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2022-05-09 · +1d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 167 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0106
167 of 167 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-2.50%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
48.5%
in alpha space · 32.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+3.07%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (167 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 230.3531.4748+3.71%17.41-42.64%0.6512✗1.957.1M2022-05-10
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.05322.0882+1.70%2.0156-1.83%0.0600✗0.814.8M2022-05-10
APEApeCoinEthereum8.0088.1156+1.34%9.03+12.76%0.0388✓2.2576.4M2022-05-10
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.05532.082+1.30%1.9892-3.22%0.0782✗1.0810.0M2022-05-10
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.7213.859+1.01%14.13+2.99%0.0238✗1.432.8M2022-05-10
GMTGMTEthereum1.7691.7867+1.00%1.8+1.75%0.0229✗1.008.8M2022-05-10
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.870.878006+0.92%0.834-4.14%0.0898✗1.2732k2022-05-10
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.816.8699+0.88%6.87+0.88%0.0189✗0.632.8M2022-05-10
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.42883.457+0.82%3.3422-2.53%0.0724✗1.287.7M2022-05-10
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.152.1665+0.77%2.1091-1.90%0.0513✗0.812.5M2022-05-10
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2720.274027+0.75%0.296+8.82%0.0382✓1.294.2M2022-05-10
TRXTRONTron0.0725870.073048+0.63%0.077055+6.16%0.0285✓0.82402k2022-05-10
STEEMSteemnative0.30150.30312+0.54%0.2929-2.85%0.0646✗1.002.9M2022-05-10
UOSUltraEthereum0.4420.444268+0.51%0.47323+7.07%0.0198✓1.431.3M2022-05-10
GLMGolemEthereum0.26470.26591+0.46%0.2734+3.29%0.0085✗1.20186k2022-05-10
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.47e-76.50e-7+0.46%8.18e-7+26.30%0.2204✓0.28855k2022-05-10
BORABORAKlay Token0.414340.416191+0.45%0.42175+1.79%0.0269✗1.3347k2022-05-10
ORCAOrcaSolana1.211.2154+0.45%1.27+4.96%0.0201✓0.79151k2022-05-10
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.6392.6501+0.42%2.455-6.97%0.0925✗0.532.2M2022-05-10
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.005430.005451+0.39%0.00536-1.29%0.0400✗0.7720k2022-05-10
ZENHorizenBase24.424.4863+0.35%25.41+4.14%0.0069✗1.45173k2022-05-10
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.12130.121717+0.34%0.1281+5.61%0.0208✓1.003.9M2022-05-10
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum30,239.2030,327.16+0.29%31,038.90+2.64%0.0060✗0.9738k2022-05-10
XVSVenusEthereum5.155.1643+0.28%5.35+3.88%0.0033✗1.282.8M2022-05-10
NEXONEXOEthereum1.6781.6818+0.22%1.738+3.58%0.0026✓1.005.3M2022-05-10
DIADIAEthereum0.530.530975+0.18%0.51-3.77%0.0587✗0.6170k2022-05-10
UMAUMAEthereum4.1284.1354+0.18%4.194+1.60%0.0320✗1.521.8M2022-05-10
STORJStorjEthereum0.624220.625323+0.18%0.65439+4.83%0.0055✓1.3288k2022-05-10
STXStacksnative0.650.651094+0.17%0.68+4.62%0.0115✓1.05260k2022-05-10
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03820.038262+0.16%0.041+7.33%0.0321✓1.22179k2022-05-10
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14360.143798+0.14%0.155+7.94%0.0311✓1.45108k2022-05-10
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3441.3454+0.10%1.381+2.75%0.0106✗1.2117.4M2022-05-10
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.686.6862+0.09%6.72+0.60%0.0141✗0.631.2M2022-05-10
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.57380.57427+0.08%0.5848+1.92%0.0151✗1.1012.4M2022-05-10
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos12.4912.4936+0.03%13.57+8.65%0.0448✓1.2519.4M2022-05-10
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.043460.043468+0.02%0.04628+6.49%0.0264✓1.2070k2022-05-10
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.29460.294647+0.02%0.3042+3.26%0.0005✗1.07305k2022-05-10
