8=======>

2022-04-16 · +1d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 163 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1609
163 of 163 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+0.06%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
77.9%
in alpha space · 84.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.74%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (163 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
PROPropyEthereum2.052.0214-1.40%1.93-5.85%0.0307✓0.88179k2022-04-17
GLMRMoonbeamBase4.2384.2119-0.62%3.845-9.27%0.0660✓1.43720k2022-04-17
FILFilecoinFilecoin21.6521.5227-0.59%19.7-9.01%0.0690✓1.1110.7M2022-04-17
MINAMina Protocolnative2.432.416-0.57%2.28-6.17%0.0389✓1.091.2M2022-04-17
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.5081.4998-0.55%1.422-5.70%0.0300✓1.32555k2022-04-17
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.75460.750628-0.53%0.6939-8.04%0.0704✓0.46796k2022-04-17
BRISEBitgertEthereum9.58e-79.53e-7-0.53%9.58e-7-0.02%0.0005✓-0.32596k2022-04-17
MOVRMoonriverBase62.251661.9266-0.52%57.2276-8.07%0.0531✓1.47223k2022-04-17
COTICOTIEthereum0.24950.248207-0.52%0.2333-6.49%0.0388✓1.323.5M2022-04-17
ASTRAstarEthereum0.2430.241815-0.49%0.221-9.05%0.0785✓0.66100k2022-04-17
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.9531.9436-0.48%2.703+38.40%0.3482✗1.053.7M2022-04-17
KSMKusamaHydration174.1173.2959-0.46%168.62-3.15%0.0087✓1.061.2M2022-04-17
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.78444.7624-0.46%4.5192-5.54%0.0352✓0.98280k2022-04-17
API3Api3Ethereum4.524.4994-0.46%4.224-6.55%0.0516✓0.663.5M2022-04-17
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5440.541522-0.46%0.62+13.97%0.1552✗1.135.9M2022-04-17
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.660.65706-0.45%0.62-6.06%0.0318✓1.50510k2022-04-17
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0278470.027727-0.43%0.027257-2.12%0.0049✓0.69191k2022-04-17
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.116.0849-0.41%5.85-4.26%0.0132✓1.49665k2022-04-17
RADRadworksEthereum4.84.7811-0.39%4.6-4.17%0.0217✓0.96785k2022-04-17
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7274980.724687-0.39%0.687666-5.48%0.0329✓1.113.2M2022-04-17
COMPCompoundEthereum144.04143.5117-0.37%148.41+3.03%0.0550✗1.2271k2022-04-17
FIDABonfidaSolana1.4931.4876-0.36%1.43-4.22%0.0222✓0.9963k2022-04-17
SKLSKALEEthereum0.18740.186721-0.36%0.18-3.95%0.0154✓1.219.4M2022-04-17
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.7666.7422-0.35%6.457-4.57%0.0237✓1.11340k2022-04-17
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.6218.5553-0.35%17.74-4.73%0.0263✓1.0619.0M2022-04-17
ADACardanoCardano0.95140.948105-0.35%0.9148-3.85%0.0181✓1.0168.9M2022-04-17
SUNSun TokenTron0.0147320.014682-0.34%0.014059-4.57%0.0275✓0.9051k2022-04-17
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.8714.8206-0.33%14.56-2.08%0.0105✓0.412.0M2022-04-17
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.11360.113223-0.33%0.1134-0.18%0.0202✗1.061.0M2022-04-17
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000025620.000025535-0.33%0.00002468-3.67%0.0140✓1.142.8M2022-04-17
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.076080.07583-0.33%0.07235-4.90%0.0285✓1.05121k2022-04-17
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.57745.559-0.33%5.7783+3.60%0.0481✗0.534.7M2022-04-17
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.011850.011811-0.33%0.01168-1.43%0.0001✓0.6335k2022-04-17
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche77.7877.5258-0.33%75.45-3.00%0.0048✓1.2798.8M2022-04-17
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.062.0534-0.32%1.93-6.31%0.0387✓1.321.6M2022-04-17
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.74330.741013-0.31%0.7108-4.37%0.0250✓0.9418.3M2022-04-17
