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2022-08-25 · +30d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0753
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-7.01%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
65.1%
in alpha space · 87.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-12.24%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.57664.7464-14.89%6.738+20.83%0.3740✗0.183.5M2022-09-24
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.7214.0534-14.14%3.906-17.26%0.0873✓0.95225k2022-09-24
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.04e-76.96e-7-13.46%5.04e-7-37.36%0.2182✓0.80192k2022-09-24
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.25273.7452-11.93%3.6408-14.39%0.0417✓0.542.9M2022-09-24
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,795.518,636.58-11.83%8,220.83-16.08%0.1276✗1.367.3M2022-09-24
LUNATerraTerra 20.000131320.00011611-11.58%0.00022573+71.89%0.7713✗0.82340k2022-09-24
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015250.001349-11.57%0.001057-30.73%0.1433✓0.772.0M2022-09-24
CHZChilizEthereum0.22450.198584-11.54%0.2653+18.17%0.3946✗0.802.6M2022-09-24
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain13.86212.2717-11.47%17.384+25.41%0.4031✗0.423.8M2022-09-24
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.041110.036699-10.73%0.03006-26.88%0.0714✓0.9828k2022-09-24
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.118.141-10.64%8.33-8.56%0.0789✓0.432.4M2022-09-24
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9980.896933-10.13%0.931-6.71%0.1968✗1.221.3M2022-09-24
UOSUltraEthereum0.374470.337535-9.86%0.381+1.74%0.2419✗0.93321k2022-09-24
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.6824.2208-9.85%3.917-16.34%0.0330✓0.321.9M2022-09-24
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11240.101694-9.53%0.0864-23.13%0.0718✓0.70250k2022-09-24
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.069790.063192-9.45%0.06107-12.49%0.1101✗1.112.4M2022-09-24
DODODODOEthereum0.14080.127539-9.42%0.1278-9.23%0.1260✗0.951.9M2022-09-24
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.71975.1869-9.32%5.9377+3.81%0.1553✗0.155.0M2022-09-24
LRCLoopringEthereum0.3950.358258-9.30%0.2967-24.89%0.0459✓1.09174k2022-09-24
ORCAOrcaSolana0.81970.744436-9.18%0.8516+3.89%0.3253✗1.46205k2022-09-24
TRBTellor TributesEthereum37.8934.4138-9.17%14.95-60.54%0.7190✓0.881.8M2022-09-24
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.86.1772-9.16%6.03-11.32%0.0246✓0.372.7M2022-09-24
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.811.6443-9.16%1.237-31.66%0.1292✓1.19103k2022-09-24
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.7114.2845-9.05%3.923-16.73%0.0770✓0.092.4M2022-09-24
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.016660.015164-8.98%0.01037-37.76%0.2928✓0.67173k2022-09-24
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.81051.6489-8.93%1.1961-33.94%0.1831✓1.06980k2022-09-24
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.30773.9246-8.89%5.2757+22.47%0.4264✗1.00171k2022-09-24
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos12.84711.719-8.78%13.638+6.16%0.2954✗1.1010.4M2022-09-24
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0233430.021294-8.78%0.026013+11.44%0.2139✗0.11250k2022-09-24
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.1433.9004-8.72%28.66-22.83%0.0191✓1.4316.0M2022-09-24
METISMetisEthereum35.2332.1709-8.68%24.66-30.00%0.0222✓1.87365k2022-09-24
ETHEthereumEthereum1,695.271,548.44-8.66%1,317.25-22.30%0.0119✓1.33608.4M2022-09-24
AUCTIONBounceEthereum8.067.3727-8.53%6.54-18.86%0.0241✓1.10638k2022-09-24
