8=======>

2022-08-25 · +30d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1136
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+0.68%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
65.1%
in alpha space · 87.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-12.24%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,605.6021,516.04-0.41%18,988.80-12.11%0.0008✓0.9512k2022-09-24
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18370.181365-1.27%0.1619-11.87%0.0639✗1.362,2552022-09-24
TRXTRONTron0.0654990.064618-1.34%0.059922-8.51%0.0003✓0.58151k2022-09-24
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,561.8621,103.69-2.12%18,923.20-12.24%0.0215✓1.00485.5M2022-09-24
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10980.107356-2.23%0.0908-17.30%0.0761✓0.703,6712022-09-24
PROPropyEthereum0.730.710133-2.72%0.6-17.81%0.1209✓0.36105k2022-09-24
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13090.127289-2.76%0.1318+0.69%0.1672✗1.0135k2022-09-24
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03890.03774-2.98%0.0335-13.88%0.0013✓0.9286k2022-09-24
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.580.562539-3.01%0.387-33.28%0.2148✓1.222,3272022-09-24
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09090.088095-3.09%0.0824-9.35%0.0580✗0.9613k2022-09-24
LTCLitecoinLitecoin56.6254.7875-3.24%53.43-5.63%0.1040✗0.9913.5M2022-09-24
XVGVergenative0.003280.003168-3.41%0.00321-2.13%0.1478✗1.03537k2022-09-24
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22890.220865-3.51%0.2052-10.35%0.0574✗1.0070k2022-09-24
STEEMSteemnative0.24180.2332-3.56%0.2268-6.20%0.0892✗0.90510k2022-09-24
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04070.03924-3.59%0.0392-3.69%0.1083✗0.8411k2022-09-24
CVCCivicEthereum0.15750.1518-3.62%0.1301-17.40%0.0239✓1.00178k2022-09-24
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047920.046126-3.74%0.0406-15.28%0.0391✓0.6816k2022-09-24
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.17414.9777-3.80%4.2695-17.48%0.1346✓0.14158k2022-09-24
API3Api3Ethereum1.9431.8671-3.91%1.578-18.79%0.0499✓0.91782k2022-09-24
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.027320.026234-3.98%0.02171-20.53%0.0238✓1.273,4352022-09-24
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11160.107027-4.10%0.1001-10.30%0.0454✗0.86255k2022-09-24
SOLSolanaSolana35.2533.8056-4.10%33.38-5.30%0.1374✗1.1570.1M2022-09-24
GTGateEthereum4.5674.378-4.14%4.2479-6.99%0.0707✗0.77827k2022-09-24
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009140.008761-4.14%0.00697-23.74%0.1297✓0.766.4M2022-09-24
STXStacksnative0.39980.382871-4.23%0.3317-17.03%0.0072✓1.15470k2022-09-24
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023030.022053-4.24%0.01924-16.46%0.0315✓0.80419k2022-09-24
FTTFTXEthereum27.9426.7507-4.26%23.68-15.25%0.0022✓0.957.5M2022-09-24
KCSKuCoinnative9.7639.344-4.29%8.909-8.75%0.0769✗0.951.8M2022-09-24
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0144820.013853-4.34%0.011796-18.55%0.0788✓0.631.4M2022-09-24
STORJStorjEthereum0.608460.581848-4.37%0.46599-23.41%0.0548✓1.2845k2022-09-24
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0691720.066127-4.40%0.063176-8.67%0.0887✗1.031.7M2022-09-24
ZECZcashZcash67.7564.7632-4.41%55.64-17.87%0.0061✓1.122.0M2022-09-24
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.672.5512-4.45%1.94-27.34%0.2092✓0.5093k2022-09-24
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06030.057609-4.46%0.0544-9.78%0.0612✗0.91112k2022-09-24
AVTAventusEthereum1.441.3756-4.48%1.42-1.39%0.0238✓-0.06115k2022-09-24
AMPAmpEthereum0.007040.006719-4.56%0.00493-29.97%0.2263✓0.641.2M2022-09-24
