8=======>

2022-05-04 · +1d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 163 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0489
163 of 163 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.43%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
65.0%
in alpha space · 93.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-7.90%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (163 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRXTRONTron0.0863970.084981-1.64%0.074707-13.53%0.0730✓0.68296k2022-05-05
PROPropyEthereum1.721.6929-1.58%1.67-2.91%0.0362✗0.61470k2022-05-05
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum22.1521.8502-1.35%18.95-14.45%0.0358✓1.302.2M2022-05-05
STEEMSteemnative0.39660.392109-1.13%0.4007+1.03%0.1039✗1.003.9M2022-05-05
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.5962.5672-1.11%2.454-5.47%0.0644✗1.335.1M2022-05-05
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8002760.792216-1.01%0.716712-10.44%0.0156✓1.035.3M2022-05-05
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.48110.476319-0.99%0.434-9.79%0.0611✓0.39580k2022-05-05
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.651350.644997-0.98%0.58772-9.77%0.0051✓1.07126k2022-05-05
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1680.166418-0.94%0.142-15.48%0.1238✓0.42132k2022-05-05
BRISEBitgertEthereum9.57e-79.48e-7-0.92%9.15e-7-4.46%0.0413✓-0.06646k2022-05-05
APEApeCoinEthereum15.55715.4184-0.89%13.688-12.01%0.0477✗2.0363.9M2022-05-05
COTICOTIEthereum0.2220.220034-0.89%0.1929-13.11%0.0236✓1.312.1M2022-05-05
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.394.3535-0.83%3.82-12.98%0.0133✓1.43385k2022-05-05
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.0762.0592-0.81%1.91-8.00%0.0123✗1.0616.1M2022-05-05
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.04390.043567-0.76%0.0371-15.49%0.0247✓1.6523.0M2022-05-05
MINAMina Protocolnative2.011.995-0.75%1.79-10.95%0.0165✓1.121.1M2022-05-05
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.020560.020407-0.74%0.01722-16.25%0.0479✓1.4848.2M2022-05-05
ZENHorizenBase33.733.4511-0.74%30.98-8.07%0.0341✗1.35173k2022-05-05
GALAGALAEthereum0.16130.160144-0.72%0.1399-13.27%0.0283✓1.30180k2022-05-05
BORABORAKlay Token0.675480.670867-0.68%0.60513-10.41%0.0064✓1.1873k2022-05-05
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.34380.341482-0.67%0.3012-12.39%0.0278✓1.196.8M2022-05-05
SPELLSpellEthereum0.003530.003506-0.67%0.00312-11.61%0.0256✓1.114.2M2022-05-05
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.7642.7455-0.67%2.445-11.54%0.0157✗1.60719k2022-05-05
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.0735.0401-0.65%4.535-10.61%0.0132✗1.447.7M2022-05-05
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.71530.710677-0.65%0.6344-11.31%0.0359✓0.9410.9M2022-05-05
KSMKusamaHydration140.48139.5907-0.63%127.39-9.32%0.0011✓1.10954k2022-05-05
YFIyearn.financeEthereum18,332.5918,218.65-0.62%16,867.45-7.99%0.0013✓0.952.7M2022-05-05
XVGVergenative0.008960.008904-0.62%0.00803-10.38%0.0129✓1.10943k2022-05-05
AAVEAaveEthereum159.43158.4498-0.61%141.32-11.36%0.0096✓1.279.8M2022-05-05
CVCCivicEthereum0.28290.281279-0.57%0.2551-9.83%0.0064✓1.11391k2022-05-05
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.2220.22076-0.56%0.1995-10.14%0.0126✗1.38114k2022-05-05
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6150.611626-0.55%0.571-7.15%0.0052✓0.771.4M2022-05-05
ARPAARPAEthereum0.05980.059473-0.55%0.0533-10.87%0.0163✓1.13179k2022-05-05
DOTPolkadotPolkadot16.3216.2307-0.55%14.59-10.60%0.0201✓1.0511.7M2022-05-05
TRBTellor TributesEthereum16.4516.3605-0.54%14.24-13.43%0.0235✓1.40145k2022-05-05
BANDBandEthereum3.3423.3238-0.54%2.939-12.06%0.0185✓1.27537k2022-05-05
XMRMoneroMonero225.24224.0618-0.52%206.75-8.21%0.0038✓0.933.5M2022-05-05
