8=======>

2022-05-18 · +1d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 169 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1736
169 of 169 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+4.16%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
37.3%
in alpha space · 94.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+5.59%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (169 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2160.2207+2.18%0.259+19.91%0.0752✓1.563.2M2022-05-19
IMXImmutableEthereum0.8010.817968+2.12%0.893+11.49%0.0024✓1.577.0M2022-05-19
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9131.9461+1.73%2.065+7.95%0.0483✗1.98863k2022-05-19
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5370.545882+1.65%0.584+8.75%0.0149✓1.5216k2022-05-19
CELLCellframeEthereum0.33710.342449+1.59%0.3534+4.84%0.0390✗1.3088k2022-05-19
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3712980.377131+1.57%0.390003+5.04%0.0427✗1.406.1M2022-05-19
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03130.031773+1.51%0.0343+9.58%0.0002✓1.40221k2022-05-19
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.004110.00417+1.45%0.00469+14.11%0.0639✓0.9919k2022-05-19
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.492.5257+1.43%2.67+7.23%0.0400✗1.766.7M2022-05-19
DODODODOEthereum0.1470.149104+1.43%0.15+2.04%0.0771✗1.533.9M2022-05-19
GITCOINGITCOIN2.2212.2524+1.41%2.65+19.32%0.0671✓1.7622k2022-05-19
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.11040.111957+1.41%0.1238+12.14%0.0028✓1.80684k2022-05-19
ASTRAstarEthereum0.060.060831+1.38%0.0603+0.50%0.0736✗1.19102k2022-05-19
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07020.071165+1.37%0.0767+9.26%0.0228✗1.80166k2022-05-19
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001270.001287+1.37%0.00137+7.87%0.0201✗1.513.5M2022-05-19
ORCAOrcaSolana0.840.851364+1.35%0.91+8.33%0.0116✓1.01117k2022-05-19
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.2281.2439+1.30%1.079-12.13%0.2222✗1.477.1M2022-05-19
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11860.120137+1.30%0.1374+15.85%0.0783✓1.0319k2022-05-19
CBKCobakEthereum1.0821.0958+1.27%1.122+3.70%0.0316✗1.0220k2022-05-19
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.329880.334062+1.27%0.37965+15.09%0.0334✓1.74328k2022-05-19
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.621.6405+1.26%1.89+16.67%0.0481✓1.72455k2022-05-19
SUSHISushiEthereum1.261.2758+1.25%1.36+7.94%0.0187✗1.523.3M2022-05-19
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.184250.186549+1.25%0.20476+11.13%0.0042✓1.64269k2022-05-19
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.01450.01468+1.24%0.0182+25.52%0.0919✓2.2623.0M2022-05-19
UMAUMAEthereum3.0493.0864+1.23%3.243+6.36%0.0429✗1.702.4M2022-05-19
STEEMSteemnative0.25150.254476+1.18%0.2599+3.34%0.0333✗1.001.5M2022-05-19
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12460.126045+1.16%0.1343+7.78%0.0246✗1.625.9M2022-05-19
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5650.571416+1.14%0.59+4.42%0.0331✗1.2037k2022-05-19
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.1051.1174+1.12%1.208+9.32%0.0180✗1.77582k2022-05-19
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004610.004661+1.11%0.00478+3.69%0.0415✗1.231.9M2022-05-19
HIVEHivenative0.4720.477212+1.10%0.4924+4.32%0.0393✗1.301.6M2022-05-19
UOSUltraEthereum0.358510.362417+1.09%0.37441+4.44%0.0445✗1.421.3M2022-05-19
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.820.8289+1.09%0.91+10.98%0.0091✓1.55767k2022-05-19
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05310.053676+1.08%0.0581+9.42%0.0110✓1.261.5M2022-05-19
AVTAventusEthereum1.121.1321+1.08%1.26+12.50%0.0646✓0.78204k2022-05-19
LRCLoopringEthereum0.4510.455798+1.06%0.4864+7.85%0.0185✗1.54299k2022-05-19
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.8931.9131+1.06%2.0434+7.95%0.0125✓0.984.3M2022-05-19
GALAGALAEthereum0.07730.078115+1.05%0.0857+10.87%0.0010✓1.72215k2022-05-19
