8=======>

2022-08-17 · +30d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 188 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0675
187 of 188 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-5.40%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
66.3%
in alpha space · 89.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-15.17%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (188 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.87e-75.98e-7-13.01%5.40e-7-21.44%0.0024✓0.63164k2022-09-16
CHZChilizEthereum0.22220.194432-12.50%0.2101-5.45%0.2178✗0.851.2M2022-09-16
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,164.629,773.22-12.46%8,661.73-22.42%0.0983✓1.336.8M2022-09-16
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015460.001362-11.87%0.001201-22.29%0.0050✓0.791.6M2022-09-16
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.47123.0854-11.12%5.9681+71.93%0.7113✗0.311.8M2022-09-16
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.046850.041712-10.97%0.03294-29.69%0.0754✓0.9821k2022-09-16
AUCTIONBounceEthereum9.48.3727-10.93%6.63-29.47%0.0550✓1.08523k2022-09-16
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.6823.2844-10.80%4.006+8.80%0.3396✗0.86124k2022-09-16
TRBTellor TributesEthereum40.0935.8786-10.50%16.31-59.32%0.6155✓1.051.8M2022-09-16
DODODODOEthereum0.1590.142504-10.37%0.1221-23.21%0.0067✓0.982.1M2022-09-16
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.085980.077331-10.06%0.06104-29.01%0.0449✓1.172.4M2022-09-16
NMRNumeraireEthereum19.4217.5019-9.88%16-17.61%0.0218✓0.682.2M2022-09-16
ETHEthereumEthereum1,834.611,657.63-9.65%1,433.73-21.85%0.0733✓1.33534.1M2022-09-16
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.757.9203-9.48%8.46-3.31%0.1316✗0.401.8M2022-09-16
ETCEthereum Classicnative40.2936.5673-9.24%34.05-15.49%0.1563✗1.3816.5M2022-09-16
HIVEHivenative0.59610.541338-9.19%0.5573-6.51%0.1847✗0.952.0M2022-09-16
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche25.5623.229-9.12%18.06-29.34%0.0267✓1.3728.7M2022-09-16
BFCBifrostEthereum0.08710.07922-9.05%0.06705-23.02%0.0219✓1.1529k2022-09-16
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.944.4931-9.05%4.31-12.75%0.0228✓0.391.1M2022-09-16
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.20421.0975-8.87%–pending––1.1412k2022-09-16
ORCAOrcaSolana0.98420.897416-8.82%0.8516-13.47%0.2031✗1.55244k2022-09-16
QNTQuantEthereum109.91100.2511-8.79%107.74-1.97%0.2080✗0.833.6M2022-09-16
METISMetisEthereum38.7935.406-8.72%24.55-36.71%0.0441✓1.96408k2022-09-16
QTUMQtumQtum4.0123.6631-8.70%2.9941-25.37%0.0412✓0.9848k2022-09-16
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000014760.000013492-8.59%0.00001157-21.61%0.0046✓0.96827k2022-09-16
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.386.7472-8.57%6.185-16.19%0.0722✓0.975.4M2022-09-16
LUNATerraTerra 20.00009510.00008706-8.45%0.00030458+220.27%1.4179✗1.01336k2022-09-16
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.81143.493-8.35%5.5996+46.92%0.5478✗0.462.0M2022-09-16
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1443.7998-8.31%3.867-6.68%0.0676✓0.301.5M2022-09-16
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0019550.001793-8.30%0.001658-15.19%0.0864✓1.00950k2022-09-16
RARESuperRareEthereum0.24860.228216-8.20%0.1847-25.70%0.0471✓1.00111k2022-09-16
OPTIMOptimism1.3211.2136-8.13%1.112-15.82%0.2295✗1.933.6M2022-09-16
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9280.853219-8.06%0.896-3.45%0.2504✗1.221.1M2022-09-16
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.65774.2857-7.99%4.6927+0.75%0.2552✗1.00140k2022-09-16
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07780.071635-7.92%0.0575-26.09%0.0256✓1.181.4M2022-09-16
