2022-01-21 · +7d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 141 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.3422

141 of 141 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+15.44%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

87.9%

in alpha space · 75.9% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+3.52%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (141 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.8678	0.870682	+0.33%	0.9906	+14.15%	0.0611	✓	1.96	1.1M	2022-01-28
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.0939	0.094023	+0.13%	0.0927	-1.28%	0.0608	✗	1.35	2.0M	2022-01-28
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.5186	0.519187	+0.11%	0.482	-7.06%	0.1167	✗	1.22	2.4M	2022-01-28
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.2277	3.2271	-0.02%	3.0715	-4.84%	0.0791	✓	0.86	2,257	2022-01-28
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	36,607.80	36,473.37	-0.37%	37,761.00	+3.15%	0.0000	✓	1.00	18k	2022-01-28
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.352	0.350104	-0.54%	0.328	-6.82%	0.1135	✓	1.39	1.8M	2022-01-28
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.16704	0.166118	-0.55%	0.1835	+9.85%	0.0466	✗	1.53	6,849	2022-01-28
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0634	0.062945	-0.72%	0.0647	+2.05%	0.0113	✓	1.12	21k	2022-01-28
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	17.88	17.7035	-0.99%	17.9	+0.11%	0.0517	✓	1.81	4.1M	2022-01-28
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	24.86	24.6015	-1.04%	25.85	+3.98%	0.0099	✓	1.71	2.7M	2022-01-28
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0417	0.041259	-1.06%	0.0567	+35.97%	0.2833	✗	1.00	24.3M	2022-01-28
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.061109	0.060361	-1.22%	0.057631	-5.69%	0.0792	✓	0.95	486k	2022-01-28
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.72	6.6307	-1.33%	6.49	-3.42%	0.0278	✓	0.18	1.2M	2022-01-28
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	95	93.5689	-1.51%	77.0062	-18.94%	0.2385	✓	1.26	489k	2022-01-28
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0619	0.060946	-1.54%	0.0629	+1.62%	0.0184	✓	1.44	684k	2022-01-28
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.6747	0.664018	-1.58%	0.5887	-12.75%	0.1731	✓	1.52	1.4M	2022-01-28
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.041641	0.040978	-1.59%	0.038917	-6.54%	0.0960	✓	1.28	9.3M	2022-01-28
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05388	0.052987	-1.66%	0.05152	-4.38%	0.0799	✓	1.50	2.1M	2022-01-28
HIVE	Hive	native	0.906	0.890898	-1.67%	0.931	+2.76%	0.0064	✓	1.46	3.9M	2022-01-28
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	25.95	25.4413	-1.96%	25.23	-2.77%	0.0460	✓	1.09	3.3M	2022-01-28
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.3265	2.2803	-1.98%	2.3494	+0.99%	0.0126	✓	1.23	699k	2022-01-28
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.03977	0.038888	-2.22%	0.04014	+0.93%	0.0069	✓	1.11	25k	2022-01-28
XVG	Verge	native	0.01002	0.009798	-2.22%	0.00986	-1.60%	0.0399	✓	1.34	1.8M	2022-01-28
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.71	2.6492	-2.24%	2.82	+4.06%	0.0072	✓	1.60	2.2M	2022-01-28
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	6.49	6.3434	-2.26%	5.91	-8.94%	0.1014	✓	0.88	1.0M	2022-01-28
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	36,456.94	35,632.19	-2.26%	37,741.90	+3.52%	0.0229	✗	1.00	648.0M	2022-01-28
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	6.6	6.4435	-2.37%	6.01	-8.94%	0.1057	✓	1.04	3.9M	2022-01-28
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.795	2.7283	-2.39%	2.647	-5.30%	0.0833	✓	1.53	1.1M	2022-01-28
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.142057	0.138658	-2.39%	0.141603	-0.32%	0.0161	✓	1.07	6.7M	2022-01-28
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	21.23	20.7177	-2.41%	20.08	-5.42%	0.0843	✓	1.53	944k	2022-01-28
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.55846	0.544824	-2.44%	0.544057	-2.58%	0.0430	✓	1.20	2.3M	2022-01-28
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	114.51	111.7067	-2.45%	109.49	-4.38%	0.0661	✓	1.33	30.5M	2022-01-28
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.022082	0.021535	-2.47%	0.020623	-6.61%	0.0814	✓	1.10	3.7M	2022-01-28
