2022-01-10 · +7d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1540

139 of 139 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+1.27%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

51.1%

in alpha space · 50.4% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+0.94%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0794	0.080663	+1.59%	0.0824	+3.78%	0.0083	✓	1.38	1.2M	2022-01-17
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.063485	0.064249	+1.20%	0.070851	+11.60%	0.0891	✓	0.93	552k	2022-01-17
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1409	0.142437	+1.09%	0.1315	-6.67%	0.0915	✗	1.23	2.1M	2022-01-17
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.8841	2.9149	+1.07%	3.0126	+4.45%	0.0229	✓	1.07	665k	2022-01-17
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.785	1.799	+0.78%	1.829	+2.46%	0.0059	✓	1.13	2.3M	2022-01-17
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	7.57	7.621	+0.67%	7.77	+2.64%	0.0137	✓	0.60	714k	2022-01-17
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	28.48	28.6429	+0.57%	31	+8.85%	0.0697	✓	1.00	3.2M	2022-01-17
XMR	Monero	Monero	182.5	183.5365	+0.57%	214.7	+17.64%	0.1479	✓	0.96	2.9M	2022-01-17
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.689086	0.69298	+0.57%	0.727776	+5.61%	0.0388	✓	1.09	2.6M	2022-01-17
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.06891	0.069291	+0.55%	0.06638	-3.67%	0.0543	✗	1.21	16.9M	2022-01-17
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01401	0.014086	+0.54%	0.0145	+3.50%	0.0171	✓	1.27	2.2M	2022-01-17
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.143133	0.143874	+0.52%	0.170944	+19.43%	0.1623	✓	1.08	4.8M	2022-01-17
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.188	1.1934	+0.46%	1.246	+4.88%	0.0308	✓	1.32	2.9M	2022-01-17
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.2356	7.2686	+0.46%	7.6879	+6.25%	0.0434	✓	1.36	268k	2022-01-17
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.027645	0.027768	+0.44%	0.02786	+0.78%	0.0063	✗	1.02	6.3M	2022-01-17
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	33.37	33.4996	+0.39%	34.44	+3.21%	0.0125	✓	1.62	2.8M	2022-01-17
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	41,824.07	41,970.91	+0.35%	42,218.01	+0.94%	0.0035	✗	1.00	750.1M	2022-01-17
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	28.01	28.108	+0.35%	28.92	+3.25%	0.0148	✓	1.45	1.0M	2022-01-17
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	6.4	6.4221	+0.35%	7.405	+15.70%	0.1310	✓	1.22	271k	2022-01-17
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.07	2.0771	+0.34%	2.25	+8.70%	0.0703	✓	1.03	3.4M	2022-01-17
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.513	4.5285	+0.34%	4.984	+10.44%	0.0900	✓	0.62	474k	2022-01-17
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	126.52	126.9349	+0.33%	151.19	+19.50%	0.1624	✓	1.33	35.1M	2022-01-17
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.299	0.29983	+0.28%	0.312	+4.35%	0.0280	✓	1.26	2.3M	2022-01-17
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.09834	0.09861	+0.27%	0.10718	+8.99%	0.0730	✓	1.10	23k	2022-01-17
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	6.41	6.4274	+0.27%	6.55	+2.18%	0.0130	✓	0.63	645k	2022-01-17
XEC	eCash	native	0.00009039	0.000090634	+0.27%	0.00009954	+10.12%	0.0845	✓	0.99	6.7M	2022-01-17
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0707	0.070885	+0.26%	0.0826	+16.83%	0.1433	✓	1.03	19k	2022-01-17
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.497	0.498169	+0.24%	0.51	+2.62%	0.0116	✓	1.27	2.1M	2022-01-17
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.34	1.3431	+0.23%	1.35	+0.75%	0.0104	✗	1.65	764k	2022-01-17
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	13.18	13.2074	+0.21%	13.59	+3.11%	0.0180	✓	1.13	3.4M	2022-01-17
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.704	0.705288	+0.18%	0.768	+9.09%	0.0721	✓	1.40	7.7M	2022-01-17
XVG	Verge	native	0.01312	0.013144	+0.18%	0.01314	+0.15%	0.0115	✗	1.20	2.1M	2022-01-17
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.343	0.343553	+0.16%	0.35	+2.04%	0.0119	✓	0.71	38k	2022-01-17
