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2022-01-20 · +7d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 140 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0816
140 of 140 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-1.18%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
45.7%
in alpha space · 48.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-8.56%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (140 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.67210.70047+4.22%0.4535-32.52%0.3382✗1.082.5M2022-01-27
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05290.05394+1.97%0.0541+2.27%0.0925✓1.0023.9M2022-01-27
LRCLoopringEthereum1.06531.0862+1.97%0.9645-9.46%0.0552✓1.941.2M2022-01-27
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum21.1221.4553+1.59%16.82-20.36%0.0761✗1.874.1M2022-01-27
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.04520.045885+1.51%0.0357-21.02%0.1278✗1.381.2M2022-01-27
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.111.1267+1.50%0.81-27.03%0.1797✗1.68556k2022-01-27
XVSVenusEthereum11.3611.4899+1.14%8.39-26.14%0.2100✗1.172.9M2022-01-27
MOVRMoonriverBase119.9355121.2578+1.10%73.6045-38.63%0.3953✗1.16489k2022-01-27
HIVEHivenative1.06991.0789+0.84%0.8838-17.39%0.0713✗1.433.7M2022-01-27
LCXLCXEthereum0.11410.11503+0.82%0.0947-17.00%0.0788✗1.292.0M2022-01-27
TRXTRONTron0.0676940.068246+0.82%0.056453-16.61%0.1044✗0.95486k2022-01-27
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.012270.012369+0.80%0.01041-15.16%0.0541✗1.322.1M2022-01-27
DEXEDeXeEthereum7.978.0323+0.78%6.37-20.08%0.2313✗0.011.2M2022-01-27
NANOnanopayBase2.82032.842+0.77%2.3156-17.90%0.1014✗1.16665k2022-01-27
SUNSun TokenTron0.0183780.018509+0.71%0.014097-23.29%0.1627✗1.222.7M2022-01-27
TRBTellor TributesEthereum24.3924.5594+0.69%18.67-23.45%0.1342✗1.561.0M2022-01-27
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.4280.430915+0.68%0.314-26.64%0.1969✗1.341.8M2022-01-27
BTCBitcoinBitcoin40,670.9740,941.02+0.66%37,188.37-8.56%0.0066✗1.00636.6M2022-01-27
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.032.0418+0.58%1.59-21.67%0.1540✗1.072.7M2022-01-27
SOLSolanaSolana127.52128.2444+0.57%89.55-29.78%0.2551✗1.16142.2M2022-01-27
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.387.4206+0.55%5.84-20.87%0.1821✗0.64652k2022-01-27
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum41,418.1041,643.41+0.54%37,269.30-10.02%0.0230✗0.9816k2022-01-27
LINKChainlinkEthereum20.1820.288+0.54%15.23-24.53%0.1773✗1.2273.6M2022-01-27
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.068850.069208+0.52%0.04978-27.70%0.2066✗1.372.1M2022-01-27
AMPAmpEthereum0.035330.035501+0.49%0.02909-17.66%0.1160✗0.938.3M2022-01-27
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.352.3611+0.47%1.76-25.11%0.1745✗1.333.1M2022-01-27
ETHEthereumEthereum3,000.943,015.08+0.47%2,425.82-19.16%0.1210✗1.08485.8M2022-01-27
CRVCurve DAOEthereum3.973.9886+0.47%2.79-29.72%0.2263✗1.4632.4M2022-01-27
RADRadworksEthereum6.896.9189+0.42%5.07-26.42%0.2315✗0.891.0M2022-01-27
XYMSymbolnative0.17820.178938+0.41%0.1614-9.43%0.0416✗0.69573k2022-01-27
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.6791.6858+0.41%1.399-16.68%0.0815✗1.171.8M2022-01-27
QNTQuantEthereum132.32132.8571+0.41%93.16-29.59%0.2704✗0.946.7M2022-01-27
