8=======>

2022-08-14 · +30d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 187 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0725
186 of 187 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-4.65%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
67.2%
in alpha space · 86.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-17.03%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (187 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,226.839,802.49-12.69%9,017.07-19.68%0.1652✗1.336.5M2022-09-13
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000016880.000014791-12.38%0.00001209-28.38%0.0222✓0.96679k2022-09-13
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.048790.04308-11.70%0.03367-30.99%0.0562✓1.0220k2022-09-13
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.269.0926-11.38%6.97-32.07%0.0578✓1.11638k2022-09-13
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.53783.1359-11.36%7.2349+104.50%0.8975✗0.331.6M2022-09-13
TRBTellor TributesEthereum39.2734.998-10.88%15.2-61.29%0.6266✓1.111.7M2022-09-13
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.9443.5162-10.85%4.212+6.80%0.3419✗0.86124k2022-09-13
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.092810.082871-10.71%0.05951-35.88%0.1040✓1.222.2M2022-09-13
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.2418.9717-10.68%16.8-20.90%0.0082✓0.702.2M2022-09-13
CHZChilizEthereum0.18110.16194-10.58%0.1934+6.79%0.3375✗0.861.1M2022-09-13
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0014320.001282-10.47%0.001236-13.64%0.1243✗0.861.5M2022-09-13
DODODODOEthereum0.1710.153312-10.34%0.1253-26.73%0.0136✓1.012.6M2022-09-13
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.8213.4385-10.01%2.719-28.84%0.0621✓1.595.3M2022-09-13
ETHEthereumEthereum1,935.851,747.63-9.72%1,574.71-18.66%0.1432✗1.32522.8M2022-09-13
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche28.1925.4883-9.58%18.87-33.06%0.0435✓1.3830.5M2022-09-13
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.064.5785-9.52%4.5-11.07%0.0571✓0.401.3M2022-09-13
ETCEthereum Classicnative41.5737.6897-9.33%35.29-15.11%0.1925✗1.3816.5M2022-09-13
METISMetisEthereum43.2639.3295-9.09%27.9-35.51%0.0211✓1.95385k2022-09-13
OPTIMOptimism1.441.3092-9.08%1.182-17.92%0.2557✗1.923.7M2022-09-13
QNTQuantEthereum118.61107.8729-9.05%97.87-17.49%0.0648✓0.873.8M2022-09-13
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.978.1783-8.83%8.75-2.45%0.0889✓0.111.8M2022-09-13
RADRadworksEthereum2.552.3266-8.76%2.32-9.02%0.1710✗0.93636k2022-09-13
BFCBifrostEthereum0.08830.080692-8.62%0.0679-23.10%0.0385✓1.1329k2022-09-13
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.0017.3171-8.55%6.4-20.01%0.0570✓1.025.5M2022-09-13
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.3545.8164-8.46%6.134-3.46%0.0724✓0.103.5M2022-09-13
ORCAOrcaSolana1.00190.919102-8.26%0.8463-15.53%0.2133✗1.58296k2022-09-13
LUNATerraTerra 20.000100140.000091935-8.19%0.00035806+257.56%1.5499✗1.02336k2022-09-13
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.69323.3931-8.13%6.58+78.17%0.7470✗0.451.9M2022-09-13
HIVEHivenative0.62130.570914-8.11%0.5504-11.41%0.1481✗0.992.4M2022-09-13
AAVEAaveEthereum107.4498.941-7.91%82.97-22.78%0.1157✗1.567.1M2022-09-13
NEXONEXOEthereum1.0080.929557-7.78%0.913-9.42%0.2091✗1.221.3M2022-09-13
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.2071.1132-7.77%–pending––1.1013k2022-09-13
QTUMQtumQtum4.19063.866-7.75%3.0233-27.86%0.0590✓1.0053k2022-09-13
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7530.69526-7.67%0.449-40.37%0.2069✓1.232,7912022-09-13