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche22.9821.0317-8.48%17.6-23.41%0.0102✓1.2924.1M2022-09-24
GALAGALAEthereum0.05480.050168-8.45%0.0414-24.45%0.0629✓0.99256k2022-09-24
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50980.466792-8.44%0.4153-18.54%0.0105✓0.81625k2022-09-24
QTUMQtumQtum3.47713.1845-8.42%2.849-18.06%0.0177✓0.9930k2022-09-24
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000013930.000012767-8.35%0.00001124-19.31%0.0077✓0.92900k2022-09-24
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.38010.348482-8.32%0.2999-21.10%0.0142✓1.26152k2022-09-24
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.846.2747-8.27%6.68-2.34%0.1117✗0.382.1M2022-09-24
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.4216.9022-8.24%15.1-18.02%0.0217✓0.701.4M2022-09-24
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.60.55085-8.19%0.451-24.83%0.0579✓1.09102k2022-09-24
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.054.6374-8.17%4.45-11.88%0.0129✓0.411.3M2022-09-24
HIVEHivenative0.56910.522741-8.15%0.5008-12.00%0.0726✓0.881.7M2022-09-24
BTTCBTTC9.20e-78.46e-7-8.08%7.90e-7-14.13%0.0356✓0.792.4M2022-09-24
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.5496.0218-8.05%5.479-16.34%0.0531✓0.325.3M2022-09-24
UNIUniswapEthereum7.0236.4643-7.96%5.794-17.50%0.0586✓1.2910.3M2022-09-24
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.0212.7849-7.82%2.41-20.23%0.0614✓1.584.0M2022-09-24
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9230.850973-7.80%0.874-5.31%0.0826✗0.434.2M2022-09-24
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.7213.5807-7.74%12.7-13.72%0.0922✗1.221.3M2022-09-24
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.38941.2826-7.69%1.173-15.58%0.0305✓0.921.5M2022-09-24
MOVRMoonriverBase13.461512.4275-7.68%10.8104-19.69%0.0156✓0.9539k2022-09-24
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30740.283839-7.66%0.3853+25.34%0.4251✗0.927.8M2022-09-24
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06760.062426-7.65%0.0553-18.20%0.0381✓1.221.0M2022-09-24
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.3565.8714-7.62%5.575-12.29%0.0580✓0.8410.1M2022-09-24
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.084050.077675-7.58%0.07767-7.59%0.0117✓0.09637k2022-09-24
QNTQuantEthereum106.7998.6925-7.58%114.65+7.36%0.2596✗0.843.5M2022-09-24
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11590.107133-7.56%0.1006-13.20%0.0766✓1.073.7M2022-09-24
DASHDashDash49.1845.4767-7.53%41.6-15.41%0.0365✓0.96504k2022-09-24
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7240.670046-7.45%0.591-18.37%0.0119✓0.87253k2022-09-24
RARESuperRareEthereum0.21790.201668-7.45%0.1697-22.12%0.0421✓1.00149k2022-09-24
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23840.220808-7.38%0.1752-26.51%0.0552✓1.35133k2022-09-24
UMAUMAEthereum2.9462.7298-7.34%2.398-18.60%0.0197✓0.84749k2022-09-24
XVSVenusEthereum5.695.2725-7.34%4.67-17.93%0.0121✓0.841.6M2022-09-24
CTSICartesiEthereum0.1550.143671-7.31%0.139-10.32%0.0928✗0.96668k2022-09-24
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015970.001481-7.28%0.001515-5.13%0.1158✗0.719,9742022-09-24
AAVEAaveEthereum93.3586.5726-7.26%74.94-19.72%0.0562✓1.546.7M2022-09-24
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.3525.8926-7.23%6.057-4.64%0.1473✗0.925.2M2022-09-24
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.482.301-7.22%1.81-27.02%0.0820✓1.21299k2022-09-24
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.136.6163-7.20%7.625+6.94%0.2802✗1.0619.5M2022-09-24
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.3810.5697-7.12%9.37-17.66%0.0338✓1.18439k2022-09-24
