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2022-09-04 · +30d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 189 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2570
189 of 189 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+7.24%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
81.5%
in alpha space · 79.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+1.70%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (189 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,865.8019,774.66-0.46%20,310.50+2.24%0.0109✗0.9413k2022-10-04
TRXTRONTron0.0635470.06304-0.80%0.062261-2.02%0.0228✓0.62123k2022-10-04
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,004.7319,744.70-1.30%20,345.19+1.70%0.0131✗1.00480.9M2022-10-04
CHRChromiaEthereum0.17820.174304-2.19%0.1593-10.61%0.1133✓1.382,0092022-10-04
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10290.100607-2.23%0.0904-12.15%0.1193✓0.732,7842022-10-04
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.50.48883-2.23%0.364-27.20%0.3154✓1.223,8602022-10-04
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03650.035684-2.23%0.0343-6.03%0.0551✓0.9266k2022-10-04
BORABORAKlay Token0.289140.282116-2.43%0.23843-17.54%0.1860✓1.0512k2022-10-04
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03640.035493-2.49%0.0378+3.85%0.0499✗0.788,1752022-10-04
STEEMSteemnative0.22510.21946-2.51%0.2235-0.71%0.0025✓0.94468k2022-10-04
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12290.119733-2.58%0.1287+4.72%0.0546✗1.0525k2022-10-04
CBKCobakEthereum0.869040.846595-2.58%0.78707-9.43%0.0899✓1.0113k2022-10-04
XVGVergenative0.003110.003028-2.63%0.00342+9.97%0.1044✗1.02486k2022-10-04
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08280.080561-2.70%0.0821-0.85%0.0030✓0.9410k2022-10-04
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.05620.054675-2.71%0.0677+20.46%0.1989✗0.8891k2022-10-04
SGBSongbirdnative0.02640.025643-2.87%0.0194-26.52%0.2894✓0.6147k2022-10-04
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.025020.024286-2.93%0.02476-1.04%0.0022✓1.283,2982022-10-04
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10330.100192-3.01%0.0992-3.97%0.0245✓0.86150k2022-10-04
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.2110.204495-3.08%0.197-6.64%0.0542✓1.0058k2022-10-04
API3Api3Ethereum1.7291.6747-3.14%1.739+0.58%0.0220✓0.93540k2022-10-04
GTGateEthereum4.21214.0777-3.19%4.3937+4.31%0.0614✗0.78724k2022-10-04
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.981.9165-3.21%2.43+22.73%0.2288✗0.5175k2022-10-04
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.3570.345283-3.28%0.331-7.28%0.0636✓1.26194k2022-10-04
STORJStorjEthereum0.553890.53565-3.29%0.45671-17.54%0.1817✓1.3239k2022-10-04
SOLSolanaSolana32.1731.0995-3.33%34.1+6.00%0.0728✗1.1461.7M2022-10-04
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131720.01272-3.43%0.011761-10.71%0.0893✓0.65929k2022-10-04
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.18030.174004-3.49%0.1149-36.27%0.4152✓0.0193k2022-10-04
CVCCivicEthereum0.14370.138655-3.51%0.1287-10.44%0.0916✓1.0199k2022-10-04
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.155180.149565-3.62%0.17452+12.46%0.1201✗2.033442022-10-04
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.46950.452493-3.62%0.4439-5.45%0.0386✓1.15384k2022-10-04
SUSHISushiEthereum1.15821.1155-3.69%1.1563-0.16%0.0154✓1.21949k2022-10-04
AAVEAaveEthereum88.8585.5146-3.75%78.82-11.29%0.1076✓1.555.2M2022-10-04
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05770.055532-3.76%0.0501-13.17%0.1188✓0.9497k2022-10-04
XMRMoneroMonero155.77149.9038-3.77%147.1-5.57%0.0364✓1.041.4M2022-10-04
FTTFTXEthereum26.425.3996-3.79%25.11-4.89%0.0278✓0.976.8M2022-10-04
