8=======>

2022-03-19 · +1d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 160 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1789
160 of 160 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+4.87%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
48.1%
in alpha space · 72.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-2.24%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (160 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
HIGHHighstreetEthereum7.447.0292-5.52%5.692-23.49%0.1884✓1.00417k2022-03-20
AUCTIONBounceEthereum22.5121.5496-4.27%17.35-22.92%0.1906✓1.16397k2022-03-20
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6980.670875-3.89%0.814+16.62%0.2203✗1.192.0M2022-03-20
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.036020.034995-2.85%0.03255-9.63%0.0348✓1.6613.0M2022-03-20
LRCLoopringEthereum0.9360.910972-2.67%0.8221-12.17%0.0721✓1.35100k2022-03-20
IMXImmutableEthereum2.0842.0283-2.67%2.186+4.89%0.0972✗0.993.6M2022-03-20
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain9.13688.9055-2.53%9.2007+0.70%0.0552✗1.0049.7M2022-03-20
GTCGitcoinEthereum7.036.8651-2.35%6.49-7.68%0.0250✓1.38447k2022-03-20
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.0000011960.000001172-1.95%0.00000118-1.32%0.0037✓-0.451.7M2022-03-20
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.020610.020219-1.90%0.01861-9.70%0.0598✓1.021.3M2022-03-20
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.5121.4879-1.60%1.437-4.96%0.0121✓1.001.3M2022-03-20
ETCEthereum Classicnative33.9933.468-1.54%38.21+12.42%0.1551✗1.003.8M2022-03-20
API3Api3Ethereum5.024.9441-1.51%4.773-4.92%0.0210✓0.637.4M2022-03-20
GITCOINGITCOIN7.0166.918-1.40%6.486-7.55%0.0337✓1.3625k2022-03-20
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.20052.1707-1.35%2.1688-1.44%0.0154✗0.7213k2022-03-20
ARPAARPAEthereum0.0720.071052-1.32%0.0705-2.08%0.0191✗1.19352k2022-03-20
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.5881.5685-1.22%1.465-7.75%0.0395✓1.273.5M2022-03-20
WOOWOOEthereum0.5930.585784-1.22%0.6004+1.25%0.0473✗1.005,0542022-03-20
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.8955.8246-1.19%6.238+5.82%0.0795✗0.484.5M2022-03-20
FIDABonfidaSolana1.7181.6975-1.19%1.647-4.13%0.0120✓0.8150k2022-03-20
CTSICartesiEthereum0.35580.35161-1.18%0.3429-3.63%0.0049✓1.32907k2022-03-20
GALAGALAEthereum0.24930.246502-1.12%0.2332-6.46%0.0328✓1.00180k2022-03-20
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.211.1967-1.10%1.12-7.44%0.0431✓1.02522k2022-03-20
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.88040.871021-1.07%0.9266+5.25%0.0896✗1.234.4M2022-03-20
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.7593.7194-1.05%4.103+9.15%0.1126✗0.64650k2022-03-20
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.7132.6845-1.05%2.623-3.32%0.0006✓1.0052k2022-03-20
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum52.0551.5052-1.05%49.87-4.19%0.0039✓1.254.8M2022-03-20
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.660.653111-1.04%0.64-3.03%0.0138✗1.50511k2022-03-20
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.654.6042-0.99%4.45-4.30%0.0022✓1.41361k2022-03-20
LPTLivepeerEthereum27.7127.4414-0.97%26.24-5.30%0.0157✓1.28735k2022-03-20
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.1735.1234-0.96%5.219+0.89%0.0476✗1.282.4M2022-03-20
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0421970.041797-0.95%0.040072-5.04%0.0205✓0.954.6M2022-03-20
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.5236.4618-0.94%6.218-4.68%0.0158✓1.00475k2022-03-20
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.931.912-0.93%1.88-2.59%0.0123✗1.291.2M2022-03-20
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.2615.2122-0.93%4.884-7.17%0.0440✓0.93102k2022-03-20
