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2022-01-04 · +7d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 138 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1993
138 of 138 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+3.26%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
79.0%
in alpha space · 87.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-6.68%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (138 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.44841.4593+0.75%0.9389-35.18%0.3842✗0.824.4M2022-01-11
TRXTRONTron0.0759890.076458+0.62%0.064934-14.55%0.0984✗0.94556k2022-01-11
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum46,006.0046,264.53+0.56%42,770.20-7.03%0.0110✗0.9810k2022-01-11
BTCBitcoinBitcoin45,814.6146,013.30+0.43%42,753.44-6.68%0.0043✗1.00727.0M2022-01-11
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum3.893.9049+0.38%2.93-24.68%0.2181✗1.003.3M2022-01-11
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.482.488+0.32%2.15-13.31%0.0727✗1.064.0M2022-01-11
SUNSun TokenTron0.0223170.022375+0.26%0.018697-16.22%0.0965✗1.202.4M2022-01-11
XYMSymbolnative0.21010.210645+0.26%0.2062-1.86%0.0196✓0.59441k2022-01-11
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.768.7606+0.01%8-8.68%0.0490✗0.60828k2022-01-11
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1684740.168332-0.08%0.153722-8.76%0.0147✓1.104.6M2022-01-11
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.5074.5013-0.13%4.1768-7.33%0.0144✗1.294.7M2022-01-11
NANOnanopayBase3.71433.709-0.14%3.0312-18.39%0.1286✓1.06798k2022-01-11
NMRNumeraireEthereum31.2731.2155-0.17%28.42-9.11%0.0470✓0.68385k2022-01-11
QTUMQtumQtum8.99398.9779-0.18%7.521-16.38%0.0791✓1.42268k2022-01-11
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.055130.055018-0.20%0.04765-13.57%0.0676✓1.1015k2022-01-11
FILFilecoinFilecoin36.1336.0385-0.25%28.89-20.04%0.1496✓1.0322.7M2022-01-11
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.089270.089009-0.29%0.07976-10.65%0.0092✓1.452.9M2022-01-11
ADACardanoCardano1.30921.3052-0.31%1.1879-9.27%0.0184✓1.0997.2M2022-01-11
DASHDashDash134.69134.1902-0.37%141.85+5.32%0.1433✗1.271.9M2022-01-11
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.2282.2196-0.38%1.86-16.52%0.0992✓1.122.5M2022-01-11
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.1133.972-0.40%29.69-12.96%0.0628✓1.043.7M2022-01-11
SOLSolanaSolana167.72167.0325-0.41%140.27-16.37%0.1009✓1.07211.5M2022-01-11
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.1075.0859-0.41%4.814-5.74%0.0133✓0.60549k2022-01-11
ETHEthereumEthereum3,785.003,769.17-0.42%3,240.83-14.38%0.0794✓1.04619.8M2022-01-11
BFCBifrostEthereum0.204040.203165-0.43%0.17303-15.20%0.0525✓1.566,4462022-01-11
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.09033.0767-0.44%3.1857+3.09%0.1175✗1.202.9M2022-01-11
XVSVenusEthereum15.9215.845-0.47%13.71-13.88%0.0653✓1.153.5M2022-01-11
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.083880.083481-0.48%0.07076-15.64%0.0811✓1.2220.9M2022-01-11
DODODODOEthereum0.8730.868806-0.48%0.747-14.43%0.0491✓1.478.1M2022-01-11
XEMNEMnative0.12520.124551-0.52%0.1145-8.55%0.0081✓1.10115k2022-01-11
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.167.1228-0.52%6.78-5.31%0.0053✓0.64801k2022-01-11
