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2022-08-26 · +30d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0912
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-1.81%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
57.0%
in alpha space · 78.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-7.08%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.57e-76.64e-7-12.31%4.79e-7-36.69%0.2657✓0.82192k2022-09-25
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.78814.2121-12.03%7.7616+62.10%0.6297✗0.254.2M2022-09-25
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.2253.7361-11.57%3.81-9.82%0.0917✓0.98269k2022-09-25
LUNATerraTerra 20.000123060.000110361-10.32%0.00019608+59.34%0.6382✗0.86340k2022-09-25
CHZChilizEthereum0.20770.186913-10.01%0.2555+23.01%0.3725✗0.822.8M2022-09-25
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.693.3341-9.65%3.974+7.70%0.2185✗0.593.5M2022-09-25
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013750.001242-9.63%0.001035-24.67%0.1234✓0.802.0M2022-09-25
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain11.74410.6184-9.58%18.429+56.92%0.5866✗0.484.8M2022-09-25
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.036890.033561-9.02%0.02945-20.17%0.0572✓1.0031k2022-09-25
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,981.548,180.98-8.91%8,084.45-9.99%0.0878✓1.367.3M2022-09-25
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.39830.36337-8.77%0.2949-25.96%0.1272✓1.11152k2022-09-25
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10060.091945-8.60%0.0879-12.62%0.0102✓0.75247k2022-09-25
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.317.6105-8.42%8.41+1.20%0.1330✗0.452.3M2022-09-25
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0231980.021259-8.36%0.025743+10.97%0.2001✗0.12250k2022-09-25
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.015860.014556-8.22%0.0107-32.53%0.2588✓0.67171k2022-09-25
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9250.850115-8.10%0.919-0.65%0.1673✗1.221.4M2022-09-25
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.72351.5855-8.01%1.163-32.52%0.2337✓1.041.2M2022-09-25
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.30273.9585-8.00%5.704+32.57%0.4387✗1.00169k2022-09-25
TRBTellor TributesEthereum37.3934.4913-7.75%15.23-59.27%0.7540✓0.871.8M2022-09-25
ORCAOrcaSolana0.80010.738173-7.74%0.8499+6.22%0.2460✗1.43193k2022-09-25
GALAGALAEthereum0.04980.045993-7.65%0.0406-18.47%0.0512✓1.00251k2022-09-25
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.975.5248-7.46%6.13+2.68%0.1354✗0.432.5M2022-09-25
UOSUltraEthereum0.340.314693-7.44%0.38138+12.17%0.2616✗0.95321k2022-09-25
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.08664.708-7.44%6.5495+28.76%0.3454✗0.215.1M2022-09-25
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1243.8214-7.34%3.981-3.47%0.0682✓0.371.9M2022-09-25
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085260.07901-7.33%0.07522-11.78%0.0443✓0.07637k2022-09-25
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0066650.006178-7.31%0.006393-4.08%0.0663✓0.4457k2022-09-25
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.55410.7166-7.25%13.976+20.96%0.3479✗1.1210.4M2022-09-25
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5460.506686-7.20%0.465-14.84%0.0055✓1.0996k2022-09-25
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1493.8505-7.19%4.058-2.19%0.0626✓0.142.4M2022-09-25
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.47730.443217-7.14%0.4159-12.86%0.0032✓0.82625k2022-09-25
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9280.861794-7.13%0.862-7.11%0.0304✓0.414.2M2022-09-25
