2022-01-12 · +7d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1280

139 of 139 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+0.25%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

75.5%

in alpha space · 84.9% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-5.11%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.068101	0.068709	+0.89%	0.069192	+1.60%	0.0573	✓	0.96	536k	2022-01-19
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.01979	0.019882	+0.47%	0.01895	-4.24%	0.0164	✓	1.23	2.5M	2022-01-19
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	27.99	28.12	+0.46%	22.14	-20.90%	0.1430	✗	1.83	4.5M	2022-01-19
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	43,982.00	44,184.59	+0.46%	41,724.00	-5.13%	0.0056	✗	0.98	14k	2022-01-19
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	43,920.37	44,089.94	+0.39%	41,674.27	-5.11%	0.0039	✗	1.00	750.1M	2022-01-19
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.24	2.2456	+0.25%	2.09	-6.70%	0.0147	✗	1.09	3.1M	2022-01-19
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.9176	7.9348	+0.22%	7.4032	-6.50%	0.0057	✓	1.43	273k	2022-01-19
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.905	1.9073	+0.12%	1.709	-10.29%	0.0495	✗	1.15	2.3M	2022-01-19
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	8.19	8.1986	+0.11%	7.67	-6.35%	0.0336	✗	0.63	675k	2022-01-19
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	3.02	3.0227	+0.09%	3.1	+2.65%	0.0885	✓	1.21	3.2M	2022-01-19
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0819	0.081936	+0.04%	0.0575	-29.79%	0.3017	✗	1.00	28.2M	2022-01-19
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.6281	1.628	-0.01%	1.1835	-27.31%	0.2186	✓	1.91	1.4M	2022-01-19
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	8.13	8.1266	-0.04%	7.01	-13.78%	0.1011	✓	0.89	1.1M	2022-01-19
XYM	Symbol	native	0.2011	0.201	-0.05%	0.1786	-11.19%	0.0829	✓	0.67	441k	2022-01-19
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.2877	3.2854	-0.07%	3.0555	-7.06%	0.0135	✓	1.12	699k	2022-01-19
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,373.64	3,370.95	-0.08%	3,085.27	-8.55%	0.0325	✓	1.07	569.1M	2022-01-19
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	4.2739	4.2704	-0.08%	4	-6.41%	0.0021	✗	1.29	4.1M	2022-01-19
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	1.1869	1.1859	-0.08%	0.7592	-36.04%	0.3948	✓	0.97	3.1M	2022-01-19
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	28.89	28.8556	-0.12%	26.81	-7.20%	0.0367	✓	0.70	360k	2022-01-19
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	30.77	30.7322	-0.12%	27.59	-10.33%	0.0519	✓	1.07	16.7M	2022-01-19
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.08196	0.081828	-0.16%	0.07218	-11.93%	0.0509	✓	1.42	2.6M	2022-01-19
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.162908	0.162645	-0.16%	0.161705	-0.74%	0.0529	✗	1.12	5.4M	2022-01-19
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1668	0.166505	-0.18%	0.151	-9.47%	0.0328	✓	1.24	4.2M	2022-01-19
XEC	eCash	native	0.00009819	0.000098014	-0.18%	0.00009227	-6.03%	0.0073	✓	1.01	6.6M	2022-01-19
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.07298	0.072825	-0.21%	0.07162	-1.86%	0.0474	✗	1.22	16.9M	2022-01-19
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	14.23	14.1996	-0.21%	12.52	-12.02%	0.0656	✓	1.15	3.2M	2022-01-19
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	31.15	31.0729	-0.25%	31.27	+0.39%	0.0618	✗	1.06	3.0M	2022-01-19
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.04277	0.042661	-0.25%	0.03718	-13.07%	0.0901	✓	0.90	8.5M	2022-01-19
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	20.88	20.8252	-0.26%	19.03	-8.86%	0.0355	✓	1.04	1.0M	2022-01-19
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0604	0.060233	-0.28%	0.0486	-19.54%	0.1437	✓	1.35	1.5M	2022-01-19
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.0507	0.050557	-0.28%	0.04692	-7.46%	0.0150	✓	1.14	18k	2022-01-19
SOL	Solana	Solana	151.56	151.1121	-0.30%	135.33	-10.71%	0.0510	✓	1.13	191.4M	2022-01-19
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	10.07	10.0343	-0.35%	8.35	-17.08%	0.1858	✓	-0.04	1.6M	2022-01-19
