8=======>

2022-08-23 · +30d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 188 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1898
186 of 188 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+7.74%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
70.4%
in alpha space · 89.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-9.88%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (188 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.043510.003153-92.75%–pending––0.8812k2022-09-22
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.91264.9752-15.85%6.0262+1.92%0.2110✗0.192.2M2022-09-22
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.22e-77.02e-7-14.56%5.35e-7-34.97%0.1919✓0.78180k2022-09-22
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.4293.8359-13.39%3.986-10.00%0.1388✓0.97172k2022-09-22
CHZChilizEthereum0.25050.218097-12.94%0.2687+7.27%0.2942✗0.822.1M2022-09-22
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015910.001395-12.31%0.001068-32.84%0.1855✓0.781.8M2022-09-22
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.36423.8334-12.16%3.6025-17.45%0.0058✓0.542.3M2022-09-22
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain13.53812.0243-11.18%12.825-5.27%0.1101✓0.442.5M2022-09-22
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.2244.6421-11.14%3.814-26.99%0.1623✓0.331.7M2022-09-22
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.498.4403-11.06%8.14-14.23%0.0090✓0.432.8M2022-09-22
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana5.1474.6266-10.11%3.786-26.44%0.1908✓0.092.4M2022-09-22
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,225.548,337.21-9.63%8,444.74-8.46%0.1545✗1.367.3M2022-09-22
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.037430.033829-9.62%0.03064-18.14%0.0038✓0.9923k2022-09-22
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9730.879737-9.59%0.947-2.67%0.2009✗1.221.3M2022-09-22
TRBTellor TributesEthereum41.1737.2689-9.48%15.23-63.01%0.8029✓0.881.8M2022-09-22
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.08845.5116-9.47%5.5103-9.50%0.0169✓0.163.7M2022-09-22
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.90861.7279-9.47%1.2577-34.10%0.2063✓1.07862k2022-09-22
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.384.8818-9.26%4.46-17.10%0.0472✓0.421.5M2022-09-22
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.65014.2216-9.22%5.4035+16.20%0.3509✗1.00175k2022-09-22
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.072890.066178-9.21%0.05865-19.54%0.0047✓1.122.4M2022-09-22
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.046.3955-9.16%5.93-15.77%0.0369✓0.372.7M2022-09-22
LUNATerraTerra 20.000105830.000096166-9.13%0.00027642+161.19%1.1411✗0.82329k2022-09-22
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017360.015821-8.87%0.01075-38.08%0.3155✓0.68167k2022-09-22
GALAGALAEthereum0.05460.049776-8.84%0.0425-22.16%0.0541✓1.00253k2022-09-22
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.023130.021095-8.80%0.025846+11.74%0.2150✗0.11240k2022-09-22
DODODODOEthereum0.13970.127721-8.57%0.1264-9.52%0.0911✗0.982.0M2022-09-22
ORCAOrcaSolana0.82050.751187-8.45%0.8513+3.75%0.2776✗1.47205k2022-09-22
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.8171.6642-8.41%1.268-30.21%0.1468✓1.20121k2022-09-22
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos12.13511.1161-8.40%14.626+20.53%0.3905✗1.1210.4M2022-09-22
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.5121.5412-8.37%17.7-24.71%0.0613✓1.3024.5M2022-09-22
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana7.166.561-8.37%6.27-12.43%0.0053✓0.381.9M2022-09-22
ETHEthereumEthereum1,665.931,527.78-8.29%1,326.43-20.38%0.0024✓1.34597.1M2022-09-22
