8=======>

2022-05-05 · +1d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 165 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0627
165 of 165 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+0.17%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
61.2%
in alpha space · 38.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.47%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (165 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
DYDXdYdXCosmos3.2923.3268+1.06%3.473+5.50%0.0649✓1.4779k2022-05-06
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.007210.007279+0.96%0.00707-1.94%0.0201✗0.6127k2022-05-06
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.975.0173+0.95%4.88-1.81%0.0170✗0.731.0M2022-05-06
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.194.2297+0.95%4.1-2.15%0.0198✗0.76690k2022-05-06
NANOnanopayBase1.63051.6457+0.93%1.6805+3.07%0.0379✓1.14149k2022-05-06
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.39430.397722+0.87%0.3622-8.14%0.0770✗1.12487k2022-05-06
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana8.658.7226+0.84%8.23-4.86%0.0509✗0.492.5M2022-05-06
CELLCellframeEthereum0.67220.677267+0.75%0.6455-3.97%0.0297✗1.23105k2022-05-06
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.884.9137+0.69%4.85-0.61%0.0040✓0.61869k2022-05-06
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.2290.23057+0.69%0.2263-1.18%0.0032✓1.476.7M2022-05-06
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.14020.141131+0.66%0.1378-1.71%0.0056✓1.98266k2022-05-06
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6390.643232+0.66%0.641+0.31%0.0181✓1.451.7M2022-05-06
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.49820.50149+0.66%0.4936-0.92%0.0008✓1.128.1M2022-05-06
CTSICartesiEthereum0.26920.270962+0.65%0.2681-0.41%0.0093✓1.34735k2022-05-06
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.8872.9054+0.64%2.825-2.15%0.0184✗0.651.2M2022-05-06
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0235240.023672+0.63%0.022419-4.70%0.0400✗0.974.3M2022-05-06
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.798.8454+0.63%8.64-1.71%0.0163✗0.491.4M2022-05-06
DIADIAEthereum0.740.744644+0.63%0.71-4.05%0.0408✗0.4670k2022-05-06
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.5183.54+0.63%3.467-1.45%0.0155✗0.362.4M2022-05-06
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.624.6488+0.62%4.54-1.73%0.0135✗0.68575k2022-05-06
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.014150.014237+0.61%0.01413-0.14%0.0058✓0.901.1M2022-05-06
LINKChainlinkEthereum10.9210.9869+0.61%10.79-1.19%0.0004✓1.1918.3M2022-05-06
HIGHHighstreetEthereum3.6433.6646+0.59%3.599-1.21%0.0073✓1.711.4M2022-05-06
AMPAmpEthereum0.017840.017945+0.59%0.01796+0.67%0.0121✓0.763.5M2022-05-06
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.018610.01872+0.59%0.0182-2.20%0.0197✗0.57195k2022-05-06
FILFilecoinFilecoin13.9814.0618+0.58%13.87-0.79%0.0033✓1.157.5M2022-05-06
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06430.064657+0.55%0.06291-2.16%0.0149✗0.8412k2022-05-06
MANADecentralandEthereum1.46831.4764+0.55%1.449-1.32%0.0006✓1.22886k2022-05-06
MOVRMoonriverBase38.470338.6798+0.54%37.037-3.73%0.0220✗1.44182k2022-05-06
XVSVenusEthereum7.577.6109+0.54%7.55-0.26%0.0089✓1.142.9M2022-05-06
ZENHorizenBase30.9831.1441+0.53%36.39+17.46%0.1759✓1.36173k2022-05-06
WOOWOOEthereum0.32820.329938+0.53%0.3397+3.50%0.0388✓0.654,4692022-05-06
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.016760.016847+0.52%0.01629-2.80%0.0211✗0.85238k2022-05-06
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.5710.573897+0.51%0.57-0.18%0.0049✓0.791.4M2022-05-06
TRBTellor TributesEthereum14.2414.312+0.51%14.23-0.07%0.0157✓1.44145k2022-05-06
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.96552.9805+0.50%2.9935+0.94%0.0142✓0.663.2M2022-05-06