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0794.0794+0.01%4.129+1.23%0.0122✗0.801.5M2022-05-10
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche41.2141.2032-0.02%44.54+8.08%0.0388✗1.2944.2M2022-05-10
CTSICartesiEthereum0.19260.192522-0.04%0.2054+6.65%0.0218✗1.42634k2022-05-10
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.05180.051763-0.07%0.0533+2.90%0.0029✗0.8710k2022-05-10
XEMNEMnative0.0580.057955-0.08%0.0608+4.83%0.0134✗1.1469k2022-05-10
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.5972.5947-0.09%2.599+0.08%0.0498✓1.701.2M2022-05-10
NMRNumeraireEthereum1615.9839-0.10%15.88-0.75%0.0328✓0.87468k2022-05-10
LTCLitecoinLitecoin76.1976.1134-0.10%80.12+5.16%0.0182✗1.0917.3M2022-05-10
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.280.279622-0.13%0.3+7.14%0.0271✗1.43250k2022-05-10
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.0111.0096-0.14%1.043+3.17%0.0017✓1.13547k2022-05-10
BTCBitcoinBitcoin30,078.2730,030.58-0.16%31,002.39+3.07%0.0016✓1.00580.1M2022-05-10
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.33.2946-0.16%3.46+4.85%0.0231✗0.86565k2022-05-10
BFCBifrostEthereum0.084630.084491-0.16%0.09764+15.37%0.1187✗0.8618k2022-05-10
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum3.5493.5423-0.19%3.791+6.82%0.0286✗1.30186k2022-05-10
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.020410.02037-0.20%0.02137+4.70%0.0302✗0.58405k2022-05-10
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.773.762-0.21%3.96+5.04%0.0313✗0.66804k2022-05-10
DOTPolkadotPolkadot10.6410.6171-0.22%11.35+6.67%0.0306✗1.1911.7M2022-05-10
LSKLiskEthereum1.3571.354-0.23%1.3128-3.26%0.0602✓0.9784k2022-05-10
GTGateEthereum5.68145.6683-0.23%5.8348+2.70%0.0147✗0.474.5M2022-05-10
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.030610.030539-0.23%0.02942-3.89%0.0650✓0.92227k2022-05-10
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.17020.169799-0.24%0.177+4.00%0.0076✓1.621.1M2022-05-10
API3Api3Ethereum2.312.3045-0.24%2.368+2.51%0.0109✓1.262.6M2022-05-10
XVGVergenative0.006110.006095-0.24%0.0063+3.11%0.0030✓1.19885k2022-05-10
CBKCobakEthereum1.3471.3437-0.24%1.391+3.27%0.0084✗0.8624k2022-05-10
WOOWOOEthereum0.2640.263295-0.27%0.28+6.06%0.0377✗0.792,9402022-05-10
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.7650.762932-0.27%0.815+6.54%0.0246✗1.37327k2022-05-10
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.16340.16295-0.28%0.1674+2.45%0.0185✓1.506.0M2022-05-10
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.2393.2298-0.28%3.279+1.23%0.0336✓1.617.1M2022-05-10
GITCOINGITCOIN3.3483.3384-0.29%3.4+1.55%0.0297✓1.5819k2022-05-10
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000013950.000013907-0.31%0.00001614+15.70%0.1133✗1.181.2M2022-05-10
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.713.6985-0.31%3.62-2.43%0.0443✓0.76470k2022-05-10
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.2032.1962-0.31%2.134-3.13%0.0538✓0.83763k2022-05-10
CELLCellframeEthereum0.50360.502032-0.31%0.4989-0.93%0.0436✓1.2395k2022-05-10
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.074.057-0.32%4.06-0.25%0.0231✓0.79835k2022-05-10
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.9121.9057-0.33%1.977+3.40%0.0043✓1.365.1M2022-05-10
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02530.025216-0.33%0.027+6.72%0.0082✗1.9922.0M2022-05-10
CVCCivicEthereum0.18810.187474-0.33%0.1882+0.05%0.0352✓1.29372k2022-05-10
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.71.6941-0.34%1.721+1.24%0.0320✓1.58582k2022-05-10
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.4790.477336-0.35%0.505+5.43%0.0110✗1.501.6M2022-05-10
HIVEHivenative0.57750.575487-0.35%0.5969+3.36%0.0019✓1.141.5M2022-05-10
LCXLCXEthereum0.0770.0767-0.39%0.0823+6.88%0.0418✗0.95416k2022-05-10
CHZChilizEthereum0.1330.132477-0.39%0.1421+6.84%0.0323✗1.251.2M2022-05-10
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.333.3168-0.40%3.41+2.40%0.0213✓1.62339k2022-05-10