RADRadworksEthereum2.372.1823-7.92%2.13-10.13%0.1232✗0.90636k2022-09-16
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.6165.1768-7.82%5.56-1.00%0.0846✗0.083.4M2022-09-16
AAVEAaveEthereum100.1492.3961-7.73%79.37-20.74%0.0998✗1.536.4M2022-09-16
FORTFortaEthereum0.2940.271329-7.71%0.19-35.37%0.1802✓1.07160k2022-09-16
GMTGMTEthereum0.9670.892722-7.68%0.6518-32.60%0.0794✓1.43469k2022-09-16
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.35.8162-7.68%5.78-8.25%0.0564✓0.381.6M2022-09-16
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.7510.8521-7.64%16.596+41.24%0.6106✗1.1312.0M2022-09-16
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.70661.5769-7.60%1.8924+10.89%0.3801✗1.20598k2022-09-16
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.0617.4578-7.48%7.655-5.04%0.2042✗1.0820.0M2022-09-16
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.1937.5814-7.46%5.824-28.91%0.1301✓0.819.9M2022-09-16
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04390.040645-7.42%0.0352-19.82%0.0118✓0.9576k2022-09-16
UNIUniswapEthereum7.9617.3796-7.30%5.824-26.84%0.0227✓1.3010.3M2022-09-16
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.5053.2497-7.29%2.596-25.93%0.0343✓1.575.2M2022-09-16
ELAElastosEthereum1.9911.8462-7.27%1.475-25.92%0.0603✓1.00181k2022-09-16
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.41071.3096-7.17%1.2302-12.80%0.0926✗0.941.0M2022-09-16
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.8541.7212-7.16%1.38-25.57%0.0368✓1.12170k2022-09-16
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.09832.8769-7.15%3.6957+19.28%0.3332✗0.501.3M2022-09-16
MOVRMoonriverBase14.827213.7682-7.14%11.2265-24.28%0.0473✓0.9553k2022-09-16
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.7414.6246-7.09%14.52-7.75%0.1721✗1.092.6M2022-09-16
APEApeCoinEthereum6.1075.6752-7.07%4.665-23.61%0.0273✓1.3611.8M2022-09-16
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.893.6153-7.06%3.874-0.41%0.1003✗0.191.9M2022-09-16
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0219640.020424-7.01%0.025951+18.15%0.2722✗0.20233k2022-09-16
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0039360.003662-6.96%0.002807-28.68%0.1357✓0.791.0M2022-09-16
UMAUMAEthereum3.2633.0372-6.92%2.56-21.54%0.0343✓0.83719k2022-09-16
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.9665.5577-6.84%11.384+90.81%0.7774✗0.371.2M2022-09-16
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06620.061696-6.80%0.0555-16.16%0.0226✓0.78116k2022-09-16
ADACardanoCardano0.53860.502696-6.67%0.4748-11.85%0.1122✗1.0343.6M2022-09-16
FLOWFlownative2.5652.3943-6.66%1.78-30.60%0.0860✓1.281.0M2022-09-16
STEEMSteemnative0.27560.257374-6.61%0.2244-18.58%0.0055✓0.87550k2022-09-16
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05990.055966-6.57%0.0411-31.39%0.1388✓1.03877k2022-09-16
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.001680.00157-6.52%0.001455-13.39%0.0370✓0.699,5772022-09-16
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5150.481461-6.51%0.434-15.73%0.0594✓0.999,8012022-09-16
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018080.016909-6.48%0.01206-33.30%0.2366✓0.62153k2022-09-16
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.3610.6278-6.45%9.36-17.61%0.0602✓1.14313k2022-09-16
COTICOTIEthereum0.10910.102132-6.39%0.0976-10.54%0.1174✗0.99456k2022-09-16
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7810.731226-6.37%0.605-22.54%0.0366✓0.93280k2022-09-16
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.2410.225661-6.36%0.1907-20.87%0.0588✓1.38117k2022-09-16