UNIUniswapEthereum8.8828.2014-7.66%6.034-32.06%0.0615✓1.3110.0M2022-09-13
GMTGMTEthereum0.9810.906995-7.54%0.6606-32.66%0.0447✓1.46407k2022-09-13
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.778.1137-7.48%7.025-19.90%0.0628✓1.1119.3M2022-09-13
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1543.8438-7.47%4.082-1.73%0.1215✗0.331.7M2022-09-13
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0670.062073-7.35%0.0441-34.18%0.1379✓1.09877k2022-09-13
FLOWFlownative2.8322.6246-7.32%1.864-34.18%0.1042✓1.27754k2022-09-13
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12750.11819-7.30%0.1104-13.41%0.0963✗0.88220k2022-09-13
MOVRMoonriverBase16.201915.0197-7.30%11.9339-26.34%0.0453✓0.9959k2022-09-13
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0021020.001949-7.29%0.001519-27.74%0.0625✓1.001.0M2022-09-13
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.45881.3527-7.27%1.2429-14.80%0.1021✗1.001.0M2022-09-13
FISStafiEthereum0.49050.454975-7.24%0.35-28.64%0.1030✓0.851382022-09-13
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.51990.4825-7.19%0.3105-40.28%0.1930✓1.33213k2022-09-13
FORTFortaEthereum0.29960.278177-7.15%0.2103-29.81%0.0773✓1.08189k2022-09-13
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8870.823649-7.14%0.61-31.23%0.1209✓0.96280k2022-09-13
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.2357.6473-7.14%5.871-28.71%0.1033✓0.868.3M2022-09-13
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.58810.762-7.13%13.897+19.93%0.4739✗1.1713.2M2022-09-13
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.38921.2912-7.05%1.0525-24.24%0.0624✓1.436.4M2022-09-13
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.9325.5241-6.88%12.092+103.84%0.8231✗0.211.1M2022-09-13
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1023.8247-6.76%4.142+0.98%0.1243✗0.242.2M2022-09-13
RARESuperRareEthereum0.28540.266177-6.74%0.1898-33.50%0.1515✓1.00108k2022-09-13
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.8111.0189-6.70%9.73-17.61%0.0886✗1.14305k2022-09-13
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04280.039935-6.69%0.0361-15.65%0.0884✗1.0176k2022-09-13
COMPCompoundEthereum63.0458.8224-6.69%55.83-11.44%0.1861✗1.2835k2022-09-13
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.125.7117-6.67%6.12+0.00%0.1330✗0.341.4M2022-09-13
XVSVenusEthereum6.425.9961-6.60%4.66-27.41%0.0546✓1.061.4M2022-09-13
APEApeCoinEthereum6.3685.9475-6.60%5.136-19.35%0.1064✗1.3612.8M2022-09-13
ELAElastosEthereum2.0391.9068-6.48%1.553-23.84%0.0190✓1.00189k2022-09-13
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004190.003919-6.47%0.002827-32.53%0.1766✓0.801.0M2022-09-13
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.47930.448576-6.41%0.4008-16.38%0.1346✗1.32242k2022-09-13
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.13930.130431-6.37%0.1082-22.33%0.0214✓1.123.9M2022-09-13
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07210.067513-6.36%0.0572-20.67%0.0099✓0.83119k2022-09-13
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08090.075757-6.36%0.059-27.07%0.0361✓1.151.4M2022-09-13
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9391.8158-6.35%1.455-24.96%0.0071✓1.15203k2022-09-13
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.8653.6212-6.31%3.055-20.96%0.0386✓0.701.1M2022-09-13
UMAUMAEthereum3.4463.232-6.21%2.618-24.03%0.0490✓0.87640k2022-09-13
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.64811.5463-6.18%1.9586+18.84%0.4730✗1.27540k2022-09-13
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5340.501044-6.17%0.434-18.73%0.0440✓1.0014k2022-09-13
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017920.001682-6.14%0.001531-14.56%0.0475✓0.769,0932022-09-13
