2021-12-20 · +7d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 135 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1341

135 of 135 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+8.28%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

49.6%

in alpha space · 38.5% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+8.08%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (135 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.06558	0.06683	+1.91%	0.08443	+28.74%	0.1576	✓	0.98	22.6M	2021-12-27
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.349	0.354022	+1.44%	0.466	+33.52%	0.2183	✓	0.73	54k	2021-12-27
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	7.411	7.4919	+1.09%	10.034	+35.39%	0.1916	✓	1.29	635k	2021-12-27
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3175	0.320947	+1.09%	0.3756	+18.30%	0.0892	✓	0.88	693k	2021-12-27
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.095	0.096005	+1.06%	0.1161	+22.21%	0.0836	✓	1.37	3.4M	2021-12-27
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	30.38	30.6793	+0.99%	39.59	+30.32%	0.1440	✓	1.43	1.6M	2021-12-27
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.07761	0.078287	+0.87%	0.081167	+4.58%	0.0387	✗	0.96	798k	2021-12-27
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.4213	0.424715	+0.81%	0.4709	+11.77%	0.0049	✓	1.39	1.8M	2021-12-27
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	14.84	14.9587	+0.80%	16.84	+13.48%	0.0302	✓	1.14	6.6M	2021-12-27
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.755084	0.761058	+0.79%	0.876137	+16.03%	0.0616	✓	1.02	4.8M	2021-12-27
XMR	Monero	Monero	188.84	190.2753	+0.76%	220.72	+16.88%	0.0788	✓	0.90	2.9M	2021-12-27
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	21.75	21.9098	+0.73%	28.24	+29.84%	0.1528	✓	1.30	20.8M	2021-12-27
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	2.04	2.0529	+0.63%	2.337	+14.56%	0.0441	✓	1.10	3.4M	2021-12-27
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.239	1.2467	+0.62%	1.415	+14.21%	0.0440	✓	1.06	1.6M	2021-12-27
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.2563	2.2697	+0.59%	2.5471	+12.89%	0.0309	✓	1.09	169k	2021-12-27
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	34.09	34.2897	+0.59%	43.58	+27.84%	0.1047	✓	1.74	6.0M	2021-12-27
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	8.9718	9.0235	+0.58%	9.9988	+11.45%	0.0057	✓	1.39	356k	2021-12-27
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	8.46	8.5061	+0.55%	9.45	+11.70%	0.0542	✓	0.66	1.1M	2021-12-27
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.19466	0.195706	+0.54%	0.22849	+17.38%	0.0298	✓	1.61	34k	2021-12-27
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.607	0.61022	+0.53%	0.723	+19.11%	0.0750	✓	1.22	3.4M	2021-12-27
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.057981	0.05828	+0.52%	0.063833	+10.09%	0.0212	✗	1.44	13.8M	2021-12-27
HIVE	Hive	native	1.4	1.4066	+0.47%	1.852	+32.29%	0.1740	✓	1.30	12.4M	2021-12-27
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.10877	0.109228	+0.42%	0.12484	+14.77%	0.0488	✓	1.09	31k	2021-12-27
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.167179	0.167855	+0.40%	0.187814	+12.34%	0.0268	✓	1.10	5.3M	2021-12-27
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.6692	0.671843	+0.39%	0.7943	+18.69%	0.0762	✓	1.17	7.8M	2021-12-27
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	176.9138	177.6076	+0.39%	211.5789	+19.59%	0.0995	✓	0.97	1.1M	2021-12-27
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	4.888	4.9064	+0.38%	5.2921	+8.27%	0.0313	✗	1.38	5.2M	2021-12-27
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	181.01	181.6771	+0.37%	277.6	+53.36%	0.3518	✓	0.93	11.0M	2021-12-27
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.51	1.5151	+0.34%	2.01	+33.11%	0.1545	✓	1.65	2.0M	2021-12-27
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3017	0.302689	+0.33%	0.4014	+33.05%	0.1745	✓	1.39	4.9M	2021-12-27
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.77	2.7786	+0.31%	3.39	+22.38%	0.1007	✓	1.26	3.0M	2021-12-27