FILFilecoinFilecoin7.597.6698+1.05%8.21+8.17%0.0010✓1.275.7M2022-05-19
API3Api3Ethereum1.6941.7117+1.04%1.875+10.68%0.0051✓1.582.1M2022-05-19
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.5040.50922+1.04%0.538+6.75%0.0300✗1.56967k2022-05-19
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.15710.158721+1.03%0.1603+2.04%0.0742✗1.558.9M2022-05-19
RADRadworksEthereum1.891.9094+1.03%2.07+9.52%0.0242✓1.04304k2022-05-19
ZENHorizenBase18.9919.1846+1.02%21+10.58%0.0045✓1.58171k2022-05-19
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.2960.298982+1.01%0.337+13.85%0.0229✓1.781.8M2022-05-19
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.252.2726+1.01%2.65+17.78%0.0580✓1.76390k2022-05-19
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24640.248844+0.99%0.2568+4.22%0.0370✗1.26292k2022-05-19
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6430.649337+0.99%0.7+8.86%0.0065✓1.50315k2022-05-19
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.110.1977+0.97%10.82+7.13%0.0202✗1.4620.1M2022-05-19
LCXLCXEthereum0.05780.058357+0.96%0.0626+8.30%0.0046✓1.21407k2022-05-19
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.935.9871+0.96%6.53+10.12%0.0110✓1.39717k2022-05-19
PROPropyEthereum1.171.1812+0.96%1.14-2.56%0.0732✗0.69417k2022-05-19
BANDBandEthereum1.5661.5808+0.94%1.769+12.96%0.0322✓1.48484k2022-05-19
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035610.035942+0.93%0.03787+6.35%0.0237✗1.4087k2022-05-19
AAVEAaveEthereum81.7682.52+0.93%91.65+12.10%0.0213✓1.549.0M2022-05-19
APEApeCoinEthereum7.9698.0418+0.91%8.055+1.08%0.1374✗2.5694.8M2022-05-19
NMRNumeraireEthereum12.7312.8455+0.91%13.4+5.26%0.0090✓0.94583k2022-05-19
SKLSKALEEthereum0.07830.079009+0.91%0.0844+7.79%0.0252✗1.683.4M2022-05-19
XVSVenusEthereum4.324.3587+0.90%6.03+39.58%0.2402✓1.552.7M2022-05-19
WOOWOOEthereum0.18570.18735+0.89%0.2027+9.15%0.0193✓1.092,5552022-05-19
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0150.015133+0.89%0.016399+9.33%0.0200✓1.114.0M2022-05-19
CVCCivicEthereum0.16530.166741+0.87%0.1765+6.78%0.0199✗1.41386k2022-05-19
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.497.5543+0.86%8.18+9.21%0.0003✓1.478.0M2022-05-19
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche29.5729.8222+0.85%30.37+2.71%0.0635✗1.5046.9M2022-05-19
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.06840.068978+0.85%0.0699+2.19%0.0411✗1.003.0M2022-05-19
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum10.4810.5684+0.84%12.63+20.52%0.0920✓1.596.4M2022-05-19
SCSiacoinnative0.004880.004921+0.84%0.00527+7.99%0.0151✗1.54378k2022-05-19
DKAdKargoEthereum0.050160.050583+0.84%0.05067+1.02%0.0543✗1.0324k2022-05-19
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.0812.0985+0.84%1.958-5.91%0.1571✗1.6299k2022-05-19
LSKLiskEthereum1.13441.1438+0.83%1.1742+3.51%0.0340✗1.1191k2022-05-19
GLMGolemEthereum0.25810.260231+0.83%0.2674+3.60%0.0491✗1.40172k2022-05-19
SUNSun TokenTron0.0084880.008557+0.81%0.00901+6.15%0.0047✓1.0413k2022-05-19
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.3352.354+0.81%2.4917+6.71%0.0114✗1.26145k2022-05-19
BORABORAKlay Token0.336370.339083+0.81%0.36301+7.92%0.0237✗1.6926k2022-05-19
ETCEthereum Classicnative19.8119.9678+0.80%20.9+5.50%0.0238✗1.283.9M2022-05-19
GMTGMTEthereum1.3841.3948+0.78%1.495+8.02%0.0151✓1.006.3M2022-05-19
NANOnanopayBase1.05871.0669+0.77%1.0996+3.86%0.0393✗1.28161k2022-05-19
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3421.3523+0.77%1.429+6.48%0.0220✗1.4214.1M2022-05-19
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.043580.043915+0.77%0.04528+3.90%0.0229✗0.987,7862022-05-19
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.011630.011718+0.76%0.01252+7.65%0.0171✗1.5343.5M2022-05-19
COTICOTIEthereum0.10590.106689+0.75%0.1147+8.31%0.0167✗1.641.7M2022-05-19
STORJStorjEthereum0.534940.538888+0.74%0.55387+3.54%0.0541✗1.5091k2022-05-19
OGOG Fan TokenSolana1.7481.7606+0.72%1.913+9.44%0.0315✓0.95793k2022-05-19
STXStacksnative0.510.513676+0.72%0.53+3.92%0.0317✗1.16296k2022-05-19
