8=======>

2022-05-04 · +1d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 164 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0689
164 of 164 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.39%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
50.0%
in alpha space · 54.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-7.90%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (164 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.345.3765+0.68%4.97-6.93%0.0226✗0.681.1M2022-05-05
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.474.4952+0.56%4.19-6.26%0.0109✗0.72719k2022-05-05
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.44150.443797+0.52%0.3943-10.69%0.0293✗1.08491k2022-05-05
AVTAventusEthereum1.91.9081+0.42%2.11+11.05%0.1446✓0.53272k2022-05-05
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.7833.7988+0.42%3.518-7.01%0.0500✗0.332.4M2022-05-05
DYDXdYdXCosmos3.83.8157+0.41%3.292-13.37%0.0355✗1.3679k2022-05-05
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.00780.007832+0.41%0.00721-7.56%0.0306✗0.6328k2022-05-05
CTSICartesiEthereum0.29790.299047+0.39%0.2692-9.63%0.0022✓1.30763k2022-05-05
NANOnanopayBase1.80611.8128+0.37%1.6305-9.72%0.0179✗1.07149k2022-05-05
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.0923.1034+0.37%2.887-6.63%0.0228✗0.601.2M2022-05-05
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.9943.0049+0.36%2.892-3.41%0.0204✓0.71915k2022-05-05
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0244650.024548+0.34%0.023524-3.85%0.0418✓1.034.2M2022-05-05
CELLCellframeEthereum0.75220.754631+0.32%0.6722-10.64%0.0133✗1.24110k2022-05-05
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.15440.154869+0.30%0.1402-9.20%0.0740✓2.11269k2022-05-05
XVSVenusEthereum8.528.5456+0.30%7.57-11.15%0.0340✗1.063.0M2022-05-05
ETCEthereum Classicnative30.6130.7006+0.30%28.32-7.48%0.0143✓1.164.9M2022-05-05
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.07945.0933+0.27%4.7697-6.10%0.0294✓1.158.6M2022-05-05
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7170.718947+0.27%0.639-10.88%0.0016✓1.411.6M2022-05-05
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.1710.1966+0.26%8.65-14.95%0.1336✗0.382.5M2022-05-05
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.0061.0086+0.26%0.908-9.74%0.0090✗1.171.1M2022-05-05
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.25570.256292+0.23%0.229-10.44%0.0061✓1.446.9M2022-05-05
LINKChainlinkEthereum12.212.2282+0.23%10.92-10.49%0.0205✗1.1318.3M2022-05-05
TRBTellor TributesEthereum16.4516.4869+0.22%14.24-13.43%0.0312✗1.40145k2022-05-05
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.21183.2189+0.22%2.9655-7.67%0.0309✗0.623.5M2022-05-05
HIGHHighstreetEthereum4.1244.1331+0.22%3.643-11.66%0.0168✓1.741.4M2022-05-05
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.689.7004+0.21%8.79-9.19%0.0628✗0.431.6M2022-05-05
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0180.018037+0.21%0.01676-6.89%0.0097✓1.01248k2022-05-05
STXStacksnative0.990.991985+0.20%0.89-10.10%0.0292✗0.96274k2022-05-05
QTUMQtumQtum5.93685.9485+0.20%5.4859-7.59%0.0153✓1.1798k2022-05-05
GLMGolemEthereum0.3720.372727+0.20%0.3743+0.62%0.1137✓1.33188k2022-05-05
UNIUniswapEthereum7.947.9554+0.19%7.34-7.56%0.0094✓1.094.4M2022-05-05
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.55380.554829+0.19%0.4982-10.04%0.0231✗1.038.0M2022-05-05
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.914.9191+0.18%4.62-5.91%0.0080✗0.67648k2022-05-05
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.12950.129728+0.18%0.1235-4.63%0.0253✓0.91156k2022-05-05
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.015240.015266+0.17%0.01415-7.15%0.0014✓0.911.1M2022-05-05
MANADecentralandEthereum1.65851.6612+0.17%1.4683-11.47%0.0303✗1.13886k2022-05-05
