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2022-09-13 · +30d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 191 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2263
191 of 191 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+12.48%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
81.7%
in alpha space · 86.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-3.95%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (191 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000358060.000306501-14.40%0.00027827-22.28%0.0928✓0.102.4M2022-10-13
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.23496.2055-14.23%4.5312-37.37%0.3029✓0.2912.2M2022-10-13
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.96e-76.17e-7-11.40%4.93e-7-29.22%0.1899✓0.862.2M2022-10-13
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.2123.763-10.66%3.817-9.38%0.0512✓0.92245k2022-10-13
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.059510.053204-10.60%0.05517-7.29%0.0846✓1.201.2M2022-10-13
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.09210.8128-10.58%13.225+9.37%0.2162✗0.3715.8M2022-10-13
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.13213.7368-9.57%2.9712-28.09%0.2029✓0.667.3M2022-10-13
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.31.1769-9.47%1.06-18.46%0.0636✓1.0258k2022-10-13
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,017.078,164.06-9.46%7,725.27-14.33%0.0009✓1.354.1M2022-10-13
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.8715.3297-9.22%5.141-12.43%0.0030✓0.976.2M2022-10-13
CHZChilizEthereum0.19340.175991-9.00%0.1844-4.65%0.0838✓0.923.2M2022-10-13
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.19630.17894-8.84%0.1351-31.18%0.2502✓0.7730k2022-10-13
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.586.0498-8.06%3.9876-39.40%0.4103✓0.169.1M2022-10-13
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14440.132852-8.00%0.1342-7.06%0.0493✓0.97336k2022-10-13
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11040.10169-7.89%0.0666-39.67%0.4006✓0.56182k2022-10-13
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,471.371,356.15-7.83%1,248.14-15.17%0.0427✓1.003.4M2022-10-13
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0012360.001142-7.65%0.0008937-27.71%0.2124✓0.812.2M2022-10-13
BANDBandEthereum1.2441.1491-7.63%1.068-14.15%0.0242✓1.22323k2022-10-13
LRCLoopringEthereum0.33080.30584-7.55%0.2586-21.83%0.1234✓1.1072k2022-10-13
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.95861.8127-7.45%0.9616-50.90%0.6048✓0.721.5M2022-10-13
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.758.1005-7.42%6.57-24.91%0.1869✓0.562.4M2022-10-13
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9210.853569-7.32%0.836-9.23%0.0023✓0.462.7M2022-10-13
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.24291.1522-7.30%1.0884-12.43%0.0130✓1.09922k2022-10-13
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.411.3074-7.28%1.531+8.58%0.2059✗1.1943k2022-10-13
IMXImmutableEthereum0.80660.748157-7.25%0.6504-19.37%0.0952✓1.11946k2022-10-13
UOSUltraEthereum0.420010.389872-7.18%0.35148-16.32%0.0660✓0.93392k2022-10-13
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.60294.2741-7.14%3.7246-19.08%0.0844✓1.32118k2022-10-13
GALAGALAEthereum0.04790.044479-7.14%0.0379-20.88%0.1157✓1.10177k2022-10-13
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0246920.022947-7.07%0.024977+1.15%0.0865✗0.04471k2022-10-13
PROPropyEthereum0.710.660324-7.00%0.52-26.76%0.2290✓0.2442k2022-10-13
COMPCompoundEthereum55.8351.9445-6.96%54.83-1.79%0.0997✗1.138,6412022-10-13
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos13.89712.9402-6.88%11.342-18.39%0.0816✓1.2520.3M2022-10-13
