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2022-08-12 · +30d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0182
185 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.15%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
70.3%
in alpha space · 83.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-10.58%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,508.5710,063.42-12.56%10,194.93-11.41%0.1621✗1.336.2M2022-09-11
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.0513.5702-11.87%4.501+11.11%0.3278✗0.86102k2022-09-11
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.048430.0427-11.83%0.03781-21.93%0.0071✓1.0219k2022-09-11
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.79.4821-11.38%7.63-28.69%0.0939✓1.10638k2022-09-11
DODODODOEthereum0.18090.160701-11.17%0.1333-26.31%0.0707✓1.042.7M2022-09-11
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015090.001343-11.04%0.001367-9.40%0.1156✓0.871.4M2022-09-11
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.100470.089407-11.01%0.06521-35.10%0.1734✓1.272.0M2022-09-11
TRBTellor TributesEthereum39.3835.0714-10.94%16.58-57.90%0.6174✓1.181.5M2022-09-11
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.153.7247-10.25%2.963-28.60%0.0479✓1.625.3M2022-09-11
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.1519.0228-10.06%18.93-10.50%0.0749✓0.712.4M2022-09-11
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.31092.9785-10.04%7.6094+129.83%0.9770✗0.351.5M2022-09-11
METISMetisEthereum49.0744.1486-10.03%31.98-34.83%0.1073✓1.92385k2022-09-11
QNTQuantEthereum128.24115.622-9.84%108.82-15.14%0.0375✓0.884.0M2022-09-11
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche29.3526.5159-9.66%20.69-29.51%0.0914✓1.4030.7M2022-09-11
ETHEthereumEthereum1,959.911,772.88-9.54%1,766.95-9.85%0.1442✗1.32522.8M2022-09-11
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.084.5989-9.47%4.64-8.66%0.0545✓0.411.3M2022-09-11
ETCEthereum Classicnative43.4139.3597-9.33%38.56-11.17%0.1337✗1.3816.2M2022-09-11
OPTIMOptimism1.6511.4973-9.31%1.402-15.08%0.1488✗1.923.6M2022-09-11
CHZChilizEthereum0.1640.14913-9.07%0.2083+27.01%0.4341✗0.891.1M2022-09-11
BFCBifrostEthereum0.09160.083619-8.71%0.07546-17.62%0.0221✓1.1229k2022-09-11
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.3947.6633-8.70%7.173-14.55%0.0527✓1.065.5M2022-09-11
RADRadworksEthereum2.592.3651-8.68%2.63+1.54%0.2104✗0.93636k2022-09-11
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.5946.0252-8.63%6.139-6.90%0.0354✓0.153.5M2022-09-11
ORCAOrcaSolana1.02480.937526-8.52%0.8885-13.30%0.1253✗1.60296k2022-09-11
AAVEAaveEthereum114.79105.1188-8.43%91.63-20.18%0.0383✓1.577.9M2022-09-11
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.868.1201-8.35%8.98+1.35%0.1186✗0.161.8M2022-09-11
FORTFortaEthereum0.30940.283992-8.21%0.2312-25.27%0.0845✓1.08203k2022-09-11
SKLSKALEEthereum0.07330.067354-8.11%0.0501-31.65%0.1708✓1.12877k2022-09-11
HIVEHivenative0.63480.583742-8.04%0.5792-8.76%0.1046✗1.002.4M2022-09-11
LUNATerraTerra 20.000098090.000090265-7.98%0.00043138+339.78%1.6515✗0.78353k2022-09-11
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7920.729629-7.88%0.515-34.97%0.2072✓1.262,9182022-09-11
LINKChainlinkEthereum9.3338.5989-7.87%8.03-13.96%0.0580✓1.1319.3M2022-09-11
MOVRMoonriverBase17.124115.782-7.84%12.8866-24.75%0.0875✓1.0359k2022-09-11
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.22931.1348-7.69%–pending––1.1013k2022-09-11
UNIUniswapEthereum9.218.5052-7.65%6.491-29.52%0.1225✓1.3210.0M2022-09-11
APEApeCoinEthereum7.0356.4998-7.61%5.682-19.23%0.0195✓1.3811.9M2022-09-11