XEMNEMnative0.0478160.044415-7.11%0.04064-15.01%0.0209✓0.8432k2022-09-24
LCXLCXEthereum0.06360.059087-7.10%0.0464-27.04%0.0914✓1.15258k2022-09-24
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.431.3287-7.08%1.18-17.48%0.0053✓0.95182k2022-09-24
RADRadworksEthereum2.322.1559-7.07%2.1-9.48%0.0776✗0.80520k2022-09-24
SUSHISushiEthereum1.20061.1162-7.03%1.069-10.96%0.1181✗1.24981k2022-09-24
BANDBandEthereum1.3831.2859-7.02%1.19-13.96%0.0816✗1.22534k2022-09-24
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.00680.006329-6.93%0.006417-5.63%0.0714✓0.4457k2022-09-24
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.10e-78.47e-7-6.90%8.30e-7-8.79%0.0860✗0.8217k2022-09-24
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.9911.8536-6.90%1.7298-13.12%0.0694✓1.0633k2022-09-24
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3216440.299496-6.89%0.272484-15.28%0.0460✓1.08743k2022-09-24
COMPCompoundEthereum51.4847.9872-6.78%60.6+17.72%0.3925✗1.2215k2022-09-24
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008010.007467-6.78%0.00708-11.61%0.0951✗1.14513k2022-09-24
ELAElastosEthereum1.8561.7302-6.78%1.416-23.71%0.0752✓0.96146k2022-09-24
BFCBifrostEthereum0.075880.070736-6.78%0.06277-17.28%0.0357✓1.1929k2022-09-24
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5710.53231-6.78%0.47-17.69%0.0221✓1.1288k2022-09-24
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.865.4655-6.73%5.32-9.22%0.0221✓0.382.9M2022-09-24
GMTGMTEthereum0.7910.737886-6.71%0.6362-19.57%0.0372✓1.42259k2022-09-24
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0034950.003261-6.71%0.002211-36.74%0.2760✓0.861.1M2022-09-24
APEApeCoinEthereum5.3795.0188-6.70%5.425+0.86%0.2542✗1.3510.1M2022-09-24
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06030.056306-6.62%0.0544-9.78%0.0841✗0.91112k2022-09-24
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash130.69122.0387-6.62%117.26-10.28%0.1055✗1.114.9M2022-09-24
XTZTezosTezos1.6691.5592-6.58%1.4784-11.42%0.0890✗1.09355k2022-09-24
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.5837.0889-6.52%6.27-17.32%0.0106✓1.0214.0M2022-09-24
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13090.122381-6.51%0.1318+0.69%0.2065✗1.0135k2022-09-24
COTICOTIEthereum0.09890.092487-6.48%0.1064+7.58%0.2619✗0.93430k2022-09-24
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05290.04948-6.47%0.0379-28.36%0.1424✓0.95877k2022-09-24
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2892.1415-6.45%1.739-24.03%0.0590✓1.1460k2022-09-24
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.30560.285911-6.44%0.2788-8.77%0.0982✗0.953.4M2022-09-24
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13780.128963-6.41%0.1132-17.85%0.0587✓0.553.9M2022-09-24
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0225110.021068-6.41%0.019685-12.55%0.0383✓0.8113k2022-09-24
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03890.036421-6.37%0.0335-13.88%0.0369✓0.9286k2022-09-24
STEEMSteemnative0.24180.226474-6.34%0.2268-6.20%0.1184✗0.90510k2022-09-24
IMXImmutableEthereum0.86580.811017-6.33%0.7405-14.47%0.0495✓1.082.2M2022-09-24
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023030.021581-6.29%0.01924-16.46%0.0098✓0.80419k2022-09-24
BORABORAKlay Token0.304110.285068-6.26%0.24602-19.10%0.0113✓1.0413k2022-09-24
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7440.697602-6.24%0.607-18.41%0.0196✓0.92322k2022-09-24
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2960.277548-6.23%0.252-14.86%0.0028✓0.72826k2022-09-24
CELLCellframeEthereum0.37170.348621-6.21%0.2903-21.90%0.0353✓1.13111k2022-09-24