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.976.4905-6.88%6.09-12.63%0.0213✓1.05224k2022-10-13
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10820.100804-6.84%0.0879-18.76%0.0853✓1.282.5M2022-10-13
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008510.00793-6.81%0.00533-37.37%0.3611✓0.903.3M2022-10-13
ORCAOrcaSolana0.84630.788997-6.77%0.8267-2.32%0.1061✗1.4894k2022-10-13
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.48650.45376-6.73%0.3679-24.38%0.1770✓0.81422k2022-10-13
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.031.8936-6.72%1.6-21.18%0.1196✓1.21227k2022-10-13
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.033670.031431-6.65%0.02754-18.21%0.0899✓1.0532k2022-10-13
NEARNEAR ProtocolNEAR4.4184.135-6.41%3.04-31.19%0.2674✓1.001.4M2022-10-13
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.29660.277706-6.37%0.3194+7.69%0.1783✗0.956.0M2022-10-13
XECeCashnative0.000043950.000041166-6.33%0.00003711-15.56%0.0703✓0.833.0M2022-10-13
NMRNumeraireEthereum16.815.7415-6.30%14.34-14.64%0.0705✓0.57396k2022-10-13
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.1345.7502-6.26%3.961-35.43%0.3502✓0.563.1M2022-10-13
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.0256.5889-6.21%7.028+0.04%0.1090✗1.1118.0M2022-10-13
UMAUMAEthereum2.6182.4571-6.15%2.208-15.66%0.0746✓0.80523k2022-10-13
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.125.7464-6.11%4.46-27.12%0.2326✓0.522.1M2022-10-13
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0062160.005838-6.08%0.00599-3.64%0.0391✓0.3330k2022-10-13
MINAMina Protocolnative0.610.573009-6.06%0.536-12.13%0.0248✓1.04114k2022-10-13
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9130.857917-6.03%0.847-7.23%0.0326✓1.131.5M2022-10-13
RADRadworksEthereum2.322.1833-5.89%1.85-20.26%0.1411✓0.61247k2022-10-13
METISMetisEthereum27.926.2647-5.86%24.71-11.43%0.0009✓1.54159k2022-10-13
ELAElastosEthereum1.5531.4632-5.78%1.479-4.76%0.0386✓0.6929k2022-10-13
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.520.489991-5.77%0.439-15.58%0.0652✓1.1166k2022-10-13
HIVEHivenative0.55040.519087-5.69%0.4902-10.94%0.0330✓0.60871k2022-10-13
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0823.8507-5.67%3.097-24.13%0.1973✓0.512.3M2022-10-13
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1423.9121-5.55%3.061-26.10%0.2305✓0.372.0M2022-10-13
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0221.9098-5.55%1.535-24.09%0.1704✓1.1930k2022-10-13
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.1812.4544-5.51%11.09-15.86%0.0708✓1.12925k2022-10-13
QTUMQtumQtum3.02332.857-5.50%2.6695-11.70%0.0272✓1.0120k2022-10-13
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.076.6819-5.49%6.113-13.54%0.0444✓1.1110.0M2022-10-13
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.476.1178-5.44%5.61-13.29%0.0671✓0.482.1M2022-10-13
XVSVenusEthereum4.664.4074-5.42%4.61-1.07%0.0786✗0.83839k2022-10-13
GMTGMTEthereum0.66060.625345-5.34%0.5935-10.16%0.0078✓1.49210k2022-10-13
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0109980.010418-5.27%0.009275-15.67%0.0759✓1.006682022-10-13
ETHEthereumEthereum1,574.711,493.67-5.15%1,286.96-18.27%0.0962✓1.31616.7M2022-10-13
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2893870.274711-5.07%0.246962-14.66%0.0673✓0.97487k2022-10-13
XTZTezosTezos1.53481.4576-5.03%1.3832-9.88%0.0112✓1.02246k2022-10-13
XVGVergenative0.003370.003203-4.95%0.00306-9.20%0.0080✓0.94483k2022-10-13
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.46.0835-4.95%5.03-21.41%0.1512✓0.974.3M2022-10-13
DASHDashDash43.7741.6263-4.90%40.41-7.68%0.0118✓1.03312k2022-10-13
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.7192.5869-4.86%2.183-19.71%0.1104✓1.482.9M2022-10-13
MOVRMoonriverBase11.933911.3559-4.84%10.1346-15.08%0.0744✓0.9821k2022-10-13
