2021-12-20 · +7d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 135 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2502

135 of 135 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+9.04%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

60.0%

in alpha space · 55.6% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+8.08%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (135 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.5372	0.506671	-5.68%	0.8843	+64.61%	0.4144	✗	1.83	10.2M	2021-12-27
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	36,818.43	35,363.08	-3.95%	31,759.20	-13.74%	0.1538	✓	0.60	6.2M	2021-12-27
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	113.55	109.2589	-3.78%	113.96	+0.36%	0.0464	✓	1.14	164.3M	2021-12-27
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.01809	0.017468	-3.44%	0.0262	+44.83%	0.3277	✗	1.00	30.7M	2021-12-27
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.79	4.6599	-2.72%	5.13	+7.10%	0.0184	✓	1.00	1.8M	2021-12-27
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.219	0.214271	-2.16%	0.21	-4.11%	0.1108	✓	1.17	3.9M	2021-12-27
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.3895	1.362	-1.98%	1.7264	+24.25%	0.1599	✗	0.99	7.8M	2021-12-27
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.19	1.167	-1.93%	1.32	+10.92%	0.0455	✗	1.00	2.3M	2021-12-27
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	5.76	5.6502	-1.91%	5.06	-12.15%	0.1880	✓	1.00	9.3M	2021-12-27
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.1076	1.0872	-1.84%	1.3823	+24.80%	0.1024	✗	1.77	1.5M	2021-12-27
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	4.28	4.2107	-1.62%	5.5	+28.50%	0.1894	✗	1.00	2.8M	2021-12-27
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.801	3.7398	-1.61%	4.312	+13.44%	0.0647	✗	1.00	3.7M	2021-12-27
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.6264	1.6012	-1.55%	2.0541	+26.30%	0.1989	✗	0.65	1.4M	2021-12-27
KCS	KuCoin	native	21.103	20.7815	-1.52%	22.976	+8.88%	0.0335	✓	1.72	23.4M	2021-12-27
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	7.94	7.8254	-1.44%	8.01	+0.88%	0.0288	✓	0.67	1.1M	2021-12-27
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	10.241	10.0959	-1.42%	9.799	-4.32%	0.0814	✓	0.66	388k	2021-12-27
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01925	0.019033	-1.13%	0.02154	+11.90%	0.0810	✗	0.55	67k	2021-12-27
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		8.955	8.8542	-1.13%	14.106	+57.52%	0.4827	✗	-0.22	119k	2021-12-27
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003122	0.000030878	-1.09%	0.00003905	+25.08%	0.1571	✗	1.00	1.9M	2021-12-27
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.65	9.5472	-1.07%	11.16	+15.65%	0.0990	✗	0.74	1.9M	2021-12-27
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.035847	0.035509	-0.94%	0.037325	+4.12%	0.0283	✓	1.01	15.0M	2021-12-27
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.5742	3.5424	-0.89%	3.4608	-3.17%	0.0158	✓	-0.10	372k	2021-12-27
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	4.11	4.0742	-0.87%	5.28	+28.47%	0.1566	✗	1.32	28.7M	2021-12-27
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	9.53	9.4646	-0.69%	11.09	+16.37%	0.0840	✗	0.96	2.0M	2021-12-27
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	15.3	15.1963	-0.68%	16.81	+9.87%	0.0469	✗	0.69	1.6M	2021-12-27
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.671	1.6601	-0.65%	1.884	+12.75%	0.0265	✗	1.29	7.6M	2021-12-27
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.312	2.297	-0.65%	3.08	+33.22%	0.2222	✗	0.92	3.3M	2021-12-27
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.4213	0.418676	-0.62%	0.4709	+11.77%	0.0094	✗	1.39	1.8M	2021-12-27
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	157.02	156.0539	-0.62%	169.76	+8.11%	0.0233	✓	1.38	13.6M	2021-12-27
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.09914	0.098549	-0.60%	0.11486	+15.86%	0.1122	✗	0.53	143k	2021-12-27
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	12.14	12.068	-0.59%	13.03	+7.33%	0.1024	✗	-0.33	5.9M	2021-12-27