XMRMoneroMonero222.22221.0154-0.54%193.01-13.14%0.0657✓1.013.2M2022-01-11
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.19570.194637-0.54%0.1778-9.15%0.0278✓0.91506k2022-01-11
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.06950.069118-0.55%0.0574-17.41%0.0888✓1.401.6M2022-01-11
DOTPolkadotPolkadot28.6928.5264-0.57%25.55-10.94%0.0208✓1.2971.0M2022-01-11
AUCTIONBounceEthereum24.0223.8781-0.59%20.39-15.11%0.0867✓1.031.2M2022-01-11
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.0414.9508-0.59%14.78-1.73%0.0359✗0.691.1M2022-01-11
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.58.4485-0.61%8.1-4.71%0.0106✗0.76773k2022-01-11
PHAPHALAEthereum0.4090.406432-0.63%0.361-11.74%0.0680✓0.7339k2022-01-11
FTTFTXEthereum41.3541.0868-0.64%39.78-3.80%0.0402✗1.0519.4M2022-01-11
LTCLitecoinLitecoin146.44145.4289-0.69%131.67-10.09%0.0063✓1.3536.7M2022-01-11
UNIUniswapEthereum18.2118.084-0.69%15.98-12.25%0.0350✓1.2814.1M2022-01-11
AMPAmpEthereum0.049290.048945-0.70%0.04184-15.11%0.0944✓0.908.2M2022-01-11
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08560.084997-0.70%0.076-11.21%0.0378✓1.0718k2022-01-11
XLMStellarStellar0.2793080.27731-0.72%0.263177-5.78%0.0182✗1.0224.9M2022-01-11
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV120.8119.9192-0.73%110.22-8.76%0.0184✓0.953.2M2022-01-11
CTKShentuOsmosis1.6781.6655-0.75%1.398-16.69%0.0811✓1.365.7M2022-01-11
LINKChainlinkEthereum23.4323.2548-0.75%26.6+13.53%0.2259✗1.3269.2M2022-01-11
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1124.0807-0.76%3.818-7.15%0.0207✓0.66483k2022-01-11
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash427.38424.1154-0.76%369.84-13.46%0.0669✓1.019.0M2022-01-11
QNTQuantEthereum179.48178.1041-0.77%169.57-5.52%0.0170✗0.968.3M2022-01-11
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.393.364-0.77%3.2-5.60%0.0190✗1.00995k2022-01-11
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.06176.015-0.77%5.328-12.10%0.0383✓1.20553k2022-01-11
DEXEDeXeEthereum11.5111.4202-0.78%9.73-15.46%0.1717✓-0.172.2M2022-01-11
SKLSKALEEthereum0.19950.197925-0.79%0.1605-19.55%0.1237✓1.244.8M2022-01-11
GTGateEthereum6.49016.4387-0.79%6.4129-1.19%0.0540✗0.843.9M2022-01-11
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum92.8892.1354-0.80%72.75-21.67%0.1697✓0.966.3M2022-01-11
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.34271.3319-0.80%1.3709+2.10%0.1051✗1.10922k2022-01-11
COMPCompoundEthereum223.02221.2-0.82%188.96-15.27%0.0785✓1.14211k2022-01-11
DKAdKargoEthereum0.119720.118732-0.82%0.10496-12.33%0.0471✓1.1026k2022-01-11
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum38.6738.3427-0.85%26.75-30.82%0.2358✓1.805.4M2022-01-11
XECeCashnative0.000112920.000111946-0.86%0.00009356-17.14%0.1114✓0.987.2M2022-01-11
LRCLoopringEthereum2.06512.0472-0.87%1.4915-27.78%0.1869✓1.881.4M2022-01-11
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.2398.1674-0.87%7.094-13.90%0.0536✓1.26336k2022-01-11
TRBTellor TributesEthereum35.8335.5087-0.90%29.43-17.86%0.0821✓1.531.1M2022-01-11
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0334060.033104-0.90%0.029265-12.40%0.0524✓1.027.3M2022-01-11
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09910.098188-0.92%0.0824-16.85%0.0811✓1.361.5M2022-01-11
