2021-12-31 · +7d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 137 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.3669

137 of 137 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+15.59%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

68.6%

in alpha space · 44.5% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-10.05%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (137 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01579	0.01678	+6.27%	0.01562	-1.08%	0.0661	✓	1.30	2.3M	2022-01-07
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1752	0.185454	+5.85%	0.1543	-11.93%	0.0611	✗	1.16	2.8M	2022-01-07
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	181.8528	189.938	+4.45%	163.2907	-10.21%	0.0283	✓	1.16	622k	2022-01-07
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0971	0.101259	+4.28%	0.0855	-11.95%	0.0233	✓	1.38	1.8M	2022-01-07
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	4.6064	4.796	+4.12%	4.1928	-8.98%	0.0028	✓	1.30	5.0M	2022-01-07
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	33.06	34.193	+3.43%	30.97	-6.32%	0.0634	✓	1.53	1.3M	2022-01-07
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	8.1	8.3745	+3.39%	6.989	-13.72%	0.0469	✗	1.26	391k	2022-01-07
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.08767	0.090528	+3.26%	0.07895	-9.95%	0.0167	✓	1.45	3.9M	2022-01-07
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.843	0.869856	+3.19%	0.802	-4.86%	0.0759	✓	1.48	8.5M	2022-01-07
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	24.42	25.1943	+3.17%	30.22	+23.75%	0.3334	✓	1.43	24.2M	2022-01-07
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.8862	6.0699	+3.12%	5.4947	-6.65%	0.0280	✓	1.20	649k	2022-01-07
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.39	2.4611	+2.98%	2.18	-8.79%	0.0099	✓	1.05	4.1M	2022-01-07
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.48	5.643	+2.98%	5.4	-1.46%	0.0776	✓	1.15	4.3M	2022-01-07
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.62	1.6621	+2.60%	1.55	-4.32%	0.1128	✓	1.72	1.1M	2022-01-07
ZEN	Horizen	Base	60.57	62.1195	+2.56%	55.57	-8.25%	0.0484	✓	1.51	1.0M	2022-01-07
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1945	0.199303	+2.47%	0.1805	-7.20%	0.0432	✗	0.53	410k	2022-01-07
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	1.62	1.659	+2.41%	1.0882	-32.83%	0.3345	✗	0.82	4.6M	2022-01-07
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.7078	0.724588	+2.37%	0.638	-9.86%	0.0076	✓	1.27	6.1M	2022-01-07
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	8.736	8.9406	+2.34%	7.8679	-9.94%	0.0240	✓	1.43	280k	2022-01-07
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.2023	0.206666	+2.16%	0.173	-14.48%	0.0471	✗	1.23	5.4M	2022-01-07
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.01	5.116	+2.12%	5.27	+5.19%	0.1578	✓	1.21	2.4M	2022-01-07
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.426	0.434778	+2.06%	0.369	-13.38%	0.0859	✗	0.74	46k	2022-01-07
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.4139	0.422395	+2.05%	0.5162	+24.72%	0.3492	✓	1.40	722k	2022-01-07
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.6421	0.655146	+2.03%	0.5936	-7.55%	0.0390	✓	1.30	11.8M	2022-01-07
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	34.06	34.7142	+1.92%	30.45	-10.60%	0.0202	✗	1.05	4.7M	2022-01-07
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	15.14	15.4271	+1.90%	13.92	-8.06%	0.0180	✓	1.14	4.3M	2022-01-07
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	34.24	34.8446	+1.77%	31.53	-7.91%	0.0095	✓	1.03	23.7M	2022-01-07
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.612	0.622687	+1.75%	0.546	-10.78%	0.0033	✓	1.27	2.5M	2022-01-07
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.802611	0.816239	+1.70%	0.752558	-6.24%	0.0363	✓	1.11	2.8M	2022-01-07
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.075477	0.076748	+1.68%	0.068128	-9.74%	0.0184	✗	0.95	607k	2022-01-07
XEM	NEM	native	0.1227	0.124709	+1.64%	0.1166	-4.97%	0.0500	✓	1.11	153k	2022-01-07
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.1464	3.1961	+1.58%	3.0272	-3.79%	0.0737	✓	1.21	3.3M	2022-01-07
