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2022-09-10 · +30d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 191 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3391
190 of 191 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+12.08%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
73.7%
in alpha space · 91.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-11.63%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (191 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,732.5022,077.10+1.59%19,152.00-11.87%0.0256✗0.9413k2022-10-10
TRXTRONTron0.0645860.065101+0.80%0.06275-2.84%0.0393✓0.62129k2022-10-10
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,651.5221,664.51+0.06%19,132.83-11.63%0.0006✗1.00473.4M2022-10-10
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18610.185498-0.32%0.1562-16.07%0.0062✓1.341,5202022-10-10
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5160.513996-0.39%0.347-32.75%0.2509✓1.154,5592022-10-10
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03940.039152-0.63%0.0329-16.50%0.0694✓0.8584k2022-10-10
STEEMSteemnative0.22930.227572-0.75%0.2229-2.79%0.0838✗0.85503k2022-10-10
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05980.059082-1.20%0.048-19.73%0.0994✓0.8881k2022-10-10
STORJStorjEthereum0.556410.54919-1.30%0.4444-20.13%0.0606✓1.2239k2022-10-10
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09950.098139-1.37%0.0801-19.50%0.0972✓0.8613k2022-10-10
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.50590.498454-1.47%0.4416-12.71%0.0142✓1.09384k2022-10-10
GTGateEthereum4.3244.2573-1.54%4.3574+0.77%0.1160✗0.75702k2022-10-10
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10360.101967-1.58%0.0821-20.75%0.1294✓0.712,6892022-10-10
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.025470.02505-1.65%0.02272-10.80%0.0762✗1.412,9582022-10-10
XMRMoneroMonero157.51154.9028-1.66%142.31-9.65%0.0401✗1.011.3M2022-10-10
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22080.217077-1.69%0.1907-13.63%0.0153✓0.9257k2022-10-10
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.013060.012833-1.74%0.01132-13.32%0.0366✓0.72228k2022-10-10
XVGVergenative0.003220.003162-1.79%0.00326+1.24%0.1466✗0.94481k2022-10-10
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.17380.170629-1.82%0.137-21.17%0.1170✓0.8324k2022-10-10
API3Api3Ethereum1.7891.7557-1.86%1.635-8.61%0.0339✗0.85627k2022-10-10
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03790.037189-1.88%0.0363-4.22%0.0676✗0.747,8252022-10-10
AVTAventusEthereum1.431.403-1.89%1.59+11.19%0.1189✗-0.05124k2022-10-10
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.171290.167821-2.03%–pending––1.712952022-10-10
AAVEAaveEthereum92.7490.7919-2.10%73.6-20.64%0.0341✓1.425.6M2022-10-10
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.33230.325295-2.11%0.34896+5.01%0.1589✗0.72327k2022-10-10
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06580.064361-2.19%0.0602-8.51%0.0326✗0.8081k2022-10-10
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0130660.012779-2.19%0.010998-15.83%0.0747✓0.61929k2022-10-10
CVCCivicEthereum0.14910.145806-2.21%0.125-16.16%0.0362✓0.95117k2022-10-10
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.891.8477-2.24%2.42+28.04%0.3324✗0.5161k2022-10-10
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000013280.000012978-2.27%0.00001021-23.12%0.1290✓0.90951k2022-10-10
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.069110.067537-2.28%0.06086-11.94%0.0108✓0.936022022-10-10
FTTFTXEthereum27.6927.0532-2.30%23.56-14.92%0.0185✓0.976.8M2022-10-10
LTCLitecoinLitecoin63.3261.8392-2.34%52.63-16.88%0.0436✓0.9513.5M2022-10-10
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021060.020551-2.42%0.01855-11.92%0.0116✓0.73223k2022-10-10