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.739.2617-4.81%8.67-10.89%0.0125✓1.33288k2022-10-13
ETCEthereum Classicnative35.2933.6152-4.75%23.01-34.80%0.3185✓1.5010.6M2022-10-13
DODODODOEthereum0.12530.119392-4.72%0.1164-7.10%0.0193✓1.111.4M2022-10-13
DIADIAEthereum0.381160.363363-4.67%0.39142+2.69%0.1127✗0.9531k2022-10-13
APEApeCoinEthereum5.1364.8987-4.62%4.551-11.39%0.0209✓1.316.4M2022-10-13
GLMGolemEthereum0.34440.328527-4.61%0.2499-27.44%0.2376✓0.8989k2022-10-13
NANOnanopayBase0.8462690.80739-4.59%0.761919-9.97%0.0241✓0.8446k2022-10-13
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.134760.128646-4.54%0.12034-10.70%0.0208✓1.14151k2022-10-13
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.78661.7067-4.47%1.5752-11.84%0.0361✓1.1025k2022-10-13
SUSHISushiEthereum1.17031.1181-4.46%1.2571+7.42%0.1612✗1.091.1M2022-10-13
UNIUniswapEthereum6.0345.7646-4.46%6.15+1.92%0.1189✗1.356.9M2022-10-13
FISStafiEthereum0.350.334386-4.46%0.319-8.86%0.0086✓0.961,1592022-10-13
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03610.034494-4.45%0.0319-11.63%0.0377✓1.0190k2022-10-13
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash117.6112.4065-4.42%108.8-7.48%0.0136✓1.154.4M2022-10-13
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015310.001464-4.40%0.001276-16.66%0.1101✓0.676,5532022-10-13
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.162840.155689-4.39%0.13775-15.41%0.0807✓1.04271k2022-10-13
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1521.1018-4.36%0.978-15.10%0.0816✓0.931.1M2022-10-13
SCSiacoinnative0.003810.003645-4.33%0.00324-14.96%0.0801✓0.9495k2022-10-13
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.26790.256323-4.32%0.2551-4.78%0.0350✓0.992.7M2022-10-13
LCXLCXEthereum0.04960.047463-4.31%0.0541+9.07%0.1656✗0.86234k2022-10-13
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.0552.9243-4.28%2.773-9.23%0.0374✓0.39759k2022-10-13
FLOWFlownative1.8641.7851-4.23%1.511-18.94%0.1107✓1.39967k2022-10-13
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007960.007625-4.21%0.00571-28.27%0.2449✓1.10463k2022-10-13
ZENHorizenBase14.8414.2171-4.20%12.53-15.57%0.0773✓1.2275k2022-10-13
WOOWOOEthereum0.15610.149568-4.18%0.153-1.99%0.0702✗1.189132022-10-13
STXStacksnative0.34970.335143-4.16%0.3005-14.07%0.0666✓1.06313k2022-10-13
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020070.019238-4.15%0.01727-13.95%0.0842✓0.59173k2022-10-13
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.069130.066267-4.14%0.071+2.71%0.0770✗0.20354k2022-10-13
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche18.8718.0914-4.13%15.65-17.06%0.0907✓1.3518.0M2022-10-13
KSMKusamaHydration46.3844.5059-4.04%40.69-12.27%0.0487✓1.02363k2022-10-13
KCSKuCoinnative9.2548.8808-4.03%9.399+1.57%0.0900✗0.831.2M2022-10-13
BTTCBTTC8.60e-78.26e-7-4.00%7.70e-7-10.47%0.0412✓0.711.7M2022-10-13
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10760.1033-4.00%0.0911-15.33%0.0917✓0.84188k2022-10-13
ADACardanoCardano0.46370.44521-3.99%0.3769-18.72%0.1277✓0.9738.3M2022-10-13
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0201910.0194-3.92%0.01784-11.64%0.0585✓0.6312k2022-10-13
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4930.473706-3.91%0.426-13.59%0.0585✓1.1877k2022-10-13
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.725.4983-3.88%3.81-33.39%0.3458✓0.522.0M2022-10-13
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04410.042393-3.87%0.0344-22.00%0.1622✓1.16546k2022-10-13
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.31050.298482-3.87%0.277-10.79%0.0347✓0.9982k2022-10-13
COTICOTIEthereum0.09240.088845-3.85%0.0998+8.01%0.1570✗1.01336k2022-10-13
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12430.11955-3.82%0.1168-6.03%0.0192✓1.052.6M2022-10-13