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.6286	0.630483	+0.30%	0.8111	+29.03%	0.1570	✓	1.22	7.7M	2021-12-27
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	46,926.07	47,060.85	+0.29%	50,717.77	+8.08%	0.0029	✗	1.00	750.8M	2021-12-27
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.2888	3.2976	+0.27%	3.9652	+20.57%	0.1052	✓	1.02	798k	2021-12-27
XEC	eCash	native	0.00010638	0.00010664	+0.24%	0.00011859	+11.48%	0.0294	✓	0.99	13.4M	2021-12-27
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.409	1.4118	+0.20%	1.686	+19.66%	0.0759	✓	1.31	5.6M	2021-12-27
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	14.52	14.5481	+0.19%	19.11	+31.61%	0.1758	✓	1.25	14.2M	2021-12-27
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	5.033	5.0423	+0.19%	5.5	+9.28%	0.0385	✓	0.62	1.0M	2021-12-27
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	46,868.20	46,944.49	+0.16%	51,195.60	+9.23%	0.0102	✓	0.98	15k	2021-12-27
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	34.54	34.5877	+0.14%	37.61	+8.89%	0.0055	✓	1.01	6.5M	2021-12-27
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.939	3.9441	+0.13%	4.744	+20.44%	0.1224	✓	0.80	780k	2021-12-27
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.711	3.7155	+0.12%	4.361	+17.52%	0.1076	✓	0.68	544k	2021-12-27
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	1.5221	1.523	+0.06%	2.0783	+36.54%	0.2690	✓	0.54	8.8M	2021-12-27
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.1064	4.1085	+0.05%	5.1016	+24.24%	0.1158	✓	1.30	4.7M	2021-12-27
DASH	Dash	Dash	127.33	127.3879	+0.05%	151.04	+18.62%	0.0764	✓	1.21	2.2M	2021-12-27
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.39	2.3908	+0.03%	2.8	+17.15%	0.0871	✓	0.91	4.9M	2021-12-27
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0836	0.083589	-0.01%	0.0897	+7.30%	0.0124	✓	1.07	24k	2021-12-27
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	174.01	173.9846	-0.01%	206.05	+18.41%	0.1018	✗	0.87	12.3M	2021-12-27
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	152.71	152.6843	-0.02%	155.78	+2.01%	0.0893	✓	1.41	60.7M	2021-12-27
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.811	0.810815	-0.02%	1.017	+25.40%	0.1162	✗	1.42	10.9M	2021-12-27
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	18.78	18.7722	-0.04%	23.02	+22.58%	0.1107	✗	1.20	69.7M	2021-12-27
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.25839	0.258226	-0.06%	0.300288	+16.22%	0.0748	✗	0.98	40.4M	2021-12-27
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01493	0.01492	-0.07%	0.01713	+14.74%	0.0679	✗	0.90	1.9M	2021-12-27
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	34.86	34.8347	-0.07%	39.2	+12.45%	0.0388	✗	1.02	21.2M	2021-12-27
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	31.99	31.9599	-0.09%	34.59	+8.13%	0.0306	✗	0.62	754k	2021-12-27
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	430.28	429.8603	-0.10%	465.3	+8.14%	0.0004	✓	1.02	14.2M	2021-12-27
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.022282	0.022256	-0.12%	0.024165	+8.45%	0.0146	✓	1.25	1.9M	2021-12-27
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2674	0.267056	-0.13%	0.3372	+26.10%	0.1365	✗	1.25	7.0M	2021-12-27
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.838	2.8325	-0.19%	3.267	+15.12%	0.0773	✗	0.84	104k	2021-12-27
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	8.75	8.7312	-0.22%	10.75	+22.86%	0.1222	✗	1.10	3.9M	2021-12-27
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.11	5.0983	-0.23%	6.44	+26.03%	0.1512	✗	1.06	5.5M	2021-12-27
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	21.53	21.4794	-0.24%	29.68	+37.85%	0.2595	✗	0.82	42.5M	2021-12-27
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	8.69	8.6692	-0.24%	9.33	+7.36%	0.0150	✗	0.75	838k	2021-12-27
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,946.16	3,935.77	-0.26%	4,038.64	+2.34%	0.0562	✓	1.06	768.5M	2021-12-27
GT	Gate	Ethereum	5.8354	5.8199	-0.27%	6.8395	+17.21%	0.1030	✗	0.75	5.1M	2021-12-27
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	9.53	9.5046	-0.27%	11.09	+16.37%	0.0800	✗	0.96	2.0M	2021-12-27