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1303	0.129584	-0.55%	0.1453	+11.51%	0.0298	✗	1.09	603k	2021-12-27
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3175	0.315763	-0.55%	0.3756	+18.30%	0.1055	✗	0.88	693k	2021-12-27
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	9.01	8.9632	-0.52%	14.16	+57.16%	0.4699	✗	-0.16	3.7M	2021-12-27
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.1901	3.1755	-0.46%	3.7429	+17.33%	0.0965	✗	0.87	10.9M	2021-12-27
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	2.0189	2.011	-0.39%	2.2578	+11.83%	0.0365	✓	1.96	2.3M	2021-12-27
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,946.16	3,931.64	-0.37%	4,038.64	+2.34%	0.0573	✓	1.08	768.5M	2021-12-27
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.04664	0.046485	-0.33%	0.05341	+14.52%	0.0648	✗	0.95	15.8M	2021-12-27
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	10.45	10.4161	-0.32%	12.74	+21.91%	0.1629	✗	0.50	4.2M	2021-12-27
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	40.37	40.2463	-0.31%	44.44	+10.08%	0.0511	✓	1.93	13.8M	2021-12-27
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	174.01	173.5485	-0.27%	206.05	+18.41%	0.1025	✗	0.89	12.3M	2021-12-27
SOL	Solana	Solana	174.06	173.5994	-0.26%	195.74	+12.46%	0.0409	✗	1.02	281.0M	2021-12-27
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.195	1.1921	-0.24%	1.325	+10.88%	0.0286	✗	0.99	4.6M	2021-12-27
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.3532	0.352412	-0.22%	0.4183	+18.43%	0.0700	✗	1.30	6.8M	2021-12-27
GT	Gate	Ethereum	5.8354	5.8234	-0.21%	6.8395	+17.21%	0.0973	✗	0.82	5.1M	2021-12-27
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01728	0.017248	-0.19%	0.01876	+8.56%	0.0135	✓	1.26	3.6M	2021-12-27
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.0483	1.0465	-0.17%	1.3056	+24.54%	0.1032	✗	1.52	3.4M	2021-12-27
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	430.28	429.5802	-0.16%	465.3	+8.14%	0.0017	✓	1.05	14.2M	2021-12-27
METRONOME	METRONOME		4.901	4.8936	-0.15%	4.9574	+1.15%	0.0471	✓	0.77	31k	2021-12-27
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	4.888	4.8808	-0.15%	5.2921	+8.27%	0.0261	✓	1.38	5.2M	2021-12-27
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	152.71	152.5079	-0.13%	155.78	+2.01%	0.0901	✓	1.43	60.7M	2021-12-27
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.1667	3.1632	-0.11%	3.6103	+14.01%	0.0366	✗	1.23	4.7M	2021-12-27
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.6222	0.621513	-0.11%	0.7375	+18.53%	0.0757	✗	1.23	14.9M	2021-12-27
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.2037	0.203516	-0.09%	0.2194	+7.71%	0.0069	✗	0.88	756k	2021-12-27
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	23.75	23.7291	-0.09%	26.71	+12.46%	0.0359	✗	1.06	2.9M	2021-12-27
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.0799	1.079	-0.08%	1.3793	+27.72%	0.1713	✗	0.96	23.6M	2021-12-27
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.939	3.936	-0.08%	4.744	+20.44%	0.1228	✗	0.82	780k	2021-12-27
ZEN	Horizen	Base	61.49	61.4436	-0.08%	70.72	+15.01%	0.0214	✗	1.53	2.2M	2021-12-27
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0836	0.083548	-0.06%	0.0897	+7.30%	0.0154	✓	1.11	24k	2021-12-27
XVG	Verge	native	0.01664	0.01663	-0.06%	0.01908	+14.66%	0.0456	✗	1.18	3.1M	2021-12-27
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.23	3.2283	-0.05%	3.6	+11.46%	0.0319	✗	0.99	1.3M	2021-12-27
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	8.69	8.6864	-0.04%	9.33	+7.36%	0.0099	✗	0.79	838k	2021-12-27
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.6286	0.628376	-0.04%	0.8111	+29.03%	0.1601	✗	1.22	7.7M	2021-12-27
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.16	3.1595	-0.02%	3.86	+22.15%	0.1240	✗	0.98	821k	2021-12-27
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	34.09	34.0902	+0.00%	43.58	+27.84%	0.1097	✓	1.75	6.0M	2021-12-27
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	92.63	92.6325	+0.00%	107.04	+15.56%	0.0707	✓	0.95	10.6M	2021-12-27
