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2022-08-13 · +30d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 187 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1686
186 of 187 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+9.63%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
74.7%
in alpha space · 83.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-8.40%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (187 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
PROPropyEthereum0.820.856471+4.45%0.73-10.98%0.1223✗0.4391k2022-09-12
SUNSun TokenTron0.0069940.007149+2.22%0.006356-9.12%0.0531✗0.733,2222022-09-12
PHAPHALAEthereum0.13410.136924+2.11%0.1013-24.46%0.2284✗0.834,2082022-09-12
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10280.104761+1.91%0.0915-10.99%0.0459✗1.029,3472022-09-12
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum24,547.2024,939.62+1.60%22,320.80-9.07%0.0262✗0.977,5932022-09-12
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.89224.9662+1.51%5.0452+3.13%0.0278✓0.14246k2022-09-12
TRXTRONTron0.0699030.070931+1.47%0.063883-8.61%0.0508✗0.61182k2022-09-12
AMPAmpEthereum0.008280.008316+0.43%0.00621-25.00%0.2357✗0.641.6M2022-09-12
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21950.220268+0.35%0.1839-16.22%0.0556✗1.421,3132022-09-12
ASTRAstarEthereum0.05010.050198+0.20%0.0399-20.36%0.1438✗0.9811k2022-09-12
CVCCivicEthereum0.17430.174206-0.05%0.1518-12.91%0.0466✓1.04131k2022-09-12
LSKLiskEthereum1.29161.2905-0.08%1.091-15.53%0.0868✓0.9356k2022-09-12
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0729060.072684-0.30%0.063958-12.27%0.0372✓1.031.7M2022-09-12
BORABORAKlay Token0.371150.369732-0.38%0.2943-20.71%0.1319✓1.1013k2022-09-12
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.15120.150606-0.39%0.2164+43.12%0.4570✗1.0846k2022-09-12
STXStacksnative0.50950.507325-0.43%0.3879-23.87%0.1677✓1.15808k2022-09-12
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3330.330655-0.70%0.275-17.42%0.1107✓0.841.1M2022-09-12
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.033260.032996-0.79%0.02488-25.20%0.1688✓1.292,7512022-09-12
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.61530.608961-1.03%0.4948-19.58%0.1091✓1.12345k2022-09-12
API3Api3Ethereum2.4082.382-1.08%1.803-25.12%0.1926✓0.98588k2022-09-12
NANOnanopayBase1.08281.0697-1.20%0.914216-15.57%0.0880✓0.7970k2022-09-12
BTCBitcoinBitcoin24,456.4924,160.45-1.21%22,402.71-8.40%0.0122✓1.00455.4M2022-09-12
FISStafiEthereum0.37360.368922-1.25%0.3627-2.92%0.0625✗0.911382022-09-12
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.22e-73.17e-7-1.36%7.49e-7+132.74%0.9150✗0.64146k2022-09-12
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.27450.27072-1.38%0.2346-14.54%0.0548✓1.0197k2022-09-12
STEEMSteemnative0.27590.272079-1.38%0.2355-14.64%0.0660✓0.89576k2022-09-12
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017480.001722-1.50%0.001651-5.55%0.0243✗0.769,2532022-09-12
DKAdKargoEthereum0.054670.053848-1.50%0.04747-13.17%0.0612✓0.7416k2022-09-12
XVGVergenative0.003890.003828-1.59%0.00357-8.23%0.0259✗1.09517k2022-09-12
SCSiacoinnative0.005040.004957-1.64%0.0042-16.67%0.0711✓1.08126k2022-09-12
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.032.9749-1.82%1.84-39.27%0.4345✓0.52100k2022-09-12
GTGateEthereum5.10955.0152-1.85%4.3839-14.20%0.0708✓0.73882k2022-09-12
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.460970.45214-1.92%0.35436-23.13%0.1533✓1.03107k2022-09-12
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.049220.048272-1.93%0.04-18.73%0.1161✓0.822,5642022-09-12
