8=======>

2022-09-11 · +30d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 191 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2366
191 of 191 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+14.10%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
74.3%
in alpha space · 91.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-12.70%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (191 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRBTellor TributesEthereum16.5817.1693+3.55%14.48-12.67%0.0636✗0.791.5M2022-10-11
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.1270.130601+2.84%0.1155-9.06%0.1222✗0.0183k2022-10-11
TRXTRONTron0.064190.065077+1.38%0.06166-3.94%0.0127✓0.49123k2022-10-11
CHRChromiaEthereum0.1830.183107+0.06%0.148-19.13%0.0541✗1.171,7442022-10-11
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,663.6021,644.80-0.09%19,028.40-12.16%0.0042✓0.9213k2022-10-11
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5150.512508-0.48%0.336-34.76%0.2551✓1.234,2692022-10-11
CBKCobakEthereum0.85180.846049-0.68%0.75273-11.63%0.0095✓0.7913k2022-10-11
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.91.8836-0.86%2.27+19.47%0.2514✗0.4861k2022-10-11
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.02550.025235-1.04%0.02204-13.57%0.0181✗1.132,9142022-10-11
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.02751.0147-1.24%0.9454-7.99%0.0069✓0.572.6M2022-10-11
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.331390.326892-1.36%0.33684+1.64%0.1254✗0.70326k2022-10-11
STORJStorjEthereum0.555060.547048-1.44%0.42218-23.94%0.0769✓1.3439k2022-10-11
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015580.001534-1.56%0.001486-4.62%0.0727✗0.77353k2022-10-11
FORTFortaEthereum0.23120.227171-1.74%0.1522-34.17%0.2963✓0.7766k2022-10-11
FTTFTXEthereum27.8927.3548-1.92%23.25-16.64%0.0241✓1.026.8M2022-10-11
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.06274.9647-1.94%4.1004-19.01%0.1828✓0.06117k2022-10-11
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10270.100677-1.97%0.0794-22.69%0.1330✓0.772,6892022-10-11
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131930.012923-2.05%0.010365-21.44%0.1057✓0.85920k2022-10-11
STEEMSteemnative0.2350.229823-2.20%0.2305-1.91%0.1210✗0.87503k2022-10-11
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03720.036357-2.27%0.0355-4.57%0.0950✗0.877,8252022-10-11
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.45453.1386-2.42%47.915-12.01%0.0143✓0.87275k2022-10-11
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046640.04544-2.57%0.03846-17.54%0.0792✓0.6414k2022-10-11
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.1831.1522-2.60%0.8192-30.75%0.1292✓1.564.4M2022-10-11
AVTAventusEthereum1.421.3825-2.64%1.52+7.04%0.0755✗-0.14124k2022-10-11
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0637030.06201-2.66%0.060216-5.47%0.1079✗1.011.3M2022-10-11
FISStafiEthereum0.35010.340592-2.72%0.3202-8.54%0.0811✗1.057782022-10-11
XMRMoneroMonero159.22154.7643-2.80%144.57-9.20%0.0653✗0.981.3M2022-10-11
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,831.7221,214.73-2.83%19,058.11-12.70%0.0287✓1.00473.4M2022-10-11
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.174140.169215-2.83%0.15473-11.15%0.0170✓0.783512022-10-11
BFCBifrostEthereum0.075460.073299-2.86%0.06085-19.36%0.0484✓1.0124k2022-10-11
C98Coin98Ethereum0.44450.431732-2.87%0.355-20.13%0.0367✓1.1781k2022-10-11
QNTQuantEthereum108.82105.6191-2.94%153.96+41.48%0.5064✗0.953.5M2022-10-11
GTGateEthereum4.33014.2016-2.97%4.365+0.81%0.1378✗0.73690k2022-10-11
CELLCellframeEthereum0.29290.284128-2.99%0.2043-30.25%0.1831✓1.0883k2022-10-11
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.03960.038392-3.05%0.03308-16.46%0.0552✓0.692,1832022-10-11
