8=======>

2022-08-29 · +30d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0828
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-4.02%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
74.2%
in alpha space · 82.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-4.31%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,303.8020,154.87-0.73%19,450.40-4.20%0.0059✓0.9413k2022-09-28
TRXTRONTron0.0634370.06279-1.02%0.059562-6.11%0.0261✓0.60129k2022-09-28
CBKCobakEthereum0.875420.864658-1.23%0.78271-10.59%0.0562✓0.9815k2022-09-28
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5250.517934-1.35%0.364-30.67%0.2973✓1.262,6092022-09-28
GITCOINGITCOIN2.14532.1022-2.01%1.7586-18.03%0.1258✓1.2013k2022-09-28
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.34990.342282-2.18%0.3165-9.55%0.0224✓1.27176k2022-09-28
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.335860.327963-2.35%0.4236+26.12%0.2959✗0.91366k2022-09-28
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.242.186-2.41%2.43+8.48%0.1278✗0.5097k2022-09-28
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1010.098513-2.46%0.0897-11.19%0.0617✓0.732,9872022-09-28
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.96560.941707-2.47%0.9053-6.24%0.0159✓0.533.6M2022-09-28
CHRChromiaEthereum0.17250.167802-2.72%0.1496-13.28%0.0534✓1.392,2552022-09-28
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.612.1808-3.33%15.88+26.03%0.3129✗1.081.9M2022-09-28
CELLCellframeEthereum0.32230.311473-3.36%0.2673-17.06%0.1050✓1.09112k2022-09-28
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.34760.335812-3.39%0.3019-13.15%0.0629✓0.9947k2022-09-28
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.28365.1029-3.42%4.127-21.89%0.2063✓0.14117k2022-09-28
WOOWOOEthereum0.1640.158296-3.48%0.1368-16.59%0.0978✓1.091,7282022-09-28
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.025540.024645-3.50%0.02221-13.04%0.0476✓1.283,3752022-09-28
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0016360.001578-3.53%0.001552-5.13%0.0260✓0.97484k2022-09-28
SOLSolanaSolana32.4131.2337-3.63%33.24+2.56%0.1147✗1.1965.9M2022-09-28
CVCCivicEthereum0.1480.142614-3.64%0.1275-13.85%0.0671✓1.02149k2022-09-28
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04410.042448-3.75%0.0415-5.90%0.0203✓0.97166k2022-09-28
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4410.424394-3.77%0.395-10.43%0.0266✓1.028,3142022-09-28
GLMGolemEthereum0.24840.238671-3.92%0.2644+6.44%0.1446✗0.9679k2022-09-28
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058740.005643-3.93%0.005054-13.96%0.0801✓0.682,4852022-09-28
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03730.035816-3.98%0.0394+5.63%0.1306✗0.8010k2022-09-28
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.07991.0369-3.98%0.9397-12.98%0.0317✓1.514.5M2022-09-28
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.158390.152017-4.02%0.16792+6.02%0.1894✗2.046362022-09-28
XVGVergenative0.003010.002888-4.06%0.00332+10.30%0.1845✗1.02498k2022-09-28
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21020.201627-4.08%0.1934-7.99%0.0033✓1.0260k2022-09-28
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0137010.013137-4.12%0.012544-8.44%0.0175✓0.651.3M2022-09-28
DKAdKargoEthereum0.048160.046152-4.17%0.04028-16.36%0.1067✓0.6716k2022-09-28
MANADecentralandEthereum0.795360.761862-4.21%0.70596-11.24%0.0364✓0.90509k2022-09-28
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6840.655164-4.22%0.558-18.42%0.1060✓1.244.6M2022-09-28
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,286.9719,425.87-4.24%19,412.07-4.31%0.0434✗1.00485.5M2022-09-28