LRCLoopringEthereum0.35560.331061-6.90%0.295-17.04%0.0339✓1.11175k2022-09-25
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.063210.058966-6.71%0.06083-3.77%0.1134✗1.122.4M2022-09-25
BTTCBTTC8.70e-78.12e-7-6.70%7.70e-7-11.49%0.0058✓0.802.4M2022-09-25
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.045.6397-6.63%6.91+14.40%0.2341✗0.422.1M2022-09-25
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.24891.1664-6.61%1.1659-6.65%0.0685✗0.941.5M2022-09-25
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22450.209819-6.54%0.1759-21.65%0.0787✓1.33133k2022-09-25
LCXLCXEthereum0.05990.055991-6.53%0.0464-22.54%0.1041✓1.14258k2022-09-25
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.28310.264747-6.48%0.3884+37.20%0.4512✗0.937.6M2022-09-25
UMAUMAEthereum2.72.5254-6.47%2.367-12.33%0.0018✓0.86749k2022-09-25
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.60e-78.05e-7-6.41%7.80e-7-9.30%0.0286✓0.8217k2022-09-25
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014860.001391-6.39%0.001431-3.70%0.0812✗0.729,9742022-09-25
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.6321.5279-6.38%1.21-25.86%0.1446✓1.2196k2022-09-25
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.6925.33-6.36%5.84+2.60%0.1191✗0.385.3M2022-09-25
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.6819.3667-6.35%17.32-16.25%0.0170✓1.2923.6M2022-09-25
ETCEthereum Classicnative33.9131.7581-6.35%28.38-16.31%0.0068✓1.4416.0M2022-09-25
HIVEHivenative0.53430.500413-6.34%0.4965-7.07%0.0571✓0.881.6M2022-09-25
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023340.021875-6.28%0.01924-17.57%0.0714✓0.78444k2022-09-25
ETHEthereumEthereum1,508.021,413.65-6.26%1,294.63-14.15%0.0107✓1.34608.4M2022-09-25
XVSVenusEthereum5.134.8094-6.25%4.7-8.38%0.0400✓0.861.6M2022-09-25
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.539.8826-6.15%9.24-12.25%0.0197✓1.19466k2022-09-25
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.312.5088-5.95%12.39-6.84%0.0808✗1.231.2M2022-09-25
MOVRMoonriverBase12.120111.4091-5.87%10.7033-11.69%0.0069✓0.9639k2022-09-25
RADRadworksEthereum2.252.121-5.73%2.03-9.78%0.0142✓0.79451k2022-09-25
XYMSymbolnative0.0454970.042888-5.73%0.037449-17.69%0.0976✓0.5233k2022-09-25
RARESuperRareEthereum0.19730.186032-5.71%0.16-18.91%0.0774✓1.00152k2022-09-25
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.291.2166-5.69%1.13-12.40%0.0032✓0.96182k2022-09-25
UNIUniswapEthereum6.1545.8058-5.66%5.659-8.04%0.0705✗1.3110.3M2022-09-25
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007650.007221-5.60%0.0069-9.80%0.0371✓1.13503k2022-09-25
DASHDashDash44.341.8281-5.58%41.11-7.20%0.0546✓0.98504k2022-09-25
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.2216.2637-5.55%15.04-12.66%0.0261✓0.711.2M2022-09-25
ELAElastosEthereum1.7731.6746-5.55%1.389-21.66%0.1177✓0.94145k2022-09-25
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012430.000011742-5.54%0.00001103-11.26%0.0067✓0.94948k2022-09-25
DODODODOEthereum0.12730.120299-5.50%0.1222-4.01%0.0867✗0.971.9M2022-09-25
CTSICartesiEthereum0.13960.131926-5.50%0.138-1.15%0.1170✗0.98638k2022-09-25
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.6715.3599-5.49%5.717+0.81%0.1280✗0.8710.1M2022-09-25
QTUMQtumQtum3.12052.95-5.46%2.7901-10.59%0.0185✓1.0128k2022-09-25
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.162.0444-5.35%1.74-19.44%0.0705✓1.24299k2022-09-25
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.326.9317-5.30%6.34-13.39%0.0076✓1.11638k2022-09-25
METISMetisEthereum31.129.4624-5.27%23.75-23.63%0.0774✓1.88348k2022-09-25
