2022-01-28 · +7d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 144 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1450

144 of 144 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+8.39%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

63.2%

in alpha space · 36.8% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+10.26%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (144 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
HIVE	Hive	native	0.931	0.946657	+1.68%	1.1073	+18.94%	0.0086	✓	1.52	2.6M	2022-02-04
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.0927	0.094088	+1.50%	0.1207	+30.20%	0.1051	✓	1.47	1.7M	2022-02-04
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.038917	0.039407	+1.26%	0.0408	+4.84%	0.0843	✗	1.22	10.1M	2022-02-04
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.49	6.5646	+1.15%	7.38	+13.71%	0.0958	✓	0.22	1.2M	2022-02-04
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.04731	0.04784	+1.12%	0.04226	-10.67%	0.2535	✗	1.33	9.2M	2022-02-04
XMR	Monero	Monero	149.15	150.7561	+1.08%	165.31	+10.83%	0.0064	✓	1.01	2.2M	2022-02-04
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.328	0.331485	+1.06%	0.352	+7.32%	0.0756	✗	1.39	1.7M	2022-02-04
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.057631	0.058143	+0.89%	0.06445	+11.83%	0.0111	✓	0.94	478k	2022-02-04
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.42	8.4927	+0.86%	8.72	+3.56%	0.1024	✗	1.32	2.8M	2022-02-04
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	77.0062	77.6482	+0.83%	88.7362	+15.23%	0.0139	✓	1.22	437k	2022-02-04
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	0.85	0.856431	+0.76%	1.24	+45.88%	0.2221	✓	1.52	528k	2022-02-04
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	25.85	26.0321	+0.70%	29.67	+14.78%	0.0331	✗	1.68	2.7M	2022-02-04
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.438	1.4472	+0.64%	1.721	+19.68%	0.0580	✓	1.18	1.6M	2022-02-04
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.81	5.8466	+0.63%	6.43	+10.67%	0.0188	✓	0.78	481k	2022-02-04
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00547	0.005503	+0.61%	0.00663	+21.21%	0.0355	✗	2.27	21.3M	2022-02-04
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.247	0.248475	+0.60%	0.27	+9.31%	0.0106	✗	0.96	67k	2022-02-04
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	5.7966	5.8312	+0.60%	6.8761	+18.62%	0.0251	✓	1.43	224k	2022-02-04
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	97.25	97.8037	+0.57%	134.25	+38.05%	0.2153	✓	1.04	7.5M	2022-02-04
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.1266	1.1325	+0.52%	1.2494	+10.90%	0.0015	✓	0.99	385k	2022-02-04
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	5.91	5.9393	+0.50%	6.47	+9.48%	0.0081	✗	0.96	953k	2022-02-04
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.020623	0.020716	+0.45%	0.0224	+8.62%	0.0313	✗	1.12	3.2M	2022-02-04
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.491	0.49311	+0.43%	0.543	+10.59%	0.0535	✗	1.53	5.3M	2022-02-04
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	20.08	20.1519	+0.36%	21.99	+9.51%	0.0651	✗	1.56	814k	2022-02-04
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.544057	0.546	+0.36%	0.647332	+18.98%	0.0514	✓	1.22	3.7M	2022-02-04
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.6203	1.6243	+0.25%	1.7925	+10.63%	0.0104	✗	1.12	82k	2022-02-04
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4527	0.453731	+0.23%	0.4872	+7.62%	0.0634	✗	1.38	2.4M	2022-02-04
SOL	Solana	Solana	91.35	91.5373	+0.21%	112.69	+23.36%	0.0924	✓	1.18	164.2M	2022-02-04
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.899	0.900841	+0.20%	0.978	+8.79%	0.0519	✗	1.37	2.4M	2022-02-04
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	169	169.3423	+0.20%	180.53	+6.82%	0.0534	✗	1.20	1.3M	2022-02-04
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.647	2.6519	+0.18%	2.734	+3.29%	0.1193	✗	1.53	986k	2022-02-04
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,546.84	2,550.48	+0.14%	2,998.19	+17.72%	0.0533	✓	1.11	569.1M	2022-02-04
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	37,741.90	37,795.44	+0.14%	41,614.64	+10.26%	0.0014	✗	1.00	734.4M	2022-02-04
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	37,761.00	37,809.01	+0.13%	40,457.70	+7.14%	0.0313	✗	1.01	53k	2022-02-04
