8=======>

2022-04-08 · +1d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 163 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1225
163 of 163 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.06%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
38.0%
in alpha space · 28.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+1.19%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (163 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
CELLCellframeEthereum1.0881.0941+0.56%1.0969+0.82%0.0143✗1.42230k2022-04-09
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.2711.275+0.31%1.339+5.35%0.0375✓0.971.6M2022-04-09
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.26.2187+0.30%6.12-1.29%0.0255✗0.802.0M2022-04-09
HIGHHighstreetEthereum5.2065.2214+0.30%5.129-1.48%0.0384✗1.732.5M2022-04-09
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.06721.0703+0.29%1.1275+5.65%0.0368✓1.2815.0M2022-04-09
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.4740.475365+0.29%0.604+27.43%0.2263✓1.117.0M2022-04-09
AAVEAaveEthereum183.44183.858+0.23%184.67+0.67%0.0110✗1.3017.5M2022-04-09
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana6.4576.4717+0.23%6.802+5.34%0.0419✓0.662.1M2022-04-09
LSKLiskEthereum2.15762.1613+0.17%2.2222+2.99%0.0177✓0.85131k2022-04-09
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.225.2288+0.17%5.414+3.72%0.0194✓1.306.8M2022-04-09
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.115.1213+0.14%15.62+3.44%0.0165✓1.342.9M2022-04-09
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.026350.026387+0.14%0.02713+2.96%0.0104✓1.4663.0M2022-04-09
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8870.888217+0.14%0.935+5.41%0.0352✓1.362.8M2022-04-09
SKLSKALEEthereum0.1980.198255+0.13%0.2021+2.07%0.0049✓1.203.9M2022-04-09
DODODODOEthereum0.4040.40448+0.12%0.416+2.97%0.0137✓1.216.6M2022-04-09
ETCEthereum Classicnative40.6440.6852+0.11%41.97+3.27%0.0180✓1.1016.0M2022-04-09
APEApeCoinEthereum10.78610.7959+0.09%10.976+1.76%0.0047✓1.0059.4M2022-04-09
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.6561.6574+0.09%1.781+7.55%0.0603✓0.983.4M2022-04-09
GALAGALAEthereum0.21360.21378+0.08%0.2258+5.71%0.0420✓1.07276k2022-04-09
TRXTRONTron0.0625710.062622+0.08%0.063989+2.27%0.0140✓0.64331k2022-04-09
TRBTellor TributesEthereum21.5221.5364+0.08%22.73+5.62%0.0379✓1.35292k2022-04-09
QTUMQtumQtum6.81636.8206+0.06%7.0808+3.88%0.0237✓1.16220k2022-04-09
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.472.4715+0.06%2.48+0.40%0.0077✗0.94114k2022-04-09
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.35970.359859+0.04%0.3649+1.45%0.0036✗1.4710.0M2022-04-09
LUNATerraTerra 294.5894.6196+0.04%97.48+3.07%0.0144✓1.299.9M2022-04-09
HIVEHivenative0.92790.928242+0.04%0.9487+2.24%0.0089✓1.082.1M2022-04-09
GLMGolemEthereum0.460.460159+0.03%0.4613+0.28%0.0141✗1.39794k2022-04-09
ZECZcashZcash165.89165.9383+0.03%169.16+1.97%0.0079✓0.9513.8M2022-04-09
ZENHorizenBase40.0440.046+0.01%42.05+5.02%0.0329✓1.34508k2022-04-09
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.663.6605+0.01%3.765+2.87%0.0187✓0.792.9M2022-04-09
BTCBitcoinBitcoin42,262.0242,268.26+0.01%42,766.93+1.19%0.0001✗1.00606.4M2022-04-09
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash323.38323.4142+0.01%326.08+0.83%0.0032✗0.968.5M2022-04-09
XEMNEMnative0.10140.101407+0.01%0.1061+4.64%0.0346✓0.9055k2022-04-09
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.44.4002+0.01%4.65+5.68%0.0384✓1.42824k2022-04-09
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.42790.427911+0.00%0.4441+3.79%0.0150✓1.862.3M2022-04-09
CHZChilizEthereum0.23060.230591-0.00%0.2452+6.33%0.0473✗1.193.2M2022-04-09
AUCTIONBounceEthereum13.9713.9694-0.00%14.38+2.93%0.0149✗1.191.4M2022-04-09
XMRMoneroMonero217.03217.015-0.01%240.29+10.72%0.0912✗0.901.6M2022-04-09
