8=======>

2022-08-24 · +30d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 187 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1147
186 of 187 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+0.56%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
65.6%
in alpha space · 85.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-9.74%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (187 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRXTRONTron0.064820.0639-1.42%0.060491-6.68%0.0047✓0.58164k2022-09-23
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,418.4021,063.05-1.66%19,121.60-10.72%0.0009✓0.9511k2022-09-23
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046560.0456-2.06%0.04111-11.71%0.0333✓0.6916k2022-09-23
CBKCobakEthereum0.946690.924072-2.39%0.79781-15.73%0.0479✓0.9713k2022-09-23
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.3865.2448-2.62%4.2279-21.50%0.2003✓0.15169k2022-09-23
CVCCivicEthereum0.14810.144081-2.71%0.1314-11.28%0.0102✓1.00149k2022-09-23
SUNSun TokenTron0.0057610.005594-2.91%0.005038-12.56%0.0362✓0.672,6422022-09-23
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.367940.357118-2.94%0.31522-14.33%0.0262✓0.9687k2022-09-23
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5880.569451-3.15%0.408-30.61%0.2081✓1.221,8732022-09-23
CHRChromiaEthereum0.1710.165504-3.21%0.157-8.19%0.0858✗1.352,1742022-09-23
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.03010.993639-3.54%0.917-10.98%0.0242✓0.553.7M2022-09-23
SCSiacoinnative0.004090.003945-3.54%0.00359-12.22%0.0070✓0.99152k2022-09-23
C98Coin98Ethereum0.41070.396142-3.54%0.369-10.15%0.0429✗1.1189k2022-09-23
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.37380.359976-3.70%0.3197-14.47%0.0085✓1.24215k2022-09-23
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.365710.351998-3.75%0.41152+12.53%0.2571✗0.98435k2022-09-23
DEXEDeXeEthereum32.8872-3.76%2.966-1.13%0.0917✗0.63693k2022-09-23
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04640.044606-3.87%0.0424-8.62%0.0494✗0.98184k2022-09-23
FTTFTXEthereum27.5526.48-3.88%23.88-13.32%0.0056✓0.957.6M2022-09-23
WOOWOOEthereum0.17250.165627-3.98%0.1415-17.97%0.0478✓1.071,7802022-09-23
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0678370.065079-4.07%0.063375-6.58%0.0780✗1.021.7M2022-09-23
XVGVergenative0.003210.003075-4.21%0.00331+3.12%0.1793✗1.03537k2022-09-23
GLMGolemEthereum0.25570.24488-4.23%0.2785+8.92%0.2257✗0.9584k2022-09-23
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11180.107028-4.27%0.0927-17.08%0.0717✓0.703,6712022-09-23
PROPropyEthereum0.740.708061-4.32%0.63-14.86%0.0779✓0.38105k2022-09-23
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5481.4809-4.33%1.367-11.69%0.0403✓1.17138k2022-09-23
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.0910.087033-4.36%0.0859-5.60%0.0866✗0.9713k2022-09-23
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.026920.025745-4.37%0.02202-18.20%0.0264✓1.273,2032022-09-23
STXStacksnative0.38670.369793-4.37%0.3371-12.83%0.0257✓1.15487k2022-09-23
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04020.038378-4.53%0.0398-1.00%0.1233✗0.8511k2022-09-23
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1860.177536-4.55%0.15984-14.06%0.0041✓1.06519k2022-09-23
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4520.43143-4.55%0.403-10.84%0.0337✓0.998,8922022-09-23
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21970.209529-4.63%0.1977-10.01%0.0442✓1.0067k2022-09-23
AMPAmpEthereum0.006980.006653-4.69%0.00501-28.22%0.2176✓0.641.3M2022-09-23
SOLSolanaSolana34.8833.2444-4.69%33.66-3.50%0.1307✗1.1575.2M2022-09-23