ORCAOrcaSolana2.132.1103-0.93%2.15+0.94%0.0342✗0.69180k2022-03-20
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.70924.6659-0.92%4.8674+3.36%0.0637✗0.95204k2022-03-20
LUNATerraTerra 292.191.2753-0.90%90.43-1.81%0.0221✗1.399.1M2022-03-20
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.0660.065414-0.89%0.0662+0.30%0.0510✗1.7343.9M2022-03-20
BANDBandEthereum3.813.7781-0.84%3.584-5.93%0.0276✓1.11631k2022-03-20
STXStacksnative1.321.309-0.83%1.26-4.55%0.0169✓0.94463k2022-03-20
CVCCivicEthereum0.29860.296147-0.82%0.2994+0.27%0.0367✗1.14183k2022-03-20
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5477940.543357-0.81%0.549424+0.30%0.0348✗1.051.7M2022-03-20
BFCBifrostEthereum0.154410.153162-0.81%0.15317-0.80%0.0196✗0.8614k2022-03-20
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.4316.3004-0.79%15.84-3.59%0.0007✓1.302.3M2022-03-20
UMAUMAEthereum7.6897.6293-0.78%7.574-1.50%0.0220✗1.306.0M2022-03-20
ZENHorizenBase41.9941.6656-0.77%41.02-2.31%0.0140✗1.31261k2022-03-20
CELLCellframeEthereum1.50321.4916-0.77%1.4713-2.12%0.0186✗1.43236k2022-03-20
SKLSKALEEthereum0.13180.130799-0.76%0.1247-5.39%0.0210✓1.182.1M2022-03-20
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.44450.441171-0.75%0.4042-9.07%0.0441✓1.922.1M2022-03-20
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.35410.351467-0.74%0.3394-4.15%0.0018✓1.4710.2M2022-03-20
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum3.32863.3039-0.74%3.2419-2.60%0.0006✓0.814.1M2022-03-20
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash328.01325.6349-0.72%327.61-0.12%0.0272✗0.946.6M2022-03-20
ZECZcashZcash179.68178.3884-0.72%174.15-3.08%0.0020✓0.9712.5M2022-03-20
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana12.4312.3428-0.70%12.22-1.69%0.0016✓0.511.5M2022-03-20
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.840220.834347-0.70%0.82107-2.28%0.0093✗1.12111k2022-03-20
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche89.5888.9649-0.69%84.85-5.28%0.0177✓1.31119.2M2022-03-20
DODODODOEthereum0.4350.432064-0.67%0.419-3.68%0.0057✓1.112.8M2022-03-20
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.7660.760838-0.67%0.7809+1.95%0.0340✗0.35651k2022-03-20
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.6391.628-0.67%1.566-4.45%0.0164✓0.992.1M2022-03-20
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.41090.408214-0.65%0.3905-4.96%0.0174✓1.198.8M2022-03-20
DIADIAEthereum0.940.933863-0.65%0.94+0.00%0.0149✗0.37271k2022-03-20
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.852.8314-0.65%2.68-5.96%0.0289✓1.15514k2022-03-20
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.19494.1676-0.65%4.2046+0.23%0.0237✗0.664.1M2022-03-20
MOVRMoonriverBase56.506256.1406-0.65%59.6685+5.60%0.0917✗1.36154k2022-03-20
SUNSun TokenTron0.0122330.012154-0.64%0.01417+15.83%0.1745✗0.9311k2022-03-20
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.074650.074172-0.64%0.07518+0.71%0.0377✗1.0754k2022-03-20
XECeCashnative0.000083210.000082678-0.64%0.00007941-4.57%0.0188✓0.954.7M2022-03-20
RADRadworksEthereum4.694.6603-0.63%4.85+3.41%0.0598✗0.88521k2022-03-20
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.098.0389-0.63%7.97-1.48%0.0074✗0.712.1M2022-03-20
COTICOTIEthereum0.21150.210175-0.63%0.2056-2.79%0.0072✗1.291.8M2022-03-20
CHZChilizEthereum0.21140.21008-0.62%0.2035-3.74%0.0057✓1.162.3M2022-03-20
LSKLiskEthereum2.17592.1623-0.62%2.1435-1.49%0.0094✗0.80123k2022-03-20
NANOnanopayBase2.27022.2563-0.62%2.21-2.65%0.0052✓1.14127k2022-03-20
DKAdKargoEthereum0.096510.095917-0.61%0.09509-1.47%0.0112✗0.8829k2022-03-20
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.45420.451444-0.61%0.4472-1.54%0.0195✗1.28433k2022-03-20
AVTAventusEthereum2.152.1372-0.60%2.43+13.02%0.1381✗0.43309k2022-03-20