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.981.9799-0.01%2.06+4.04%0.0238✗1.341.2M2022-04-09
SUSHISushiEthereum3.393.3897-0.01%3.57+5.31%0.0371✗1.247.3M2022-04-09
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.4455.4443-0.01%5.372-1.34%0.0180✓0.397.3M2022-04-09
LTCLitecoinLitecoin110.73110.7134-0.01%112.7+1.78%0.0056✗1.0325.9M2022-04-09
WOOWOOEthereum0.51230.512216-0.02%0.5201+1.52%0.0135✗0.156,2412022-04-09
ETHEthereumEthereum3,192.543,191.92-0.02%3,258.99+2.08%0.0082✗1.06489.9M2022-04-09
DASHDashDash110.95110.9191-0.03%114.77+3.44%0.0223✗0.992.7M2022-04-09
CVCCivicEthereum0.29950.299412-0.03%0.3041+1.54%0.0019✗1.15463k2022-04-09
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.8913.8897-0.03%3.996+2.70%0.0193✗0.643.5M2022-04-09
GTGateEthereum6.63486.6325-0.03%6.6403+0.08%0.0059✓0.604.6M2022-04-09
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.418.4071-0.03%8.47+0.71%0.0013✓0.742.5M2022-04-09
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.045430.045413-0.04%0.04691+3.26%0.0225✗0.8337k2022-04-09
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.39440.394234-0.04%0.4055+2.81%0.0143✗1.1712.7M2022-04-09
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.0465.0438-0.04%5.227+3.59%0.0234✗1.04105k2022-04-09
SCSiacoinnative0.010860.010855-0.05%0.01131+4.14%0.0272✗1.17540k2022-04-09
CBKCobakEthereum2.3382.3368-0.05%2.378+1.71%0.0083✗0.7721k2022-04-09
CTSICartesiEthereum0.36320.362962-0.07%0.3864+6.39%0.0470✗1.311.9M2022-04-09
XVGVergenative0.011030.011023-0.07%0.01102-0.09%0.0141✓1.172.0M2022-04-09
SOLSolanaSolana109.97109.8935-0.07%112.99+2.75%0.0129✗1.25112.7M2022-04-09
LPTLivepeerEthereum23.9423.9232-0.07%25.27+5.56%0.0387✗1.35833k2022-04-09
UNIUniswapEthereum9.749.733-0.07%10.06+3.29%0.0204✗1.068.8M2022-04-09
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0377730.037746-0.07%0.03915+3.65%0.0240✗1.054.1M2022-04-09
PROPropyEthereum1.411.409-0.07%1.42+0.71%0.0042✓1.01160k2022-04-09
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.68824.6846-0.08%4.8786+4.06%0.0293✗0.95287k2022-04-09
DKAdKargoEthereum0.10010.100023-0.08%0.102+1.90%0.0095✗0.8529k2022-04-09
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.53150.531072-0.08%0.5402+1.64%0.0083✗0.73376k2022-04-09
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000023810.000023791-0.08%0.00002462+3.40%0.0206✗1.152.6M2022-04-09
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV85.8785.7992-0.08%86.77+1.05%0.0019✗0.793.3M2022-04-09
BANDBandEthereum4.0544.0505-0.09%4.186+3.26%0.0184✗1.22733k2022-04-09
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.7220.721372-0.09%0.7457+3.28%0.0210✗1.038.3M2022-04-09
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum42,170.0042,130.71-0.09%42,690.00+1.23%0.0018✗0.9540k2022-04-09
XTZTezosTezos3.16893.1659-0.09%3.2092+1.27%0.0008✓1.081.1M2022-04-09
IMXImmutableEthereum2.1052.1027-0.11%2.161+2.66%0.0153✗1.018.2M2022-04-09
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011680.011667-0.11%0.01195+2.31%0.0099✗1.194.3M2022-04-09
STORJStorjEthereum1.11791.1166-0.12%1.1457+2.48%0.0123✗1.13161k2022-04-09
ADACardanoCardano1.02451.0233-0.12%1.0453+2.03%0.0093✗1.0163.0M2022-04-09
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum50.7450.6794-0.12%51.77+2.03%0.0058✗1.308.6M2022-04-09
MANADecentralandEthereum2.27092.2681-0.12%2.3387+2.99%0.0171✗1.141.5M2022-04-09
XLMStellarStellar0.2021970.201947-0.12%0.204927+1.35%0.0027✗1.0119.6M2022-04-09
LINKChainlinkEthereum15.1415.1208-0.13%15.43+1.92%0.0069✗1.1325.8M2022-04-09
STXStacksnative1.231.2284-0.13%1.28+4.07%0.0295✗0.98613k2022-04-09
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum18.0217.9956-0.14%18.37+1.94%0.0082✗1.0518.5M2022-04-09
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana15.5115.4888-0.14%15.8+1.87%0.0141✗0.493.8M2022-04-09