FORTFortaEthereum0.26920.252622-6.16%0.1635-39.26%0.3070✓0.98109k2022-09-24
ADACardanoCardano0.46420.435679-6.14%0.4511-2.82%0.1702✗1.0440.7M2022-09-24
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.192.0556-6.14%1.652-24.57%0.0058✓1.72114k2022-09-24
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.61552.2044-6.13%49.307-11.34%0.0392✓0.74332k2022-09-24
KCSKuCoinnative9.7639.1662-6.11%8.909-8.75%0.0961✗0.951.8M2022-09-24
ZENHorizenBase17.1916.1398-6.11%14.09-18.03%0.0078✓1.10130k2022-09-24
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.143260.134614-6.04%0.12433-13.21%0.0802✗1.22213k2022-09-24
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0017620.001657-5.96%0.001558-11.58%0.0557✓0.90590k2022-09-24
GITCOINGITCOIN2.47642.3298-5.92%1.8174-26.61%0.0917✓1.2013k2022-09-24
OPTIMOptimism1.1781.1083-5.91%0.919-21.99%0.0374✓1.723.6M2022-09-24
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11160.105006-5.91%0.1001-10.30%0.0644✗0.86255k2022-09-24
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06910.06508-5.82%0.058-16.06%0.0023✓0.90116k2022-09-24
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.181.1117-5.79%0.9213-21.92%0.0060✓1.484.9M2022-09-24
NANOnanopayBase0.9588910.903606-5.77%0.796-16.99%0.0228✓0.8084k2022-09-24
FLOWFlownative2.1372.0146-5.73%1.678-21.48%0.0131✓1.301.2M2022-09-24
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0144820.013654-5.72%0.011796-18.55%0.0643✓0.631.4M2022-09-24
KSMKusamaHydration48.5445.7971-5.65%41.14-15.25%0.0212✓0.98607k2022-09-24
XYMSymbolnative0.0473860.044725-5.62%0.037461-20.95%0.1089✓0.5233k2022-09-24
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7340.692859-5.61%0.564-23.16%0.0316✓1.335.0M2022-09-24
GTGateEthereum4.5674.311-5.60%4.2479-6.99%0.0861✗0.77827k2022-09-24
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.070310.066416-5.54%0.0639-9.12%0.0677✗0.819142022-09-24
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.165330.156182-5.53%0.16399-0.81%0.3247✗2.116042022-09-24
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2621.1924-5.52%1.08-14.42%0.0288✓0.982.1M2022-09-24
AVTAventusEthereum1.441.3606-5.52%1.42-1.39%0.0348✓-0.06115k2022-09-24
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023910.022594-5.50%0.02275-4.85%0.1186✗0.8613.4M2022-09-24
API3Api3Ethereum1.9431.8362-5.50%1.578-18.79%0.0332✓0.91782k2022-09-24
AMPAmpEthereum0.007040.006657-5.44%0.00493-29.97%0.2171✓0.641.2M2022-09-24
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22890.216474-5.43%0.2052-10.35%0.0774✗1.0070k2022-09-24
XLMStellarStellar0.1104010.104493-5.35%0.11814+7.01%0.2343✗0.857.8M2022-09-24
STXStacksnative0.39980.378448-5.34%0.3317-17.03%0.0188✓1.15470k2022-09-24
LSKLiskEthereum1.13421.0739-5.31%0.948552-16.37%0.0133✓0.8553k2022-09-24
DIADIAEthereum0.411010.389381-5.26%0.37751-8.15%0.0922✗0.9462k2022-09-24
ZECZcashZcash67.7564.1859-5.26%55.64-17.87%0.0028✓1.122.0M2022-09-24
XECeCashnative0.000039470.000037395-5.26%0.00003974+0.68%0.1766✗0.891.7M2022-09-24
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1910.180975-5.25%0.14704-23.02%0.0690✓1.06500k2022-09-24
XMRMoneroMonero153.94145.8723-5.24%141.98-7.77%0.1025✗0.991.2M2022-09-24
STORJStorjEthereum0.608460.576706-5.22%0.46599-23.41%0.0460✓1.2845k2022-09-24
LTCLitecoinLitecoin56.6253.666-5.22%53.43-5.63%0.1247✗0.9913.5M2022-09-24
MANADecentralandEthereum0.840180.796588-5.19%0.70794-15.74%0.0009✓0.91507k2022-09-24
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009140.008671-5.13%0.00697-23.74%0.1194✓0.766.4M2022-09-24
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.49610.47069-5.12%0.4369-11.93%0.0707✗1.11400k2022-09-24