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11450.111703-2.44%0.0951-16.94%0.0653✓0.77169k2022-10-10
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.10e-78.86e-7-2.66%7.70e-7-15.38%0.0473✓0.7515k2022-10-10
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29490.287026-2.67%0.2601-11.80%0.0148✓0.922.7M2022-10-10
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21160.205884-2.70%0.1844-12.85%0.0338✗1.16139k2022-10-10
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.94554.8103-2.73%4.0725-17.65%0.1548✓0.09115k2022-10-10
SOLSolanaSolana35.0734.1018-2.76%31.95-8.90%0.0632✗1.0458.3M2022-10-10
QNTQuantEthereum105.47102.5417-2.78%151.15+43.31%0.4815✗0.763.4M2022-10-10
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0647310.062917-2.80%0.059392-8.25%0.0662✗1.001.3M2022-10-10
APEApeCoinEthereum5.0524.9083-2.84%5.134+1.62%0.1989✗1.246.2M2022-10-10
BFCBifrostEthereum0.075980.073719-2.98%0.06087-19.89%0.0540✓1.1125k2022-10-10
SCSiacoinnative0.004130.004006-3.01%0.00343-16.95%0.0439✓0.90103k2022-10-10
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.24461.2069-3.03%0.8515-31.58%0.1664✓1.484.4M2022-10-10
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.039780.038565-3.06%0.03408-14.33%0.0299✓0.762,2982022-10-10
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015480.0015-3.12%0.00151-2.45%0.1016✗0.77343k2022-10-10
ADACardanoCardano0.51240.496078-3.19%0.4012-21.70%0.1053✓0.8637.9M2022-10-10
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0510.049314-3.31%0.0369-27.65%0.1735✓0.94546k2022-10-10
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.04771.9798-3.32%1.0487-48.79%0.5279✓0.871.2M2022-10-10
LCXLCXEthereum0.05080.049091-3.36%0.0551+8.46%0.2379✗0.99234k2022-10-10
FORTFortaEthereum0.22990.222165-3.36%0.161-29.97%0.2273✓0.7767k2022-10-10
ZECZcashZcash65.3363.069-3.46%52.65-19.41%0.0353✓1.171.2M2022-10-10
AMPAmpEthereum0.005930.005725-3.46%0.00482-18.72%0.0945✓0.63911k2022-10-10
SUSHISushiEthereum1.33511.2886-3.48%1.2607-5.57%0.1149✗1.111.1M2022-10-10
LSKLiskEthereum1.06961.0317-3.55%0.956518-10.58%0.0232✓0.8034k2022-10-10
SUNSun TokenTron0.00630.006077-3.55%0.006061-3.80%0.0823✗0.692,0442022-10-10
MOVRMoonriverBase13.467612.9841-3.59%10.738-20.27%0.0806✓0.8822k2022-10-10
KCSKuCoinnative9.7769.4232-3.61%8.752-10.47%0.0396✗0.921.2M2022-10-10
TRBTellor TributesEthereum17.4716.8381-3.62%15.09-13.62%0.0256✓0.681.6M2022-10-10
ZENHorizenBase16.8516.24-3.62%13.12-22.14%0.0799✓1.0885k2022-10-10
COTICOTIEthereum0.09890.0953-3.64%0.1072+8.39%0.2278✗0.89336k2022-10-10
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.93891.868-3.66%1.644-15.21%0.0020✓1.0523k2022-10-10
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.626.3745-3.71%5.83-11.93%0.0365✓0.432.1M2022-10-10
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.23653.1848-3.71%48-13.10%0.0126✓0.73284k2022-10-10
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2840.273386-3.74%0.242-14.79%0.0333✓0.72563k2022-10-10
ETHEthereumEthereum1,774.691,707.58-3.78%1,290.06-27.31%0.1191✓1.30591.2M2022-10-10
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.143720.138243-3.81%0.12369-13.94%0.0268✓1.12157k2022-10-10
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046140.044369-3.84%0.03912-15.21%0.0382✓0.7114k2022-10-10
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04790.04606-3.84%0.0397-17.12%0.0392✓0.88132k2022-10-10
FISStafiEthereum0.39310.377904-3.87%0.3174-19.26%0.0430✓1.067402022-10-10
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029110.002798-3.89%0.002108-27.59%0.1783✓0.851.2M2022-10-10
C98Coin98Ethereum0.44340.426147-3.89%0.3444-22.33%0.0726✓1.1381k2022-10-10
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash132.64127.4683-3.90%111.62-15.85%0.0049✓1.114.4M2022-10-10