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	17.9	17.9181	+0.10%	20.65	+15.36%	0.0357	✗	1.82	3.9M	2022-02-04
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0812	0.081281	+0.10%	0.0871	+7.27%	0.0517	✗	1.24	338k	2022-02-04
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	25.23	25.2523	+0.09%	29.7	+17.72%	0.0569	✓	1.08	3.4M	2022-02-04
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1177	0.1178	+0.08%	0.1601	+36.02%	0.2137	✓	0.95	337k	2022-02-04
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	149.11	149.2192	+0.07%	166.87	+11.91%	0.0210	✗	1.36	13.3M	2022-02-04
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	109.49	109.5554	+0.06%	121.42	+10.90%	0.0276	✗	1.34	33.8M	2022-02-04
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.11	5.1121	+0.04%	5.44	+6.46%	0.0339	✗	0.98	1.0M	2022-02-04
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0629	0.062923	+0.04%	0.0663	+5.41%	0.0872	✗	1.43	605k	2022-02-04
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.04	6.0416	+0.03%	6.46	+6.95%	0.0160	✗	0.85	529k	2022-02-04
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01046	0.010462	+0.02%	0.0106	+1.34%	0.1117	✗	1.28	2.2M	2022-02-04
SC	Siacoin	native	0.0101	0.0101	-0.00%	0.01119	+10.79%	0.0004	✓	1.05	598k	2022-02-04
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002134	0.000021337	-0.02%	0.0000222	+4.03%	0.0982	✓	1.41	1.7M	2022-02-04
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.82	1.8196	-0.02%	2.1	+15.38%	0.0100	✗	1.36	2.8M	2022-02-04
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	10.67	10.6666	-0.03%	11.18	+4.78%	0.0828	✓	1.33	12.5M	2022-02-04
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.93	2.9289	-0.04%	3.43	+17.06%	0.0207	✗	1.40	25.6M	2022-02-04
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.14	5.1381	-0.04%	5.39	+4.86%	0.0232	✓	0.73	437k	2022-02-04
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	6.01	6.0069	-0.05%	6.19	+3.00%	0.0747	✓	1.07	2.4M	2022-02-04
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	3.923	3.9203	-0.07%	4.373	+11.47%	0.0328	✗	0.78	381k	2022-02-04
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	296.79	296.5568	-0.08%	306.37	+3.23%	0.0694	✓	1.04	7.8M	2022-02-04
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007277	0.000072711	-0.08%	0.00008267	+13.60%	0.0198	✗	1.11	5.8M	2022-02-04
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.014181	0.014165	-0.11%	0.016562	+16.79%	0.0406	✗	1.19	2.7M	2022-02-04
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.8173	0.816285	-0.12%	0.9567	+17.06%	0.0513	✗	1.10	19.5M	2022-02-04
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.198646	0.198388	-0.13%	0.209216	+5.32%	0.0479	✓	1.03	26.2M	2022-02-04
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	91.3	91.1528	-0.16%	107.21	+17.43%	0.0333	✗	1.32	7.0M	2022-02-04
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0647	0.064593	-0.16%	0.0704	+8.81%	0.0236	✓	1.12	21k	2022-02-04
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	6.131	6.1209	-0.17%	6.123	-0.13%	0.0817	✓	0.84	133k	2022-02-04
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.1165	3.1113	-0.17%	3.373	+8.23%	0.0264	✓	1.10	3.4M	2022-02-04
XVG	Verge	native	0.00986	0.009843	-0.18%	0.01084	+9.94%	0.0333	✓	1.33	1.6M	2022-02-04
DASH	Dash	Dash	95.64	95.4591	-0.19%	103.07	+7.77%	0.0389	✓	1.18	3.0M	2022-02-04
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.046901	0.046807	-0.20%	0.039645	-15.47%	0.2638	✓	1.00	321k	2022-02-04
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.141603	0.141286	-0.22%	0.147947	+4.48%	0.0563	✓	1.05	7.1M	2022-02-04
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05152	0.051401	-0.23%	0.05692	+10.48%	0.0372	✓	1.43	1.7M	2022-02-04
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.5887	0.587193	-0.26%	0.6793	+15.39%	0.0042	✓	1.53	1.4M	2022-02-04
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.65	1.6453	-0.28%	1.77	+7.27%	0.0516	✓	1.28	2.2M	2022-02-04
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.03024	0.030154	-0.28%	0.03121	+3.21%	0.0566	✓	0.93	8.7M	2022-02-04
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.3494	2.3423	-0.30%	2.207	-6.06%	0.1807	✓	1.24	884k	2022-02-04
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	16.16	16.1004	-0.37%	17.51	+8.35%	0.0353	✓	1.22	81.3M	2022-02-04
