8=======>

2021-12-27 · +7d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 137 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1492
137 of 137 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+5.49%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
42.3%
in alpha space · 85.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-8.40%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (137 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.88430.830852-6.04%0.8413-4.86%0.1663✗1.7523.5M2022-01-03
BICOBiconomyEthereum5.184.8708-5.97%3.89-24.90%0.1372✓1.0012.4M2022-01-03
SPELLSpellEthereum0.02620.024715-5.67%0.02216-15.42%0.0214✓1.0035.6M2022-01-03
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.3124.1132-4.61%3.467-19.60%0.0832✓1.003.3M2022-01-03
HIVEHivenative1.8521.7682-4.52%1.6303-11.97%0.0349✓1.327.3M2022-01-03
CVCCivicEthereum0.37560.358882-4.45%0.374-0.43%0.1210✗0.91328k2022-01-03
BFCBifrostEthereum0.228490.218626-4.32%0.19941-12.73%0.0496✗1.6118k2022-01-03
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon2.07831.9892-4.29%1.5062-27.53%0.2196✓0.676.3M2022-01-03
GITCOINGITCOIN14.10613.5583-3.88%13.612-3.50%0.0042✓-0.09129k2022-01-03
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.30561.2557-3.82%1.2437-4.74%0.1217✗1.502.3M2022-01-03
UOSUltraEthereum1.72641.6626-3.70%1.5394-10.83%0.0100✓0.995.4M2022-01-03
CTSICartesiEthereum0.81110.781283-3.68%0.6942-14.41%0.0059✓1.283.6M2022-01-03
MASKMask NetworkEthereum12.7412.2886-3.54%12.81+0.55%0.0874✗0.521.5M2022-01-03
MANADecentralandEthereum3.74293.6135-3.46%3.2506-13.15%0.0291✓0.878.0M2022-01-03
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum44.4442.9443-3.37%39.23-11.72%0.0704✗1.838.0M2022-01-03
LPTLivepeerEthereum43.5842.1804-3.21%41.84-3.99%0.1415✗1.713.1M2022-01-03
GTCGitcoinEthereum14.1613.7111-3.17%13.72-3.11%0.0024✓-0.034.8M2022-01-03
STORJStorjEthereum2.05411.9898-3.13%1.8521-9.83%0.0102✓0.701.2M2022-01-03
IMXImmutableEthereum5.55.3295-3.10%4.57-16.91%0.0661✓1.002.5M2022-01-03
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche113.96110.4747-3.06%108.09-5.15%0.0772✗1.13127.7M2022-01-03
LCXLCXEthereum0.210.203721-2.99%0.197-6.19%0.0664✗1.143.8M2022-01-03
MOVRMoonriverBase211.5789205.2619-2.99%191.896-9.30%0.0327✗1.14674k2022-01-03
CELLCellframeEthereum1.11.068-2.91%1.0025-8.86%0.0244✓1.00165k2022-01-03
API3Api3Ethereum5.134.9852-2.82%4.13-19.49%0.1005✓1.001.2M2022-01-03
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.38231.3434-2.81%1.3019-5.81%0.1228✗1.761.5M2022-01-03
SUSHISushiEthereum9.158.8959-2.78%8.51-6.99%0.0772✗1.3915.8M2022-01-03
UMAUMAEthereum10.7510.4536-2.76%9.27-13.77%0.0250✓1.094.1M2022-01-03
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000039050.000038009-2.66%0.00003307-15.31%0.0515✓1.002.4M2022-01-03
ZENHorizenBase70.7268.8541-2.64%63.44-10.29%0.0503✗1.511.2M2022-01-03
SCSiacoinnative0.017130.01669-2.57%0.01573-8.17%0.0225✓0.931.2M2022-01-03
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.7230.704925-2.50%0.64-11.48%0.0118✓1.242.9M2022-01-03
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum3.083.0042-2.46%2.796-9.22%0.0132✓0.972.2M2022-01-03
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.021540.021014-2.44%0.02023-6.08%0.0135✓0.5946k2022-01-03