BTTCBTTC9.30e-78.94e-7-3.90%7.70e-7-17.20%0.0542✓0.771.7M2022-10-10
RARESuperRareEthereum0.210.201786-3.91%0.1511-28.05%0.1467✓1.15108k2022-10-10
XLMStellarStellar0.1147070.110205-3.92%0.123692+7.83%0.2183✗0.836.5M2022-10-10
DIADIAEthereum0.403660.387706-3.95%0.38835-3.79%0.1174✗0.9431k2022-10-10
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.42040.403772-3.96%0.3127-25.62%0.1281✓1.03209k2022-10-10
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.9510.5138-3.98%9.1-16.89%0.0062✓1.22298k2022-10-10
GLMGolemEthereum0.28180.270528-4.00%0.2643-6.21%0.0741✗0.7984k2022-10-10
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3126760.300159-4.00%0.258723-17.26%0.0259✓0.99514k2022-10-10
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0062280.005978-4.02%0.006179-0.79%0.0875✗0.4433k2022-10-10
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.634.4406-4.09%3.91-15.55%0.0653✓0.501.3M2022-10-10
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.680.652094-4.10%0.559-17.79%0.0142✓1.133.7M2022-10-10
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.9067.5803-4.12%7.34-7.16%0.0869✗0.9618.0M2022-10-10
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.98750.946533-4.15%0.8062-18.36%0.0204✓1.13899k2022-10-10
XTZTezosTezos1.66641.597-4.17%1.3702-17.77%0.0249✓1.04241k2022-10-10
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5160.494441-4.18%0.4-22.48%0.0895✓0.997,7812022-10-10
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016010.001534-4.19%0.001375-14.12%0.0283✓0.666,5532022-10-10
PROPropyEthereum0.730.698951-4.25%0.59-19.18%0.1227✓0.3850k2022-10-10
XVSVenusEthereum5.114.8911-4.28%4.88-4.50%0.0982✗0.81943k2022-10-10
XECeCashnative0.000044560.000042646-4.30%0.00003879-12.95%0.0024✓0.792.5M2022-10-10
UOSUltraEthereum0.465030.44505-4.30%0.30405-34.62%0.2660✓0.93392k2022-10-10
MANADecentralandEthereum0.81370.778682-4.30%0.66749-17.97%0.0512✓0.83584k2022-10-10
UNIUniswapEthereum6.6746.3863-4.31%6.391-4.24%0.1542✗1.246.9M2022-10-10
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.13070.124895-4.44%0.1201-8.11%0.0383✓0.0183k2022-10-10
XEMNEMnative0.0457360.043701-4.45%0.040114-12.29%0.0120✓0.7928k2022-10-10
CBKCobakEthereum0.850180.812266-4.46%0.78289-7.91%0.0733✗0.8913k2022-10-10
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.354070.338275-4.46%0.2881-18.63%0.0434✓0.9534k2022-10-10
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6570.627521-4.49%0.576-12.33%0.0276✓0.92178k2022-10-10
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2221.1661-4.58%1.035-15.30%0.0024✓0.941.1M2022-10-10
WOOWOOEthereum0.16250.155052-4.58%0.1577-2.95%0.1302✗0.921,0012022-10-10
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.3544.1542-4.59%3.411-21.66%0.1570✓0.322.2M2022-10-10
ORCAOrcaSolana0.9020.860529-4.60%0.8294-8.05%0.1316✗1.3694k2022-10-10
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023050.021984-4.63%0.02172-5.77%0.0903✗0.839.2M2022-10-10
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.071970.068615-4.66%0.06817-5.28%0.0098✓0.13389k2022-10-10
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9780.932383-4.66%0.844-13.70%0.0498✗1.211.5M2022-10-10
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009380.008942-4.67%0.00578-38.38%0.3469✓0.723.3M2022-10-10
DASHDashDash48.7746.4612-4.73%41.83-14.23%0.0125✓0.95328k2022-10-10
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.03410.984943-4.75%0.9327-9.81%0.0083✓0.512.7M2022-10-10
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5141.4415-4.79%1.473-2.71%0.1577✗1.1071k2022-10-10
NANOnanopayBase0.9383090.893326-4.79%0.772633-17.66%0.0485✓0.7849k2022-10-10
BORABORAKlay Token0.290350.276366-4.82%0.2216-23.68%0.1015✓0.9614k2022-10-10
