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2022-08-18 · +30d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 188 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0158
187 of 188 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-1.89%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
53.5%
in alpha space · 88.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-13.27%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (188 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.32685.3992+1.36%4.9846-6.42%0.0607✗0.14204k2022-09-17
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,152.4023,060.44-0.40%19,985.60-13.68%0.0046✓0.977,5932022-09-17
PROPropyEthereum0.770.766676-0.43%0.7-9.09%0.0332✓0.4186k2022-09-17
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04270.042502-0.46%0.038-11.01%0.0205✗0.9311k2022-09-17
TRXTRONTron0.0674180.067044-0.56%0.062299-7.59%0.0134✗0.61179k2022-09-17
CVCCivicEthereum0.16680.165389-0.85%0.1415-15.17%0.0096✓1.03140k2022-09-17
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2030.200024-1.47%0.1593-21.53%0.0728✓1.09657k2022-09-17
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0746320.073477-1.55%0.062199-16.66%0.0199✓1.031.9M2022-09-17
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18330.180141-1.72%0.1664-9.22%0.1247✗1.431,3972022-09-17
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11950.117339-1.81%0.0988-17.32%0.0740✓0.694,2082022-09-17
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09440.092671-1.83%0.0897-4.98%0.1059✗0.9712k2022-09-17
CBKCobakEthereum1.11.0783-1.97%0.8328-24.29%0.1237✓0.9512k2022-09-17
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26120.256003-1.99%0.1166-55.36%0.7846✓0.0174k2022-09-17
SUNSun TokenTron0.0062880.006162-2.00%0.005888-6.35%0.0544✗0.703,0362022-09-17
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.39280.384158-2.20%0.32877-16.30%0.0141✓1.0090k2022-09-17
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8810.861345-2.23%0.947+7.49%0.1591✗0.454.4M2022-09-17
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2960.2892-2.30%0.266-10.14%0.0179✓0.71972k2022-09-17
AMPAmpEthereum0.007640.007448-2.51%0.00543-28.93%0.2254✓0.641.4M2022-09-17
DKAdKargoEthereum0.050350.049064-2.55%0.04315-14.30%0.0256✓0.7216k2022-09-17
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.00660.980207-2.62%0.9979-0.86%0.1045✗0.613.9M2022-09-17
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04940.048103-2.63%0.0461-6.68%0.0950✗0.97207k2022-09-17
SCSiacoinnative0.004650.004525-2.68%0.00378-18.71%0.0373✓1.00152k2022-09-17
LSKLiskEthereum1.18951.1558-2.84%1.0116-14.96%0.0085✓0.8855k2022-09-17
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.02860.027775-2.89%0.02341-18.15%0.0140✓1.302,9402022-09-17
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.07380.0716-2.98%0.0666-9.76%0.0464✗0.83130k2022-09-17
LRCLoopringEthereum0.39930.386541-3.20%0.3309-17.13%0.0037✓1.12176k2022-09-17
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023490.022692-3.40%0.02103-10.47%0.0601✗0.9613.9M2022-09-17
MANADecentralandEthereum0.923220.891701-3.41%0.7528-18.46%0.0361✓0.94574k2022-09-17
STXStacksnative0.44530.430082-3.42%0.3564-19.96%0.0299✓1.11628k2022-09-17
C98Coin98Ethereum0.43750.422104-3.52%0.4523+3.38%0.2322✗1.1564k2022-09-17
FTTFTXEthereum29.9528.8751-3.59%24.62-17.80%0.0274✓0.938.9M2022-09-17
WOOWOOEthereum0.18570.178682-3.78%0.1487-19.92%0.0322✓1.061,7402022-09-17
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0070640.006797-3.78%0.006354-10.05%0.0013✓0.4655k2022-09-17
GLMGolemEthereum0.28920.277968-3.88%0.304+5.12%0.2204✗0.9281k2022-09-17