LRCLoopringEthereum0.81620.811972-0.52%0.7414-9.16%0.0148✗1.29311k2022-05-05
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.7855.7552-0.51%5.336-7.76%0.0259✓0.601.5M2022-05-05
ADACardanoCardano0.89830.89368-0.51%0.7884-12.23%0.0360✓1.0941.1M2022-05-05
LUNATerraTerra 286.0985.6503-0.51%82.42-4.26%0.0648✗1.267.3M2022-05-05
COMPCompoundEthereum114.56113.9838-0.50%104.67-8.63%0.0106✗1.1733k2022-05-05
CBKCobakEthereum1.9351.9253-0.50%1.788-7.60%0.0118✓0.7624k2022-05-05
RADRadworksEthereum4.013.99-0.50%3.74-6.73%0.0044✓0.84565k2022-05-05
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash299.95298.4599-0.50%277.17-7.59%0.0073✗0.995.3M2022-05-05
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.009340.009294-0.50%0.0083-11.13%0.0177✓1.162.3M2022-05-05
DYDXdYdXCosmos3.83.7813-0.49%3.292-13.37%0.0264✓1.3679k2022-05-05
ORCAOrcaSolana1.871.8608-0.49%1.78-4.81%0.0140✗0.71159k2022-05-05
LPTLivepeerEthereum23.9523.8327-0.49%21.5-10.23%0.0031✓1.29532k2022-05-05
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche67.2866.9511-0.49%59.02-12.28%0.0283✓1.1944.2M2022-05-05
HIGHHighstreetEthereum4.1244.1041-0.48%3.643-11.66%0.0239✗1.741.4M2022-05-05
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.09730.096833-0.48%0.091-6.47%0.0063✗0.832.8M2022-05-05
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.641.6321-0.48%1.48-9.76%0.0120✗1.34951k2022-05-05
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.04481.0399-0.47%0.9653-7.61%0.0288✗1.256.6M2022-05-05
XECeCashnative0.000078520.000078152-0.47%0.00007207-8.21%0.0010✓1.007.8M2022-05-05
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7170.713643-0.47%0.639-10.88%0.0058✗1.411.6M2022-05-05
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.4780.475797-0.46%0.421-11.92%0.0374✓1.034.3M2022-05-05
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum14.2814.2145-0.46%12.71-10.99%0.0151✓1.188.7M2022-05-05
SKLSKALEEthereum0.15920.158476-0.46%0.143-10.18%0.0017✓1.275.3M2022-05-05
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.460.457913-0.45%0.41-10.87%0.0115✗1.48293k2022-05-05
CHZChilizEthereum0.1960.195124-0.45%0.1758-10.31%0.0089✓1.161.5M2022-05-05
IMXImmutableEthereum1.8171.8089-0.45%1.574-13.37%0.0480✓1.118.2M2022-05-05
DIADIAEthereum0.810.806394-0.45%0.74-8.64%0.0499✓0.4471k2022-05-05
SUNSun TokenTron0.0136310.013571-0.44%0.011926-12.51%0.0562✓0.8943k2022-05-05
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.23744.2188-0.44%3.7423-11.68%0.0365✓1.01173k2022-05-05
CELLCellframeEthereum0.75220.748918-0.44%0.6722-10.64%0.0057✓1.24110k2022-05-05
LCXLCXEthereum0.11090.110417-0.44%0.101-8.93%0.0167✓0.88425k2022-05-05
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV78.6378.2891-0.43%73.79-6.16%0.0093✗0.832.1M2022-05-05
SOLSolanaSolana92.7692.3817-0.41%84.52-8.88%0.0103✗1.2185.8M2022-05-05
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.12950.128973-0.41%0.1235-4.63%0.0311✗0.91156k2022-05-05
CTSICartesiEthereum0.29790.296708-0.40%0.2692-9.63%0.0100✗1.30763k2022-05-05
XLMStellarStellar0.1847210.183991-0.40%0.171062-7.39%0.0076✗0.9813.8M2022-05-05
SUSHISushiEthereum2.622.6099-0.39%2.28-12.98%0.0298✓1.283.6M2022-05-05
STORJStorjEthereum0.95750.953871-0.38%0.85534-10.67%0.0116✓1.1894k2022-05-05
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1359080.135396-0.38%0.1281-5.75%0.0212✗0.937.1M2022-05-05
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.44150.439838-0.38%0.3943-10.69%0.0203✓1.08491k2022-05-05
GLMGolemEthereum0.3720.370605-0.38%0.3743+0.62%0.1194✗1.33188k2022-05-05
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum5.3955.3751-0.37%4.871-9.71%0.0008✓1.21184k2022-05-05
SCSiacoinnative0.008980.008947-0.37%0.00804-10.47%0.0097✓1.18382k2022-05-05
XVSVenusEthereum8.528.489-0.36%7.57-11.15%0.0274✓1.063.0M2022-05-05
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.070790.070537-0.36%0.0643-9.17%0.0270✓0.8014k2022-05-05
