8=======>

2022-05-06 · +1d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 164 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0239
164 of 164 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+0.50%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
28.7%
in alpha space · 20.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.50%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (164 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.21570.217831+0.99%0.2165+0.37%0.0205✓1.761.1M2022-05-07
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum1.2411.251+0.81%1.133-8.70%0.0815✗1.1743k2022-05-07
CELLCellframeEthereum0.64550.650424+0.76%0.664+2.87%0.0394✓1.24101k2022-05-07
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.36220.364913+0.75%0.3654+0.88%0.0184✓1.13486k2022-05-07
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum3.02753.05+0.74%2.6362-12.92%0.1312✗0.9710.0M2022-05-07
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.016290.016394+0.64%0.0155-4.85%0.0433✗0.84223k2022-05-07
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum28.5128.6911+0.64%28.65+0.49%0.0198✓1.403.8M2022-05-07
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.13780.138664+0.63%0.1419+2.98%0.0531✓1.98256k2022-05-07
MOVRMoonriverBase37.03737.2364+0.54%34.6588-6.42%0.0499✗1.44173k2022-05-07
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.70.70376+0.54%0.7+0.00%0.0139✓1.27424k2022-05-07
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana8.238.2735+0.53%8.88+7.90%0.0783✓0.502.5M2022-05-07
FILFilecoinFilecoin13.8713.937+0.48%13.25-4.47%0.0332✗1.157.4M2022-05-07
SUSHISushiEthereum2.252.2606+0.47%2.14-4.89%0.0343✗1.353.6M2022-05-07
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.648.6805+0.47%8.64+0.00%0.0028✓0.491.3M2022-05-07
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.884.9028+0.47%4.87-0.20%0.0043✓0.73987k2022-05-07
DODODODOEthereum0.2880.289339+0.47%0.274-4.86%0.0349✗1.295.0M2022-05-07
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.390.391784+0.46%0.37-5.13%0.0354✗1.44278k2022-05-07
WOOWOOEthereum0.33970.34125+0.46%0.3281-3.41%0.0296✗0.643,3932022-05-07
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0224190.022521+0.46%0.022481+0.28%0.0129✓0.974.2M2022-05-07
FIDABonfidaSolana0.9780.982423+0.45%0.957-2.15%0.0094✗1.1147k2022-05-07
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.22630.227304+0.44%0.2094-7.47%0.0598✗1.476.5M2022-05-07
UOSUltraEthereum0.667440.670373+0.44%0.63066-5.51%0.0408✗1.341.3M2022-05-07
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.3272.3372+0.44%2.218-4.68%0.0286✗1.56713k2022-05-07
XVSVenusEthereum7.557.581+0.41%7.43-1.59%0.0029✓1.142.8M2022-05-07
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.99353.0057+0.41%2.7726-7.38%0.0707✗0.662.9M2022-05-07
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.18733.2001+0.40%2.7656-13.23%0.1365✗0.625.0M2022-05-07
BFCBifrostEthereum0.112350.112787+0.39%0.11027-1.85%0.0113✗0.7517k2022-05-07
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.007070.007097+0.38%0.0071+0.42%0.0097✓0.6124k2022-05-07
CTSICartesiEthereum0.26810.26913+0.38%0.2565-4.33%0.0278✗1.34722k2022-05-07
LINKChainlinkEthereum10.7910.8314+0.38%10.21-5.38%0.0411✗1.1918.3M2022-05-07
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.0370.037141+0.38%0.0345-6.76%0.0459✗1.8423.0M2022-05-07
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum12.4712.5157+0.37%12.05-3.37%0.0190✗1.258.5M2022-05-07
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.49360.495402+0.37%0.4765-3.46%0.0219✗1.127.9M2022-05-07
CHZChilizEthereum0.17310.173728+0.36%0.1674-3.29%0.0189✗1.201.3M2022-05-07
TRBTellor TributesEthereum14.2314.2799+0.35%13.4-5.83%0.0418✗1.44140k2022-05-07
BORABORAKlay Token0.584460.586493+0.35%0.54159-7.33%0.0615✗1.2053k2022-05-07