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1144	0.113962	-0.38%	0.1012	-11.54%	0.0606	✓	1.11	303k	2022-01-19
XMR	Monero	Monero	199.2	198.4104	-0.40%	201.62	+1.21%	0.0704	✗	1.04	2.9M	2022-01-19
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	8.19	8.1572	-0.40%	7.57	-7.57%	0.0343	✓	0.77	767k	2022-01-19
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	78.16	77.8409	-0.41%	71.82	-8.11%	0.0247	✓	1.06	6.3M	2022-01-19
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.3269	0.325512	-0.42%	0.2982	-8.78%	0.0211	✓	1.27	2.2M	2022-01-19
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	16.29	16.2194	-0.43%	15.12	-7.18%	0.0022	✓	1.29	12.7M	2022-01-19
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	383.83	382.0708	-0.46%	369.1	-3.84%	0.0189	✗	1.02	8.3M	2022-01-19
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.18305	0.182203	-0.46%	0.19913	+8.78%	0.1710	✗	1.57	5,360	2022-01-19
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.2451	3.2299	-0.47%	3.1421	-3.17%	0.0358	✗	1.21	2.5M	2022-01-19
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		112.64	112.0961	-0.48%	109.45	-2.83%	0.0261	✗	0.95	2.4M	2022-01-19
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.49	1.4825	-0.51%	1.294	-13.15%	0.0643	✓	1.37	4.9M	2022-01-19
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	5.032	5.0043	-0.55%	4.793	-4.75%	0.0082	✓	0.67	481k	2022-01-19
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.43	1.422	-0.56%	1.17	-18.18%	0.1070	✓	1.68	657k	2022-01-19
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1554	0.15453	-0.56%	0.1191	-23.36%	0.1943	✓	1.26	2.4M	2022-01-19
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.379	0.376827	-0.57%	0.349	-7.92%	0.0375	✓	0.75	40k	2022-01-19
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.029842	0.02967	-0.58%	0.026624	-10.78%	0.0545	✓	1.03	6.3M	2022-01-19
DASH	Dash	Dash	143.32	142.4884	-0.58%	126.8	-11.53%	0.0530	✓	1.21	2.5M	2022-01-19
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0825	0.082013	-0.59%	0.0761	-7.76%	0.0169	✓	1.10	19k	2022-01-19
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	169.994	168.9625	-0.61%	120.5322	-29.10%	0.2786	✓	1.13	540k	2022-01-19
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.89	2.8714	-0.65%	2.47	-14.53%	0.0814	✓	1.32	3.2M	2022-01-19
XEM	NEM	native	0.1192	0.118419	-0.65%	0.1126	-5.54%	0.0048	✓	1.05	62k	2022-01-19
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	142.02	141.073	-0.67%	136.2	-4.10%	0.0363	✗	1.36	33.4M	2022-01-19
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	31.51	31.2976	-0.67%	26.13	-17.07%	0.0998	✓	1.54	1.0M	2022-01-19
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1826	0.181365	-0.68%	0.1712	-6.24%	0.0096	✓	0.92	450k	2022-01-19
HIVE	Hive	native	1.3807	1.3711	-0.69%	1.1386	-17.53%	0.1130	✓	1.39	4.3M	2022-01-19
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	41.43	41.142	-0.70%	46.67	+12.65%	0.1838	✗	1.10	21.0M	2022-01-19
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01542	0.015311	-0.70%	0.01394	-9.60%	0.0249	✓	1.31	2.2M	2022-01-19
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.363	1.3533	-0.71%	1.222	-10.34%	0.0310	✓	1.35	2.8M	2022-01-19
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.313	1.3036	-0.72%	1.3366	+1.80%	0.0846	✗	1.13	95.6M	2022-01-19
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	168.76	167.5443	-0.72%	135.59	-19.66%	0.1624	✓	0.94	7.3M	2022-01-19
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0875	0.086867	-0.72%	0.0774	-11.54%	0.0426	✓	1.39	1.2M	2022-01-19
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	6.98	6.9292	-0.73%	6.36	-8.88%	0.0512	✓	0.66	643k	2022-01-19
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	218.61	217.0001	-0.74%	210.15	-3.87%	0.0291	✗	1.17	17.6M	2022-01-19
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.060875	0.060425	-0.74%	0.051115	-16.03%	0.1048	✓	1.19	7.4M	2022-01-19
XVG	Verge	native	0.01475	0.01464	-0.75%	0.01267	-14.10%	0.0801	✓	1.23	2.1M	2022-01-19
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.833	0.826747	-0.75%	0.701	-15.85%	0.0877	✓	1.47	8.0M	2022-01-19