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.021610.021642+0.15%0.01861-13.88%0.1116✗0.48193k2022-05-05
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.042530.042592+0.15%0.03924-7.74%0.0159✗0.80236k2022-05-05
XVGVergenative0.008960.008973+0.15%0.00803-10.38%0.0206✗1.10943k2022-05-05
DEXEDeXeEthereum5.565.568+0.14%4.88-12.23%0.0859✗0.56869k2022-05-05
AMPAmpEthereum0.019370.019397+0.14%0.01784-7.90%0.0231✗0.743.6M2022-05-05
FILFilecoinFilecoin15.7115.7321+0.14%13.98-11.01%0.0300✗1.077.5M2022-05-05
DIADIAEthereum0.810.811117+0.14%0.74-8.64%0.0557✗0.4471k2022-05-05
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.820.821124+0.14%0.72-12.20%0.0370✗1.15430k2022-05-05
SUSHISushiEthereum2.622.6235+0.13%2.28-12.98%0.0351✗1.283.6M2022-05-05
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.460.460576+0.13%0.41-10.87%0.0057✓1.48293k2022-05-05
UMAUMAEthereum5.675.677+0.12%5.148-9.21%0.0169✓1.391.6M2022-05-05
BANDBandEthereum3.3423.3458+0.11%2.939-12.06%0.0251✗1.27537k2022-05-05
SCSiacoinnative0.008980.00899+0.11%0.00804-10.47%0.0145✗1.18382k2022-05-05
MOVRMoonriverBase43.573443.6205+0.11%38.4703-11.71%0.0048✗1.47182k2022-05-05
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos19.9119.9315+0.11%17.83-10.45%0.0236✗1.0719.4M2022-05-05
ZENHorizenBase33.733.7352+0.10%30.98-8.07%0.0256✓1.35173k2022-05-05
RADRadworksEthereum4.014.0141+0.10%3.74-6.73%0.0016✗0.84565k2022-05-05
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6150.615576+0.09%0.571-7.15%0.0116✗0.771.4M2022-05-05
FIDABonfidaSolana1.1141.115+0.09%1.017-8.71%0.0097✗1.0050k2022-05-05
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum14.2814.2924+0.09%12.71-10.99%0.0206✗1.188.7M2022-05-05
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.028520.028543+0.08%0.02621-8.10%0.0488✗0.44416k2022-05-05
AAVEAaveEthereum159.43159.5536+0.08%141.32-11.36%0.0166✗1.279.8M2022-05-05
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.070790.070841+0.07%0.0643-9.17%0.0313✗0.8014k2022-05-05
ORCAOrcaSolana1.871.8712+0.06%1.78-4.81%0.0084✓0.71159k2022-05-05
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum1.4741.4748+0.06%1.236-16.15%0.0864✗1.1055k2022-05-05
LCXLCXEthereum0.11090.110955+0.05%0.101-8.93%0.0215✗0.88425k2022-05-05
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.45260.452812+0.05%0.407-10.08%0.0334✗0.89299k2022-05-05
BFCBifrostEthereum0.126040.12609+0.04%0.1152-8.60%0.0327✗0.7017k2022-05-05
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum5.3955.3969+0.04%4.871-9.71%0.0032✗1.21184k2022-05-05
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.141.1404+0.04%1.035-9.21%0.0016✗1.162.2M2022-05-05
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche67.2867.3036+0.04%59.02-12.28%0.0335✗1.1944.2M2022-05-05
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum33.3333.3413+0.03%28.96-13.11%0.0348✗1.294.0M2022-05-05
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.2821.2823+0.02%1.287+0.39%0.0900✓1.05462k2022-05-05
SPELLSpellEthereum0.003530.003531+0.02%0.00312-11.61%0.0326✗1.114.2M2022-05-05
SOLSolanaSolana92.7692.7769+0.02%84.52-8.88%0.0060✓1.2185.8M2022-05-05
QNTQuantEthereum101.58101.5914+0.01%91.88-9.55%0.0290✗0.873.4M2022-05-05
DOTPolkadotPolkadot16.3216.3213+0.01%14.59-10.60%0.0257✗1.0511.7M2022-05-05
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.2220.22201+0.00%0.1995-10.14%0.0069✓1.38114k2022-05-05
STORJStorjEthereum0.95750.957525+0.00%0.85534-10.67%0.0154✗1.1894k2022-05-05
AUCTIONBounceEthereum12.0312.0292-0.01%11.08-7.90%0.0015✗1.02963k2022-05-05
ZECZcashZcash134.35134.3313-0.01%125.68-6.45%0.0260✗1.135.5M2022-05-05
DASHDashDash95.8595.8353-0.02%87.47-8.74%0.0061✓1.041.2M2022-05-05
GTGateEthereum6.5236.5218-0.02%6.3361-2.87%0.0081✗0.454.2M2022-05-05
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.34380.343729-0.02%0.3012-12.39%0.0344✓1.196.8M2022-05-05