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.4519.4637-4.82%16.22-20.68%0.0375✓1.1718.5M2022-10-10
XYMSymbolnative0.0425350.04048-4.83%0.036464-14.27%0.0411✓0.5123k2022-10-10
DODODODOEthereum0.13360.127107-4.86%0.1203-9.96%0.0762✗1.061.4M2022-10-10
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.028.576-4.92%7.19-20.29%0.1214✓0.442.2M2022-10-10
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.7777.3901-4.97%6.253-19.60%0.0454✓0.9810.0M2022-10-10
COMPCompoundEthereum53.0650.4142-4.99%57.34+8.07%0.2770✗1.209,0502022-10-10
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.179590.170622-4.99%0.14541-19.03%0.0450✓0.93268k2022-10-10
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.3251.2584-5.03%1.1707-11.65%0.0401✓0.911.1M2022-10-10
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.03820.03625-5.10%0.02885-24.48%0.1068✓0.9859k2022-10-10
STXStacksnative0.38460.364789-5.15%0.3199-16.82%0.0035✓1.09335k2022-10-10
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0215750.020458-5.18%0.018973-12.06%0.0177✓0.7512k2022-10-10
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5520.523408-5.18%0.435-21.20%0.0509✓1.0877k2022-10-10
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.0242.8661-5.22%2.119-29.93%0.1253✓1.433.0M2022-10-10
ELAElastosEthereum1.6611.5725-5.33%1.54-7.28%0.0716✗0.7544k2022-10-10
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.5714.7357-5.36%16.13+3.60%0.1982✗0.871.7M2022-10-10
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.0215.6967-5.39%4.65-22.77%0.1510✓0.423.3M2022-10-10
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.2723.095-5.41%2.91-11.06%0.0003✓0.50653k2022-10-10
UMAUMAEthereum2.8072.6534-5.47%2.188-22.05%0.0936✓0.80630k2022-10-10
CELLCellframeEthereum0.3140.296686-5.51%0.1964-37.45%0.2864✓1.0292k2022-10-10
HIVEHivenative0.57790.545925-5.53%0.5363-7.20%0.0734✗0.74826k2022-10-10
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007860.007419-5.61%0.00625-20.48%0.0437✓1.03389k2022-10-10
NEARNEAR ProtocolNEAR4.8134.5401-5.67%3.218-33.14%0.2205✓1.001.2M2022-10-10
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32230.303985-5.68%0.3195-0.87%0.1562✗0.865.9M2022-10-10
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13910.131122-5.74%0.1217-12.51%0.0149✓0.482.9M2022-10-10
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.0670.063151-5.74%0.0565-15.67%0.0378✓1.21608k2022-10-10
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0109740.010337-5.81%0.010135-7.65%0.1040✗1.006082022-10-10
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2242.0946-5.82%1.602-27.97%0.1323✓1.1033k2022-10-10
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.1296.7012-6.00%5.318-25.40%0.1270✓0.844.3M2022-10-10
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos15.99515.0327-6.02%12.445-22.19%0.0478✓1.1418.7M2022-10-10
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.34010.319509-6.05%0.2837-16.58%0.0110✓1.0582k2022-10-10
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.466.0653-6.11%5.09-21.21%0.1219✓0.432.2M2022-10-10
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15330.143709-6.26%0.1384-9.72%0.0862✗1.00361k2022-10-10
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.2964.0247-6.32%3.324-22.63%0.1375✓0.442.1M2022-10-10
KSMKusamaHydration52.3248.9861-6.37%41.93-19.86%0.0411✓0.93363k2022-10-10
RADRadworksEthereum2.612.4419-6.44%1.98-24.14%0.1287✓0.66262k2022-10-10
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.52490.490513-6.55%0.3899-25.72%0.1475✓0.66444k2022-10-10
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0241910.022587-6.63%0.025041+3.51%0.1085✗0.04454k2022-10-10
GALAGALAEthereum0.05220.048733-6.64%0.0399-23.56%0.0937✓0.86204k2022-10-10