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.436.3918-0.59%6.31-1.87%0.0036✓0.731.6M2022-03-20
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8630.857874-0.59%0.847-1.85%0.0173✗1.332.0M2022-03-20
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos28.6528.4818-0.59%27.83-2.86%0.0023✓1.1241.1M2022-03-20
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.22850.227171-0.58%0.2322+1.62%0.0445✗1.00352k2022-03-20
COMPCompoundEthereum118.78118.0898-0.58%116.01-2.33%0.0085✗1.1646k2022-03-20
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.333.3107-0.58%3.301-0.87%0.0135✗0.73789k2022-03-20
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000024160.000024024-0.56%0.00002312-4.30%0.0118✓1.172.5M2022-03-20
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.6351.6258-0.56%1.555-4.89%0.0218✓1.00639k2022-03-20
XVGVergenative0.009670.009616-0.55%0.00932-3.62%0.0053✓1.151.6M2022-03-20
KSMKusamaHydration146.84146.0316-0.55%152.19+3.64%0.0669✗1.13671k2022-03-20
MANADecentralandEthereum2.5082.4942-0.55%2.3992-4.34%0.0124✓1.171.4M2022-03-20
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.24180.240479-0.55%0.2275-5.91%0.0329✓1.001.8M2022-03-20
DOTPolkadotPolkadot19.4219.3139-0.55%18.66-3.91%0.0101✓1.0824.4M2022-03-20
AAVEAaveEthereum157.26156.4104-0.54%152.83-2.82%0.0058✗1.287.4M2022-03-20
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.7793.7587-0.54%3.8011+0.58%0.0251✗0.613.8M2022-03-20
UOSUltraEthereum1.15651.1503-0.53%1.119-3.24%0.0017✓1.292.1M2022-03-20
FILFilecoinFilecoin18.2118.1129-0.53%17.65-3.08%0.0039✓0.976.1M2022-03-20
PROPropyEthereum1.531.522-0.52%1.72+12.42%0.1461✗1.05228k2022-03-20
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.1550.154204-0.51%0.1522-1.81%0.0104✗1.04215k2022-03-20
LCXLCXEthereum0.08860.088145-0.51%0.0911+2.82%0.0606✗1.22522k2022-03-20
MINAMina Protocolnative2.162.149-0.51%2.12-1.85%0.0099✗1.04354k2022-03-20
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.511.5023-0.51%1.444-4.37%0.0088✓1.36498k2022-03-20
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.8754.8503-0.51%4.965+1.85%0.0383✗0.66593k2022-03-20
XLMStellarStellar0.200540.199529-0.50%0.197329-1.60%0.0114✗0.9918.9M2022-03-20
STORJStorjEthereum1.09891.0934-0.50%1.0804-1.68%0.0143✗1.16128k2022-03-20
GLMGolemEthereum0.48220.479802-0.50%0.4956+2.78%0.0550✗1.001.6M2022-03-20
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2851.2786-0.50%1.194-7.08%0.0461✓0.992.9M2022-03-20
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.012140.01208-0.50%0.01172-3.46%0.0026✓1.223.1M2022-03-20
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00360.003582-0.49%0.00365+1.39%0.0507✗1.415.2M2022-03-20
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.034530.03436-0.49%0.04486+29.92%0.2830✗0.72895k2022-03-20
LEOLEO TokenEthereum6.0546.0246-0.49%6.0638+0.16%0.0158✗0.41181k2022-03-20
XTZTezosTezos3.25773.2428-0.46%3.3362+2.41%0.0531✗1.091.1M2022-03-20
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.76510.761654-0.45%0.7418-3.05%0.0037✓1.0016.8M2022-03-20
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum17.6217.5407-0.45%16.77-4.82%0.0222✓1.0014.5M2022-03-20
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.073840.073508-0.45%0.0749+1.44%0.0368✗0.809,2172022-03-20
SOLSolanaSolana92.3991.978-0.45%88.64-4.06%0.0086✓1.2592.9M2022-03-20
XMRMoneroMonero197.76196.8837-0.44%194.71-1.54%0.0101✗0.941.7M2022-03-20
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0194850.019399-0.44%0.024805+27.30%0.2641✗0.81167k2022-03-20
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.1713.1131-0.43%12.86-2.35%0.0100✓0.423.0M2022-03-20
XVSVenusEthereum9.149.1009-0.43%8.96-1.97%0.0079✗1.043.0M2022-03-20
SCSiacoinnative0.009810.009768-0.43%0.00918-6.42%0.0372✓1.10441k2022-03-20