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.43710.409441-6.33%0.3144-28.07%0.0359✓1.39209k2022-09-16
BTTCBTTC9.60e-79.00e-7-6.28%8.20e-7-14.58%0.0368✓0.795.3M2022-09-16
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12260.114936-6.25%0.1057-13.78%0.0985✗1.113.8M2022-09-16
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.525.1759-6.23%5.31-3.80%0.0869✗0.372.0M2022-09-16
DASHDashDash52.8749.5804-6.22%43.69-17.36%0.0325✓0.97548k2022-09-16
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV59.92256.2119-6.19%52.013-13.20%0.0384✓0.71365k2022-09-16
XEMNEMnative0.0502950.047195-6.16%0.042068-16.36%0.0324✓0.9043k2022-09-16
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.922.7408-6.14%1.92-34.25%0.1597✓1.19269k2022-09-16
COMPCompoundEthereum58.3154.7323-6.14%54.06-7.29%0.1909✗1.2420k2022-09-16
SUSHISushiEthereum1.371.2863-6.11%1.1346-17.18%0.0812✗1.261.1M2022-09-16
XVSVenusEthereum65.6387-6.02%4.36-27.33%0.1074✓0.911.5M2022-09-16
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34080.320288-6.02%0.2979-12.59%0.0805✗0.938.3M2022-09-16
XTZTezosTezos1.88471.7716-6.00%1.5208-19.31%0.0306✓1.11488k2022-09-16
GITCOINGITCOIN2.92612.7506-6.00%1.9192-34.41%0.1609✓1.2113k2022-09-16
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0239350.022514-5.93%0.020411-14.72%0.0349✓0.8113k2022-09-16
DIADIAEthereum0.460510.433358-5.90%0.37431-18.72%0.0024✓0.9170k2022-09-16
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.225.8534-5.89%6.26+0.64%0.1269✗0.361.1M2022-09-16
KSMKusamaHydration54.7751.5947-5.80%43.86-19.92%0.0045✓1.01595k2022-09-16
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16970.159885-5.78%0.1558-8.19%0.1499✗1.07616k2022-09-16
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6540.616218-5.78%0.418-36.09%0.1922✓1.192,9182022-09-16
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3480820.327979-5.78%0.283015-18.69%0.0249✓1.05916k2022-09-16
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum16.8815.9118-5.74%12.83-23.99%0.0130✓1.231.6M2022-09-16
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010860.010252-5.60%0.00835-23.11%0.0832✓0.745.8M2022-09-16
UOSUltraEthereum0.329720.311345-5.57%0.38821+17.74%0.3665✗0.89402k2022-09-16
XMRMoneroMonero168.3159.1256-5.45%149.19-11.35%0.0925✗0.951.2M2022-09-16
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.56530.534509-5.45%0.4698-16.89%0.0058✓0.82755k2022-09-16
GALAGALAEthereum0.0630.05958-5.43%0.0476-24.44%0.0565✓1.02253k2022-09-16
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.70e-79.17e-7-5.41%8.30e-7-14.43%0.0265✓0.7721k2022-09-16
SOLSolanaSolana40.5538.3554-5.41%32.23-20.52%0.0223✓1.1981.1M2022-09-16
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.611.524-5.34%1.28-20.50%0.0156✓0.97182k2022-09-16
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09970.094417-5.30%0.1059+6.22%0.2470✗0.80215k2022-09-16
STORJStorjEthereum0.652840.61841-5.27%0.49675-23.91%0.0032✓1.3147k2022-09-16
KCSKuCoinnative10.2569.7154-5.27%9.137-10.91%0.0981✗0.971.9M2022-09-16
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25350.240163-5.26%0.2047-19.25%0.0067✓1.0183k2022-09-16
LCXLCXEthereum0.07080.06709-5.24%0.0498-29.66%0.1079✓1.16331k2022-09-16
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6720.636842-5.23%0.489-27.23%0.0672✓1.20130k2022-09-16
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13810.130947-5.18%0.1457+5.50%0.2775✗1.0441k2022-09-16
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.08320.078898-5.17%0.06472-22.21%0.1572✓0.251.0M2022-09-16
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0151840.014404-5.14%0.012294-19.03%0.0598✓0.602.1M2022-09-16
BORABORAKlay Token0.344910.327211-5.13%0.26134-24.23%0.0538✓1.0413k2022-09-16
