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2021-12-25 · +7d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 137 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1746
137 of 137 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.73%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
54.7%
in alpha space · 77.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-5.34%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (137 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRXTRONTron0.0817150.081885+0.21%0.076625-6.23%0.0136✗0.96655k2022-01-01
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.732.7354+0.20%2.53-7.33%0.0223✗1.024.4M2022-01-01
SUNSun TokenTron0.0238080.023855+0.20%0.022463-5.65%0.0059✓1.202.2M2022-01-01
NANOnanopayBase3.783.7853+0.14%3.58-5.29%0.0024✓1.06819k2022-01-01
BTCBitcoinBitcoin50,428.3150,448.91+0.04%47,733.43-5.34%0.0004✗1.00750.8M2022-01-01
FILFilecoinFilecoin37.0237.0259+0.02%35.88-3.08%0.0243✓1.0122.7M2022-01-01
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.312.3099-0.00%2.133-7.66%0.0189✓1.113.3M2022-01-01
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum51,009.4050,937.73-0.14%47,429.60-7.02%0.0174✓0.988,5662022-01-01
LINKChainlinkEthereum22.1222.0772-0.19%20.75-6.19%0.0096✗1.3069.7M2022-01-01
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.054.0409-0.22%4.221+4.22%0.0827✗0.71473k2022-01-01
XYMSymbolnative0.24240.241749-0.27%0.2245-7.38%0.0482✓0.47393k2022-01-01
DOTPolkadotPolkadot28.8628.7809-0.27%28.61-0.87%0.0625✗1.2577.3M2022-01-01
UNIUniswapEthereum17.4717.4213-0.28%17.47+0.00%0.0747✗1.3114.6M2022-01-01
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.475.4541-0.29%5.211-4.73%0.0101✓0.65846k2022-01-01
XMRMoneroMonero211.35210.5512-0.38%250.04+18.31%0.2261✗0.992.8M2022-01-01
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV128.21127.7217-0.38%123.03-4.04%0.0169✗0.993.2M2022-01-01
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum27.2927.18-0.40%25.61-6.16%0.0175✗1.4024.1M2022-01-01
XVSVenusEthereum16.4616.3936-0.40%16.08-2.31%0.0429✗1.134.9M2022-01-01
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1907480.189964-0.41%0.173118-9.24%0.0320✓1.116.1M2022-01-01
QTUMQtumQtum10.052610.0064-0.46%8.9613-10.86%0.0311✓1.44309k2022-01-01
NMRNumeraireEthereum34.4434.2389-0.58%32.46-5.75%0.0166✓0.67611k2022-01-01
DYDXdYdXCosmos9.0018.9482-0.59%8.39-6.79%0.0086✗1.33455k2022-01-01
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana9.959.89-0.60%8.94-10.15%0.0642✓0.671.0M2022-01-01
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.133.1109-0.61%3.1-0.96%0.0671✗1.293.2M2022-01-01
COMPCompoundEthereum228.44226.9838-0.64%210.69-7.77%0.0142✓1.10239k2022-01-01
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana9.349.2778-0.67%8.65-7.39%0.0276✓0.77934k2022-01-01
ADACardanoCardano1.45421.4442-0.69%1.3797-5.12%0.0127✗1.06120.7M2022-01-01
ETHEthereumEthereum4,097.434,069.20-0.69%3,765.72-8.10%0.0201✓1.05768.5M2022-01-01
DASHDashDash150148.9244-0.72%138.03-7.98%0.0064✓1.272.1M2022-01-01
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash455.36452.0501-0.73%445.07-2.26%0.0408✗1.0313.1M2022-01-01
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.088010.087367-0.73%0.08625-2.00%0.0532✗1.2021.7M2022-01-01