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,083.51	3,088.41	+0.16%	3,210.98	+4.13%	0.0293	✓	1.03	591.9M	2022-01-17
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	41,624.60	41,687.42	+0.15%	41,814.50	+0.46%	0.0061	✗	0.98	12k	2022-01-17
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	28.14	28.1763	+0.13%	28.99	+3.02%	0.0187	✓	1.04	18.5M	2022-01-17
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	155.6792	155.8711	+0.12%	137.7719	-11.50%	0.1326	✗	0.97	515k	2022-01-17
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.73	2.7326	+0.10%	2.6	-4.76%	0.0620	✗	1.31	3.2M	2022-01-17
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.1021	5.104	+0.04%	6.2731	+22.95%	0.1956	✓	1.13	446k	2022-01-17
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.55	0.550183	+0.03%	0.6191	+12.56%	0.1054	✓	1.34	2.7M	2022-01-17
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	363.56	363.6186	+0.02%	380.79	+4.74%	0.0368	✓	1.00	8.5M	2022-01-17
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.8683	3.8683	-0.00%	4.1906	+8.33%	0.0682	✗	1.26	4.2M	2022-01-17
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.018158	0.018155	-0.01%	0.020723	+14.13%	0.1208	✗	1.23	2.5M	2022-01-17
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.579	3.5772	-0.05%	3.798	+6.12%	0.0535	✗	0.68	514k	2022-01-17
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.203	4.1996	-0.08%	4.188	-0.36%	0.0100	✓	0.77	1.1M	2022-01-17
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.9491	0.948309	-0.08%	0.8095	-14.71%	0.1671	✓	0.94	3.2M	2022-01-17
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.0467	0.046652	-0.10%	0.04979	+6.62%	0.0550	✗	1.07	17k	2022-01-17
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	7.85	7.8411	-0.11%	7.89	+0.51%	0.0022	✓	0.89	1.1M	2022-01-17
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	8.37	8.3604	-0.11%	8.13	-2.87%	0.0369	✓	0.96	4.4M	2022-01-17
SOL	Solana	Solana	135.89	135.726	-0.12%	139.85	+2.91%	0.0204	✗	1.02	194.0M	2022-01-17
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.6318	0.630971	-0.13%	0.6916	+9.47%	0.0802	✗	1.23	4.4M	2022-01-17
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.704	2.7003	-0.14%	3.294	+21.82%	0.1841	✗	1.56	1.2M	2022-01-17
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	20.09	20.0604	-0.15%	19.46	-3.14%	0.0372	✓	0.73	1.1M	2022-01-17
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	7.61	7.598	-0.16%	7.96	+4.60%	0.0397	✗	0.72	705k	2022-01-17
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.0021	1.9986	-0.18%	2.0079	+0.29%	0.0050	✓	1.03	83k	2022-01-17
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	27.36	27.2848	-0.27%	27.95	+2.16%	0.0179	✗	0.66	370k	2022-01-17
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	25.38	25.3056	-0.29%	24.33	-4.14%	0.0565	✓	1.83	5.4M	2022-01-17
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.17081	0.170298	-0.30%	0.20625	+20.75%	0.1770	✗	1.55	4,992	2022-01-17
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	199.9	199.2243	-0.34%	226.66	+13.39%	0.1186	✗	1.11	17.6M	2022-01-17
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.5425	0.540491	-0.37%	0.5478	+0.98%	0.0022	✓	1.20	12.5M	2022-01-17
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.8409	2.8303	-0.37%	3.3409	+17.60%	0.1550	✗	1.16	2.5M	2022-01-17
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.253061	0.252109	-0.38%	0.256133	+1.21%	0.0064	✗	1.01	24.0M	2022-01-17
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.88	4.8616	-0.38%	4.98	+2.05%	0.0134	✗	1.13	3.3M	2022-01-17
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	15.11	15.0521	-0.38%	16.64	+10.13%	0.0884	✗	1.26	13.1M	2022-01-17
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.0000267	0.000026598	-0.38%	0.00002883	+7.98%	0.0690	✗	1.24	1.7M	2022-01-17
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.108	0.107582	-0.39%	0.1064	-1.48%	0.0214	✓	1.11	296k	2022-01-17
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.1496	6.1252	-0.40%	6.9968	+13.78%	0.1257	✗	0.79	3.7M	2022-01-17
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3129	0.311634	-0.40%	0.3888	+24.26%	0.2079	✗	1.42	4.1M	2022-01-17