XECeCashnative0.000038750.00003692-4.72%0.00003923+1.24%0.1512✗0.881.7M2022-09-23
DIADIAEthereum0.403120.383945-4.76%0.38048-5.62%0.0872✗0.9462k2022-09-23
LSKLiskEthereum1.11721.0637-4.80%0.957295-14.32%0.0181✓0.8553k2022-09-23
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.48610.462636-4.83%0.4363-10.24%0.0554✗1.11400k2022-09-23
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.8313.1619-4.83%13.99+1.16%0.1762✗1.122.0M2022-09-23
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023820.022668-4.84%0.02356-1.09%0.1276✗0.8713.4M2022-09-23
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.040140.038192-4.85%0.03513-12.48%0.0004✓0.822,7072022-09-23
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,367.1220,322.98-4.89%19,286.01-9.74%0.0501✗1.00485.5M2022-09-23
MANADecentralandEthereum0.83270.791886-4.90%0.72024-13.51%0.0009✓0.92507k2022-09-23
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.04440.991988-5.02%0.9226-11.66%0.0515✗1.211.0M2022-09-23
XMRMoneroMonero150.55142.9575-5.04%141.47-6.03%0.0915✗1.001.2M2022-09-23
AVTAventusEthereum1.381.3101-5.07%1.44+4.35%0.0886✗-0.06105k2022-09-23
LTCLitecoinLitecoin56.4653.593-5.08%55.23-2.18%0.1317✗0.9913.5M2022-09-23
XLMStellarStellar0.1094820.10387-5.13%0.123119+12.46%0.2578✗0.867.8M2022-09-23
STORJStorjEthereum0.587630.557471-5.13%0.46747-20.45%0.0447✓1.2845k2022-09-23
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0143020.013563-5.17%0.011863-17.05%0.0690✓0.631.5M2022-09-23
ZECZcashZcash67.6964.1885-5.17%56.05-17.20%0.0211✓1.122.0M2022-09-23
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.00910.008627-5.20%0.00719-20.99%0.1055✓0.756.4M2022-09-23
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.25990.246348-5.21%0.12-53.83%0.7183✓0.0187k2022-09-23
GTGateEthereum4.49224.257-5.24%4.233-5.77%0.0738✗0.78827k2022-09-23
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.241.1746-5.27%1.104-10.97%0.0386✓0.982.1M2022-09-23
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0017290.001637-5.30%0.001612-6.77%0.0755✗0.89653k2022-09-23
IMXImmutableEthereum0.85810.812146-5.36%0.7708-10.17%0.0576✗1.072.2M2022-09-23
NANOnanopayBase0.9351460.885006-5.36%0.8-14.45%0.0198✓0.7977k2022-09-23
FLOWFlownative2.1472.0308-5.41%1.708-20.45%0.0394✓1.311.2M2022-09-23
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2850.269575-5.41%0.253-11.23%0.0099✓0.72826k2022-09-23
API3Api3Ethereum1.9361.8306-5.45%1.627-15.96%0.0250✓0.91782k2022-09-23
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12490.11803-5.50%0.132+5.68%0.2153✗1.0135k2022-09-23
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.772.6168-5.53%1.93-30.32%0.2533✓0.5093k2022-09-23
KSMKusamaHydration48.9946.2578-5.58%42.17-13.92%0.0088✓0.99606k2022-09-23
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.141860.133911-5.60%0.12632-10.95%0.0676✗1.23223k2022-09-23
XYMSymbolnative0.0482590.045554-5.61%0.038148-20.95%0.1226✓0.5330k2022-09-23
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.17661.1106-5.61%0.9427-19.88%0.0115✓1.494.9M2022-09-23
KCSKuCoinnative9.6319.0889-5.63%8.985-6.71%0.0862✗0.951.8M2022-09-23
STEEMSteemnative0.23530.221897-5.70%0.2263-3.82%0.1117✗0.90510k2022-09-23
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7210.679929-5.70%0.608-15.67%0.0181✓0.91322k2022-09-23
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.166880.157373-5.70%0.16406-1.69%0.2586✗2.126042022-09-23
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06760.063747-5.70%0.0596-11.83%0.0262✓0.91113k2022-09-23
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7270.685466-5.71%0.576-20.77%0.0364✓1.345.0M2022-09-23
BORABORAKlay Token0.29790.280815-5.74%0.24767-16.86%0.0186✓1.0412k2022-09-23
