8=======>

2022-04-14 · +1d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 163 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0393
163 of 163 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.89%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
52.1%
in alpha space · 35.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+1.50%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (163 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.018790.018976+0.99%0.018-4.20%0.0749✗1.4852.9M2022-04-15
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.66675.6916+0.44%5.6019-1.14%0.0340✗1.2115.1M2022-04-15
CELLCellframeEthereum1.00841.0127+0.43%1.0309+2.23%0.0033✓1.42231k2022-04-15
HIGHHighstreetEthereum4.5464.5629+0.37%4.618+1.58%0.0134✗1.702.6M2022-04-15
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.7834.7945+0.24%4.836+1.11%0.0030✓0.385.3M2022-04-15
DYDXdYdXCosmos4.64.6107+0.23%4.713+2.46%0.0066✓1.03120k2022-04-15
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.19040.190834+0.23%0.2043+7.30%0.0345✓2.26623k2022-04-15
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.535.5413+0.20%5.54+0.18%0.0115✗0.751.6M2022-04-15
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.9914.0178+0.20%14.27+2.00%0.0019✓1.322.8M2022-04-15
IMXImmutableEthereum1.8011.8042+0.18%1.787-0.78%0.0256✗1.077.8M2022-04-15
UMAUMAEthereum6.3286.3367+0.14%6.413+1.34%0.0098✗1.463.1M2022-04-15
GLMGolemEthereum0.43380.43439+0.14%0.4376+0.88%0.0145✗1.47488k2022-04-15
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.57.5096+0.13%7.51+0.13%0.0112✗0.762.0M2022-04-15
TRXTRONTron0.0601420.060196+0.09%0.0619+2.92%0.0182✓0.65262k2022-04-15
AVTAventusEthereum2.52.5021+0.08%2.42-3.20%0.0412✗0.52497k2022-04-15
ORCAOrcaSolana1.871.8716+0.08%1.86-0.53%0.0168✗0.71238k2022-04-15
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum40,027.2040,060.28+0.08%40,577.80+1.38%0.0015✗0.9628k2022-04-15
AAVEAaveEthereum172.03172.1581+0.07%175.94+2.27%0.0021✓1.3217.5M2022-04-15
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06670.066749+0.07%0.0683+2.40%0.0052✓1.19555k2022-04-15
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.24.2029+0.07%4.31+2.62%0.0042✓1.41824k2022-04-15
SUSHISushiEthereum3.213.2122+0.07%3.3+2.80%0.0083✓1.257.2M2022-04-15
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.6423.6441+0.06%3.657+0.41%0.0063✗0.662.8M2022-04-15
ZECZcashZcash144.19144.2613+0.05%146.55+1.64%0.0005✓1.0210.2M2022-04-15
GTGateEthereum6.58696.5898+0.04%6.567-0.30%0.0122✗0.594.5M2022-04-15
CTSICartesiEthereum0.35660.356757+0.04%0.3592+0.73%0.0127✗1.311.6M2022-04-15
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.36390.364043+0.04%0.3686+1.29%0.0052✗1.1812.3M2022-04-15
WOOWOOEthereum0.48180.481978+0.04%0.4708-2.28%0.0267✗0.227,0452022-04-15
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.1772.1778+0.04%2.24+2.89%0.0135✓0.99100k2022-04-15
BTCBitcoinBitcoin39,954.0839,965.90+0.03%40,554.58+1.50%0.0003✓1.00593.1M2022-04-15
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.081.0803+0.03%1.1+1.85%0.0007✓1.17798k2022-04-15
XMRMoneroMonero229.43229.4893+0.03%239.47+4.38%0.0287✓0.931.6M2022-04-15
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.72080.72089+0.01%0.72281+0.28%0.0129✗1.04201k2022-04-15
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.13660.136613+0.01%0.1375+0.66%0.0088✗1.03227k2022-04-15
LUNATerraTerra 281.581.5054+0.01%80.37-1.39%0.0333✗1.298.4M2022-04-15
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.14224.1424+0.00%4.1343-0.19%0.0120✗0.675.7M2022-04-15
STXStacksnative1.181.1801+0.00%1.18+0.00%0.0150✗1.00470k2022-04-15
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.75255.7527+0.00%5.8038+0.89%0.0018✓0.47186k2022-04-15
XVSVenusEthereum9.859.8503+0.00%10.24+3.96%0.0216✓1.154.8M2022-04-15