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	9.5	9.4609	-0.41%	9.38	-1.26%	0.0080	✓	-0.06	1.8M	2022-01-17
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	68.4	68.0995	-0.44%	76.55	+11.92%	0.1073	✗	1.03	6.4M	2022-01-17
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01297	0.012912	-0.45%	0.01352	+4.24%	0.0369	✗	0.97	756k	2022-01-17
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.251	0.249786	-0.48%	0.2569	+2.35%	0.0159	✗	1.30	4.6M	2022-01-17
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.1235	1.1181	-0.48%	1.6027	+42.65%	0.3501	✗	1.07	95.6M	2022-01-17
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1582	0.157408	-0.50%	0.1595	+0.82%	0.0019	✓	1.20	4.2M	2022-01-17
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.5156	1.5078	-0.51%	1.6018	+5.69%	0.0525	✗	0.85	647k	2022-01-17
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1815	0.180541	-0.53%	0.1906	+5.01%	0.0481	✗	0.65	410k	2022-01-17
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.0154	0.015313	-0.57%	0.01652	+7.27%	0.0702	✗	0.61	29k	2022-01-17
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.468	1.4591	-0.61%	1.2289	-16.29%	0.1895	✓	1.90	1.4M	2022-01-17
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.327	1.3186	-0.63%	1.391	+4.82%	0.0410	✗	1.33	5.2M	2022-01-17
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	242.17	240.6268	-0.64%	259.34	+7.09%	0.0644	✗	1.12	1.3M	2022-01-17
HIVE	Hive	native	1.2679	1.2595	-0.67%	1.2561	-0.93%	0.0155	✓	1.37	4.5M	2022-01-17
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	23.72	23.561	-0.67%	25.68	+8.26%	0.0742	✗	1.27	70.4M	2022-01-17
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	7.507	7.456	-0.68%	7.359	-1.97%	0.0193	✓	0.67	231k	2022-01-17
ZEN	Horizen	Base	53.33	52.9532	-0.71%	53.27	-0.11%	0.0072	✓	1.40	736k	2022-01-17
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3128	0.31058	-0.71%	0.3204	+2.43%	0.0218	✗	1.00	397k	2022-01-17
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	182.25	180.8964	-0.74%	181.47	-0.43%	0.0074	✓	1.13	180k	2022-01-17
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.031	1.0233	-0.74%	1.016	-1.45%	0.0160	✓	0.94	2.2M	2022-01-17
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	8.92	8.8527	-0.75%	8.77	-1.68%	0.0155	✓	0.65	1.2M	2022-01-17
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.84	9.7654	-0.76%	10.47	+6.40%	0.0628	✗	0.74	994k	2022-01-17
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.7419	3.7133	-0.76%	3.7699	+0.75%	0.0159	✗	-0.08	364k	2022-01-17
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.08602	0.085361	-0.77%	0.08878	+3.21%	0.0329	✗	0.68	52k	2022-01-17
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	141.24	140.1554	-0.77%	138.84	-1.70%	0.0212	✓	1.26	10.9M	2022-01-17
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	38.11	37.8083	-0.79%	44.38	+16.45%	0.1505	✗	1.04	20.0M	2022-01-17
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.04207	0.04172	-0.83%	0.04011	-4.66%	0.0477	✓	0.89	8.2M	2022-01-17
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.007	18.8467	-0.84%	20.851	+9.70%	0.0860	✗	1.60	13.0M	2022-01-17
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.13	3.1025	-0.88%	3.07	-1.92%	0.0196	✓	0.96	977k	2022-01-17
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.0287	1.0195	-0.89%	1.0077	-2.04%	0.0248	✓	1.40	1.5M	2022-01-17
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1739	0.172344	-0.89%	0.1755	+0.92%	0.0098	✗	0.89	479k	2022-01-17
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		105.99	105.0297	-0.91%	109.78	+3.58%	0.0355	✗	0.93	2.6M	2022-01-17
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.818	2.7923	-0.91%	2.9053	+3.10%	0.0303	✗	1.00	5.5M	2022-01-17
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.0324	3.9955	-0.92%	4.0538	+0.53%	0.0020	✓	1.33	4.6M	2022-01-17
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	4.32	4.2752	-1.04%	4.78	+10.65%	0.0988	✗	1.37	30.4M	2022-01-17
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.717	2.6884	-1.05%	2.735	+0.66%	0.0088	✓	0.89	31k	2022-01-17
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	27.98	27.6816	-1.07%	23.8	-14.94%	0.1619	✓	1.15	69.7M	2022-01-17