BORABORAKlay Token0.266920.256864-3.77%0.20766-22.20%0.1771✓0.8815k2022-10-13
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.70e-78.37e-7-3.76%7.70e-7-11.49%0.0558✓0.6915k2022-10-13
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.7851.7179-3.76%1.495-16.25%0.0739✓1.6265k2022-10-13
XYMSymbolnative0.039870.038377-3.74%0.035845-10.10%0.0464✓0.5423k2022-10-13
OPTIMOptimism1.1821.1378-3.74%0.732-38.07%0.3766✓1.602.8M2022-10-13
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0028270.002721-3.74%0.002098-25.79%0.2237✓0.901.2M2022-10-13
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.1990.191578-3.73%0.1711-14.02%0.0723✓1.01132k2022-10-13
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08480.081686-3.67%0.082-3.30%0.0427✗0.9711k2022-10-13
C98Coin98Ethereum0.40140.386726-3.66%0.3269-18.56%0.1220✓1.1467k2022-10-13
RARESuperRareEthereum0.18980.183236-3.46%0.141-25.71%0.2209✓1.02101k2022-10-13
CVCCivicEthereum0.13920.134404-3.45%0.1172-15.80%0.0976✓0.98128k2022-10-13
SOLSolanaSolana33.0131.8775-3.43%30.49-7.63%0.0038✓1.2054.5M2022-10-13
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.5314.0391-3.38%19.43+33.72%0.3623✗0.931.8M2022-10-13
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.157.1054-3.38%51.09-13.55%0.0724✓0.9714.4M2022-10-13
XEMNEMnative0.0421630.040767-3.31%0.038379-8.97%0.0242✓0.9028k2022-10-13
XLMStellarStellar0.1046540.10122-3.28%0.1121+7.11%0.1371✗0.876.5M2022-10-13
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.54.3527-3.27%3.53-21.56%0.1867✓0.571.4M2022-10-13
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2630.254403-3.27%0.23-12.55%0.0712✓0.74534k2022-10-13
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04030.038996-3.24%0.0342-15.14%0.0996✓0.799,5132022-10-13
GTGateEthereum4.14324.0096-3.23%4.3617+5.27%0.1134✗0.72696k2022-10-13
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.167380.162066-3.17%0.14863-11.20%0.0584✓0.703542022-10-13
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.40080.388082-3.17%0.3093-22.83%0.1869✓0.99202k2022-10-13
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0172110.016668-3.16%0.013771-19.99%0.1507✓1.001,0292022-10-13
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.5950.576406-3.13%0.563-5.38%0.0166✓1.00178k2022-10-13
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.064680.062686-3.08%0.05314-17.84%0.1295✓0.897802022-10-13
LSKLiskEthereum1.00270.972251-3.04%0.905877-9.66%0.0397✓0.7741k2022-10-13
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.05940.057602-3.03%0.0671+12.96%0.1950✗1.0578k2022-10-13
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV51.56650.0245-2.99%50.036-2.97%0.0345✗0.85246k2022-10-13
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.321390.311798-2.98%0.29812-7.24%0.0034✓1.0333k2022-10-13
AMPAmpEthereum0.005630.005463-2.96%0.0048-14.74%0.1029✓0.66911k2022-10-13
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.46250.448864-2.95%0.4211-8.95%0.0188✓1.12366k2022-10-13
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0596350.057901-2.91%0.059662+0.04%0.0686✗0.961.2M2022-10-13
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6220.604134-2.87%0.53-14.79%0.0870✓1.093.2M2022-10-13
AVTAventusEthereum1.411.3698-2.85%1.66+17.73%0.1878✗-0.11113k2022-10-13
DKAdKargoEthereum0.042730.041525-2.82%0.03722-12.89%0.0819✓0.6814k2022-10-13
MANADecentralandEthereum0.731470.710907-2.81%0.63573-13.09%0.0684✓1.08624k2022-10-13
API3Api3Ethereum1.681.6331-2.79%1.553-7.56%0.0123✓0.94627k2022-10-13
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012090.000011756-2.77%0.00001039-14.06%0.0845✓0.971.0M2022-10-13
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,174.7819,625.27-2.72%19,378.65-3.95%0.0276✓1.00480.9M2022-10-13
