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8460.843453-0.30%0.88+4.02%0.0474✓1.212.5M2022-05-30
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.7532.7447-0.30%2.87+4.25%0.0356✓1.0884k2022-05-30
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash184.88184.315-0.31%196.88+6.49%0.0257✓1.244.6M2022-05-30
CBKCobakEthereum1.16931.1656-0.31%1.2478+6.72%0.0191✓1.187,1582022-05-30
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.6042.5957-0.32%2.583-0.81%0.0598✓0.741.3M2022-05-30
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.37860.377358-0.33%0.4199+10.91%0.0089✗1.3217.7M2022-05-30
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.271.2658-0.33%1.37+7.87%0.0043✓1.1399k2022-05-30
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.5210.519272-0.33%0.554+6.33%0.0699✓1.82785k2022-05-30
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004220.004206-0.34%0.00433+2.61%0.0610✓1.222.1M2022-05-30
XLMStellarStellar0.1309160.130474-0.34%0.143437+9.56%0.0080✗1.1710.5M2022-05-30
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.840.837157-0.34%0.98+16.67%0.0349✗1.66329k2022-05-30
UOSUltraEthereum0.363020.361764-0.35%0.3827+5.42%0.0540✓1.49751k2022-05-30
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3161.3114-0.35%1.428+8.51%0.0302✓1.567.3M2022-05-30
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04930.049128-0.35%0.0544+10.34%0.0027✓1.411.0M2022-05-30
XECeCashnative0.000047790.000047622-0.35%0.00005117+7.07%0.0337✓1.434.7M2022-05-30
ADACardanoCardano0.48170.47999-0.36%0.5697+18.27%0.0638✗1.4544.7M2022-05-30
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0268990.026803-0.36%0.029139+8.33%0.0002✓1.1313k2022-05-30
LRCLoopringEthereum0.49440.492634-0.36%0.5697+15.23%0.0279✗1.58217k2022-05-30
XVSVenusEthereum4.664.6433-0.36%4.97+6.65%0.0717✓1.891.9M2022-05-30
DASHDashDash57.6957.4779-0.37%63.19+9.53%0.0042✗1.221.2M2022-05-30
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009290.009255-0.37%0.00992+6.78%0.0115✓1.09997k2022-05-30
ASTRAstarEthereum0.05730.057086-0.37%0.0659+15.01%0.0217✗1.6573k2022-05-30
LCXLCXEthereum0.06310.062861-0.38%0.0678+7.45%0.0191✓1.28406k2022-05-30
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.2281.2232-0.39%1.4+14.01%0.0018✓1.85478k2022-05-30
GALAGALAEthereum0.07860.078293-0.39%0.084+6.87%0.0702✓1.90173k2022-05-30
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.08710.086757-0.39%0.0891+2.30%0.0929✓1.61162k2022-05-30
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.9180.914325-0.40%1.006+9.59%0.0086✗1.17658k2022-05-30
NEXONEXOEthereum1.2471.242-0.40%1.319+5.77%0.0239✓1.131.8M2022-05-30
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.036650.036502-0.40%0.03929+7.20%0.0352✓1.4736k2022-05-30
BFCBifrostEthereum0.065480.065215-0.40%0.07258+10.84%0.0219✗1.1516k2022-05-30
CTSICartesiEthereum0.19960.198783-0.41%0.2006+0.50%0.1111✓1.62493k2022-05-30
XTZTezosTezos1.98461.9764-0.41%2.1365+7.65%0.0209✓1.331.1M2022-05-30
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0825980.082249-0.42%0.08783+6.33%0.0251✓1.232.8M2022-05-30
FILFilecoinFilecoin7.617.5776-0.43%8.2+7.75%0.0311✓1.494.6M2022-05-30
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.62.5887-0.43%3.353+28.96%0.1172✗1.914.0M2022-05-30
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0171580.01708-0.45%0.018213+6.15%0.0226✓1.173.2M2022-05-30
PROPropyEthereum0.980.975558-0.45%1.02+4.08%0.0176✓0.84246k2022-05-30
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.130.1294-0.46%0.1374+5.69%0.0361✓1.30951k2022-05-30
TRBTellor TributesEthereum10.0910.0426-0.47%13.8+36.77%0.1810✗1.85188k2022-05-30