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.003120.002956-5.26%0.002104-32.56%0.2745✓0.891.1M2022-09-25
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27920.264503-5.26%0.2739-1.90%0.1050✗0.963.4M2022-09-25
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV52.14749.4031-5.26%48.082-7.80%0.0276✓0.75340k2022-09-25
KCSKuCoinnative9.2328.7467-5.26%8.909-3.50%0.0882✗0.951.8M2022-09-25
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.7232.581-5.22%2.321-14.76%0.0102✓1.594.0M2022-09-25
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066250.062803-5.20%0.06309-4.77%0.0646✗0.829142022-09-25
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26110.247674-5.14%0.1178-54.88%0.7425✓0.0191k2022-09-25
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.5046.1714-5.11%7.869+20.99%0.3215✗1.0719.5M2022-09-25
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10240.097222-5.06%0.1012-1.17%0.1205✗1.103.9M2022-09-25
FORTFortaEthereum0.26450.251136-5.05%0.1614-38.98%0.3732✓0.94106k2022-09-25
GTGateEthereum4.37994.1599-5.02%4.2146-3.77%0.0695✗0.77827k2022-09-25
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.9226.5769-4.99%6.206-10.34%0.0174✓1.0314.0M2022-09-25
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5090.483732-4.96%0.458-10.02%0.0293✓1.1488k2022-09-25
PROPropyEthereum0.730.693768-4.96%0.65-10.96%0.0394✓0.35105k2022-09-25
BANDBandEthereum1.2231.1626-4.94%1.22-0.25%0.1390✗1.24534k2022-09-25
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12070.114736-4.94%0.1275+5.63%0.1806✗1.0233k2022-09-25
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06340.060282-4.92%0.0564-11.04%0.0002✓0.91116k2022-09-25
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10290.097842-4.92%0.0987-4.08%0.0726✗0.87238k2022-09-25
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05740.05458-4.91%0.0543-5.40%0.0612✗0.90104k2022-09-25
ZENHorizenBase15.5214.759-4.90%13.77-11.28%0.0125✓1.12130k2022-09-25
QNTQuantEthereum98.2393.4278-4.89%116.27+18.37%0.2814✗0.853.5M2022-09-25
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash116.16110.4825-4.89%113.48-2.31%0.1101✗1.134.9M2022-09-25
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12460.118571-4.84%0.1109-11.00%0.0247✓0.584.1M2022-09-25
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06260.059572-4.84%0.055-12.14%0.0099✓1.221.0M2022-09-25
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.234.9776-4.83%5.36+2.49%0.1037✗0.402.8M2022-09-25
AAVEAaveEthereum82.7278.7326-4.82%73.64-10.98%0.0467✓1.556.7M2022-09-25
BFCBifrostEthereum0.070150.066803-4.77%0.06038-13.93%0.0136✓1.1929k2022-09-25
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0351.9379-4.77%1.695-16.71%0.0490✓1.1655k2022-09-25
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03580.034097-4.76%0.0331-7.54%0.0389✓0.9386k2022-09-25
XTZTezosTezos1.48281.4125-4.74%1.4603-1.52%0.1143✗1.10355k2022-09-25
SUSHISushiEthereum1.06851.018-4.73%1.0388-2.78%0.1118✗1.25981k2022-09-25
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.77411.6903-4.72%1.7094-3.64%0.0906✗1.0838k2022-09-25
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2890820.275449-4.72%0.268444-7.14%0.0545✗1.09696k2022-09-25
IMXImmutableEthereum0.77510.738678-4.70%0.7301-5.81%0.0683✗1.092.1M2022-09-25
AVTAventusEthereum1.361.2962-4.69%1.43+5.15%0.0954✗-0.04124k2022-09-25
COMPCompoundEthereum45.9243.7666-4.69%61.45+33.82%0.4302✗1.2414k2022-09-25
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.7485.4803-4.66%5.911+2.84%0.1442✗0.935.2M2022-09-25
NANOnanopayBase0.88010.839143-4.65%0.784151-10.90%0.0084✓0.8184k2022-09-25
