8=======>

2022-09-12 · +30d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 191 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1701
191 of 191 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+5.77%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
66.0%
in alpha space · 90.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-14.49%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (191 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRBTellor TributesEthereum16.5817.112+3.21%14.49-12.61%0.0440✗0.781.5M2022-10-12
TRXTRONTron0.0638830.065115+1.93%0.061673-3.46%0.0187✓0.47123k2022-10-12
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18390.184702+0.44%0.147-20.07%0.0482✗1.151,7442022-10-12
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4830.485039+0.42%0.328-32.09%0.2016✗1.214,2692022-10-12
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,320.8022,344.61+0.11%19,167.20-14.13%0.0096✗0.9213k2022-10-12
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024880.024901+0.08%0.02169-12.82%0.0313✓1.082,9582022-10-12
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.841.84-0.00%2.23+21.20%0.2657✗0.4758k2022-10-12
CBKCobakEthereum0.854280.852992-0.15%0.75156-12.02%0.0031✓0.7913k2022-10-12
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.00451.0015-0.30%0.9569-4.74%0.0437✗0.572.6M2022-10-12
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.19160.190458-0.60%0.1135-40.76%0.4958✓0.1483k2022-10-12
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.316230.313979-0.71%0.33712+6.61%0.1795✗0.69326k2022-10-12
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.04524.9978-0.94%4.1434-17.87%0.1774✓0.06119k2022-10-12
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10130.100289-1.00%0.0774-23.59%0.1399✓0.762,7302022-10-12
STORJStorjEthereum0.5630.556336-1.18%0.42113-25.20%0.0691✓1.3439k2022-10-12
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.172560.170474-1.21%0.1565-9.31%0.0337✗0.765152022-10-12
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03990.039411-1.23%0.0353-11.53%0.0289✗0.899,1922022-10-12
FORTFortaEthereum0.22570.222877-1.25%0.1479-34.47%0.2912✓0.7667k2022-10-12
FTTFTXEthereum28.4628.0407-1.47%23.36-17.92%0.0236✓1.026.8M2022-10-12
STEEMSteemnative0.23550.231375-1.75%0.2291-2.72%0.1266✗0.87527k2022-10-12
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047470.046636-1.76%0.03857-18.75%0.0883✓0.6514k2022-10-12
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131540.01292-1.78%0.010459-20.49%0.0804✓0.84882k2022-10-12
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0639580.062805-1.80%0.05987-6.39%0.1103✗1.011.2M2022-10-12
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.60953.5968-1.85%48.073-11.97%0.0298✗0.88264k2022-10-12
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0016260.001593-2.04%0.001688+3.81%0.1812✗0.79374k2022-10-12
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.1431.1196-2.05%0.8202-28.24%0.0693✓1.544.4M2022-10-12
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.040.039171-2.07%0.03373-15.68%0.0404✓0.702,2982022-10-12
CVCCivicEthereum0.15180.148638-2.08%0.1213-20.09%0.0469✓1.00119k2022-10-12
AVTAventusEthereum1.431.3999-2.10%1.52+6.29%0.0608✗-0.14124k2022-10-12
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.069150.067688-2.11%0.05545-19.81%0.0535✓0.938202022-10-12
QNTQuantEthereum106.65104.3927-2.12%153.65+44.07%0.5328✗0.933.5M2022-10-12
SUNSun TokenTron0.0063560.006219-2.16%0.005602-11.86%0.0044✓0.641,9622022-10-12
BFCBifrostEthereum0.071990.070412-2.19%0.06138-14.74%0.0194✓1.0025k2022-10-12
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09150.08935-2.35%0.0807-11.80%0.0522✗0.9814k2022-10-12