GMTGMTEthereum0.9830.908312-7.60%0.7351-25.22%0.0466✓1.48440k2022-09-11
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.44433.1859-7.50%7.1468+107.50%0.8614✗0.481.9M2022-09-11
FLOWFlownative2.9452.7249-7.48%2.116-28.15%0.1104✓1.27711k2022-09-11
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.55310.511769-7.47%0.3328-39.83%0.2824✓1.32232k2022-09-11
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04450.041267-7.26%0.0393-11.69%0.0678✓1.0476k2022-09-11
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.7518.1164-7.25%6.417-26.67%0.1359✓0.896.2M2022-09-11
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1513.85-7.25%4.405+6.12%0.1726✗0.341.7M2022-09-11
MINAMina Protocolnative0.9380.870541-7.19%0.686-26.87%0.1276✓0.99280k2022-09-11
COMPCompoundEthereum65.1260.4705-7.14%55.25-15.16%0.0531✓1.2838k2022-09-11
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.173.8733-7.12%3.278-21.39%0.0843✓0.741.3M2022-09-11
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos12.06111.2122-7.04%15.699+30.16%0.4728✗1.2214.4M2022-09-11
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.42311.3233-7.01%1.183-16.87%0.0492✓1.446.7M2022-09-11
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.325.8791-6.98%6.57+3.96%0.1507✗0.351.2M2022-09-11
QTUMQtumQtum4.29253.9946-6.94%3.3066-22.97%0.0760✓1.0153k2022-09-11
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.42591.327-6.94%1.3145-7.81%0.1032✗1.01907k2022-09-11
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.411.5449-6.90%11.23-9.44%0.1012✗1.15313k2022-09-11
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0045230.004212-6.87%0.002904-35.79%0.2751✓0.87994k2022-09-11
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.1270.11828-6.87%0.1254-1.26%0.1533✗0.85209k2022-09-11
XVSVenusEthereum6.666.2045-6.84%5.1-23.42%0.0744✓1.091.4M2022-09-11
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0341.8963-6.77%1.517-25.42%0.0917✓1.18220k2022-09-11
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0021910.002043-6.76%0.001558-28.89%0.1592✓1.001.0M2022-09-11
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5540.516581-6.75%0.513-7.40%0.1045✗1.0015k2022-09-11
ELAElastosEthereum2.0751.9359-6.70%1.655-20.24%0.0459✓0.99261k2022-09-11
COTICOTIEthereum0.12370.115418-6.70%0.0997-19.40%0.0257✓1.08529k2022-09-11
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1763.8981-6.65%4.354+4.26%0.1392✗0.262.3M2022-09-11
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.14720.13752-6.58%0.1167-20.72%0.0364✓1.143.8M2022-09-11
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.0314.984-6.53%15.7-2.06%0.1818✗1.212.6M2022-09-11
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07270.067982-6.49%0.0611-15.96%0.0164✓0.81128k2022-09-11
CTSICartesiEthereum0.1960.183437-6.41%0.1545-21.17%0.0489✓1.10570k2022-09-11
SUSHISushiEthereum1.561.4608-6.36%1.3029-16.48%0.0319✓1.311.2M2022-09-11
RARESuperRareEthereum0.30240.283238-6.34%0.2106-30.36%0.1845✓1.00108k2022-09-11
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.880.824676-6.29%0.649-26.25%0.1344✓0.94377k2022-09-11
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9420.883538-6.21%0.974+3.40%0.2312✗1.201.1M2022-09-11
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.68511.5813-6.16%2.0077+19.14%0.3810✗1.27540k2022-09-11
XEMNEMnative0.0556990.052314-6.08%0.046785-16.00%0.0008✓1.0144k2022-09-11
CELLCellframeEthereum0.44490.418153-6.01%0.2929-34.16%0.2303✓1.1295k2022-09-11
GITCOINGITCOIN3.23543.0424-5.97%2.3057-28.74%0.1291✓1.3313k2022-09-11