STXStacksnative0.860.862956+0.34%0.81-5.81%0.0481✗1.01274k2022-05-07
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.4673.4788+0.34%3.376-2.62%0.0245✗0.362.4M2022-05-07
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos17.6617.7199+0.34%16.43-6.96%0.0582✗1.1518.8M2022-05-07
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum36,069.7036,190.55+0.34%35,568.50-1.39%0.0027✓0.9726k2022-05-07
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6410.643129+0.33%0.613-4.37%0.0260✗1.451.7M2022-05-07
SPELLSpellEthereum0.003140.00315+0.33%0.00307-2.23%0.0082✗1.164.0M2022-05-07
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.40720.408522+0.32%0.3705-9.01%0.0912✗0.43565k2022-05-07
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.19770.19831+0.31%0.1895-4.15%0.0247✗1.37110k2022-05-07
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche5757.1748+0.31%55.03-3.46%0.0198✗1.2244.2M2022-05-07
ETCEthereum Classicnative27.9528.0337+0.30%26.87-3.86%0.0241✗1.214.8M2022-05-07
DASHDashDash87.6387.8918+0.30%83.41-4.82%0.0361✗1.081.2M2022-05-07
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.7572.7651+0.30%2.72-1.34%0.0054✗0.73824k2022-05-07
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.69874.7124+0.29%4.8265+2.72%0.0409✓1.128.6M2022-05-07
MANADecentralandEthereum1.4491.4532+0.29%1.3704-5.42%0.0401✗1.23805k2022-05-07
AAVEAaveEthereum138.23138.6207+0.28%132.21-4.36%0.0270✗1.348.9M2022-05-07
NANOnanopayBase1.68051.6853+0.28%1.7328+3.11%0.0450✓1.13145k2022-05-07
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000020040.000020096+0.28%0.00001928-3.79%0.0247✗1.111.3M2022-05-07
SCSiacoinnative0.00790.007922+0.28%0.00757-4.18%0.0268✗1.23373k2022-05-07
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.544.5521+0.27%4.48-1.32%0.0056✗0.69515k2022-05-07
XECeCashnative0.000071540.000071729+0.26%0.00006986-2.35%0.0108✗1.037.6M2022-05-07
UNIUniswapEthereum7.597.61+0.26%7.17-5.53%0.0426✗1.124.3M2022-05-07
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.036940.037037+0.26%0.03622-1.95%0.0092✗0.8632k2022-05-07
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.01820.018247+0.26%0.017334-4.76%0.0426✗0.57193k2022-05-07
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.4140.415062+0.26%0.39-5.80%0.0453✗1.124.3M2022-05-07
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.024630.024693+0.25%0.02472+0.37%0.0082✓0.47405k2022-05-07
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.14.1103+0.25%4.08-0.49%0.0042✓0.77630k2022-05-07
XTZTezosTezos2.50782.514+0.25%2.5117+0.16%0.0161✓1.12847k2022-05-07
ARPAARPAEthereum0.05240.052528+0.24%0.0494-5.73%0.0431✗1.21179k2022-05-07
HIGHHighstreetEthereum3.5993.6077+0.24%3.456-3.97%0.0171✗1.711.3M2022-05-07
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.0481.0505+0.24%0.996-4.96%0.0334✗1.31357k2022-05-07
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.01720.017241+0.24%0.01627-5.41%0.0336✗1.6148.2M2022-05-07
BTCBitcoinBitcoin35,999.1036,083.59+0.23%35,458.00-1.50%0.0023✗1.00553.2M2022-05-07
ZECZcashZcash123.65123.9395+0.23%112.65-8.90%0.0776✗1.185.1M2022-05-07
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.854.8612+0.23%4.45-8.25%0.0791✗0.61851k2022-05-07
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.038340.038428+0.23%0.0396+3.29%0.0428✓0.84222k2022-05-07
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum3.67213.6802+0.22%3.6337-1.05%0.0040✓1.11173k2022-05-07
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.9130.91499+0.22%0.904-0.99%0.0076✓1.301.1M2022-05-07
FTTFTXEthereum35.8935.9678+0.22%35.09-2.23%0.0108✗0.9211.7M2022-05-07
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.9510.9734+0.21%10.4-5.02%0.0379✗1.04887k2022-05-07
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9880.990082+0.21%0.948-4.05%0.0267✗1.103.5M2022-05-07
SOLSolanaSolana81.6681.8273+0.20%78.83-3.47%0.0186✗1.2385.8M2022-05-07