XLMStellarStellar0.1159280.111395-3.91%0.11336-2.22%0.1443✗0.897.5M2022-09-17
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.11461.0705-3.95%1.0832-2.82%0.2327✗1.555.0M2022-09-17
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.40860.392363-3.97%0.357-12.63%0.0854✗1.26223k2022-09-17
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.852.7365-3.98%2.69-5.61%0.0571✗0.5296k2022-09-17
ZENHorizenBase17.8917.1607-4.08%14.92-16.60%0.0196✓1.12130k2022-09-17
XVGVergenative0.003660.00351-4.10%0.00337-7.92%0.1050✗1.02508k2022-09-17
IMXImmutableEthereum0.90020.863156-4.12%0.8104-9.98%0.1044✗1.182.2M2022-09-17
NANOnanopayBase0.9901460.949261-4.13%0.865587-12.58%0.0148✓0.7577k2022-09-17
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.3892.2888-4.19%2.022-15.36%0.0433✗1.1862k2022-09-17
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.371970.356372-4.19%0.31645-14.93%0.0386✓1.11426k2022-09-17
API3Api3Ethereum2.1132.0235-4.24%1.609-23.85%0.0986✓0.92680k2022-09-17
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.451.3879-4.28%1.33-8.28%0.0964✗0.98182k2022-09-17
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.7711.695-4.29%1.403-20.78%0.0096✓1.26142k2022-09-17
XECeCashnative0.000042850.00004101-4.30%0.00004289+0.09%0.1685✗0.871.9M2022-09-17
ZECZcashZcash70.0967.0576-4.33%58.71-16.24%0.0271✓1.122.0M2022-09-17
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.0240.022958-4.34%0.02052-14.50%0.0146✓0.89369k2022-09-17
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.04490.042934-4.38%0.03601-19.80%0.0611✓0.812,5822022-09-17
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.1511.1005-4.39%0.9111-20.84%0.0124✓1.241.1M2022-09-17
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7310.698766-4.41%0.629-13.95%0.0301✓0.95333k2022-09-17
CELLCellframeEthereum0.36730.350999-4.44%0.2713-26.14%0.0986✓1.12105k2022-09-17
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7410.707856-4.47%0.617-16.73%0.0642✗1.424.6M2022-09-17
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.52950.50572-4.49%0.4774-9.84%0.1027✗1.13376k2022-09-17
XYMSymbolnative0.0530140.050627-4.50%0.040142-24.28%0.1611✓0.5030k2022-09-17
LTCLitecoinLitecoin6057.2805-4.53%57.82-3.63%0.1513✗1.0013.1M2022-09-17
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash129.12123.2413-4.55%122.08-5.45%0.1480✗1.115.1M2022-09-17
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13410.127983-4.56%0.1254-6.49%0.0650✗0.604.1M2022-09-17
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6660.635284-4.61%0.443-33.48%0.1885✓1.212,9182022-09-17
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.01470.014011-4.68%0.012503-14.95%0.0283✓0.602.1M2022-09-17
AVTAventusEthereum1.441.3717-4.74%1.45+0.69%0.0444✓-0.08115k2022-09-17
GALAGALAEthereum0.0580.05523-4.78%0.0492-15.17%0.0299✓1.02253k2022-09-17
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6210.591165-4.80%0.515-17.07%0.0270✓1.1695k2022-09-17
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010170.009678-4.83%0.00859-15.54%0.0169✓0.725.8M2022-09-17
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11920.113428-4.84%0.1051-11.83%0.0457✓0.86300k2022-09-17
BANDBandEthereum1.4711.3994-4.87%1.293-12.10%0.1028✗1.28518k2022-09-17
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.13232.0284-4.87%1.8165-14.81%0.0395✓1.0533k2022-09-17
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.3483.1839-4.90%3.155-5.76%0.0753✗0.59853k2022-09-17
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.4082.2899-4.90%1.805-25.04%0.0122✓1.76132k2022-09-17
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.0837.6866-4.90%7.059-12.67%0.0611✗1.0314.0M2022-09-17