XTZTezosTezos3.28163.2715-0.31%3.09-5.84%0.0387✓1.051.0M2022-04-17
FTTFTXEthereum41.8241.6923-0.31%44.8+7.13%0.0899✗1.0314.2M2022-04-17
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.2145.1981-0.30%5.004-4.03%0.0151✓1.317.5M2022-04-17
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV87.2887.026-0.29%83.62-4.19%0.0259✓0.803.5M2022-04-17
CVCCivicEthereum0.29640.295539-0.29%0.2832-4.45%0.0221✓1.17566k2022-04-17
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum17.5717.5202-0.28%16.41-6.60%0.0473✓1.0318.5M2022-04-17
GITCOINGITCOIN6.156.1328-0.28%5.921-3.72%0.0091✓1.4818k2022-04-17
SGBSongbirdnative0.06290.062726-0.28%0.0625-0.64%0.0060✗0.55158k2022-04-17
KCSKuCoinnative20.31420.2583-0.27%19.932-1.88%0.0011✓0.865.4M2022-04-17
LCXLCXEthereum0.11570.115386-0.27%0.1168+0.95%0.0326✗1.16952k2022-04-17
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2670.266276-0.27%0.267+0.00%0.0179✗0.8638k2022-04-17
XLMStellarStellar0.2053490.204798-0.27%0.196617-4.25%0.0233✓1.0018.8M2022-04-17
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1436440.143263-0.27%0.139371-2.97%0.0124✓0.865.0M2022-04-17
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.045350.045231-0.26%0.04362-3.81%0.0207✓0.8863k2022-04-17
SCSiacoinnative0.010670.010642-0.26%0.01013-5.06%0.0284✓1.19565k2022-04-17
HIVEHivenative0.91960.917227-0.26%0.8858-3.68%0.0159✓1.082.0M2022-04-17
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.023810.02375-0.25%0.02283-4.12%0.0193✓1.15374k2022-04-17
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.09611.0933-0.25%1.1949+9.01%0.1112✗1.2711.9M2022-04-17
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7670.765088-0.25%0.747-2.61%0.0082✓0.892.9M2022-04-17
NMRNumeraireEthereum26.8526.7834-0.25%26.43-1.56%0.0026✗0.90636k2022-04-17
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0359630.035876-0.24%0.035182-2.17%0.0002✓1.124.5M2022-04-17
APEApeCoinEthereum11.66611.6379-0.24%11.695+0.25%0.0437✗2.2046.9M2022-04-17
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.774270.772409-0.24%0.72479-6.39%0.0453✓1.04192k2022-04-17
CTKShentuOsmosis1.3431.3398-0.24%1.239-7.74%0.0613✓0.963.5M2022-04-17
UOSUltraEthereum0.973540.971221-0.24%0.918-5.70%0.0334✓1.311.4M2022-04-17
BTTCBTTC0.000001960.000001955-0.24%0.0000019-3.06%0.0161✓0.719.8M2022-04-17
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash342.9342.0913-0.24%328.18-4.29%0.0242✓0.998.6M2022-04-17
ZENHorizenBase38.4338.34-0.23%36.47-5.10%0.0263✓1.35461k2022-04-17
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.24290.242341-0.23%0.2351-3.21%0.0061✓1.38383k2022-04-17
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.01780.01776-0.23%0.01749-1.74%0.0023✗1.002.1M2022-04-17
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05240.052282-0.23%0.0492-6.11%0.0307✓1.7139.8M2022-04-17
SOLSolanaSolana102.08101.8506-0.22%100.18-1.86%0.0055✗1.26147.4M2022-04-17
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana15.1615.126-0.22%14.87-1.91%0.0085✓0.493.3M2022-04-17
CHZChilizEthereum0.23470.23418-0.22%0.222-5.41%0.0325✓1.193.2M2022-04-17
YFIyearn.financeEthereum19,119.1319,077.47-0.22%18,713.49-2.12%0.0004✓1.125.5M2022-04-17
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.049810.049703-0.22%0.04978-0.06%0.0197✗1.03567k2022-04-17
ETCEthereum Classicnative38.1238.0394-0.21%36.58-4.04%0.0198✓1.1016.0M2022-04-17
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum47.4147.3098-0.21%45.47-4.09%0.0172✓1.288.8M2022-04-17
XEMNEMnative0.10110.100887-0.21%0.0971-3.96%0.0220✓0.9255k2022-04-17
LPTLivepeerEthereum22.9222.8725-0.21%22.23-3.01%0.0055✓1.31786k2022-04-17
UNIUniswapEthereum9.679.6502-0.21%9.25-4.34%0.0236✓1.078.8M2022-04-17
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum4.47234.4632-0.20%4.2838-4.21%0.0279✓0.753.9M2022-04-17
