2021-12-19 · +7d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 135 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1387

135 of 135 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+9.90%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

53.3%

in alpha space · 42.2% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+8.81%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (135 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.0709	0.072315	+2.00%	0.08785	+23.91%	0.1097	✓	1.01	23.2M	2021-12-26
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.363	0.368006	+1.38%	0.494	+36.09%	0.2313	✓	0.75	54k	2021-12-26
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0947	0.095914	+1.28%	0.113	+19.32%	0.0490	✓	1.36	3.6M	2021-12-26
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3252	0.328673	+1.07%	0.371	+14.08%	0.0467	✓	0.88	775k	2021-12-26
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.604	0.610344	+1.05%	0.73	+20.86%	0.0741	✓	1.24	3.4M	2021-12-26
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	7.96	8.0402	+1.01%	9.64	+21.11%	0.1257	✓	0.66	1.1M	2021-12-26
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.722	4.7672	+0.96%	5.487	+16.20%	0.0873	✓	0.63	961k	2021-12-26
XMR	Monero	Monero	183.97	185.7013	+0.94%	216.57	+17.72%	0.0714	✓	0.98	2.9M	2021-12-26
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	31.84	32.1022	+0.82%	38.9	+22.17%	0.0639	✓	1.52	1.6M	2021-12-26
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	4.7362	4.7737	+0.79%	5.3426	+12.80%	0.0031	✓	1.37	5.2M	2021-12-26
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.079504	0.080132	+0.79%	0.081508	+2.52%	0.0663	✗	0.99	735k	2021-12-26
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.77037	0.7761	+0.74%	0.879132	+14.12%	0.0335	✓	1.08	4.8M	2021-12-26
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	22.67	22.8369	+0.74%	26.72	+17.87%	0.0443	✓	1.33	20.5M	2021-12-26
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.4351	0.438274	+0.73%	0.469	+7.79%	0.0167	✗	1.00	1.8M	2021-12-26
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	7.908	7.9643	+0.71%	9.232	+16.74%	0.0331	✓	1.36	640k	2021-12-26
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	35.14	35.3418	+0.57%	43.55	+23.93%	0.0604	✓	1.76	6.8M	2021-12-26
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	15.48	15.5677	+0.57%	17.11	+10.53%	0.0033	✓	1.16	6.6M	2021-12-26
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.20367	0.204776	+0.54%	0.20968	+2.95%	0.1155	✗	1.65	37k	2021-12-26
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	9.0839	9.1318	+0.53%	9.8982	+8.96%	0.0440	✗	1.48	356k	2021-12-26
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.55	3.5686	+0.53%	4.113	+15.86%	0.0853	✓	0.67	532k	2021-12-26
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.71	2.7227	+0.47%	3.08	+13.65%	0.0152	✓	1.28	2.9M	2021-12-26
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.2785	1.2844	+0.46%	1.3933	+8.98%	0.0106	✗	1.09	1.6M	2021-12-26
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.3316	2.3418	+0.44%	2.4928	+6.91%	0.0380	✗	1.19	191k	2021-12-26
HIVE	Hive	native	1.4642	1.4703	+0.42%	1.7664	+20.64%	0.0707	✓	1.33	12.4M	2021-12-26
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	6.64	6.6675	+0.41%	7.96	+19.88%	0.1230	✓	0.64	1.1M	2021-12-26
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3063	0.30732	+0.33%	0.4225	+37.94%	0.1939	✓	1.47	4.9M	2021-12-26
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	2.131	2.1378	+0.32%	2.289	+7.41%	0.0264	✗	1.12	3.4M	2021-12-26
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	46,687.19	46,831.30	+0.31%	50,801.79	+8.81%	0.0031	✗	1.00	744.5M	2021-12-26
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.060896	0.061079	+0.30%	0.06404	+5.16%	0.0800	✗	1.51	13.9M	2021-12-26
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.889	3.9004	+0.29%	4.37	+12.37%	0.0444	✓	0.82	780k	2021-12-26
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.16953	0.169995	+0.27%	0.190018	+12.08%	0.0169	✓	1.12	5.3M	2021-12-26
