XTZ

Tezos · Tezos · gru_s1

token id: #399
symbol: XTZ
variant: –
chain: Tezos
address
cohort: asset (existed at window outset)
first bar: 2021-10-20
predictions: 5,307

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

71.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1135

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0245

actual -0.0283

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.31526	0.293708	-6.84%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-20	oos	0.3131	0.291803	-6.80%	–	pending	–	–	1.16
2026-10-19	oos	0.30059	0.280368	-6.73%	–	pending	–	–	1.16
2026-10-18	oos	0.30068	0.280778	-6.62%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-17	oos	0.30109	0.280888	-6.71%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-16	oos	0.315885	0.293948	-6.94%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-15	oos	0.31269	0.291155	-6.89%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-14	oos	0.30922	0.286649	-7.30%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-13	oos	0.32266	0.298517	-7.48%	–	pending	–	–	1.14
2026-10-12	oos	0.302825	0.279918	-7.56%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-10-11	oos	0.32306	0.298659	-7.55%	–	pending	–	–	1.10
2026-10-10	oos	0.30039	0.277978	-7.46%	–	pending	–	–	1.09
2026-10-09	oos	0.298385	0.277265	-7.08%	–	pending	–	–	1.09
2026-10-08	oos	0.28889	0.269741	-6.63%	–	pending	–	–	1.09
2026-10-07	oos	0.312355	0.291115	-6.80%	–	pending	–	–	1.05
2026-10-06	oos	0.333125	0.312033	-6.33%	–	pending	–	–	1.01
2026-10-05	oos	0.336605	0.315844	-6.17%	–	pending	–	–	1.03
2026-10-04	oos	0.330075	0.31071	-5.87%	–	pending	–	–	1.03
2026-10-03	oos	0.32219	0.300764	-6.65%	–	pending	–	–	1.02
2026-10-02	oos	0.31591	0.295258	-6.54%	–	pending	–	–	1.03
2026-10-01	oos	0.32599	0.304714	-6.53%	–	pending	–	–	1.02
2026-09-30	oos	0.316455	0.294569	-6.92%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-09-29	oos	0.311915	0.28996	-7.04%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-09-28	oos	0.313135	0.290283	-7.30%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-09-27	oos	0.32132	0.297388	-7.45%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-09-26	oos	0.32877	0.304555	-7.37%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-09-25	oos	0.332185	0.30804	-7.27%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-09-24	oos	0.33102	0.308375	-6.84%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-09-23	oos	0.32465	0.304807	-6.11%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-09-22	oos	0.34756	0.328627	-5.45%	–	pending	–	–	1.04
2026-09-21	oos	0.33972	0.325092	-4.31%	0.31526	-7.20%	0.0173	✓	1.04
2026-09-20	oos	0.3497	0.329814	-5.69%	0.3131	-10.47%	0.0785	✓	1.22
2026-09-19	oos	0.36697	0.345421	-5.87%	0.30059	-18.09%	0.1480	✓	1.21
2026-09-18	oos	0.29552	0.286773	-2.96%	0.30068	+1.75%	0.0305	✗	1.21
2026-09-17	oos	0.25468	0.247365	-2.87%	0.30109	+18.22%	0.1287	✗	1.06
2026-09-16	oos	0.25363	0.246571	-2.78%	0.315885	+24.55%	0.1748	✗	1.07
2026-09-15	oos	0.249455	0.243227	-2.50%	0.31269	+25.35%	0.1602	✗	1.10
2026-09-14	oos	0.272845	0.268486	-1.60%	0.30922	+13.33%	0.0977	✗	1.03
2026-09-13	oos	0.283705	0.277165	-2.31%	0.32266	+13.73%	0.0695	✗	1.05
2026-09-12	oos	0.265765	0.262125	-1.37%	0.302825	+13.94%	0.0845	✗	1.06
2026-09-11	oos	0.25081	0.250502	-0.12%	0.32306	+28.81%	0.1693	✗	1.06
2026-09-10	oos	0.25322	0.252098	-0.44%	0.30039	+18.63%	0.0903	✗	1.06
2026-09-09	oos	0.26367	0.26497	+0.49%	0.298385	+13.17%	0.0631	✓	1.05