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06110.059225-3.07%0.0499-18.33%0.0549✓0.8682k2022-10-11
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012930.012532-3.08%0.0104-19.57%0.0969✓0.66233k2022-10-11
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012990.000012587-3.10%0.00001023-21.25%0.0690✓1.021.0M2022-10-11
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.5120.496041-3.12%0.4268-16.64%0.0098✓1.18384k2022-10-11
ZECZcashZcash64.2762.2499-3.14%51.54-19.81%0.0286✓1.181.2M2022-10-11
SUNSun TokenTron0.0065370.00633-3.16%0.005604-14.27%0.0307✓0.672,0442022-10-11
CVCCivicEthereum0.15180.146994-3.17%0.122-19.63%0.0500✓1.00110k2022-10-11
XLMStellarStellar0.1143870.110686-3.24%0.116096+1.49%0.1680✗0.896.4M2022-10-11
AAVEAaveEthereum91.6388.6465-3.26%71.42-22.06%0.0077✓1.535.6M2022-10-11
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09410.090969-3.33%0.0796-15.41%0.0010✓0.9914k2022-10-11
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.10e-78.79e-7-3.36%7.70e-7-15.38%0.0310✓0.7515k2022-10-11
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.23030.222538-3.37%0.1864-19.06%0.0556✓0.8957k2022-10-11
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5171.4657-3.38%1.432-5.60%0.1294✗1.1271k2022-10-11
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04970.048008-3.40%0.0383-22.94%0.1104✓0.85138k2022-10-11
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.435.2441-3.42%4.18-23.02%0.1370✓0.662.0M2022-10-11
API3Api3Ethereum1.8381.7751-3.42%1.592-13.38%0.0304✓1.02627k2022-10-11
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06450.062291-3.43%0.0631-2.17%0.1531✗1.0379k2022-10-11
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.97480.941363-3.43%0.7788-20.11%0.0170✓1.27899k2022-10-11
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.351690.339625-3.43%0.2823-19.73%0.0384✓1.0834k2022-10-11
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.018280.017652-3.44%0.014339-21.56%0.0720✓1.008742022-10-11
GLMGolemEthereum0.33080.319424-3.44%0.255-22.91%0.1216✓0.7684k2022-10-11
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.073070.07055-3.45%0.05605-23.29%0.0978✓0.977022022-10-11
LSKLiskEthereum1.08631.0485-3.47%0.922593-15.07%0.0234✓0.7734k2022-10-11
LTCLitecoinLitecoin62.1860.0133-3.48%52.01-16.36%0.0013✓1.0413.5M2022-10-11
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.02130.020547-3.53%0.0178-16.43%0.0620✓0.60206k2022-10-11
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6760.652003-3.55%0.553-18.20%0.0091✓1.153.5M2022-10-11
SOLSolanaSolana35.0133.7393-3.63%30.8-12.03%0.0729✗1.2154.5M2022-10-11
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.42550.409996-3.64%0.313-26.44%0.1195✓1.11202k2022-10-11
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6490.625307-3.65%0.562-13.41%0.0331✓1.03178k2022-10-11
MANADecentralandEthereum0.803760.774154-3.68%0.64753-19.44%0.0240✓1.14584k2022-10-11
RARESuperRareEthereum0.21060.2028-3.70%0.1451-31.10%0.1781✓1.15108k2022-10-11
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0218870.021074-3.71%0.018475-15.59%0.0473✓0.6212k2022-10-11
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5130.493715-3.76%0.383-25.34%0.1095✓1.067,7812022-10-11
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.644.4626-3.82%3.71-20.04%0.1007✓0.621.4M2022-10-11
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21410.205872-3.84%0.1798-16.02%0.0126✓1.09138k2022-10-11
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029040.00279-3.92%0.002081-28.34%0.1711✓0.901.2M2022-10-11
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11560.111045-3.94%0.0922-20.24%0.0669✓0.88169k2022-10-11
XYMSymbolnative0.0423220.04065-3.95%0.036015-14.90%0.0494✓0.5323k2022-10-11