COTICOTIEthereum0.11660.1095-6.09%0.0924-20.75%0.0250✓1.04499k2022-09-13
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.5617.4299-6.09%13.18-28.99%0.0574✓1.191.6M2022-09-13
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.16082.9704-6.02%4.1321+30.73%0.4247✗0.511.3M2022-09-13
XEMNEMnative0.0538060.05065-5.87%0.042163-21.64%0.0090✓0.9343k2022-09-13
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.5313.6785-5.86%14.53+0.00%0.2899✗1.232.6M2022-09-13
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.425.1051-5.81%5.72+5.54%0.1640✗0.272.0M2022-09-13
CELLCellframeEthereum0.41180.388021-5.77%0.298-27.63%0.0576✓1.10100k2022-09-13
SUSHISushiEthereum1.481.3946-5.77%1.1703-20.93%0.0667✗1.301.2M2022-09-13
LRCLoopringEthereum0.48370.455802-5.77%0.3308-31.61%0.1095✓1.13190k2022-09-13
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8390.790909-5.73%0.595-29.08%0.1105✓0.93370k2022-09-13
BRISEBitgertEthereum4.26e-74.01e-7-5.72%6.96e-7+63.55%0.6785✗0.68150k2022-09-13
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.8082.6486-5.68%1.785-36.43%0.0679✓1.75144k2022-09-13
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3741170.353158-5.60%0.289387-22.65%0.0023✓1.08916k2022-09-13
GALAGALAEthereum0.07030.066406-5.54%0.0479-31.86%0.1266✓1.07225k2022-09-13
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.062.8907-5.53%2.03-33.66%0.1154✓1.27244k2022-09-13
CTSICartesiEthereum0.18420.174012-5.53%0.1444-21.61%0.0192✓1.10586k2022-09-13
SOLSolanaSolana44.8942.4094-5.53%33.01-26.46%0.0242✓1.2178.8M2022-09-13
GITCOINGITCOIN3.0772.9075-5.51%2.0329-33.93%0.1080✓1.3413k2022-09-13
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.17730.167563-5.49%0.13476-23.99%0.0213✓1.28243k2022-09-13
DIADIAEthereum0.492650.465635-5.48%0.38116-22.63%0.1126✓0.4770k2022-09-13
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.25550.241586-5.45%0.199-22.11%0.0580✗1.35132k2022-09-13
UOSUltraEthereum0.376550.356226-5.40%0.42001+11.54%0.3288✗0.88439k2022-09-13
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6990.661508-5.36%0.493-29.47%0.0692✓1.20115k2022-09-13
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3411.2692-5.36%0.8796-34.41%0.1363✓1.231.1M2022-09-13
ADACardanoCardano0.57010.540713-5.15%0.4637-18.66%0.0442✓1.0642.0M2022-09-13
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.175.8522-5.15%6.47+4.86%0.1635✗0.341.0M2022-09-13
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.60940.578177-5.12%0.4865-20.17%0.0304✓0.76784k2022-09-13
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.751.661-5.09%1.3-25.71%0.0505✓1.04190k2022-09-13
BANDBandEthereum1.7321.6442-5.07%1.244-28.18%0.0312✓1.33460k2022-09-13
IMXImmutableEthereum1.09621.0407-5.06%0.8066-26.42%0.0275✓1.222.3M2022-09-13
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.1872.0776-5.00%1.41-35.53%0.1743✓1.14169k2022-09-13
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.36420.346171-4.95%0.2966-18.56%0.0261✓0.978.3M2022-09-13
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.16410.15603-4.92%0.1243-24.25%0.1021✓0.674.4M2022-09-13
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34670.329784-4.88%0.2679-22.73%0.0172✓1.023.6M2022-09-13
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0156770.014923-4.81%0.012152-22.49%0.0845✓0.652.1M2022-09-13
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8740.832425-4.76%0.622-28.83%0.0180✓1.464.4M2022-09-13
BTTCBTTC0.000001019.62e-7-4.75%8.60e-7-14.85%0.0328✓0.785.7M2022-09-13
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.19170.182644-4.72%0.16738-12.69%0.3300✗2.236712022-09-13
