8=======>

2022-01-06 · +7d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 138 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1476
138 of 138 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.20%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
53.6%
in alpha space · 53.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.17%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (138 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.22621.2708+3.64%1.019-16.90%0.2105✗0.883.9M2022-01-13
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum3.493.5558+1.89%2.79-20.06%0.2308✗1.003.2M2022-01-13
BFCBifrostEthereum0.182170.185534+1.85%0.1801-1.14%0.0113✓1.575,9572022-01-13
TRXTRONTron0.0710750.072137+1.49%0.066158-6.92%0.0754✗0.95589k2022-01-13
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum33.1133.5615+1.36%25.69-22.41%0.2458✗1.835.4M2022-01-13
BTCBitcoinBitcoin43,083.7643,582.15+1.16%42,581.65-1.17%0.0115✓1.00743.8M2022-01-13
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum43,220.9043,677.19+1.06%42,708.50-1.19%0.0109✗0.9810k2022-01-13
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.352.3741+1.03%2.35+0.00%0.0023✓1.063.7M2022-01-13
DEXEDeXeEthereum10.3210.4088+0.86%9.58-7.17%0.0843✗-0.121.9M2022-01-13
SUNSun TokenTron0.0209680.021146+0.85%0.01926-8.15%0.0792✗1.212.5M2022-01-13
XYMSymbolnative0.19190.193442+0.80%0.1924+0.26%0.0020✓0.63428k2022-01-13
ETHEthereumEthereum3,406.033,432.43+0.77%3,241.88-4.82%0.0448✗1.05619.8M2022-01-13
SOLSolanaSolana150.23151.3514+0.75%146.24-2.66%0.0216✗1.09203.4M2022-01-13
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.218.2706+0.74%7.92-3.53%0.0360✗0.62811k2022-01-13
NANOnanopayBase3.36643.3909+0.73%3.0395-9.71%0.0967✗1.08754k2022-01-13
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum79.0279.571+0.70%73.12-7.47%0.0726✗1.026.3M2022-01-13
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.044.0681+0.69%3.9153-3.09%0.0295✗0.7514k2022-01-13
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.080650.081174+0.65%0.07897-2.08%0.0106✗1.452.7M2022-01-13
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1600070.161047+0.65%0.171588+7.24%0.0763✓1.104.6M2022-01-13
QTUMQtumQtum8.36218.4164+0.65%7.5609-9.58%0.0905✗1.42268k2022-01-13
FILFilecoinFilecoin32.9833.1665+0.57%28.51-13.55%0.1389✗1.0522.1M2022-01-13
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.0643.0811+0.56%3.355+9.50%0.1036✓1.571.5M2022-01-13
LRCLoopringEthereum1.8411.8509+0.54%1.4953-18.78%0.1909✗1.921.4M2022-01-13
XVSVenusEthereum14.5314.6083+0.54%13.85-4.68%0.0400✗1.143.5M2022-01-13
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.18120.182141+0.52%0.179-1.21%0.0066✗0.92490k2022-01-13
NMRNumeraireEthereum29.3529.502+0.52%27.72-5.55%0.0543✗0.69385k2022-01-13
ETCEthereum Classicnative31.6731.829+0.50%30.28-4.39%0.0376✗1.043.4M2022-01-13
DASHDashDash124.32124.9325+0.49%141.37+13.71%0.1387✓1.291.9M2022-01-13
LTCLitecoinLitecoin135.9136.5112+0.45%136.82+0.68%0.0181✓1.3536.7M2022-01-13
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.0262.0349+0.44%1.823-10.02%0.0967✗1.132.5M2022-01-13
FTTFTXEthereum38.6438.8011+0.42%40.93+5.93%0.0659✓1.0620.0M2022-01-13
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.076780.077062+0.37%0.0695-9.48%0.0887✗1.2420.3M2022-01-13