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche59.0259.3165+0.50%57-3.42%0.0218✗1.2144.2M2022-05-06
DODODODOEthereum0.2840.28541+0.50%0.288+1.41%0.0283✓1.305.1M2022-05-06
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.8922.9062+0.49%2.757-4.67%0.0419✗0.73915k2022-05-06
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.30120.30267+0.49%0.2952-1.99%0.0062✗1.266.8M2022-05-06
FIDABonfidaSolana1.0171.0219+0.48%0.978-3.83%0.0275✗1.1150k2022-05-06
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.071.0752+0.48%1.048-2.06%0.0061✗1.31358k2022-05-06
BANDBandEthereum2.9392.9531+0.48%2.926-0.44%0.0101✓1.30537k2022-05-06
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.00830.00834+0.48%0.00847+2.05%0.0330✓1.182.3M2022-05-06
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.410.411944+0.47%0.39-4.88%0.0335✗1.43284k2022-05-06
DOTPolkadotPolkadot14.5914.6586+0.47%14.32-1.85%0.0070✗1.1011.7M2022-05-06
AUCTIONBounceEthereum11.0811.132+0.47%10.95-1.17%0.0010✓1.04963k2022-05-06
SPELLSpellEthereum0.003120.003135+0.47%0.00314+0.64%0.0190✓1.164.1M2022-05-06
SUSHISushiEthereum2.282.2906+0.46%2.25-1.32%0.0022✓1.353.6M2022-05-06
QTUMQtumQtum5.48595.5111+0.46%5.4476-0.70%0.0056✓1.1698k2022-05-06
ORCAOrcaSolana1.781.7881+0.46%1.71-3.93%0.0343✗0.70153k2022-05-06
SCSiacoinnative0.008040.008077+0.46%0.0079-1.74%0.0038✓1.23382k2022-05-06
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.12350.124052+0.45%0.1216-1.54%0.0076✗0.83156k2022-05-06
QNTQuantEthereum91.8892.2874+0.44%90.26-1.76%0.0074✗1.003.4M2022-05-06
MINAMina Protocolnative1.791.7979+0.44%1.84+2.79%0.0405✓1.17987k2022-05-06
ARPAARPAEthereum0.05330.053529+0.43%0.0524-1.69%0.0034✓1.20179k2022-05-06
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos17.8317.9059+0.43%17.66-0.95%0.0033✓1.1519.4M2022-05-06
RADRadworksEthereum3.743.7556+0.42%3.58-4.28%0.0350✗0.87564k2022-05-06
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.9080.911767+0.41%0.913+0.55%0.0207✓1.311.1M2022-05-06
ETCEthereum Classicnative28.3228.4364+0.41%27.95-1.31%0.0007✓1.214.9M2022-05-06
STXStacksnative0.890.893616+0.41%0.86-3.37%0.0235✗1.00274k2022-05-06
XVGVergenative0.008030.008063+0.41%0.00805+0.25%0.0155✓1.15943k2022-05-06
UNIUniswapEthereum7.347.3694+0.40%7.59+3.41%0.0462✓1.134.3M2022-05-06
LCXLCXEthereum0.1010.1014+0.40%0.1044+3.37%0.0420✓0.86425k2022-05-06
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum12.7112.7578+0.38%12.47-1.89%0.0043✗1.258.7M2022-05-06
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.039240.039384+0.37%0.03834-2.29%0.0144✗0.84227k2022-05-06
GTCGitcoinEthereum4.574.5864+0.36%4.7+2.84%0.0474✓1.55339k2022-05-06
API3Api3Ethereum3.2583.2697+0.36%3.284+0.80%0.0205✓1.083.0M2022-05-06
LTCLitecoinLitecoin96.8497.1807+0.35%96.69-0.15%0.0104✓1.0417.5M2022-05-06
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.481.4852+0.35%1.49+0.68%0.0235✓1.37951k2022-05-06
SOLSolanaSolana84.5284.8127+0.35%81.66-3.38%0.0196✗1.2385.8M2022-05-06
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum28.9629.0602+0.35%28.51-1.55%0.0017✓1.404.0M2022-05-06
BFCBifrostEthereum0.11520.115597+0.34%0.11235-2.47%0.0174✗0.7417k2022-05-06
UOSUltraEthereum0.710320.712754+0.34%0.66744-6.04%0.0459✗1.331.3M2022-05-06
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.026210.026299+0.34%0.02463-6.03%0.0588✗0.46416k2022-05-06
BTCBitcoinBitcoin36,537.2236,661.58+0.34%35,999.10-1.47%0.0034✓1.00553.2M2022-05-06
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.720.722431+0.34%0.7-2.78%0.0127✗1.27426k2022-05-06
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.017220.017276+0.33%0.0172-0.12%0.0195✓1.6149.4M2022-05-06
AAVEAaveEthereum141.32141.762+0.31%138.23-2.19%0.0053✗1.349.8M2022-05-06
NMRNumeraireEthereum22.3122.3779+0.30%20.33-8.87%0.0848✗0.75412k2022-05-06
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.19410.19468+0.30%0.1955+0.72%0.0171✓0.871.2M2022-05-06