FTTFTXEthereum27.3426.1756-4.26%24.09-11.89%0.0400✓0.987.3M2022-09-28
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.022670.021703-4.27%0.02383+5.12%0.1319✗0.8711.8M2022-09-28
ZECZcashZcash63.7561.0044-4.31%55.45-13.02%0.0454✓1.131.9M2022-09-28
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037920.036274-4.34%0.03471-8.47%0.0087✓0.802,7072022-09-28
STORJStorjEthereum0.554010.529728-4.38%0.45604-17.68%0.0925✓1.3039k2022-09-28
FLOWFlownative1.9191.8347-4.39%1.639-14.59%0.0527✓1.361.3M2022-09-28
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0638280.060977-4.47%0.060552-5.13%0.0394✓1.051.6M2022-09-28
FORTFortaEthereum0.25660.245013-4.52%0.1541-39.95%0.4237✓0.9185k2022-09-28
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08430.080492-4.52%0.0852+1.07%0.0994✗0.9614k2022-09-28
API3Api3Ethereum1.7291.6507-4.53%1.609-6.94%0.0162✓0.95604k2022-09-28
STXStacksnative0.37010.353188-4.57%0.3247-12.27%0.0326✓1.17398k2022-09-28
GMTGMTEthereum0.68130.650027-4.59%0.6707-1.56%0.0938✗1.42226k2022-09-28
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0209940.020027-4.61%0.019339-7.88%0.0010✓0.8213k2022-09-28
DIADIAEthereum0.38550.367588-4.65%0.37714-2.17%0.0687✗0.9845k2022-09-28
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.9870.940902-4.67%0.847-14.18%0.0514✓1.22963k2022-09-28
STEEMSteemnative0.22570.215156-4.67%0.2194-2.79%0.0593✗0.90501k2022-09-28
XMRMoneroMonero152.71145.565-4.68%147.27-3.56%0.0551✗0.981.3M2022-09-28
AVTAventusEthereum1.441.3717-4.74%1.41-2.08%0.0250✓-0.06105k2022-09-28
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03650.034759-4.77%0.0335-8.22%0.0046✓0.9486k2022-09-28
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6720.639851-4.78%0.586-12.80%0.0463✓0.94217k2022-09-28
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4951.4223-4.86%1.361-8.96%0.0083✓1.19128k2022-09-28
XLMStellarStellar0.1059180.100714-4.91%0.108139+2.10%0.1077✗0.837.0M2022-09-28
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.46070.438036-4.92%0.4454-3.32%0.0665✗1.13364k2022-09-28
LTCLitecoinLitecoin55.7953.0428-4.92%53.28-4.50%0.0480✓0.9912.8M2022-09-28
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.534.3068-4.93%4.78+5.52%0.1264✗0.501.1M2022-09-28
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26150.248585-4.94%0.1182-54.80%0.7430✓0.0191k2022-09-28
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1891.1301-4.95%1.048-11.86%0.0319✓0.991.8M2022-09-28
C98Coin98Ethereum0.42380.402736-4.97%0.3496-17.51%0.0904✓1.1689k2022-09-28
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10450.099296-4.98%0.0983-5.93%0.0283✓0.87196k2022-09-28
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06370.060515-5.00%0.0534-16.17%0.0849✓0.91105k2022-09-28
SCSiacoinnative0.004070.003866-5.01%0.00347-14.74%0.0642✓1.00158k2022-09-28
LSKLiskEthereum1.06211.0085-5.05%0.967566-8.90%0.0042✓0.8448k2022-09-28
XYMSymbolnative0.0444460.042187-5.08%0.036375-18.16%0.1255✓0.5228k2022-09-28
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06170.058555-5.10%0.0574-6.97%0.0351✓1.25851k2022-09-28
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.315.0382-5.12%5.09-4.14%0.0299✓0.452.3M2022-09-28
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.9551.8548-5.13%1.574-19.49%0.0901✓1.6890k2022-09-28
COTICOTIEthereum0.09240.08763-5.16%0.105+13.64%0.2234✗0.97404k2022-09-28
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008910.008448-5.19%0.00663-25.59%0.2083✓0.775.8M2022-09-28
BFCBifrostEthereum0.072840.069053-5.20%0.06189-15.03%0.0572✓1.1927k2022-09-28