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.00213.013+0.36%3.249+8.22%0.0894✓1.202.7M2022-01-13
LCXLCXEthereum0.16620.166795+0.36%0.1388-16.49%0.1694✗1.222.0M2022-01-13
DODODODOEthereum0.8220.824535+0.31%0.77-6.33%0.0514✗1.468.1M2022-01-13
XECeCashnative0.000103440.000103749+0.30%0.00009497-8.19%0.0767✗1.007.0M2022-01-13
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.052120.052267+0.28%0.05421+4.01%0.0497✓1.1216k2022-01-13
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.8054.8176+0.26%4.788-0.35%0.0012✓0.63498k2022-01-13
SCSiacoinnative0.01450.014536+0.25%0.01348-7.03%0.0641✗0.97777k2022-01-13
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.63850.64007+0.25%0.6645+4.07%0.0524✓1.274.7M2022-01-13
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.10190.102133+0.23%0.0793-22.18%0.2413✗1.0033.0M2022-01-13
AUCTIONBounceEthereum22.5522.6011+0.23%19.79-12.24%0.1208✗1.031.2M2022-01-13
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.776.784+0.21%6.71-0.89%0.0035✗0.64743k2022-01-13
LSKLiskEthereum2.15242.1564+0.19%2.0877-3.01%0.0192✗1.13102k2022-01-13
ADACardanoCardano1.27941.2818+0.19%1.2328-3.64%0.0261✗1.0997.2M2022-01-13
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV111.16111.3545+0.17%109.36-1.62%0.0068✗0.962.8M2022-01-13
AAVEAaveEthereum220.94221.3199+0.17%209.41-5.22%0.0417✗1.1616.0M2022-01-13
CTKShentuOsmosis1.5371.5395+0.16%1.451-5.60%0.0431✗1.375.5M2022-01-13
SKLSKALEEthereum0.18710.187396+0.16%0.1567-16.25%0.1645✗1.234.6M2022-01-13
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3860.386588+0.15%0.357-7.51%0.0712✗0.7239k2022-01-13
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.421.422+0.14%1.301-8.38%0.0734✗1.323.4M2022-01-13
AMPAmpEthereum0.0460.04606+0.13%0.04068-11.57%0.1135✗0.918.2M2022-01-13
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.4514.4557+0.11%4.3443-2.40%0.0105✗1.274.5M2022-01-13
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09230.09238+0.09%0.0827-10.40%0.0947✗1.371.4M2022-01-13
KSMKusamaHydration269.76269.9937+0.09%266.15-1.34%0.0010✗1.141.3M2022-01-13
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.233.232+0.06%3.14-2.79%0.0174✗0.98995k2022-01-13
DKAdKargoEthereum0.107790.107856+0.06%0.10876+0.90%0.0215✓1.1226k2022-01-13
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.158.1549+0.06%8.02-1.60%0.0077✗0.77771k2022-01-13
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum8.5088.5127+0.06%7.758-8.82%0.0853✗0.64272k2022-01-13
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash400.02400.186+0.04%377.35-5.67%0.0468✗1.029.0M2022-01-13
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.12150.121535+0.03%0.1089-10.37%0.0970✗1.09304k2022-01-13
TRBTellor TributesEthereum33.1633.1681+0.02%29.3-11.64%0.1062✗1.521.1M2022-01-13
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.63885.6399+0.02%5.9355+5.26%0.0652✓1.20480k2022-01-13
XLMStellarStellar0.26750.267521+0.01%0.269407+0.71%0.0189✓1.0224.9M2022-01-13
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.514.5008+0.01%14.71+1.45%0.0224✓0.691.1M2022-01-13
ZENHorizenBase57.7957.7893-0.00%55.99-3.11%0.0141✓1.50805k2022-01-13
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.6867.6859-0.00%7.611-0.98%0.0048✗1.25315k2022-01-13