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.101790.101036-0.74%0.093-8.64%0.0022✓1.474.8M2022-01-01
ETCEthereum Classicnative38.137.8144-0.75%34.87-8.48%0.0235✓1.055.9M2022-01-01
DODODODOEthereum0.9410.933792-0.77%0.875-7.01%0.0153✗1.468.9M2022-01-01
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.885.8348-0.77%5.98+1.70%0.0855✗1.114.6M2022-01-01
SUSHISushiEthereum7.657.591-0.77%9.14+19.48%0.2614✗1.3815.1M2022-01-01
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08950.088808-0.77%0.0839-6.26%0.0031✓1.0919k2022-01-01
FTTFTXEthereum42.7442.4026-0.79%40.2-5.94%0.0048✓1.0621.2M2022-01-01
QNTQuantEthereum195.44193.7638-0.86%179.87-7.97%0.0228✓0.9412.0M2022-01-01
XTZTezosTezos4.58384.5439-0.87%4.7494+3.61%0.1150✗1.295.4M2022-01-01
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.21740.215503-0.87%0.2061-5.20%0.0030✓0.87756k2022-01-01
SOLSolanaSolana193.06191.3433-0.89%179.21-7.17%0.0096✓1.02257.1M2022-01-01
XEMNEMnative0.1370.135771-0.90%0.126-8.03%0.0145✓1.10199k2022-01-01
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.284.2416-0.90%5.069+18.43%0.2238✗0.83719k2022-01-01
XLMStellarStellar0.2900470.287442-0.90%0.276802-4.57%0.0173✗1.0035.1M2022-01-01
DKAdKargoEthereum0.123330.122208-0.91%0.11476-6.95%0.0026✓1.1029k2022-01-01
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.6391.6237-0.93%1.651+0.73%0.0882✗1.304.8M2022-01-01
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana8.057.9738-0.95%7.24-10.06%0.0619✓0.631.0M2022-01-01
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.553.5161-0.96%3.35-5.63%0.0058✓0.991.2M2022-01-01
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.40981.3959-0.99%1.3805-2.08%0.0478✗1.071.3M2022-01-01
XECeCashnative0.000119880.000118683-1.00%0.00011077-7.60%0.0148✓0.9911.6M2022-01-01
LTCLitecoinLitecoin158156.4177-1.00%150.83-4.54%0.0400✗1.3956.9M2022-01-01
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.28145.2277-1.02%4.7558-9.95%0.0204✓1.355.4M2022-01-01
BANDBandEthereum5.755.6915-1.02%5.18-9.91%0.0287✓1.193.0M2022-01-01
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.059020.058417-1.02%0.05488-7.01%0.0012✓1.1116k2022-01-01
CBKCobakEthereum3.3313.2968-1.03%2.914-12.52%0.0771✓0.8499k2022-01-01
GTGateEthereum6.3896.3233-1.03%6.7635+5.86%0.1112✗0.804.3M2022-01-01
KSMKusamaHydration293.74290.6334-1.06%289.04-1.60%0.0543✗1.091.5M2022-01-01
AUCTIONBounceEthereum25.6225.349-1.06%24.52-4.29%0.0256✗1.072.7M2022-01-01
AMPAmpEthereum0.049560.049022-1.08%0.04964+0.16%0.0627✗0.9111.3M2022-01-01
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana17.0116.8229-1.10%15.4-9.47%0.0505✓0.691.4M2022-01-01
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.55243.5129-1.11%3.7989+6.94%0.0735✗-0.09384k2022-01-01
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.58423.5415-1.19%3.2078-10.50%0.0305✓1.253.4M2022-01-01
CTKShentuOsmosis1.9521.928-1.23%1.748-10.45%0.0258✓1.327.9M2022-01-01
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.3021.2842-1.37%1.276-2.00%0.0466✗0.963.7M2022-01-01
METRONOMEMETRONOME5.17065.0989-1.39%4.5517-11.97%0.0723✓0.7528k2022-01-01
AAVEAaveEthereum263.91260.1976-1.41%266.48+0.97%0.0827✗1.0711.4M2022-01-01