2026-09-08	oos	0.249635	0.251271	+0.66%	0.28889	+15.72%	0.0968	✓	1.06
2026-09-07	oos	0.235175	0.242143	+2.96%	0.312355	+32.82%	0.1986	✓	1.09
2026-09-06	oos	0.24088	0.250516	+4.00%	0.333125	+38.30%	0.2167	✓	1.09
2026-09-05	oos	0.23882	0.248603	+4.10%	0.336605	+40.95%	0.2254	✓	1.09
2026-09-04	oos	0.23029	0.241616	+4.92%	0.330075	+43.33%	0.2256	✓	1.05
2026-09-03	oos	0.228645	0.242656	+6.13%	0.32219	+40.91%	0.2387	✓	1.07
2026-09-02	oos	0.217825	0.224158	+2.91%	0.31591	+45.03%	0.2379	✓	1.18
2026-09-01	oos	0.21437	0.221428	+3.29%	0.32599	+52.07%	0.2771	✓	1.19
2026-08-31	oos	0.21285	0.223087	+4.81%	0.316455	+48.68%	0.2796	✓	1.14
2026-08-30	oos	0.210915	0.221422	+4.98%	0.311915	+47.89%	0.2591	✓	1.13
2026-08-29	oos	0.219655	0.233459	+6.28%	0.313135	+42.56%	0.2216	✓	1.11
2026-08-28	oos	0.22069	0.232481	+5.34%	0.32132	+45.60%	0.2326	✓	1.12
2026-08-27	oos	0.23084	0.248202	+7.52%	0.32877	+42.42%	0.2248	✓	1.12
2026-08-26	oos	0.227945	0.241148	+5.79%	0.332185	+45.73%	0.2506	✓	1.12
2026-08-25	oos	0.223625	0.236597	+5.80%	0.33102	+48.02%	0.2551	✓	1.12
2026-08-24	oos	0.230135	0.243594	+5.85%	0.32465	+41.07%	0.2128	✓	1.13
2026-08-23	oos	0.23508	0.245981	+4.64%	0.34756	+47.85%	0.2287	✓	1.13
2026-08-22	oos	0.232425	0.242942	+4.52%	0.33972	+46.16%	0.2034	✓	1.13
2026-08-21	oos	0.2412	0.256546	+6.36%	0.3497	+44.98%	0.2699	✓	1.12
2026-08-20	oos	0.22158	0.225454	+1.75%	0.36697	+65.62%	0.3689	✓	1.11
2026-08-19	oos	0.21471	0.211733	-1.39%	0.29552	+37.64%	0.1556	✗	1.15
2026-08-18	oos	0.20011	0.194048	-3.03%	0.25468	+27.27%	0.0785	✗	1.17
2026-08-17	oos	0.199385	0.192995	-3.20%	0.25363	+27.21%	0.0784	✗	1.17
2026-08-16	oos	0.19479	0.188182	-3.39%	0.249455	+28.06%	0.0649	✗	1.17
2026-08-15	oos	0.197945	0.19124	-3.39%	0.272845	+37.84%	0.1028	✗	1.17
2026-08-14	oos	0.196555	0.189886	-3.39%	0.283705	+44.34%	0.1674	✗	1.18
2026-08-13	oos	0.19673	0.19012	-3.36%	0.265765	+35.09%	0.1016	✗	1.18
2026-08-12	oos	0.194285	0.188162	-3.15%	0.25081	+29.09%	0.0548	✗	1.18
2026-08-11	oos	0.194525	0.188891	-2.90%	0.25322	+30.17%	0.0754	✗	1.17
2026-08-10	oos	0.198545	0.192412	-3.09%	0.26367	+32.80%	0.0777	✗	1.17
2026-08-09	oos	0.202255	0.19565	-3.27%	0.249635	+23.43%	0.0199	✓	1.18
2026-08-08	oos	0.208035	0.201297	-3.24%	0.235175	+13.05%	0.0769	✓	1.18
2026-08-07	oos	0.20144	0.195105	-3.14%	0.24088	+19.58%	0.0423	✓	1.19
2026-08-06	oos	0.200745	0.193859	-3.43%	0.23882	+18.97%	0.0474	✓	1.18
2026-08-05	oos	0.19668	0.189613	-3.59%	0.23029	+17.09%	0.0555	✓	1.19
2026-08-04	oos	0.19806	0.190934	-3.60%	0.228645	+15.44%	0.1039	✓	1.19
2026-08-03	oos	0.2034	0.195167	-4.05%	0.217825	+7.09%	0.1293	✓	1.21
2026-08-02	oos	0.200185	0.191517	-4.33%	0.21437	+7.09%	0.1294	✓	1.22
2026-08-01	oos	0.198725	0.189531	-4.63%	0.21285	+7.11%	0.1563	✓	1.21
2026-07-31	oos	0.201095	0.19155	-4.75%	0.210915	+4.88%	0.1609	✓	1.21
2026-07-30	oos	0.20547	0.197159	-4.04%	0.219655	+6.90%	0.1251	✓	1.23
2026-07-29	oos	0.20406	0.195213	-4.34%	0.22069	+8.15%	0.1161	✓	1.21
2026-07-28	oos	0.206925	0.197883	-4.37%	0.23084	+11.56%	0.1217	✓	1.20
2026-07-27	oos	0.2074	0.198424	-4.33%	0.227945	+9.91%	0.1220	✓	1.21
2026-07-26	oos	0.22322	0.214936	-3.71%	0.223625	+0.18%	0.1742	✓	1.16
2026-07-25	oos	0.22378	0.215005	-3.92%	0.230135	+2.84%	0.1691	✓	1.15
2026-07-24	oos	0.22828	0.219754	-3.74%	0.23508	+2.98%	0.1550	✓	1.15
2026-07-23	oos	0.235215	0.227315	-3.36%	0.232425	-1.19%	0.1719	✓	1.15
2026-07-22	oos	0.22736	0.2219	-2.40%	0.2412	+6.09%	0.1154	✓	1.17
2026-07-21	oos	0.22863	0.224321	-1.88%	0.22158	-3.08%	0.1214	✓	1.17