DOTPolkadotPolkadot26.7126.7083-0.01%25.82-3.33%0.0187✓1.2971.0M2022-01-13
UNIUniswapEthereum17.0617.0567-0.02%15.46-9.38%0.0833✓1.2814.1M2022-01-13
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8763.8748-0.03%3.783-2.40%0.0159✓0.68454k2022-01-13
XTZTezosTezos4.4554.4532-0.04%4.1161-7.61%0.0628✓1.354.9M2022-01-13
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.07010.070069-0.04%0.0547-21.97%0.2316✓1.361.5M2022-01-13
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0306510.030634-0.05%0.028546-6.87%0.0586✓1.027.0M2022-01-13
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08020.080155-0.06%0.0792-1.25%0.0005✓1.0616k2022-01-13
XMRMoneroMonero205.35205.1982-0.07%223.84+9.00%0.0989✗1.023.2M2022-01-13
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.3410.340736-0.08%0.311-8.80%0.0766✓1.252.9M2022-01-13
COMPCompoundEthereum204.52204.3363-0.09%190-7.10%0.0592✓1.16199k2022-01-13
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000030790.00003076-0.10%0.00002968-3.61%0.0212✓1.241.7M2022-01-13
SPELLSpellEthereum0.017050.017032-0.10%0.01444-15.31%0.1376✓2.3529.0M2022-01-13
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.18411.1826-0.12%1.1086-6.38%0.0533✓0.9721.2M2022-01-13
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.013.0058-0.14%2.73-9.30%0.0808✓1.323.0M2022-01-13
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.493.4849-0.15%3.72+6.59%0.0807✗1.3110.7M2022-01-13
ZECZcashZcash137.22137.0174-0.15%143.25+4.39%0.0604✗1.368.6M2022-01-13
GTGateEthereum6.27766.2671-0.17%6.7733+7.90%0.0876✗0.843.9M2022-01-13
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5910.589853-0.19%0.512-13.37%0.1265✓1.282.2M2022-01-13
HIVEHivenative1.48681.4838-0.20%1.2902-13.22%0.1237✓1.385.2M2022-01-13
CBKCobakEthereum2.8162.8103-0.20%2.804-0.43%0.0082✗0.8936k2022-01-13
SUSHISushiEthereum7.457.4342-0.21%7.03-5.64%0.0406✓1.3118.2M2022-01-13
CTSICartesiEthereum0.64920.647428-0.27%0.7059+8.73%0.1022✗1.342.8M2022-01-13
XVGVergenative0.015760.015716-0.28%0.01377-12.63%0.1181✓1.202.1M2022-01-13
XEMNEMnative0.12320.122833-0.30%0.1158-6.01%0.0467✓1.04111k2022-01-13
LUNATerraTerra 278.3978.1455-0.31%77.85-0.69%0.0079✗1.007.2M2022-01-13
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche95.1494.8355-0.32%89.76-5.65%0.0418✓1.13114.6M2022-01-13
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.30481.3006-0.32%1.3822+5.93%0.0739✗1.11922k2022-01-13
MOVRMoonriverBase185.613184.89-0.39%161-13.26%0.1257✓1.08574k2022-01-13
CELLCellframeEthereum0.95040.946604-0.40%1+5.22%0.0666✗1.00143k2022-01-13
RADRadworksEthereum9.599.5503-0.41%8.04-16.16%0.1618✓0.881.2M2022-01-13
CHZChilizEthereum0.28110.279889-0.43%0.264-6.08%0.0431✓1.314.6M2022-01-13
UOSUltraEthereum1.40751.4013-0.44%1.2959-7.93%0.0667✓0.983.6M2022-01-13
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.651.6425-0.45%1.37-16.97%0.1616✓1.69881k2022-01-13
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0621160.061822-0.47%0.0577-7.11%0.0538✓1.307.4M2022-01-13
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.1631.1575-0.48%1.027-11.69%0.1087✓0.932.3M2022-01-13
IMXImmutableEthereum4.154.1301-0.48%3.49-15.90%0.1567✓1.002.5M2022-01-13
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.07041.0652-0.48%1.0137-5.30%0.0332✓1.401.6M2022-01-13