CVCCivicEthereum0.25510.255851+0.29%0.2472-3.10%0.0166✗1.20391k2022-05-06
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum1.2361.2396+0.29%1.241+0.40%0.0185✓1.1751k2022-05-06
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum4.8714.8851+0.29%4.894+0.47%0.0197✓1.21184k2022-05-06
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9991.0019+0.29%0.988-1.10%0.0024✓1.103.6M2022-05-06
XTZTezosTezos2.48952.4965+0.28%2.5078+0.74%0.0212✓1.12855k2022-05-06
DASHDashDash87.4787.712+0.28%87.63+0.18%0.0150✓1.081.2M2022-05-06
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.19950.200025+0.26%0.1977-0.90%0.0086✓1.37114k2022-05-06
KCSKuCoinnative17.2717.3139+0.25%16.943-1.89%0.0101✗0.784.3M2022-05-06
LRCLoopringEthereum0.74140.743272+0.25%0.7248-2.24%0.0051✗1.35311k2022-05-06
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000020290.000020341+0.25%0.00002004-1.23%0.0016✓1.111.4M2022-05-06
MASKMask NetworkEthereum3.823.8295+0.25%3.71-2.88%0.0101✗1.46385k2022-05-06
XECeCashnative0.000072070.000072245+0.24%0.00007154-0.74%0.0055✓1.037.7M2022-05-06
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.03710.037188+0.24%0.037-0.27%0.0222✓1.8423.0M2022-05-06
ETHEthereumEthereum2,747.432,753.64+0.23%2,691.72-2.03%0.0079✗1.00438.2M2022-05-06
BORABORAKlay Token0.605130.606471+0.22%0.58446-3.42%0.0192✗1.1960k2022-05-06
PHAPHALAEthereum0.220.220467+0.21%0.218-0.91%0.0005✓0.7223k2022-05-06
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV73.7973.9405+0.20%72.44-1.83%0.0078✗0.852.1M2022-05-06
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.931.9338+0.20%1.93+0.00%0.0134✓1.04128k2022-05-06
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.0351.037+0.19%1.041+0.58%0.0221✓1.232.2M2022-05-06
SUNSun TokenTron0.0119260.011948+0.19%0.012984+8.87%0.0966✓0.9142k2022-05-06
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.11813.1238+0.18%3.1873+2.22%0.0294✓0.635.4M2022-05-06
YFIyearn.financeEthereum16,867.4516,897.68+0.18%16,718.32-0.88%0.0043✓1.012.6M2022-05-06
COTICOTIEthereum0.19290.193209+0.16%0.1913-0.83%0.0108✓1.402.1M2022-05-06
XLMStellarStellar0.1710620.171328+0.16%0.171484+0.25%0.0159✓1.0113.8M2022-05-06
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.4070.4076+0.15%0.3985-2.09%0.0085✗0.95305k2022-05-06
ADACardanoCardano0.78840.789547+0.15%0.7831-0.67%0.0091✓1.1641.1M2022-05-06
SKLSKALEEthereum0.1430.143199+0.14%0.1416-0.98%0.0083✓1.325.0M2022-05-06
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.587720.588442+0.12%0.57987-1.34%0.0018✓1.11130k2022-05-06
BTTCBTTC0.000001680.000001682+0.12%0.00000167-0.60%0.0033✓0.717.7M2022-05-06
KSMKusamaHydration127.39127.5359+0.11%126.34-0.82%0.0072✓1.121.0M2022-05-06
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.63440.635113+0.11%0.6979+10.01%0.1093✓1.0110.9M2022-05-06
FTTFTXEthereum36.2136.2504+0.11%35.89-0.88%0.0036✓0.9211.7M2022-05-06
GALAGALAEthereum0.13990.140035+0.10%0.1438+2.79%0.0462✓1.33180k2022-05-06
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.16750.167634+0.08%0.1615-3.58%0.0224✗1.003.9M2022-05-06
CHZChilizEthereum0.17580.175928+0.07%0.1731-1.54%0.0017✓1.201.4M2022-05-06
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.12810.128185+0.07%0.127716-0.30%0.0104✓0.957.1M2022-05-06
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash277.17277.3437+0.06%274.77-0.87%0.0057✓1.015.2M2022-05-06
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.22430.224439+0.06%0.2157-3.83%0.0137✗1.751.2M2022-05-06
AVTAventusEthereum2.112.1109+0.04%1.93-8.53%0.0815✗0.55272k2022-05-06
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum3.06753.0685+0.03%3.0275-1.30%0.0009✓0.9710.2M2022-05-06
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.13425.1354+0.02%5.3767+4.72%0.0507✓0.32262k2022-05-06
UMAUMAEthereum5.1485.1488+0.02%5.467+6.20%0.0816✓1.461.6M2022-05-06