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058560.005587-4.60%0.00497-15.13%0.0297✓0.672,6192022-09-24
SCSiacoinnative0.00420.004007-4.60%0.00356-15.24%0.0108✓0.99152k2022-09-24
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.37540.357784-4.69%0.3197-14.84%0.0487✗1.23205k2022-09-24
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.30560.291239-4.70%0.2788-8.77%0.0798✗0.953.4M2022-09-24
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2960.281998-4.73%0.252-14.86%0.0187✓0.72826k2022-09-24
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.365110.347837-4.73%0.37942+3.92%0.2142✗0.98435k2022-09-24
XMRMoneroMonero153.94146.6456-4.74%141.98-7.77%0.0972✗0.991.2M2022-09-24
IMXImmutableEthereum0.86580.824652-4.75%0.7405-14.47%0.0329✓1.082.2M2022-09-24
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.039930.038005-4.82%0.03492-12.55%0.0218✓0.822,7072022-09-24
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.49610.471911-4.88%0.4369-11.93%0.0681✗1.11400k2022-09-24
APEApeCoinEthereum5.3795.1156-4.90%5.425+0.86%0.2351✗1.3510.1M2022-09-24
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04690.044596-4.91%0.0418-10.87%0.0624✗0.97182k2022-09-24
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.165330.157199-4.92%0.16399-0.81%0.3182✗2.116042022-09-24
XECeCashnative0.000039470.000037522-4.94%0.00003974+0.68%0.1732✗0.891.7M2022-09-24
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash130.69124.1657-4.99%117.26-10.28%0.0882✗1.114.9M2022-09-24
ADACardanoCardano0.46420.440981-5.00%0.4511-2.82%0.1582✗1.0440.7M2022-09-24
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06910.065627-5.03%0.058-16.06%0.0060✓0.90116k2022-09-24
XTZTezosTezos1.6691.5845-5.06%1.4784-11.42%0.0728✗1.09355k2022-09-24
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.374150.355175-5.07%0.30895-17.43%0.0142✓0.9687k2022-09-24
XYMSymbolnative0.0473860.044976-5.09%0.037461-20.95%0.1145✓0.5233k2022-09-24
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.136.76-5.19%7.625+6.94%0.2587✗1.0619.5M2022-09-24
LSKLiskEthereum1.13421.0747-5.24%0.948552-16.37%0.0140✓0.8553k2022-09-24
XLMStellarStellar0.1104010.104605-5.25%0.11814+7.01%0.2332✗0.857.8M2022-09-24
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3216440.30472-5.26%0.272484-15.28%0.0287✓1.08743k2022-09-24
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.5837.1777-5.34%6.27-17.32%0.0019✓1.0214.0M2022-09-24
MANADecentralandEthereum0.840180.794966-5.38%0.70794-15.74%0.0029✓0.91507k2022-09-24
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4580.433068-5.44%0.398-13.10%0.0451✓0.998,8922022-09-24
BTTCBTTC9.20e-78.70e-7-5.47%7.90e-7-14.13%0.0077✓0.792.4M2022-09-24
XVSVenusEthereum5.695.3741-5.55%4.67-17.93%0.0312✓0.841.6M2022-09-24
COTICOTIEthereum0.09890.093387-5.57%0.1064+7.58%0.2522✗0.93430k2022-09-24
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5710.539109-5.59%0.47-17.69%0.0094✓1.1288k2022-09-24
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05290.049926-5.62%0.0379-28.36%0.1514✓0.95877k2022-09-24
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.070310.066351-5.63%0.0639-9.12%0.0687✗0.819142022-09-24
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.9911.8784-5.66%1.7298-13.12%0.0561✓1.0633k2022-09-24
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1910.180164-5.67%0.14704-23.02%0.0646✓1.06500k2022-09-24
CBKCobakEthereum0.951410.896854-5.73%0.80386-15.51%0.0162✓0.9613k2022-09-24
GLMGolemEthereum0.26260.247498-5.75%0.2769+5.45%0.2363✗0.9583k2022-09-24
COMPCompoundEthereum51.4848.5076-5.77%60.6+17.72%0.3818✗1.2215k2022-09-24