FORTFortaEthereum0.23250.223608-3.82%0.1886-18.88%0.1855✓0.9067k2022-10-04
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.360770.346914-3.84%0.42019+16.47%0.1781✗0.80332k2022-10-04
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.9358.5792-3.86%55.32-9.21%0.0740✓0.9912.7M2022-10-04
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29080.279487-3.89%0.2818-3.09%0.0078✓0.952.8M2022-10-04
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0632180.06071-3.97%0.065854+4.17%0.0633✗1.071.3M2022-10-04
AVTAventusEthereum1.491.4309-3.97%1.56+4.70%0.0887✗-0.13128k2022-10-04
TRBTellor TributesEthereum18.9218.1632-4.00%15.51-18.02%0.1698✓0.711.7M2022-10-04
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022260.021364-4.03%0.01907-14.33%0.1274✓0.82459k2022-10-04
LCXLCXEthereum0.0570.054687-4.06%0.0522-8.42%0.0655✓1.12220k2022-10-04
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.2565.0396-4.12%4.147-21.10%0.1966✓0.10115k2022-10-04
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4240.406525-4.12%0.424+0.00%0.0246✓1.048,1172022-10-04
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012860.012326-4.15%0.0099-23.02%0.2301✓0.65220k2022-10-04
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015630.001497-4.24%0.001573+0.64%0.0339✓0.93413k2022-10-04
PROPropyEthereum0.730.698943-4.25%0.62-15.07%0.1255✓0.3369k2022-10-04
ZECZcashZcash63.861.0846-4.26%56.77-11.02%0.0929✓1.161.3M2022-10-04
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.20410.195407-4.26%0.1815-11.07%0.0965✓1.34140k2022-10-04
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012840.000012292-4.27%0.00001162-9.50%0.0724✓0.96861k2022-10-04
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044810.042898-4.27%0.0407-9.17%0.0650✓0.7415k2022-10-04
AMPAmpEthereum0.006080.00582-4.27%0.00509-16.28%0.1448✓0.63977k2022-10-04
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7984.5921-4.29%5.26+9.63%0.1131✗1.346.8M2022-10-04
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029430.002813-4.42%0.002242-23.82%0.2424✓0.921.1M2022-10-04
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.09251.0442-4.42%0.9124-16.49%0.1608✓1.534.4M2022-10-04
BFCBifrostEthereum0.073760.070498-4.42%0.06231-15.52%0.1432✓1.1725k2022-10-04
ZENHorizenBase16.4515.7148-4.47%14.31-13.01%0.1124✓1.11107k2022-10-04
KCSKuCoinnative9.3948.97-4.51%9.208-1.98%0.0099✓0.971.2M2022-10-04
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.90e-78.50e-7-4.53%8.00e-7-10.11%0.0737✓0.8015k2022-10-04
MANADecentralandEthereum0.806570.769833-4.55%0.70257-12.89%0.1062✓0.87519k2022-10-04
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037740.036018-4.56%0.03552-5.88%0.0278✓0.822,6312022-10-04
XLMStellarStellar0.1063240.101462-4.57%0.119187+12.10%0.1470✗0.836.8M2022-10-04
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash118.36112.9464-4.57%121.15+2.36%0.0507✗1.154.2M2022-10-04
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04440.042362-4.59%0.042-5.41%0.0252✓0.98132k2022-10-04
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2690.256635-4.60%0.256-4.83%0.0152✓0.75627k2022-10-04
XYMSymbolnative0.0421850.040223-4.65%0.038072-9.75%0.0635✓0.5125k2022-10-04
COTICOTIEthereum0.09580.091313-4.68%0.1219+27.24%0.2726✗0.97375k2022-10-04
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05060.048227-4.69%0.0396-21.74%0.2140✓1.00739k2022-10-04
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0207140.019739-4.70%0.019507-5.83%0.0256✓0.8112k2022-10-04
XTZTezosTezos1.55611.4828-4.71%1.4575-6.34%0.0362✓1.12253k2022-10-04
SUNSun TokenTron0.0059790.005698-4.71%0.006303+5.41%0.0892✗0.702,1662022-10-04
SCSiacoinnative0.004020.00383-4.74%0.00351-12.69%0.1038✓0.99127k2022-10-04