QTUMQtumQtum6.52646.5264+0.00%6.6311+1.61%0.0015✗1.17206k2022-04-15
LSKLiskEthereum2.14162.1414-0.01%2.1489+0.34%0.0095✓0.87100k2022-04-15
DEXEDeXeEthereum5.865.8595-0.01%5.9+0.68%0.0039✓0.731.1M2022-04-15
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8640.863914-0.01%0.866+0.23%0.0179✓1.362.7M2022-04-15
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.010660.010658-0.02%0.01045-1.97%0.0373✓1.184.3M2022-04-15
BFCBifrostEthereum0.142450.142424-0.02%0.14478+1.64%0.0047✗0.7820k2022-04-15
ETHEthereumEthereum3,021.783,021.23-0.02%3,040.19+0.61%0.0095✓1.06551.3M2022-04-15
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004070.004069-0.02%0.00415+1.97%0.0010✗1.259.7M2022-04-15
XECeCashnative0.000092110.000092087-0.02%0.0000934+1.40%0.0008✓1.009.6M2022-04-15
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.50120.501048-0.03%0.5186+3.47%0.0226✗0.80482k2022-04-15
LINKChainlinkEthereum13.6413.6351-0.04%14.11+3.45%0.0172✗1.1426.2M2022-04-15
TRBTellor TributesEthereum20.7320.7207-0.05%21.26+2.56%0.0055✗1.35226k2022-04-15
LTCLitecoinLitecoin107.38107.3292-0.05%111+3.37%0.0185✗1.0224.7M2022-04-15
QNTQuantEthereum112.42112.3657-0.05%112.54+0.11%0.0123✓0.934.1M2022-04-15
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.0637.0397-0.05%37.36+0.81%0.0078✓1.1016.0M2022-04-15
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos23.9623.9468-0.06%24.11+0.63%0.0098✓1.1132.2M2022-04-15
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum16.516.4904-0.06%16.8+1.82%0.0032✗1.0318.5M2022-04-15
MANADecentralandEthereum2.11972.1184-0.06%2.144+1.15%0.0050✓1.141.6M2022-04-15
XEMNEMnative0.09880.098737-0.06%0.1008+2.02%0.0069✗0.9255k2022-04-15
AMPAmpEthereum0.022470.022456-0.06%0.02252+0.22%0.0091✓0.804.9M2022-04-15
GALAGALAEthereum0.19760.197471-0.07%0.2016+2.02%0.0037✗1.14304k2022-04-15
DIADIAEthereum0.880.879421-0.07%0.91+3.41%0.0272✗0.47186k2022-04-15
GITCOINGITCOIN5.8335.8289-0.07%6.049+3.70%0.0150✗1.4818k2022-04-15
DODODODOEthereum0.4060.405712-0.07%0.412+1.48%0.0020✓1.177.4M2022-04-15
BORABORAKlay Token0.819610.819028-0.07%0.82684+0.88%0.0054✓1.00182k2022-04-15
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.24650.246324-0.07%0.2494+1.18%0.0003✓0.851.9M2022-04-15
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.66320.662714-0.07%0.6746+1.72%0.0024✗1.039.8M2022-04-15
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.2272.2253-0.08%2.226-0.04%0.0199✓1.358.8M2022-04-15
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana6.2266.2212-0.08%6.292+1.06%0.0014✗0.661.7M2022-04-15
DKAdKargoEthereum0.094340.094267-0.08%0.09633+2.11%0.0087✗0.8732k2022-04-15
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.3511.3499-0.08%1.341-0.74%0.0260✓1.303.8M2022-04-15
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum46.846.762-0.08%47.96+2.48%0.0062✗1.288.8M2022-04-15
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.34770.347406-0.08%0.3426-1.47%0.0358✓1.4710.2M2022-04-15
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.57440.573896-0.09%0.5661-1.44%0.0325✓1.26938k2022-04-15
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2721.2709-0.09%1.314+3.30%0.0191✗0.963.6M2022-04-15
XVGVergenative0.010660.01065-0.09%0.01052-1.31%0.0298✓1.171.8M2022-04-15
FILFilecoinFilecoin18.6718.6533-0.09%19.04+1.98%0.0039✗1.1110.5M2022-04-15
LRCLoopringEthereum0.88370.882898-0.09%0.896+1.39%0.0057✓1.37870k2022-04-15
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.9914.9863-0.09%4.997+0.12%0.0124✓0.9779k2022-04-15
API3Api3Ethereum3.9873.9832-0.10%4.735+18.76%0.1634✗0.633.5M2022-04-15
CBKCobakEthereum2.262.2578-0.10%2.264+0.18%0.0092✓0.8026k2022-04-15
YFIyearn.financeEthereum18,829.6118,811.15-0.10%19,114.46+1.51%0.0007✓1.126.0M2022-04-15
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.261.2587-0.10%1.282+1.75%0.0030✗1.031.7M2022-04-15