ZENHorizenBase17.1916.1954-5.79%14.09-18.03%0.0043✓1.10130k2022-09-24
NANOnanopayBase0.9588910.903362-5.79%0.796-16.99%0.0225✓0.8084k2022-09-24
MOVRMoonriverBase13.461512.6815-5.79%10.8104-19.69%0.0358✓0.9539k2022-09-24
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.04850.987522-5.82%0.8876-15.35%0.0508✓1.211.0M2022-09-24
CTSICartesiEthereum0.1550.145976-5.82%0.139-10.32%0.0769✗0.96668k2022-09-24
LCXLCXEthereum0.06360.059871-5.86%0.0464-27.04%0.1046✓1.15258k2022-09-24
SUSHISushiEthereum1.20061.1297-5.91%1.069-10.96%0.1061✗1.24981k2022-09-24
WOOWOOEthereum0.17250.162297-5.91%0.1359-21.22%0.0387✓1.061,7802022-09-24
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.61552.3236-5.92%49.307-11.34%0.0369✓0.74332k2022-09-24
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.0080.948155-5.94%0.9169-9.04%0.0382✓0.553.6M2022-09-24
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2621.1865-5.99%1.08-14.42%0.0338✓0.982.1M2022-09-24
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.143260.134682-5.99%0.12433-13.21%0.0796✗1.22213k2022-09-24
ELAElastosEthereum1.8561.7441-6.03%1.416-23.71%0.0832✓0.96146k2022-09-24
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000013930.000013083-6.08%0.00001124-19.31%0.0321✓0.92900k2022-09-24
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0034950.00328-6.16%0.002211-36.74%0.2819✓0.861.1M2022-09-24
C98Coin98Ethereum0.42470.398513-6.17%0.3626-14.62%0.0510✓1.1189k2022-09-24
FORTFortaEthereum0.26920.252521-6.20%0.1635-39.26%0.3066✓0.98109k2022-09-24
DASHDashDash49.1846.1314-6.20%41.6-15.41%0.0222✓0.96504k2022-09-24
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7440.697608-6.24%0.607-18.41%0.0196✓0.92322k2022-09-24
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.10e-78.53e-7-6.24%8.30e-7-8.79%0.0789✗0.8217k2022-09-24
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0017620.001652-6.26%0.001558-11.58%0.0589✓0.90590k2022-09-24
BORABORAKlay Token0.304110.284972-6.29%0.24602-19.10%0.0109✓1.0413k2022-09-24
AAVEAaveEthereum93.3587.4363-6.33%74.94-19.72%0.0463✓1.546.7M2022-09-24
DIADIAEthereum0.411010.38496-6.34%0.37751-8.15%0.1036✗0.9462k2022-09-24
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23840.223272-6.35%0.1752-26.51%0.0663✓1.35133k2022-09-24
UOSUltraEthereum0.374470.350658-6.36%0.381+1.74%0.2037✗0.93321k2022-09-24
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26080.244191-6.37%0.1188-54.45%0.7192✓0.0187k2022-09-24
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.181.1048-6.38%0.9213-21.92%0.0122✓1.484.9M2022-09-24
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023910.022379-6.40%0.02275-4.85%0.1281✗0.8613.4M2022-09-24
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30740.287699-6.41%0.3853+25.34%0.4116✗0.927.8M2022-09-24
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.00680.006361-6.46%0.006417-5.63%0.0663✓0.4457k2022-09-24
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.431.3376-6.46%1.18-17.48%0.0014✓0.95182k2022-09-24
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.084050.078589-6.50%0.07767-7.59%0.0000✓0.09637k2022-09-24
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.38941.2982-6.56%1.173-15.58%0.0184✓0.921.5M2022-09-24
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.0042.8066-6.57%3.023+0.63%0.1568✗0.63669k2022-09-24
HIVEHivenative0.56910.531426-6.62%0.5008-12.00%0.0562✓0.881.7M2022-09-24
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.3810.6247-6.64%9.37-17.66%0.0286✓1.18439k2022-09-24
GALAGALAEthereum0.05480.051153-6.66%0.0414-24.45%0.0824✓0.99256k2022-09-24