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5680.530113-6.67%0.472-16.90%0.0162✓1.0763k2022-10-10
IMXImmutableEthereum0.87190.812481-6.81%0.6906-20.79%0.0402✓0.99988k2022-10-10
LRCLoopringEthereum0.36650.341433-6.84%0.2763-24.61%0.0851✓1.0271k2022-10-10
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.7213.6811-7.06%11.97-18.68%0.0069✓1.02925k2022-10-10
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.9616.6824-7.11%14.59-18.76%0.0584✓0.61384k2022-10-10
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.0481.9004-7.21%1.526-25.49%0.0186✓1.6260k2022-10-10
QTUMQtumQtum3.37543.1316-7.22%2.7499-18.53%0.0111✓0.9619k2022-10-10
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.787.2164-7.24%6.21-20.18%0.0229✓1.03237k2022-10-10
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12740.118153-7.26%0.0751-41.05%0.3677✓0.69195k2022-10-10
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.5734.2399-7.28%3.325-27.29%0.1800✓0.517.3M2022-10-10
GITCOINGITCOIN2.32732.1537-7.46%1.7409-25.20%0.0775✓1.0913k2022-10-10
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013810.001274-7.72%0.0009418-31.79%0.2200✓0.672.3M2022-10-10
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11730.108234-7.73%0.0913-22.17%0.0427✓1.032.5M2022-10-10
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.414.9883-7.79%4.35-19.59%0.0858✓0.412.0M2022-10-10
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.45134.1034-7.81%3.7704-15.30%0.1033✗1.52129k2022-10-10
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.5694.2023-8.03%3.921-14.18%0.0418✓0.90289k2022-10-10
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.491.3693-8.10%1.11-25.50%0.0995✓0.8981k2022-10-10
BANDBandEthereum1.3721.2589-8.25%1.118-18.51%0.0164✓1.09385k2022-10-10
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,440.999,577.94-8.27%7,851.69-24.80%0.0265✓1.394.2M2022-10-10
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,670.431,531.13-8.34%1,251.04-25.11%0.0784✓1.003.4M2022-10-10
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0189450.017358-8.38%0.014562-23.14%0.0520✓1.006792022-10-10
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.342.1417-8.47%1.72-26.50%0.0779✓1.14229k2022-10-10
CHZChilizEthereum0.20160.184444-8.51%0.1892-6.15%0.1283✗0.833.2M2022-10-10
GMTGMTEthereum0.74910.684672-8.60%0.6445-13.96%0.1078✗1.36210k2022-10-10
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6860.624934-8.90%0.573-16.47%0.0101✓0.78116k2022-10-10
METISMetisEthereum32.5529.6297-8.97%25.01-23.16%0.0416✓1.71178k2022-10-10
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.21411.1073-9.06%13.805+13.03%0.2715✗0.4416.0M2022-10-10
ETCEthereum Classicnative39.2335.6629-9.09%24.25-38.19%0.2071✓1.4411.7M2022-10-10
FLOWFlownative2.111.9084-9.56%1.573-25.45%0.0346✓1.281.1M2022-10-10
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0280.927143-9.81%0.85-17.32%0.0325✓0.442.8M2022-10-10
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.97826.2458-10.49%4.5127-35.33%0.3062✓0.158.6M2022-10-10
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.6151.4344-11.18%1.305-19.20%0.0400✓1.0943k2022-10-10
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.3595.6086-11.80%5.154-18.95%0.0194✓0.846.2M2022-10-10
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.065880.057892-12.12%0.05695-13.55%0.1188✓1.091.4M2022-10-10
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.85e-75.97e-7-12.75%5.04e-7-26.47%0.0684✓0.832.3M2022-10-10
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.41536.4616-12.86%5.1074-31.12%0.2075✓0.229.9M2022-10-10
OPTIMOptimism1.3871.1853-14.54%0.752-45.78%0.2591✓1.582.8M2022-10-10
LUNATerraTerra 20.00043480.000358429-17.56%0.00028839-33.67%0.1554✓0.501.8M2022-10-10
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.