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	31.99	31.9915	+0.00%	34.59	+8.13%	0.0268	✓	0.66	754k	2021-12-27
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.755084	0.755378	+0.04%	0.876137	+16.03%	0.0648	✓	1.07	4.8M	2021-12-27
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3017	0.301896	+0.07%	0.4014	+33.05%	0.1707	✓	1.47	4.9M	2021-12-27
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.8629	5.8678	+0.08%	6.874	+17.24%	0.0662	✓	1.18	833k	2021-12-27
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.2563	2.2582	+0.08%	2.5471	+12.89%	0.0284	✓	1.18	169k	2021-12-27
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.06	5.0645	+0.09%	5.87	+16.01%	0.0559	✓	1.18	2.8M	2021-12-27
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		121.71	121.8558	+0.12%	127.41	+4.68%	0.0328	✗	1.00	2.5M	2021-12-27
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01493	0.014951	+0.14%	0.01713	+14.74%	0.0651	✓	0.91	1.9M	2021-12-27
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.239	1.2408	+0.15%	1.415	+14.21%	0.0472	✓	1.08	1.6M	2021-12-27
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	40.57	40.6313	+0.15%	42.6	+5.00%	0.0357	✗	1.07	25.2M	2021-12-27
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.1064	4.1129	+0.16%	5.1016	+24.24%	0.1131	✓	1.32	4.7M	2021-12-27
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.10877	0.108954	+0.17%	0.12484	+14.77%	0.0494	✓	1.12	31k	2021-12-27
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.2978	1.3001	+0.18%	1.6631	+28.15%	0.1648	✓	1.05	35.8M	2021-12-27
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.05406	0.054157	+0.18%	0.05816	+7.58%	0.0165	✗	1.13	22k	2021-12-27
XEM	NEM	native	0.1249	0.125141	+0.19%	0.1391	+11.37%	0.0202	✓	1.10	202k	2021-12-27
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1991	0.199515	+0.21%	0.2396	+20.34%	0.0890	✓	1.21	8.9M	2021-12-27
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	34.54	34.6249	+0.25%	37.61	+8.89%	0.0005	✓	1.06	6.5M	2021-12-27
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.25839	0.25913	+0.29%	0.300288	+16.22%	0.0705	✓	0.99	40.4M	2021-12-27
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	263.85	264.6331	+0.30%	322.27	+22.14%	0.1112	✓	1.10	1.5M	2021-12-27
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.08901	0.089291	+0.32%	0.09816	+10.28%	0.0182	✗	1.45	6.7M	2021-12-27
XMR	Monero	Monero	188.84	189.4412	+0.32%	220.72	+16.88%	0.0768	✓	0.98	2.9M	2021-12-27
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	5.033	5.0502	+0.34%	5.5	+9.28%	0.0355	✓	0.64	1.0M	2021-12-27
HIVE	Hive	native	1.4	1.4049	+0.35%	1.852	+32.29%	0.1734	✓	1.32	12.4M	2021-12-27
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.167179	0.167765	+0.35%	0.187814	+12.34%	0.0262	✓	1.12	5.3M	2021-12-27
XYM	Symbol	native	0.2405	0.241371	+0.36%	0.2391	-0.58%	0.0452	✗	0.46	434k	2021-12-27
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.6692	0.671635	+0.36%	0.7943	+18.69%	0.0744	✓	1.20	7.8M	2021-12-27
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.095	0.095353	+0.37%	0.1161	+22.21%	0.0912	✓	1.36	3.4M	2021-12-27
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.51	1.5157	+0.38%	2.01	+33.11%	0.1511	✓	1.69	2.0M	2021-12-27
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	8.75	8.7832	+0.38%	10.75	+22.86%	0.1164	✓	1.10	3.9M	2021-12-27
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.838	2.8492	+0.40%	3.267	+15.12%	0.0708	✓	0.85	104k	2021-12-27
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.2381	1.243	+0.40%	1.5164	+22.48%	0.1186	✓	1.03	131.8M	2021-12-27
XEC	eCash	native	0.00010638	0.000106844	+0.44%	0.00011859	+11.48%	0.0266	✓	1.00	13.4M	2021-12-27
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	21.53	21.6266	+0.45%	29.68	+37.85%	0.2522	✓	0.83	42.5M	2021-12-27
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.409	1.4159	+0.49%	1.686	+19.66%	0.0720	✓	1.32	5.6M	2021-12-27
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.057981	0.058276	+0.51%	0.063833	+10.09%	0.0253	✗	1.50	13.8M	2021-12-27