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.1762.0506-5.76%1.654-23.99%0.0375✓1.73114k2022-09-23
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13280.125111-5.79%0.116-12.65%0.0191✓0.553.9M2022-09-23
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05180.048789-5.81%0.0388-25.10%0.1311✓0.96827k2022-09-23
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11040.103966-5.83%0.1008-8.70%0.0585✓0.87255k2022-09-23
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0222610.020952-5.88%0.019843-10.86%0.0289✓0.8113k2022-09-23
ADACardanoCardano0.45770.430751-5.89%0.4617+0.87%0.1761✗1.0442.0M2022-09-23
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.070090.065947-5.91%0.06346-9.46%0.0451✓0.818802022-09-23
GITCOINGITCOIN2.44032.2957-5.93%1.8779-23.05%0.0775✓1.2013k2022-09-23
ZENHorizenBase17.0116.0005-5.93%14.19-16.58%0.0071✓1.10130k2022-09-23
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03770.035444-5.98%0.0337-10.61%0.0446✓0.9381k2022-09-23
XTZTezosTezos1.60061.5044-6.01%1.5171-5.22%0.1198✗1.09388k2022-09-23
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.49552.1372-6.05%49.795-10.27%0.0298✓0.74332k2022-09-23
FORTFortaEthereum0.270.253607-6.07%0.1633-39.52%0.3396✓0.98112k2022-09-23
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2642.1261-6.09%1.774-21.64%0.0637✓1.1560k2022-09-23
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29830.280113-6.10%0.2841-4.76%0.1110✗0.953.4M2022-09-23
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.5657.1037-6.10%6.433-14.96%0.0053✓1.0214.0M2022-09-23
CELLCellframeEthereum0.37370.350874-6.11%0.2839-24.03%0.0943✓1.15111k2022-09-23
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3088440.289823-6.16%0.279195-9.60%0.0731✗1.08778k2022-09-23
OPTIMOptimism1.2261.1502-6.19%0.949-22.59%0.0151✓1.733.6M2022-09-23
APEApeCoinEthereum5.3124.9829-6.20%5.681+6.95%0.2699✗1.3510.1M2022-09-23
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5620.527024-6.22%0.485-13.70%0.0325✓1.1388k2022-09-23
XEMNEMnative0.0462280.043335-6.26%0.041508-10.21%0.0431✓0.8432k2022-09-23
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8860.829849-6.34%0.894+0.90%0.1180✗0.434.3M2022-09-23
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0034260.003208-6.36%0.002176-36.49%0.3002✓0.861.1M2022-09-23
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash130.34122.0283-6.38%120.12-7.84%0.0986✗1.124.9M2022-09-23
AAVEAaveEthereum88.4182.7332-6.42%77.03-12.87%0.0865✗1.546.5M2022-09-23
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.96541.8391-6.42%1.7684-10.02%0.0694✗1.0633k2022-09-23
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023590.022073-6.43%0.01977-16.19%0.0267✓0.81444k2022-09-23
BFCBifrostEthereum0.074280.069472-6.47%0.06183-16.76%0.0054✓1.1929k2022-09-23
COMPCompoundEthereum51.1747.8501-6.49%63.56+24.21%0.4095✗1.2315k2022-09-23
COTICOTIEthereum0.0990.092562-6.50%0.1073+8.38%0.2439✗0.94430k2022-09-23
ELAElastosEthereum1.8271.7081-6.51%1.424-22.06%0.0838✓0.96147k2022-09-23
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06060.056602-6.60%0.0538-11.22%0.0427✓0.91120k2022-09-23
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.421.3256-6.65%1.2-15.49%0.0021✓0.95182k2022-09-23
GMTGMTEthereum0.78610.733628-6.67%0.6373-18.93%0.0030✓1.40267k2022-09-23
BANDBandEthereum1.3641.2726-6.70%1.172-14.08%0.0432✓1.23534k2022-09-23
SUSHISushiEthereum1.19711.1157-6.80%1.0827-9.56%0.0969✗1.24981k2022-09-23
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.412.2459-6.81%1.86-22.82%0.0645✓1.21299k2022-09-23
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22390.208634-6.82%0.1776-20.68%0.0225✓1.35124k2022-09-23