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10150.093159-8.22%0.0978-3.65%0.1210✗0.70234k2022-09-22
QTUMQtumQtum3.52613.2381-8.17%2.9024-17.69%0.0060✓0.9938k2022-09-22
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6170.566798-8.14%0.47-23.82%0.0738✓1.09102k2022-09-22
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.8036.2497-8.13%5.329-21.67%0.1276✓0.315.3M2022-09-22
QNTQuantEthereum109.96101.1054-8.05%104.33-5.12%0.1196✗0.853.5M2022-09-22
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.0116.5711-7.99%15.3-15.05%0.0065✓0.701.7M2022-09-22
MOVRMoonriverBase13.784212.6961-7.89%10.9372-20.65%0.0491✓0.9644k2022-09-22
HIVEHivenative0.55720.513749-7.80%0.5088-8.69%0.0829✗0.891.9M2022-09-22
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.887.2658-7.79%6.74-14.47%0.0407✓1.11638k2022-09-22
METISMetisEthereum34.7632.0619-7.76%24.33-30.01%0.0805✓1.88365k2022-09-22
BTTCBTTC9.10e-78.40e-7-7.71%8.00e-7-12.09%0.0347✓0.802.6M2022-09-22
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085260.078762-7.62%0.07506-11.96%0.0389✓0.09854k2022-09-22
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.390.360325-7.61%0.3062-21.49%0.0293✓1.28168k2022-09-22
UNIUniswapEthereum7.1096.5707-7.57%5.733-19.36%0.0010✓1.3010.7M2022-09-22
LRCLoopringEthereum0.38510.356137-7.52%0.3086-19.86%0.0280✓1.11175k2022-09-22
RARESuperRareEthereum0.22090.204289-7.52%0.1749-20.82%0.0513✓1.00160k2022-09-22
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51390.475418-7.49%0.4348-15.39%0.0052✓0.81625k2022-09-22
UOSUltraEthereum0.329190.304674-7.45%0.40249+22.27%0.3746✗0.92321k2022-09-22
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.30421.2075-7.42%1.24-4.92%0.1248✗0.941.3M2022-09-22
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.395.9192-7.37%5.26-17.68%0.0799✓0.373.3M2022-09-22
UMAUMAEthereum2.9772.7589-7.33%2.383-19.95%0.0587✓0.84749k2022-09-22
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06730.062432-7.23%0.0589-12.48%0.0685✓1.221.1M2022-09-22
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000013320.000012357-7.23%0.00001085-18.54%0.0347✓0.92864k2022-09-22
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15750.146118-7.23%0.1393-11.56%0.0527✓0.97614k2022-09-22
XVSVenusEthereum5.745.3253-7.23%4.58-20.21%0.0629✓0.841.6M2022-09-22
LCXLCXEthereum0.06520.060516-7.18%0.0465-28.68%0.1434✓1.15273k2022-09-22
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015850.001471-7.17%0.001555-1.89%0.1286✗0.719,9742022-09-22
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30760.285621-7.15%0.3698+20.22%0.3542✗0.928.2M2022-09-22
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.052.833-7.11%2.503-17.93%0.0403✓1.584.5M2022-09-22
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.6613.618-7.11%12.35-15.76%0.0302✓1.231.3M2022-09-22
OPTIMOptimism1.3351.2403-7.10%0.938-29.74%0.0998✓1.733.6M2022-09-22
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.3631.924-7.09%28.61-16.73%0.0392✓1.4316.0M2022-09-22
DASHDashDash48.545.0758-7.06%41.89-13.63%0.0279✓0.97504k2022-09-22
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06220.057817-7.05%0.0532-14.47%0.0129✓0.92120k2022-09-22
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7330.681511-7.02%0.601-18.01%0.0337✓0.88263k2022-09-22
BFCBifrostEthereum0.076450.071086-7.02%0.06228-18.53%0.0083✓1.1929k2022-09-22
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.2416.735-6.99%7.121-1.66%0.1668✗1.0719.5M2022-09-22
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.3785.9367-6.92%6.074-4.77%0.1193✗0.935.3M2022-09-22
SUSHISushiEthereum1.21211.1285-6.89%1.088-10.24%0.0929✗1.241.0M2022-09-22