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.49480.483134-2.36%0.4253-14.05%0.0536✗1.16384k2022-10-12
GTGateEthereum4.38394.2786-2.40%4.405+0.48%0.1450✗0.74688k2022-10-12
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012880.000012565-2.45%0.00001016-21.12%0.0539✓1.011.0M2022-10-12
XLMStellarStellar0.1138590.111048-2.47%0.116277+2.12%0.1851✗0.896.5M2022-10-12
XMRMoneroMonero163.77159.7073-2.48%144.74-11.62%0.0529✗0.971.4M2022-10-12
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.060.058504-2.49%0.0499-16.83%0.0264✓0.8590k2022-10-12
C98Coin98Ethereum0.44360.432514-2.50%0.3394-23.49%0.0581✓1.1875k2022-10-12
API3Api3Ethereum1.8031.7579-2.50%1.584-12.15%0.0550✗1.02627k2022-10-12
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4810.46861-2.58%0.377-21.62%0.0542✓1.047,9852022-10-12
ZECZcashZcash62.9261.289-2.59%51.73-17.78%0.0129✓1.171.1M2022-10-12
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04930.048005-2.63%0.0378-23.33%0.1059✓0.85145k2022-10-12
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,402.7121,807.70-2.66%19,155.92-14.49%0.0269✗1.00480.9M2022-10-12
AAVEAaveEthereum90.9988.5071-2.73%71.52-21.40%0.0263✓1.536.0M2022-10-12
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012940.012587-2.73%0.01098-15.15%0.0341✓0.65233k2022-10-12
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4080.396827-2.74%0.3171-22.28%0.0540✓1.09202k2022-10-12
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.23460.228172-2.74%0.1864-20.55%0.0617✓0.9057k2022-10-12
LSKLiskEthereum1.0911.061-2.75%0.929799-14.78%0.0114✓0.7736k2022-10-12
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021020.020439-2.76%0.01798-14.46%0.0334✓0.61191k2022-10-12
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.10e-78.85e-7-2.77%7.80e-7-14.29%0.0096✓0.7415k2022-10-12
LTCLitecoinLitecoin61.4159.7031-2.78%52.23-14.95%0.0296✗1.0414.0M2022-10-12
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.95910.932071-2.82%0.7783-18.85%0.0178✓1.27899k2022-10-12
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0220180.021397-2.82%0.018543-15.78%0.0461✓0.6212k2022-10-12
FISStafiEthereum0.36270.351913-2.97%0.3109-14.28%0.0414✗1.061,1592022-10-12
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.354360.343768-2.99%0.28328-20.06%0.0247✓1.0833k2022-10-12
RARESuperRareEthereum0.20530.199125-3.01%0.1515-26.21%0.0978✓1.12108k2022-10-12
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.335.168-3.04%4.06-23.83%0.1404✓0.642.0M2022-10-12
CELLCellframeEthereum0.29760.288545-3.04%0.2122-28.70%0.1383✓1.0874k2022-10-12
WOOWOOEthereum0.16420.159177-3.06%0.1486-9.50%0.1366✗1.319132022-10-12
XYMSymbolnative0.0426730.041367-3.06%0.035794-16.12%0.0611✓0.5323k2022-10-12
MANADecentralandEthereum0.794220.769393-3.13%0.64761-18.46%0.0044✓1.13624k2022-10-12
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6720.650905-3.14%0.549-18.30%0.0079✓1.143.3M2022-10-12
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0184890.01789-3.24%0.014341-22.43%0.0645✓1.009912022-10-12
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.20630.199589-3.25%0.1782-13.62%0.0570✗1.09135k2022-10-12
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06670.064523-3.26%0.0689+3.30%0.2298✗1.0579k2022-10-12
SCSiacoinnative0.00420.004062-3.28%0.00336-20.00%0.0423✓0.94103k2022-10-12
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6480.626626-3.30%0.57-12.04%0.0653✗1.02178k2022-10-12
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11410.110325-3.31%0.0931-18.40%0.0321✓0.88188k2022-10-12
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.554.3992-3.31%3.72-18.24%0.0725✓0.611.4M2022-10-12
ADACardanoCardano0.50140.484629-3.34%0.3813-23.95%0.0824✓1.0138.3M2022-10-12
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5341.4812-3.44%1.389-9.45%0.1120✗1.1371k2022-10-12