XVGVergenative0.019080.018627-2.37%0.01731-9.28%0.0311✗1.192.8M2022-01-03
ARPAARPAEthereum0.11610.113352-2.37%0.1004-13.52%0.0016✓1.372.5M2022-01-03
KCSKuCoinnative22.97622.443-2.32%22.363-2.67%0.1437✗1.6818.6M2022-01-03
MINAMina Protocolnative3.863.7708-2.31%3.57-7.51%0.0351✗1.02787k2022-01-03
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.321.2895-2.31%1.14-13.64%0.0355✓1.002.4M2022-01-03
RADRadworksEthereum11.0910.8421-2.24%11.29+1.80%0.1234✗0.951.3M2022-01-03
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum5.064.9471-2.23%4.17-17.59%0.0832✓1.004.9M2022-01-03
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.66311.6264-2.21%1.7949+7.92%0.1928✗1.0731.7M2022-01-03
LRCLoopringEthereum2.25782.2082-2.20%2.0456-9.40%0.0938✗1.941.6M2022-01-03
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0373250.036506-2.19%0.033837-9.34%0.0134✓1.0210.0M2022-01-03
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.79430.776942-2.19%0.7048-11.27%0.0122✓1.256.8M2022-01-03
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.7444.6425-2.14%4.777+0.70%0.1017✗0.83719k2022-01-03
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.47090.460949-2.11%0.64+35.91%0.4533✗1.431.0M2022-01-03
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8761370.858159-2.05%0.94026+7.32%0.1862✗1.083.0M2022-01-03
COTICOTIEthereum0.40140.393193-2.04%0.3888-3.14%0.1219✗1.524.7M2022-01-03
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.285.175-1.99%6.53+23.67%0.3466✗1.3026.8M2022-01-03
ZECZcashZcash169.76166.4106-1.97%150.55-11.32%0.0150✓1.3111.8M2022-01-03
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum2.011.971-1.94%1.72-14.43%0.0142✓1.711.5M2022-01-03
AAVEAaveEthereum277.6272.2936-1.91%267.25-3.73%0.0754✗1.0711.4M2022-01-03
CHZChilizEthereum0.33720.330842-1.89%0.3005-10.88%0.0161✓1.285.8M2022-01-03
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.41830.410566-1.85%0.3721-11.04%0.0139✓1.284.9M2022-01-03
DEXEDeXeEthereum13.0312.7928-1.82%11.56-11.28%0.1260✓-0.284.5M2022-01-03
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.37931.3545-1.80%1.3842+0.36%0.1134✗1.0523.6M2022-01-03
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.14530.142706-1.79%0.1352-6.95%0.0389✗1.06376k2022-01-03
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0638330.0627-1.78%0.0636-0.37%0.1421✗1.468.2M2022-01-03
LUNATerraTerra 291.0189.4103-1.76%88.92-2.30%0.0822✗1.006.1M2022-01-03
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.73750.724675-1.74%0.6582-10.75%0.0160✓1.2812.5M2022-01-03
YFIyearn.financeEthereum31,759.2031,212.75-1.72%38,753.93+22.02%0.2622✗0.528.7M2022-01-03
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum9.7999.631-1.71%9.436-3.70%0.0343✗0.62455k2022-01-03
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.07410.072867-1.66%0.0731-1.35%0.1173✗1.302.1M2022-01-03
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana11.1610.9751-1.66%10.51-5.82%0.0245✗0.771.4M2022-01-03
SKLSKALEEthereum0.23960.235655-1.65%0.2052-14.36%0.0312✓1.226.1M2022-01-03
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.8746.7631-1.61%6.1828-10.05%0.0144✓1.19764k2022-01-03