CELLCellframeEthereum0.39020.363371-6.88%0.2895-25.81%0.1074✓1.15110k2022-09-22
BANDBandEthereum1.3731.2786-6.88%1.18-14.06%0.0478✓1.23534k2022-09-22
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0066960.006237-6.85%0.006292-6.03%0.0550✓0.4457k2022-09-22
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0036250.003377-6.84%0.002218-38.81%0.3309✓0.861.1M2022-09-22
GMTGMTEthereum0.79060.736617-6.83%0.638-19.30%0.0047✓1.43287k2022-09-22
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11380.106034-6.82%0.1002-11.95%0.0551✓1.073.7M2022-09-22
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.00e-78.39e-7-6.81%8.00e-7-11.11%0.0385✓0.8218k2022-09-22
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.442.2751-6.76%1.88-22.95%0.0640✓1.22299k2022-09-22
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.3785.9484-6.74%5.522-13.42%0.0140✓0.8510.1M2022-09-22
COTICOTIEthereum0.10080.094049-6.70%0.1001-0.69%0.1604✗0.94447k2022-09-22
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21920.204577-6.67%0.1748-20.26%0.0165✓1.35117k2022-09-22
RADRadworksEthereum2.32.1469-6.66%1.99-13.48%0.0107✓0.83762k2022-09-22
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008080.007543-6.64%0.00716-11.39%0.0669✓1.14503k2022-09-22
ELAElastosEthereum1.8471.7244-6.64%1.453-21.33%0.0717✓0.96147k2022-09-22
AAVEAaveEthereum89.4883.5464-6.63%76.67-14.32%0.0744✗1.546.5M2022-09-22
FORTFortaEthereum0.27560.2577-6.50%0.1639-40.53%0.3504✓0.98114k2022-09-22
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash133.41124.7543-6.49%116.62-12.59%0.0489✓1.124.9M2022-09-22
XEMNEMnative0.0465760.043579-6.43%0.041197-11.55%0.0316✓0.8433k2022-09-22
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.639.9506-6.39%9.47-10.91%0.0738✗1.19367k2022-09-22
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.96431.8401-6.33%1.762-10.30%0.0673✗1.0636k2022-09-22
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023590.022104-6.30%0.01926-18.36%0.0528✓0.82444k2022-09-22
COMPCompoundEthereum50.7447.5442-6.30%61.38+20.97%0.3837✗1.2315k2022-09-22
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV56.25452.7329-6.26%50.042-11.04%0.0250✓0.74330k2022-09-22
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03820.035841-6.18%0.0339-11.26%0.0414✓0.9381k2022-09-22
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5690.53435-6.09%0.482-15.29%0.0147✓1.1390k2022-09-22
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3105870.291705-6.08%0.276025-11.13%0.0573✓1.08792k2022-09-22
ADACardanoCardano0.4660.437718-6.07%0.4583-1.65%0.1547✗1.0542.0M2022-09-22
BORABORAKlay Token0.299120.280992-6.06%0.24837-16.97%0.0146✓1.0513k2022-09-22
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.252.1138-6.06%1.793-20.31%0.0448✓1.1559k2022-09-22
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.41.316-6.00%1.2-14.29%0.0074✓0.96182k2022-09-22
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29770.279856-5.99%0.2721-8.60%0.0707✗0.953.5M2022-09-22
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.6357.1837-5.91%6.442-15.63%0.0024✓1.0214.0M2022-09-22
ZENHorizenBase17.4216.3972-5.87%14.19-18.54%0.0298✓1.10130k2022-09-22
APEApeCoinEthereum5.2454.9374-5.86%5.905+12.58%0.3207✗1.3610.1M2022-09-22
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.792.6265-5.86%2.01-27.96%0.2155✓0.5093k2022-09-22
KSMKusamaHydration49.5446.6463-5.84%41.75-15.72%0.0073✓1.00606k2022-09-22
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11170.105178-5.84%0.1009-9.67%0.0487✓0.87256k2022-09-22
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8930.841001-5.82%0.898+0.56%0.1098✗0.434.4M2022-09-22
GITCOINGITCOIN2.43592.2959-5.75%1.8808-22.79%0.0736✓1.2113k2022-09-22