LTCLitecoinLitecoin63.8662.6081-1.96%61.41-3.84%0.0730✗1.0513.7M2022-09-12
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.2610.25548-2.11%0.1916-26.59%0.2866✓0.0151k2022-09-12
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.027410.026828-2.12%0.02102-23.31%0.1744✓0.79197k2022-09-12
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012620.000012351-2.13%0.00001288+2.06%0.1282✗0.98679k2022-09-12
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.9992.933-2.20%4.5628+52.14%0.4888✗0.531.3M2022-09-12
XYMSymbolnative0.0569880.055713-2.24%0.042673-25.12%0.2215✓0.5136k2022-09-12
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0068240.006671-2.24%0.006234-8.65%0.0247✓0.4953k2022-09-12
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0258530.025254-2.32%0.022018-14.83%0.0644✓0.8313k2022-09-12
CBKCobakEthereum1.23111.2013-2.42%0.85428-30.61%0.2565✓0.9613k2022-09-12
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12960.126413-2.46%0.1141-11.96%0.0281✓0.85328k2022-09-12
ZECZcashZcash76.2174.3151-2.49%62.92-17.44%0.0643✓1.162.3M2022-09-12
KCSKuCoinnative10.69710.4288-2.51%9.715-9.18%0.0148✓0.982.0M2022-09-12
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04420.043087-2.52%0.0397-10.18%0.0093✓1.0476k2022-09-12
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07160.069781-2.54%0.06-16.20%0.0807✓0.80122k2022-09-12
AVTAventusEthereum1.551.5105-2.55%1.43-7.74%0.0549✓-0.00139k2022-09-12
BTTBitTorrentEthereum0.000001019.84e-7-2.60%9.10e-7-9.90%0.0101✓0.7721k2022-09-12
FTTFTXEthereum31.3330.5127-2.61%28.46-9.16%0.0117✓0.9310.0M2022-09-12
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.8144.6869-2.64%12.34+156.34%0.9891✗0.241.1M2022-09-12
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.016240.015796-2.74%0.013154-19.00%0.1237✓0.682.1M2022-09-12
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.26990.262235-2.84%0.2063-23.56%0.1219✓1.35117k2022-09-12
LCXLCXEthereum0.07840.076172-2.84%0.0516-34.18%0.2841✓1.20367k2022-09-12
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash144.43140.3061-2.86%128.87-10.77%0.0140✓1.135.1M2022-09-12
XMRMoneroMonero168.13163.245-2.91%163.77-2.59%0.0909✗1.001.1M2022-09-12
GLMGolemEthereum0.28860.280052-2.96%0.4093+41.82%0.4620✗0.9470k2022-09-12
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.2431.2055-3.02%–pending––1.1013k2022-09-12
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010310.009997-3.04%0.00905-12.22%0.0366✓0.725.5M2022-09-12
BTTCBTTC0.000001029.89e-7-3.04%9.00e-7-11.76%0.0263✓0.785.7M2022-09-12
STORJStorjEthereum0.720520.698435-3.07%0.563-21.86%0.0971✓1.3554k2022-09-12
IMXImmutableEthereum1.1381.1028-3.10%0.8638-24.09%0.1364✓1.232.3M2022-09-12
XEMNEMnative0.0544660.052774-3.11%0.046711-14.24%0.0373✓0.9744k2022-09-12
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.181160.175494-3.13%0.14211-21.56%0.0969✓1.30236k2022-09-12
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.35950.348005-3.20%0.2917-18.86%0.0871✓1.023.6M2022-09-12
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.41592.3373-3.25%1.962-18.79%0.0794✓1.0938k2022-09-12
ZENHorizenBase20.8220.1182-3.37%16.48-20.85%0.0948✓1.19118k2022-09-12
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.065.8556-3.37%6.71+10.73%0.1683✗0.371.0M2022-09-12
XTZTezosTezos1.91041.8457-3.38%1.6565-13.29%0.0081✓1.14467k2022-09-12
DASHDashDash57.0755.0963-3.46%47.17-17.35%0.0681✓0.99552k2022-09-12
NEXONEXOEthereum1.0381.002-3.47%0.97-6.55%0.0731✗1.201.3M2022-09-12
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9910.956543-3.48%1.01+1.92%0.1026✗0.554.2M2022-09-12
XECeCashnative0.00004740.000045751-3.48%0.00004597-3.02%0.0802✗0.862.0M2022-09-12