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,561.8620,469.45-5.07%18,923.20-12.24%0.0520✓1.00485.5M2022-09-24
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.04850.995523-5.05%0.8876-15.35%0.0427✓1.211.0M2022-09-24
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.612.917-5.02%13.63+0.22%0.1991✗1.111.9M2022-09-24
SOLSolanaSolana35.2533.4975-4.97%33.38-5.30%0.1465✗1.1570.1M2022-09-24
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26080.247904-4.94%0.1188-54.45%0.7343✓0.0187k2022-09-24
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4580.435436-4.93%0.398-13.10%0.0397✓0.998,8922022-09-24
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.039930.03799-4.86%0.03492-12.55%0.0222✓0.822,7072022-09-24
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5411.4678-4.75%1.368-11.23%0.0816✗1.16138k2022-09-24
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.672.545-4.68%1.94-27.34%0.2068✓0.5093k2022-09-24
PROPropyEthereum0.730.696343-4.61%0.6-17.81%0.1013✓0.36105k2022-09-24
XVGVergenative0.003280.003131-4.54%0.00321-2.13%0.1596✗1.03537k2022-09-24
GLMGolemEthereum0.26260.250678-4.54%0.2769+5.45%0.2235✗0.9583k2022-09-24
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04070.038865-4.51%0.0392-3.69%0.1179✗0.8411k2022-09-24
SCSiacoinnative0.00420.004012-4.48%0.00356-15.24%0.0094✓0.99152k2022-09-24
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09090.086945-4.35%0.0824-9.35%0.0712✗0.9613k2022-09-24
FTTFTXEthereum27.9426.7299-4.33%23.68-15.25%0.0030✓0.957.5M2022-09-24
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0691720.066208-4.28%0.063176-8.67%0.0874✗1.031.7M2022-09-24
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.0042.8756-4.28%3.023+0.63%0.1325✗0.63669k2022-09-24
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04690.044917-4.23%0.0418-10.87%0.0553✗0.97182k2022-09-24
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.027320.026171-4.21%0.02171-20.53%0.0214✓1.273,4352022-09-24
C98Coin98Ethereum0.42470.407448-4.06%0.3626-14.62%0.0288✓1.1189k2022-09-24
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.37540.360876-3.87%0.3197-14.84%0.0400✗1.23205k2022-09-24
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10980.105597-3.83%0.0908-17.30%0.0596✓0.703,6712022-09-24
WOOWOOEthereum0.17250.166047-3.74%0.1359-21.22%0.0616✓1.061,7802022-09-24
CVCCivicEthereum0.15750.151738-3.66%0.1301-17.40%0.0235✓1.00178k2022-09-24
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18370.177002-3.65%0.1619-11.87%0.0882✗1.362,2552022-09-24
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.365110.35225-3.52%0.37942+3.92%0.2016✗0.98435k2022-09-24
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.0080.973785-3.39%0.9169-9.04%0.0116✓0.553.6M2022-09-24
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.374150.361493-3.38%0.30895-17.43%0.0318✓0.9687k2022-09-24
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058560.00566-3.36%0.00497-15.13%0.0426✓0.672,6192022-09-24
CBKCobakEthereum0.951410.921242-3.17%0.80386-15.51%0.0106✓0.9613k2022-09-24
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047920.046641-2.67%0.0406-15.28%0.0502✓0.6816k2022-09-24
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.17415.0573-2.26%4.2695-17.48%0.1504✓0.14158k2022-09-24
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.580.567133-2.22%0.387-33.28%0.2229✓1.222,3272022-09-24
TRXTRONTron0.0654990.064329-1.79%0.059922-8.51%0.0048✓0.58151k2022-09-24
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,605.6021,256.76-1.61%18,988.80-12.11%0.0113✓0.9512k2022-09-24
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.