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4811	0.469163	-2.48%	0.4527	-5.90%	0.0844	✓	1.40	2.6M	2022-01-28
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2396	0.233466	-2.56%	0.2523	+5.30%	0.0394	✗	1.10	440k	2022-01-28
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	9.94	9.6835	-2.58%	8.42	-15.29%	0.1802	✓	1.17	3.0M	2022-01-28
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.243	6.0795	-2.62%	6.5861	+5.50%	0.0486	✗	0.91	4.3M	2022-01-28
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08324	0.081026	-2.66%	0.08808	+5.81%	0.0425	✗	1.18	38k	2022-01-28
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.271	0.263551	-2.75%	0.247	-8.86%	0.0963	✓	0.91	60k	2022-01-28
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.445	1.4051	-2.76%	1.438	-0.48%	0.0181	✓	1.19	1.8M	2022-01-28
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0834	0.081082	-2.78%	0.0812	-2.64%	0.0399	✓	1.20	269k	2022-01-28
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.07197	0.069966	-2.78%	0.07192	-0.07%	0.0001	✓	0.79	56k	2022-01-28
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.0303	0.029455	-2.79%	0.03024	-0.20%	0.0080	✓	0.99	8.3M	2022-01-28
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.561	0.545291	-2.80%	0.491	-12.48%	0.1584	✓	1.55	8.0M	2022-01-28
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.1225	5.95	-2.82%	5.7966	-5.32%	0.0756	✓	1.43	263k	2022-01-28
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0363	0.035273	-2.83%	0.0353	-2.75%	0.0497	✓	1.46	1.1M	2022-01-28
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	0.97	0.942525	-2.83%	0.85	-12.37%	0.1597	✓	1.63	569k	2022-01-28
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.764	0.742005	-2.88%	0.736	-3.66%	0.0460	✓	1.09	2.0M	2022-01-28
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	114.44	111.1254	-2.90%	97.25	-15.02%	0.1674	✓	0.98	6.9M	2022-01-28
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.05552	0.053904	-2.91%	0.04731	-14.79%	0.1767	✓	1.33	12.0M	2022-01-28
KCS	KuCoin	native	16.808	16.3125	-2.95%	16.846	+0.23%	0.0230	✓	1.59	10.7M	2022-01-28
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.0092	0.008925	-2.99%	0.00547	-40.54%	0.5732	✓	2.41	23.2M	2022-01-28
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.202862	0.196658	-3.06%	0.198646	-2.08%	0.0270	✓	1.07	24.9M	2022-01-28
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002226	0.000021564	-3.13%	0.00002134	-4.13%	0.0588	✓	1.40	1.7M	2022-01-28
DASH	Dash	Dash	105.73	102.416	-3.13%	95.64	-9.54%	0.1104	✓	1.21	2.8M	2022-01-28
ZEN	Horizen	Base	38.94	37.7192	-3.14%	38.97	+0.08%	0.0211	✓	1.55	620k	2022-01-28
XMR	Monero	Monero	172.82	167.3806	-3.15%	149.15	-13.70%	0.1492	✓	0.98	2.7M	2022-01-28
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.12	3.9895	-3.17%	3.923	-4.78%	0.0427	✓	0.75	445k	2022-01-28
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.1211	1.0856	-3.17%	1.0486	-6.47%	0.0739	✓	1.13	104.1M	2022-01-28
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	6.31	6.1095	-3.18%	5.81	-7.92%	0.0756	✓	0.73	652k	2022-01-28
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,569.01	2,486.91	-3.20%	2,546.84	-0.86%	0.0148	✓	1.12	502.4M	2022-01-28
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.984	0.952137	-3.24%	0.899	-8.64%	0.1053	✓	1.38	2.3M	2022-01-28
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.1848	1.1462	-3.26%	1.1266	-4.91%	0.0514	✓	0.99	402k	2022-01-28
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	15.55	15.0415	-3.27%	14.23	-8.49%	0.0928	✓	1.08	841k	2022-01-28
SOL	Solana	Solana	112.32	108.5134	-3.39%	91.35	-18.67%	0.2125	✓	1.16	142.2M	2022-01-28
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2523	0.243688	-3.41%	0.2434	-3.53%	0.0447	✓	1.26	1.9M	2022-01-28
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5351	0.516759	-3.43%	0.5555	+3.81%	0.0285	✓	1.27	1.7M	2022-01-28
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01044	0.010081	-3.44%	0.0101	-3.26%	0.0351	✓	1.07	641k	2022-01-28
XEM	NEM	native	0.097	0.09365	-3.45%	0.0999	+2.99%	0.0275	✓	1.07	41k	2022-01-28
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5619	0.542454	-3.46%	0.5223	-7.05%	0.0829	✓	1.30	3.2M	2022-01-28