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13470.130051-3.45%0.1193-11.43%0.0834✗1.082.7M2022-10-12
AMPAmpEthereum0.006210.005993-3.49%0.0049-21.10%0.1022✓0.63911k2022-10-12
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.1214.5911-3.50%17.14+13.36%0.3177✗1.001.8M2022-10-12
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0031060.002997-3.51%0.002075-33.19%0.2247✓0.911.2M2022-10-12
XVGVergenative0.003570.003445-3.51%0.00312-12.61%0.0560✗0.99483k2022-10-12
ZENHorizenBase16.4815.8996-3.52%12.49-24.21%0.0453✓1.2579k2022-10-12
NANOnanopayBase0.9142160.881045-3.63%0.760819-16.78%0.0121✓0.8649k2022-10-12
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2750.264996-3.64%0.234-14.91%0.0037✓0.77563k2022-10-12
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0120040.011565-3.65%0.009569-20.28%0.0329✓1.006492022-10-12
GITCOINGITCOIN2.14882.0702-3.66%1.672-22.19%0.0371✓1.1313k2022-10-12
KCSKuCoinnative9.7159.3575-3.68%9.053-6.81%0.1020✗0.861.2M2022-10-12
XEMNEMnative0.0467110.044986-3.69%0.039427-15.59%0.0078✓0.8928k2022-10-12
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0062340.006003-3.70%0.00603-3.27%0.0624✗0.3730k2022-10-12
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008330.008021-3.71%0.00592-28.93%0.1196✓1.18428k2022-10-12
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29170.28082-3.73%0.2577-11.66%0.0730✗1.022.7M2022-10-12
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.716.4591-3.74%5.67-15.50%0.0531✓0.492.1M2022-10-12
SOLSolanaSolana37.4636.055-3.75%31.16-16.82%0.0456✗1.2254.5M2022-10-12
DIADIAEthereum0.399770.384759-3.75%0.3906-2.29%0.1737✗1.0131k2022-10-12
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.9351.8617-3.79%1.505-22.22%0.0554✗1.7160k2022-10-12
KSMKusamaHydration52.2150.2008-3.85%40.13-23.14%0.0629✓1.03363k2022-10-12
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03970.038144-3.92%0.0326-17.88%0.0023✓1.0289k2022-10-12
COTICOTIEthereum0.10270.098638-3.96%0.1026-0.10%0.1982✗1.01336k2022-10-12
GLMGolemEthereum0.40930.392823-4.03%0.2554-37.60%0.3032✓0.8189k2022-10-12
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash128.87123.6607-4.04%111.75-13.28%0.0829✗1.184.4M2022-10-12
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016510.001584-4.07%0.001361-17.57%0.0453✓0.685,8832022-10-12
BTTCBTTC9.00e-78.63e-7-4.11%7.70e-7-14.44%0.0016✓0.741.7M2022-10-12
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5420.519675-4.12%0.428-21.03%0.0031✓1.2277k2022-10-12
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.177310.169957-4.15%0.14279-19.47%0.0050✓1.08271k2022-10-12
LCXLCXEthereum0.05160.049401-4.26%0.052+0.78%0.2015✗0.96234k2022-10-12
DASHDashDash47.1745.1054-4.38%41.74-11.51%0.0900✗1.07312k2022-10-12
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.142110.135831-4.42%0.12114-14.76%0.0750✗1.21151k2022-10-12
BORABORAKlay Token0.29430.281276-4.43%0.21464-27.07%0.1289✓0.9015k2022-10-12
ETHEthereumEthereum1,716.711,639.83-4.48%1,294.33-24.60%0.0242✓1.36569.9M2022-10-12
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.2384.0473-4.50%3.141-25.88%0.1719✓0.522.3M2022-10-12
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.386.0927-4.50%4.67-26.80%0.1838✓0.522.1M2022-10-12
XTZTezosTezos1.65651.5818-4.51%1.3516-18.41%0.0086✓1.06241k2022-10-12
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.9621.8733-4.52%1.5946-18.73%0.0147✓1.1223k2022-10-12
SUSHISushiEthereum1.26951.2121-4.52%1.1675-8.03%0.1413✗1.141.1M2022-10-12
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2791.2211-4.52%1.022-20.09%0.0319✓0.931.1M2022-10-12
UMAUMAEthereum2.7562.6302-4.56%2.24-18.72%0.0305✓0.83523k2022-10-12