HIVEHivenative0.82910.828911-0.02%0.7673-7.45%0.0052✗1.001.5M2022-05-05
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum39,665.5039,656.05-0.02%36,624.30-7.67%0.0021✓0.9425k2022-05-05
ETHEthereumEthereum2,939.982,939.28-0.02%2,747.43-6.55%0.0155✗1.01438.2M2022-05-05
BTCBitcoinBitcoin39,669.5639,660.10-0.02%36,537.22-7.90%0.0002✗1.00553.2M2022-05-05
MINAMina Protocolnative2.012.0094-0.03%1.79-10.95%0.0237✓1.121.1M2022-05-05
XECeCashnative0.000078520.000078497-0.03%0.00007207-8.21%0.0034✓1.007.8M2022-05-05
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.066750.066721-0.04%0.06067-9.11%0.0071✓1.0775k2022-05-05
LSKLiskEthereum1.87651.8756-0.05%1.6972-9.55%0.0262✓0.9084k2022-05-05
ARPAARPAEthereum0.05980.059771-0.05%0.0533-10.87%0.0213✓1.13179k2022-05-05
KCSKuCoinnative18.40818.3976-0.06%17.27-6.18%0.0005✓0.774.3M2022-05-05
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.175.1665-0.07%4.57-11.61%0.0005✓1.49339k2022-05-05
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.1821.1812-0.07%1.07-9.48%0.0044✗1.25357k2022-05-05
BORABORAKlay Token0.675480.674991-0.07%0.60513-10.41%0.0125✓1.1873k2022-05-05
API3Api3Ethereum3.6523.6493-0.07%3.258-10.79%0.0317✓0.993.1M2022-05-05
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.2130.212838-0.08%0.1941-8.87%0.0245✓0.821.2M2022-05-05
LTCLitecoinLitecoin106.25106.1659-0.08%96.84-8.86%0.0087✓1.0117.3M2022-05-05
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000021780.00002176-0.09%0.00002029-6.84%0.0181✗1.071.4M2022-05-05
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.020560.02054-0.10%0.01722-16.25%0.0544✓1.4848.2M2022-05-05
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.122.1178-0.10%1.93-8.96%0.0103✓1.00124k2022-05-05
XTZTezosTezos2.70282.6999-0.11%2.4895-7.89%0.0061✗1.06855k2022-05-05
SGBSongbirdnative0.05490.05484-0.11%0.0556+1.28%0.0494✗0.43137k2022-05-05
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.63895.6324-0.12%5.1342-8.95%0.0546✓0.46251k2022-05-05
NMRNumeraireEthereum24.0824.0516-0.12%22.31-7.35%0.0018✓0.89417k2022-05-05
BTTCBTTC0.000001780.000001778-0.12%0.00000168-5.62%0.0015✗0.717.7M2022-05-05
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash299.95299.5921-0.12%277.17-7.59%0.0035✗0.995.3M2022-05-05
DODODODOEthereum0.3230.322601-0.12%0.284-12.07%0.0303✓1.185.1M2022-05-05
KSMKusamaHydration140.48140.3019-0.13%127.39-9.32%0.0062✓1.10954k2022-05-05
XLMStellarStellar0.1847210.184455-0.14%0.171062-7.39%0.0051✗0.9813.8M2022-05-05
YFIyearn.financeEthereum18,332.5918,305.52-0.15%16,867.45-7.99%0.0034✓0.952.7M2022-05-05
WOOWOOEthereum0.38460.384023-0.15%0.3282-14.66%0.1137✓0.534,1372022-05-05
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.7855.7758-0.16%5.336-7.76%0.0295✓0.601.5M2022-05-05
UOSUltraEthereum0.808090.806783-0.16%0.71032-12.10%0.0243✓1.251.4M2022-05-05
FTTFTXEthereum39.5639.4928-0.17%36.21-8.47%0.0141✓0.8811.7M2022-05-05
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.009340.009323-0.18%0.0083-11.13%0.0209✓1.162.3M2022-05-05
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.04481.0429-0.18%0.9653-7.61%0.0259✗1.256.6M2022-05-05
LRCLoopringEthereum0.81620.814674-0.19%0.7414-9.16%0.0115✗1.29311k2022-05-05
LPTLivepeerEthereum23.9523.905-0.19%21.5-10.23%0.0000✓1.29532k2022-05-05
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2370.236538-0.19%0.22-7.17%0.0154✓0.6925k2022-05-05
SUNSun TokenTron0.0136310.013604-0.20%0.011926-12.51%0.0586✓0.8943k2022-05-05
DKAdKargoEthereum0.084850.084681-0.20%0.07734-8.85%0.0234✓0.8232k2022-05-05
GITCOINGITCOIN5.1475.1364-0.21%4.554-11.52%0.0007✓1.4719k2022-05-05
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV78.6378.4581-0.22%73.79-6.16%0.0071✗0.832.1M2022-05-05
CHZChilizEthereum0.1960.19557-0.22%0.1758-10.31%0.0112✓1.161.5M2022-05-05
XEMNEMnative0.09170.091491-0.23%0.0836-8.83%0.0135✓0.9355k2022-05-05