2026-07-20	oos	0.22819	0.222983	-2.28%	0.21471	-5.91%	0.1093	✓	1.18
2026-07-19	oos	0.223335	0.217715	-2.52%	0.20011	-10.40%	0.0843	✓	1.17
2026-07-18	oos	0.225305	0.220225	-2.25%	0.199385	-11.50%	0.0936	✓	1.18
2026-07-17	oos	0.22228	0.217572	-2.12%	0.19479	-12.37%	0.0910	✓	1.17
2026-07-16	oos	0.220465	0.215374	-2.31%	0.197945	-10.21%	0.0704	✓	1.18
2026-07-15	oos	0.22755	0.223145	-1.94%	0.196555	-13.62%	0.0952	✓	1.16
2026-07-14	oos	0.23189	0.227631	-1.84%	0.19673	-15.16%	0.1175	✓	1.17
2026-07-13	oos	0.220625	0.214531	-2.76%	0.194285	-11.94%	0.1206	✓	1.17
2026-07-12	oos	0.22688	0.222257	-2.04%	0.194525	-14.26%	0.1294	✓	1.18
2026-07-11	oos	0.230855	0.226982	-1.68%	0.198545	-14.00%	0.1364	✓	1.15
2026-07-10	oos	0.23579	0.233314	-1.05%	0.202255	-14.22%	0.1556	✓	1.14
2026-07-09	oos	0.235405	0.23213	-1.39%	0.208035	-11.63%	0.1406	✓	1.14
2026-07-08	oos	0.241585	0.237913	-1.52%	0.20144	-16.62%	0.2150	✓	1.16
2026-07-07	oos	0.25418	0.251889	-0.90%	0.200745	-21.02%	0.2440	✓	1.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.250595	0.249722	-0.35%	0.19668	-21.51%	0.2496	✓	1.16
2026-07-05	oos	0.25371	0.254543	+0.33%	0.19806	-21.93%	0.2595	✗	1.17
2026-07-04	oos	0.239125	0.239391	+0.11%	0.2034	-14.94%	0.1699	✗	1.16
2026-07-03	oos	0.245335	0.245083	-0.10%	0.200185	-18.40%	0.2201	✓	1.14
2026-07-02	oos	0.2144	0.213043	-0.63%	0.198725	-7.31%	0.0918	✓	1.08
2026-07-01	oos	0.209745	0.208545	-0.57%	0.201095	-4.12%	0.0869	✓	1.08
2026-06-30	oos	0.202365	0.201425	-0.46%	0.20547	+1.53%	0.0882	✓	1.07
2026-06-29	oos	0.211725	0.210798	-0.44%	0.20406	-3.62%	0.0966	✓	1.07
2026-06-28	oos	0.21039	0.210021	-0.18%	0.206925	-1.65%	0.0903	✓	1.06
2026-06-27	oos	0.212635	0.212544	-0.04%	0.2074	-2.46%	0.0895	✓	1.07
2026-06-26	oos	0.215985	0.215909	-0.03%	0.22322	+3.35%	0.0579	✓	1.07
2026-06-25	oos	0.21275	0.212602	-0.07%	0.22378	+5.18%	0.0278	✓	1.07
2026-06-24	oos	0.21506	0.214884	-0.08%	0.22828	+6.15%	0.0064	✗	1.09
2026-06-23	oos	0.22099	0.221159	+0.08%	0.235215	+6.44%	0.0201	✓	1.10
2026-06-22	oos	0.22829	0.228502	+0.09%	0.22736	-0.41%	0.0407	✗	1.09
2026-06-21	oos	0.22898	0.228946	-0.02%	0.22863	-0.15%	0.0563	✓	1.09
2026-06-20	oos	0.23709	0.236832	-0.11%	0.22819	-3.75%	0.0536	✓	1.08
2026-06-19	oos	0.24452	0.243893	-0.26%	0.223335	-8.66%	0.1086	✓	1.09
2026-06-18	oos	0.23106	0.230705	-0.15%	0.225305	-2.49%	0.0562	✓	1.08
2026-06-17	oos	0.245115	0.244878	-0.10%	0.22228	-9.32%	0.0876	✓	1.07
2026-06-16	oos	0.244805	0.244563	-0.10%	0.220465	-9.94%	0.0730	✓	1.08
2026-06-15	oos	0.24131	0.240962	-0.14%	0.22755	-5.70%	0.0323	✓	1.05
2026-06-14	oos	0.23954	0.239141	-0.17%	0.23189	-3.19%	0.0193	✓	1.05
2026-06-13	oos	0.238245	0.237978	-0.11%	0.220625	-7.40%	0.0395	✓	1.06
2026-06-12	oos	0.234035	0.234421	+0.16%	0.22688	-3.06%	0.0361	✗	1.06
2026-06-11	oos	0.234405	0.234127	-0.12%	0.230855	-1.51%	0.0176	✓	1.06
2026-06-10	oos	0.22732	0.227506	+0.08%	0.23579	+3.73%	0.0097	✗	1.06
2026-06-09	oos	0.23779	0.237374	-0.18%	0.235405	-1.00%	0.0337	✓	1.06
2026-06-08	oos	0.24568	0.244572	-0.45%	0.241585	-1.67%	0.0017	✓	1.06
2026-06-07	oos	0.24549	0.244501	-0.40%	0.25418	+3.54%	0.0385	✗	1.05
2026-06-06	oos	0.24447	0.244338	-0.05%	0.250595	+2.51%	0.0283	✓	1.06
2026-06-05	oos	0.24326	0.243257	-0.00%	0.25371	+4.30%	0.0011	✓	1.05
2026-06-04	oos	0.27802	0.274748	-1.18%	0.239125	-13.99%	0.1280	✓	0.95
2026-06-03	oos	0.2964	0.290674	-1.93%	0.245335	-17.23%	0.1469	✓	0.95
2026-06-02	oos	0.2943	0.287918	-2.17%	0.2144	-27.15%	0.2148	✓	0.99