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.491.493+0.20%1.37-8.05%0.0653✗1.37909k2022-05-07
XYMSymbolnative0.08670.08687+0.20%0.0841-3.00%0.0220✗0.69657k2022-05-07
AMPAmpEthereum0.017960.017995+0.19%0.01781-0.84%0.0011✓0.763.2M2022-05-07
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.39850.39926+0.19%0.3883-2.56%0.0135✗0.95299k2022-05-07
IMXImmutableEthereum1.5071.5098+0.19%1.422-5.64%0.0387✗1.408.3M2022-05-07
LRCLoopringEthereum0.72480.726097+0.18%0.6946-4.17%0.0238✗1.36307k2022-05-07
ADACardanoCardano0.78310.7845+0.18%0.7598-2.98%0.0144✗1.1641.1M2022-05-07
STORJStorjEthereum0.850450.851965+0.18%0.80788-5.01%0.0343✗1.2588k2022-05-07
GTCGitcoinEthereum4.74.7081+0.17%4.52-3.83%0.0174✗1.54339k2022-05-07
DYDXdYdXCosmos3.4733.479+0.17%3.425-1.38%0.0066✓1.4679k2022-05-07
NMRNumeraireEthereum20.3320.3634+0.16%20.21-0.59%0.0040✓0.76412k2022-05-07
DOTPolkadotPolkadot14.3214.3435+0.16%13.75-3.98%0.0255✗1.1111.7M2022-05-07
API3Api3Ethereum3.2843.2894+0.16%3.122-4.93%0.0358✗1.082.8M2022-05-07
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.0411.0427+0.16%0.964-7.40%0.0598✗1.232.1M2022-05-07
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV72.4472.5578+0.16%70.33-2.91%0.0182✗0.862.1M2022-05-07
COMPCompoundEthereum103.5103.6652+0.16%99.06-4.29%0.0268✗1.2330k2022-05-07
KSMKusamaHydration126.34126.5397+0.16%117.99-6.61%0.0530✗1.121.0M2022-05-07
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.008470.008483+0.15%0.0078-7.91%0.0662✗1.172.0M2022-05-07
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.058520.058607+0.15%0.05611-4.12%0.0267✗1.1170k2022-05-07
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2180.218324+0.15%0.217-0.46%0.0048✓0.7222k2022-05-07
AVTAventusEthereum1.931.9328+0.15%1.94+0.52%0.0121✓0.56272k2022-05-07
BANDBandEthereum2.9262.9303+0.15%2.784-4.85%0.0316✗1.30504k2022-05-07
GALAGALAEthereum0.14380.144011+0.15%0.1358-5.56%0.0387✗1.32180k2022-05-07
QTUMQtumQtum5.44765.4556+0.15%5.228-4.03%0.0250✗1.1698k2022-05-07
CBKCobakEthereum1.7371.7395+0.14%1.658-4.55%0.0359✗0.8024k2022-05-07
DKAdKargoEthereum0.076010.076118+0.14%0.07366-3.09%0.0196✗0.8730k2022-05-07
MINAMina Protocolnative1.841.8426+0.14%1.72-6.52%0.0512✗1.17929k2022-05-07
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.931.9327+0.14%1.87-3.11%0.0173✗1.04134k2022-05-07
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.0944.0996+0.14%4.061-0.81%0.0062✓1.0373k2022-05-07
LSKLiskEthereum1.68681.6891+0.14%1.6319-3.26%0.0205✗0.9280k2022-05-07
MASKMask NetworkEthereum3.713.7149+0.13%3.52-5.12%0.0318✗1.46355k2022-05-07
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.8252.8287+0.13%2.721-3.68%0.0289✗0.651.1M2022-05-07
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.19550.195752+0.13%0.1913-2.15%0.0099✗0.871.1M2022-05-07
XVGVergenative0.008050.00806+0.13%0.00769-4.47%0.0297✗1.15926k2022-05-07
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.8381.8403+0.12%1.732-5.77%0.0434✗1.1417.4M2022-05-07
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.579870.580566+0.12%0.55681-3.98%0.0250✗1.11129k2022-05-07
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.062910.062985+0.12%0.061-3.04%0.0192✗0.8510k2022-05-07
APEApeCoinEthereum13.25913.2745+0.12%12.353-6.83%0.0420✗1.9875.7M2022-05-07
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.91910.920145+0.11%0.8746-4.84%0.0309✗1.316.5M2022-05-07
SKLSKALEEthereum0.14160.14176+0.11%0.1348-4.80%0.0304✗1.324.3M2022-05-07
QNTQuantEthereum90.2690.3618+0.11%87.09-3.51%0.0218✗1.003.3M2022-05-07
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.18862.191+0.11%2.2242+1.63%0.0250✓0.6614k2022-05-07
BTTCBTTC0.000001670.000001672+0.11%0.00000162-2.99%0.0208✗0.707.7M2022-05-07
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.12160.121732+0.11%0.1203-1.07%0.0008✓0.83146k2022-05-07