FILFilecoinFilecoin26.1926.294+0.40%19.21-26.65%0.2143✗1.1114.5M2022-01-27
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.045370.045543+0.38%0.0403-11.17%0.0238✗1.1024k2022-01-27
SPELLSpellEthereum0.012070.012114+0.37%0.00534-55.76%0.6058✗2.3823.2M2022-01-27
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2721.2766+0.36%1.42+11.64%0.2307✓1.394.0M2022-01-27
NMRNumeraireEthereum25.4325.5202+0.35%26.76+5.23%0.1121✓0.72342k2022-01-27
SUSHISushiEthereum5.815.8292+0.33%4.05-30.29%0.2477✗1.3017.0M2022-01-27
QTUMQtumQtum7.0577.0802+0.33%5.5654-21.14%0.1110✗1.45251k2022-01-27
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.1431.1464+0.30%0.861-24.67%0.1618✗1.392.3M2022-01-27
MASKMask NetworkEthereum7.967.9834+0.29%5.62-29.40%0.2847✗0.741.0M2022-01-27
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.28320.284008+0.29%0.2343-17.27%0.0770✗1.291.9M2022-01-27
SKLSKALEEthereum0.14840.148819+0.28%0.1127-24.06%0.1647✗1.274.2M2022-01-27
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.926.9395+0.28%5.873-15.13%0.1035✗0.71163k2022-01-27
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07360.073797+0.27%0.065-11.68%0.0001✓1.42826k2022-01-27
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000026480.000026544+0.24%0.00002125-19.75%0.1015✗1.351.7M2022-01-27
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0506370.050755+0.23%0.038232-24.50%0.1755✗1.208.4M2022-01-27
XLMStellarStellar0.2314980.23203+0.23%0.194019-16.19%0.0848✗1.0524.4M2022-01-27
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.86820.86999+0.21%0.5781-33.41%0.2827✗1.411.4M2022-01-27
UOSUltraEthereum1.13131.1333+0.18%0.99692-11.88%0.0321✗1.072.4M2022-01-27
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07230.072425+0.17%0.0638-11.76%0.0276✗1.1121k2022-01-27
UNIUniswapEthereum14.4914.5145+0.17%10.32-28.78%0.2227✗1.3212.4M2022-01-27
DASHDashDash121.15121.3507+0.17%91.73-24.28%0.1720✗1.202.8M2022-01-27
GTCGitcoinEthereum9.529.5354+0.16%6.75-29.10%0.3293✗0.183.1M2022-01-27
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum69.0969.2012+0.16%47.47-31.29%0.2774✗1.116.3M2022-01-27
COMPCompoundEthereum162.17162.4093+0.15%121.94-24.81%0.1803✗1.1995k2022-01-27
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.98383.9894+0.14%3.0464-23.53%0.1639✗1.183.9M2022-01-27
DODODODOEthereum0.6820.682959+0.14%0.482-29.33%0.2131✗1.518.0M2022-01-27
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche79.3579.45+0.13%64.73-18.42%0.0957✗1.2287.3M2022-01-27
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.16141.1627+0.12%0.9364-19.37%0.1077✗1.2230.5M2022-01-27
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum24.9825.0074+0.11%19.61-21.50%0.1142✗1.4434.3M2022-01-27
XVGVergenative0.012340.012353+0.11%0.00965-21.80%0.1345✗1.261.8M2022-01-27
XECeCashnative0.000090530.000090625+0.11%0.00007022-22.43%0.1636✗1.026.5M2022-01-27
XTZTezosTezos3.7153.7189+0.11%2.9095-21.68%0.1208✗1.393.1M2022-01-27
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.067850.067917+0.10%0.04646-31.53%0.2666✗1.2612.0M2022-01-27
ZECZcashZcash118.84118.9542+0.10%88.89-25.20%0.1727✗1.338.4M2022-01-27
SCSiacoinnative0.012170.01218+0.09%0.00962-20.95%0.1450✗1.02641k2022-01-27
ETCEthereum Classicnative29.3729.3945+0.08%24.33-17.16%0.0918✗1.093.3M2022-01-27
LPTLivepeerEthereum30.2530.2665+0.05%24.3-19.67%0.0691✗1.682.7M2022-01-27