2026-06-01	oos	0.318	0.309031	-2.82%	0.209745	-34.04%	0.2251	✓	0.94
2026-05-31	oos	0.32795	0.319341	-2.63%	0.202365	-38.29%	0.2421	✓	0.94
2026-05-30	oos	0.3321	0.323109	-2.71%	0.211725	-36.25%	0.2390	✓	0.90
2026-05-29	oos	0.30465	0.296552	-2.66%	0.21039	-30.94%	0.1545	✓	0.90
2026-05-28	oos	0.3098	0.301568	-2.66%	0.212635	-31.36%	0.1667	✓	0.89
2026-05-27	oos	0.3186	0.309455	-2.87%	0.215985	-32.21%	0.1696	✓	0.89
2026-05-26	oos	0.33175	0.322147	-2.89%	0.21275	-35.87%	0.2052	✓	0.88
2026-05-25	oos	0.33385	0.325994	-2.35%	0.21506	-35.58%	0.1971	✓	0.93
2026-05-24	oos	0.3352	0.326868	-2.49%	0.22099	-34.07%	0.2008	✓	0.93
2026-05-23	oos	0.3452	0.336538	-2.51%	0.22829	-33.87%	0.2237	✓	0.91
2026-05-22	oos	0.33455	0.325449	-2.72%	0.22898	-31.56%	0.1921	✓	0.90
2026-05-21	oos	0.34965	0.341622	-2.30%	0.23709	-32.19%	0.1970	✓	0.89
2026-05-20	oos	0.341	0.333719	-2.14%	0.24452	-28.29%	0.1321	✓	0.90
2026-05-19	oos	0.33395	0.327302	-1.99%	0.23106	-30.81%	0.1700	✓	0.89
2026-05-18	oos	0.34195	0.336258	-1.66%	0.245115	-28.32%	0.1575	✓	0.90
2026-05-17	oos	0.34015	0.334562	-1.64%	0.244805	-28.03%	0.1650	✓	0.89
2026-05-16	oos	0.3574	0.351731	-1.59%	0.24131	-32.48%	0.2319	✓	0.88
2026-05-15	oos	0.36495	0.359523	-1.49%	0.23954	-34.36%	0.2401	✓	0.90
2026-05-14	oos	0.3779	0.374297	-0.95%	0.238245	-36.96%	0.2448	✓	0.90
2026-05-13	oos	0.3749	0.368774	-1.63%	0.234035	-37.57%	0.2575	✓	0.89
2026-05-12	oos	0.38495	0.38137	-0.93%	0.234405	-39.11%	0.2798	✓	0.88
2026-05-11	oos	0.39735	0.396839	-0.13%	0.22732	-42.79%	0.3098	✓	0.87
2026-05-10	oos	0.40055	0.401374	+0.21%	0.23779	-40.63%	0.2742	✗	0.87
2026-05-09	oos	0.3868	0.384424	-0.61%	0.24568	-36.48%	0.2361	✓	0.86
2026-05-08	oos	0.3945	0.391159	-0.85%	0.24549	-37.77%	0.2644	✓	0.85
2026-05-07	oos	0.37545	0.373002	-0.65%	0.24447	-34.89%	0.1894	✓	0.85
2026-05-06	oos	0.38305	0.383196	+0.04%	0.24326	-36.49%	0.2136	✗	0.83
2026-05-05	oos	0.375	0.374001	-0.27%	0.27802	-25.86%	0.0786	✓	0.92
2026-05-04	oos	0.3619	0.360407	-0.41%	0.2964	-18.10%	0.0036	✓	0.90
2026-05-03	oos	0.3628	0.359196	-0.99%	0.2943	-18.88%	0.0527	✓	0.89
2026-05-02	oos	0.3663	0.362483	-1.04%	0.318	-13.19%	0.0427	✓	0.90
2026-05-01	oos	0.3661	0.361945	-1.13%	0.32795	-10.42%	0.0437	✓	0.89
2026-04-30	oos	0.3653	0.358341	-1.90%	0.3321	-9.09%	0.0452	✓	0.91
2026-04-29	oos	0.37105	0.365042	-1.62%	0.30465	-17.90%	0.1516	✓	0.92
2026-04-28	oos	0.3849	0.381247	-0.95%	0.3098	-19.51%	0.1733	✓	0.91
2026-04-27	oos	0.3784	0.376601	-0.48%	0.3186	-15.80%	0.1304	✓	0.92
2026-04-26	oos	0.3707	0.371492	+0.21%	0.33175	-10.51%	0.0791	✗	0.92
2026-04-25	oos	0.36945	0.36848	-0.26%	0.33385	-9.64%	0.0939	✓	0.92
2026-04-24	oos	0.37235	0.371344	-0.27%	0.3352	-9.98%	0.0966	✓	0.93
2026-04-23	oos	0.37445	0.377242	+0.75%	0.3452	-7.81%	0.0692	✗	0.93
2026-04-22	oos	0.37235	0.372196	-0.04%	0.33455	-10.15%	0.0733	✓	0.93
2026-04-21	oos	0.36665	0.363018	-0.99%	0.34965	-4.64%	0.0520	✓	0.93
2026-04-20	oos	0.3664	0.362853	-0.97%	0.341	-6.93%	0.0818	✓	0.94
2026-04-19	oos	0.3541	0.348466	-1.59%	0.33395	-5.69%	0.0801	✓	0.96
2026-04-18	oos	0.3651	0.362506	-0.71%	0.34195	-6.34%	0.0734	✓	0.95
2026-04-17	oos	0.37985	0.378805	-0.28%	0.34015	-10.45%	0.1114	✓	0.95
2026-04-16	oos	0.37665	0.37277	-1.03%	0.3574	-5.11%	0.0788	✓	0.96
2026-04-15	oos	0.3609	0.358726	-0.60%	0.36495	+1.12%	0.0352	✓	0.95
2026-04-14	oos	0.3462	0.343142	-0.88%	0.3779	+9.16%	0.0123	✗	0.95
2026-04-13	oos	0.355	0.3519	-0.87%	0.3749	+5.61%	0.0042	✓	0.94
2026-04-12	oos	0.3419	0.335337	-1.92%	0.38495	+12.59%	0.0148	✓	0.96