AMPAmpEthereum0.026950.026835-0.43%0.02552-5.31%0.0333✓0.752.7M2022-03-20
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.026980.026865-0.43%0.02543-5.74%0.0305✓1.08281k2022-03-20
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.25360.252524-0.42%0.2472-2.52%0.0026✓0.832.3M2022-03-20
FTTFTXEthereum44.9244.7334-0.42%44.03-1.98%0.0075✗1.0314.4M2022-03-20
UNIUniswapEthereum9.749.6997-0.41%9.33-4.21%0.0158✓1.026.1M2022-03-20
LTCLitecoinLitecoin116.82116.34-0.41%114.88-1.66%0.0100✗1.0025.9M2022-03-20
SUSHISushiEthereum3.363.3463-0.41%3.24-3.57%0.0058✓1.176.0M2022-03-20
TRBTellor TributesEthereum20.5620.4763-0.41%19.62-4.57%0.0128✓1.32246k2022-03-20
QNTQuantEthereum119.96119.4728-0.41%118.64-1.10%0.0139✗0.924.4M2022-03-20
KCSKuCoinnative18.63118.5576-0.39%18.205-2.29%0.0012✓0.906.5M2022-03-20
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2390.238071-0.39%0.244+2.09%0.0430✗0.8136k2022-03-20
CBKCobakEthereum2.2492.2403-0.39%2.227-0.98%0.0118✗0.7821k2022-03-20
QTUMQtumQtum6.35446.3298-0.39%6.9787+9.82%0.1232✗1.1397k2022-03-20
YFIyearn.financeEthereum20,673.7920,594.58-0.38%19,923.17-3.63%0.0088✓1.075.7M2022-03-20
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6540.651539-0.38%0.64-2.14%0.0027✓0.912.1M2022-03-20
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.42.3914-0.36%2.35-2.08%0.0046✗0.98146k2022-03-20
ETHEthereumEthereum2,952.162,941.64-0.36%2,862.44-3.04%0.0037✓1.04501.7M2022-03-20
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.2862.278-0.35%2.15-5.95%0.0276✓1.349.5M2022-03-20
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.426.3978-0.35%6.14-4.36%0.0251✓0.711.0M2022-03-20
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum42,269.5042,123.63-0.35%41,609.40-1.56%0.0094✗0.9652k2022-03-20
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.07610.07584-0.34%0.0748-1.71%0.0075✗0.94146k2022-03-20
BTTCBTTC0.000001870.000001864-0.34%0.00000182-2.67%0.0097✓0.6212.5M2022-03-20
LINKChainlinkEthereum15.0114.9596-0.34%14.56-3.00%0.0030✓1.0636.5M2022-03-20
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.051480.051308-0.33%0.04968-3.50%0.0076✓1.09459k2022-03-20
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.36.2798-0.32%6.71+6.51%0.0832✗0.75822k2022-03-20
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012390.012351-0.32%0.0125+0.89%0.0280✗0.719,3002022-03-20
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.2845.2678-0.31%5.461+3.35%0.0575✗0.9578k2022-03-20
ADACardanoCardano0.9030.90025-0.30%0.879-2.66%0.0011✓1.0164.1M2022-03-20
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.75090.748805-0.28%0.7517+0.11%0.0262✗0.996.9M2022-03-20
HIVEHivenative0.93240.929812-0.28%0.9064-2.79%0.0001✓1.122.1M2022-03-20
NMRNumeraireEthereum29.0628.9841-0.26%29.09+0.10%0.0243✗0.91821k2022-03-20
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1236350.12332-0.25%0.119124-3.65%0.0163✓0.812.7M2022-03-20
DASHDashDash103.03102.7803-0.24%115.63+12.23%0.1406✗1.011.7M2022-03-20
ASTRAstarEthereum0.110.109737-0.24%0.106-3.64%0.0226✓0.5334k2022-03-20
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV83.3383.1386-0.23%85.03+2.04%0.0396✗0.761.0M2022-03-20
GTGateEthereum6.32146.3079-0.21%6.4475+1.99%0.0365✗0.643.3M2022-03-20
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.041490.041402-0.21%0.04113-0.87%0.0125✗0.8424k2022-03-20
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.51820.517169-0.20%0.5158-0.46%0.0143✗0.75399k2022-03-20
XEMNEMnative0.10110.100905-0.19%0.0995-1.58%0.0051✗0.8439k2022-03-20
BTCBitcoinBitcoin42,232.2642,162.69-0.16%41,287.24-2.24%0.0016✓1.00688.5M2022-03-20
XYMSymbolnative0.1370.136857-0.10%0.1358-0.88%0.0100✗0.78296k2022-03-20
TRXTRONTron0.0619210.06189-0.05%0.061551-0.60%0.0089✗0.64259k2022-03-20
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.