STORJStorjEthereum1.09041.0882-0.20%1.0359-4.99%0.0291✓1.15143k2022-04-17
XYMSymbolnative0.11640.116167-0.20%0.1117-4.04%0.0269✓0.70830k2022-04-17
LTCLitecoinLitecoin114.34114.1119-0.20%108.78-4.86%0.0300✓1.0223.4M2022-04-17
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.56950.568392-0.19%0.5731+0.63%0.0304✗1.26938k2022-04-17
BANDBandEthereum3.753.7427-0.19%3.554-5.23%0.0299✓1.24772k2022-04-17
AMPAmpEthereum0.022590.022546-0.19%0.02224-1.55%0.0004✓0.804.9M2022-04-17
DODODODOEthereum0.410.409209-0.19%0.378-7.80%0.0588✓1.177.4M2022-04-17
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.351.3474-0.19%1.328-1.63%0.0082✗1.293.5M2022-04-17
MANADecentralandEthereum2.15072.1466-0.19%2.0532-4.53%0.0244✓1.141.6M2022-04-17
NANOnanopayBase2.14112.137-0.19%2.074-3.13%0.0105✓1.11258k2022-04-17
DIADIAEthereum0.90.898284-0.19%0.88-2.22%0.0122✓0.47169k2022-04-17
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.2352.2308-0.19%2.194-1.83%0.0071✗1.358.2M2022-04-17
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.7613.7539-0.19%3.669-2.45%0.0096✓0.762.2M2022-04-17
DASHDashDash108.28108.0806-0.18%104.4-3.58%0.0166✓1.032.4M2022-04-17
LRCLoopringEthereum0.9080.906333-0.18%0.854-5.95%0.0354✓1.37870k2022-04-17
DKAdKargoEthereum0.096010.095835-0.18%0.09237-3.79%0.0216✓0.8735k2022-04-17
XVGVergenative0.010820.010801-0.18%0.01036-4.25%0.0212✓1.161.7M2022-04-17
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos24.1824.1372-0.18%23.23-3.93%0.0188✓1.1131.7M2022-04-17
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.282.276-0.18%2.24-1.75%0.0020✗1.02165k2022-04-17
GALAGALAEthereum0.20330.202945-0.17%0.1925-5.31%0.0328✓1.14262k2022-04-17
CBKCobakEthereum2.242.2361-0.17%2.195-2.01%0.0045✓0.8026k2022-04-17
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.5111.5084-0.17%1.463-3.18%0.0125✓1.021.3M2022-04-17
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.076990.076858-0.17%0.0746-3.10%0.0154✓0.8250k2022-04-17
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.5172.5127-0.17%2.5535+1.45%0.0297✗0.7711k2022-04-17
QTUMQtumQtum6.9446.9321-0.17%6.5324-5.93%0.0389✓1.17216k2022-04-17
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana6.2346.2235-0.17%6.115-1.91%0.0059✓0.661.8M2022-04-17
LINKChainlinkEthereum14.1514.1265-0.17%13.72-3.04%0.0091✓1.1526.0M2022-04-17
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.39960.398945-0.16%0.37-7.41%0.0432✓1.822.3M2022-04-17
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.9724.964-0.16%4.775-3.96%0.0217✓0.9779k2022-04-17
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.036010.035952-0.16%0.03421-5.00%0.0380✓0.67942k2022-04-17
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004160.004153-0.16%0.00406-2.40%0.0007✓1.259.7M2022-04-17
BORABORAKlay Token0.825080.82379-0.16%0.80955-1.88%0.0001✓1.00182k2022-04-17
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.67480.673761-0.15%0.6449-4.43%0.0256✓1.039.8M2022-04-17
AUCTIONBounceEthereum13.6513.6292-0.15%13.28-2.71%0.0060✓1.141.5M2022-04-17
XVSVenusEthereum10.1410.1247-0.15%9.76-3.75%0.0164✓1.154.7M2022-04-17
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.24760.247239-0.15%0.2385-3.68%0.0209✓0.861.7M2022-04-17
XECeCashnative0.000092770.000092642-0.14%0.00008878-4.30%0.0250✓1.009.6M2022-04-17
TRBTellor TributesEthereum20.9520.9211-0.14%19.64-6.25%0.0394✓1.35226k2022-04-17
QNTQuantEthereum113.05112.8996-0.13%110.99-1.82%0.0007✓0.934.0M2022-04-17
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.825.8123-0.13%5.68-2.41%0.0104✓0.721.4M2022-04-17
LUNATerraTerra 28180.8937-0.13%77.28-4.59%0.0231✓1.298.2M2022-04-17
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.33680.336379-0.13%0.3234-3.98%0.0136✓1.469.4M2022-04-17
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.11.0987-0.12%1.03-6.36%0.0440✓1.17798k2022-04-17