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1151.1124-0.24%0.999-10.40%0.0177✓1.093.6M2022-05-05
XYMSymbolnative0.09590.095673-0.24%0.0893-6.88%0.0134✓0.67706k2022-05-05
CBKCobakEthereum1.9351.9303-0.24%1.788-7.60%0.0144✓0.7624k2022-05-05
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.47792.4713-0.26%2.365-4.56%0.0108✗0.6715k2022-05-05
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.641.6353-0.29%1.48-9.76%0.0101✗1.34951k2022-05-05
LUNATerraTerra 286.0985.8443-0.29%82.42-4.26%0.0625✗1.267.3M2022-05-05
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.651350.649484-0.29%0.58772-9.77%0.0121✓1.07126k2022-05-05
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.04390.04377-0.30%0.0371-15.49%0.0293✓1.6523.0M2022-05-05
ADACardanoCardano0.89830.895632-0.30%0.7884-12.23%0.0382✓1.0941.1M2022-05-05
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.394.3769-0.30%3.82-12.98%0.0186✓1.43385k2022-05-05
CVCCivicEthereum0.28290.282028-0.31%0.2551-9.83%0.0091✓1.11391k2022-05-05
COMPCompoundEthereum114.56114.2006-0.31%104.67-8.63%0.0087✗1.1733k2022-05-05
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.24780.246999-0.32%0.2243-9.48%0.0437✗1.701.3M2022-05-05
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.36643.3552-0.33%3.1181-7.38%0.0267✓0.575.6M2022-05-05
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.684.6634-0.35%4.203-10.19%0.0245✓0.9767k2022-05-05
SKLSKALEEthereum0.15920.158601-0.38%0.143-10.18%0.0009✓1.275.3M2022-05-05
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.041090.040934-0.38%0.0378-8.01%0.0105✓0.8436k2022-05-05
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.71530.712148-0.44%0.6344-11.31%0.0380✓0.9410.9M2022-05-05
COTICOTIEthereum0.2220.220989-0.46%0.1929-13.11%0.0280✓1.312.1M2022-05-05
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.23744.2179-0.46%3.7423-11.68%0.0363✓1.01173k2022-05-05
GALAGALAEthereum0.16130.160549-0.47%0.1399-13.27%0.0309✓1.30180k2022-05-05
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1359080.135266-0.47%0.1281-5.75%0.0222✗0.937.1M2022-05-05
XMRMoneroMonero225.24224.1048-0.50%206.75-8.21%0.0040✓0.933.5M2022-05-05
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum3.73243.713-0.52%3.0675-17.81%0.1264✓0.7810.0M2022-05-05
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.48110.478425-0.56%0.434-9.79%0.0655✓0.39580k2022-05-05
BRISEBitgertEthereum9.57e-79.52e-7-0.57%9.15e-7-4.46%0.0448✓-0.06646k2022-05-05
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.0735.0441-0.57%4.535-10.61%0.0124✗1.447.7M2022-05-05
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.4780.47521-0.58%0.421-11.92%0.0362✓1.034.3M2022-05-05
STEEMSteemnative0.39660.394195-0.61%0.4007+1.03%0.0986✗1.003.9M2022-05-05
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum22.1521.9916-0.72%18.95-14.45%0.0422✓1.302.2M2022-05-05
IMXImmutableEthereum1.8171.7997-0.95%1.574-13.37%0.0429✓1.118.2M2022-05-05
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.0762.0556-0.98%1.91-8.00%0.0141✗1.0616.1M2022-05-05
APEApeCoinEthereum15.55715.3985-1.02%13.688-12.01%0.0490✗2.0363.9M2022-05-05
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8002760.792022-1.03%0.716712-10.44%0.0154✓1.035.3M2022-05-05
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.09730.096269-1.06%0.091-6.47%0.0122✗0.832.8M2022-05-05
TRXTRONTron0.0863970.085379-1.18%0.074707-13.53%0.0776✓0.68296k2022-05-05
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1680.16601-1.18%0.142-15.48%0.1213✓0.42132k2022-05-05
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.7642.7305-1.21%2.445-11.54%0.0211✗1.60719k2022-05-05
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.5962.5642-1.22%2.454-5.47%0.0656✗1.335.1M2022-05-05
PROPropyEthereum1.721.6973-1.32%1.67-2.91%0.0336✗0.61470k2022-05-05
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.