BTTCBTTC8.80e-78.38e-7-4.81%7.90e-7-10.23%0.0722✓0.811.7M2022-10-04
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.97260.925566-4.84%0.8516-12.44%0.1038✓1.22841k2022-10-04
ADACardanoCardano0.50350.478889-4.89%0.4357-13.47%0.1101✓0.9339.1M2022-10-04
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.067080.063788-4.91%0.06279-6.40%0.0311✓0.917702022-10-04
GLMGolemEthereum0.23990.228112-4.91%0.2664+11.05%0.1390✗0.9681k2022-10-04
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV53.27350.6531-4.92%49.146-7.75%0.0430✓0.76302k2022-10-04
STXStacksnative0.36780.349553-4.96%0.3298-10.33%0.0777✓1.16335k2022-10-04
LSKLiskEthereum1.05881.0057-5.02%0.972677-8.14%0.0478✓0.8641k2022-10-04
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2990080.283841-5.07%0.271296-9.27%0.0635✓1.08514k2022-10-04
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.021570.020473-5.08%0.02265+5.01%0.0882✗0.769.8M2022-10-04
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.1556.7892-5.11%7.726+7.98%0.1115✗1.0517.4M2022-10-04
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6870.651793-5.12%0.604-12.08%0.0966✓1.214.0M2022-10-04
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.90991.8119-5.13%1.7399-8.90%0.0589✓1.0927k2022-10-04
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008920.008461-5.15%0.00656-26.46%0.2670✓0.744.7M2022-10-04
XVSVenusEthereum4.914.6548-5.20%5.35+8.96%0.1248✗0.851.3M2022-10-04
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.138520.131301-5.21%0.13062-5.70%0.0256✓1.21183k2022-10-04
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.349150.330718-5.28%0.30859-11.62%0.0859✓0.9940k2022-10-04
QNTQuantEthereum95.2990.2265-5.31%141.6+48.60%0.4362✗0.863.5M2022-10-04
DIADIAEthereum0.386770.366169-5.33%0.39405+1.88%0.0568✗0.9834k2022-10-04
WOOWOOEthereum0.15230.144147-5.35%0.1457-4.33%0.0069✓1.051,4472022-10-04
UOSUltraEthereum0.353820.334486-5.46%0.34118-3.57%0.0037✓0.95392k2022-10-04
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.001520.001437-5.47%0.001465-3.62%0.0078✓0.698,3412022-10-04
XEMNEMnative0.0441320.041716-5.48%0.04142-6.15%0.0213✓0.8429k2022-10-04
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.68651.5935-5.51%1.157-31.40%0.3366✓0.981.1M2022-10-04
CELLCellframeEthereum0.31570.297938-5.63%0.2603-17.55%0.1535✓1.0999k2022-10-04
ORCAOrcaSolana0.84850.800332-5.68%0.82-3.36%0.0009✓1.49116k2022-10-04
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.0117.9297-5.68%17.45-8.21%0.0487✓1.2820.1M2022-10-04
XECeCashnative0.000044320.0000418-5.69%0.00004218-4.83%0.0051✓0.841.8M2022-10-04
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.078140.073694-5.69%0.07267-7.00%0.0148✓0.05397k2022-10-04
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6710.632417-5.75%0.586-12.67%0.0927✓0.98196k2022-10-04
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.31250.294425-5.78%0.29-7.20%0.0348✓1.17111k2022-10-04
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.0382.862-5.79%3.093+1.81%0.0687✗0.53650k2022-10-04
COMPCompoundEthereum48.4745.6591-5.80%59.84+23.46%0.2490✗1.279,0502022-10-04
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.3756.9469-5.80%6.496-11.92%0.0848✓1.0510.0M2022-10-04
RARESuperRareEthereum0.20460.192697-5.82%0.1573-23.12%0.2252✓1.32111k2022-10-04
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.97860.921236-5.86%0.918-6.19%0.0119✓0.503.1M2022-10-04
DODODODOEthereum0.130.122358-5.88%0.1359+4.54%0.0874✗1.041.5M2022-10-04
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1740.163699-5.92%0.15194-12.68%0.0911✓0.98268k2022-10-04
DASHDashDash47.5944.7679-5.93%42.31-11.09%0.0729✓0.98419k2022-10-04
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.12331.0564-5.96%1.2652+12.63%0.1653✗0.891.1M2022-10-04