ADACardanoCardano0.43170.411711-4.63%0.4463+3.38%0.1572✗1.0440.7M2022-09-25
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.131480.125407-4.62%0.12204-7.18%0.0627✗1.22210k2022-09-25
GMTGMTEthereum0.70530.672771-4.61%0.618-12.38%0.0205✓1.44258k2022-09-25
BORABORAKlay Token0.280990.268073-4.60%0.24186-13.93%0.0259✓1.0512k2022-09-25
XLMStellarStellar0.1038590.099106-4.58%0.117358+13.00%0.2320✗0.867.8M2022-09-25
AMPAmpEthereum0.006570.00627-4.57%0.00478-27.25%0.2238✓0.651.2M2022-09-25
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.44910.4286-4.56%0.4357-2.98%0.0987✗1.12400k2022-09-25
XEMNEMnative0.0438050.041808-4.56%0.039806-9.13%0.0138✓0.8632k2022-09-25
LSKLiskEthereum1.05081.0031-4.54%0.955083-9.11%0.0138✓0.8653k2022-09-25
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0207260.019793-4.50%0.019355-6.61%0.0385✓0.8313k2022-09-25
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6470.618019-4.48%0.573-11.44%0.0101✓0.89253k2022-09-25
STEEMSteemnative0.22130.211495-4.43%0.2183-1.36%0.0985✗0.91528k2022-09-25
COTICOTIEthereum0.08870.084789-4.41%0.1073+20.97%0.3054✗0.95430k2022-09-25
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2740.261974-4.39%0.25-8.76%0.0068✓0.73826k2022-09-25
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.9421.8576-4.35%1.589-18.18%0.0302✓1.72106k2022-09-25
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6620.633682-4.28%0.601-9.21%0.0161✓0.94304k2022-09-25
STORJStorjEthereum0.556410.532726-4.26%0.45533-18.17%0.0626✓1.2945k2022-09-25
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1511.1022-4.24%1.072-6.86%0.0447✗0.992.1M2022-09-25
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7744.5718-4.24%5.722+19.86%0.3247✗1.379.8M2022-09-25
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037830.036237-4.21%0.03412-9.81%0.0001✓0.822,8422022-09-25
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.154180.147804-4.14%0.16721+8.45%0.2762✗2.086042022-09-25
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.170.162983-4.13%0.14748-13.25%0.0205✓1.08464k2022-09-25
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,240.7219,410.15-4.10%18,808.61-7.08%0.0419✗1.00485.5M2022-09-25
XMRMoneroMonero142.81137.0399-4.04%141.32-1.04%0.1045✗1.001.2M2022-09-25
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.670.642931-4.04%0.552-17.61%0.0587✓1.285.2M2022-09-25
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.474.2902-4.02%4.61+3.13%0.1059✗0.461.3M2022-09-25
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008480.008141-4.00%0.00683-19.46%0.1188✓0.776.4M2022-09-25
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08570.082275-4.00%0.0811-5.37%0.0543✗0.9414k2022-09-25
C98Coin98Ethereum0.38790.372472-3.98%0.3536-8.84%0.0305✓1.1289k2022-09-25
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03780.03631-3.94%0.0409+8.20%0.1809✗0.8411k2022-09-25
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.492.3925-3.91%1.97-20.88%0.1568✓0.5193k2022-09-25
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20820.200166-3.86%0.1962-5.76%0.0547✗1.0266k2022-09-25
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.95780.921104-3.83%0.8636-9.84%0.0248✓1.221.0M2022-09-25
OPTIMOptimism1.0190.980285-3.80%0.904-11.29%0.0468✗1.743.5M2022-09-25
API3Api3Ethereum1.6831.6197-3.76%1.593-5.35%0.0527✗0.95782k2022-09-25
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0635310.061145-3.76%0.061274-3.55%0.0784✗1.041.9M2022-09-25
LTCLitecoinLitecoin52.7150.7329-3.75%52.55-0.30%0.1081✗0.9913.1M2022-09-25
XECeCashnative0.000036680.000035308-3.74%0.0000401+9.32%0.1930✗0.901.7M2022-09-25
KSMKusamaHydration44.5242.9006-3.64%40.47-9.10%0.0146✓0.99610k2022-09-25