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1740.164821-5.28%0.14439-17.02%0.0861✓1.05363k2022-09-28
XEMNEMnative0.0445650.042201-5.31%0.040173-9.86%0.0119✓0.8530k2022-09-28
BORABORAKlay Token0.301060.285066-5.31%0.23749-21.12%0.1367✓1.0412k2022-09-28
RADRadworksEthereum2.132.0168-5.31%2.01-5.63%0.0315✓0.79368k2022-09-28
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04910.046487-5.32%0.0389-20.77%0.1343✓1.00814k2022-09-28
AAVEAaveEthereum85.7681.1427-5.38%76.78-10.47%0.0113✓1.516.3M2022-09-28
APEApeCoinEthereum4.9834.7147-5.38%5.375+7.87%0.1907✗1.358.8M2022-09-28
AMPAmpEthereum0.006490.00614-5.39%0.00481-25.89%0.2164✓0.631.1M2022-09-28
ADACardanoCardano0.45050.426223-5.39%0.4362-3.17%0.0665✗0.9837.9M2022-09-28
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.1230.116371-5.39%0.1275+3.66%0.1364✗1.0227k2022-09-28
GTGateEthereum4.3974.1595-5.40%4.2574-3.17%0.0571✗0.77765k2022-09-28
SUSHISushiEthereum1.10211.0417-5.48%1.0731-2.63%0.0848✗1.25973k2022-09-28
PROPropyEthereum0.740.699193-5.51%0.64-13.51%0.0738✓0.3384k2022-09-28
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06060.05725-5.53%0.0521-14.03%0.0526✓0.9598k2022-09-28
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012480.000011787-5.55%0.00001109-11.14%0.0188✓0.96828k2022-09-28
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.84121.7389-5.55%1.7033-7.49%0.0277✓1.1031k2022-09-28
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.152.0305-5.56%1.77-17.67%0.0833✓1.23238k2022-09-28
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.19451.1721-5.58%49.86-8.00%0.0068✓0.74322k2022-09-28
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.067420.063616-5.64%0.06144-8.87%0.0008✓0.819142022-09-28
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0891.9705-5.67%1.709-18.19%0.0914✓1.1646k2022-09-28
QNTQuantEthereum101.1695.4043-5.69%136.04+34.48%0.3926✗0.863.4M2022-09-28
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2830.266873-5.70%0.247-12.72%0.0451✓0.73686k2022-09-28
XTZTezosTezos1.53571.4481-5.70%1.4415-6.13%0.0449✓1.12308k2022-09-28
KCSKuCoinnative9.18.5777-5.74%9.227+1.40%0.1154✗0.961.5M2022-09-28
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash119.61112.7427-5.74%114.17-4.55%0.0632✗1.154.6M2022-09-28
NANOnanopayBase0.9187330.865773-5.76%0.765787-16.65%0.0867✓0.8270k2022-09-28
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13060.12306-5.77%0.1145-12.33%0.0471✓0.573.7M2022-09-28
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.3318.2062-5.81%17.25-10.76%0.0042✓1.3222.5M2022-09-28
OPTIMOptimism1.1741.1051-5.87%0.908-22.66%0.1196✓1.743.3M2022-09-28
ZENHorizenBase16.4415.4731-5.88%13.98-14.96%0.0525✓1.11107k2022-09-28
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.289.673-5.90%8.87-13.72%0.0330✓1.22339k2022-09-28
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0032380.003046-5.93%0.002004-38.11%0.3778✓0.931.2M2022-09-28
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.2910.273709-5.94%0.2952+1.44%0.1183✗0.973.2M2022-09-28
RARESuperRareEthereum0.20190.189871-5.96%0.1572-22.14%0.1447✓1.00133k2022-09-28
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3052850.286959-6.00%0.266964-12.55%0.0244✓1.08560k2022-09-28
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.33670.316294-6.06%0.2942-12.62%0.0209✓1.17146k2022-09-28
COMPCompoundEthereum48.5745.5946-6.13%61.83+27.30%0.3597✗1.2511k2022-09-28
LCXLCXEthereum0.05760.054057-6.15%0.0458-20.49%0.1157✓1.14258k2022-09-28
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5270.494575-6.15%0.464-11.95%0.0130✓1.1583k2022-09-28
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.139560.13093-6.18%0.12406-11.11%0.0004✓1.23210k2022-09-28