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012520.012181-2.71%0.01008-19.49%0.1644✓0.62233k2022-10-13
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04520.04398-2.70%0.0333-26.33%0.2439✓0.85142k2022-10-13
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05720.055686-2.65%0.0499-12.76%0.0773✓0.8090k2022-10-13
GITCOINGITCOIN2.03291.9798-2.61%1.5924-21.67%0.1750✓1.0613k2022-10-13
AAVEAaveEthereum82.9780.8245-2.59%70.96-14.48%0.0712✓1.466.2M2022-10-13
ZECZcashZcash58.9257.4034-2.57%50.94-13.54%0.0750✓1.101.1M2022-10-13
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.96994.8432-2.55%4.2295-14.90%0.1320✓0.09119k2022-10-13
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.0590.057499-2.54%0.053-10.17%0.0332✓1.20568k2022-10-13
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20850.203199-2.54%0.1796-13.86%0.0868✓0.9159k2022-10-13
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.020430.019913-2.53%0.0198-3.08%0.0356✗1.039.7M2022-10-13
XMRMoneroMonero145.44141.8121-2.49%142.89-1.75%0.0474✗0.991.4M2022-10-13
CELLCellframeEthereum0.2980.29088-2.39%0.2072-30.47%0.3003✓0.9774k2022-10-13
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4551.4203-2.38%1.407-3.30%0.0337✗1.0771k2022-10-13
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.036480.035611-2.38%0.03232-11.40%0.0684✓0.712,2982022-10-13
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058990.005759-2.38%0.005472-7.24%0.0254✓0.641,9622022-10-13
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.87960.858732-2.37%0.7636-13.19%0.0686✓1.21899k2022-10-13
BFCBifrostEthereum0.06790.066338-2.30%0.06122-9.84%0.0418✓0.9625k2022-10-13
QNTQuantEthereum97.8795.6661-2.25%160.75+64.25%0.5562✗0.933.5M2022-10-13
STEEMSteemnative0.21610.211538-2.11%0.225+4.12%0.0967✗0.87527k2022-10-13
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.05251.0328-1.88%0.8006-23.93%0.1953✓1.474.5M2022-10-13
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4340.425972-1.85%0.38-12.44%0.0723✓1.047,9852022-10-13
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.02231.0039-1.80%0.9674-5.37%0.0174✓0.492.8M2022-10-13
FTTFTXEthereum25.8925.5191-1.43%23.44-9.46%0.0448✓1.006.8M2022-10-13
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09680.095559-1.28%0.0743-23.24%0.2228✓0.722,9132022-10-13
STORJStorjEthereum0.507980.501915-1.19%0.41049-19.19%0.1488✓1.3041k2022-10-13
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.023170.022935-1.02%0.02101-9.32%0.0467✓1.022,9582022-10-13
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.309660.307201-0.79%0.327+5.60%0.0882✗0.64326k2022-10-13
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0121520.012058-0.77%0.010334-14.96%0.1209✓0.83882k2022-10-13
CBKCobakEthereum0.824730.818446-0.76%0.73564-10.80%0.0771✓0.7313k2022-10-13
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015190.001513-0.37%0.001497-1.45%0.0191✗0.74353k2022-10-13
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,237.1020,185.80-0.25%19,353.70-4.37%0.0051✓0.9215k2022-10-13
FORTFortaEthereum0.21030.209924-0.18%0.1528-27.34%0.2879✓0.7467k2022-10-13
CHRChromiaEthereum0.1650.164769-0.14%0.1439-12.79%0.0901✓1.131,7442022-10-13
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.811.8084-0.09%2.79+54.14%0.4522✗0.4656k2022-10-13
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4490.45447+1.22%0.319-28.95%0.3072✗1.164,5592022-10-13
TRXTRONTron0.0606820.061708+1.69%0.060975+0.48%0.0061✓0.45123k2022-10-13
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.13650.140699+3.08%0.1133-17.00%0.1955✗0.5283k2022-10-13
TRBTellor TributesEthereum15.215.9409+4.87%14.3-5.92%0.0771✗0.781.4M2022-10-13
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.