XVG	Verge	native	0.01664	0.016594	-0.28%	0.01908	+14.66%	0.0480	✗	1.18	3.1M	2021-12-27
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	40.57	40.4572	-0.28%	42.6	+5.00%	0.0270	✓	1.01	25.2M	2021-12-27
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	188.43	187.8581	-0.30%	237.34	+25.96%	0.1543	✗	1.02	236k	2021-12-27
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.3532	0.352107	-0.31%	0.4183	+18.43%	0.0711	✗	1.30	6.8M	2021-12-27
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.05406	0.05388	-0.33%	0.05816	+7.58%	0.0065	✓	1.07	22k	2021-12-27
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.6264	1.6204	-0.37%	2.0541	+26.30%	0.1860	✗	0.66	1.4M	2021-12-27
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		121.71	121.2246	-0.40%	127.41	+4.68%	0.0259	✓	0.97	2.5M	2021-12-27
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	40.37	40.2063	-0.41%	44.44	+10.08%	0.0501	✓	1.93	13.8M	2021-12-27
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	12.14	12.0899	-0.41%	13.03	+7.33%	0.0990	✗	-0.31	5.9M	2021-12-27
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	157.02	156.3313	-0.44%	169.76	+8.11%	0.0182	✓	1.29	13.6M	2021-12-27
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.1667	3.1523	-0.45%	3.6103	+14.01%	0.0400	✗	1.23	4.7M	2021-12-27
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.801	3.7837	-0.46%	4.312	+13.44%	0.0530	✗	1.00	3.7M	2021-12-27
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.6222	0.619258	-0.47%	0.7375	+18.53%	0.0884	✗	1.11	14.9M	2021-12-27
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	23.75	23.6332	-0.49%	26.71	+12.46%	0.0697	✗	0.68	2.9M	2021-12-27
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1303	0.129651	-0.50%	0.1453	+11.51%	0.0293	✗	1.09	603k	2021-12-27
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1991	0.198107	-0.50%	0.2396	+20.34%	0.0993	✗	1.17	8.9M	2021-12-27
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.2381	1.2317	-0.52%	1.5164	+22.48%	0.1304	✗	1.00	131.8M	2021-12-27
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.5742	3.5555	-0.52%	3.4608	-3.17%	0.0194	✓	-0.10	372k	2021-12-27
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.23	3.2124	-0.54%	3.6	+11.46%	0.0391	✗	0.96	1.3M	2021-12-27
ZEN	Horizen	Base	61.49	61.154	-0.55%	70.72	+15.01%	0.0345	✗	1.43	2.2M	2021-12-27
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	4.28	4.2563	-0.55%	5.5	+28.50%	0.1786	✗	1.00	2.8M	2021-12-27
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	263.85	262.383	-0.56%	322.27	+22.14%	0.1224	✗	1.07	1.5M	2021-12-27
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.2037	0.202561	-0.56%	0.2194	+7.71%	0.0134	✗	0.85	756k	2021-12-27
SOL	Solana	Solana	174.06	173.0799	-0.56%	195.74	+12.46%	0.0523	✗	0.91	281.0M	2021-12-27
XYM	Symbol	native	0.2405	0.239137	-0.57%	0.2391	-0.58%	0.0373	✓	0.48	434k	2021-12-27
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.195	1.1881	-0.57%	1.325	+10.88%	0.0339	✗	0.97	4.6M	2021-12-27
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.671	1.6614	-0.58%	1.884	+12.75%	0.0269	✗	1.27	7.6M	2021-12-27
XEM	NEM	native	0.1249	0.124172	-0.58%	0.1391	+11.37%	0.0317	✗	1.05	202k	2021-12-27
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003122	0.000031029	-0.61%	0.00003905	+25.08%	0.1522	✗	1.00	1.9M	2021-12-27
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.06	5.0256	-0.68%	5.87	+16.01%	0.0673	✗	1.13	2.8M	2021-12-27
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	10.45	10.3773	-0.70%	12.74	+21.91%	0.1670	✗	0.49	4.2M	2021-12-27
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.0799	1.0723	-0.71%	1.3793	+27.72%	0.1801	✗	0.92	23.6M	2021-12-27
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.04664	0.046293	-0.74%	0.05341	+14.52%	0.0711	✗	0.93	15.8M	2021-12-27
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.2978	1.2879	-0.76%	1.6631	+28.15%	0.1780	✗	1.00	35.8M	2021-12-27
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	5.48	5.4364	-0.80%	9.15	+66.97%	0.4209	✗	1.28	12.7M	2021-12-27