ELAElastosEthereum1.7681.6586-6.19%1.398-20.93%0.1298✓0.93121k2022-09-28
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.2216.1423-6.26%14.88-13.59%0.0496✓0.72921k2022-09-28
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.80e-78.25e-7-6.28%7.90e-7-10.23%0.0074✓0.8116k2022-09-28
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22190.207797-6.36%0.1721-22.44%0.1312✓1.30133k2022-09-28
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.76.2733-6.37%7.79+16.27%0.2636✗1.0718.5M2022-09-28
KSMKusamaHydration50.1246.9093-6.41%44.04-12.13%0.0192✓1.00560k2022-09-28
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023360.021862-6.41%0.01892-19.01%0.1086✓0.82419k2022-09-28
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015290.00143-6.45%0.001413-7.59%0.0187✓0.709,4152022-09-28
XVSVenusEthereum5.124.7855-6.53%4.86-5.08%0.0535✓0.861.6M2022-09-28
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.2766.7997-6.55%6.389-12.19%0.0160✓1.0512.5M2022-09-28
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.2763.0613-6.55%2.971-9.31%0.0064✓0.53650k2022-09-28
BANDBandEthereum1.2631.1796-6.61%1.218-3.56%0.0849✗1.20471k2022-09-28
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10630.099261-6.62%0.0988-7.06%0.0435✓1.093.4M2022-09-28
UNIUniswapEthereum6.3395.9173-6.65%6.555+3.41%0.1604✗1.329.9M2022-09-28
QTUMQtumQtum3.18232.9666-6.78%2.8623-10.05%0.0091✓1.0226k2022-09-28
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14470.13487-6.79%0.1396-3.52%0.0797✗1.03535k2022-09-28
MOVRMoonriverBase12.660211.7973-6.82%10.6211-16.11%0.0622✓0.9733k2022-09-28
ETCEthereum Classicnative33.5531.2607-6.82%27.63-17.65%0.0574✓1.5013.5M2022-09-28
HIVEHivenative0.54610.508501-6.89%0.4862-10.97%0.0066✓0.871.3M2022-09-28
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6980.649462-6.95%0.594-14.90%0.0505✓0.88234k2022-09-28
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.26281.175-6.95%1.1856-6.11%0.0489✓0.911.4M2022-09-28
BTTCBTTC8.90e-78.28e-7-7.00%7.80e-7-12.36%0.0247✓0.792.1M2022-09-28
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008530.007931-7.02%0.00704-17.47%0.0698✓1.12477k2022-09-28
DASHDashDash47.4644.1017-7.08%41.26-13.06%0.0235✓0.98458k2022-09-28
METISMetisEthereum32.4930.1778-7.12%24.14-25.70%0.1395✓1.90288k2022-09-28
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0066960.006215-7.18%0.006299-5.93%0.0321✓0.4258k2022-09-28
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.1025.6621-7.21%5.376-11.90%0.0329✓0.434.9M2022-09-28
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.8312.8328-7.21%12.49-9.69%0.0229✓1.13959k2022-09-28
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.43810.6117-7.22%12.988+13.55%0.2523✗1.1410.4M2022-09-28
DODODODOEthereum0.13110.121575-7.27%0.1246-4.96%0.0680✓0.991.7M2022-09-28
ETHEthereumEthereum1,551.651,438.91-7.27%1,336.93-13.84%0.0134✓1.36608.4M2022-09-28
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.385.9157-7.28%6.53+2.35%0.1187✗0.451.7M2022-09-28
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.084290.078034-7.42%0.07407-12.12%0.0502✓0.04535k2022-09-28
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.747.1609-7.48%6.48-16.28%0.0503✓1.13504k2022-09-28
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.6826.1791-7.53%6.046-9.52%0.0180✓0.905.0M2022-09-28
TRBTellor TributesEthereum3532.3618-7.54%16.32-53.37%0.6543✓0.691.5M2022-09-28
UMAUMAEthereum2.8562.6406-7.54%2.327-18.52%0.0876✓0.88734k2022-09-28
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.01510.01396-7.55%0.01054-30.20%0.2506✓0.69165k2022-09-28