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.114860.11301-1.61%0.11092-3.43%0.0313✗0.57113k2022-01-03
LSKLiskEthereum2.54712.5065-1.59%2.3545-7.56%0.0411✗1.18147k2022-01-03
KSMKusamaHydration322.27317.2061-1.57%289.65-10.12%0.0058✓1.101.5M2022-01-03
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum107.04105.3808-1.55%94.38-11.83%0.0265✓0.967.6M2022-01-03
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos29.6829.223-1.54%39.29+32.38%0.3716✗0.8640.2M2022-01-03
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.3251.3049-1.52%1.24-6.42%0.0337✗0.973.1M2022-01-03
DYDXdYdXCosmos10.0349.8875-1.46%8.316-17.12%0.0561✓1.33411k2022-01-03
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.018760.01849-1.44%0.01736-7.46%0.0463✗1.252.8M2022-01-03
XTZTezosTezos5.10165.0303-1.40%4.8156-5.61%0.0702✗1.305.3M2022-01-03
SNXSynthetixEthereum6.446.3514-1.38%7.19+11.65%0.2222✗1.125.1M2022-01-03
AMPAmpEthereum0.053410.0527-1.33%0.05248-1.74%0.0763✗0.9210.6M2022-01-03
GTGateEthereum6.83956.7502-1.31%6.4392-5.85%0.0235✗0.814.3M2022-01-03
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.95744.8939-1.28%4.605-7.11%0.0042✓0.7427k2022-01-03
TRBTellor TributesEthereum39.5939.0847-1.28%36.41-8.03%0.0613✗1.511.3M2022-01-03
AUCTIONBounceEthereum26.7126.3782-1.24%24.7-7.53%0.0284✗1.071.6M2022-01-03
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.61033.5656-1.24%3.1177-13.64%0.0243✓1.253.1M2022-01-03
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.3614.3085-1.20%4.152-4.79%0.0259✗0.72487k2022-01-03
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.393.3498-1.19%3.25-4.13%0.0824✗1.283.0M2022-01-03
BANDBandEthereum5.875.8006-1.18%5.56-5.28%0.0623✗1.192.6M2022-01-03
CTKShentuOsmosis1.8841.8624-1.15%1.682-10.72%0.0131✗1.317.9M2022-01-03
XLMStellarStellar0.3002880.296865-1.14%0.290288-3.33%0.0656✗1.0033.6M2022-01-03
QNTQuantEthereum206.05203.7228-1.13%178.99-13.13%0.0470✓0.9411.9M2022-01-03
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.6861.6673-1.11%1.616-4.15%0.0831✗1.304.1M2022-01-03
DODODODOEthereum1.0171.0059-1.09%0.904-11.11%0.0223✗1.479.2M2022-01-03
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.63.5607-1.09%3.43-4.72%0.0492✗0.991.2M2022-01-03
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.21940.217017-1.09%0.1984-9.57%0.0136✓0.87701k2022-01-03
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.8116.6291-1.08%15.18-9.70%0.0308✓0.691.4M2022-01-03
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.46083.4253-1.03%3.7914+9.55%0.0937✗-0.09395k2022-01-03
LTCLitecoinLitecoin155.78154.1918-1.02%148.43-4.72%0.0835✗1.3954.4M2022-01-03
XECeCashnative0.000118590.000117397-1.01%0.00011648-1.78%0.0788✗0.9910.2M2022-01-03
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.4151.4008-1.00%1.3948-1.43%0.0896✗1.071.2M2022-01-03
CBKCobakEthereum3.2673.2346-0.99%3.381+3.49%0.1179✗0.8495k2022-01-03
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.29215.2405-0.97%4.6279-12.55%0.0055✓1.365.2M2022-01-03
DKAdKargoEthereum0.124840.123636-0.96%0.12106-3.03%0.0753✗1.1029k2022-01-03
SOLSolanaSolana195.74193.8672-0.96%170.13-13.08%0.0411✓1.02255.1M2022-01-03
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana8.017.9349-0.94%7.21-9.99%0.0406✓0.631.0M2022-01-03