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04720.045497-3.61%0.0373-20.97%0.1269✓0.98843k2022-09-25
XVGVergenative0.003030.002922-3.56%0.00325+7.26%0.1821✗1.03537k2022-09-25
GLMGolemEthereum0.24330.234743-3.52%0.2691+10.60%0.2069✗0.9683k2022-09-25
MANADecentralandEthereum0.778130.752159-3.34%0.69888-10.18%0.0061✓0.92523k2022-09-25
SCSiacoinnative0.003910.00378-3.31%0.00353-9.72%0.0045✓1.00158k2022-09-25
ZECZcashZcash61.159.1177-3.24%56.19-8.04%0.0323✓1.132.0M2022-09-25
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.05291.0192-3.20%0.8882-15.64%0.0280✓1.494.9M2022-09-25
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4310.417471-3.14%0.397-7.89%0.0222✓0.998,3142022-09-25
CELLCellframeEthereum0.33230.32199-3.10%0.2916-12.25%0.0142✓1.16112k2022-09-25
DIADIAEthereum0.368280.357104-3.03%0.37615+2.14%0.1228✗0.9753k2022-09-25
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.013330.012931-2.99%0.011757-11.80%0.0482✓0.641.4M2022-09-25
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.14944.9971-2.96%4.0999-20.38%0.1877✓0.14158k2022-09-25
STXStacksnative0.36120.350574-2.94%0.3268-9.52%0.0154✓1.17450k2022-09-25
SOLSolanaSolana31.7430.8192-2.90%32.33+1.86%0.1328✗1.1670.1M2022-09-25
FLOWFlownative1.8511.7992-2.80%1.644-11.18%0.0073✓1.331.2M2022-09-25
FTTFTXEthereum25.9725.2529-2.76%23.5-9.51%0.0017✓0.967.5M2022-09-25
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.021860.021261-2.74%0.02274+4.03%0.1294✗0.8513.4M2022-09-25
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04330.042123-2.72%0.0412-4.85%0.0500✗0.98180k2022-09-25
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.02460.023934-2.71%0.02108-14.31%0.0330✓1.283,4352022-09-25
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.336050.327292-2.61%0.30082-10.48%0.0124✓0.9870k2022-09-25
WOOWOOEthereum0.15620.152191-2.57%0.1352-13.44%0.0387✓1.091,8902022-09-25
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044580.04351-2.40%0.04104-7.94%0.0074✓0.7016k2022-09-25
GITCOINGITCOIN2.16622.1159-2.32%1.7195-20.62%0.1175✓1.2313k2022-09-25
CVCCivicEthereum0.1430.139707-2.30%0.129-9.79%0.0053✓1.01190k2022-09-25
SUNSun TokenTron0.0055380.005417-2.20%0.004975-10.17%0.0357✓0.672,6192022-09-25
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10120.099026-2.15%0.0892-11.86%0.0519✓0.723,6712022-09-25
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015660.001533-2.10%0.001554-0.77%0.0858✗0.98558k2022-09-25
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.2712.0141-2.09%13.81+12.55%0.2221✗1.131.9M2022-09-25
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.95920.939474-2.06%0.9007-6.10%0.0010✓0.563.6M2022-09-25
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.331610.32505-1.98%0.4743+43.03%0.4506✗0.99418k2022-09-25
CHRChromiaEthereum0.16190.158927-1.84%0.1575-2.72%0.0923✗1.382,1742022-09-25
CBKCobakEthereum0.867510.853191-1.65%0.79361-8.52%0.0005✓0.9813k2022-09-25
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.33970.334695-1.47%0.3346-1.50%0.0908✗1.24191k2022-09-25
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.3861.3673-1.35%1.35-2.60%0.0737✗1.18130k2022-09-25
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.6812.6462-1.30%3.035+13.20%0.1858✗0.66653k2022-09-25
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5170.511089-1.14%0.376-27.27%0.2167✓1.232,6092022-09-25
TRXTRONTron0.0615520.061032-0.84%0.0597-3.01%0.0214✗0.59151k2022-09-25
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,587.8020,432.78-0.75%18,700.00-9.17%0.0192✓0.9513k2022-09-25
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.