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.6458	0.64745	+0.26%	0.8093	+25.32%	0.1192	✓	1.23	8.7M	2021-12-26
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.0233	3.0302	+0.23%	3.66	+21.06%	0.0864	✓	1.21	4.7M	2021-12-26
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	183.3809	183.7975	+0.23%	187.2077	+2.09%	0.0786	✗	1.15	1.2M	2021-12-26
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.55	1.5535	+0.23%	2.22	+43.23%	0.2140	✓	1.69	2.1M	2021-12-26
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.11104	0.111279	+0.22%	0.12458	+12.19%	0.0183	✓	1.12	31k	2021-12-26
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	47,160.00	47,246.87	+0.18%	50,987.30	+8.12%	0.0076	✗	0.99	15k	2021-12-26
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.6909	0.692101	+0.17%	0.7893	+14.24%	0.0295	✓	1.21	8.2M	2021-12-26
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	183.44	183.7542	+0.17%	268.05	+46.12%	0.2950	✓	0.98	10.9M	2021-12-26
XEC	eCash	native	0.00010867	0.000108846	+0.16%	0.00012144	+11.75%	0.0247	✓	1.00	14.3M	2021-12-26
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	34.89	34.9393	+0.14%	37.92	+8.68%	0.0076	✗	1.06	6.9M	2021-12-26
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.3556	3.359	+0.10%	3.8689	+15.30%	0.0531	✓	1.04	781k	2021-12-26
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.453	1.4542	+0.09%	1.668	+14.80%	0.0252	✓	1.33	5.6M	2021-12-26
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	8.34	8.3467	+0.08%	9.4	+12.71%	0.0525	✓	0.79	824k	2021-12-26
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.253885	0.254064	+0.07%	0.291987	+15.01%	0.0557	✓	0.99	39.3M	2021-12-26
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.826	0.826515	+0.06%	1.002	+21.31%	0.0683	✓	1.47	12.1M	2021-12-26
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	14.97	14.9759	+0.04%	18.67	+24.72%	0.1118	✓	1.29	14.2M	2021-12-26
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	8.58	8.5832	+0.04%	11.25	+31.12%	0.2115	✓	0.70	1.9M	2021-12-26
DASH	Dash	Dash	129.18	129.1906	+0.01%	149.09	+15.41%	0.0374	✓	1.25	2.2M	2021-12-26
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.1383	4.1379	-0.01%	4.8691	+17.66%	0.0513	✗	1.32	4.2M	2021-12-26
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2631	0.263055	-0.02%	0.3303	+25.54%	0.1207	✗	1.27	7.4M	2021-12-26
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.42	2.4195	-0.02%	2.76	+14.05%	0.0506	✗	0.96	4.9M	2021-12-26
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	39.74	39.7273	-0.03%	42.59	+7.17%	0.0204	✓	1.07	26.1M	2021-12-26
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0846	0.084547	-0.06%	0.0896	+5.91%	0.0361	✓	1.11	24k	2021-12-26
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	1.6518	1.6502	-0.09%	2.196	+32.95%	0.2448	✗	0.48	9.0M	2021-12-26
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	153.31	153.1496	-0.10%	155.96	+1.73%	0.1030	✓	1.44	63.2M	2021-12-26
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.628	3.6238	-0.12%	4.307	+18.72%	0.0883	✗	1.00	3.8M	2021-12-26
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1922	0.191972	-0.12%	0.24	+24.87%	0.1215	✗	1.21	8.9M	2021-12-26
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	18.88	18.8571	-0.12%	22.99	+21.77%	0.0894	✗	1.29	69.7M	2021-12-26
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	432.94	432.372	-0.13%	451.86	+4.37%	0.0447	✓	1.05	14.2M	2021-12-26
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	32.25	32.2038	-0.14%	34.4	+6.67%	0.0101	✗	0.66	754k	2021-12-26
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01537	0.015343	-0.18%	0.01668	+8.52%	0.0060	✗	0.92	2.1M	2021-12-26
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	35.8	35.7226	-0.22%	37.29	+4.16%	0.0444	✓	1.03	20.8M	2021-12-26
XVG	Verge	native	0.01674	0.016702	-0.23%	0.01937	+15.71%	0.0482	✗	1.18	3.6M	2021-12-26
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,925.79	3,915.77	-0.26%	4,065.91	+3.57%	0.0539	✓	1.08	768.5M	2021-12-26
GT	Gate	Ethereum	5.7983	5.7826	-0.27%	6.7502	+16.42%	0.0857	✗	0.82	5.2M	2021-12-26