2026-04-11	oos	0.3538	0.348388	-1.53%	0.39735	+12.31%	0.0248	✗	0.95
2026-04-10	oos	0.3587	0.352834	-1.64%	0.40055	+11.67%	0.0137	✓	0.95
2026-04-09	oos	0.35335	0.346272	-2.00%	0.3868	+9.47%	0.0001	✓	0.95
2026-04-08	oos	0.3519	0.344313	-2.16%	0.3945	+12.11%	0.0213	✓	0.95
2026-04-07	oos	0.3612	0.353526	-2.12%	0.37545	+3.95%	0.0413	✓	0.95
2026-04-06	oos	0.34165	0.33289	-2.56%	0.38305	+12.12%	0.0190	✓	0.95
2026-04-05	oos	0.3448	0.334604	-2.96%	0.375	+8.76%	0.0374	✓	0.95
2026-04-04	oos	0.3488	0.337274	-3.30%	0.3619	+3.76%	0.0946	✓	0.96
2026-04-03	oos	0.34975	0.336295	-3.85%	0.3628	+3.73%	0.0786	✓	0.97
2026-04-02	oos	0.3425	0.330719	-3.44%	0.3663	+6.95%	0.0546	✓	0.97
2026-04-01	oos	0.3518	0.340918	-3.09%	0.3661	+4.06%	0.0632	✓	0.97
2026-03-31	oos	0.3524	0.341163	-3.19%	0.3653	+3.66%	0.0406	✓	0.97
2026-03-30	oos	0.3468	0.335218	-3.34%	0.37105	+6.99%	0.0222	✓	0.98
2026-03-29	oos	0.3398	0.330023	-2.88%	0.3849	+13.27%	0.0104	✓	0.98
2026-03-28	oos	0.3461	0.336293	-2.83%	0.3784	+9.33%	0.0335	✓	0.98
2026-03-27	oos	0.3497	0.339778	-2.84%	0.3707	+6.01%	0.0807	✓	0.98
2026-03-26	oos	0.37	0.35821	-3.19%	0.36945	-0.15%	0.0879	✓	0.98
2026-03-25	oos	0.3889	0.378349	-2.71%	0.37235	-4.26%	0.0968	✓	0.98
2026-03-24	oos	0.4001	0.389025	-2.77%	0.37445	-6.41%	0.1405	✓	0.98
2026-03-23	oos	0.39355	0.38206	-2.92%	0.37235	-5.39%	0.1224	✓	0.98
2026-03-22	oos	0.3786	0.366088	-3.30%	0.36665	-3.16%	0.1146	✓	0.98
2026-03-21	oos	0.3885	0.375754	-3.28%	0.3664	-5.69%	0.1196	✓	0.98
2026-03-20	oos	0.40335	0.39182	-2.86%	0.3541	-12.21%	0.1462	✓	0.97
2026-03-19	oos	0.3894	0.377195	-3.13%	0.3651	-6.24%	0.1103	✓	0.97
2026-03-18	oos	0.3934	0.38086	-3.19%	0.37985	-3.44%	0.0795	✓	0.97
2026-03-17	oos	0.3968	0.386944	-2.48%	0.37665	-5.08%	0.0432	✓	0.99
2026-03-16	oos	0.4007	0.391184	-2.37%	0.3609	-9.93%	0.0799	✓	0.99
2026-03-15	oos	0.3869	0.375064	-3.06%	0.3462	-10.52%	0.0982	✓	0.99
2026-03-14	oos	0.3781	0.364729	-3.54%	0.355	-6.11%	0.0706	✓	0.99
2026-03-13	oos	0.3733	0.360278	-3.49%	0.3419	-8.41%	0.0497	✓	0.99
2026-03-12	oos	0.3681	0.355676	-3.38%	0.3538	-3.88%	0.0406	✓	0.99
2026-03-11	oos	0.365	0.353667	-3.11%	0.3587	-1.73%	0.0246	✓	0.99
2026-03-10	oos	0.3632	0.351607	-3.19%	0.35335	-2.71%	0.0209	✓	1.00
2026-03-09	oos	0.3633	0.350104	-3.63%	0.3519	-3.14%	0.0330	✓	1.00
2026-03-08	oos	0.3591	0.345623	-3.75%	0.3612	+0.58%	0.0431	✓	1.01
2026-03-07	oos	0.3617	0.348604	-3.62%	0.34165	-5.54%	0.0440	✓	1.02
2026-03-06	oos	0.3709	0.35707	-3.73%	0.3448	-7.04%	0.0482	✓	1.01
2026-03-05	oos	0.3844	0.370398	-3.64%	0.3488	-9.26%	0.0074	✓	1.01
2026-03-04	oos	0.3906	0.376589	-3.59%	0.34975	-10.46%	0.0095	✓	1.02
2026-03-03	oos	0.3762	0.361271	-3.97%	0.3425	-8.96%	0.0312	✓	1.04
2026-03-02	oos	0.3758	0.36099	-3.94%	0.3518	-6.39%	0.0148	✓	1.04
2026-03-01	oos	0.3711	0.356605	-3.91%	0.3524	-5.04%	0.0501	✓	1.05
2026-02-28	oos	0.3845	0.367089	-4.53%	0.3468	-9.80%	0.0533	✓	1.03
2026-02-27	oos	0.3833	0.365696	-4.59%	0.3398	-11.35%	0.0750	✓	1.04
2026-02-26	oos	0.392	0.373299	-4.77%	0.3461	-11.71%	0.0575	✓	1.04
2026-02-25	oos	0.396	0.3774	-4.70%	0.3497	-11.69%	0.0510	✓	1.04
2026-02-24	oos	0.3661	0.352093	-3.83%	0.37	+1.07%	0.0226	✓	1.02
2026-02-23	oos	0.36895	0.354284	-3.98%	0.3889	+5.41%	0.0053	✓	1.00
2026-02-22	oos	0.37905	0.362308	-4.42%	0.4001	+5.55%	0.0565	✗	1.01
2026-02-21	oos	0.38865	0.371228	-4.48%	0.39355	+1.26%	0.0157	✓	1.01
2026-02-20	oos	0.3924	0.374898	-4.46%	0.3786	-3.52%	0.0119	✓	1.01
2026-02-19	oos	0.38275	0.367312	-4.03%	0.3885	+1.50%	0.0274	✓	1.01
2026-02-18	oos	0.3848	0.370278	-3.77%	0.40335	+4.82%	0.0255	✓	1.01