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.539	0.534763	-0.79%	0.469	-12.99%	0.0633	✓	1.29	2.1M	2022-01-19
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.1488	2.1318	-0.79%	2.0509	-4.55%	0.0197	✗	1.11	83k	2022-01-19
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01401	0.013899	-0.79%	0.0127	-9.35%	0.0384	✓	0.99	730k	2022-01-19
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.11114	0.110258	-0.79%	0.10044	-9.63%	0.0332	✓	1.15	25k	2022-01-19
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.27	3.2439	-0.80%	2.91	-11.01%	0.0571	✓	0.98	949k	2022-01-19
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.922	3.89	-0.82%	3.627	-7.52%	0.0332	✓	0.70	526k	2022-01-19
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.084	1.0751	-0.82%	0.96	-11.44%	0.0628	✓	0.96	2.2M	2022-01-19
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	144.49	143.2821	-0.84%	125.87	-12.89%	0.0607	✓	1.31	10.9M	2022-01-19
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	15.33	15.1994	-0.85%	14.85	-3.13%	0.0122	✗	0.68	1.1M	2022-01-19
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	196.42	194.7454	-0.85%	172.8	-12.03%	0.0582	✓	1.17	153k	2022-01-19
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.3843	4.3464	-0.86%	3.8849	-11.39%	0.0411	✓	1.36	4.6M	2022-01-19
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3.73	3.6977	-0.87%	3.56	-4.56%	0.0337	✗	1.37	2.3M	2022-01-19
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.853	2.8279	-0.88%	2.623	-8.06%	0.0277	✓	0.90	27k	2022-01-19
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	27.32	27.0792	-0.88%	24.06	-11.93%	0.0485	✓	1.33	68.4M	2022-01-19
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.5942	0.588916	-0.89%	0.5244	-11.75%	0.0475	✓	1.30	12.2M	2022-01-19
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.9279	3.8923	-0.91%	3.9939	+1.68%	0.0654	✗	0.75	2,942	2022-01-19
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	7.779	7.7042	-0.96%	7.009	-9.90%	0.0257	✓	1.31	271k	2022-01-19
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	8.452	8.3697	-0.97%	7.272	-13.96%	0.1055	✓	0.67	209k	2022-01-19
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.09754	0.096587	-0.98%	0.0853	-12.55%	0.0868	✓	0.71	48k	2022-01-19
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.0000315	0.000031186	-1.00%	0.00002726	-13.46%	0.0647	✓	1.33	1.7M	2022-01-19
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	275.54	272.7938	-1.00%	243.71	-11.55%	0.0510	✓	1.18	1.3M	2022-01-19
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	10.21	10.1019	-1.06%	8.43	-17.43%	0.1443	✓	0.70	1.1M	2022-01-19
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.282353	0.279318	-1.07%	0.245567	-13.03%	0.0742	✓	1.04	24.9M	2022-01-19
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.752838	0.744721	-1.08%	0.684968	-9.02%	0.0234	✓	1.15	2.6M	2022-01-19
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.8595	3.8176	-1.09%	3.6546	-5.31%	0.0472	✓	-0.07	364k	2022-01-19
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.1883	1.1754	-1.09%	1.0492	-11.71%	0.0619	✓	0.98	23.2M	2022-01-19
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2778	0.274762	-1.09%	0.2463	-11.34%	0.0397	✓	1.33	4.4M	2022-01-19
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.4029	1.3869	-1.14%	1.537	+9.56%	0.1483	✗	0.87	922k	2022-01-19
KCS	KuCoin	native	20.372	20.1376	-1.15%	19.951	-2.07%	0.0754	✗	1.61	12.5M	2022-01-19
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.8813	6.8017	-1.16%	7.1	+3.18%	0.0882	✗	0.86	3.8M	2022-01-19
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01729	0.01709	-1.16%	0.01585	-8.33%	0.0380	✓	0.71	25k	2022-01-19
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	96.02	94.8941	-1.17%	82.64	-13.93%	0.0768	✓	1.17	110.4M	2022-01-19
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	7.12	7.0346	-1.20%	6.05	-15.03%	0.0825	✓	1.30	17.7M	2022-01-19
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	8.89	8.7822	-1.21%	8.26	-7.09%	0.0111	✓	0.96	4.4M	2022-01-19
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.895	5.8225	-1.23%	5.4486	-7.57%	0.0018	✓	1.23	446k	2022-01-19