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07280.0727-0.14%0.0741+1.79%0.0048✗1.20429k2022-04-09
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.24420.243865-0.14%0.2471+1.19%0.0019✓1.27425k2022-04-09
XECeCashnative0.000101140.000101001-0.14%0.00010178+0.63%0.0038✓0.979.4M2022-04-09
QNTQuantEthereum121.66121.4909-0.14%121.95+0.24%0.0074✓0.944.1M2022-04-09
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.226.2112-0.14%6.33+1.77%0.0103✗0.721.1M2022-04-09
BORABORAKlay Token0.874170.872886-0.15%0.88066+0.74%0.0030✓1.00364k2022-04-09
FTTFTXEthereum44.6844.6121-0.15%45.61+2.08%0.0099✗1.0314.0M2022-04-09
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05510.055015-0.15%0.0587+6.53%0.0448✗1.6841.6M2022-04-09
DIADIAEthereum0.930.928544-0.16%0.93+0.00%0.0037✓0.44186k2022-04-09
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.3412.3373-0.16%2.475+5.72%0.0412✗1.359.1M2022-04-09
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.5316.5206-0.16%6.817+4.38%0.0312✗1.12441k2022-04-09
NANOnanopayBase2.43042.4265-0.16%2.451+0.85%0.0033✓1.12275k2022-04-09
NMRNumeraireEthereum28.3828.3326-0.17%28.64+0.92%0.0001✓0.90683k2022-04-09
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.076570.07644-0.17%0.0791+3.30%0.0219✗1.04121k2022-04-09
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.077930.077794-0.17%0.07979+2.39%0.0156✗0.8246k2022-04-09
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.739540.73822-0.18%0.7704+4.17%0.0301✗1.06255k2022-04-09
LRCLoopringEthereum0.96360.961875-0.18%1.0096+4.77%0.0322✗1.37870k2022-04-09
UMAUMAEthereum6.9966.9834-0.18%7.277+4.02%0.0241✗1.444.4M2022-04-09
FILFilecoinFilecoin21.2821.2405-0.19%21.74+2.16%0.0102✗1.109.9M2022-04-09
KCSKuCoinnative19.40219.3645-0.19%20.199+4.11%0.0318✗0.875.4M2022-04-09
DOTPolkadotPolkadot19.4419.4019-0.20%19.77+1.70%0.0060✗1.0722.8M2022-04-09
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.75960.758063-0.20%0.788+3.74%0.0274✗0.9619.0M2022-04-09
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.028060.028002-0.21%0.02912+3.78%0.0254✗1.16326k2022-04-09
XYMSymbolnative0.12570.125437-0.21%0.1243-1.11%0.0174✓0.70774k2022-04-09
BTTCBTTC0.000001950.000001946-0.21%0.00000199+2.05%0.0144✗0.6810.5M2022-04-09
API3Api3Ethereum4.5554.5452-0.22%4.716+3.53%0.0300✗0.583.7M2022-04-09
CTKShentuOsmosis1.3051.3021-0.22%1.339+2.61%0.0166✗0.953.4M2022-04-09
XVSVenusEthereum11.0711.045-0.23%11.27+1.81%0.0071✗1.104.7M2022-04-09
YFIyearn.financeEthereum20,530.3020,482.25-0.23%20,652.11+0.59%0.0051✓1.136.0M2022-04-09
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.52.4939-0.24%2.55+2.00%0.0103✗1.00154k2022-04-09
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0272230.027156-0.25%0.0266-2.29%0.0292✓0.71194k2022-04-09
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche83.6983.4829-0.25%84.56+1.04%0.0024✓1.29108.2M2022-04-09
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.05130.051171-0.25%0.05263+2.59%0.0159✗1.03567k2022-04-09
AMPAmpEthereum0.024490.024428-0.25%0.02504+2.25%0.0154✗0.794.7M2022-04-09
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos26.9126.8412-0.26%27.28+1.37%0.0030✗1.1233.5M2022-04-09
UOSUltraEthereum1.121.117-0.27%1.1362+1.45%0.0015✓1.311.4M2022-04-09
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.5771.5726-0.28%1.667+5.71%0.0465✗0.991.4M2022-04-09
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.15180.151371-0.28%0.1527+0.59%0.0034✓1.02227k2022-04-09
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1425460.142142-0.28%0.144357+1.27%0.0053✗0.863.6M2022-04-09
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.87995.863-0.29%5.8799+0.00%0.0025✓0.46165k2022-04-09
LCXLCXEthereum0.12430.12394-0.29%0.1246+0.24%0.0087✓1.18989k2022-04-09
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.019030.018974-0.29%0.01908+0.26%0.0063✓1.002.1M2022-04-09