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.10290.102491-0.40%0.1022-0.68%0.0283✓0.84152k2022-05-10
KSMKusamaHydration94.2693.8818-0.40%93.03-1.30%0.0441✓1.161.1M2022-05-10
AAVEAaveEthereum99.4599.0459-0.41%105.24+5.82%0.0179✗1.418.3M2022-05-10
MOVRMoonriverBase27.460527.3465-0.42%28.3525+3.25%0.0058✓1.39188k2022-05-10
GALAGALAEthereum0.1030.102572-0.42%0.1079+4.76%0.0084✗1.40192k2022-05-10
YFIyearn.financeEthereum12,496.7112,442.85-0.43%13,692.55+9.57%0.0623✗1.102.5M2022-05-10
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.440850.4389-0.44%0.46724+5.99%0.0268✗1.18141k2022-05-10
XECeCashnative0.000053370.000053133-0.44%0.00005842+9.46%0.0603✗1.146.7M2022-05-10
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.50.497754-0.45%0.52+4.00%0.0016✓1.39398k2022-05-10
AMPAmpEthereum0.013330.013269-0.46%0.01344+0.83%0.0156✓0.942.9M2022-05-10
QNTQuantEthereum69.8169.4852-0.47%72.39+3.70%0.0100✗1.023.4M2022-05-10
DASHDashDash69.8969.5612-0.47%73.33+4.92%0.0197✗1.091.0M2022-05-10
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.29680.295391-0.47%0.3033+2.19%0.0079✓1.13486k2022-05-10
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.937.8923-0.48%7.89-0.50%0.0348✓1.14666k2022-05-10
IMXImmutableEthereum1.1431.1374-0.49%1.192+4.29%0.0039✓1.428.2M2022-05-10
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.18.0601-0.49%8.58+5.93%0.0248✗1.2518.3M2022-05-10
ZECZcashZcash92.6892.2182-0.50%93.08+0.43%0.0278✓1.235.1M2022-05-10
BTTCBTTC0.000001430.000001423-0.51%0.00000145+1.40%0.0031✓0.737.7M2022-05-10
KCSKuCoinnative13.60813.5381-0.51%13.919+2.29%0.0020✓0.854.0M2022-05-10
XLMStellarStellar0.1406120.139886-0.52%0.148397+5.54%0.0286✗1.0113.6M2022-05-10
NANOnanopayBase1.36871.3616-0.52%1.3852+1.20%0.0181✓1.17153k2022-05-10
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5006490.49802-0.53%0.506855+1.24%0.0196✓1.235.6M2022-05-10
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.4690.466535-0.53%0.476+1.49%0.0051✓0.831.1M2022-05-10
SPELLSpellEthereum0.002340.002328-0.53%0.00228-2.56%0.0584✓1.253.9M2022-05-10
SOLSolanaSolana62.1361.7963-0.54%66.86+7.61%0.0398✗1.2985.8M2022-05-10
LPTLivepeerEthereum17.4517.355-0.54%17.68+1.32%0.0198✓1.27608k2022-05-10
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.23645.2076-0.55%5.4245+3.59%0.0330✗0.26278k2022-05-10
SUNSun TokenTron0.010480.010422-0.56%0.010912+4.12%0.0167✗0.9738k2022-05-10
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.00891.9976-0.56%1.9375-3.55%0.0492✓0.6216k2022-05-10
ETHEthereumEthereum2,228.502,215.85-0.57%2,340.51+5.03%0.0242✗1.01437.0M2022-05-10
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.11630.115633-0.57%0.1115-4.13%0.0889✓1.74232k2022-05-10
FILFilecoinFilecoin10.9910.9263-0.58%11.36+3.37%0.0040✓1.156.6M2022-05-10
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.1440.143163-0.58%0.1534+6.53%0.0389✗1.001.1M2022-05-10
XMRMoneroMonero173.09172.0695-0.59%163.04-5.81%0.0845✓1.013.0M2022-05-10
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.8342.8171-0.59%2.733-3.56%0.0762✓1.5179k2022-05-10
MASKMask NetworkEthereum2.772.7533-0.60%2.84+2.53%0.0144✓1.50355k2022-05-10
UNIUniswapEthereum5.955.914-0.60%6.07+2.02%0.0085✓1.144.1M2022-05-10
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.38940.387028-0.61%0.3911+0.44%0.0243✓1.158.1M2022-05-10
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1017730.101152-0.61%0.107915+6.04%0.0341✗1.017.1M2022-05-10
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.7260.721517-0.62%0.749+3.17%0.0025✓1.321.7M2022-05-10
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.242.2261-0.62%2.218-0.98%0.0261✓0.74975k2022-05-10
XTZTezosTezos2.00881.9963-0.62%2.1141+5.24%0.0211✗1.20855k2022-05-10
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash217.92216.5636-0.62%231.66+6.31%0.0351✗1.074.9M2022-05-10
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0140040.013914-0.64%0.014768+5.46%0.0388✗0.69195k2022-05-10