GTGateEthereum4.84494.5963-5.13%4.2657-11.95%0.0456✓0.73882k2022-09-16
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,341.1722,143.65-5.13%19,801.04-15.17%0.0527✗1.00482.6M2022-09-16
BANDBandEthereum1.5631.4835-5.09%1.237-20.86%0.0287✓1.28529k2022-09-16
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7730.733686-5.09%0.616-20.31%0.0197✓0.94344k2022-09-16
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008140.007728-5.07%0.00771-5.28%0.1805✗1.11456k2022-09-16
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.18211.1223-5.06%1.0589-10.42%0.1924✗1.525.6M2022-09-16
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.158730.150706-5.06%0.13109-17.41%0.0640✗1.24250k2022-09-16
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.31980.303664-5.05%0.2626-17.89%0.0174✓0.993.6M2022-09-16
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6430.610719-5.02%0.497-22.71%0.0151✓1.16105k2022-09-16
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.3727.9519-5.02%6.906-17.51%0.0278✓1.0314.4M2022-09-16
FISStafiEthereum0.41420.393448-5.01%0.3538-14.58%0.0423✓0.901922022-09-16
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.20162.0914-5.01%1.7566-20.21%0.0015✓1.0536k2022-09-16
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2181.1571-5.00%0.8768-28.01%0.0737✓1.241.1M2022-09-16
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.4133.2427-4.99%2.987-12.48%0.0216✓0.63853k2022-09-16
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.17940.170457-4.99%0.15812-11.86%0.2924✗2.236712022-09-16
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8040.764008-4.97%0.586-27.11%0.0331✓1.414.6M2022-09-16
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14530.138096-4.96%0.1213-16.52%0.0301✓0.614.4M2022-09-16
ZECZcashZcash74.2270.5961-4.88%56.74-23.55%0.0370✓1.102.0M2022-09-16
API3Api3Ethereum2.2662.1555-4.88%1.541-31.99%0.1837✓0.92680k2022-09-16
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12140.115572-4.80%0.1034-14.83%0.0310✓0.87311k2022-09-16
IMXImmutableEthereum0.96510.918918-4.79%0.7965-17.47%0.0503✗1.182.2M2022-09-16
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.8991.8082-4.78%1.34-29.44%0.0949✓1.25142k2022-09-16
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.361.2953-4.76%1.173-13.75%0.0657✗1.002.5M2022-09-16
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.4762.3599-4.69%1.715-30.74%0.0302✓1.76134k2022-09-16
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.024860.023707-4.64%0.02106-15.29%0.0284✓0.89310k2022-09-16
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash133.83127.6268-4.64%119.59-10.64%0.1163✗1.105.1M2022-09-16
ZENHorizenBase19.0118.1477-4.54%14.36-24.46%0.0498✓1.12130k2022-09-16
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.41880.399974-4.50%0.346-17.38%0.0626✗1.26239k2022-09-16
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.077550.074088-4.46%0.0652-15.93%0.0001✓0.789142022-09-16
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.54010.51608-4.45%0.4634-14.20%0.0767✗1.12388k2022-09-16
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.922.7921-4.38%1.76-39.73%0.3758✓0.5296k2022-09-16
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.5257.8985-4.33%55.93-7.58%0.1301✗1.0013.5M2022-09-16
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.383270.366718-4.32%0.30013-21.69%0.0564✓0.88435k2022-09-16
CELLCellframeEthereum0.37410.357944-4.32%0.2667-28.71%0.1116✓1.11105k2022-09-16
XECeCashnative0.000043330.000041491-4.24%0.00004223-2.54%0.1609✗0.871.9M2022-09-16
XVGVergenative0.003780.003622-4.18%0.00319-15.61%0.0407✓1.02528k2022-09-16
AVTAventusEthereum1.41.3417-4.16%1.44+2.86%0.0605✗-0.06124k2022-09-16