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.535.2032-5.91%5.43-1.81%0.0773✗0.312.1M2022-09-11
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.6617.5589-5.90%14.56-21.97%0.0502✓1.231.4M2022-09-11
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.47640.448725-5.81%0.4255-10.68%0.0970✗1.34242k2022-09-11
DIADIAEthereum0.482460.454566-5.78%0.40526-16.00%0.0584✓0.5070k2022-09-11
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.91.7921-5.68%1.46-23.16%0.0876✓1.05190k2022-09-11
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.182990.172687-5.63%0.14382-21.41%0.0354✓1.32236k2022-09-11
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.6440.607777-5.62%0.5157-19.92%0.0720✓0.83755k2022-09-11
UOSUltraEthereum0.392780.370824-5.59%0.45678+16.29%0.3091✗0.90439k2022-09-11
LRCLoopringEthereum0.4760.449483-5.57%0.3619-23.97%0.0871✓1.16174k2022-09-11
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3883630.366796-5.55%0.313787-19.20%0.0329✓1.10916k2022-09-11
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.253.0704-5.52%2.33-28.31%0.1344✓1.27269k2022-09-11
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.032620.030819-5.52%0.02332-28.51%0.1648✓1.0213.8M2022-09-11
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.9642.8027-5.44%1.99-32.86%0.1470✓1.75143k2022-09-11
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08270.078225-5.41%0.0662-19.95%0.0406✓1.131.4M2022-09-11
SOLSolanaSolana45.543.0954-5.28%35.01-23.05%0.0686✓1.2481.1M2022-09-11
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9440.894136-5.28%0.676-28.39%0.1155✓1.474.4M2022-09-11
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.135.8065-5.28%6.73+9.79%0.1868✗0.351.0M2022-09-11
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.198510.188295-5.15%0.17414-12.28%0.1716✗2.238742022-09-11
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.25370.240693-5.13%0.2141-15.61%0.0365✓1.37116k2022-09-11
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.01682.8626-5.11%4.6789+55.09%0.5519✗0.541.3M2022-09-11
BANDBandEthereum1.8011.7094-5.09%1.369-23.99%0.0723✓1.34432k2022-09-11
IMXImmutableEthereum1.14671.0885-5.08%0.8663-24.45%0.0888✓1.252.3M2022-09-11
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.016280.015454-5.07%0.013193-18.96%0.0794✓0.702.1M2022-09-11
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3341.2666-5.06%0.9748-26.93%0.1238✓1.231.1M2022-09-11
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.36310.344781-5.05%0.2923-19.50%0.0502✓1.033.6M2022-09-11
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.9472.7995-5.00%2.202-25.28%0.1054✓1.2059k2022-09-11
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017060.001622-4.92%0.001636-4.10%0.0975✗0.809,0932022-09-11
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.17450.16603-4.85%0.1378-21.03%0.1081✓0.704.4M2022-09-11
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.70.666023-4.85%0.543-22.43%0.0682✓1.22100k2022-09-11
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.026640.025355-4.82%0.0213-20.05%0.0841✓0.81186k2022-09-11
UMAUMAEthereum3.2233.0684-4.80%2.782-13.68%0.0012✓0.86587k2022-09-11
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.4849.0294-4.79%7.702-18.79%0.0378✓1.0813.2M2022-09-11
KSMKusamaHydration61.1458.2441-4.74%51.9-15.11%0.0037✓1.06551k2022-09-11
XTZTezosTezos1.92491.835-4.67%1.6855-12.44%0.0425✓1.14467k2022-09-11
WOOWOOEthereum0.24340.232049-4.66%0.168-30.98%0.1996✓1.101,7402022-09-11
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09190.087629-4.65%0.0645-29.82%0.2133✓0.83127k2022-09-11