2026-02-17	oos	0.395	0.380153	-3.76%	0.3894	-1.42%	0.0118	✓	1.00
2026-02-16	oos	0.39925	0.384633	-3.66%	0.3934	-1.47%	0.0117	✓	1.01
2026-02-15	oos	0.398	0.383965	-3.53%	0.3968	-0.30%	0.0399	✓	1.01
2026-02-14	oos	0.4232	0.405703	-4.13%	0.4007	-5.32%	0.0834	✓	1.01
2026-02-13	oos	0.4064	0.392062	-3.53%	0.3869	-4.80%	0.0702	✓	1.00
2026-02-12	oos	0.40015	0.388183	-2.99%	0.3781	-5.51%	0.1010	✓	1.02
2026-02-11	oos	0.39415	0.383899	-2.60%	0.3733	-5.29%	0.0850	✓	1.00
2026-02-10	oos	0.40245	0.391281	-2.78%	0.3681	-8.54%	0.0860	✓	1.01
2026-02-09	oos	0.4107	0.398793	-2.90%	0.365	-11.13%	0.0901	✓	1.01
2026-02-08	oos	0.4123	0.4011	-2.72%	0.3632	-11.91%	0.0946	✓	1.01
2026-02-07	oos	0.42175	0.409174	-2.98%	0.3633	-13.86%	0.1069	✓	1.02
2026-02-06	oos	0.42985	0.415928	-3.24%	0.3591	-16.46%	0.0801	✓	1.00
2026-02-05	oos	0.3935	0.386312	-1.83%	0.3617	-8.08%	0.1385	✓	1.06
2026-02-04	oos	0.46765	0.447874	-4.23%	0.3709	-20.69%	0.1135	✓	1.08
2026-02-03	oos	0.4731	0.452332	-4.39%	0.3844	-18.75%	0.0955	✓	1.03
2026-02-02	oos	0.4788	0.456512	-4.65%	0.3906	-18.42%	0.0723	✓	1.06
2026-02-01	oos	0.4618	0.442149	-4.26%	0.3762	-18.54%	0.0403	✓	1.03
2026-01-31	oos	0.4662	0.446264	-4.28%	0.3758	-19.39%	0.0293	✓	1.07
2026-01-30	oos	0.5056	0.480231	-5.02%	0.3711	-26.60%	0.0008	✓	1.05
2026-01-29	oos	0.5086	0.481912	-5.25%	0.3845	-24.40%	0.0183	✓	1.05
2026-01-28	oos	0.536	0.508828	-5.07%	0.3833	-28.49%	0.0369	✓	1.06
2026-01-27	oos	0.5707	0.538321	-5.67%	0.392	-31.31%	0.0193	✓	1.07
2026-01-26	oos	0.5654	0.532026	-5.90%	0.396	-29.96%	0.0191	✓	1.06
2026-01-25	oos	0.5622	0.527263	-6.21%	0.3661	-34.88%	0.0426	✓	1.07
2026-01-24	oos	0.5848	0.547308	-6.41%	0.36895	-36.91%	0.0531	✓	1.06
2026-01-23	oos	0.5892	0.551574	-6.39%	0.37905	-35.67%	0.0806	✓	1.05
2026-01-22	oos	0.5798	0.542943	-6.36%	0.38865	-32.97%	0.0457	✓	1.05
2026-01-21	oos	0.5943	0.55668	-6.33%	0.3924	-33.97%	0.0616	✓	1.05
2026-01-20	oos	0.5523	0.51873	-6.08%	0.38275	-30.70%	0.0199	✓	1.03
2026-01-19	oos	0.6104	0.579377	-5.08%	0.3848	-36.96%	0.0907	✓	0.96
2026-01-18	oos	0.5841	0.55743	-4.57%	0.395	-32.37%	0.0247	✓	0.98
2026-01-17	oos	0.6019	0.576096	-4.29%	0.39925	-33.67%	0.0563	✓	0.96
2026-01-16	oos	0.6189	0.591535	-4.42%	0.398	-35.69%	0.0813	✓	0.96
2026-01-15	oos	0.5821	0.559652	-3.86%	0.4232	-27.30%	0.0229	✓	0.96
2026-01-14	oos	0.578	0.557891	-3.48%	0.4064	-29.69%	0.0175	✓	0.98
2026-01-13	oos	0.5922	0.566396	-4.36%	0.40015	-32.43%	0.0154	✓	0.99
2026-01-12	oos	0.5548	0.525388	-5.30%	0.39415	-28.96%	0.0128	✓	0.98
2026-01-11	oos	0.569	0.537708	-5.50%	0.40245	-29.27%	0.0135	✓	0.99
2026-01-10	oos	0.5817	0.549508	-5.53%	0.4107	-29.40%	0.0359	✓	1.00
2026-01-09	oos	0.5799	0.5494	-5.26%	0.4123	-28.90%	0.0206	✓	1.05
2026-01-08	oos	0.587	0.556314	-5.23%	0.42175	-28.15%	0.0048	✓	1.03
2026-01-07	oos	0.5673	0.538483	-5.08%	0.42985	-24.23%	0.0884	✗	1.22
2026-01-06	oos	0.5988	0.571765	-4.51%	0.3935	-34.29%	0.1080	✗	1.20
2026-01-05	oos	0.5596	0.535702	-4.27%	0.46765	-16.43%	0.1647	✗	1.20
2026-01-04	oos	0.5438	0.517283	-4.88%	0.4731	-13.00%	0.1407	✗	1.21
2026-01-03	oos	0.5321	0.504279	-5.23%	0.4788	-10.02%	0.1183	✗	1.20
2026-01-02	oos	0.5284	0.500303	-5.32%	0.4618	-12.60%	0.1099	✗	1.21
2026-01-01	oos	0.5063	0.478836	-5.42%	0.4662	-7.92%	0.1176	✗	1.20
2025-12-31	oos	0.4948	0.470645	-4.88%	0.5056	+2.18%	0.1186	✗	1.19
2025-12-30	oos	0.5175	0.496878	-3.98%	0.5086	-1.72%	0.0764	✗	1.18
2025-12-29	oos	0.4912	0.470809	-4.15%	0.536	+9.12%	0.1024	✗	1.17
2025-12-28	oos	0.4998	0.479986	-3.96%	0.5707	+14.19%	0.1567	✗	1.17