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007968	0.000076894	-3.50%	0.00007277	-8.67%	0.0910	✓	1.04	6.5M	2022-01-28
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.64	5.442	-3.51%	5.14	-8.87%	0.0804	✓	0.67	494k	2022-01-28
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	17.44	16.8236	-3.53%	16.16	-7.34%	0.0827	✓	1.22	75.4M	2022-01-28
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.6672	1.6082	-3.54%	1.6203	-2.81%	0.0317	✓	1.13	95k	2022-01-28
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.198	0.190993	-3.54%	0.1798	-9.19%	0.1084	✓	1.39	4.3M	2022-01-28
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.56	6.3276	-3.54%	6.04	-7.93%	0.0744	✓	0.80	616k	2022-01-28
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.2219	2.1431	-3.55%	2.2835	+2.77%	0.0241	✓	1.14	4.3M	2022-01-28
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01394	0.013443	-3.57%	0.01255	-9.97%	0.0986	✓	0.86	21k	2022-01-28
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.197	2.1182	-3.59%	2.181	-0.73%	0.0077	✓	1.07	24k	2022-01-28
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.29	2.2077	-3.60%	2.25	-1.75%	0.0302	✓	1.42	2.7M	2022-01-28
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.4321	1.3805	-3.60%	1.7954	+25.37%	0.2333	✗	0.85	1.4M	2022-01-28
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	12.63	12.1695	-3.65%	10.67	-15.52%	0.1768	✓	1.31	12.7M	2022-01-28
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01111	0.010704	-3.65%	0.01046	-5.85%	0.0664	✓	1.25	2.2M	2022-01-28
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	0.91734	0.88371	-3.67%	1.0442	+13.83%	0.1254	✗	1.20	2.4M	2022-01-28
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.81011	0.780266	-3.68%	0.86446	+6.71%	0.0428	✗	1.72	848k	2022-01-28
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.016171	0.015566	-3.74%	0.014181	-12.31%	0.1349	✓	1.20	2.7M	2022-01-28
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2921	0.281155	-3.75%	0.3094	+5.92%	0.0404	✗	1.60	4.6M	2022-01-28
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	23.31	22.4356	-3.75%	27.6	+18.40%	0.1819	✗	0.73	342k	2022-01-28
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	102.35	98.5085	-3.75%	91.3	-10.80%	0.1220	✓	1.33	8.4M	2022-01-28
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.46	2.3675	-3.76%	2.4	-2.44%	0.0217	✓	1.02	869k	2022-01-28
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	21.98	21.1471	-3.79%	19.63	-10.69%	0.1150	✓	1.17	14.5M	2022-01-28
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2	1.9242	-3.79%	1.82	-9.00%	0.1024	✓	1.35	3.1M	2022-01-28
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1639	0.157633	-3.82%	0.177	+7.99%	0.0922	✗	0.68	536k	2022-01-28
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	315.04	302.8774	-3.86%	296.79	-5.79%	0.0564	✓	1.04	7.0M	2022-01-28
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	58.39	56.125	-3.88%	47.09	-19.35%	0.2161	✓	1.17	6.3M	2022-01-28
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	213.87	205.5442	-3.89%	169	-20.98%	0.2367	✓	1.18	1.3M	2022-01-28
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.857	0.823146	-3.95%	0.8173	-4.63%	0.0447	✓	1.09	22.7M	2022-01-28
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.168	3.0427	-3.96%	3.011	-4.96%	0.0368	✓	0.76	526k	2022-01-28
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1474	0.141554	-3.97%	0.1177	-20.15%	0.2171	✓	0.94	362k	2022-01-28
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1206	0.115812	-3.97%	0.1183	-1.91%	0.0252	✓	1.34	4.3M	2022-01-28
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.73	0.700985	-3.97%	0.64	-12.33%	0.1561	✓	1.88	1.3M	2022-01-28
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.5345	3.3915	-4.05%	3.4691	-1.85%	0.0219	✓	0.02	371k	2022-01-28
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.68	5.4502	-4.05%	5.11	-10.04%	0.0990	✓	1.00	1.0M	2022-01-28
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	38.52	36.9598	-4.05%	40.01	+3.87%	0.0390	✓	1.16	25.7M	2022-01-28
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4366	0.418825	-4.07%	0.4141	-5.15%	0.0566	✓	1.31	10.8M	2022-01-28
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	13.42	12.8686	-4.11%	12.86	-4.17%	0.0245	✓	0.69	813k	2022-01-28