STEEMSteemnative0.27230.25944-4.72%0.2161-20.64%0.0096✓0.93551k2022-09-13
BORABORAKlay Token0.367520.35029-4.69%0.26692-27.37%0.0683✓1.0913k2022-09-13
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008650.008246-4.68%0.00796-7.98%0.1741✗1.12463k2022-09-13
DASHDashDash55.0852.5748-4.55%43.77-20.53%0.0001✓0.98574k2022-09-13
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017620.016827-4.50%0.01252-28.94%0.1631✓0.71155k2022-09-13
KSMKusamaHydration58.8756.2339-4.48%46.38-21.22%0.0012✓1.04524k2022-09-13
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.029260.027955-4.46%0.02043-30.18%0.1267✓1.0014.3M2022-09-13
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14770.141131-4.45%0.1963+32.90%0.5339✗1.0946k2022-09-13
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0198460.018974-4.39%0.024692+24.42%0.2958✗0.17230k2022-09-13
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.9558.564-4.37%7.07-21.05%0.0072✓1.0713.7M2022-09-13
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.59470.568776-4.36%0.4625-22.23%0.0029✓1.12365k2022-09-13
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.26930.257643-4.33%0.2085-22.58%0.0245✓1.0091k2022-09-13
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.025730.024616-4.33%0.02007-22.00%0.0450✓0.85209k2022-09-13
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.31222.2125-4.31%1.7866-22.73%0.0128✓1.0838k2022-09-13
XTZTezosTezos1.82261.7447-4.27%1.5348-15.79%0.0833✗1.13467k2022-09-13
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7732.6559-4.22%2.022-27.08%0.0530✓1.1862k2022-09-13
WOOWOOEthereum0.22840.21893-4.15%0.1561-31.65%0.1343✓1.091,7402022-09-13
BTCBitcoinBitcoin24,316.7123,316.40-4.11%20,174.78-17.03%0.0420✓1.00472.7M2022-09-13
XMRMoneroMonero168.04161.1742-4.09%145.44-13.45%0.0830✗0.991.2M2022-09-13
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12840.123197-4.05%0.1076-16.20%0.0347✓0.91328k2022-09-13
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4451.3866-4.04%1.152-20.28%0.0042✓1.022.6M2022-09-13
XECeCashnative0.000046140.000044298-3.99%0.00004395-4.75%0.1607✗0.902.1M2022-09-13
GTGateEthereum5.05494.854-3.97%4.1432-18.04%0.0220✓0.73882k2022-09-13
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV62.39159.9785-3.87%51.566-17.35%0.0150✓0.73354k2022-09-13
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05410.052026-3.83%0.0452-16.45%0.0444✗0.99237k2022-09-13
MANADecentralandEthereum1.07351.0333-3.75%0.73147-31.86%0.1592✓1.00574k2022-09-13
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash139.45134.2397-3.74%117.6-15.67%0.0768✗1.125.1M2022-09-13
API3Api3Ethereum2.3872.3009-3.61%1.68-29.62%0.1328✓0.97607k2022-09-13
KCSKuCoinnative10.64610.2637-3.59%9.254-13.08%0.0788✗0.982.0M2022-09-13
LCXLCXEthereum0.07650.073779-3.56%0.0496-35.16%0.1693✓1.22350k2022-09-13
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.081150.078318-3.49%0.06468-20.30%0.0476✓0.778802022-09-13
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08540.082464-3.44%0.0594-30.44%0.1617✓0.89130k2022-09-13
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0255820.024713-3.40%0.020191-21.07%0.0444✓0.8413k2022-09-13
LTCLitecoinLitecoin63.1761.065-3.33%59.1-6.44%0.1630✗1.0513.6M2022-09-13
STORJStorjEthereum0.710150.686643-3.31%0.50798-28.47%0.0524✓1.3349k2022-09-13
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010370.010034-3.24%0.00851-17.94%0.0086✓0.845.6M2022-09-13
BTTBitTorrentEthereum0.000001019.77e-7-3.22%8.70e-7-13.86%0.0272✓0.7721k2022-09-13
ZECZcashZcash73.7171.3938-3.14%58.92-20.07%0.0230✓1.152.3M2022-09-13