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5223	0.520367	-0.37%	0.5902	+13.00%	0.0074	✓	1.36	2.7M	2022-02-04
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	19.63	19.5568	-0.37%	21.63	+10.19%	0.0147	✓	1.18	13.3M	2022-02-04
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	67.06	66.7831	-0.41%	77.91	+16.18%	0.0248	✗	1.32	87.3M	2022-02-04
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2434	0.242323	-0.44%	0.2513	+3.25%	0.0852	✓	1.24	1.9M	2022-02-04
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.736	0.732534	-0.47%	0.772	+4.89%	0.0556	✓	1.11	1.9M	2022-02-04
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	14.23	14.1589	-0.50%	15.13	+6.32%	0.0308	✓	0.99	886k	2022-02-04
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.2835	2.2717	-0.52%	2.8185	+23.43%	0.1232	✗	0.95	2.8M	2022-02-04
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1798	0.178863	-0.52%	0.2023	+12.51%	0.0104	✓	1.37	3.9M	2022-02-04
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.0715	3.054	-0.57%	3.4217	+11.40%	0.0285	✗	0.87	16k	2022-02-04
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.0264	3.009	-0.57%	4.0141	+32.64%	0.1549	✗	1.36	2.5M	2022-02-04
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.1835	0.182396	-0.60%	0.20472	+11.56%	0.0385	✓	1.58	21k	2022-02-04
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.011	2.9927	-0.61%	3.234	+7.41%	0.0003	✓	0.80	407k	2022-02-04
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.181	2.1674	-0.62%	2.495	+14.40%	0.0352	✗	1.08	23k	2022-02-04
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	124.2	123.3891	-0.65%	132.7	+6.84%	0.0519	✓	1.28	74k	2022-02-04
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4141	0.411333	-0.67%	0.4406	+6.40%	0.0567	✓	1.28	10.2M	2022-02-04
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08808	0.087481	-0.68%	0.09859	+11.93%	0.0026	✓	1.20	46k	2022-02-04
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.4691	3.4442	-0.72%	5.1583	+48.69%	0.4061	✗	-0.02	350k	2022-02-04
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.4	2.3826	-0.73%	2.65	+10.42%	0.0065	✓	1.02	794k	2022-02-04
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1183	0.117441	-0.73%	0.1262	+6.68%	0.0561	✓	1.31	3.8M	2022-02-04
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01255	0.012459	-0.73%	0.01363	+8.61%	0.0021	✓	0.90	20k	2022-02-04
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04014	0.039847	-0.73%	0.04407	+9.79%	0.0097	✓	1.13	31k	2022-02-04
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.97	1.9554	-0.74%	2.14	+8.63%	0.0538	✓	1.47	4.2M	2022-02-04
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		90.37	89.6895	-0.75%	95.61	+5.80%	0.0283	✓	0.94	1.7M	2022-02-04
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.9591	0.951686	-0.77%	0.9987	+4.13%	0.0656	✓	1.17	37.7M	2022-02-04
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.7962	2.7739	-0.80%	3.186	+13.94%	0.0379	✗	1.03	1.9M	2022-02-04
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.05	8.9757	-0.82%	9.89	+9.28%	0.0240	✗	0.75	709k	2022-02-04
KCS	KuCoin	native	16.846	16.7069	-0.83%	19.447	+15.44%	0.0042	✓	1.51	10.9M	2022-02-04
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.34	18.1832	-0.85%	20.51	+11.83%	0.0139	✓	1.38	51.5M	2022-02-04
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.5861	6.5296	-0.86%	7.0386	+6.87%	0.0155	✓	0.93	4.3M	2022-02-04
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	50.6	50.1519	-0.89%	54.06	+6.84%	0.0852	✓	1.64	8.8M	2022-02-04
ZEN	Horizen	Base	38.97	38.6248	-0.89%	43.19	+10.83%	0.0424	✓	1.58	626k	2022-02-04
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.16	4.123	-0.89%	4.47	+7.45%	0.0506	✓	1.35	11.6M	2022-02-04
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.46	3.4285	-0.91%	3.84	+10.98%	0.0078	✓	1.24	2.5M	2022-02-04
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.923	5.8684	-0.92%	6.454	+8.97%	0.0012	✓	0.99	320k	2022-02-04
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2523	0.249938	-0.94%	0.3064	+21.44%	0.0935	✗	1.13	532k	2022-02-04
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.29	2.2686	-0.94%	2.71	+18.34%	0.0620	✗	1.19	611k	2022-02-04
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	47.09	46.6466	-0.94%	51.33	+9.00%	0.0175	✓	1.16	7.5M	2022-02-04