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.0740.070608-4.58%0.06929-6.36%0.0022✓0.13378k2022-10-12
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.0210.5102-4.63%8.85-19.69%0.0386✓1.34288k2022-10-12
OPTIMOptimism1.2671.2079-4.67%0.747-41.04%0.2153✓1.692.7M2022-10-12
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.2854.0832-4.71%3.305-22.87%0.1540✓0.372.2M2022-10-12
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06540.062303-4.74%0.0544-16.82%0.0549✗1.22563k2022-10-12
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche21.3720.3551-4.75%15.95-25.36%0.0284✓1.3818.0M2022-10-12
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02280.021691-4.87%0.02101-7.85%0.1350✗1.0710.3M2022-10-12
UNIUniswapEthereum6.6596.3345-4.87%6.054-9.09%0.1747✗1.406.9M2022-10-12
MOVRMoonriverBase12.66512.0452-4.89%10.3905-17.96%0.0119✓1.0221k2022-10-12
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04920.046774-4.93%0.0357-27.44%0.0861✓1.18546k2022-10-12
APEApeCoinEthereum5.4925.2119-5.10%4.714-14.17%0.1185✗1.406.4M2022-10-12
FLOWFlownative2.1021.9933-5.17%1.558-25.88%0.0244✓1.42967k2022-10-12
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.9266.5668-5.19%5.07-26.80%0.1023✓1.004.3M2022-10-12
XVSVenusEthereum4.984.7217-5.19%4.7-5.62%0.1309✗0.87839k2022-10-12
STXStacksnative0.38790.367521-5.25%0.3107-19.90%0.0005✓1.07314k2022-10-12
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1712.056-5.30%1.571-27.64%0.0697✓1.2732k2022-10-12
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.2453.0728-5.31%2.859-11.90%0.0138✓0.37676k2022-10-12
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.320430.303344-5.33%0.252468-21.21%0.0293✓0.99471k2022-10-12
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009050.008563-5.38%0.0055-39.23%0.2950✓0.943.3M2022-10-12
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.9485.6279-5.38%4.066-31.64%0.2245✓0.643.1M2022-10-12
PROPropyEthereum0.730.690643-5.39%0.54-26.03%0.2084✓0.2444k2022-10-12
ELAElastosEthereum1.6221.5342-5.41%1.463-9.80%0.0674✗0.7329k2022-10-12
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.6647.2485-5.42%6.173-19.45%0.0223✓1.1710.0M2022-10-12
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.91231.8084-5.43%1.0233-46.49%0.4370✓0.851.4M2022-10-12
NEARNEAR ProtocolNEAR5.0934.8142-5.47%3.153-38.09%0.2667✓1.001.4M2022-10-12
DODODODOEthereum0.13190.12456-5.57%0.1178-10.69%0.1286✗1.181.4M2022-10-12
HIVEHivenative0.58020.547902-5.57%0.5112-11.89%0.0273✓0.62836k2022-10-12
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.33460.315188-5.80%0.28-16.32%0.0446✓1.0482k2022-10-12
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5690.535975-5.80%0.457-19.68%0.0199✓1.1466k2022-10-12
XECeCashnative0.000045970.000043297-5.82%0.00003798-17.38%0.0068✓0.883.0M2022-10-12
COMPCompoundEthereum54.7351.5359-5.84%55.48+1.37%0.2729✗1.278,6412022-10-12
ETCEthereum Classicnative38.4536.1983-5.86%23.79-38.13%0.1731✓1.5810.6M2022-10-12
NEXONEXOEthereum0.970.912969-5.88%0.833-14.12%0.0943✗1.191.5M2022-10-12
GMTGMTEthereum0.74190.69745-5.99%0.628-15.35%0.1362✗1.54210k2022-10-12
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0240350.022586-6.03%0.024833+3.32%0.1088✗0.09465k2022-10-12
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32370.304065-6.07%0.3135-3.15%0.1844✗0.986.0M2022-10-12
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.2213.355-6.08%11.54-18.85%0.0396✓1.19925k2022-10-12
RADRadworksEthereum2.462.3088-6.15%1.91-22.36%0.0944✓0.61261k2022-10-12
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9432.7582-6.28%2.065-29.83%0.0466✓1.552.9M2022-10-12
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.7587.2695-6.30%7.147-7.88%0.1605✗1.1318.0M2022-10-12
GALAGALAEthereum0.05130.048067-6.30%0.0392-23.59%0.0217✓1.16178k2022-10-12