LSKLiskEthereum2.33982.3181-0.93%2.1025-10.14%0.0200✓1.12100k2022-01-11
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.641.6244-0.95%1.36-17.07%0.0585✓1.72964k2022-01-11
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13240.131133-0.96%0.1102-16.77%0.0997✓1.07304k2022-01-11
MOVRMoonriverBase185.4543183.6307-0.98%165.565-10.72%0.0231✓1.16574k2022-01-11
AAVEAaveEthereum251.96249.3851-1.02%213.29-15.35%0.0777✓1.1414.7M2022-01-11
UMAUMAEthereum9.038.9357-1.04%8.65-4.21%0.0447✗1.123.9M2022-01-11
CBKCobakEthereum3.153.1156-1.09%2.765-12.22%0.0604✓0.8541k2022-01-11
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.77953.7381-1.09%3.7323-1.25%0.0092✓-0.11364k2022-01-11
SCSiacoinnative0.015470.015297-1.12%0.0135-12.73%0.0589✓0.96783k2022-01-11
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.06230.061597-1.13%0.064925+4.21%0.1488✗1.397.4M2022-01-11
ZECZcashZcash147.34145.6706-1.13%141.38-4.05%0.0635✗1.3510.1M2022-01-11
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.27881.2643-1.14%1.141-10.78%0.0372✓0.9521.2M2022-01-11
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.36730.363111-1.14%0.3101-15.57%0.0698✓1.273.0M2022-01-11
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.2231.209-1.15%1.045-14.55%0.0807✓0.942.4M2022-01-11
KSMKusamaHydration296.29292.8612-1.16%260.77-11.99%0.0392✓1.111.3M2022-01-11
LUNATerraTerra 284.5683.5742-1.17%73.57-13.00%0.0583✓1.006.3M2022-01-11
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000032450.000032066-1.18%0.00002762-14.88%0.0631✓1.251.7M2022-01-11
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum9.369.248-1.20%8.221-12.17%0.0755✓0.61299k2022-01-11
SUSHISushiEthereum8.077.9699-1.24%6.99-13.38%0.0404✓1.3118.2M2022-01-11
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.11920.11772-1.24%0.077-35.40%0.3554✓1.0033.0M2022-01-11
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.3633.321-1.25%3.766+11.98%0.2359✗1.591.8M2022-01-11
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.69450.685766-1.26%0.6511-6.25%0.0359✗1.275.2M2022-01-11
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.67840.669612-1.30%0.5691-16.11%0.0736✓1.2911.4M2022-01-11
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.6461.6246-1.30%1.273-22.66%0.1549✓1.293.4M2022-01-11
LCXLCXEthereum0.19430.191748-1.31%0.1471-24.29%0.1832✓1.182.1M2022-01-11
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.5610.4183-1.34%10.19-3.50%0.0293✗0.741.2M2022-01-11
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.6734.6097-1.35%4.382-6.23%0.0020✓0.761.1M2022-01-11
XTZTezosTezos5.0394.9654-1.46%4.1752-17.14%0.0816✓1.334.9M2022-01-11
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.724.6507-1.47%3.8424-18.59%0.1434✓0.6917k2022-01-11
XVGVergenative0.017210.016955-1.48%0.01386-19.47%0.1192✓1.192.2M2022-01-11
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.151.1329-1.49%0.96-16.52%0.0964✓1.001.8M2022-01-11
CHZChilizEthereum0.30250.297962-1.50%0.2641-12.69%0.0306✓1.304.6M2022-01-11
MANADecentralandEthereum3.17443.1267-1.50%2.9312-7.66%0.0009✓0.955.7M2022-01-11
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.110.108331-1.52%0.09134-16.96%0.1263✓0.6455k2022-01-11
BANDBandEthereum5.665.5726-1.54%5.14-9.19%0.0012✓1.192.1M2022-01-11