ADACardanoCardano0.51010.489246-4.09%0.3906-23.43%0.0882✓1.0138.3M2022-10-11
WOOWOOEthereum0.1680.161122-4.09%0.1567-6.73%0.1522✗1.321,0012022-10-11
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13780.132127-4.12%0.1203-12.70%0.0584✗1.122.9M2022-10-11
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.715.0457-4.17%16.63+5.92%0.2379✗1.011.8M2022-10-11
COTICOTIEthereum0.09970.095464-4.25%0.105+5.32%0.2321✗1.01336k2022-10-11
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008440.008079-4.27%0.00619-26.66%0.1061✓1.18406k2022-10-11
ZENHorizenBase16.4715.7642-4.29%12.5-24.10%0.0618✓1.2584k2022-10-11
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29230.279679-4.32%0.2614-10.57%0.0703✗1.022.6M2022-10-11
GITCOINGITCOIN2.30572.206-4.32%1.6843-26.95%0.1154✓1.1413k2022-10-11
KCSKuCoinnative9.7559.3332-4.32%8.744-10.36%0.0522✗0.861.2M2022-10-11
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2850.272577-4.36%0.233-18.25%0.0507✓0.78563k2022-10-11
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03930.037568-4.41%0.0324-17.56%0.0093✓1.0288k2022-10-11
XEMNEMnative0.0467850.044696-4.47%0.039437-15.71%0.0037✓0.8928k2022-10-11
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0063090.006025-4.50%0.006021-4.56%0.0516✗0.3830k2022-10-11
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016360.001562-4.52%0.001366-16.50%0.0416✓0.686,5532022-10-11
SCSiacoinnative0.004190.004-4.53%0.00336-19.81%0.0459✓0.95103k2022-10-11
BTTCBTTC9.10e-78.68e-7-4.62%7.60e-7-16.48%0.0316✓0.741.7M2022-10-11
LCXLCXEthereum0.05080.048446-4.63%0.0515+1.38%0.1893✗0.94234k2022-10-11
NANOnanopayBase0.9277880.884794-4.63%0.762754-17.79%0.0302✓0.8749k2022-10-11
KSMKusamaHydration51.949.477-4.67%40.86-21.27%0.0533✓1.02395k2022-10-11
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.991.8968-4.68%1.515-23.87%0.0088✓1.7260k2022-10-11
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0113140.010783-4.69%0.009663-14.59%0.0262✓1.006302022-10-11
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.736.4123-4.72%5.78-14.12%0.0356✓0.502.1M2022-10-11
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash130.35124.1894-4.73%111.17-14.71%0.0503✗1.194.4M2022-10-11
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2511.1918-4.73%1.022-18.31%0.0268✓0.931.1M2022-10-11
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.143820.136861-4.84%0.12111-15.79%0.0425✓1.21151k2022-10-11
DIADIAEthereum0.405260.385613-4.85%0.38304-5.48%0.1311✗1.0132k2022-10-11
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5430.516607-4.86%0.426-21.55%0.0265✓1.2274k2022-10-11
OPTIMOptimism1.4021.3337-4.87%0.738-47.36%0.3572✓1.732.7M2022-10-11
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.177890.169216-4.88%0.14363-19.26%0.0192✓1.07268k2022-10-11
AMPAmpEthereum0.006610.006287-4.88%0.00472-28.59%0.1997✓0.64911k2022-10-11
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.92411.8299-4.90%1.6014-16.77%0.0188✓1.1223k2022-10-11
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.074140.070489-4.92%0.07114-4.05%0.0276✓0.14378k2022-10-11
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023320.02216-4.97%0.0222-4.80%0.1462✗1.069.7M2022-10-11
BORABORAKlay Token0.291460.276722-5.06%0.21515-26.18%0.1299✓0.9015k2022-10-11
UNIUniswapEthereum6.4916.1622-5.07%5.992-7.69%0.1621✗1.406.9M2022-10-11
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.2310.6584-5.09%8.81-21.55%0.0054✓1.36298k2022-10-11
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06620.06282-5.11%0.0548-17.22%0.0302✓1.23555k2022-10-11
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.6919.6265-5.14%15.96-22.86%0.0205✓1.3718.0M2022-10-11
SUSHISushiEthereum1.30291.2356-5.17%1.2564-3.57%0.1729✗1.151.1M2022-10-11