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	146.15	148.4511	+1.57%	131.34	-10.13%	0.0212	✓	1.36	46.1M	2022-01-07
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	93.21	94.6323	+1.53%	73.42	-21.23%	0.1506	✗	0.97	7.0M	2022-01-07
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	26.67	27.0737	+1.51%	24.88	-6.71%	0.0516	✓	1.28	75.1M	2022-01-07
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3279	0.332714	+1.47%	0.3309	+0.91%	0.0946	✓	0.94	293k	2022-01-07
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	7.06	7.1589	+1.40%	6.64	-5.95%	0.0078	✓	0.64	1.1M	2022-01-07
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	2.058	2.0866	+1.39%	1.857	-9.77%	0.0034	✓	1.13	3.1M	2022-01-07
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.170222	0.172587	+1.39%	0.154835	-9.04%	0.0092	✓	1.11	5.5M	2022-01-07
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.033825	0.034293	+1.38%	0.029557	-12.62%	0.0381	✗	1.04	8.5M	2022-01-07
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2833	0.287134	+1.35%	0.2638	-6.88%	0.0539	✓	1.31	5.5M	2022-01-07
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	9.11	9.2324	+1.34%	9.41	+3.29%	0.1380	✓	1.12	4.1M	2022-01-07
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.4015	3.4464	+1.32%	3.0909	-9.13%	0.0036	✓	1.06	798k	2022-01-07
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	5.023	5.0887	+1.31%	4.597	-8.48%	0.0386	✗	0.59	773k	2022-01-07
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0763	0.077211	+1.19%	0.0669	-12.32%	0.0037	✓	1.39	1.7M	2022-01-07
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	19.51	19.7417	+1.19%	25.97	+33.11%	0.4161	✓	1.34	69.7M	2022-01-07
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.93	2.9638	+1.15%	2.83	-3.41%	0.0924	✓	1.31	3.2M	2022-01-07
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.3082	1.323	+1.13%	1.2093	-7.56%	0.0249	✓	1.08	106.2M	2022-01-07
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1283	0.129714	+1.10%	0.1111	-13.41%	0.0414	✗	1.07	324k	2022-01-07
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	38.25	38.6152	+0.95%	35.51	-7.16%	0.0275	✓	1.05	20.7M	2022-01-07
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	24.41	24.6212	+0.87%	20.9	-14.38%	0.0528	✗	1.05	1.5M	2022-01-07
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.11271	0.11364	+0.82%	0.10346	-8.21%	0.0246	✓	1.12	29k	2022-01-07
XEC	eCash	native	0.00010819	0.000109033	+0.78%	0.00009855	-8.91%	0.0044	✓	1.00	8.0M	2022-01-07
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.2796	1.2895	+0.77%	2.05	+60.21%	0.5783	✓	1.08	987k	2022-01-07
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	199.58	201.0465	+0.73%	192.9	-3.35%	0.0806	✓	1.15	210k	2022-01-07
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	4.018	4.0469	+0.72%	3.811	-5.15%	0.0087	✓	0.65	502k	2022-01-07
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.508	4.537	+0.64%	4.127	-8.45%	0.0200	✗	0.71	1.0M	2022-01-07
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.08513	0.085676	+0.64%	0.0749	-12.02%	0.0032	✓	1.24	21.7M	2022-01-07
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	8.8	8.8471	+0.53%	8.18	-7.05%	0.0140	✗	0.61	999k	2022-01-07
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.542	1.5498	+0.50%	1.306	-15.30%	0.0357	✗	1.28	3.6M	2022-01-07
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	46,211.24	46,443.48	+0.50%	41,565.18	-10.05%	0.0050	✓	1.00	750.8M	2022-01-07
DASH	Dash	Dash	133.78	134.448	+0.50%	134.68	+0.67%	0.1369	✓	1.28	2.1M	2022-01-07
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	46,060.20	46,282.03	+0.48%	41,663.10	-9.55%	0.0015	✓	0.98	9,204	2022-01-07
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3547	0.356316	+0.46%	0.3378	-4.76%	0.1031	✓	1.48	4.3M	2022-01-07
SOL	Solana	Solana	169.88	170.6484	+0.45%	136.37	-19.73%	0.1126	✗	1.05	236.5M	2022-01-07
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.2282	1.2333	+0.41%	1.0067	-18.03%	0.0551	✗	1.40	2.1M	2022-01-07
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.19688	0.197623	+0.38%	0.17255	-12.36%	0.0326	✓	1.59	8,456	2022-01-07