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.50680.5062-0.12%0.4969-1.95%0.0045✓0.80490k2022-04-17
IMXImmutableEthereum1.8571.8549-0.11%1.729-6.89%0.0515✓1.077.8M2022-04-17
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.010560.010548-0.11%0.0104-1.52%0.0065✗1.173.8M2022-04-17
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.2481.2467-0.11%1.197-4.09%0.0225✓1.031.4M2022-04-17
BFCBifrostEthereum0.147960.147808-0.10%0.14317-3.24%0.0181✓0.7820k2022-04-17
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.13734.1332-0.10%4.0029-3.25%0.0202✓0.674.9M2022-04-17
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.13790.137777-0.09%0.1364-1.09%0.0080✗1.02224k2022-04-17
ETHEthereumEthereum3,060.353,057.65-0.09%2,988.40-2.35%0.0044✓1.05483.3M2022-04-17
DEXEDeXeEthereum5.875.8649-0.09%5.74-2.21%0.0088✓0.731.1M2022-04-17
SUSHISushiEthereum3.333.3271-0.09%3.2-3.90%0.0169✓1.256.7M2022-04-17
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06820.068147-0.08%0.0664-2.64%0.0050✓1.19555k2022-04-17
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.22.1984-0.07%2.126-3.36%0.0161✓0.9994k2022-04-17
LSKLiskEthereum2.13492.1334-0.07%2.074-2.85%0.0129✓0.8795k2022-04-17
HIGHHighstreetEthereum5.1435.1394-0.07%4.567-11.20%0.0886✓1.682.6M2022-04-17
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.274.2671-0.07%4.12-3.51%0.0103✓1.41735k2022-04-17
STXStacksnative1.181.1793-0.06%1.13-4.24%0.0251✓1.00447k2022-04-17
WOOWOOEthereum0.48730.487023-0.06%0.4737-2.79%0.0241✓0.216,4692022-04-17
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.36220.362023-0.05%0.3486-3.75%0.0170✓1.1811.2M2022-04-17
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8570.856609-0.05%0.806-5.95%0.0370✓1.362.7M2022-04-17
XMRMoneroMonero236.58236.5049-0.03%242+2.29%0.0394✗0.941.7M2022-04-17
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.86045.8588-0.03%5.8959+0.61%0.0146✗0.47186k2022-04-17
BTCBitcoinBitcoin40,387.6040,377.24-0.03%39,683.54-1.74%0.0003✓1.00565.5M2022-04-17
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.20940.20935-0.02%0.1957-6.54%0.0275✓2.27623k2022-04-17
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.6843.6832-0.02%3.597-2.36%0.0120✓0.662.6M2022-04-17
UMAUMAEthereum6.3936.3927-0.00%6.16-3.64%0.0114✓1.462.8M2022-04-17
ZECZcashZcash143.85143.8449-0.00%137.47-4.44%0.0274✓1.029.8M2022-04-17
ORCAOrcaSolana1.91.9-0.00%1.86-2.11%0.0088✓0.71214k2022-04-17
AAVEAaveEthereum172.4172.4001+0.00%167.03-3.11%0.0085✗1.3214.4M2022-04-17
AVTAventusEthereum2.422.4201+0.00%2.6+7.44%0.0808✓0.52491k2022-04-17
CTSICartesiEthereum0.35540.355431+0.01%0.335-5.74%0.0362✗1.311.6M2022-04-17
GTGateEthereum6.516.5106+0.01%6.4168-1.43%0.0042✗0.584.4M2022-04-17
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum40,617.6040,623.42+0.01%40,677.80+0.15%0.0182✓0.9626k2022-04-17
TRXTRONTron0.0618620.061875+0.02%0.060149-2.77%0.0168✗0.66254k2022-04-17
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.437.4324+0.03%7.01-5.65%0.0452✗0.761.8M2022-04-17
DYDXdYdXCosmos4.7314.7338+0.06%4.513-4.61%0.0297✗1.03119k2022-04-17
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.314.311+0.08%13.71-4.13%0.0197✗1.322.6M2022-04-17
GLMGolemEthereum0.42950.430019+0.12%0.4194-2.35%0.0007✓1.46439k2022-04-17
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.555.5576+0.14%5.35-3.60%0.0249✗0.751.6M2022-04-17
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.8274.8362+0.19%4.793-0.70%0.0023✗0.384.5M2022-04-17
CELLCellframeEthereum1.0171.0201+0.31%0.942-7.37%0.0548✗1.42231k2022-04-17
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.59715.6231+0.46%5.3777-3.92%0.0234✗1.2112.7M2022-04-17
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.018850.019005+0.82%0.01799-4.56%0.0290✗1.4750.0M2022-04-17
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.