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7220.680563-5.74%0.576-20.22%0.0262✓1.354.8M2022-09-22
XTZTezosTezos1.59411.503-5.71%1.5113-5.19%0.1194✗1.10450k2022-09-22
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7250.68375-5.69%0.594-18.07%0.0453✓0.92322k2022-09-22
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.18371.1165-5.68%0.9165-22.57%0.0426✓1.494.9M2022-09-22
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05170.048789-5.63%0.039-24.56%0.1231✓0.97798k2022-09-22
STEEMSteemnative0.23430.221203-5.59%0.2202-6.02%0.0892✗0.90528k2022-09-22
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.070690.066746-5.58%0.06306-10.79%0.0280✓0.819142022-09-22
KCSKuCoinnative9.7139.1724-5.57%8.958-7.77%0.0757✗0.961.8M2022-09-22
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.1532.0333-5.56%1.639-23.87%0.0348✓1.74115k2022-09-22
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0017460.001649-5.55%0.001651-5.44%0.0938✗0.89728k2022-09-22
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06780.064048-5.53%0.0604-10.91%0.0367✓0.92121k2022-09-22
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009230.008723-5.49%0.00722-21.78%0.1107✓0.756.4M2022-09-22
API3Api3Ethereum1.9621.8546-5.47%1.615-17.69%0.0435✓0.91785k2022-09-22
XMRMoneroMonero154.81146.3376-5.47%144.06-6.94%0.0882✗1.001.2M2022-09-22
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.142750.134951-5.46%0.12523-12.27%0.0538✓1.24235k2022-09-22
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0216250.020456-5.41%0.019904-7.96%0.0575✗0.8213k2022-09-22
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12940.122403-5.41%0.1154-10.82%0.0010✓0.564.2M2022-09-22
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.162940.154188-5.37%0.16587+1.80%0.2935✗2.126362022-09-22
XYMSymbolnative0.0485160.04594-5.31%0.038248-21.16%0.1273✓0.5430k2022-09-22
AVTAventusEthereum1.431.3545-5.28%1.39-2.80%0.0198✓-0.06105k2022-09-22
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2421.1766-5.26%1.096-11.76%0.0317✓0.992.1M2022-09-22
NANOnanopayBase0.9434270.893961-5.24%0.80705-14.46%0.0197✓0.7977k2022-09-22
FLOWFlownative2.1432.0309-5.23%1.705-20.44%0.0386✓1.311.2M2022-09-22
GTGateEthereum4.52244.2862-5.22%4.2613-5.77%0.0750✗0.78827k2022-09-22
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.0671.0113-5.22%0.8935-16.26%0.0021✓1.211.1M2022-09-22
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.014470.013717-5.21%0.011386-21.31%0.1190✓0.651.5M2022-09-22
STORJStorjEthereum0.579190.54904-5.21%0.46901-19.02%0.0237✓1.2945k2022-09-22
LTCLitecoinLitecoin57.154.1352-5.19%53.56-6.20%0.0929✗1.0013.5M2022-09-22
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.1240.117642-5.13%0.1352+9.03%0.2443✗1.0138k2022-09-22
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2870.2724-5.09%0.255-11.15%0.0092✓0.72878k2022-09-22
XLMStellarStellar0.1106760.105054-5.08%0.122951+11.09%0.2468✗0.867.8M2022-09-22
MANADecentralandEthereum0.834690.792372-5.07%0.72039-13.69%0.0005✓0.92523k2022-09-22
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.391450.371702-5.04%0.39165+0.05%0.1553✗0.99435k2022-09-22
XECeCashnative0.000039470.000037514-4.96%0.00003923-0.61%0.1369✗0.891.7M2022-09-22
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,528.3420,468.50-4.92%19,401.25-9.88%0.0505✓1.00481.2M2022-09-22
SOLSolanaSolana35.6733.9173-4.91%32.42-9.11%0.0754✗1.1681.1M2022-09-22
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26050.247756-4.89%0.1197-54.05%0.7265✓0.0187k2022-09-22
IMXImmutableEthereum0.86860.826435-4.85%0.7866-9.44%0.0628✗1.082.2M2022-09-22
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.49330.469732-4.78%0.4377-11.27%0.0453✓1.11417k2022-09-22