MINAMina Protocolnative0.9770.984029+0.72%1.042+6.65%0.0227✗1.47775k2022-05-19
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.8632.8823+0.68%3.009+5.10%0.0113✗1.00194k2022-05-19
TRBTellor TributesEthereum9.639.6936+0.66%11.24+16.72%0.0638✓1.55154k2022-05-19
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.22580.227234+0.64%0.2492+10.36%0.0624✓0.55392k2022-05-19
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.9462.9644+0.62%3.041+3.22%0.0588✗1.55263k2022-05-19
BTTCBTTC0.000001090.000001097+0.62%0.00000112+2.75%0.0217✗0.797.7M2022-05-19
UNIUniswapEthereum4.884.9099+0.61%5.18+6.15%0.0139✗1.243.5M2022-05-19
LPTLivepeerEthereum13.7713.8543+0.61%14.32+3.99%0.0383✗1.31822k2022-05-19
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,070.749,125.82+0.61%9,486.67+4.59%0.0267✗1.203.1M2022-05-19
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.33440.336422+0.60%0.3406+1.85%0.0592✗1.329.0M2022-05-19
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.008980.009034+0.60%0.00939+4.57%0.0052✓0.81195k2022-05-19
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.06463.083+0.60%3.2829+7.12%0.0225✗1.5710.0M2022-05-19
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.232.2433+0.60%2.6871+20.50%0.1113✓1.278.8M2022-05-19
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.796.8305+0.60%7.21+6.19%0.0193✗1.3518.8M2022-05-19
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.43280.435359+0.59%0.4512+4.25%0.0313✗1.2315.4M2022-05-19
XVGVergenative0.004810.004838+0.59%0.00528+9.77%0.0102✓1.42949k2022-05-19
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.340.341955+0.57%0.378+11.18%0.0407✓1.091.1M2022-05-19
QNTQuantEthereum64.7765.1393+0.57%68.38+5.57%0.0095✗1.073.6M2022-05-19
QTUMQtumQtum3.80223.8237+0.57%3.9715+4.45%0.0270✗1.19133k2022-05-19
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009130.009182+0.57%0.00924+1.20%0.0567✗1.161.3M2022-05-19
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.372320.374416+0.56%0.39035+4.84%0.0293✗1.31208k2022-05-19
CTSICartesiEthereum0.18130.182315+0.56%0.196+8.11%0.0081✗1.48649k2022-05-19
MOVRMoonriverBase21.817421.937+0.55%23.0538+5.67%0.0300✗1.47207k2022-05-19
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana1.8431.8529+0.54%2.138+16.01%0.0868✓1.04714k2022-05-19
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.9040.908842+0.54%0.93+2.88%0.0372✗1.11769k2022-05-19
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0829840.083426+0.53%0.086638+4.40%0.0239✗1.146.3M2022-05-19
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.543.5584+0.52%4.22+19.21%0.1240✓0.86774k2022-05-19
ADACardanoCardano0.50530.507906+0.52%0.5326+5.40%0.0267✗1.3648.2M2022-05-19
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana2.972.9852+0.51%3.34+12.46%0.0567✓1.02553k2022-05-19
XEMNEMnative0.05370.05397+0.50%0.0563+4.84%0.0310✗1.3597k2022-05-19
AMPAmpEthereum0.013310.013376+0.50%0.01368+2.78%0.0354✗1.063.2M2022-05-19
XECeCashnative0.000044390.00004461+0.49%0.00004707+6.04%0.0188✗1.336.2M2022-05-19
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.64870.651893+0.49%0.6916+6.61%0.0214✗1.485.9M2022-05-19
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.842.8538+0.49%2.965+4.40%0.0211✗1.09102k2022-05-19
LTCLitecoinLitecoin65.8766.1884+0.48%72.02+9.34%0.0206✓1.1719.3M2022-05-19
FTTFTXEthereum29.6429.779+0.47%30.91+4.28%0.0152✗0.9712.7M2022-05-19
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12730.127862+0.44%0.1345+5.66%0.0107✗1.131.2M2022-05-19
DASHDashDash55.5955.8317+0.43%58.55+5.32%0.0179✗1.201.1M2022-05-19
BFCBifrostEthereum0.070270.070572+0.43%0.07546+7.39%0.0101✓1.0518k2022-05-19
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash186.73187.5153+0.42%196.24+5.09%0.0184✗1.185.3M2022-05-19
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.027970.028087+0.42%0.02719-2.79%0.0862✗0.99192k2022-05-19
COMPCompoundEthereum63.763.9641+0.41%67.51+5.98%0.0231✗1.4228k2022-05-19
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum21.5921.6785+0.41%21.79+0.93%0.0729✗1.443.4M2022-05-19