XVGVergenative0.004030.003905-3.09%0.00337-16.38%0.0537✗1.08517k2022-09-13
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.049420.047924-3.03%0.03648-26.18%0.1211✓0.812,5822022-09-13
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.12121.0877-2.99%1.0223-8.82%0.0654✗0.683.9M2022-09-13
ZENHorizenBase20.1419.5595-2.88%14.84-26.32%0.0552✓1.18124k2022-09-13
NANOnanopayBase1.05681.027-2.82%0.846269-19.92%0.0499✓0.7777k2022-09-13
XYMSymbolnative0.0564530.054949-2.66%0.03987-29.37%0.2265✓0.5136k2022-09-13
C98Coin98Ethereum0.53440.520775-2.55%0.4014-24.89%0.0486✓1.1359k2022-09-13
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085720.083544-2.54%0.06913-19.35%0.1453✓0.241.1M2022-09-13
XLMStellarStellar0.1256460.122461-2.53%0.104654-16.71%0.0121✓0.917.2M2022-09-13
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.404750.394504-2.53%0.30966-23.49%0.0620✓0.96479k2022-09-13
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.70.682885-2.44%0.52-25.71%0.0313✓1.29137k2022-09-13
DKAdKargoEthereum0.055380.05405-2.40%0.04273-22.84%0.0989✓0.7316k2022-09-13
STXStacksnative0.49170.480079-2.36%0.3497-28.88%0.1056✓1.13808k2022-09-13
AVTAventusEthereum1.51.4691-2.06%1.41-6.00%0.0396✓0.01132k2022-09-13
FTTFTXEthereum30.8430.2455-1.93%25.89-16.05%0.0189✓0.939.8M2022-09-13
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.982.9289-1.72%1.81-39.26%0.3835✓0.52102k2022-09-13
LSKLiskEthereum1.26061.2392-1.69%1.0027-20.45%0.0408✓0.9256k2022-09-13
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.08170.0804-1.59%0.059635-27.01%0.1068✓1.031.8M2022-09-13
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.444750.438056-1.51%0.32139-27.74%0.1208✓1.01109k2022-09-13
GLMGolemEthereum0.28680.282491-1.50%0.3444+20.08%0.3713✗0.9370k2022-09-13
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.032290.03182-1.45%0.02317-28.24%0.0755✓1.292,9912022-09-13
PHAPHALAEthereum0.13080.129057-1.33%0.0968-25.99%0.1392✓0.793,9702022-09-13
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006720.006631-1.32%0.006216-7.50%0.0190✗0.4555k2022-09-13
CBKCobakEthereum1.20581.1915-1.19%0.82473-31.60%0.1871✓0.9712k2022-09-13
SCSiacoinnative0.004990.004934-1.12%0.00381-23.65%0.0603✓1.06145k2022-09-13
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21120.209242-0.93%0.165-21.88%0.0284✗1.421,3132022-09-13
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09950.098684-0.82%0.0848-14.77%0.0415✗1.039,7202022-09-13
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2250.223519-0.66%0.16284-27.63%0.0898✓1.22657k2022-09-13
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9320.926361-0.61%0.921-1.18%0.0921✗0.524.4M2022-09-13
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3270.325028-0.60%0.263-19.57%0.0606✓0.811.1M2022-09-13
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04720.047154-0.10%0.0403-14.62%0.0234✗0.9711k2022-09-13
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum24,209.7024,238.59+0.12%20,237.10-16.41%0.0004✓0.977,5932022-09-13
CVCCivicEthereum0.17160.172392+0.46%0.1392-18.88%0.0217✗1.03131k2022-09-13
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26110.263058+0.75%0.1365-47.72%0.6536✗0.0155k2022-09-13
AMPAmpEthereum0.008250.008314+0.78%0.00563-31.76%0.2696✗0.641.6M2022-09-13
SUNSun TokenTron0.0067130.00677+0.85%0.005899-12.12%0.0034✓0.723,2222022-09-13
TRXTRONTron0.0703490.071177+1.18%0.060682-13.74%0.0462✗0.61192k2022-09-13
PROPropyEthereum0.810.827658+2.18%0.71-12.35%0.0761✗0.41105k2022-09-13
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.12745.4033+5.38%4.9699-3.07%0.0585✗0.13233k2022-09-13
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.