DIADIAEthereum0.40510.385809-4.76%0.38331-5.38%0.0917✗0.9470k2022-09-22
FISStafiEthereum0.3010.286797-4.72%–pending––0.911502022-09-22
ZECZcashZcash66.3563.2742-4.64%56.76-14.45%0.0081✓1.121.9M2022-09-22
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22280.212542-4.60%0.1967-11.71%0.0268✓1.0072k2022-09-22
LSKLiskEthereum1.13111.0791-4.60%0.957561-15.34%0.0304✓0.8655k2022-09-22
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04080.038939-4.56%0.04-1.96%0.1157✗0.8511k2022-09-22
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023560.022508-4.47%0.02213-6.07%0.0741✗0.8813.4M2022-09-22
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.571.5008-4.41%1.36-13.38%0.0241✓1.18138k2022-09-22
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.613.0016-4.40%13.94+2.50%0.1877✗1.132.2M2022-09-22
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.1423.0041-4.39%2.993-4.74%0.0625✗0.64708k2022-09-22
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.0390.037317-4.31%0.03492-10.46%0.0189✓0.822,7072022-09-22
WOOWOOEthereum0.17250.165112-4.28%0.1386-19.65%0.0631✓1.081,7802022-09-22
XVGVergenative0.003240.003102-4.27%0.0033+1.85%0.1696✗1.03537k2022-09-22
GLMGolemEthereum0.25590.245048-4.24%0.2809+9.77%0.2353✗0.9584k2022-09-22
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.38440.368219-4.21%0.3219-16.26%0.0046✓1.25235k2022-09-22
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4440.425368-4.20%0.42-5.41%0.0914✗1.008,8922022-09-22
STXStacksnative0.38990.373794-4.13%0.3369-13.59%0.0167✓1.16487k2022-09-22
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09140.087659-4.09%0.083-9.19%0.0467✗0.9713k2022-09-22
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.026470.025401-4.04%0.02212-16.43%0.0064✓1.273,2032022-09-22
AMPAmpEthereum0.007080.006797-3.99%0.00496-29.94%0.2480✓0.651.3M2022-09-22
FTTFTXEthereum27.7826.692-3.92%23.73-14.58%0.0181✓0.967.9M2022-09-22
PROPropyEthereum0.740.71138-3.87%0.65-12.16%0.0504✓0.38105k2022-09-22
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1850.177892-3.84%0.14774-20.14%0.0743✓1.07519k2022-09-22
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0687970.066167-3.82%0.059585-13.39%0.0017✓1.021.9M2022-09-22
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.0470.045242-3.74%0.0431-8.30%0.0536✗0.98187k2022-09-22
CHRChromiaEthereum0.17270.166688-3.48%0.1485-14.01%0.0251✓1.351,9092022-09-22
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.02510.989668-3.46%0.9326-9.02%0.0017✓0.553.8M2022-09-22
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10870.104983-3.42%0.0912-16.10%0.0671✓0.713,6712022-09-22
C98Coin98Ethereum0.410.396114-3.39%0.3861-5.83%0.0900✗1.1180k2022-09-22
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058890.005696-3.28%0.005037-14.48%0.0536✓0.672,6422022-09-22
SCSiacoinnative0.004080.003951-3.16%0.00359-12.01%0.0067✓0.99152k2022-09-22
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5920.573376-3.15%0.391-33.95%0.2547✓1.232,3272022-09-22
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.372060.361286-2.90%0.3092-16.90%0.0554✓0.9690k2022-09-22
CVCCivicEthereum0.14880.145045-2.52%0.1324-11.02%0.0130✓1.00149k2022-09-22
CBKCobakEthereum0.940890.919421-2.28%0.79949-15.03%0.0390✓0.9713k2022-09-22
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.3895.273-2.15%4.92-8.70%0.0538✓0.15171k2022-09-22
TRXTRONTron0.0662250.065028-1.81%0.060338-8.89%0.0143✓0.58179k2022-09-22
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,511.1021,140.19-1.72%19,424.70-9.70%0.0145✓0.9511k2022-09-22
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046450.045823-1.35%0.04114-11.43%0.0367✓0.6816k2022-09-22
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.