2025-12-27	oos	0.4848	0.469481	-3.16%	0.5654	+16.63%	0.1801	✗	1.15
2025-12-26	oos	0.4754	0.462983	-2.61%	0.5622	+18.26%	0.2038	✗	1.14
2025-12-25	oos	0.444	0.432473	-2.60%	0.5848	+31.71%	0.2772	✗	1.13
2025-12-24	oos	0.4436	0.432829	-2.43%	0.5892	+32.82%	0.2844	✗	1.14
2025-12-23	oos	0.4441	0.434263	-2.22%	0.5798	+30.56%	0.2626	✗	1.15
2025-12-22	oos	0.4429	0.434025	-2.00%	0.5943	+34.18%	0.3039	✗	1.15
2025-12-21	oos	0.4388	0.430439	-1.91%	0.5523	+25.87%	0.2536	✗	1.15
2025-12-20	oos	0.4516	0.442467	-2.02%	0.6104	+35.16%	0.2669	✗	1.17
2025-12-19	oos	0.4434	0.435444	-1.79%	0.5841	+31.73%	0.2224	✗	1.17
2025-12-18	oos	0.4307	0.422175	-1.98%	0.6019	+39.75%	0.2292	✗	1.17
2025-12-17	oos	0.4411	0.43164	-2.14%	0.6189	+40.31%	0.2398	✗	1.18
2025-12-16	oos	0.4609	0.449935	-2.38%	0.5821	+26.30%	0.1588	✗	1.17
2025-12-15	oos	0.4619	0.449682	-2.65%	0.578	+25.14%	0.1154	✗	1.18
2025-12-14	oos	0.4779	0.465325	-2.63%	0.5922	+23.92%	0.1485	✗	1.18
2025-12-13	oos	0.5016	0.488558	-2.60%	0.5548	+10.61%	0.1151	✗	1.17
2025-12-12	oos	0.4922	0.480787	-2.32%	0.569	+15.60%	0.1608	✗	1.17
2025-12-11	oos	0.5062	0.497032	-1.81%	0.5817	+14.92%	0.1850	✗	1.17
2025-12-10	oos	0.4937	0.48298	-2.17%	0.5799	+17.46%	0.2024	✗	1.17
2025-12-09	oos	0.4985	0.48693	-2.32%	0.587	+17.75%	0.2082	✗	1.17
2025-12-08	oos	0.4927	0.478898	-2.80%	0.5673	+15.14%	0.1613	✗	1.18
2025-12-07	oos	0.4734	0.462014	-2.41%	0.5988	+26.49%	0.2169	✗	1.18
2025-12-06	oos	0.4802	0.468189	-2.50%	0.5596	+16.53%	0.1185	✗	1.19
2025-12-05	oos	0.4778	0.466519	-2.36%	0.5438	+13.81%	0.1250	✗	1.19
2025-12-04	oos	0.4957	0.484535	-2.25%	0.5321	+7.34%	0.1131	✗	1.19
2025-12-03	oos	0.5028	0.49089	-2.37%	0.5284	+5.09%	0.1191	✗	1.19
2025-12-02	oos	0.4857	0.474149	-2.38%	0.5063	+4.24%	0.0996	✗	1.19
2025-12-01	oos	0.4699	0.458262	-2.48%	0.4948	+5.30%	0.0594	✗	1.24
2025-11-30	oos	0.48375	0.471009	-2.63%	0.5175	+6.98%	0.1223	✗	1.28
2025-11-29	oos	0.4927	0.479297	-2.72%	0.4912	-0.30%	0.0775	✗	1.27
2025-11-28	oos	0.50475	0.491487	-2.63%	0.4998	-0.98%	0.0598	✗	1.27
2025-11-27	oos	0.5105	0.496178	-2.81%	0.4848	-5.03%	0.0266	✓	1.27
2025-11-26	oos	0.5099	0.495693	-2.79%	0.4754	-6.77%	0.0041	✓	1.29
2025-11-25	oos	0.5083	0.495478	-2.52%	0.444	-12.65%	0.1074	✓	1.32
2025-11-24	oos	0.50425	0.492345	-2.36%	0.4436	-12.03%	0.0943	✓	1.33
2025-11-23	oos	0.4887	0.478654	-2.06%	0.4441	-9.13%	0.0843	✓	1.32
2025-11-22	oos	0.4863	0.477727	-1.76%	0.4429	-8.92%	0.1363	✓	1.35
2025-11-21	oos	0.49805	0.488329	-1.95%	0.4388	-11.90%	0.1627	✓	1.36
2025-11-20	oos	0.50785	0.495292	-2.47%	0.4516	-11.08%	0.1201	✓	1.36
2025-11-19	oos	0.5345	0.516902	-3.29%	0.4434	-17.04%	0.0998	✓	1.43
2025-11-18	oos	0.54555	0.527451	-3.32%	0.4307	-21.05%	0.0831	✓	1.43
2025-11-17	oos	0.5295	0.513024	-3.11%	0.4411	-16.69%	0.0562	✓	1.44
2025-11-16	oos	0.55135	0.530626	-3.76%	0.4609	-16.41%	0.0411	✓	1.43
2025-11-15	oos	0.5728	0.548916	-4.17%	0.4619	-19.36%	0.0285	✓	1.43
2025-11-14	oos	0.55595	0.53412	-3.93%	0.4779	-14.04%	0.0120	✓	1.43
2025-11-13	oos	0.56735	0.543883	-4.14%	0.5016	-11.59%	0.0686	✗	1.52
2025-11-12	oos	0.5836	0.562204	-3.67%	0.4922	-15.66%	0.0466	✗	1.51
2025-11-11	oos	0.59315	0.570655	-3.79%	0.5062	-14.66%	0.0424	✗	1.51
2025-11-10	oos	0.6269	0.602878	-3.83%	0.4937	-21.25%	0.0108	✓	1.49
2025-11-09	oos	0.6275	0.602954	-3.91%	0.4985	-20.56%	0.0057	✓	1.52
2025-11-08	oos	0.6508	0.623708	-4.16%	0.4927	-24.29%	0.0459	✓	1.57
2025-11-07	oos	0.6967	0.665872	-4.42%	0.4734	-32.05%	0.1394	✓	1.51