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.8634.5486-6.47%3.8083-21.69%0.0561✓1.49122k2022-10-12
UOSUltraEthereum0.440280.411663-6.50%0.30131-31.56%0.1584✓0.98379k2022-10-12
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,615.211,508.28-6.62%1,254.87-22.31%0.0274✓1.003.3M2022-10-12
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos15.5314.4863-6.72%11.739-24.41%0.0097✓1.2819.6M2022-10-12
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12860.119845-6.81%0.0876-31.88%0.1173✓1.252.5M2022-10-12
BANDBandEthereum1.3521.2595-6.84%1.105-18.27%0.0690✓1.28323k2022-10-12
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.03730.034724-6.91%0.02798-24.99%0.0499✓1.0635k2022-10-12
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.192.0378-6.95%1.67-23.74%0.0005✓1.27227k2022-10-12
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.39761.3002-6.97%1.0849-22.37%0.0116✓1.08922k2022-10-12
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51290.476688-7.06%0.3722-27.43%0.1134✓0.86396k2022-10-12
QTUMQtumQtum3.29333.0599-7.09%2.7159-17.53%0.0433✓1.0419k2022-10-12
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.958.3114-7.13%6.78-24.25%0.1114✓0.592.4M2022-10-12
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11440.106233-7.14%0.067-41.43%0.3672✓0.60188k2022-10-12
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15470.143648-7.14%0.1346-12.99%0.0933✗1.01336k2022-10-12
MINAMina Protocolnative0.670.621499-7.24%0.556-17.01%0.0554✓1.07111k2022-10-12
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013230.001226-7.38%0.0009175-30.67%0.1601✓0.832.2M2022-10-12
ORCAOrcaSolana0.89480.828226-7.44%0.8317-7.05%0.2495✗1.5789k2022-10-12
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.2316.8139-7.77%14.98-17.83%0.0320✓0.53396k2022-10-12
IMXImmutableEthereum0.86380.794231-8.05%0.6656-22.95%0.0072✓1.17946k2022-10-12
CHZChilizEthereum0.20140.185007-8.14%0.1899-5.71%0.1802✗0.983.2M2022-10-12
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain7.00496.4271-8.25%4.2544-39.27%0.3969✓0.109.1M2022-10-12
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.426.8064-8.27%5.66-23.72%0.0128✓1.10224k2022-10-12
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.21640.198251-8.39%0.128-40.85%0.3203✓0.7526k2022-10-12
LRCLoopringEthereum0.35140.321287-8.57%0.2656-24.42%0.0070✓1.1772k2022-10-12
CTKShentuOsmosis1.010.922531-8.66%0.873-13.56%0.0088✓0.412.7M2022-10-12
METISMetisEthereum29.9327.3279-8.69%24.34-18.68%0.1449✗1.66159k2022-10-12
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5631.4219-9.03%1.454-6.97%0.2141✗1.2343k2022-10-12
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.56284.1331-9.42%3.0801-32.50%0.1980✓0.618.1M2022-10-12
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.411.2705-9.89%1.1-21.99%0.0219✓1.0668k2022-10-12
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.5244.0502-10.47%3.802-15.96%0.0843✓0.94273k2022-10-12
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,751.478,686.93-10.92%7,877.53-19.22%0.1241✗1.424.1M2022-10-12
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.5565.8278-11.11%5.147-21.49%0.0274✓0.976.2M2022-10-12
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.3410.9193-11.51%13.627+10.43%0.2803✗0.3816.0M2022-10-12
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.49e-76.58e-7-12.17%5.04e-7-32.65%0.1291✓0.872.3M2022-10-12
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.064740.055538-14.21%0.05596-13.56%0.2030✗1.251.2M2022-10-12
LUNATerraTerra 20.00030.000256644-14.45%0.00028659-4.47%0.1525✓0.272.3M2022-10-12
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.66046.5416-14.60%4.8842-36.24%0.2529✓0.2511.9M2022-10-12
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.