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.1115	1.0993	-1.10%	1.1616	+4.51%	0.0462	✗	0.95	22.7M	2022-01-17
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3.79	3.7483	-1.10%	3.76	-0.79%	0.0103	✓	1.44	2.4M	2022-01-17
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.04	4.9844	-1.10%	5.3	+5.16%	0.0513	✗	1.08	2.2M	2022-01-17
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0772	0.07632	-1.14%	0.0676	-12.44%	0.1307	✓	1.00	33.0M	2022-01-17
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0556	0.054964	-1.14%	0.0533	-4.14%	0.0433	✓	1.34	1.5M	2022-01-17
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.1319	1.1189	-1.15%	1.2267	+8.37%	0.0826	✗	1.00	3.3M	2022-01-17
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.7258	3.6819	-1.18%	4.195	+12.59%	0.1240	✗	0.69	3,355	2022-01-17
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.167	2.1414	-1.18%	2.325	+7.29%	0.0724	✗	1.06	1.9M	2022-01-17
DASH	Dash	Dash	148.17	146.4184	-1.18%	135.73	-8.40%	0.0872	✓	1.22	2.1M	2022-01-17
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.2	3.1619	-1.19%	3.41	+6.56%	0.0661	✗	1.01	715k	2022-01-17
XEM	NEM	native	0.1116	0.110238	-1.22%	0.1148	+2.87%	0.0311	✗	1.01	67k	2022-01-17
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	166.33	164.2002	-1.28%	159.74	-3.96%	0.0362	✓	0.93	7.6M	2022-01-17
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	84.46	83.373	-1.29%	86.68	+2.63%	0.0287	✗	1.09	115.7M	2022-01-17
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.57	3.5239	-1.29%	4	+12.04%	0.1202	✗	0.70	493k	2022-01-17
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.99938	0.986313	-1.31%	1.0163	+1.69%	0.0137	✗	1.74	1.0M	2022-01-17
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	32,010.24	31,575.89	-1.36%	31,588.07	-1.32%	0.0057	✓	0.65	26.4M	2022-01-17
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.26	14.0664	-1.36%	15.03	+5.40%	0.0601	✗	0.65	1.1M	2022-01-17
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.07934	0.078249	-1.37%	0.07748	-2.34%	0.0233	✓	1.44	2.5M	2022-01-17
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.94	0.926771	-1.41%	1.02	+8.51%	0.0795	✗	1.75	1.6M	2022-01-17
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.3749	1.3553	-1.43%	1.6076	+16.92%	0.1626	✗	0.87	922k	2022-01-17
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	6.56	6.4595	-1.53%	6.44	-1.83%	0.0150	✓	1.28	18.2M	2022-01-17
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.01395	0.013732	-1.56%	0.01358	-2.65%	0.0334	✓	2.37	26.8M	2022-01-17
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	69.46	68.3706	-1.57%	77.06	+10.94%	0.1103	✗	1.00	7.2M	2022-01-17
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		10.645	10.4773	-1.58%	12.477	+17.21%	0.1739	✗	0.08	56k	2022-01-17
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.8077	0.79483	-1.59%	0.9802	+21.36%	0.2003	✗	1.00	129k	2022-01-17
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.3624	1.3398	-1.66%	1.3415	-1.53%	0.0091	✓	1.10	32.1M	2022-01-17
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	34.29	33.6787	-1.78%	29.62	-13.62%	0.1414	✓	1.38	28.0M	2022-01-17
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.6017	0.59032	-1.89%	0.9432	+56.76%	0.4523	✗	1.74	38.7M	2022-01-17
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	37.83	37.0994	-1.93%	39.15	+3.49%	0.0452	✗	0.92	57.0M	2022-01-17
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	10.7	10.4731	-2.12%	12.58	+17.57%	0.1819	✗	0.14	2.8M	2022-01-17
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.48	3.3913	-2.55%	3.53	+1.44%	0.0284	✗	1.24	9.3M	2022-01-17
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	3.13	3.0484	-2.61%	3.36	+7.35%	0.0853	✗	1.28	3.2M	2022-01-17
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.6249	0.608205	-2.67%	0.6214	-0.56%	0.0077	✓	1.47	650k	2022-01-17
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.081082	0.078226	-3.52%	0.054069	-33.32%	0.3814	✓	1.29	7.3M	2022-01-17
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.08637	0.082375	-4.63%	0.078972	-8.57%	0.0516	✓	1.00	3.0M	2022-01-17

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.