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.0910.3335-6.82%9.52-14.16%0.0388✓1.18439k2022-09-23
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.1226.6311-6.89%7.446+4.55%0.2250✗1.0619.5M2022-09-23
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.2745.8412-6.90%5.695-9.23%0.0614✓0.8510.1M2022-09-23
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15090.14049-6.90%0.1397-7.42%0.0933✗0.97614k2022-09-23
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.00820.007634-6.91%0.00707-13.78%0.0402✓1.14513k2022-09-23
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.15.678-6.92%5.7-6.56%0.0410✓0.363.1M2022-09-23
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7270.676265-6.98%0.595-18.16%0.0381✓0.88253k2022-09-23
RADRadworksEthereum2.342.1767-6.98%1.97-15.81%0.0168✓0.81636k2022-09-23
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000013050.000012138-6.99%0.00001108-15.10%0.0023✓0.91864k2022-09-23
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.20e-78.55e-7-7.05%8.00e-7-13.04%0.0172✓0.8217k2022-09-23
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.4065.9538-7.06%6.21-3.06%0.1368✗0.925.2M2022-09-23
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11460.106481-7.08%0.103-10.12%0.0763✗1.073.7M2022-09-23
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006680.006206-7.09%0.00634-5.09%0.0666✓0.4457k2022-09-23
LCXLCXEthereum0.06410.059528-7.13%0.0481-24.96%0.0949✓1.15266k2022-09-23
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.5513.5113-7.14%13.17-9.48%0.1001✗1.231.3M2022-09-23
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06690.062104-7.17%0.0569-14.95%0.0373✓1.221.0M2022-09-23
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30230.280553-7.19%0.3992+32.05%0.4468✗0.928.2M2022-09-23
UMAUMAEthereum2.9322.7198-7.24%2.361-19.47%0.0555✓0.84749k2022-09-23
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.00160.001484-7.26%0.001487-7.06%0.0741✓0.709,9742022-09-23
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.0342.8126-7.30%2.471-18.56%0.0318✓1.574.0M2022-09-23
XVSVenusEthereum5.725.3016-7.31%4.61-19.41%0.0535✓0.841.6M2022-09-23
DASHDashDash49.1345.5267-7.33%42.1-14.31%0.0210✓0.97504k2022-09-23
RARESuperRareEthereum0.22010.203798-7.41%0.1731-21.35%0.0608✓1.00152k2022-09-23
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.084250.077876-7.57%0.07819-7.19%0.0133✓0.09737k2022-09-23
QNTQuantEthereum10899.7803-7.61%110.81+2.60%0.1914✗0.853.5M2022-09-23
ETCEthereum Classicnative35.4532.7498-7.62%28.88-18.53%0.0202✓1.4216.0M2022-09-23
HIVEHivenative0.55770.514929-7.67%0.5079-8.93%0.0771✓0.891.8M2022-09-23
UNIUniswapEthereum7.0456.5044-7.67%5.913-16.07%0.0373✓1.2910.3M2022-09-23
BTTCBTTC9.10e-78.39e-7-7.76%8.00e-7-12.09%0.0337✓0.802.6M2022-09-23
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.60.552572-7.90%0.467-22.17%0.0571✓1.09102k2022-09-23
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50890.468415-7.96%0.4301-15.48%0.0028✓0.81625k2022-09-23
UOSUltraEthereum0.340780.313401-8.03%0.39482+15.86%0.3255✗0.92321k2022-09-23
QTUMQtumQtum3.47983.1997-8.05%2.913-16.29%0.0076✓0.9934k2022-09-23
MOVRMoonriverBase13.867112.7421-8.11%10.7456-22.51%0.0724✓0.9640k2022-09-23
LRCLoopringEthereum0.38710.355555-8.15%0.3065-20.82%0.0361✓1.10174k2022-09-23
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.946.3727-8.17%6.74-2.88%0.0949✗0.382.1M2022-09-23
LUNATerraTerra 20.000099910.000091723-8.19%0.00025656+156.79%1.1105✗0.80329k2022-09-23
AUCTIONBounceEthereum8.047.381-8.20%6.75-16.04%0.0252✓1.12638k2022-09-23
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.3416.8347-8.21%15.28-16.68%0.0251✓0.701.5M2022-09-23