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	46,868.20	47,109.30	+0.51%	51,195.60	+9.23%	0.0062	✓	0.99	15k	2021-12-27
DASH	Dash	Dash	127.33	128.0418	+0.56%	151.04	+18.62%	0.0681	✓	1.25	2.2M	2021-12-27
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	7.411	7.4548	+0.59%	10.034	+35.39%	0.1924	✓	1.35	635k	2021-12-27
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	34.86	35.0703	+0.60%	39.2	+12.45%	0.0313	✓	1.03	21.2M	2021-12-27
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2674	0.269084	+0.63%	0.3372	+26.10%	0.1272	✓	1.27	7.0M	2021-12-27
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.711	3.7347	+0.64%	4.361	+17.52%	0.1023	✓	0.68	544k	2021-12-27
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.77	2.7878	+0.64%	3.39	+22.38%	0.0959	✓	1.28	3.0M	2021-12-27
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	14.84	14.9358	+0.65%	16.84	+13.48%	0.0305	✓	1.15	6.6M	2021-12-27
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.607	0.611038	+0.67%	0.723	+19.11%	0.0718	✓	1.24	3.4M	2021-12-27
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	188.43	189.6863	+0.67%	237.34	+25.96%	0.1417	✓	1.06	236k	2021-12-27
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	46,926.07	47,244.35	+0.68%	50,717.77	+8.08%	0.0068	✗	1.00	750.8M	2021-12-27
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	8.46	8.5185	+0.69%	9.45	+11.70%	0.0517	✓	0.67	1.1M	2021-12-27
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	181.01	182.2716	+0.70%	277.6	+53.36%	0.3449	✓	0.98	11.0M	2021-12-27
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.11	5.1456	+0.70%	6.44	+26.03%	0.1407	✓	1.08	5.5M	2021-12-27
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	8.9718	9.0345	+0.70%	9.9988	+11.45%	0.0130	✗	1.47	356k	2021-12-27
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.022282	0.02246	+0.80%	0.024165	+8.45%	0.0225	✗	1.23	1.9M	2021-12-27
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	14.52	14.6395	+0.82%	19.11	+31.61%	0.1669	✓	1.28	14.2M	2021-12-27
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.811	0.817815	+0.84%	1.017	+25.40%	0.1039	✓	1.47	10.9M	2021-12-27
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	2.04	2.0575	+0.86%	2.337	+14.56%	0.0408	✓	1.11	3.4M	2021-12-27
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	18.78	18.948	+0.89%	23.02	+22.58%	0.0947	✓	1.29	69.7M	2021-12-27
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	5.48	5.5303	+0.92%	9.15	+66.97%	0.4020	✓	1.31	12.7M	2021-12-27
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	30.38	30.6739	+0.97%	39.59	+30.32%	0.1379	✓	1.51	1.6M	2021-12-27
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.349	0.352414	+0.98%	0.466	+33.52%	0.2217	✓	0.74	54k	2021-12-27
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.39	2.4141	+1.01%	2.8	+17.15%	0.0739	✓	0.96	4.9M	2021-12-27
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	24.08	24.338	+1.07%	30.97	+28.61%	0.1441	✓	1.25	75.1M	2021-12-27
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	176.9138	178.8091	+1.07%	211.5789	+19.59%	0.0795	✓	1.14	1.1M	2021-12-27
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.2888	3.3241	+1.07%	3.9652	+20.57%	0.0955	✓	1.04	798k	2021-12-27
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.07761	0.078553	+1.22%	0.081167	+4.58%	0.0435	✗	0.98	798k	2021-12-27
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.19466	0.197127	+1.27%	0.22849	+17.38%	0.0203	✓	1.64	34k	2021-12-27
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	21.75	22.0536	+1.40%	28.24	+29.84%	0.1441	✓	1.33	20.8M	2021-12-27
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.2	3.2524	+1.64%	5.18	+61.87%	0.3877	✓	1.00	11.9M	2021-12-27
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0652	0.066693	+2.29%	0.0741	+13.65%	0.0002	✓	1.36	2.9M	2021-12-27
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	1.5221	1.5937	+4.71%	2.0783	+36.54%	0.2289	✓	0.47	8.8M	2021-12-27
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.06558	0.068705	+4.76%	0.08443	+28.74%	0.1291	✓	0.99	22.6M	2021-12-27

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.