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.100880.100349-0.53%0.09247-8.34%0.0739✓0.6755k2022-01-13
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.017060.016969-0.53%0.01482-13.13%0.1203✓1.292.2M2022-01-13
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.63650.633054-0.54%0.5711-10.27%0.0879✓1.2911.8M2022-01-13
STORJStorjEthereum1.64761.6386-0.55%1.5749-4.41%0.0297✓0.84663k2022-01-13
QNTQuantEthereum178.46177.467-0.56%165.57-7.22%0.0581✓0.977.9M2022-01-13
MASKMask NetworkEthereum10.910.8383-0.57%9.54-12.48%0.1199✓0.651.2M2022-01-13
KCSKuCoinnative20.96820.8421-0.60%19.585-6.60%0.0433✓1.6113.6M2022-01-13
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.773.7465-0.62%3.8032+0.88%0.0138✗-0.11364k2022-01-13
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.019.9469-0.63%10.34+3.30%0.0476✗0.751.2M2022-01-13
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7980090.792622-0.68%0.737451-7.59%0.0588✓1.142.8M2022-01-13
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.3384.3071-0.71%4.18-3.64%0.0209✓0.771.1M2022-01-13
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.018160.018025-0.74%0.01623-10.63%0.0971✓0.6730k2022-01-13
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum30.5930.3604-0.75%31.39+2.62%0.0498✗1.4024.4M2022-01-13
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.965.9151-0.75%5.08-14.77%0.1389✓1.133.3M2022-01-13
API3Api3Ethereum43.9675-0.81%3.64-9.00%0.0744✓1.00957k2022-01-13
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.121.11-0.89%1.08-3.57%0.0075✓1.701.9M2022-01-13
CVCCivicEthereum0.33460.331534-0.92%0.3204-4.24%0.0222✓1.02293k2022-01-13
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.415.3559-1.00%5.03-7.02%0.0464✓1.4029.4M2022-01-13
LINKChainlinkEthereum25.3925.1354-1.00%24.88-2.01%0.0042✓1.2369.2M2022-01-13
MINAMina Protocolnative3.683.6413-1.05%3.28-10.87%0.0926✓1.02626k2022-01-13
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.5732.5447-1.10%2.371-7.85%0.0583✓1.061.9M2022-01-13
COTICOTIEthereum0.37080.366586-1.14%0.3308-10.79%0.0854✓1.483.4M2022-01-13
BANDBandEthereum5.835.7634-1.14%5.84+0.17%0.0259✗1.092.1M2022-01-13
UMAUMAEthereum9.769.6441-1.19%8.3-14.96%0.1389✓0.964.1M2022-01-13
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.56311.5443-1.20%1.3616-12.89%0.1127✓1.1330.0M2022-01-13
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.18021.1647-1.32%1.0337-12.41%0.0985✓1.771.1M2022-01-13
LPTLivepeerEthereum41.8441.2537-1.40%35.73-14.60%0.1249✓1.602.8M2022-01-13
GTCGitcoinEthereum13.112.9016-1.51%11.04-15.73%0.1548✓0.093.5M2022-01-13
YFIyearn.financeEthereum35,933.6935,355.21-1.61%31,460.45-12.45%0.1090✓0.6621.4M2022-01-13
MANADecentralandEthereum3.38723.3314-1.65%2.8936-14.57%0.1295✓0.985.6M2022-01-13
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.77860.763774-1.90%0.8402+7.91%0.1159✗1.7535.9M2022-01-13
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.5530.540657-2.23%0.6418+16.06%0.1881✗1.42650k2022-01-13
GITCOINGITCOIN13.0912.7815-2.36%11.091-15.27%0.1415✓0.0378k2022-01-13
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos40.0438.9683-2.68%37.62-6.04%0.0244✓0.9243.4M2022-01-13
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.