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3181.2531-4.92%1.179-10.55%0.0814✗1.002.4M2022-09-17
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.30550.290441-4.93%0.2704-11.49%0.0683✗0.983.6M2022-09-17
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007820.007434-4.94%0.00773-1.15%0.1990✗1.12420k2022-09-17
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.53970.512999-4.95%0.4808-10.91%0.0517✗0.82750k2022-09-17
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.074940.071158-5.05%0.0662-11.66%0.0384✓0.788802022-09-17
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13610.129207-5.06%0.1447+6.32%0.2613✗1.0441k2022-09-17
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15650.148525-5.10%0.1591+1.66%0.2201✗1.06586k2022-09-17
XMRMoneroMonero160.98152.7296-5.13%147.56-8.34%0.1049✗0.981.2M2022-09-17
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.181330.171962-5.17%0.16418-9.46%0.2715✗2.236712022-09-17
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24860.235728-5.18%0.21-15.53%0.0285✓1.0177k2022-09-17
GITCOINGITCOIN2.68892.5493-5.19%1.9947-25.82%0.0749✓1.2013k2022-09-17
FISStafiEthereum0.3990.378225-5.21%0.3548-11.08%0.0652✗0.911922022-09-17
BORABORAKlay Token0.340840.323064-5.22%0.27068-20.58%0.0278✓1.0513k2022-09-17
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03880.036769-5.23%0.0359-7.47%0.1104✗0.9476k2022-09-17
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,189.4621,963.85-5.29%20,113.37-13.27%0.0543✗1.00472.7M2022-09-17
KCSKuCoinnative10.119.5709-5.33%9.254-8.47%0.1063✗0.981.9M2022-09-17
SOLSolanaSolana39.5137.3834-5.38%33.69-14.73%0.0654✗1.1975.2M2022-09-17
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.158490.149912-5.41%0.13742-13.29%0.0878✗1.23250k2022-09-17
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.082990.078497-5.41%0.06385-23.06%0.1712✓0.25959k2022-09-17
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3343160.316189-5.42%0.291502-12.81%0.0752✗1.10884k2022-09-17
LCXLCXEthereum0.06830.064589-5.43%0.0511-25.18%0.0690✓1.16329k2022-09-17
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.72.5526-5.46%1.99-26.30%0.0796✓1.19259k2022-09-17
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05440.051426-5.47%0.042-22.79%0.0568✓1.02877k2022-09-17
GTGateEthereum4.84824.5814-5.50%4.2761-11.80%0.0366✓0.74847k2022-09-17
KSMKusamaHydration51.6948.8361-5.52%44.64-13.64%0.0538✓1.01543k2022-09-17
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4780.451482-5.55%0.464-2.93%0.1683✗0.999,5622022-09-17
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6420.606355-5.55%0.516-19.63%0.0083✓1.19114k2022-09-17
STORJStorjEthereum0.636040.600687-5.56%0.50943-19.91%0.0228✓1.3246k2022-09-17
XTZTezosTezos1.78951.6887-5.63%1.5518-13.28%0.0755✗1.12470k2022-09-17
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum16.1315.2152-5.67%13.21-18.10%0.0336✓1.231.5M2022-09-17
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.1413.3263-5.75%14.56+2.97%0.2470✗1.112.6M2022-09-17
DIADIAEthereum0.452120.425761-5.83%0.38033-15.88%0.0141✓0.8970k2022-09-17
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11490.108146-5.88%0.1088-5.31%0.1631✗1.103.7M2022-09-17
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.60e-79.03e-7-5.89%8.50e-7-11.46%0.0488✓0.7720k2022-09-17
COTICOTIEthereum0.10360.097482-5.91%0.096-7.34%0.1244✗0.98430k2022-09-17
COMPCompoundEthereum56.0552.7342-5.92%54.2-3.30%0.2046✗1.2517k2022-09-17
DASHDashDash50.3647.3408-6.00%44.59-11.46%0.0784✗0.97521k2022-09-17
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7430.698443-6.00%0.621-16.42%0.0141✓0.92274k2022-09-17