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.82.8015+0.05%2.3-17.86%0.1078✗1.00855k2022-01-27
DOTPolkadotPolkadot2323.0093+0.04%18.13-21.17%0.1156✗1.3758.5M2022-01-27
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana7.47.4017+0.02%5.9-20.27%0.1581✗0.77638k2022-01-27
AUCTIONBounceEthereum18.3418.3436+0.02%13.95-23.94%0.1834✗1.01807k2022-01-27
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1555090.155517+0.01%0.141443-9.05%0.0044✓1.116.5M2022-01-27
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3280.327961-0.01%0.243-25.91%0.2285✓0.8051k2022-01-27
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.10020.100181-0.02%0.0794-20.76%0.1321✓1.12244k2022-01-27
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.01731.0171-0.02%0.8032-21.05%0.1457✓1.0122.7M2022-01-27
XMRMoneroMonero188.73188.6824-0.03%144.6-23.38%0.1765✓1.002.7M2022-01-27
AAVEAaveEthereum198.37198.277-0.05%144.54-27.14%0.2072✓1.2217.6M2022-01-27
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.081570.081526-0.05%0.07195-11.79%0.0586✓0.7456k2022-01-27
XEMNEMnative0.10950.109438-0.06%0.0984-10.14%0.0109✓1.0741k2022-01-27
DKAdKargoEthereum0.09640.096343-0.06%0.08437-12.48%0.0291✓1.1634k2022-01-27
LTCLitecoinLitecoin129.8129.7107-0.07%106.92-17.63%0.0717✓1.3630.5M2022-01-27
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.906580.905773-0.09%0.83214-8.21%0.0768✗1.80866k2022-01-27
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0260390.026014-0.10%0.020242-22.26%0.1576✓1.043.9M2022-01-27
CHZChilizEthereum0.23460.234373-0.10%0.1754-25.23%0.1681✓1.364.0M2022-01-27
KSMKusamaHydration239.61239.3667-0.10%164.64-31.29%0.2667✓1.201.3M2022-01-27
STORJStorjEthereum1.39451.393-0.11%1.0754-22.89%0.1775✓0.91402k2022-01-27
LSKLiskEthereum1.87071.8681-0.14%1.5616-16.52%0.0768✓1.1489k2022-01-27
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.50010.499381-0.14%0.4054-18.94%0.0910✓1.3110.8M2022-01-27
ZENHorizenBase47.647.5287-0.15%36.7-22.90%0.1234✓1.51620k2022-01-27
GITCOINGITCOIN9.4329.4175-0.15%6.745-28.49%0.3232✓0.1238k2022-01-27
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.146.1299-0.16%5.12-16.61%0.1204✓0.67505k2022-01-27
CBKCobakEthereum2.5392.5345-0.18%2.121-16.46%0.0880✓1.0124k2022-01-27
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.9390.937318-0.18%0.725-22.79%0.1681✓0.992.0M2022-01-27
ADACardanoCardano1.25891.2566-0.18%1.0428-17.17%0.0842✓1.14100.6M2022-01-27
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.6555470.654197-0.21%0.530399-19.09%0.1057✓1.162.3M2022-01-27
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum2.792.7837-0.23%2.23-20.07%0.1057✓1.302.7M2022-01-27
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash357.74356.8178-0.26%289.64-19.04%0.1168✓1.036.6M2022-01-27
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.890.887701-0.26%0.65-26.97%0.1403✓1.911.3M2022-01-27
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.15983.1509-0.28%2.7628-12.56%0.0271✓1.172.1M2022-01-27
BFCBifrostEthereum0.189140.188593-0.29%0.17087-9.66%0.0427✗1.586,6112022-01-27
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV104.32104.0068-0.30%89.31-14.39%0.0660✓0.961.8M2022-01-27
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.16660.166091-0.31%0.1146-31.21%0.2892✓0.91362k2022-01-27
UMAUMAEthereum7.757.7253-0.32%5.67-26.84%0.2217✓0.983.9M2022-01-27