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2350.226822-3.48%0.17731-24.55%0.1381✓1.23657k2022-09-12
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.70291.6433-3.50%1.9123+12.30%0.2635✗1.28619k2022-09-12
GALAGALAEthereum0.06720.064832-3.52%0.0513-23.66%0.1370✓1.11215k2022-09-12
ADACardanoCardano0.55980.539906-3.55%0.5014-10.43%0.0198✓1.0742.0M2022-09-12
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09160.088322-3.58%0.0667-27.18%0.2095✓0.81123k2022-09-12
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV63.34660.9198-3.83%54.609-13.79%0.0457✓0.73344k2022-09-12
LRCLoopringEthereum0.49390.474952-3.84%0.3514-28.85%0.2004✓1.15175k2022-09-12
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4851.4279-3.85%1.279-13.87%0.0199✓1.032.6M2022-09-12
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.087550.084157-3.88%0.074-15.48%0.1083✓0.231.1M2022-09-12
UOSUltraEthereum0.38170.36676-3.91%0.44028+15.35%0.2609✗0.89439k2022-09-12
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.082810.079567-3.92%0.06915-16.50%0.0728✓0.779072022-09-12
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.318.9436-3.94%7.664-17.68%0.0594✓1.0813.2M2022-09-12
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3876930.372237-3.99%0.32043-17.35%0.0537✓1.10916k2022-09-12
SOLSolanaSolana46.6344.7699-3.99%37.46-19.67%0.0710✓1.2281.1M2022-09-12
UMAUMAEthereum3.7463.5936-4.07%2.756-26.43%0.1893✓0.87613k2022-09-12
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.201970.193706-4.09%0.17256-14.56%0.0803✗2.236712022-09-12
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.7020.672885-4.15%0.542-22.79%0.1093✓1.22100k2022-09-12
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017880.017136-4.16%0.01294-27.63%0.2217✓0.68159k2022-09-12
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7330.702456-4.17%0.569-22.37%0.0967✓1.30135k2022-09-12
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5580.534416-4.23%0.481-13.80%0.0176✓1.0014k2022-09-12
CTSICartesiEthereum0.19080.182644-4.27%0.1547-18.92%0.0687✓1.11586k2022-09-12
C98Coin98Ethereum0.55840.534439-4.29%0.4436-20.56%0.0869✓1.1358k2022-09-12
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.4191.3571-4.36%1.3976-1.51%0.1188✗1.02907k2022-09-12
ELAElastosEthereum2.1072.0151-4.36%1.622-23.02%0.1301✓0.99219k2022-09-12
XLMStellarStellar0.1268360.121302-4.36%0.113859-10.23%0.0168✓0.917.2M2022-09-12
QTUMQtumQtum4.29174.104-4.37%3.2933-23.26%0.1313✓1.0153k2022-09-12
APEApeCoinEthereum6.666.3625-4.47%5.492-17.54%0.0265✓1.3811.9M2022-09-12
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.818.415-4.48%8.95+1.59%0.0743✗0.141.8M2022-09-12
MANADecentralandEthereum1.06141.0135-4.51%0.79422-25.17%0.1534✓1.03543k2022-09-12
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.0653.8787-4.58%3.245-20.17%0.1151✓0.721.1M2022-09-12
LINKChainlinkEthereum9.1498.7234-4.65%7.758-15.20%0.0195✓1.1219.3M2022-09-12
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.964.7264-4.71%4.55-8.27%0.0033✓0.401.3M2022-09-12
HIVEHivenative0.63340.603477-4.72%0.5802-8.40%0.0487✗1.002.4M2022-09-12
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.62710.597451-4.73%0.5129-18.21%0.0825✓0.80784k2022-09-12
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08230.078398-4.74%0.0654-20.53%0.0818✓1.131.4M2022-09-12
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8672.7306-4.76%2.171-24.28%0.1253✓1.1959k2022-09-12
SUSHISushiEthereum1.541.4659-4.81%1.2695-17.56%0.0292✓1.311.2M2022-09-12
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.414770.39482-4.81%0.31623-23.76%0.1344✓1.00502k2022-09-12