MOVRMoonriverBase13.146112.3596-5.98%11.8219-10.07%0.0612✓0.9932k2022-10-04
NANOnanopayBase0.9006250.84664-5.99%0.806453-10.46%0.0628✓0.8454k2022-10-04
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4981.4079-6.01%1.478-1.34%0.0288✓1.1784k2022-10-04
UNIUniswapEthereum6.4886.0966-6.03%6.649+2.48%0.0646✗1.316.9M2022-10-04
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1661.0955-6.05%1.071-8.15%0.0390✓0.971.3M2022-10-04
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5340.501115-6.16%0.459-14.04%0.1071✓1.1476k2022-10-04
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.7212.8693-6.20%16.1+17.35%0.2065✗1.041.7M2022-10-04
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.549.8827-6.24%9.29-11.86%0.0828✓1.24277k2022-10-04
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14620.137006-6.29%0.1463+0.07%0.0477✓1.06409k2022-10-04
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5280.494702-6.31%0.47-10.98%0.0692✓1.0768k2022-10-04
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0064550.006043-6.38%0.006321-2.08%0.0374✓0.4444k2022-10-04
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9812.7884-6.46%2.34-21.50%0.2012✓1.533.6M2022-10-04
IMXImmutableEthereum0.84530.789743-6.57%0.7941-6.06%0.0120✓1.041.4M2022-10-04
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.31270.292107-6.59%0.3577+14.39%0.1875✗0.905.8M2022-10-04
ELAElastosEthereum1.7621.6446-6.66%1.529-13.22%0.0882✓0.91108k2022-10-04
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.884.5506-6.75%4.49-7.99%0.0225✓0.541.3M2022-10-04
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.961.827-6.78%1.647-15.97%0.1323✓1.6974k2022-10-04
HIVEHivenative0.54390.506911-6.80%0.4984-8.37%0.0310✓0.83953k2022-10-04
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.816.3453-6.82%6.52-4.26%0.0191✓0.482.1M2022-10-04
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50430.469656-6.87%0.412-18.30%0.1439✓0.77496k2022-10-04
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0108660.010111-6.95%0.010764-0.94%0.0457✓1.005602022-10-04
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06250.058155-6.95%0.0592-5.28%0.0038✓1.28713k2022-10-04
GALAGALAEthereum0.05160.047994-6.99%0.0415-19.57%0.1610✓0.92204k2022-10-04
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos13.04612.1321-7.01%13.026-0.15%0.0521✓1.1312.3M2022-10-04
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035850.033333-7.02%0.03097-13.61%0.0906✓1.0151k2022-10-04
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1211.9708-7.08%1.779-16.12%0.1219✓1.1538k2022-10-04
UMAUMAEthereum2.7712.5734-7.13%2.307-16.74%0.1242✓0.88682k2022-10-04
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10450.097033-7.15%0.101-3.35%0.0218✓1.082.8M2022-10-04
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.268.5937-7.20%8.28-10.58%0.0455✓0.502.0M2022-10-04
ETHEthereumEthereum1,579.041,464.36-7.26%1,362.06-13.74%0.0959✓1.39628.3M2022-10-04
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.6866.1912-7.40%6.178-7.60%0.0163✓0.844.4M2022-10-04
C98Coin98Ethereum0.43490.402698-7.40%0.3718-14.51%0.0992✓1.1591k2022-10-04
GITCOINGITCOIN2.31662.145-7.41%1.8691-19.32%0.1568✓1.1313k2022-10-04
QTUMQtumQtum3.23672.9964-7.43%2.8964-10.51%0.0510✓1.0119k2022-10-04
LRCLoopringEthereum0.36740.340026-7.45%0.2987-18.70%0.1474✓1.0575k2022-10-04
NEXONEXOEthereum1.0450.966896-7.47%0.904-13.49%0.0886✓1.271.5M2022-10-04
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.5974.247-7.61%3.762-18.16%0.1253✓0.242.4M2022-10-04
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13860.127891-7.73%0.1251-9.74%0.0308✓0.513.4M2022-10-04