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.738	1.6652	-4.19%	1.639	-5.70%	0.0586	✓	1.24	1.9M	2022-01-28
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	3.31	3.169	-4.26%	2.93	-11.48%	0.1298	✓	1.48	32.4M	2022-01-28
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.957	5.7026	-4.27%	6.131	+2.92%	0.0451	✗	0.79	163k	2022-01-28
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.8913	0.853188	-4.28%	0.8915	+0.02%	0.0013	✓	1.23	108k	2022-01-28
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.209	1.1571	-4.30%	1.436	+18.78%	0.1717	✗	1.28	4.0M	2022-01-28
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.061424	0.058751	-4.35%	0.046901	-23.64%	0.2599	✓	1.00	644k	2022-01-28
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.0303	0.985321	-4.37%	0.9591	-6.91%	0.0685	✓	1.20	32.1M	2022-01-28
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.4	8.988	-4.38%	9.05	-3.72%	0.0184	✓	0.73	800k	2022-01-28
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.65	4.444	-4.43%	3.75	-19.35%	0.1847	✓	0.43	471k	2022-01-28
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.392	3.241	-4.45%	3.294	-2.89%	0.0131	✓	0.85	1.1M	2022-01-28
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	19.67	18.7826	-4.51%	18.34	-6.76%	0.0716	✓	1.38	58.5M	2022-01-28
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.96	3.7812	-4.51%	3.46	-12.63%	0.1293	✓	1.17	2.4M	2022-01-28
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	66.07	63.0748	-4.53%	67.06	+1.50%	0.0166	✓	1.29	87.3M	2022-01-28
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.11	2.9689	-4.54%	2.7962	-10.09%	0.0944	✓	0.99	2.2M	2022-01-28
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	64.94	61.9915	-4.54%	50.6	-22.08%	0.2663	✓	1.83	7.7M	2022-01-28
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.7186	4.5042	-4.54%	4.5826	-2.88%	0.0237	✓	1.18	443k	2022-01-28
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	171.09	163.2887	-4.56%	149.11	-12.85%	0.1334	✓	1.23	17.6M	2022-01-28
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.555	3.3918	-4.59%	3.1165	-12.33%	0.1260	✓	1.19	3.9M	2022-01-28
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	139.37	132.914	-4.63%	124.2	-10.88%	0.1099	✓	1.21	88k	2022-01-28
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		95.68	91.1511	-4.73%	90.37	-5.55%	0.0412	✓	0.94	1.8M	2022-01-28
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.84	1.7519	-4.79%	1.65	-10.33%	0.0963	✓	1.05	2.7M	2022-01-28
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.17	3.9652	-4.91%	4.57	+9.59%	0.1002	✗	1.21	3.2M	2022-01-28
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	2.45	2.3268	-5.03%	1.97	-19.59%	0.2155	✓	1.42	7.4M	2022-01-28
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.9	2.7516	-5.12%	2.29	-21.03%	0.2226	✓	1.12	737k	2022-01-28
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.3417	3.1662	-5.25%	3.0264	-9.44%	0.0916	✓	1.34	3.1M	2022-01-28
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		7.826	7.4025	-5.41%	7.091	-9.39%	0.0540	✓	0.32	38k	2022-01-28
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	25,741.64	24,267.57	-5.73%	23,506.67	-8.68%	0.0606	✓	0.83	20.9M	2022-01-28
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	8.351	7.8664	-5.80%	5.923	-29.07%	0.3186	✓	1.01	301k	2022-01-28
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.96	4.6631	-5.98%	4.16	-16.13%	0.1597	✓	1.32	17.0M	2022-01-28
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	24.19	22.7188	-6.08%	20.31	-16.04%	0.1571	✓	1.30	34.9M	2022-01-28
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	7.97	7.4797	-6.15%	7.1	-10.92%	0.0647	✓	0.36	3.1M	2022-01-28
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.5661	1.4523	-7.27%	1.2839	-18.02%	0.1579	✓	1.00	4.2M	2022-01-28
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.6365	0.587798	-7.65%	0.6272	-1.46%	0.0025	✓	1.80	46.2M	2022-01-28
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	8.647	7.9718	-7.81%	6.452	-25.38%	0.2462	✓	1.00	1.7M	2022-01-28
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	34.64	31.6813	-8.54%	29.5	-14.84%	0.1050	✓	0.97	104.1M	2022-01-28

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.