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV57.50254.0284-6.04%52.371-8.92%0.0687✗0.70354k2022-09-17
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0234780.022054-6.06%0.020559-12.43%0.0452✓0.8112k2022-09-17
XEMNEMnative0.048620.04566-6.09%0.042628-12.32%0.0579✓0.8937k2022-09-17
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.0310.3536-6.13%9.64-12.60%0.0959✗1.18305k2022-09-17
SUSHISushiEthereum1.31.2203-6.13%1.1798-9.25%0.1449✗1.261.1M2022-09-17
UOSUltraEthereum0.333950.3134-6.15%0.40106+20.10%0.3719✗0.88383k2022-09-17
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.41990.393805-6.21%0.3183-24.20%0.0143✓1.39203k2022-09-17
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33360.312804-6.23%0.3108-6.83%0.1257✗0.938.2M2022-09-17
STEEMSteemnative0.26460.248077-6.24%0.2267-14.32%0.0345✓0.88550k2022-09-17
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23410.219224-6.35%0.201-14.14%0.1103✗1.38110k2022-09-17
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017730.016603-6.36%0.01249-29.55%0.1946✓0.63153k2022-09-17
ADACardanoCardano0.51210.479114-6.44%0.486-5.10%0.1611✗1.0342.0M2022-09-17
FLOWFlownative2.5282.364-6.49%1.839-27.25%0.0697✓1.281.0M2022-09-17
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000013480.000012597-6.55%0.00001197-11.20%0.0868✗0.97827k2022-09-17
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06290.058757-6.59%0.0563-10.49%0.0881✗0.92112k2022-09-17
UMAUMAEthereum3.1372.9302-6.59%2.603-17.02%0.0009✓0.83719k2022-09-17
APEApeCoinEthereum5.7715.3901-6.60%5.627-2.50%0.2369✗1.3611.8M2022-09-17
FILFilecoinFilecoin7.4786.9803-6.66%5.909-20.98%0.0509✓0.819.9M2022-09-17
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0037480.003496-6.71%0.002846-24.07%0.0925✓0.801.0M2022-09-17
XVSVenusEthereum6.285.8568-6.74%4.54-27.71%0.1326✓0.861.6M2022-09-17
BTTCBTTC9.60e-78.94e-7-6.85%8.40e-7-12.50%0.0500✓0.794.6M2022-09-17
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.8171.6926-6.85%1.46-19.65%0.0145✓1.14150k2022-09-17
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.856.3771-6.90%6.35-7.30%0.0511✓0.391.1M2022-09-17
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.00170.001583-6.90%0.001493-12.18%0.0375✓0.679,7092022-09-17
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.2493.023-6.96%2.735-15.82%0.1240✗1.575.2M2022-09-17
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.6457.1071-7.04%8.09+5.82%0.2833✗1.0820.0M2022-09-17
MOVRMoonriverBase14.497613.4767-7.04%11.819-18.48%0.0039✓0.9551k2022-09-17
UNIUniswapEthereum7.5747.037-7.09%6.014-20.60%0.0294✓1.3110.3M2022-09-17
GMTGMTEthereum0.9140.848971-7.11%0.6797-25.63%0.0209✓1.42433k2022-09-17
AAVEAaveEthereum94.8687.9812-7.25%81.44-14.15%0.1422✗1.546.4M2022-09-17
OPTIMOptimism1.1961.1088-7.29%1.133-5.27%0.2962✗1.933.6M2022-09-17
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.3961.294-7.31%1.2443-10.87%0.0954✗0.951.0M2022-09-17
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.15.6512-7.36%5.4-11.48%0.0100✓0.392.6M2022-09-17
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.44610.6036-7.36%16.412+43.39%0.6007✗1.1511.4M2022-09-17
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11380.105332-7.44%0.1045-8.17%0.1018✗0.77215k2022-09-17
FORTFortaEthereum0.28980.267839-7.58%0.1876-35.27%0.2038✓1.07151k2022-09-17
ELAElastosEthereum2.0431.8859-7.69%1.489-27.12%0.0952✓0.99170k2022-09-17
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07610.070175-7.79%0.0594-21.94%0.0021✓1.191.4M2022-09-17
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0230530.021239-7.87%0.025798+11.91%0.2280✗0.24232k2022-09-17
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.8696.3253-7.92%6.285-8.50%0.1310✗0.975.3M2022-09-17