XTZTezosTezos1.68551.5969-5.26%1.3396-20.52%0.0312✓1.06241k2022-10-11
ETHEthereumEthereum1,766.951,673.03-5.32%1,279.94-27.56%0.0814✓1.37575.8M2022-10-11
DASHDashDash48.3545.7736-5.33%41.25-14.68%0.0424✓1.08321k2022-10-11
FLOWFlownative2.1162.0031-5.33%1.581-25.28%0.0429✓1.43967k2022-10-11
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05010.047428-5.33%0.0362-27.74%0.1118✓1.17536k2022-10-11
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.3544.1207-5.36%3.34-23.29%0.1595✓0.372.2M2022-10-11
UMAUMAEthereum2.7822.632-5.39%2.134-23.29%0.1030✓0.79586k2022-10-11
MOVRMoonriverBase12.886612.1905-5.40%10.4764-18.70%0.0126✓1.0222k2022-10-11
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.2783.0972-5.52%2.858-12.81%0.0294✓0.38720k2022-10-11
STXStacksnative0.39030.36848-5.59%0.3122-20.01%0.0193✓1.08324k2022-10-11
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.1736.7666-5.67%5.226-27.14%0.1211✓1.014.3M2022-10-11
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3137870.295916-5.70%0.252068-19.67%0.0264✓0.99471k2022-10-11
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.33280.313673-5.75%0.2783-16.38%0.0227✓1.0575k2022-10-11
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.4054.1515-5.76%3.254-26.13%0.1702✓0.542.3M2022-10-11
XVSVenusEthereum5.14.804-5.80%4.82-5.49%0.1208✗0.86859k2022-10-11
APEApeCoinEthereum5.6825.351-5.83%4.693-17.41%0.0603✗1.416.4M2022-10-11
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.576.182-5.91%4.92-25.11%0.1546✓0.542.1M2022-10-11
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.1395.7765-5.91%4.3-29.96%0.2055✓0.663.1M2022-10-11
XVGVergenative0.003810.003582-5.99%0.00325-14.70%0.0402✓1.01481k2022-10-11
HIVEHivenative0.57920.544505-5.99%0.5306-8.39%0.0586✓0.62826k2022-10-11
ELAElastosEthereum1.6551.5558-5.99%1.496-9.61%0.0622✗0.7536k2022-10-11
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.7027.2395-6.00%6.18-19.76%0.0005✓1.1710.0M2022-10-11
NEARNEAR ProtocolNEAR4.8964.5971-6.11%3.171-35.23%0.2355✓1.001.4M2022-10-11
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2022.0673-6.12%1.57-28.70%0.1010✓1.2832k2022-10-11
PROPropyEthereum0.720.675415-6.19%0.56-22.22%0.1559✓0.2346k2022-10-11
DODODODOEthereum0.13330.124973-6.25%0.118-11.48%0.1038✗1.191.4M2022-10-11
GMTGMTEthereum0.73510.688834-6.29%0.6398-12.96%0.1347✗1.53226k2022-10-11
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9632.7757-6.32%2.062-30.41%0.0844✓1.572.9M2022-10-11
XECeCashnative0.000045620.000042728-6.34%0.000038-16.70%0.0028✓0.882.5M2022-10-11
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.00771.8769-6.51%1.0218-49.11%0.4924✓0.851.4M2022-10-11
COMPCompoundEthereum55.2551.6487-6.52%55.84+1.07%0.2531✗1.298,9662022-10-11
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.5613.6069-6.55%11.52-20.88%0.0047✓1.19925k2022-10-11
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009440.008819-6.58%0.00556-41.10%0.3303✓0.963.2M2022-10-11
ETCEthereum Classicnative38.5635.9959-6.65%23.73-38.46%0.2013✓1.5910.6M2022-10-11
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0239730.022361-6.73%0.025016+4.35%0.1221✗0.07455k2022-10-11
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9740.907914-6.78%0.833-14.48%0.0770✗1.201.5M2022-10-11
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32640.30421-6.80%0.3177-2.67%0.1775✗0.995.9M2022-10-11
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5950.554048-6.88%0.454-23.70%0.0418✓1.1664k2022-10-11
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.037.4644-7.04%7.132-11.18%0.1079✗1.1317.5M2022-10-11
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.31451.2218-7.06%1.105-15.94%0.0452✓1.071.0M2022-10-11
QTUMQtumQtum3.30663.0722-7.09%2.6817-18.90%0.0060✓1.0419k2022-10-11