MOVRMoonriverBase185.5458182.9223-1.41%189.4715+2.12%0.0976✗1.14704k2022-01-01
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.018810.018542-1.43%0.01654-12.07%0.0457✓1.252.9M2022-01-01
YFIyearn.financeEthereum31,196.7130,749.62-1.43%36,545.69+17.15%0.2014✗0.527.7M2022-01-01
TRBTellor TributesEthereum39.4138.8351-1.46%35.27-10.50%0.0133✓1.511.3M2022-01-01
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.866.7582-1.48%6.1094-10.94%0.0357✓1.19819k2022-01-01
LSKLiskEthereum2.51922.4812-1.51%2.3965-4.87%0.0303✗1.18147k2022-01-01
DEXEDeXeEthereum12.5712.3747-1.55%11.76-6.44%0.0665✓-0.284.9M2022-01-01
SKLSKALEEthereum0.23450.230842-1.56%0.2128-9.25%0.0144✓1.226.2M2022-01-01
CHZChilizEthereum0.31830.31328-1.58%0.2952-7.26%0.0106✓1.285.8M2022-01-01
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.71990.708497-1.58%0.6647-7.67%0.0064✓1.2813.2M2022-01-01
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum109.28107.52-1.61%94.1-13.89%0.0806✓0.968.4M2022-01-01
MINAMina Protocolnative3.593.53-1.67%3.73+3.90%0.1109✗1.02787k2022-01-01
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana11.1810.9931-1.67%10.37-7.25%0.0159✓0.771.4M2022-01-01
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos29.7929.2859-1.69%36.33+21.95%0.2624✗0.8539.4M2022-01-01
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.112670.11076-1.70%0.10295-8.63%0.0418✓0.57113k2022-01-01
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.3151.2926-1.70%1.411+7.30%0.1447✗1.0422.8M2022-01-01
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.064640.063537-1.71%0.064208-0.67%0.0908✗1.469.2M2022-01-01
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.14060.138076-1.80%0.1339-4.77%0.0273✗1.06413k2022-01-01
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.019960.019599-1.81%0.0202+1.20%0.0626✗0.5953k2022-01-01
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.39740.390198-1.81%0.3775-5.01%0.0367✗1.275.3M2022-01-01
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.57481.5462-1.82%1.7433+10.70%0.1789✗1.0733.5M2022-01-01
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8624610.846231-1.88%0.875736+1.54%0.0936✗1.083.4M2022-01-01
ZECZcashZcash169.64166.4004-1.91%150.36-11.37%0.0290✓1.3212.7M2022-01-01
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum9.9529.7617-1.91%9.193-7.63%0.0255✓0.63388k2022-01-01
ARPAARPAEthereum0.11090.108694-1.99%0.1001-9.74%0.0075✓1.363.0M2022-01-01
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.47030.460604-2.06%0.4264-9.33%0.0011✓1.421.1M2022-01-01
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.79160.775167-2.08%0.7302-7.76%0.0090✓1.257.7M2022-01-01
UMAUMAEthereum9.789.5759-2.09%9.33-4.60%0.0331✗1.084.1M2022-01-01
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.11811.0946-2.11%1.2912+15.48%0.2467✗1.482.4M2022-01-01
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.271.2431-2.12%1.17-7.87%0.0057✓1.002.4M2022-01-01
LUNATerraTerra 298.496.3049-2.13%91.66-6.85%0.0055✓1.006.1M2022-01-01
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.08260.080801-2.18%0.0797-3.51%0.0581✗1.312.3M2022-01-01
XVGVergenative0.018380.017979-2.18%0.01775-3.43%0.0522✗1.182.8M2022-01-01
IMXImmutableEthereum4.724.6159-2.21%4.83+2.33%0.1003✗1.002.5M2022-01-01