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.010580.010512-0.64%0.01152+8.88%0.0610✗1.011.0M2022-05-10
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.561.5499-0.64%1.62+3.85%0.0124✗1.05134k2022-05-10
SCSiacoinnative0.005930.005891-0.65%0.00617+4.05%0.0068✗1.30373k2022-05-10
MANADecentralandEthereum1.06011.053-0.66%1.1134+5.03%0.0168✗1.28760k2022-05-10
ADACardanoCardano0.60180.597556-0.71%0.6283+4.40%0.0132✗1.2241.1M2022-05-10
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.89952.8784-0.72%3.0969+6.81%0.0379✗1.17177k2022-05-10
ETCEthereum Classicnative22.7522.5808-0.74%23.89+5.01%0.0202✗1.204.4M2022-05-10
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.23890.236997-0.80%0.2458+2.89%0.0028✓1.306.5M2022-05-10
COMPCompoundEthereum80.6479.9972-0.80%88.81+10.13%0.0659✗1.2831k2022-05-10
QTUMQtumQtum4.42474.3893-0.80%4.7521+7.40%0.0447✗1.15120k2022-05-10
DODODODOEthereum0.2250.223196-0.80%0.238+5.78%0.0245✗1.314.7M2022-05-10
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.2259.7017-0.86%63.26+5.05%0.0309✗0.892.0M2022-05-10
SUSHISushiEthereum1.731.7151-0.86%1.79+3.47%0.0012✓1.373.6M2022-05-10
SGBSongbirdnative0.0490.048567-0.88%0.0483-1.43%0.0186✓0.43137k2022-05-10
DKAdKargoEthereum0.062530.061976-0.89%0.06288+0.56%0.0125✓0.8926k2022-05-10
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum9.919.8217-0.89%10.57+6.66%0.0352✗1.268.0M2022-05-10
FIDABonfidaSolana0.7740.76704-0.90%0.776+0.26%0.0231✓1.1546k2022-05-10
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.72360.716896-0.93%0.7603+5.07%0.0189✗1.326.1M2022-05-10
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0182420.018069-0.95%0.019116+4.79%0.0257✗1.014.2M2022-05-10
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.5153.4816-0.95%3.506-0.26%0.0230✓0.9973k2022-05-10
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.11.0893-0.97%1.15+4.55%0.0119✗1.40842k2022-05-10
COTICOTIEthereum0.14420.142795-0.97%0.1558+8.04%0.0434✗1.451.8M2022-05-10
BANDBandEthereum2.2032.1815-0.98%2.243+1.82%0.0133✓1.36504k2022-05-10
PROPropyEthereum1.531.5148-0.99%1.41-7.84%0.0899✓0.60528k2022-05-10
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.006520.006455-1.00%0.00602-7.67%0.1036✓1.121.7M2022-05-10
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1010.09998-1.01%0.107+5.94%0.0461✗0.72124k2022-05-10
AVTAventusEthereum1.691.6726-1.03%1.54-8.88%0.1007✓0.60242k2022-05-10
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.030420.030104-1.04%0.03109+2.20%0.0051✓0.9031k2022-05-10
SKLSKALEEthereum0.10440.103278-1.07%0.114+9.20%0.0570✗1.383.7M2022-05-10
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8550.845758-1.08%0.909+6.32%0.0395✗1.083.2M2022-05-10
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1970.19474-1.15%0.192-2.54%0.0349✓0.6821k2022-05-10
TRBTellor TributesEthereum12.612.4493-1.20%14.4+14.29%0.1065✗1.29134k2022-05-10
RADRadworksEthereum2.952.9144-1.21%2.73-7.46%0.0916✓0.87443k2022-05-10
FTTFTXEthereum30.1529.7857-1.21%33.08+9.72%0.0768✗0.9311.7M2022-05-10
MINAMina Protocolnative1.351.3336-1.21%1.43+5.93%0.0326✗1.23755k2022-05-10
LRCLoopringEthereum0.5450.538241-1.24%0.5668+4.00%0.0106✓1.36296k2022-05-10
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum24.8124.4891-1.29%24.28-2.14%0.0499✓1.363.8M2022-05-10
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.7480.738209-1.31%0.757+1.20%0.0139✓1.29954k2022-05-10
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.06490.06403-1.34%0.0622-4.16%0.0590✓0.992.0M2022-05-10
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.013280.013076-1.54%0.01125-15.29%0.1750✓0.81222k2022-05-10
XYMSymbolnative0.07460.073396-1.61%0.0813+8.98%0.0825✗0.65619k2022-05-10
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.01450.014223-1.91%0.01471+1.45%0.0112✓1.4845.5M2022-05-10
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.33470.328161-1.95%0.3361+0.42%0.0100✓0.46514k2022-05-10
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.