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche103.3101.6818-1.57%89.66-13.20%0.0484✓1.12115.7M2022-01-11
HIVEHivenative1.59251.5673-1.58%1.3102-17.73%0.0836✓1.385.2M2022-01-11
KCSKuCoinnative22.04621.685-1.64%19.378-12.10%0.0005✓1.6313.6M2022-01-11
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.019730.019404-1.65%0.01644-16.68%0.1210✓0.6535k2022-01-11
API3Api3Ethereum4.14.0313-1.67%3.54-13.66%0.0608✓1.00967k2022-01-11
YFIyearn.financeEthereum36,282.4735,659.93-1.72%32,768.96-9.68%0.0423✓0.6117.3M2022-01-11
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.423.3611-1.72%2.8-18.13%0.0930✓1.303.0M2022-01-11
UOSUltraEthereum1.46021.4347-1.75%1.2365-15.32%0.0824✓0.963.6M2022-01-11
IMXImmutableEthereum4.744.6568-1.75%3.61-23.84%0.1855✓1.002.5M2022-01-11
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8884310.872331-1.81%0.718632-19.11%0.1161✓1.122.8M2022-01-11
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.6932.6439-1.82%2.311-14.18%0.0636✓1.031.9M2022-01-11
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6620.649913-1.83%0.516-22.05%0.1439✓1.262.2M2022-01-11
ZENHorizenBase64.4263.2425-1.83%56.11-12.90%0.0157✓1.50807k2022-01-11
SNXSynthetixEthereum6.66.4783-1.84%5.08-23.03%0.1638✓1.153.3M2022-01-11
MINAMina Protocolnative3.713.6413-1.85%3.45-7.01%0.0204✗1.08626k2022-01-11
CELLCellframeEthereum1.03511.0157-1.88%0.8921-13.82%0.0606✓1.00145k2022-01-11
CRVCurve DAOEthereum6.085.9644-1.90%4.61-24.18%0.1635✓1.3629.4M2022-01-11
STORJStorjEthereum1.79181.7567-1.96%1.5924-11.12%0.0423✓0.81668k2022-01-11
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.67141.6376-2.02%1.4467-13.44%0.0465✓1.1230.0M2022-01-11
COTICOTIEthereum0.39340.385273-2.07%0.3363-14.51%0.0333✓1.493.4M2022-01-11
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.18721.1625-2.08%1.025-13.66%0.0289✓1.401.7M2022-01-11
RADRadworksEthereum11.2711.0349-2.09%8.01-28.93%0.2624✓0.841.2M2022-01-11
CVCCivicEthereum0.35740.3499-2.10%0.3228-9.68%0.0115✓1.00293k2022-01-11
MASKMask NetworkEthereum12.2912.0314-2.10%9.67-21.32%0.1765✓0.611.2M2022-01-11
CTSICartesiEthereum0.71330.697771-2.18%0.5799-18.70%0.0938✓1.322.8M2022-01-11
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.019470.019041-2.21%0.01475-24.24%0.1674✓1.272.2M2022-01-11
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.923.832-2.25%3.57-8.93%0.0198✓1.3110.7M2022-01-11
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum33.8233.0512-2.27%34.45+1.86%0.1373✗1.3924.2M2022-01-11
LPTLivepeerEthereum42.8341.8472-2.29%36.84-13.99%0.0137✓1.642.8M2022-01-11
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.28291.253-2.33%1.0548-17.79%0.0503✓1.761.2M2022-01-11
SPELLSpellEthereum0.021110.020582-2.50%0.01458-30.93%0.2756✓1.0028.5M2022-01-11
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.83810.812515-3.05%0.6826-18.55%0.0556✓1.7233.4M2022-01-11
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos42.0540.4732-3.75%38.71-7.94%0.0175✓0.9043.4M2022-01-11
GTCGitcoinEthereum15.715.0906-3.88%11.23-28.47%0.2968✓-0.023.9M2022-01-11
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.62060.595722-4.01%0.6261+0.89%0.1460✗1.39650k2022-01-11
GITCOINGITCOIN15.67214.9588-4.55%11.203-28.52%0.2943✓-0.0786k2022-01-11
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.