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.941.8971-2.21%1.7-12.37%0.0165✓1.701.5M2022-01-01
LRCLoopringEthereum2.28412.2323-2.27%2.08-8.94%0.0362✗1.951.9M2022-01-01
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum5.295.1691-2.29%4.37-17.39%0.1130✓1.006.5M2022-01-01
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0378450.036976-2.30%0.033863-10.52%0.0318✓1.0211.6M2022-01-01
KCSKuCoinnative22.9222.3929-2.30%22.386-2.33%0.0921✗1.6820.1M2022-01-01
COTICOTIEthereum0.41760.407988-2.30%0.3879-7.11%0.0330✗1.524.4M2022-01-01
SCSiacoinnative0.016750.016361-2.32%0.01554-7.22%0.0002✓0.931.3M2022-01-01
RADRadworksEthereum11.0810.808-2.45%11-0.72%0.0699✗0.952.0M2022-01-01
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000037720.00003678-2.49%0.00003416-9.44%0.0190✓1.002.1M2022-01-01
ZENHorizenBase70.7768.9972-2.51%63.94-9.65%0.0068✓1.511.3M2022-01-01
API3Api3Ethereum4.914.7835-2.58%4.36-11.20%0.0378✓1.001.3M2022-01-01
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.7210.70238-2.58%0.633-12.21%0.0361✓1.243.0M2022-01-01
LCXLCXEthereum0.20580.200441-2.60%0.1885-8.41%0.0012✓1.144.2M2022-01-01
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon21.9473-2.63%1.6281-18.59%0.1430✓0.667.5M2022-01-01
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.33891.3036-2.64%1.2582-6.03%0.0614✗1.761.6M2022-01-01
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum3.1343.0459-2.81%2.681-14.45%0.0743✓0.972.2M2022-01-01
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.845.6711-2.89%6.21+6.34%0.1627✗1.3128.7M2022-01-01
BFCBifrostEthereum0.216290.210011-2.90%0.20032-7.38%0.0417✗1.6223k2022-01-01
CELLCellframeEthereum1.17991.1437-3.07%0.9793-17.00%0.1003✓1.00184k2022-01-01
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche114.86111.0686-3.30%114.26-0.52%0.0905✗1.13136.0M2022-01-01
STORJStorjEthereum2.01621.947-3.43%1.835-8.99%0.0208✓0.701.3M2022-01-01
MANADecentralandEthereum3.74813.6193-3.44%3.3501-10.62%0.0291✓0.888.6M2022-01-01
HIVEHivenative1.65091.5941-3.44%1.5238-7.70%0.0272✓1.328.6M2022-01-01
CTSICartesiEthereum0.78690.75963-3.47%0.715-9.14%0.0096✓1.284.0M2022-01-01
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum46.4144.7805-3.51%40.17-13.45%0.0073✓1.858.6M2022-01-01
LPTLivepeerEthereum44.5742.9987-3.53%41.07-7.85%0.0482✗1.714.2M2022-01-01
MASKMask NetworkEthereum13.2312.7269-3.80%13.2-0.23%0.0655✗0.532.7M2022-01-01
UOSUltraEthereum1.72411.6543-4.05%1.5787-8.43%0.0081✓1.006.2M2022-01-01
PHAPHALAEthereum0.5360.514002-4.10%0.43-19.78%0.1386✓0.7345k2022-01-01
CVCCivicEthereum0.36590.350317-4.26%0.3671+0.33%0.0966✗0.91356k2022-01-01
SPELLSpellEthereum0.022840.02181-4.51%0.02333+2.15%0.1223✗1.0035.6M2022-01-01
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.73540.702076-4.53%1.0026+36.33%0.4531✗1.7617.7M2022-01-01
GTCGitcoinEthereum16.1515.3734-4.81%13.58-15.91%0.1253✓-0.025.1M2022-01-01
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.2924.077-5.01%3.609-15.91%0.0670✓1.003.6M2022-01-01
GITCOINGITCOIN16.05715.2229-5.19%13.69-14.74%0.1106✓-0.08134k2022-01-01
BICOBiconomyEthereum5.014.6678-6.83%4.49-10.38%0.0161✓1.0012.1M2022-01-01
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.