KCSKuCoinnative18.40818.343-0.35%17.27-6.18%0.0034✓0.774.3M2022-05-05
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.028520.02842-0.35%0.02621-8.10%0.0444✓0.44416k2022-05-05
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum33.3333.2137-0.35%28.96-13.11%0.0309✓1.294.0M2022-05-05
QTUMQtumQtum5.93685.9162-0.35%5.4859-7.59%0.0207✗1.1798k2022-05-05
DASHDashDash95.8595.5188-0.35%87.47-8.74%0.0028✓1.041.2M2022-05-05
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.25570.254833-0.34%0.229-10.44%0.0118✗1.446.9M2022-05-05
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.066750.066524-0.34%0.06067-9.11%0.0041✓1.0775k2022-05-05
UOSUltraEthereum0.808090.805357-0.34%0.71032-12.10%0.0226✓1.251.4M2022-05-05
LTCLitecoinLitecoin106.25105.8929-0.34%96.84-8.86%0.0061✓1.0117.3M2022-05-05
API3Api3Ethereum3.6523.6399-0.33%3.258-10.79%0.0291✓0.993.1M2022-05-05
QNTQuantEthereum101.58101.2497-0.33%91.88-9.55%0.0257✓0.873.4M2022-05-05
UNIUniswapEthereum7.947.9142-0.32%7.34-7.56%0.0146✗1.094.4M2022-05-05
ETCEthereum Classicnative30.6130.5113-0.32%28.32-7.48%0.0205✗1.164.9M2022-05-05
LSKLiskEthereum1.87651.8705-0.32%1.6972-9.55%0.0235✓0.9084k2022-05-05
MANADecentralandEthereum1.65851.6532-0.32%1.4683-11.47%0.0255✓1.13886k2022-05-05
UMAUMAEthereum5.675.6522-0.31%5.148-9.21%0.0213✗1.391.6M2022-05-05
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.141.1365-0.31%1.035-9.21%0.0019✓1.162.2M2022-05-05
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum3.73243.7212-0.30%3.0675-17.81%0.1286✓0.7810.0M2022-05-05
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.175.1545-0.30%4.57-11.61%0.0018✓1.49339k2022-05-05
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.684.6662-0.30%4.203-10.19%0.0251✓0.9767k2022-05-05
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.015240.015195-0.29%0.01415-7.15%0.0032✗0.911.1M2022-05-05
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.820.817595-0.29%0.72-12.20%0.0327✓1.15430k2022-05-05
DKAdKargoEthereum0.084850.084604-0.29%0.07734-8.85%0.0225✓0.8232k2022-05-05
GITCOINGITCOIN5.1475.1325-0.28%4.554-11.52%0.0014✓1.4719k2022-05-05
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos19.9119.854-0.28%17.83-10.45%0.0197✓1.0719.4M2022-05-05
WOOWOOEthereum0.38460.383519-0.28%0.3282-14.66%0.1124✓0.534,1372022-05-05
NMRNumeraireEthereum24.0824.0129-0.28%22.31-7.35%0.0001✓0.89417k2022-05-05
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.2130.212407-0.28%0.1941-8.87%0.0225✓0.821.2M2022-05-05
ETHEthereumEthereum2,939.982,931.85-0.28%2,747.43-6.55%0.0180✗1.01438.2M2022-05-05
BTTCBTTC0.000001780.000001775-0.27%0.00000168-5.62%0.0030✗0.717.7M2022-05-05
HIVEHivenative0.82910.826951-0.26%0.7673-7.45%0.0075✗1.001.5M2022-05-05
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.042530.04242-0.26%0.03924-7.74%0.0118✓0.80236k2022-05-05
ZECZcashZcash134.35134.0071-0.26%125.68-6.45%0.0284✗1.135.5M2022-05-05
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.1821.179-0.26%1.07-9.48%0.0062✗1.25357k2022-05-05
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.47792.4717-0.25%2.365-4.56%0.0107✗0.6715k2022-05-05
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum1.4741.4703-0.25%1.236-16.15%0.0833✓1.1055k2022-05-05
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.9942.9866-0.25%2.892-3.41%0.0265✗0.71915k2022-05-05
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.122.1151-0.23%1.93-8.96%0.0090✓1.00124k2022-05-05
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.041090.040997-0.23%0.0378-8.01%0.0120✓0.8436k2022-05-05
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.63895.6262-0.22%5.1342-8.95%0.0535✓0.46251k2022-05-05
AMPAmpEthereum0.019370.019327-0.22%0.01784-7.90%0.0194✓0.743.6M2022-05-05
FIDABonfidaSolana1.1141.1116-0.22%1.017-8.71%0.0066✓1.0050k2022-05-05