QTUMQtumQtum3.76713.4676-7.95%3.0761-18.34%0.0190✓0.9848k2022-09-17
RARESuperRareEthereum0.23030.211922-7.98%0.191-17.06%0.0384✓1.00111k2022-09-17
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.76281.6217-8.00%1.9045+8.04%0.3330✗1.21598k2022-09-17
RADRadworksEthereum2.42.2074-8.02%2.19-8.75%0.1181✗0.89726k2022-09-17
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.001920.001765-8.05%0.001621-15.57%0.0570✓1.00901k2022-09-17
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9220.845905-8.25%0.932+1.08%0.2714✗1.231.0M2022-09-17
LUNATerraTerra 20.000093180.000085452-8.29%0.00030987+232.55%1.4301✗1.00336k2022-09-17
ORCAOrcaSolana0.93720.858193-8.43%0.8495-9.36%0.2110✗1.55244k2022-09-17
METISMetisEthereum3834.7431-8.57%25.23-33.61%0.0408✓1.96391k2022-09-17
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche24.1922.1097-8.60%18.48-23.60%0.0154✓1.3725.9M2022-09-17
QNTQuantEthereum108.598.9699-8.78%109.47+0.89%0.2181✗0.823.4M2022-09-17
DODODODOEthereum0.14560.132698-8.86%0.1276-12.36%0.0990✗0.972.0M2022-09-17
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.956.3296-8.93%5.91-14.96%0.0122✓0.401.8M2022-09-17
ETCEthereum Classicnative39.636.0303-9.01%34.42-13.08%0.1514✗1.3916.0M2022-09-17
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.211.1006-9.04%–pending––1.1512k2022-09-17
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.076860.069885-9.07%0.06229-18.96%0.0504✓1.162.3M2022-09-17
BFCBifrostEthereum0.087920.079873-9.15%0.06678-24.04%0.0174✓1.1429k2022-09-17
HIVEHivenative0.58580.531781-9.22%0.5649-3.57%0.1951✗0.951.9M2022-09-17
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.4144.0054-9.26%3.983-9.76%0.0209✓0.192.1M2022-09-17
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain4.55194.1256-9.37%5.798+27.38%0.4130✗0.512.0M2022-09-17
ETHEthereumEthereum1,845.901,664.85-9.81%1,468.97-20.42%0.0644✓1.33528.6M2022-09-17
NMRNumeraireEthereum19.3917.4554-9.98%16.36-15.63%0.0305✓0.672.2M2022-09-17
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana5.49494.941-10.08%4.9164-10.53%0.1373✗1.00169k2022-09-17
AUCTIONBounceEthereum8.787.8909-10.13%6.96-20.73%0.0287✓1.08523k2022-09-17
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.6464.1753-10.13%3.989-14.14%0.0015✓0.331.5M2022-09-17
TRBTellor TributesEthereum41.1436.9089-10.28%17.07-58.51%0.6254✓1.021.8M2022-09-17
OGOG Fan TokenSolana7.4416.665-10.43%5.727-23.03%0.1406✓0.083.9M2022-09-17
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.6413.2551-10.60%4.009+10.11%0.3289✗0.85127k2022-09-17
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.044490.03974-10.68%0.03442-22.63%0.0045✓0.9821k2022-09-17
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.883.4634-10.74%3.732-3.81%0.1507✗0.531.3M2022-09-17
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,215.919,065.04-11.27%9,343.58-8.54%0.2204✗1.346.8M2022-09-17
CHZChilizEthereum0.20860.184488-11.56%0.2252+7.96%0.3202✗0.851.2M2022-09-17
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.828.6792-11.62%8.49-13.54%0.0396✓0.431.9M2022-09-17
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015350.001353-11.89%0.001205-21.54%0.0029✓0.791.6M2022-09-17
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.624.8997-12.82%4.45-20.82%0.0400✓0.401.1M2022-09-17
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.18e-76.23e-7-13.24%6.21e-7-13.51%0.0886✓0.64164k2022-09-17
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain13.25711.449-13.64%11.72-11.59%0.0894✓0.461.3M2022-09-17
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.02743.463-14.01%6.1857+53.59%0.6304✗0.352.0M2022-09-17
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.