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0204810.019495-4.81%0.024035+17.35%0.2240✗0.17226k2022-09-12
MOVRMoonriverBase17.038916.2167-4.83%12.665-25.67%0.1595✓1.0059k2022-09-12
COTICOTIEthereum0.12290.116943-4.85%0.1027-16.44%0.0366✓1.06529k2022-09-12
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.16271.1063-4.85%1.0045-13.61%0.0356✓0.693.9M2022-09-12
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4620.439469-4.88%0.408-11.69%0.0432✓1.34242k2022-09-12
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05540.05267-4.93%0.0493-11.01%0.0205✓0.99248k2022-09-12
XVSVenusEthereum6.656.32-4.96%4.98-25.11%0.1440✓1.081.4M2022-09-12
BANDBandEthereum1.8231.7321-4.99%1.352-25.84%0.1296✓1.35435k2022-09-12
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.851.7577-4.99%1.41-23.78%0.1276✓1.06190k2022-09-12
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0993.8887-5.13%4.285+4.54%0.1193✗0.252.3M2022-09-12
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.3282.2078-5.16%1.563-32.86%0.2442✓1.15172k2022-09-12
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0021970.002083-5.17%0.001626-25.99%0.1601✓1.001.0M2022-09-12
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.045140.042778-5.23%0.0373-17.37%0.0470✓1.0320k2022-09-12
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.36860.348882-5.35%0.3237-12.18%0.0105✓0.978.3M2022-09-12
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11760.11129-5.37%0.1144-2.72%0.1077✗0.91215k2022-09-12
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008860.008379-5.43%0.00833-5.98%0.0921✗1.12463k2022-09-12
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.1353.91-5.44%4.524+9.41%0.2220✗0.87114k2022-09-12
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.1811.5119-5.49%11.02-9.52%0.0571✗1.15305k2022-09-12
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.031260.029506-5.61%0.0228-27.06%0.1674✓1.0313.8M2022-09-12
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9120.860669-5.63%0.672-26.32%0.1188✓1.474.3M2022-09-12
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.125.775-5.64%6.38+4.25%0.1305✗0.351.4M2022-09-12
WOOWOOEthereum0.22650.213595-5.70%0.1642-27.51%0.1666✓1.101,7402022-09-12
RARESuperRareEthereum0.2910.274256-5.75%0.2053-29.45%0.2019✓1.00105k2022-09-12
AAVEAaveEthereum110.5104.0436-5.84%90.99-17.66%0.0037✓1.577.6M2022-09-12
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9941.877-5.87%1.534-23.07%0.1011✓1.15212k2022-09-12
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.90611.1952-5.97%15.53+30.44%0.4315✗1.1913.7M2022-09-12
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0863.8406-6.01%4.238+3.72%0.1293✗0.351.7M2022-09-12
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8720.819256-6.05%0.648-25.69%0.1521✓0.94377k2022-09-12
SKLSKALEEthereum0.07140.067061-6.08%0.0492-31.09%0.2119✓1.12877k2022-09-12
BFCBifrostEthereum0.091270.085715-6.09%0.07199-21.12%0.0765✓1.1229k2022-09-12
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0046330.004351-6.10%0.003106-32.96%0.2655✓0.811.0M2022-09-12
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.3914.4504-6.11%15.12-1.75%0.1506✗1.202.6M2022-09-12
COMPCompoundEthereum65.4461.4384-6.11%54.73-16.37%0.0029✓1.2938k2022-09-12
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.42283.213-6.13%7.6604+123.81%0.8995✗0.351.6M2022-09-12
GITCOINGITCOIN3.21413.0163-6.15%2.1488-33.14%0.2214✓1.3413k2022-09-12
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.9022.7195-6.29%1.935-33.32%0.1865✓1.75144k2022-09-12
RADRadworksEthereum2.662.4922-6.31%2.46-7.52%0.0684✗0.93636k2022-09-12