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	24.08	23.8858	-0.81%	30.97	+28.61%	0.1656	✗	1.21	75.1M	2021-12-27
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.08901	0.088265	-0.84%	0.09816	+10.28%	0.0066	✓	1.45	6.7M	2021-12-27
KCS	KuCoin	native	21.103	20.9188	-0.87%	22.976	+8.88%	0.0380	✓	1.70	23.4M	2021-12-27
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.312	2.2906	-0.92%	3.08	+33.22%	0.2261	✗	0.90	3.3M	2021-12-27
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.16	3.1295	-0.96%	3.86	+22.15%	0.1359	✗	0.95	821k	2021-12-27
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.65	9.5494	-1.04%	11.16	+15.65%	0.0987	✗	0.74	1.9M	2021-12-27
METRONOME	METRONOME		4.901	4.8493	-1.05%	4.9574	+1.15%	0.0323	✓	0.70	31k	2021-12-27
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.09914	0.098065	-1.08%	0.11486	+15.86%	0.1163	✗	0.54	143k	2021-12-27
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0652	0.064465	-1.13%	0.0741	+13.65%	0.0337	✗	1.36	2.9M	2021-12-27
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01728	0.017083	-1.14%	0.01876	+8.56%	0.0016	✓	1.23	3.6M	2021-12-27
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	9.01	8.9001	-1.22%	14.16	+57.16%	0.4731	✗	-0.11	3.7M	2021-12-27
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.0483	1.0346	-1.31%	1.3056	+24.54%	0.1147	✗	1.52	3.4M	2021-12-27
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	4.11	4.0561	-1.31%	5.28	+28.47%	0.1636	✗	1.29	28.7M	2021-12-27
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.8629	5.7825	-1.37%	6.874	+17.24%	0.0865	✗	1.11	833k	2021-12-27
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		8.955	8.832	-1.37%	14.106	+57.52%	0.4815	✗	-0.17	119k	2021-12-27
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.1901	3.1457	-1.39%	3.7429	+17.33%	0.1054	✗	0.88	10.9M	2021-12-27
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	92.63	91.3022	-1.43%	107.04	+15.56%	0.0846	✗	0.96	10.6M	2021-12-27
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.2	3.1524	-1.49%	5.18	+61.87%	0.4189	✗	1.00	11.9M	2021-12-27
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.19	1.1722	-1.50%	1.32	+10.92%	0.0411	✗	1.00	2.3M	2021-12-27
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	10.241	10.0849	-1.52%	9.799	-4.32%	0.0833	✓	0.70	388k	2021-12-27
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.79	4.7162	-1.54%	5.13	+7.10%	0.0064	✓	1.00	1.8M	2021-12-27
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	15.3	15.0561	-1.59%	16.81	+9.87%	0.0572	✗	0.68	1.6M	2021-12-27
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.3895	1.3669	-1.62%	1.7264	+24.25%	0.1562	✗	0.99	7.8M	2021-12-27
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.1076	1.0893	-1.65%	1.3823	+24.80%	0.1042	✗	1.72	1.5M	2021-12-27
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	7.94	7.8085	-1.66%	8.01	+0.88%	0.0262	✓	0.67	1.1M	2021-12-27
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	2.0189	1.984	-1.73%	2.2578	+11.83%	0.0211	✓	1.93	2.3M	2021-12-27
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01925	0.018883	-1.90%	0.02154	+11.90%	0.0950	✗	0.47	67k	2021-12-27
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.035847	0.035164	-1.90%	0.037325	+4.12%	0.0190	✓	1.01	15.0M	2021-12-27
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	113.55	111.0878	-2.17%	113.96	+0.36%	0.0577	✓	1.07	164.3M	2021-12-27
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	5.76	5.6222	-2.39%	5.06	-12.15%	0.1831	✓	1.00	9.3M	2021-12-27
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.01809	0.017598	-2.72%	0.0262	+44.83%	0.3202	✗	1.00	30.7M	2021-12-27
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.219	0.210205	-4.02%	0.21	-4.11%	0.0916	✓	1.17	3.9M	2021-12-27
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	36,818.43	35,193.11	-4.41%	31,759.20	-13.74%	0.1502	✓	0.61	6.2M	2021-12-27
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.5372	0.508633	-5.32%	0.8843	+64.61%	0.4131	✗	1.80	10.2M	2021-12-27

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.