COMPCompoundEthereum104.67104.678+0.01%103.5-1.12%0.0069✓1.2333k2022-05-06
DKAdKargoEthereum0.077340.077334-0.01%0.07601-1.72%0.0043✓0.8732k2022-05-06
GTGateEthereum6.33616.3349-0.02%6.3496+0.21%0.0090✗0.454.5M2022-05-06
GITCOINGITCOIN4.5544.5527-0.03%4.697+3.14%0.0537✗1.5119k2022-05-06
ZECZcashZcash125.68125.6422-0.03%123.65-1.62%0.0015✗1.185.5M2022-05-06
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.3365.334-0.04%5.217-2.23%0.0126✓0.651.4M2022-05-06
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.76974.7677-0.04%4.6987-1.49%0.0021✗1.128.6M2022-05-06
HIVEHivenative0.76730.766956-0.04%0.7703+0.39%0.0201✗1.061.5M2022-05-06
STORJStorjEthereum0.855340.85488-0.05%0.85045-0.57%0.0133✗1.2588k2022-05-06
XYMSymbolnative0.08930.089248-0.06%0.0867-2.91%0.0188✓0.69675k2022-05-06
LPTLivepeerEthereum21.521.4863-0.06%21.79+1.35%0.0329✗1.27532k2022-05-06
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum3.74233.7372-0.14%3.6721-1.88%0.0012✓1.10177k2022-05-06
XMRMoneroMonero206.75206.4517-0.14%218.44+5.65%0.0702✗0.933.3M2022-05-06
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.96530.963606-0.18%0.9191-4.79%0.0279✓1.316.6M2022-05-06
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.2034.1953-0.18%4.094-2.59%0.0091✓1.0373k2022-05-06
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.03780.037723-0.20%0.03694-2.28%0.0082✓0.8634k2022-05-06
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.3652.36-0.21%2.1886-7.46%0.0657✓0.6515k2022-05-06
LSKLiskEthereum1.69721.6922-0.29%1.6868-0.62%0.0104✗0.9284k2022-05-06
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum36,624.3036,511.75-0.31%36,069.70-1.51%0.0021✓0.9625k2022-05-06
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.0910.090665-0.37%0.0896-1.54%0.0008✓0.852.6M2022-05-06
SGBSongbirdnative0.05560.055394-0.37%0.0555-0.18%0.0076✗0.39138k2022-05-06
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.2871.2822-0.37%1.356+5.36%0.0712✗1.03462k2022-05-06
CBKCobakEthereum1.7881.781-0.39%1.737-2.85%0.0132✓0.8024k2022-05-06
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.4340.43217-0.42%0.4072-6.18%0.0532✓0.42572k2022-05-06
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.060670.060412-0.43%0.05852-3.54%0.0153✓1.1177k2022-05-06
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.4210.419067-0.46%0.414-1.66%0.0044✓1.124.3M2022-05-06
TRXTRONTron0.0747070.07435-0.48%0.086482+15.76%0.1624✗0.76297k2022-05-06
LUNATerraTerra 282.4282.0168-0.49%77.36-6.14%0.0391✓1.317.3M2022-05-06
IMXImmutableEthereum1.5741.566-0.51%1.507-4.26%0.0177✓1.408.3M2022-05-06
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.5354.5119-0.51%4.596+1.35%0.0410✗1.527.5M2022-05-06
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum18.9518.852-0.52%18.4-2.90%0.0040✓1.372.2M2022-05-06
XEMNEMnative0.08360.083131-0.56%0.0831-0.60%0.0142✗0.9869k2022-05-06
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7167120.712458-0.59%0.701997-2.05%0.0018✓1.125.5M2022-05-06
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.4452.43-0.61%2.327-4.83%0.0202✓1.56713k2022-05-06
APEApeCoinEthereum13.68813.5953-0.68%13.259-3.13%0.0042✓1.9775.7M2022-05-06
GLMGolemEthereum0.37430.37168-0.70%0.3521-5.93%0.0374✓1.12188k2022-05-06
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.911.8959-0.74%1.838-3.77%0.0143✓1.1317.4M2022-05-06
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1420.140952-0.74%0.141-0.70%0.0084✗0.54132k2022-05-06
BRISEBitgertEthereum9.15e-79.08e-7-0.76%8.90e-7-2.64%0.0193✓-0.01713k2022-05-06
STEEMSteemnative0.40070.395858-1.21%0.3759-6.19%0.0369✓1.007.0M2022-05-06
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.4542.4238-1.23%2.295-6.48%0.0348✓1.335.1M2022-05-06
PROPropyEthereum1.671.6464-1.41%1.75+4.79%0.0701✗0.61470k2022-05-06
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.