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008920.008506-4.64%0.00844-5.38%0.1183✗1.13463k2022-09-11
DASHDashDash56.1653.6288-4.51%48.35-13.91%0.0073✓0.99544k2022-09-11
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017810.017011-4.48%0.01293-27.40%0.1952✓0.71159k2022-09-11
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.3412.2366-4.46%1.648-29.60%0.1769✓1.15172k2022-09-11
BORABORAKlay Token0.370960.354431-4.46%0.29146-21.43%0.0735✓1.0913k2022-09-11
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05690.054371-4.44%0.0497-12.65%0.0253✓1.03254k2022-09-11
STEEMSteemnative0.27770.265369-4.44%0.235-15.38%0.0209✓0.90629k2022-09-11
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.36560.349392-4.43%0.3264-10.72%0.0415✓0.988.4M2022-09-11
BTTCBTTC0.000001039.85e-7-4.34%9.10e-7-11.65%0.0074✓0.785.9M2022-09-11
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.8754.6646-4.32%12.594+158.34%1.0206✗0.251.1M2022-09-11
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.39812.2956-4.27%1.9241-19.77%0.0554✓1.0838k2022-09-11
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.00001270.000012161-4.24%0.00001299+2.28%0.1758✗0.98744k2022-09-11
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4961.4328-4.23%1.251-16.38%0.0152✓1.082.6M2022-09-11
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0200890.019246-4.20%0.023973+19.33%0.2396✗0.18223k2022-09-11
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.15350.147097-4.17%0.2611+70.10%0.6949✗1.0850k2022-09-11
XECeCashnative0.000047840.000045861-4.14%0.00004562-4.64%0.0899✗0.852.0M2022-09-11
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.60740.582805-4.05%0.512-15.71%0.0034✓1.13332k2022-09-11
ADACardanoCardano0.54070.519915-3.84%0.5101-5.66%0.1026✗1.0942.0M2022-09-11
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.13040.125429-3.81%0.1156-11.35%0.0149✓0.86350k2022-09-11
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.27870.268091-3.81%0.2303-17.37%0.0391✓1.0191k2022-09-11
BTCBitcoinBitcoin24,415.1823,511.70-3.70%21,831.72-10.58%0.0377✓1.00472.7M2022-09-11
NANOnanopayBase1.10831.0676-3.67%0.927788-16.28%0.0525✓0.7963k2022-09-11
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash143.1137.8832-3.65%130.35-8.91%0.0695✗1.125.1M2022-09-11
GALAGALAEthereum0.0660.063602-3.63%0.052-21.21%0.0789✓1.09207k2022-09-11
XMRMoneroMonero166.92160.8632-3.63%159.22-4.61%0.1041✗1.021.1M2022-09-11
C98Coin98Ethereum0.55740.537969-3.49%0.4445-20.25%0.0641✓1.1358k2022-09-11
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.083310.080479-3.40%0.07307-12.29%0.0105✓0.779772022-09-11
ZECZcashZcash77.3474.7352-3.37%64.27-16.90%0.0199✓1.172.2M2022-09-11
ZENHorizenBase21.3520.6368-3.34%16.47-22.86%0.0923✓1.19118k2022-09-11
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7410.716339-3.33%0.595-19.70%0.0369✓1.33135k2022-09-11
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.15641.1179-3.33%1.0275-11.15%0.0038✓0.723.9M2022-09-11
GTGateEthereum5.0444.881-3.23%4.3301-14.15%0.0396✓0.72911k2022-09-11
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010390.010057-3.21%0.00944-9.14%0.0188✓0.735.5M2022-09-11
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV63.53661.5069-3.19%54.454-14.29%0.0411✓0.72344k2022-09-11
MANADecentralandEthereum1.06861.0355-3.10%0.80376-24.78%0.1395✓1.02543k2022-09-11
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0254660.024701-3.00%0.021887-14.05%0.0274✓0.8413k2022-09-11
BTTBitTorrentEthereum0.000001039.99e-7-2.99%9.10e-7-11.65%0.0073✓0.7721k2022-09-11
KCSKuCoinnative10.65410.3372-2.97%9.755-8.44%0.0540✗1.002.0M2022-09-11