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0823	0.082583	+0.34%	0.076	-7.65%	0.0317	✓	1.08	20k	2022-01-07
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.882	2.8918	+0.34%	2.661	-7.67%	0.0097	✓	0.88	53k	2022-01-07
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.266478	0.267358	+0.33%	0.257021	-3.55%	0.0687	✓	1.02	27.7M	2022-01-07
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	16.98	17.036	+0.33%	15.75	-7.24%	0.0592	✓	1.30	15.5M	2022-01-07
XVG	Verge	native	0.01703	0.017085	+0.32%	0.01454	-14.62%	0.0350	✗	1.19	2.4M	2022-01-07
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.063529	0.063667	+0.22%	0.059308	-6.64%	0.0786	✓	1.41	7.9M	2022-01-07
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	430.15	431.034	+0.21%	385.43	-10.40%	0.0048	✗	1.01	9.8M	2022-01-07
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	8.41	8.4267	+0.20%	8.03	-4.52%	0.0327	✓	0.76	1.1M	2022-01-07
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.3655	0.365903	+0.11%	0.3192	-12.67%	0.0010	✓	1.28	4.2M	2022-01-07
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.574	2.5761	+0.08%	2.344	-8.94%	0.0142	✓	1.03	2.1M	2022-01-07
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003342	0.000033445	+0.08%	0.00002895	-13.38%	0.0105	✗	1.26	2.0M	2022-01-07
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.397	2.3986	+0.06%	2.1392	-10.76%	0.0066	✓	1.14	128k	2022-01-07
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.021822	0.021824	+0.01%	0.019625	-10.07%	0.0222	✓	1.21	2.4M	2022-01-07
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,675.80	3,674.00	-0.05%	3,198.82	-12.98%	0.0277	✓	1.05	716.9M	2022-01-07
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	31.4	31.3798	-0.06%	27.94	-11.02%	0.0451	✓	0.67	503k	2022-01-07
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	15.07	15.0542	-0.11%	15.09	+0.13%	0.0751	✗	0.69	1.4M	2022-01-07
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.5555	6.5471	-0.13%	6.1737	-5.82%	0.0300	✗	0.84	4.0M	2022-01-07
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.6864	0.685463	-0.14%	0.5999	-12.60%	0.0072	✗	1.33	3.1M	2022-01-07
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	179.22	178.9521	-0.15%	177.7	-0.85%	0.0957	✗	0.97	9.4M	2022-01-07
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1984	0.197978	-0.21%	0.1763	-11.14%	0.0208	✓	0.90	622k	2022-01-07
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.1009	0.100668	-0.23%	0.0942	-6.64%	0.0020	✓	0.65	64k	2022-01-07
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.259	1.2555	-0.28%	1.054	-16.28%	0.0744	✓	0.95	2.7M	2022-01-07
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	146.46	146.0199	-0.30%	139.74	-4.59%	0.1006	✗	1.36	11.8M	2022-01-07
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01518	0.015133	-0.31%	0.01358	-10.54%	0.0065	✓	0.96	868k	2022-01-07
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.05331	0.053139	-0.32%	0.04946	-7.22%	0.0457	✗	1.11	15k	2022-01-07
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	253.92	253.0799	-0.33%	211.6	-16.67%	0.0591	✓	1.13	11.5M	2022-01-07
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	38.92	38.7825	-0.35%	30.01	-22.89%	0.0637	✓	1.82	6.6M	2022-01-07
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		121.02	120.5276	-0.41%	109.72	-9.34%	0.0080	✗	0.96	3.7M	2022-01-07
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.11	10.0688	-0.41%	10.01	-0.99%	0.0734	✗	0.75	1.3M	2022-01-07
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.7428	1.7349	-0.45%	1.5636	-10.28%	0.0201	✓	0.79	889k	2022-01-07
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.21	3.1947	-0.48%	3.11	-3.12%	0.0791	✗	1.00	1.1M	2022-01-07
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	276.22	274.8523	-0.50%	250.4	-9.35%	0.0248	✗	1.11	1.4M	2022-01-07
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	39.69	39.482	-0.52%	37.02	-6.73%	0.1129	✗	1.67	2.9M	2022-01-07
KCS	KuCoin	native	21.376	21.2608	-0.54%	19.19	-10.23%	0.0719	✗	1.65	16.6M	2022-01-07
XMR	Monero	Monero	228.93	227.558	-0.60%	194.72	-14.94%	0.0529	✓	0.97	3.0M	2022-01-07