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.01576	0.015566	-1.23%	0.01172	-25.63%	0.1593	✓	2.37	26.8M	2022-01-19
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.52	10.389	-1.25%	10.22	-2.85%	0.0232	✗	0.75	994k	2022-01-19
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.43	5.3607	-1.28%	4.9	-9.76%	0.0285	✓	1.17	3.3M	2022-01-19
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.79	3.7415	-1.28%	4.35	+14.78%	0.1899	✗	0.75	481k	2022-01-19
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.667	1.645	-1.32%	1.462	-12.30%	0.0724	✓	0.87	581k	2022-01-19
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.3521	1.3337	-1.36%	1.1693	-13.52%	0.0768	✓	1.04	3.3M	2022-01-19
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.416	4.3548	-1.39%	3.956	-10.42%	0.0547	✓	0.79	1.1M	2022-01-19
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	4.91	4.8411	-1.40%	4.19	-14.66%	0.0703	✓	1.41	30.4M	2022-01-19
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.1158	1.0999	-1.43%	0.95676	-14.25%	0.0461	✓	1.78	1.0M	2022-01-19
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.0716	1.0561	-1.45%	0.9271	-13.48%	0.0569	✓	1.40	1.6M	2022-01-19
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.6995	0.688975	-1.50%	0.6838	-2.24%	0.0591	✗	1.27	4.4M	2022-01-19
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.0897	3.0421	-1.54%	2.7346	-11.49%	0.0540	✓	1.00	5.3M	2022-01-19
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3542	0.348733	-1.54%	0.366	+3.33%	0.1275	✗	1.51	3.6M	2022-01-19
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	26.76	26.3439	-1.55%	21.56	-19.43%	0.1388	✓	1.17	70.9M	2022-01-19
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	81.93	80.6491	-1.56%	81.27	-0.81%	0.0602	✗	1.00	7.4M	2022-01-19
ZEN	Horizen	Base	59.25	58.3104	-1.59%	49.93	-15.73%	0.0764	✓	1.50	711k	2022-01-19
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.521	2.481	-1.59%	2.219	-11.98%	0.0535	✓	1.11	1.9M	2022-01-19
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.59	3.5312	-1.64%	3.39	-5.57%	0.0147	✓	1.06	807k	2022-01-19
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.4989	1.4736	-1.68%	1.2659	-15.54%	0.0915	✓	1.15	30.5M	2022-01-19
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.081805	0.080389	-1.73%	0.07511	-8.18%	0.0154	✓	1.00	2.7M	2022-01-19
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	33,839.55	33,251.62	-1.74%	32,142.29	-5.02%	0.0000	✓	0.65	26.4M	2022-01-19
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.64	5.5371	-1.83%	4.91	-12.94%	0.0606	✓	1.14	2.4M	2022-01-19
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	39.17	38.4516	-1.83%	32.43	-17.21%	0.0839	✓	1.65	2.7M	2022-01-19
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.75	3.6781	-1.92%	3.33	-11.20%	0.0315	✓	1.29	9.1M	2022-01-19
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	34.99	34.313	-1.93%	26.53	-24.18%	0.1846	✓	1.38	31.1M	2022-01-19
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3384	0.331796	-1.95%	0.2983	-11.85%	0.0533	✓	1.01	397k	2022-01-19
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	12	11.7652	-1.96%	10.21	-14.92%	0.1338	✓	0.15	2.8M	2022-01-19
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.0214	1.0001	-2.09%	1.0457	+2.38%	0.0968	✗	0.99	116k	2022-01-19
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		11.904	11.6405	-2.21%	10.274	-13.69%	0.1200	✓	0.09	54k	2022-01-19
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.17	1.1436	-2.26%	0.93	-20.51%	0.1072	✓	1.90	1.7M	2022-01-19
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.6859	0.669319	-2.42%	0.5784	-15.67%	0.0721	✓	1.41	2.7M	2022-01-19
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.605	3.51	-2.63%	3.282	-8.96%	0.0238	✓	1.73	1.2M	2022-01-19
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	40.25	39.1079	-2.84%	37.07	-7.90%	0.0052	✓	0.92	72.1M	2022-01-19
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.7422	0.720843	-2.88%	0.8466	+14.07%	0.2548	✗	1.79	38.7M	2022-01-19
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.6228	0.602679	-3.23%	0.5701	-8.46%	0.0194	✓	1.43	736k	2022-01-19

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.