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2892.136-6.68%1.739-24.03%0.0565✓1.1460k2022-09-24
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7340.68449-6.75%0.564-23.16%0.0195✓1.335.0M2022-09-24
BANDBandEthereum1.3831.289-6.80%1.19-13.96%0.0793✗1.22534k2022-09-24
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.192.041-6.80%1.652-24.57%0.0130✓1.72114k2022-09-24
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.81051.6868-6.83%1.1961-33.94%0.2058✓1.06980k2022-09-24
BFCBifrostEthereum0.075880.070694-6.83%0.06277-17.28%0.0362✓1.1929k2022-09-24
UMAUMAEthereum2.9462.7337-7.21%2.398-18.60%0.0212✓0.84749k2022-09-24
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.612.6171-7.23%13.63+0.22%0.2226✗1.111.9M2022-09-24
LRCLoopringEthereum0.3950.36632-7.26%0.2967-24.89%0.0682✓1.09174k2022-09-24
RADRadworksEthereum2.322.1502-7.32%2.1-9.48%0.0803✗0.80520k2022-09-24
AUCTIONBounceEthereum8.067.46-7.44%6.54-18.86%0.0123✓1.10638k2022-09-24
XEMNEMnative0.0478160.044254-7.45%0.04064-15.01%0.0246✓0.8432k2022-09-24
RARESuperRareEthereum0.21790.201569-7.49%0.1697-22.12%0.0416✓1.00149k2022-09-24
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos12.84711.8828-7.51%13.638+6.16%0.2815✗1.1010.4M2022-09-24
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.60.554568-7.57%0.451-24.83%0.0646✓1.09102k2022-09-24
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11590.107065-7.62%0.1006-13.20%0.0773✓1.073.7M2022-09-24
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.846.3178-7.63%6.68-2.34%0.1049✗0.382.1M2022-09-24
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015970.001474-7.68%0.001515-5.13%0.1200✗0.719,9742022-09-24
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9980.921362-7.68%0.931-6.71%0.1699✗1.221.3M2022-09-24
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.054.6596-7.73%4.45-11.88%0.0081✓0.411.3M2022-09-24
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13780.127124-7.75%0.1132-17.85%0.0443✓0.553.9M2022-09-24
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche22.9821.1946-7.77%17.6-23.41%0.0179✓1.2924.1M2022-09-24
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0225110.02076-7.78%0.019685-12.55%0.0531✓0.8113k2022-09-24
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.118.3985-7.81%8.33-8.56%0.0477✓0.432.4M2022-09-24
UNIUniswapEthereum7.0236.473-7.83%5.794-17.50%0.0572✓1.2910.3M2022-09-24
DODODODOEthereum0.14080.129751-7.85%0.1278-9.23%0.1089✗0.951.9M2022-09-24
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06760.062268-7.89%0.0553-18.20%0.0406✓1.221.0M2022-09-24
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.4216.9659-7.89%15.1-18.02%0.0254✓0.701.4M2022-09-24
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0233430.021496-7.91%0.026013+11.44%0.2045✗0.11250k2022-09-24
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.7213.5445-7.99%12.7-13.72%0.0949✗1.221.3M2022-09-24
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11240.103398-8.01%0.0864-23.13%0.0884✓0.70250k2022-09-24
CELLCellframeEthereum0.37170.341818-8.04%0.2903-21.90%0.0156✓1.13111k2022-09-24
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5411.4164-8.09%1.368-11.23%0.1172✗1.16138k2022-09-24
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50980.468357-8.13%0.4153-18.54%0.0139✓0.81625k2022-09-24
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.0212.7745-8.16%2.41-20.23%0.0651✓1.584.0M2022-09-24
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.7114.3141-8.42%3.923-16.73%0.0839✓0.092.4M2022-09-24
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.3565.819-8.45%5.575-12.29%0.0670✓0.8410.1M2022-09-24
QTUMQtumQtum3.47713.1826-8.47%2.849-18.06%0.0183✓0.9930k2022-09-24