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.496	3.4739	-0.63%	2.889	-17.36%	0.0146	✓	1.60	2.5M	2022-01-07
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01908	0.018955	-0.66%	0.0169	-11.43%	0.0483	✓	0.63	42k	2022-01-07
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.04828	0.047937	-0.71%	0.04349	-9.92%	0.0006	✓	0.91	8.6M	2022-01-07
HIVE	Hive	native	1.4896	1.4784	-0.75%	1.3612	-8.62%	0.0656	✗	1.40	5.8M	2022-01-07
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.9088	0.901939	-0.75%	0.9215	+1.40%	0.1274	✗	1.00	146k	2022-01-07
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.3404	4.3047	-0.82%	4.2564	-1.94%	0.1287	✗	1.32	4.9M	2022-01-07
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	11.78	11.6718	-0.92%	9.26	-21.39%	0.2498	✓	-0.17	3.4M	2022-01-07
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.634	1.6185	-0.95%	1.506	-7.83%	0.0706	✗	1.35	7.6M	2022-01-07
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.2677	3.2334	-1.05%	3.05	-6.66%	0.0421	✗	0.95	6.9M	2022-01-07
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.54	3.5008	-1.11%	3.36	-5.08%	0.0722	✗	1.07	723k	2022-01-07
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	85.56	84.5546	-1.18%	68.69	-19.72%	0.1018	✓	1.00	6.3M	2022-01-07
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.3658	1.3492	-1.22%	1.1144	-18.41%	0.0915	✓	0.94	23.6M	2022-01-07
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.7613	3.7152	-1.23%	3.5714	-5.05%	0.0520	✓	-0.12	409k	2022-01-07
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.22	4.1679	-1.23%	3.79	-10.19%	0.0109	✓	1.00	1.1M	2022-01-07
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	12.22	12.0539	-1.36%	10.15	-16.94%	0.1121	✓	0.56	1.3M	2022-01-07
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	10.85	10.6924	-1.45%	8.9	-17.97%	0.0931	✓	0.85	1.2M	2022-01-07
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	2.0908	2.0601	-1.47%	1.668	-20.22%	0.0075	✓	1.92	1.5M	2022-01-07
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.13	1.1127	-1.53%	1	-11.50%	0.0008	✓	1.00	2.2M	2022-01-07
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	8.873	8.7282	-1.63%	8.183	-7.78%	0.0011	✓	0.60	338k	2022-01-07
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.2039	1.1841	-1.65%	1.0712	-11.02%	0.0887	✗	1.78	1.4M	2022-01-07
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	33,038.28	32,461.45	-1.75%	35,821.08	+8.42%	0.1587	✗	0.57	13.3M	2022-01-07
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	4.91	4.8232	-1.77%	3.77	-23.22%	0.1404	✓	1.00	3.0M	2022-01-07
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	9.42	9.241	-1.90%	7.17	-23.89%	0.1118	✓	1.34	17.1M	2022-01-07
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	109.4	107.2318	-1.98%	86.79	-20.67%	0.0940	✓	1.11	127.7M	2022-01-07
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.02346	0.02298	-2.05%	0.01509	-35.68%	0.3146	✓	1.00	33.0M	2022-01-07
METRONOME	METRONOME		4.7425	4.6431	-2.10%	3.9099	-17.56%	0.0947	✓	0.73	22k	2022-01-07
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	5.32	5.2029	-2.20%	5	-6.02%	0.0999	✗	1.32	28.7M	2022-01-07
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.6589	1.6217	-2.24%	1.445	-12.89%	0.0034	✓	1.12	31.7M	2022-01-07
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	32.43	31.6887	-2.29%	38.54	+18.84%	0.2898	✗	0.89	42.6M	2022-01-07
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.5666	1.5305	-2.30%	1.2622	-19.43%	0.0903	✓	0.97	4.3M	2022-01-07
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	4.34	4.2397	-2.31%	3.07	-29.26%	0.2168	✓	1.00	3.4M	2022-01-07
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	12.7	12.368	-2.61%	12.12	-4.57%	0.0248	✓	-0.04	4.2M	2022-01-07
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	4.55	4.4293	-2.65%	3.62	-20.44%	0.0593	✓	1.34	12.3M	2022-01-07
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		12.734	12.3327	-3.15%	12.098	-4.99%	0.0303	✓	-0.10	111k	2022-01-07
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.9356	0.889996	-4.87%	0.6983	-25.36%	0.0629	✓	1.70	30.1M	2022-01-07

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.