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.41580.415356-0.11%0.4043-2.77%0.0543✓1.832.3M2022-04-15
BANDBandEthereum3.7783.7739-0.11%3.735-1.14%0.0289✓1.24772k2022-04-15
NANOnanopayBase2.18272.1804-0.11%2.1544-1.30%0.0285✓1.11291k2022-04-15
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.865.8535-0.11%5.87+0.17%0.0079✓0.721.5M2022-04-15
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.7873.7828-0.11%3.773-0.37%0.0139✓0.762.4M2022-04-15
DASHDashDash106.24106.1163-0.12%109.26+2.84%0.0139✗1.032.4M2022-04-15
UNIUniswapEthereum9.489.4686-0.12%9.77+3.06%0.0155✗1.068.8M2022-04-15
CVCCivicEthereum0.28610.285749-0.12%0.2913+1.82%0.0018✗1.17618k2022-04-15
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07760.077504-0.12%0.07712-0.62%0.0173✓0.8350k2022-04-15
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.45912.456-0.13%2.4899+1.25%0.0022✗0.7711k2022-04-15
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana15.215.1806-0.13%15.35+0.99%0.0038✗0.493.7M2022-04-15
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.5141.5121-0.13%1.519+0.33%0.0107✓1.031.3M2022-04-15
STORJStorjEthereum1.07811.0767-0.13%1.0825+0.41%0.0117✓1.15150k2022-04-15
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7610.760015-0.13%0.775+1.84%0.0062✗0.892.9M2022-04-15
ZENHorizenBase38.0437.9906-0.13%39.04+2.63%0.0072✗1.34467k2022-04-15
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.036350.036301-0.13%0.03689+1.49%0.0062✗0.66942k2022-04-15
SOLSolanaSolana100.76100.6252-0.13%101.39+0.63%0.0112✓1.26147.4M2022-04-15
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.55e-78.53e-7-0.14%8.70e-7+1.85%0.0245✗-0.32607k2022-04-15
HIVEHivenative0.91710.915814-0.14%0.9206+0.38%0.0109✓1.082.1M2022-04-15
XLMStellarStellar0.1939260.193646-0.14%0.204267+5.33%0.0386✗0.9918.8M2022-04-15
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.272.2667-0.15%2.29+0.88%0.0050✓1.02163k2022-04-15
XTZTezosTezos3.10123.0966-0.15%3.1939+2.99%0.0153✗1.051.1M2022-04-15
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.017740.017713-0.15%0.01809+1.97%0.0061✗1.002.1M2022-04-15
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.2055.1966-0.16%5.364+3.05%0.0122✗1.317.3M2022-04-15
FIDABonfidaSolana1.4681.4656-0.16%1.53+4.22%0.0284✗0.9863k2022-04-15
XYMSymbolnative0.11720.117007-0.16%0.1174+0.17%0.0071✓0.70840k2022-04-15
CHZChilizEthereum0.2370.236604-0.17%0.2389+0.80%0.0081✓1.193.3M2022-04-15
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05220.052113-0.17%0.0534+2.30%0.0011✓1.7140.5M2022-04-15
SCSiacoinnative0.010550.010532-0.17%0.01069+1.33%0.0028✓1.19565k2022-04-15
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.050720.05063-0.18%0.0496-2.21%0.0360✓1.04574k2022-04-15
KCSKuCoinnative19.58919.5538-0.18%19.984+2.02%0.0089✗0.865.6M2022-04-15
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.11870.118484-0.18%0.1173-1.18%0.0259✓1.06579k2022-04-15
MOVRMoonriverBase57.079656.974-0.18%56.9988-0.14%0.0216✓1.47220k2022-04-15
BTTCBTTC0.000001940.000001936-0.19%0.00000198+2.06%0.0116✗0.719.8M2022-04-15
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2670.266501-0.19%0.27+1.12%0.0001✓0.8639k2022-04-15
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV84.8384.6708-0.19%85.72+1.05%0.0004✓0.803.5M2022-04-15
NMRNumeraireEthereum26.6526.5999-0.19%26.79+0.53%0.0064✓0.90651k2022-04-15
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.08981.0877-0.19%1.0985+0.80%0.0091✓1.2714.9M2022-04-15
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash337.54336.8818-0.20%340.95+1.01%0.0027✓0.998.9M2022-04-15
LCXLCXEthereum0.11490.114675-0.20%0.1148-0.09%0.0163✓1.16952k2022-04-15
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.72690.725478-0.20%0.7394+1.72%0.0049✗0.9418.7M2022-04-15
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.24290.24242-0.20%0.2423-0.25%0.0212✓1.39368k2022-04-15