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.0923.0854-0.21%2.887-6.63%0.0170✓0.601.2M2022-05-05
GTGateEthereum6.5236.5091-0.21%6.3361-2.87%0.0100✗0.454.2M2022-05-05
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1151.1127-0.21%0.999-10.40%0.0180✓1.093.6M2022-05-05
DODODODOEthereum0.3230.322336-0.21%0.284-12.07%0.0295✓1.185.1M2022-05-05
MOVRMoonriverBase43.573443.488-0.20%38.4703-11.71%0.0018✓1.47182k2022-05-05
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.45260.451724-0.19%0.407-10.08%0.0310✓0.89299k2022-05-05
FTTFTXEthereum39.5639.4839-0.19%36.21-8.47%0.0139✓0.8811.7M2022-05-05
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.0061.0041-0.19%0.908-9.74%0.0045✓1.171.1M2022-05-05
NANOnanopayBase1.80611.8027-0.19%1.6305-9.72%0.0123✓1.07149k2022-05-05
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.24780.247355-0.18%0.2243-9.48%0.0422✗1.701.3M2022-05-05
STXStacksnative0.990.988244-0.18%0.89-10.10%0.0255✓0.96274k2022-05-05
FILFilecoinFilecoin15.7115.6822-0.18%13.98-11.01%0.0268✓1.077.5M2022-05-05
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.021610.021573-0.17%0.01861-13.88%0.1084✓0.48193k2022-05-05
LINKChainlinkEthereum12.212.1789-0.17%10.92-10.49%0.0165✓1.1318.3M2022-05-05
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.2821.2798-0.17%1.287+0.39%0.0919✗1.05462k2022-05-05
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.474.4628-0.16%4.19-6.26%0.0036✓0.72719k2022-05-05
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000021780.000021745-0.16%0.00002029-6.84%0.0187✗1.071.4M2022-05-05
XYMSymbolnative0.09590.095753-0.15%0.0893-6.88%0.0143✓0.67706k2022-05-05
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.914.9026-0.15%4.62-5.91%0.0047✓0.67648k2022-05-05
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2370.236644-0.15%0.22-7.17%0.0158✓0.6925k2022-05-05
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0180.017974-0.14%0.01676-6.89%0.0132✗1.01248k2022-05-05
DEXEDeXeEthereum5.565.552-0.14%4.88-12.23%0.0830✓0.56869k2022-05-05
AUCTIONBounceEthereum12.0312.0127-0.14%11.08-7.90%0.0029✗1.02963k2022-05-05
XTZTezosTezos2.70282.699-0.14%2.4895-7.89%0.0064✗1.06855k2022-05-05
XEMNEMnative0.09170.091572-0.14%0.0836-8.83%0.0143✓0.9355k2022-05-05
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.55380.553091-0.13%0.4982-10.04%0.0200✓1.038.0M2022-05-05
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.07945.0731-0.12%4.7697-6.10%0.0333✗1.158.6M2022-05-05
AVTAventusEthereum1.91.8977-0.12%2.11+11.05%0.1500✗0.53272k2022-05-05
BTCBitcoinBitcoin39,669.5639,623.61-0.12%36,537.22-7.90%0.0012✗1.00553.2M2022-05-05
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.00780.007796-0.06%0.00721-7.56%0.0260✓0.6328k2022-05-05
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.689.6764-0.04%8.79-9.19%0.0603✓0.431.6M2022-05-05
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.7833.7821-0.02%3.518-7.01%0.0455✓0.332.4M2022-05-05
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.15440.154373-0.02%0.1402-9.20%0.0772✗2.11269k2022-05-05
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.21183.2122+0.01%2.9655-7.67%0.0288✗0.623.5M2022-05-05
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum39,665.5039,686.97+0.05%36,624.30-7.67%0.0029✗0.9425k2022-05-05
BFCBifrostEthereum0.126040.126132+0.07%0.1152-8.60%0.0331✗0.7017k2022-05-05
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0244650.024486+0.09%0.023524-3.85%0.0443✓1.034.2M2022-05-05
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.345.3453+0.10%4.97-6.93%0.0167✗0.681.1M2022-05-05
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.1710.1815+0.11%8.65-14.95%0.1321✗0.382.5M2022-05-05
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.36643.371+0.14%3.1181-7.38%0.0313✗0.575.6M2022-05-05
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.