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.570.570619+0.11%0.577+1.23%0.0231✓0.791.3M2022-05-07
ORCAOrcaSolana1.711.7118+0.11%1.53-10.53%0.1017✗0.70146k2022-05-07
HIVEHivenative0.77030.771083+0.10%0.7423-3.63%0.0220✗1.061.5M2022-05-07
GLMGolemEthereum0.35210.352432+0.09%0.3316-5.82%0.0437✗1.13188k2022-05-07
DIADIAEthereum0.710.710664+0.09%0.69-2.82%0.0224✗0.4770k2022-05-07
LUNATerraTerra 277.3677.4299+0.09%68.02-12.07%0.1097✗1.316.9M2022-05-07
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1410.141126+0.09%0.133-5.67%0.0511✗0.54148k2022-05-07
LTCLitecoinLitecoin96.6996.7741+0.09%94.27-2.50%0.0105✗1.0417.5M2022-05-07
ETHEthereumEthereum2,691.722,693.99+0.08%2,634.80-2.11%0.0070✗1.00438.2M2022-05-07
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum4.8944.898+0.08%4.572-6.58%0.0507✗1.20184k2022-05-07
XEMNEMnative0.08310.083166+0.08%0.0806-3.01%0.0165✗0.9855k2022-05-07
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.5964.5995+0.08%4.316-6.09%0.0407✗1.527.3M2022-05-07
KCSKuCoinnative16.94316.9556+0.07%16.731-1.25%0.0015✗0.784.1M2022-05-07
GITCOINGITCOIN4.6974.7001+0.07%4.491-4.39%0.0227✗1.5118k2022-05-07
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.014130.014138+0.06%0.01392-1.49%0.0020✗0.901.0M2022-05-07
RADRadworksEthereum3.583.5819+0.05%3.44-3.91%0.0272✗0.87555k2022-05-07
XLMStellarStellar0.1714840.171575+0.05%0.167511-2.32%0.0087✗1.0113.8M2022-05-07
LCXLCXEthereum0.10440.104453+0.05%0.1011-3.16%0.0196✗0.86425k2022-05-07
GTGateEthereum6.34966.3516+0.03%6.3071-0.67%0.0003✓0.454.2M2022-05-07
COTICOTIEthereum0.19130.191352+0.03%0.1819-4.91%0.0295✗1.401.9M2022-05-07
YFIyearn.financeEthereum16,718.3216,722.69+0.03%16,364.73-2.11%0.0064✗1.012.5M2022-05-07
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.29520.295239+0.01%0.2918-1.15%0.0074✓1.276.5M2022-05-07
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.2175.2173+0.01%5.315+1.88%0.0284✓0.651.5M2022-05-07
SUNSun TokenTron0.0129840.012984+0.00%0.012543-3.40%0.0211✗0.8940k2022-05-07
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1277160.127716-0.00%0.127339-0.30%0.0114✗0.957.1M2022-05-07
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.37675.3766-0.00%5.2733-1.92%0.0147✓0.31278k2022-05-07
CVCCivicEthereum0.24720.247121-0.03%0.2355-4.73%0.0300✓1.20380k2022-05-07
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash274.77274.668-0.04%267.87-2.51%0.0097✓1.015.0M2022-05-07
XMRMoneroMonero218.44218.3461-0.04%204.44-6.41%0.0519✓0.923.1M2022-05-07
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.3561.3553-0.05%1.299-4.20%0.0270✓1.02462k2022-05-07
LPTLivepeerEthereum21.7921.775-0.07%21.79+0.00%0.0199✗1.27532k2022-05-07
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.2952.2929-0.09%2.227-2.96%0.0089✓1.345.1M2022-05-07
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08960.089489-0.12%0.0858-4.24%0.0292✓0.852.5M2022-05-07
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.16150.161187-0.19%0.1541-4.58%0.0298✓1.003.8M2022-05-07
UMAUMAEthereum5.4675.4541-0.24%5.274-3.53%0.0117✓1.451.6M2022-05-07
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum18.418.355-0.24%18.3-0.54%0.0177✗1.372.2M2022-05-07
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7019970.700131-0.27%0.66758-4.90%0.0307✓1.125.5M2022-05-07
STEEMSteemnative0.37590.374717-0.31%0.3856+2.58%0.0438✗1.003.9M2022-05-07
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.69790.695616-0.33%0.7484+7.24%0.0882✗1.0010.9M2022-05-07
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.90e-78.86e-7-0.44%8.69e-7-2.44%0.0203✓-0.00717k2022-05-07
PROPropyEthereum1.751.7365-0.77%1.68-4.00%0.0239✓0.60507k2022-05-07
TRXTRONTron0.0864820.085744-0.85%0.083354-3.62%0.0171✓0.74297k2022-05-07
ZENHorizenBase36.3936.0424-0.96%35.38-2.78%0.0017✓1.34173k2022-05-07
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.