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.639	1.6233	-0.96%	1.823	+11.23%	0.0106	✓	1.30	1.7M	2022-02-04
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.482	0.477251	-0.99%	0.41	-14.94%	0.2947	✓	1.46	2.1M	2022-02-04
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.0486	1.0379	-1.02%	1.1398	+8.70%	0.0167	✓	1.13	113.2M	2022-02-04
XEM	NEM	native	0.0999	0.09885	-1.05%	0.1096	+9.71%	0.0011	✓	1.05	43k	2022-02-04
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.75	3.7099	-1.07%	3.57	-4.80%	0.0600	✓	0.22	720k	2022-02-04
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		7.091	7.0144	-1.08%	7.996	+12.76%	0.1069	✗	0.25	38k	2022-02-04
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	7.1	7.0216	-1.10%	8.01	+12.82%	0.1035	✗	0.29	1.9M	2022-02-04
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.82	2.788	-1.13%	3	+6.38%	0.0771	✓	1.54	2.2M	2022-02-04
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.9906	0.9789	-1.18%	0.9113	-8.01%	0.2636	✓	1.97	1.1M	2022-02-04
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.436	1.4189	-1.19%	1.458	+1.53%	0.0986	✓	1.29	3.6M	2022-02-04
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.64	0.632156	-1.23%	0.8	+25.00%	0.0537	✗	1.86	1.2M	2022-02-04
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.07192	0.071001	-1.28%	0.08239	+14.56%	0.0725	✗	0.78	67k	2022-02-04
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	20.31	20.0435	-1.31%	22.27	+9.65%	0.0172	✓	1.25	34.3M	2022-02-04
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.5826	4.5223	-1.32%	4.9837	+8.75%	0.0222	✓	1.22	430k	2022-02-04
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.86446	0.852531	-1.38%	0.89908	+4.00%	0.1155	✓	1.73	643k	2022-02-04
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	12.86	12.6803	-1.40%	14.97	+16.41%	0.0995	✗	0.68	774k	2022-02-04
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3094	0.304458	-1.60%	0.3098	+0.13%	0.1352	✓	1.56	4.2M	2022-02-04
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.0442	1.0275	-1.60%	1.172	+12.24%	0.0057	✓	1.29	2.4M	2022-02-04
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.294	3.2407	-1.62%	3.56	+8.08%	0.0089	✓	0.87	944k	2022-02-04
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	23,506.67	23,074.57	-1.84%	24,905.44	+5.95%	0.0133	✓	0.92	19.5M	2022-02-04
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5555	0.545057	-1.88%	0.5994	+7.90%	0.0193	✓	1.17	2.1M	2022-02-04
XYM	Symbol	native	0.177	0.173332	-2.07%	0.1886	+6.55%	0.0184	✓	0.68	573k	2022-02-04
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0353	0.034538	-2.16%	0.0408	+15.58%	0.0231	✗	1.47	852k	2022-02-04
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.8915	0.872104	-2.18%	0.964	+8.13%	0.0480	✓	1.52	107k	2022-02-04
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	40.01	39.1338	-2.19%	46.03	+15.05%	0.0439	✗	1.21	35.1M	2022-02-04
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.0541	0.052883	-2.25%	0.05094	-5.84%	0.1351	✓	1.00	5.9M	2022-02-04
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.57	4.4658	-2.28%	5.53	+21.01%	0.0926	✗	1.24	3.0M	2022-02-04
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	29.5	28.8018	-2.37%	31.13	+5.53%	0.0325	✓	1.13	130.3M	2022-02-04
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.25	2.1933	-2.52%	2.29	+1.78%	0.1078	✓	1.54	2.4M	2022-02-04
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	6.452	6.2858	-2.58%	5.748	-10.91%	0.1871	✓	1.00	1.5M	2022-02-04
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.7954	1.7486	-2.60%	2.0881	+16.30%	0.1019	✗	0.77	2.8M	2022-02-04
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	27.6	26.8331	-2.78%	29.4	+6.52%	0.0140	✓	0.79	407k	2022-02-04
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.6272	0.60377	-3.74%	0.5318	-15.21%	0.3112	✓	1.89	50.8M	2022-02-04
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.39	2.2976	-3.87%	2.1	-12.13%	0.1876	✓	1.00	3.6M	2022-02-04
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.2839	1.2253	-4.57%	1.2609	-1.79%	0.0690	✓	1.00	3.5M	2022-02-04
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.114	0.108578	-4.76%	0.124	+8.77%	0.0351	✓	1.00	149k	2022-02-04
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0567	0.053918	-4.91%	0.0798	+40.74%	0.1789	✗	2.18	23.2M	2022-02-04

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.