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.396.3773-0.20%6.416+0.41%0.0107✓1.12356k2022-04-15
FTTFTXEthereum41.7141.6261-0.20%42.7+2.37%0.0102✗1.0214.2M2022-04-15
RADRadworksEthereum4.594.5806-0.20%4.85+5.66%0.0429✗0.95741k2022-04-15
SGBSongbirdnative0.0620.061871-0.21%0.0632+1.94%0.0132✗0.54165k2022-04-15
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.045170.045075-0.21%0.0459+1.62%0.0050✗0.8855k2022-04-15
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1439330.143628-0.21%0.145921+1.38%0.0030✗0.864.8M2022-04-15
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.845.8275-0.21%6.1+4.45%0.0235✗1.49665k2022-04-15
UOSUltraEthereum1.01731.0151-0.22%1.0388+2.11%0.0036✗1.301.5M2022-04-15
MINAMina Protocolnative2.32.2949-0.22%2.34+1.74%0.0032✗1.091.4M2022-04-15
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.011690.011664-0.22%0.01181+1.03%0.0030✗0.6335k2022-04-15
DOTPolkadotPolkadot17.9117.8701-0.22%18.36+2.51%0.0112✗1.0620.9M2022-04-15
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.082.0754-0.22%2.09+0.48%0.0127✓1.331.6M2022-04-15
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.8113.779-0.22%14.42+4.42%0.0394✗0.412.0M2022-04-15
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0365020.03642-0.23%0.036769+0.73%0.0072✓1.124.4M2022-04-15
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.4465.4335-0.23%5.4059-0.74%0.0131✓0.545.7M2022-04-15
LPTLivepeerEthereum23.8823.824-0.23%23.34-2.26%0.0401✓1.31833k2022-04-15
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.630.628518-0.24%0.64+1.59%0.0042✓1.50539k2022-04-15
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche76.8476.6589-0.24%77.44+0.78%0.0088✓1.27103.7M2022-04-15
ADACardanoCardano0.93250.930238-0.24%0.9553+2.45%0.0116✗1.0168.9M2022-04-15
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000025780.000025715-0.25%0.00002592+0.54%0.0091✓1.142.8M2022-04-15
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.075950.075755-0.26%0.0758-0.20%0.0151✓1.05121k2022-04-15
AUCTIONBounceEthereum14.9114.8691-0.27%14.14-5.16%0.0674✓1.151.5M2022-04-15
SKLSKALEEthereum0.19460.194061-0.28%0.1944-0.10%0.0163✓1.219.4M2022-04-15
SUNSun TokenTron0.0147610.014719-0.28%0.014967+1.40%0.0032✗0.9051k2022-04-15
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.52574.5129-0.28%4.6419+2.57%0.0136✗0.98275k2022-04-15
APEApeCoinEthereum12.27212.2368-0.29%12.229-0.35%0.0156✓1.0052.4M2022-04-15
KSMKusamaHydration161160.5168-0.30%165.97+3.09%0.0176✗1.061.2M2022-04-15
ASTRAstarEthereum0.2480.24725-0.30%0.243-2.02%0.0272✓0.6685k2022-04-15
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7437230.741371-0.32%0.737982-0.77%0.0212✓1.113.2M2022-04-15
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.026610.026523-0.33%0.02537-4.66%0.0616✓1.15344k2022-04-15
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum4.50824.4928-0.34%4.5939+1.90%0.0111✗0.753.7M2022-04-15
GLMRMoonbeamBase3.7873.7737-0.35%4.042+6.73%0.0475✗1.42741k2022-04-15
COMPCompoundEthereum144.31143.7675-0.38%147.99+2.55%0.0108✗1.2271k2022-04-15
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0281090.027996-0.40%0.029047+3.34%0.0266✗0.69194k2022-04-15
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.77740.774091-0.43%0.7923+1.92%0.0164✗0.46796k2022-04-15
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.5231.5164-0.43%1.525+0.13%0.0141✓1.33555k2022-04-15
COTICOTIEthereum0.25290.251749-0.45%0.2537+0.32%0.0120✓1.323.5M2022-04-15
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5380.534643-0.62%0.517-3.90%0.0505✓1.147.0M2022-04-15
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.0942.0806-0.64%2.02-3.53%0.0453✓1.053.6M2022-04-15
PROPropyEthereum2.72.576-4.59%2.04-24.44%0.2471✓0.92166k2022-04-15
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.