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	11.88	11.8466	-0.28%	12.67	+6.65%	0.0954	✗	-0.33	5.9M	2021-12-26
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	182.22	181.5984	-0.34%	194.3	+6.63%	0.0082	✓	0.90	12.3M	2021-12-26
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.023172	0.023092	-0.34%	0.024422	+5.39%	0.0486	✓	1.24	1.9M	2021-12-26
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	40.83	40.6807	-0.37%	45.66	+11.83%	0.0486	✓	1.94	13.8M	2021-12-26
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.21	5.1904	-0.38%	6.24	+19.77%	0.0930	✗	1.08	5.5M	2021-12-26
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.4774	3.4636	-0.40%	3.4826	+0.15%	0.0140	✗	-0.10	372k	2021-12-26
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	9.09	9.0495	-0.45%	10.41	+14.52%	0.0464	✗	1.11	4.1M	2021-12-26
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		123.02	122.4612	-0.45%	127.5	+3.64%	0.0440	✓	1.00	2.3M	2021-12-26
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	13.45	13.3883	-0.46%	16.92	+25.80%	0.1772	✗	0.67	1.6M	2021-12-26
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.05564	0.055372	-0.48%	0.05866	+5.43%	0.0382	✓	1.14	22k	2021-12-26
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	22.18	22.0703	-0.49%	32.17	+45.04%	0.3065	✗	0.83	42.5M	2021-12-26
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	157.78	156.9663	-0.52%	167.45	+6.13%	0.0525	✓	1.39	15.2M	2021-12-26
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.6847	1.6759	-0.53%	2.0712	+22.94%	0.1567	✗	0.65	1.4M	2021-12-26
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.22	3.2029	-0.53%	3.61	+12.11%	0.0359	✗	0.99	1.3M	2021-12-26
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.2443	1.2375	-0.54%	1.4549	+16.93%	0.0746	✗	1.03	131.8M	2021-12-26
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	9.9	9.8455	-0.55%	10.61	+7.17%	0.0067	✓	0.97	1.9M	2021-12-26
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.0641	1.0582	-0.55%	1.3907	+30.69%	0.1926	✗	0.95	23.6M	2021-12-26
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.2012	0.200074	-0.56%	0.219	+8.85%	0.0164	✗	0.88	776k	2021-12-26
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	195.44	194.3238	-0.57%	235.5	+20.50%	0.1021	✗	1.07	228k	2021-12-26
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	24.73	24.5846	-0.59%	25.82	+4.41%	0.0411	✓	1.07	3.0M	2021-12-26
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	4.5	4.4714	-0.64%	4.72	+4.89%	0.0304	✓	1.00	3.1M	2021-12-26
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.984	2.965	-0.64%	3.279	+9.89%	0.0281	✗	0.86	105k	2021-12-26
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	5.33	5.296	-0.64%	7.93	+48.78%	0.2937	✗	1.30	12.7M	2021-12-26
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.3658	0.363441	-0.64%	0.4265	+16.59%	0.0492	✗	1.31	7.0M	2021-12-26
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	10.6	10.5309	-0.65%	13.1	+23.58%	0.1762	✗	0.50	4.2M	2021-12-26
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003076	0.000030559	-0.65%	0.00003825	+24.35%	0.1400	✗	1.00	1.8M	2021-12-26
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	274.31	272.3707	-0.71%	322.4	+17.53%	0.0747	✗	1.11	1.5M	2021-12-26
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.219	1.2101	-0.73%	1.317	+8.04%	0.0006	✓	1.00	5.1M	2021-12-26
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.755	1.7412	-0.79%	1.942	+10.66%	0.0004	✓	1.30	7.6M	2021-12-26
SOL	Solana	Solana	179.95	178.5185	-0.80%	198	+10.03%	0.0170	✗	1.02	281.0M	2021-12-26
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.12	5.0789	-0.80%	5.85	+14.26%	0.0415	✗	1.18	2.8M	2021-12-26
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.6482	0.642889	-0.82%	0.7354	+13.45%	0.0301	✗	1.24	14.9M	2021-12-26
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1365	0.135286	-0.89%	0.1438	+5.35%	0.0319	✓	1.10	648k	2021-12-26
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.048	0.047564	-0.91%	0.05082	+5.88%	0.0148	✓	0.96	15.8M	2021-12-26