STORJStorjEthereum0.726560.705017-2.97%0.55506-23.60%0.0872✓1.3659k2022-09-11
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.049530.048083-2.92%0.0396-20.05%0.1018✓0.822,5822022-09-11
API3Api3Ethereum2.4262.3579-2.81%1.838-24.24%0.1397✓0.98588k2022-09-11
LTCLitecoinLitecoin62.9561.2614-2.68%62.18-1.22%0.1324✗1.0513.7M2022-09-11
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1390.135303-2.66%0.1027-26.12%0.1784✓0.874,5542022-09-11
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.033630.03283-2.38%0.0255-24.17%0.1079✓1.292,7512022-09-11
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood32.9287-2.38%1.9-36.67%0.3742✓0.5296k2022-09-11
STXStacksnative0.50990.498163-2.30%0.3903-23.46%0.1137✓1.17808k2022-09-11
AVTAventusEthereum1.591.554-2.26%1.42-10.69%0.0857✓0.04143k2022-09-11
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.426970.417615-2.19%0.33139-22.39%0.1149✓1.04502k2022-09-11
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.087260.085362-2.18%0.07414-15.04%0.1150✓0.231.1M2022-09-11
XVGVergenative0.003920.003839-2.06%0.00381-2.81%0.1166✗1.11534k2022-09-11
XLMStellarStellar0.1264130.123853-2.02%0.114387-9.51%0.0230✗0.927.2M2022-09-11
XYMSymbolnative0.0564110.055353-1.88%0.042322-24.98%0.2106✓0.5233k2022-09-11
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0130.995583-1.72%1.024+1.09%0.0895✗0.554.2M2022-09-11
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.1040.10224-1.69%0.0941-9.52%0.0305✗1.019,1182022-09-11
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.466350.458674-1.65%0.35169-24.59%0.1505✓1.03107k2022-09-11
DKAdKargoEthereum0.053960.053178-1.45%0.04664-13.57%0.0474✓0.7516k2022-09-11
SCSiacoinnative0.005110.005038-1.41%0.00419-18.00%0.0611✓1.10112k2022-09-11
LCXLCXEthereum0.07390.072881-1.38%0.0508-31.26%0.2248✓1.22367k2022-09-11
GLMGolemEthereum0.29560.291533-1.38%0.3308+11.91%0.2329✗0.9570k2022-09-11
FTTFTXEthereum31.2230.7987-1.35%27.89-10.67%0.0044✓0.9310.8M2022-09-11
LSKLiskEthereum1.28781.2722-1.22%1.0863-15.65%0.0533✓0.9456k2022-09-11
CHRChromiaEthereum0.22240.219896-1.13%0.183-17.72%0.0244✓1.421,3132022-09-11
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0068320.006766-0.96%0.006309-7.66%0.0142✓0.5053k2022-09-11
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.20e-73.17e-7-0.95%7.30e-7+128.03%0.9096✗0.68150k2022-09-11
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2360.233896-0.89%0.17789-24.62%0.1364✓1.23657k2022-09-11
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3290.32684-0.66%0.285-13.37%0.0420✓0.851.1M2022-09-11
ASTRAstarEthereum0.05020.049883-0.63%0.0372-25.90%0.1848✓0.9711k2022-09-11
CBKCobakEthereum1.23181.2284-0.27%0.8518-30.85%0.2577✓0.9714k2022-09-11
AMPAmpEthereum0.008380.008457+0.92%0.00661-21.12%0.1741✗0.651.6M2022-09-11
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26140.264333+1.12%0.127-51.42%0.7315✗0.0144k2022-09-11
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum24,153.8024,449.89+1.23%21,663.60-10.31%0.0129✗0.9711k2022-09-11
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0723220.073289+1.34%0.063703-11.92%0.0246✗1.031.7M2022-09-11
CVCCivicEthereum0.17520.177672+1.41%0.1518-13.36%0.0420✗1.03131k2022-09-11
SUNSun TokenTron0.0068930.006991+1.42%0.006537-5.17%0.0137✓0.723,4592022-09-11
TRXTRONTron0.0704870.071834+1.91%0.06419-8.93%0.0448✗0.61182k2022-09-11
PROPropyEthereum0.830.848589+2.24%0.72-13.25%0.1142✗0.4591k2022-09-11
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.79725.1053+6.42%5.0627+5.53%0.0063✓0.13307k2022-09-11
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.