GITCOINGITCOIN2.4962.484-0.48%2.845+13.98%0.0118✓1.9916k2022-05-30
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.851.8409-0.49%2.03+9.73%0.0402✓1.86602k2022-05-30
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.989.9306-0.49%10.47+4.91%0.0577✓1.4913.8M2022-05-30
SGBSongbirdnative0.03480.034627-0.50%0.0369+6.03%0.0451✗0.25129k2022-05-30
UMAUMAEthereum3.1863.1701-0.50%3.393+6.50%0.0393✓1.452.2M2022-05-30
DKAdKargoEthereum0.05450.054222-0.51%0.06185+13.49%0.0471✗1.1414k2022-05-30
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.616560.613378-0.52%0.77616+25.89%0.0946✗1.90397k2022-05-30
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.284.2576-0.52%4.32+0.93%0.0411✓0.75921k2022-05-30
COTICOTIEthereum0.11470.114081-0.54%0.1229+7.15%0.0528✓1.721.3M2022-05-30
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.522.5059-0.56%2.85+13.10%0.0160✓1.95354k2022-05-30
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011480.000011415-0.56%0.00001218+6.10%0.0420✓1.441.0M2022-05-30
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV52.58252.2842-0.57%55.674+5.88%0.0150✓1.051.2M2022-05-30
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.6470.643285-0.57%0.697+7.73%0.0396✓1.621.7M2022-05-30
XYMSymbolnative0.0560.055678-0.58%0.0581+3.75%0.0171✓0.81119k2022-05-30
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.626.5817-0.58%7.17+8.31%0.0221✓1.45535k2022-05-30
SUSHISushiEthereum1.51.4913-0.58%1.69+12.67%0.0047✓1.632.3M2022-05-30
LSKLiskEthereum1.24411.2368-0.59%1.3381+7.55%0.0132✓1.2454k2022-05-30
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.48631.4776-0.59%1.6463+10.76%0.0493✗0.795,6992022-05-30
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.55842.5432-0.60%2.731+6.75%0.0290✓1.3588k2022-05-30
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.32790.325944-0.60%0.3488+6.37%0.0347✓1.388.2M2022-05-30
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5030.499946-0.61%0.52+3.38%0.0560✓1.2930k2022-05-30
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3720.369686-0.62%0.387+4.03%0.0442✓1.21970k2022-05-30
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.06550.065042-0.70%0.0724+10.53%0.0635✓2.302.9M2022-05-30
API3Api3Ethereum1.631.6184-0.71%1.79+9.82%0.0251✓1.701.6M2022-05-30
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.206070.204508-0.76%0.21633+4.98%0.0802✓1.84293k2022-05-30
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.9662.9435-0.76%3.239+9.20%0.0284✓1.67271k2022-05-30
GMTGMTEthereum1.0781.0698-0.76%1.248+15.77%0.0226✓2.393.8M2022-05-30
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.90e-76.85e-7-0.77%7.04e-7+2.01%0.0374✓0.881.5M2022-05-30
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.012390.012286-0.84%0.01316+6.21%0.0493✓1.5922.3M2022-05-30
RADRadworksEthereum2.172.1514-0.86%2.31+6.45%0.0203✓1.23247k2022-05-30
IMXImmutableEthereum1.0111.0018-0.91%1.152+13.95%0.0097✗1.754.2M2022-05-30
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02250.022295-0.91%0.02403+6.80%0.1014✓2.3826.5M2022-05-30
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.029950.029633-1.06%0.02923-2.40%0.0924✓1.06188k2022-05-30
LUNATerraTerra 20.000103280.000101861-1.37%0.00012556+21.57%0.0105✓2.974.9M2022-05-30
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03770.037035-1.76%0.0387+2.65%0.0738✓1.59269k2022-05-30
DODODODOEthereum0.1780.174002-2.25%0.1844+3.60%0.0735✓1.782.6M2022-05-30
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9720.906714-6.72%1.009+3.81%0.0582✓2.232.0M2022-05-30
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.