2025-11-06	oos	0.5987	0.579469	-3.21%	0.4802	-19.79%	0.0060	✓	1.44
2025-11-05	oos	0.5352	0.524234	-2.05%	0.4778	-10.72%	0.1391	✗	1.54
2025-11-04	oos	0.51865	0.507933	-2.07%	0.4957	-4.42%	0.1254	✗	1.54
2025-11-03	oos	0.5326	0.522545	-1.89%	0.5028	-5.60%	0.1745	✗	1.62
2025-11-02	oos	0.58005	0.566692	-2.30%	0.4857	-16.27%	0.1511	✗	1.60
2025-11-01	oos	0.5783	0.564047	-2.46%	0.4699	-18.74%	0.2076	✗	1.60
2025-10-31	oos	0.58025	0.56551	-2.54%	0.48375	-16.63%	0.1536	✗	1.61
2025-10-30	oos	0.5652	0.550215	-2.65%	0.4927	-12.83%	0.1724	✗	1.61
2025-10-29	oos	0.5898	0.572869	-2.87%	0.50475	-14.42%	0.1778	✗	1.59
2025-10-28	oos	0.5915	0.576333	-2.56%	0.5105	-13.69%	0.2284	✗	1.65
2025-10-27	oos	0.6003	0.58492	-2.56%	0.5099	-15.06%	0.2455	✗	1.65
2025-10-26	oos	0.61445	0.596686	-2.89%	0.5083	-17.28%	0.2870	✗	1.65
2025-10-25	oos	0.6058	0.587006	-3.10%	0.50425	-16.76%	0.2427	✗	1.68
2025-10-24	oos	0.6034	0.584528	-3.13%	0.4887	-19.01%	0.2327	✗	1.67
2025-10-23	oos	0.59425	0.574573	-3.31%	0.4863	-18.17%	0.2720	✗	1.67
2025-10-22	oos	0.58275	0.561827	-3.59%	0.49805	-14.53%	0.2733	✗	1.68
2025-10-21	oos	0.5862	0.564852	-3.64%	0.50785	-13.37%	0.2711	✗	1.68
2025-10-20	oos	0.5983	0.574034	-4.06%	0.5345	-10.66%	0.2537	✗	1.71
2025-10-19	oos	0.59685	0.572368	-4.10%	0.54555	-8.60%	0.2157	✗	1.68
2025-10-18	oos	0.5866	0.56459	-3.75%	0.5295	-9.73%	0.1907	✗	1.68
2025-10-17	oos	0.57775	0.556631	-3.66%	0.55135	-4.57%	0.1950	✗	1.67
2025-10-16	oos	0.59635	0.573729	-3.79%	0.5728	-3.95%	0.2060	✗	1.67
2025-10-15	oos	0.6084	0.58568	-3.73%	0.55595	-8.62%	0.2130	✗	1.67
2025-10-14	oos	0.6289	0.604651	-3.86%	0.56735	-9.79%	0.1477	✗	1.67
2025-10-13	oos	0.658	0.632793	-3.83%	0.5836	-11.31%	0.1278	✗	1.66
2025-10-12	oos	0.63115	0.60581	-4.01%	0.59315	-6.02%	0.1589	✗	1.63
2025-10-11	oos	0.5802	0.553275	-4.64%	0.6269	+8.05%	0.1952	✗	1.59
2025-10-10	oos	0.5637	0.534864	-5.12%	0.6275	+11.32%	0.2847	✗	1.64
2025-10-09	oos	0.67785	0.648165	-4.38%	0.6508	-3.99%	0.2503	✗	1.42
2025-10-08	oos	0.68595	0.658414	-4.01%	0.6967	+1.57%	0.3077	✗	1.42
2025-10-07	oos	0.67945	0.644431	-5.15%	0.5987	-11.88%	0.1831	✗	1.42
2025-10-06	oos	0.7172	0.69348	-3.31%	0.5352	-25.38%	0.0010	✓	1.41
2025-10-05	oos	0.71465	0.695117	-2.73%	0.51865	-27.43%	0.0141	✓	1.42
2025-10-04	oos	0.6936	0.67647	-2.47%	0.5326	-23.21%	0.0427	✓	1.41
2025-10-03	oos	0.7193	0.702019	-2.40%	0.58005	-19.36%	0.0482	✓	1.41
2025-10-02	oos	0.7124	0.692989	-2.72%	0.5783	-18.82%	0.0512	✓	1.41
2025-10-01	oos	0.7031	0.680197	-3.26%	0.58025	-17.47%	0.0442	✓	1.44
2025-09-30	oos	0.66865	0.641797	-4.02%	0.5652	-15.47%	0.0520	✓	1.45
2025-09-29	oos	0.6697	0.643036	-3.98%	0.5898	-11.93%	0.0293	✓	1.48
2025-09-28	oos	0.67375	0.644237	-4.38%	0.5915	-12.21%	0.0950	✓	1.53
2025-09-27	oos	0.6705	0.639381	-4.64%	0.6003	-10.47%	0.1246	✓	1.56
2025-09-26	oos	0.6803	0.647638	-4.80%	0.61445	-9.68%	0.1204	✓	1.57
2025-09-25	oos	0.6574	0.626518	-4.70%	0.6058	-7.85%	0.0709	✓	1.56
2025-09-24	oos	0.69815	0.664167	-4.87%	0.6034	-13.57%	0.0639	✓	1.56
2025-09-23	oos	0.69955	0.663855	-5.10%	0.59425	-15.05%	0.0838	✓	1.57
2025-09-22	oos	0.69905	0.663925	-5.02%	0.58275	-16.64%	0.0578	✓	1.55
2025-09-21	oos	0.7504	0.711942	-5.13%	0.5862	-21.88%	0.1012	✓	1.50
2025-09-20	oos	0.76085	0.721899	-5.12%	0.5983	-21.36%	0.1182	✓	1.52
2025-09-19	oos	0.75585	0.719092	-4.86%	0.59685	-21.04%	0.0911	✓	1.52
2025-09-18	oos	0.79185	0.755096	-4.64%	0.5866	-25.92%	0.1194	✓	1.51
2025-09-17	oos	0.78885	0.752471	-4.61%	0.57775	-26.76%	0.1277	✓	1.52

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.