XEMNEMnative0.13910.137835-0.91%0.127-8.70%0.0144✗1.10175k2022-01-03
ADACardanoCardano1.51641.5026-0.91%1.3186-13.04%0.0373✓1.06120.2M2022-01-03
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash465.3461.1582-0.89%434.61-6.60%0.0306✗1.0212.3M2022-01-03
DASHDashDash151.04149.7198-0.87%139.05-7.94%0.0369✗1.262.0M2022-01-03
FTTFTXEthereum42.642.2326-0.86%40.22-5.59%0.0438✗1.0620.7M2022-01-03
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08970.08895-0.84%0.086-4.12%0.0619✗1.0918k2022-01-03
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.6137.299-0.83%34.72-7.68%0.0200✗1.055.1M2022-01-03
COMPCompoundEthereum237.34235.4567-0.79%222.2-6.38%0.0387✗1.10239k2022-01-03
UNIUniswapEthereum19.1118.9585-0.79%18.47-3.35%0.0896✗1.3214.6M2022-01-03
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.058160.057719-0.76%0.05659-2.70%0.0778✗1.1116k2022-01-03
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum28.2428.032-0.74%29.28+3.68%0.1662✗1.4022.9M2022-01-03
PHAPHALAEthereum0.4660.462635-0.72%0.414-11.16%0.0487✓0.7145k2022-01-03
ETHEthereumEthereum4,038.644,012.51-0.65%3,766.04-6.75%0.0280✗1.04760.7M2022-01-03
DOTPolkadotPolkadot30.9730.7699-0.65%30.09-2.84%0.0880✗1.2677.1M2022-01-03
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.084430.083884-0.65%0.0855+1.27%0.1242✗1.2021.1M2022-01-03
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana9.339.2715-0.63%8.6-7.82%0.0073✓0.771.1M2022-01-03
XYMSymbolnative0.23910.237722-0.58%0.2058-13.93%0.1031✓0.47392k2022-01-03
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.098160.097605-0.56%0.09008-8.23%0.0481✗1.464.8M2022-01-03
NMRNumeraireEthereum34.5934.395-0.56%31.64-8.53%0.0249✓0.67572k2022-01-03
XVSVenusEthereum16.8416.7529-0.52%15.52-7.84%0.0234✗1.144.8M2022-01-03
XMRMoneroMonero220.72219.5843-0.51%231.81+5.02%0.1410✗0.992.8M2022-01-03
QTUMQtumQtum9.99889.9478-0.51%9.2052-7.94%0.0485✗1.44299k2022-01-03
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.55.4724-0.50%5.152-6.33%0.0036✓0.65798k2022-01-03
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV127.41126.8549-0.44%122.18-4.10%0.0490✗0.993.7M2022-01-03
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1878140.187-0.43%0.170103-9.43%0.0023✓1.115.5M2022-01-03
LINKChainlinkEthereum23.0222.9369-0.36%23.72+3.04%0.1483✗1.3169.7M2022-01-03
FILFilecoinFilecoin39.239.0607-0.36%35.08-10.51%0.0184✓1.0222.1M2022-01-03
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum51,195.6051,121.34-0.15%46,018.20-10.11%0.0191✓0.988,5662022-01-03
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.3372.3358-0.05%2.265-3.08%0.0660✗1.103.3M2022-01-03
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana9.459.4483-0.02%8.89-5.93%0.0026✓0.661.0M2022-01-03
BTCBitcoinBitcoin50,717.7750,712.15-0.01%46,459.56-8.40%0.0001✓1.00744.5M2022-01-03
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.82.7999-0.00%2.56-8.57%0.0004✓1.024.4M2022-01-03
NANOnanopayBase3.96523.9661+0.02%3.5792-9.73%0.0094✗1.06798k2022-01-03
SUNSun TokenTron0.0241650.024197+0.13%0.022053-8.74%0.0128✓1.202.3M2022-01-03
TRXTRONTron0.0811670.081311+0.18%0.076988-5.15%0.0296✓0.96648k2022-01-03
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.