ETHEthereumEthereum1,656.741,520.76-8.21%1,326.82-19.91%0.0000✓1.33608.4M2022-09-23
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.8166.2565-8.21%5.77-15.35%0.0504✓0.305.3M2022-09-23
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.0121.1195-8.22%17.97-21.90%0.0293✓1.2924.5M2022-09-23
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.7661.6201-8.26%1.283-27.35%0.1111✓1.19114k2022-09-23
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.194.7589-8.31%4.69-9.63%0.0268✓0.401.4M2022-09-23
METISMetisEthereum35.7632.7517-8.41%24.57-31.29%0.0955✓1.87365k2022-09-23
ORCAOrcaSolana0.81510.745553-8.53%0.8521+4.54%0.2839✗1.47205k2022-09-23
GALAGALAEthereum0.05490.050157-8.64%0.042-23.50%0.0757✓0.99256k2022-09-23
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10520.095971-8.77%0.092-12.55%0.0289✓0.69247k2022-09-23
TRBTellor TributesEthereum37.3334.0268-8.85%15.34-58.91%0.7062✓0.881.8M2022-09-23
DODODODOEthereum0.14080.128276-8.90%0.1288-8.52%0.1034✗0.971.9M2022-09-23
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0234390.021351-8.91%0.025913+10.56%0.2051✗0.11239k2022-09-23
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.856.2374-8.94%6.37-7.01%0.0584✓0.372.7M2022-09-23
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.071010.064656-8.95%0.06473-8.84%0.1150✗1.112.4M2022-09-23
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos13.01911.8469-9.00%14.215+9.19%0.2957✗1.1110.4M2022-09-23
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.53831.3997-9.01%1.2661-17.69%0.0047✓0.931.4M2022-09-23
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.40980.372526-9.10%0.3044-25.72%0.0716✓1.27152k2022-09-23
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.85031.6815-9.13%1.2188-34.13%0.2126✓1.07862k2022-09-23
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017340.015757-9.13%0.01061-38.81%0.3264✓0.67167k2022-09-23
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.56794.1506-9.13%6.0773+33.04%0.4838✗1.00173k2022-09-23
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.87695.3365-9.20%6.3531+8.10%0.1908✗0.164.5M2022-09-23
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.94.4382-9.42%4.117-15.98%0.0665✓0.082.4M2022-09-23
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9560.8658-9.44%0.969+1.36%0.2377✗1.221.3M2022-09-23
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.8764.3824-10.12%4.236-13.13%0.0010✓0.321.9M2022-09-23
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,349.198,391.55-10.24%8,416.07-9.98%0.1419✗1.367.3M2022-09-23
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.298.2972-10.69%8.65-6.89%0.0855✓0.432.6M2022-09-23
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.040160.035856-10.72%0.03075-23.43%0.0529✓0.9825k2022-09-23
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain14.33912.7049-11.40%19.032+32.73%0.4480✗0.433.0M2022-09-23
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015350.001358-11.53%0.001069-30.38%0.1600✓0.782.0M2022-09-23
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.34223.823-11.96%3.8939-10.32%0.0731✓0.532.5M2022-09-23
CHZChilizEthereum0.24240.212778-12.22%0.2705+11.59%0.3240✗0.822.3M2022-09-23
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.05e-76.94e-7-13.80%5.09e-7-36.69%0.2294✓0.77180k2022-09-23
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.7244.0574-14.11%4.075-13.74%0.1028✓0.96172k2022-09-23
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.61724.7868-14.78%7.2387+28.87%0.4323✗0.182.6M2022-09-23
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.062010.005417-91.26%–pending––0.8612k2022-09-23
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.