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.7314.7145-0.35%3.89-17.78%0.1316✓0.68445k2022-01-27
CTSICartesiEthereum0.56060.558597-0.36%0.4474-20.19%0.0975✓1.392.6M2022-01-27
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.21135.1917-0.38%4.2126-19.16%0.0990✓1.23443k2022-01-27
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.784.7603-0.41%4.57-4.39%0.0673✗1.213.2M2022-01-27
IMXImmutableEthereum3.363.3455-0.43%2.65-21.13%0.1017✓1.472.2M2022-01-27
MANADecentralandEthereum2.63852.627-0.43%2.2527-14.62%0.0600✓1.054.3M2022-01-27
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.81143.7927-0.49%2.7225-28.57%0.2635✓0.762,2572022-01-27
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.015510.015432-0.50%0.01439-7.22%0.0034✓0.8221k2022-01-27
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.063.0445-0.51%1.95-36.27%0.3290✓1.307.8M2022-01-27
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.5914.5098-0.55%12.75-12.61%0.0684✓0.68813k2022-01-27
KCSKuCoinnative19.42919.3059-0.63%16.064-17.32%0.0384✓1.6210.7M2022-01-27
BANDBandEthereum4.684.6496-0.65%3.38-27.78%0.2182✓1.132.3M2022-01-27
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.1112.0965-0.69%1.58-25.15%0.1801✓1.151.9M2022-01-27
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.70883.6833-0.69%3.4851-6.03%0.0599✓-0.05371k2022-01-27
CVCCivicEthereum0.28250.280503-0.71%0.2367-16.21%0.0765✓1.04397k2022-01-27
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.64420.63895-0.82%0.5092-20.96%0.1105✓1.303.2M2022-01-27
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.5833.5524-0.85%2.955-17.53%0.1203✓0.71523k2022-01-27
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.8613.8269-0.88%3.107-19.53%0.1367✓0.801.1M2022-01-27
LUNATerraTerra 277.4176.7219-0.89%54.08-30.14%0.1813✓1.887.7M2022-01-27
GTGateEthereum7.03226.9694-0.89%6.5312-7.12%0.0123✗0.864.3M2022-01-27
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.099.9951-0.94%8.93-11.50%0.0458✓0.75800k2022-01-27
YFIyearn.financeEthereum31,414.3031,111.30-0.96%23,910.78-23.89%0.2015✓0.6921.5M2022-01-27
FTTFTXEthereum45.1744.7342-0.96%38.35-15.10%0.0537✓1.1224.7M2022-01-27
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.4817.4063-1.00%5.722-23.51%0.1427✓1.29301k2022-01-27
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.0953.0635-1.02%2.637-14.80%0.0046✓1.731.1M2022-01-27
MINAMina Protocolnative3.353.3126-1.12%2.26-32.54%0.2847✓1.09752k2022-01-27
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.070940.070059-1.24%0.050557-28.73%0.2367✓1.00682k2022-01-27
COTICOTIEthereum0.36930.363659-1.53%0.2772-24.94%0.1364✓1.514.3M2022-01-27
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.58151.5569-1.55%1.8043+14.09%0.2225✗0.841.3M2022-01-27
API3Api3Ethereum4.194.1195-1.68%3.97-5.25%0.0514✗0.99471k2022-01-27
CELLCellframeEthereum1.08391.0634-1.89%0.8569-20.94%0.1252✓1.01108k2022-01-27
GLMRMoonbeamBase9.779.5715-2.03%6.617-32.27%0.2796✓1.001.9M2022-01-27
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.7570.741142-2.09%0.6525-13.80%0.0335✗1.8046.2M2022-01-27
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.57760.564509-2.27%0.5303-8.19%0.0608✗1.381.7M2022-01-27
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos38.9738.0673-2.32%30-23.02%0.1525✓0.96104.1M2022-01-27
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.