KSMKusamaHydration171.96171.4409-0.30%178.05+3.54%0.0252✗1.061.1M2022-04-09
GITCOINGITCOIN6.186.1609-0.31%6.692+8.28%0.0653✗1.4721k2022-04-09
FIDABonfidaSolana1.6471.6419-0.31%1.681+2.06%0.0123✗0.9561k2022-04-09
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.3465.3288-0.32%5.42+1.38%0.0051✗1.0084k2022-04-09
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012260.01222-0.32%0.01253+2.20%0.0173✗0.6530k2022-04-09
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.276.2488-0.34%6.66+6.22%0.0461✗1.48665k2022-04-09
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.720.717552-0.34%0.73+1.39%0.0010✓1.53510k2022-04-09
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.231.2258-0.34%1.28+4.07%0.0298✗1.14738k2022-04-09
SUNSun TokenTron0.0150190.014965-0.36%0.016497+9.84%0.0873✗0.8631k2022-04-09
MOVRMoonriverBase65.174864.9279-0.38%66.434+1.93%0.0056✗1.46192k2022-04-09
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.58294.5652-0.39%4.6053+0.49%0.0013✓0.637.9M2022-04-09
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.83480.831424-0.40%0.8972+7.47%0.0703✗0.49681k2022-04-09
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.116.0851-0.41%6.14+0.49%0.0004✓0.721.8M2022-04-09
COMPCompoundEthereum138.28137.7041-0.42%135.46-2.04%0.0301✓1.1562k2022-04-09
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.81e-78.78e-7-0.42%8.86e-7+0.55%0.0148✗-0.43745k2022-04-09
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.8420.838332-0.44%0.913+8.43%0.0749✗0.882.4M2022-04-09
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.26960.268424-0.44%0.2818+4.53%0.0385✗0.852.0M2022-04-09
COTICOTIEthereum0.27440.273186-0.44%0.302+10.06%0.0848✗1.302.3M2022-04-09
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.24230.241221-0.45%0.2441+0.74%0.0154✓2.30883k2022-04-09
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.24835.2247-0.45%5.4966+4.73%0.0438✗0.586.6M2022-04-09
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.5281.521-0.46%1.581+3.47%0.0237✗1.263.9M2022-04-09
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.777820.7742-0.47%0.80274+3.20%0.0233✗1.092.2M2022-04-09
MINAMina Protocolnative3.253.2327-0.53%3.24-0.31%0.0103✓1.061.1M2022-04-09
BFCBifrostEthereum0.159370.15851-0.54%0.1556-2.37%0.0280✓0.8018k2022-04-09
SGBSongbirdnative0.06840.068023-0.55%0.0686+0.29%0.0019✓0.56187k2022-04-09
ORCAOrcaSolana1.981.9689-0.56%2+1.01%0.0073✗0.71268k2022-04-09
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004630.004604-0.57%0.0049+5.83%0.0473✗1.279.6M2022-04-09
GLMRMoonbeamBase3.7333.7078-0.67%3.955+5.95%0.0501✗1.21464k2022-04-09
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.6511.6397-0.69%1.803+9.21%0.0792✗1.33479k2022-04-09
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.038050.037786-0.69%0.03807+0.05%0.0005✓0.68942k2022-04-09
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.24116.1976-0.70%6.3544+1.82%0.0119✗1.1023.4M2022-04-09
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2850.282968-0.71%0.301+5.61%0.0517✗0.8536k2022-04-09
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.72460.719344-0.73%0.7012-3.23%0.0405✓1.26783k2022-04-09
AVTAventusEthereum2.982.9579-0.74%2.82-5.37%0.0532✓0.46528k2022-04-09
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.1814.0701-0.78%14.38+1.41%0.0170✗0.402.8M2022-04-09
ASTRAstarEthereum0.2340.231937-0.88%0.265+13.25%0.1264✗0.5837k2022-04-09
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.69162.6672-0.91%2.6236-2.53%0.0253✓0.7411k2022-04-09
RADRadworksEthereum5.395.3317-1.08%5.16-4.27%0.0438✓0.93626k2022-04-09
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum3.99713.9442-1.32%3.7077-7.24%0.0717✓0.833.6M2022-04-09
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.12660.124346-1.78%0.1354+6.95%0.0723✗1.08205k2022-04-09
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.