FORTFortaEthereum0.30840.288891-6.33%0.2257-26.82%0.1518✓1.08194k2022-09-12
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.3747.8377-6.40%6.556-21.71%0.1011✓0.886.9M2022-09-12
MINAMina Protocolnative0.9170.858198-6.41%0.67-26.94%0.1615✓0.98280k2022-09-12
DIADIAEthereum0.533950.499592-6.43%0.39977-25.13%0.1802✓0.4970k2022-09-12
UNIUniswapEthereum8.9878.4045-6.48%6.659-25.90%0.1167✓1.329.9M2022-09-12
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.469.7813-6.49%7.42-29.06%0.1801✓1.10638k2022-09-12
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3261.2385-6.60%0.9591-27.67%0.1475✓1.231.1M2022-09-12
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.43123.2044-6.61%7.0049+104.15%0.8244✗0.481.9M2022-09-12
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum19.2417.9629-6.64%14.22-26.09%0.1268✓1.221.5M2022-09-12
KSMKusamaHydration61.1857.0092-6.82%52.21-14.66%0.0043✓1.05551k2022-09-12
DODODODOEthereum0.17590.163775-6.89%0.1319-25.01%0.1260✓1.032.6M2022-09-12
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.3419.8465-7.00%18.23-14.57%0.0234✓0.702.2M2022-09-12
CELLCellframeEthereum0.43750.406033-7.19%0.2976-31.98%0.2119✓1.13100k2022-09-12
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.43481.3305-7.27%1.143-20.34%0.0255✓1.446.4M2022-09-12
METISMetisEthereum47.7644.2878-7.27%29.93-37.33%0.2229✓1.93385k2022-09-12
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.14410.133601-7.29%0.1286-10.76%0.0622✓1.143.9M2022-09-12
CHZChilizEthereum0.16160.149759-7.33%0.2014+24.63%0.3737✗0.881.1M2022-09-12
LUNATerraTerra 20.000096740.000089583-7.40%0.0003+210.11%1.2994✗1.03336k2022-09-12
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.242.9999-7.41%2.19-32.41%0.2013✓1.29269k2022-09-12
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.17170.158654-7.60%0.1347-21.55%0.1032✓0.694.4M2022-09-12
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.52160.481373-7.71%0.3346-35.85%0.2472✓1.33217k2022-09-12
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0014730.001357-7.87%0.001323-10.15%0.0508✓0.861.4M2022-09-12
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7920.72903-7.95%0.483-39.02%0.3021✓1.252,7912022-09-12
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,424.4810,508.48-8.02%9,751.47-14.64%0.0428✓1.346.4M2022-09-12
ORCAOrcaSolana1.01210.929224-8.19%0.8948-11.59%0.1016✗1.59309k2022-09-12
QNTQuantEthereum126.57116.0501-8.31%106.65-15.74%0.0075✓0.883.9M2022-09-12
ETCEthereum Classicnative43.5839.9089-8.42%38.45-11.77%0.0842✓1.3816.5M2022-09-12
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.9723.6359-8.46%2.943-25.91%0.0706✓1.615.3M2022-09-12
ETHEthereumEthereum1,984.751,816.37-8.48%1,716.71-13.50%0.0597✓1.32528.6M2022-09-12
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.44.9308-8.69%5.33-1.30%0.1037✗0.292.1M2022-09-12
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche29.1926.6361-8.75%21.37-26.79%0.0979✓1.4030.5M2022-09-12
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.385.8218-8.75%5.948-6.77%0.0336✓0.143.5M2022-09-12
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.1977.4729-8.83%6.926-15.51%0.0162✓1.055.5M2022-09-12
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.096980.088363-8.89%0.06474-33.24%0.2024✓1.242.0M2022-09-12
FLOWFlownative2.9232.6312-9.98%2.102-28.09%0.1128✓1.27712k2022-09-12
GMTGMTEthereum0.9740.866998-10.99%0.7419-23.83%0.0263✓1.48407k2022-09-12
TRBTellor TributesEthereum40.1535.7215-11.03%16.58-58.70%0.6646✓1.171.5M2022-09-12
OPTIMOptimism1.5421.3049-15.38%1.267-17.83%0.1385✓1.923.7M2022-09-12
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.