ZEN	Horizen	Base	65.52	64.9141	-0.92%	70.3	+7.30%	0.0508	✓	1.55	2.2M	2021-12-26
XEM	NEM	native	0.1288	0.127608	-0.93%	0.1412	+9.63%	0.0077	✓	1.11	191k	2021-12-26
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.18	3.1501	-0.94%	3.81	+19.81%	0.1071	✗	0.98	821k	2021-12-26
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	24.78	24.5466	-0.94%	31.34	+26.47%	0.1386	✗	1.25	75.1M	2021-12-26
KCS	KuCoin	native	21.23	21.0256	-0.96%	22.898	+7.86%	0.0606	✓	1.73	24.3M	2021-12-26
XYM	Symbol	native	0.2577	0.25521	-0.97%	0.2394	-7.10%	0.1037	✓	0.47	434k	2021-12-26
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.335	2.3121	-0.98%	3.19	+36.62%	0.2443	✗	0.92	3.4M	2021-12-26
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.3564	1.3425	-1.03%	1.6079	+18.54%	0.0912	✗	1.06	38.2M	2021-12-26
METRONOME	METRONOME		4.9334	4.8808	-1.07%	4.9306	-0.06%	0.0554	✓	0.78	31k	2021-12-26
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.09206	0.091044	-1.10%	0.09987	+8.48%	0.0307	✓	1.46	7.0M	2021-12-26
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.10048	0.099288	-1.19%	0.11329	+12.75%	0.0872	✗	0.53	143k	2021-12-26
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0707	0.069833	-1.23%	0.084	+18.81%	0.0680	✗	1.38	3.5M	2021-12-26
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	9.2	9.0865	-1.23%	15.17	+64.89%	0.5260	✗	-0.16	3.7M	2021-12-26
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.2	4.147	-1.26%	4.79	+14.05%	0.0597	✗	1.00	1.7M	2021-12-26
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01761	0.017384	-1.28%	0.01869	+6.13%	0.0338	✓	1.26	3.6M	2021-12-26
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.0769	1.0621	-1.37%	1.1705	+8.69%	0.0315	✓	1.52	3.6M	2021-12-26
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.9559	5.8681	-1.47%	6.8179	+14.47%	0.0498	✗	1.19	876k	2021-12-26
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		9.279	9.142	-1.48%	15.136	+63.12%	0.5223	✗	-0.21	119k	2021-12-26
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.53	3.476	-1.53%	5.75	+62.89%	0.4189	✗	1.00	12.1M	2021-12-26
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.2567	3.2061	-1.55%	3.862	+18.59%	0.1117	✗	0.88	12.2M	2021-12-26
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	10.322	10.1603	-1.57%	9.727	-5.76%	0.0998	✓	0.67	374k	2021-12-26
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	4.17	4.1017	-1.64%	5.75	+37.89%	0.2258	✗	1.33	28.7M	2021-12-26
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	95.29	93.6773	-1.69%	107.53	+12.84%	0.0571	✗	0.96	10.9M	2021-12-26
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.17	1.15	-1.71%	1.28	+9.40%	0.0226	✗	1.00	2.4M	2021-12-26
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.1312	1.1108	-1.81%	1.3324	+17.78%	0.0316	✗	1.78	1.6M	2021-12-26
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	2.0519	2.0137	-1.86%	2.3444	+14.26%	0.0143	✓	1.97	2.3M	2021-12-26
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.4701	1.4415	-1.95%	1.6918	+15.08%	0.0752	✗	1.01	7.8M	2021-12-26
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	107.6	105.417	-2.03%	115.07	+6.94%	0.0082	✓	1.13	164.3M	2021-12-26
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	5.72	5.582	-2.41%	5.23	-8.57%	0.1496	✓	1.00	11.5M	2021-12-26
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.02035	0.019805	-2.68%	0.01958	-3.78%	0.0587	✓	0.56	61k	2021-12-26
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.01689	0.016421	-2.78%	0.02201	+30.31%	0.2085	✗	1.00	33.0M	2021-12-26
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.038495	0.037238	-3.26%	0.03765	-2.20%	0.0751	✓	1.02	15.0M	2021-12-26
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	31,997.51	30,887.66	-3.47%	31,193.34	-2.51%	0.0387	✓	0.57	5.5M	2021-12-26
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.429	0.413692	-3.57%	0.7068	+64.76%	0.3832	✗	1.80	10.2M	2021-12-26
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.2768	0.25836	-6.66%	0.2011	-27.35%	0.3533	✓	1.22	3.7M	2021-12-26

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.