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,795.518,961.84-8.51%8,220.83-16.08%0.0906✗1.367.3M2022-09-24
KSMKusamaHydration48.5444.3981-8.53%41.14-15.25%0.0522✓0.98607k2022-09-24
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7240.660991-8.70%0.591-18.37%0.0017✓0.87253k2022-09-24
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.482.2623-8.78%1.81-27.02%0.0651✓1.21299k2022-09-24
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.5495.9694-8.85%5.479-16.34%0.0444✓0.325.3M2022-09-24
GITCOINGITCOIN2.47642.2568-8.87%1.8174-26.61%0.0599✓1.2013k2022-09-24
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.25273.8745-8.89%3.6408-14.39%0.0078✓0.542.9M2022-09-24
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008010.007295-8.93%0.00708-11.61%0.1184✗1.14513k2022-09-24
ETHEthereumEthereum1,695.271,543.07-8.98%1,317.25-22.30%0.0154✓1.33608.4M2022-09-24
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.041110.037388-9.05%0.03006-26.88%0.0900✓0.9828k2022-09-24
QNTQuantEthereum106.7997.06-9.11%114.65+7.36%0.2763✗0.843.5M2022-09-24
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.811.6447-9.13%1.237-31.66%0.1294✓1.19103k2022-09-24
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.86.1763-9.17%6.03-11.32%0.0248✓0.372.7M2022-09-24
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9230.838293-9.18%0.874-5.31%0.0976✗0.434.2M2022-09-24
METISMetisEthereum35.2331.9784-9.23%24.66-30.00%0.0162✓1.87365k2022-09-24
LUNATerraTerra 20.000131320.000119062-9.33%0.00022573+71.89%0.7462✗0.82340k2022-09-24
FLOWFlownative2.1371.9343-9.48%1.678-21.48%0.0275✓1.301.2M2022-09-24
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.016660.015079-9.49%0.01037-37.76%0.2871✓0.67173k2022-09-24
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.1433.5885-9.56%28.66-22.83%0.0283✓1.4316.0M2022-09-24
GMTGMTEthereum0.7910.714857-9.63%0.6362-19.57%0.0689✓1.42259k2022-09-24
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.3525.7342-9.73%6.057-4.64%0.1746✗0.925.2M2022-09-24
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.38010.342528-9.88%0.2999-21.10%0.0315✓1.26152k2022-09-24
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.069790.062718-10.13%0.06107-12.49%0.1177✗1.112.4M2022-09-24
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain13.86212.3675-10.78%17.384+25.41%0.3953✗0.423.8M2022-09-24
ORCAOrcaSolana0.81970.73052-10.88%0.8516+3.89%0.3442✗1.46205k2022-09-24
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.7214.2005-11.03%3.906-17.26%0.0517✓0.95225k2022-09-24
TRBTellor TributesEthereum37.8933.6595-11.17%14.95-60.54%0.6969✓0.881.8M2022-09-24
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.6824.1477-11.41%3.917-16.34%0.0155✓0.321.9M2022-09-24
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015250.001345-11.80%0.001057-30.73%0.1406✓0.772.0M2022-09-24
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.30773.7831-12.18%5.2757+22.47%0.4631✗1.00171k2022-09-24
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.71975.0107-12.40%5.9377+3.81%0.1898✗0.155.0M2022-09-24
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.865.1292-12.47%5.32-9.22%0.0856✓0.382.9M2022-09-24
CHZChilizEthereum0.22450.1959-12.74%0.2653+18.17%0.4082✗0.802.6M2022-09-24
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.57664.8413-13.19%6.738+20.83%0.3542✗0.183.5M2022-09-24
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.04e-76.90e-7-14.12%5.04e-7-37.36%0.2105✓0.80192k2022-09-24
OPTIMOptimism1.1781.0055-14.64%0.919-21.99%0.1348✓1.723.6M2022-09-24
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.