NEXONEXOEthereum1.2961.3013+0.41%1.365+5.32%0.0066✗1.004.3M2022-05-19
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13030.130831+0.41%0.141+8.21%0.0154✗1.66109k2022-05-19
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011470.000011517+0.41%0.00001183+3.14%0.0460✗1.341.2M2022-05-19
XMRMoneroMonero155.14155.7096+0.37%165.93+6.96%0.0042✓1.093.2M2022-05-19
CHZChilizEthereum0.11830.11873+0.36%0.1228+3.80%0.0402✗1.361.1M2022-05-19
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.456.4731+0.36%7.17+11.16%0.0580✓0.812.8M2022-05-19
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.025540.025629+0.35%0.02676+4.78%0.0128✗1.0324k2022-05-19
ETHEthereumEthereum1,911.981,918.66+0.35%2,017.57+5.52%0.0060✗1.04464.2M2022-05-19
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV50.0650.2338+0.35%51.12+2.12%0.0357✗0.981.7M2022-05-19
SOLSolanaSolana49.8750.0424+0.35%52.13+4.53%0.0383✗1.4693.8M2022-05-19
KSMKusamaHydration75.9276.1788+0.34%80.45+5.97%0.0146✗1.271.5M2022-05-19
XTZTezosTezos1.6761.6817+0.34%1.754+4.65%0.0280✗1.291.1M2022-05-19
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.83e-76.85e-7+0.33%7.44e-7+8.97%0.0404✓0.781.4M2022-05-19
XLMStellarStellar0.1275440.127959+0.33%0.130466+2.29%0.0407✗1.1113.1M2022-05-19
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08850.088788+0.32%0.0909+2.71%0.0210✗0.82183k2022-05-19
MANADecentralandEthereum1.03171.0349+0.30%1.1185+8.41%0.0080✗1.581.2M2022-05-19
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7470.749207+0.30%0.824+10.31%0.0348✓1.113.2M2022-05-19
XYMSymbolnative0.06580.065994+0.30%0.0669+1.67%0.0276✗0.76525k2022-05-19
TRXTRONTron0.0709770.071183+0.29%0.073383+3.39%0.0127✗0.791.2M2022-05-19
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.32580.326694+0.27%0.3229-0.89%0.0834✗1.32463k2022-05-19
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.16990.170354+0.27%0.188+10.65%0.0442✓1.004,6042022-05-19
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.479.4941+0.25%10.02+5.81%0.0196✗1.3513.7M2022-05-19
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.341.3434+0.25%1.39+3.73%0.0259✗1.10138k2022-05-19
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum28,786.0028,858.02+0.25%30,185.70+4.86%0.0079✗0.9776k2022-05-19
BTCBitcoinBitcoin28,672.9428,736.64+0.22%30,274.59+5.59%0.0022✗1.00676.2M2022-05-19
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.6740.675405+0.21%0.709+5.19%0.0361✗1.561.8M2022-05-19
GTGateEthereum5.49555.5062+0.20%5.6031+1.96%0.0120✗0.545.0M2022-05-19
ZECZcashZcash99.4699.6324+0.17%104.45+5.02%0.0255✗1.345.7M2022-05-19
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.97534.9831+0.16%5.0075+0.65%0.0075✗0.23294k2022-05-19
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.021370.021402+0.15%0.03198+49.65%0.3692✓0.60400k2022-05-19
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.63651.6384+0.12%1.6711+2.11%0.0129✗0.6014k2022-05-19
KCSKuCoinnative14.37514.3836+0.06%15.307+6.48%0.0092✓0.985.0M2022-05-19
SGBSongbirdnative0.03330.033304+0.01%0.0343+3.00%0.0098✓0.36138k2022-05-19
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.014.0099-0.00%4.06+1.25%0.0358✓0.89798k2022-05-19
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.08732.0853-0.10%2.2129+6.02%0.0020✗1.062.5M2022-05-19
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.6224.6102-0.26%5.251+13.61%0.0749✗1.021.6M2022-05-19
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0173930.017335-0.33%0.018136+4.27%0.0073✗0.70198k2022-05-19
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.623.5876-0.89%3.64+0.55%0.0345✓0.90503k2022-05-19
LUNATerraTerra 20.000150.000148022-1.32%0.00014-6.67%0.2028✓2.717.8M2022-05-19
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.729.2877-4.45%8.41-13.48%0.1335✓0.631.2M2022-05-19
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.4494.2211-5.12%3.704-16.75%0.1664✓0.662.3M2022-05-19
DIADIAEthereum0.740.700247-5.37%0.57117-22.81%0.2401✓0.6770k2022-05-19
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.