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.351.2457-7.73%1.2-11.11%0.0528✓0.9295k2022-10-04
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6730.620896-7.74%0.597-11.29%0.0538✓0.86199k2022-10-04
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.3916.0222-7.87%14.63-15.87%0.1025✓0.69503k2022-10-04
KSMKusamaHydration50.6146.6139-7.90%43.97-13.12%0.0750✓0.99459k2022-10-04
RADRadworksEthereum2.312.1272-7.91%2.03-12.12%0.0596✓0.76262k2022-10-04
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.747.1157-8.07%6.71-13.31%0.0771✓1.09317k2022-10-04
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007930.007287-8.10%0.00681-14.12%0.0869✓1.13428k2022-10-04
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.5613.3791-8.11%12.98-10.85%0.0488✓1.101.0M2022-10-04
BANDBandEthereum1.3361.2271-8.15%1.25-6.44%0.0015✓1.19449k2022-10-04
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0256740.023579-8.16%0.026967+5.04%0.1323✗0.12315k2022-10-04
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.6636.1176-8.19%5.161-22.54%0.1775✓0.444.4M2022-10-04
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12130.111221-8.31%0.07-42.29%0.4748✓0.70208k2022-10-04
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,442.741,319.14-8.57%1,315.41-8.83%0.0197✓1.003.3M2022-10-04
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.312.1096-8.67%1.87-19.05%0.1402✓1.16217k2022-10-04
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,437.498,618.64-8.68%8,347.58-11.55%0.0556✓1.405.6M2022-10-04
GMTGMTEthereum0.70710.645735-8.68%0.6289-11.06%0.0500✓1.40210k2022-10-04
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.736.1456-8.68%5.82-13.52%0.0623✓0.462.2M2022-10-04
METISMetisEthereum30.1127.4502-8.83%25.34-15.84%0.1117✓1.88241k2022-10-04
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5731.4328-8.91%1.292-17.86%0.1234✓1.1856k2022-10-04
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.4629.543-8.99%27.88-14.11%0.0837✓1.539.5M2022-10-04
FLOWFlownative1.951.7714-9.16%1.714-12.10%0.0560✓1.361.3M2022-10-04
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.67074.2329-9.37%3.6263-22.36%0.1648✓0.604.7M2022-10-04
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013390.001209-9.70%0.001021-23.72%0.1823✓0.802.4M2022-10-04
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9820.884497-9.93%0.887-9.67%0.0034✓0.372.9M2022-10-04
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.0533.6439-10.09%3.923-3.21%0.0574✓0.97259k2022-10-04
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.413.9644-10.10%3.767-14.58%0.0590✓0.472.3M2022-10-04
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana5.13624.6071-10.30%5.2106+1.45%0.1062✓1.00141k2022-10-04
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.2655.5984-10.64%5.606-10.52%0.0130✓0.857.6M2022-10-04
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.064730.057688-10.88%0.06112-5.58%0.0395✓1.081.9M2022-10-04
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain13.53912.0268-11.17%15.414+13.85%0.2392✗0.5315.8M2022-10-04
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.85.1292-11.57%4.99-13.97%0.0351✓0.452.3M2022-10-04
CHZChilizEthereum0.21340.1881-11.86%0.2186+2.44%0.1361✗0.843.1M2022-10-04
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain7.01786.0837-13.31%5.3051-24.41%0.1408✓0.236.5M2022-10-04
OPTIMOptimism1.1741.0044-14.45%0.871-25.81%0.1710✓1.693.0M2022-10-04
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.44226.3198-15.08%6.0315-18.96%0.0526✓0.357.6M2022-10-04
BRISEBitgertEthereum9.24e-77.84e-7-15.15%6.18e-7-33.18%0.2534✓0.861.7M2022-10-04
LUNATerraTerra 20.000253770.000214065-15.65%0.0003074+21.13%0.3488✗0.78640k2022-10-04
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.