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.5252.4205-4.14%1.988-21.27%0.0027✓1.1864k2022-09-16
XYMSymbolnative0.0535190.05132-4.11%0.039113-26.92%0.1898✓0.5033k2022-09-16
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.025750.024692-4.11%0.02055-20.19%0.0386✓0.8814.3M2022-09-16
XLMStellarStellar0.1213050.116329-4.10%0.107109-11.70%0.0638✗0.897.8M2022-09-16
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.045180.043327-4.10%0.03549-21.45%0.0677✓0.802,6002022-09-16
LRCLoopringEthereum0.42060.404197-3.90%0.3247-22.80%0.0368✓1.11190k2022-09-16
WOOWOOEthereum0.19750.189967-3.81%0.151-23.54%0.0565✓1.051,7922022-09-16
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.07930.076285-3.80%0.0646-18.54%0.0363✓0.79130k2022-09-16
GLMGolemEthereum0.29130.28085-3.59%0.3024+3.81%0.2267✗0.9381k2022-09-16
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.0921.053-3.57%0.9744-10.77%0.0248✓0.623.9M2022-09-16
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006750.00651-3.56%0.006297-6.71%0.0404✗0.4555k2022-09-16
NANOnanopayBase0.978230.94343-3.56%0.810979-17.10%0.0285✓0.7577k2022-09-16
STXStacksnative0.45670.441137-3.41%0.3492-23.54%0.0504✓1.11808k2022-09-16
MANADecentralandEthereum0.967770.934804-3.41%0.7411-23.42%0.0776✓0.94623k2022-09-16
FTTFTXEthereum30.1129.115-3.30%24.08-20.03%0.0370✓0.939.1M2022-09-16
C98Coin98Ethereum0.47010.45461-3.30%0.4409-6.21%0.1576✗1.1464k2022-09-16
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05090.04927-3.20%0.043-15.52%0.0244✓0.98212k2022-09-16
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10180.098703-3.04%0.0859-15.62%0.0246✓0.9912k2022-09-16
LSKLiskEthereum1.21191.1789-2.73%1.003-17.24%0.0174✓0.8855k2022-09-16
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.02990.029095-2.69%0.02271-24.05%0.0342✓1.302,9912022-09-16
DKAdKargoEthereum0.050730.04938-2.66%0.04256-16.10%0.0303✓0.7216k2022-09-16
AMPAmpEthereum0.007940.007739-2.53%0.00531-33.12%0.2714✓0.641.6M2022-09-16
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.409860.400411-2.31%0.32095-21.69%0.0580✓0.9995k2022-09-16
SCSiacoinnative0.004680.004574-2.26%0.00373-20.30%0.0384✓1.01158k2022-09-16
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0801150.078341-2.21%0.060443-24.55%0.0903✓1.031.9M2022-09-16
SUNSun TokenTron0.006520.006376-2.21%0.005888-9.70%0.0355✗0.703,0362022-09-16
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9090.889033-2.20%0.928+2.09%0.1183✗0.464.4M2022-09-16
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2170.212549-2.05%0.15442-28.84%0.1381✓1.10696k2022-09-16
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3030.296911-2.01%0.262-13.53%0.0068✓0.721.0M2022-09-16
CBKCobakEthereum1.11151.0901-1.93%0.82039-26.19%0.1290✓0.9412k2022-09-16
CHRChromiaEthereum0.19540.191804-1.84%0.155-20.68%0.0225✗1.431,3972022-09-16
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26130.256802-1.72%0.119-54.46%0.7671✓0.0165k2022-09-16
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12090.118932-1.63%0.0959-20.68%0.0988✓0.714,2082022-09-16
CVCCivicEthereum0.17690.174264-1.49%0.1384-21.76%0.0644✓1.01140k2022-09-16
TRXTRONTron0.0681260.067823-0.44%0.061288-10.04%0.0006✓0.61182k2022-09-16
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04270.042623-0.18%0.0374-12.41%0.0231✗0.9411k2022-09-16
PROPropyEthereum0.780.780919+0.12%0.7-10.26%0.0396✗0.42105k2022-09-16
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,298.3023,357.34+0.25%19,713.60-15.39%0.0096✗0.977,5932022-09-16
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.30115.4081+2.02%4.9422-6.77%0.0679✗0.14217k2022-09-16
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.