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos15.69914.5729-7.17%12.174-22.45%0.0037✓1.3018.7M2022-10-11
RADRadworksEthereum2.632.4405-7.21%1.94-26.24%0.1450✓0.62262k2022-10-11
GALAGALAEthereum0.0520.048243-7.23%0.0393-24.42%0.0462✓1.17190k2022-10-11
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11670.108234-7.25%0.0886-24.08%0.0321✓1.242.5M2022-10-11
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.8474.4946-7.27%3.9604-18.29%0.0818✗1.53129k2022-10-11
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,656.911,534.89-7.36%1,240.98-25.10%0.0767✓1.003.4M2022-10-11
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51570.477167-7.47%0.3748-27.32%0.1253✓0.85418k2022-10-11
UOSUltraEthereum0.456780.422328-7.54%0.30021-34.28%0.2046✓1.01379k2022-10-11
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.037810.034948-7.57%0.02814-25.58%0.0713✓1.0745k2022-10-11
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.988.2901-7.68%7.02-21.83%0.0848✓0.602.4M2022-10-11
ORCAOrcaSolana0.88850.820157-7.69%0.8294-6.65%0.2243✗1.5794k2022-10-11
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.332.1486-7.79%1.67-28.33%0.0768✓1.29227k2022-10-11
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6860.632159-7.85%0.555-19.10%0.0163✓1.08111k2022-10-11
BANDBandEthereum1.3691.2595-8.00%1.115-18.55%0.0508✓1.27343k2022-10-11
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15450.142087-8.03%0.1354-12.36%0.0900✗1.02336k2022-10-11
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013670.001254-8.28%0.000927-32.21%0.1879✓0.842.2M2022-10-11
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.636.9943-8.33%5.83-23.59%0.0321✓1.10230k2022-10-11
IMXImmutableEthereum0.86630.79394-8.35%0.6867-20.73%0.0151✓1.18946k2022-10-11
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12540.114816-8.44%0.0677-46.01%0.4439✓0.62191k2022-10-11
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.9317.3234-8.49%14.03-25.88%0.1367✓0.55384k2022-10-11
METISMetisEthereum31.9829.1895-8.73%24.24-24.20%0.0457✓1.70168k2022-10-11
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0240.932502-8.94%0.853-16.70%0.0339✓0.412.7M2022-10-11
CHZChilizEthereum0.20830.189628-8.96%0.1946-6.58%0.1619✗1.003.2M2022-10-11
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain7.14686.5005-9.04%4.4242-38.10%0.3706✓0.109.1M2022-10-11
LRCLoopringEthereum0.36190.326806-9.70%0.2662-26.44%0.0446✓1.1872k2022-10-11
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.6481.4844-9.93%1.424-13.59%0.1272✗1.2443k2022-10-11
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.67894.2001-10.23%3.1333-33.03%0.2108✓0.618.1M2022-10-11
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.461.3049-10.62%1.09-25.34%0.0346✓1.0779k2022-10-11
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.4175.709-11.03%5.133-20.01%0.0247✓0.966.2M2022-10-11
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.5013.9893-11.37%3.85-14.46%0.0930✓0.95286k2022-10-11
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,194.939,035.05-11.38%7,823.46-23.26%0.0517✓1.444.2M2022-10-11
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.59411.0921-11.93%14.164+12.47%0.2955✗0.3816.0M2022-10-11
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.30e-76.41e-7-12.15%4.94e-7-32.35%0.1440✓0.862.3M2022-10-11
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.26110.228431-12.51%0.1306-49.98%0.4499✓0.8024k2022-10-11
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.065210.056325-13.63%0.05586-14.34%0.1617✗1.251.3M2022-10-11
LUNATerraTerra 20.000431380.000365757-15.21%0.00028097-34.87%0.2133✓0.372.1M2022-10-11
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.60946.4311-15.49%5.0794-33.25%0.2017✓0.2511.9M2022-10-11
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.