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.2663.9432-7.57%3.851-9.73%0.0162✓0.172.3M2022-09-28
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.331.2293-7.57%1.14-14.29%0.0331✓0.96142k2022-09-28
IMXImmutableEthereum0.86930.802901-7.64%0.744-14.41%0.0289✓1.071.8M2022-09-28
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5530.510645-7.66%0.453-18.08%0.0727✓1.0777k2022-09-28
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.0155.5538-7.67%5.856-2.64%0.0914✗0.879.9M2022-09-28
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.6151.4911-7.67%1.284-20.50%0.0966✓1.2085k2022-09-28
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.29810.27516-7.70%0.3495+17.24%0.2792✗0.916.9M2022-09-28
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1773.8499-7.83%3.863-7.52%0.0208✓0.401.9M2022-09-28
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.70991.5729-8.01%1.1359-33.57%0.2820✓0.991.1M2022-09-28
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0230850.021226-8.05%0.023761+2.93%0.1175✗0.11262k2022-09-28
ORCAOrcaSolana0.78240.718286-8.19%0.8512+8.79%0.2341✗1.46161k2022-09-28
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.295.7672-8.31%6-4.61%0.0599✓0.462.1M2022-09-28
GALAGALAEthereum0.05250.047993-8.58%0.0402-23.43%0.1329✓1.00248k2022-09-28
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.77785.2798-8.62%5.7785+0.01%0.0995✗0.215.2M2022-09-28
UOSUltraEthereum0.360850.329531-8.68%0.3548-1.68%0.1147✗0.92339k2022-09-28
LRCLoopringEthereum0.36640.33433-8.75%0.3014-17.74%0.0558✓1.09155k2022-09-28
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.467.7059-8.91%8.39-0.83%0.1066✗0.492.0M2022-09-28
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.5230.475883-9.01%0.4167-20.33%0.0966✓0.82586k2022-09-28
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10320.0939-9.01%0.0818-20.74%0.1041✓0.77235k2022-09-28
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.684.2578-9.02%5.4772+17.03%0.2959✗1.00150k2022-09-28
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.066510.060472-9.08%0.06091-8.42%0.0562✓1.112.1M2022-09-28
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9460.860117-9.08%0.857-9.41%0.0156✓0.444.2M2022-09-28
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.473.1513-9.18%2.45-29.39%0.1845✓1.533.8M2022-09-28
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.036770.033373-9.24%0.03038-17.38%0.0496✓1.0140k2022-09-28
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9890.894975-9.51%0.919-7.08%0.0817✓1.251.4M2022-09-28
XECeCashnative0.000049930.000045019-9.84%0.0000413-17.28%0.0480✓0.871.7M2022-09-28
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0014010.001257-10.26%0.001026-26.79%0.1682✓0.802.1M2022-09-28
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,081.728,148.19-10.28%8,208.22-9.62%0.0677✓1.376.5M2022-09-28
LUNATerraTerra 20.00013170.000117969-10.43%0.00027466+108.55%0.8797✗0.79366k2022-09-28
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.88113.4748-10.47%4.0247+3.70%0.1737✗0.613.3M2022-09-28
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.77711.4318-10.53%18.227+42.65%0.4888✗0.507.6M2022-09-28
CHZChilizEthereum0.21590.19257-10.81%0.2407+11.49%0.2592✗0.823.1M2022-09-28
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.2033.7054-11.84%3.749-10.80%0.0554✓0.99245k2022-09-28
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.65e-77.48e-7-13.50%5.90e-7-31.81%0.1994✓0.87930k2022-09-28
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.07745.1712-14.91%6.8966+13.48%0.3000✗0.275.2M2022-09-28
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.