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2022-08-10 · +30d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1060
184 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-1.78%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
66.8%
in alpha space · 84.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-10.84%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.75.015+6.70%4.9689+5.72%0.0052✓0.13367k2022-09-09
CVCCivicEthereum0.16520.168784+2.17%0.1499-9.26%0.0053✓1.08115k2022-09-09
SUNSun TokenTron0.0066340.006745+1.66%0.006215-6.32%0.0018✓0.733,9632022-09-09
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0712440.072299+1.48%0.063921-10.28%0.0044✓1.041.6M2022-09-09
TRXTRONTron0.0703070.071264+1.36%0.063383-9.85%0.0476✗0.61192k2022-09-09
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,919.3024,162.77+1.02%21,371.80-10.65%0.0116✗0.9711k2022-09-09
PROPropyEthereum0.770.776446+0.84%0.73-5.19%0.0087✗0.4686k2022-09-09
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2290.228214-0.34%0.17882-21.91%0.1007✓1.25703k2022-09-09
LCXLCXEthereum0.06070.060457-0.40%0.0531-12.52%0.0137✗1.25339k2022-09-09
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26160.260114-0.57%0.1358-48.09%0.6484✓0.0135k2022-09-09
LSKLiskEthereum1.22511.218-0.58%1.0805-11.81%0.0106✓0.9552k2022-09-09
AMPAmpEthereum0.008370.008309-0.73%0.00584-30.23%0.2770✓0.661.6M2022-09-09
SCSiacoinnative0.004850.004805-0.93%0.00416-14.23%0.0147✓1.13102k2022-09-09
CBKCobakEthereum1.1451.1316-1.17%0.84654-26.07%0.1774✓0.9812k2022-09-09
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10080.099447-1.34%0.0939-6.85%0.0575✗1.008,4352022-09-09
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.464290.457402-1.48%0.35417-23.72%0.1356✓1.05127k2022-09-09
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0060780.005972-1.74%0.006311+3.83%0.1112✗0.4951k2022-09-09
PHAPHALAEthereum0.13240.13005-1.77%0.1034-21.90%0.1304✓0.864,7012022-09-09
FTTFTXEthereum31.3730.8119-1.78%27.21-13.26%0.0179✓0.9310.0M2022-09-09
STXStacksnative0.49790.4887-1.85%0.3813-23.42%0.1129✓1.18892k2022-09-09
GLMGolemEthereum0.27160.266453-1.90%0.2765+1.80%0.1498✗0.9865k2022-09-09
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0461.0253-1.98%1.04-0.57%0.0769✗0.554.2M2022-09-09
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.032490.031802-2.12%0.026-19.98%0.0535✓1.291,7322022-09-09
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.340.332743-2.13%0.277-18.53%0.0864✓0.851.1M2022-09-09
AVTAventusEthereum1.521.487-2.17%1.43-5.92%0.0305✓0.07159k2022-09-09
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04950.048396-2.23%0.0376-24.04%0.1404✓0.9810k2022-09-09
XLMStellarStellar0.1259820.123132-2.26%0.114404-9.19%0.0332✗0.937.2M2022-09-09
DKAdKargoEthereum0.052570.051372-2.28%0.04619-12.14%0.0179✓0.7717k2022-09-09
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0242120.0236-2.53%0.02179-10.00%0.0191✓0.8612k2022-09-09
LTCLitecoinLitecoin61.6160.0341-2.56%61.15-0.75%0.1391✗1.0513.7M2022-09-09
CHRChromiaEthereum0.23830.232073-2.61%0.1851-22.32%0.0616✓1.431,3132022-09-09
API3Api3Ethereum2.0752.0205-2.63%1.845-11.08%0.0232✓0.99567k2022-09-09
XVGVergenative0.003830.003725-2.74%0.00328-14.36%0.0015✓1.12517k2022-09-09
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.7342.6552-2.88%4.674+70.96%0.6635✗0.8592k2022-09-09
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.416420.404399-2.89%0.33379-19.84%0.0715✓1.05481k2022-09-09
XYMSymbolnative0.0575080.055822-2.93%0.042569-25.98%0.2112✓0.5230k2022-09-09
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.34e-73.24e-7-2.98%7.32e-7+119.08%0.8928✗0.68150k2022-09-09
MANADecentralandEthereum1.0721.0397-3.01%0.80804-24.62%0.1254✓1.10558k2022-09-09
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.046650.045221-3.06%0.03896-16.48%0.0522✓0.842,4562022-09-09
GTGateEthereum4.93774.7766-3.26%4.3137-12.64%0.0201✓0.71894k2022-09-09
C98Coin98Ethereum0.54710.528776-3.35%0.4513-17.51%0.0280✓1.1454k2022-09-09
BTTBitTorrentEthereum0.000001039.95e-7-3.39%9.50e-7-7.77%0.0421✗0.7722k2022-09-09
NANOnanopayBase1.07221.0358-3.39%0.927032-13.54%0.0189✓0.8058k2022-09-09
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.089790.086717-3.42%0.07205-19.76%0.1588✓0.231.1M2022-09-09
GALAGALAEthereum0.06350.061292-3.48%0.052-18.11%0.0351✓1.13197k2022-09-09
ZENHorizenBase21.9321.1577-3.52%16.88-23.03%0.0877✓1.20118k2022-09-09
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV62.29260.0695-3.57%55.512-10.88%0.0045✓0.73321k2022-09-09
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash142.18137.0421-3.61%132.9-6.53%0.0990✗1.135.0M2022-09-09
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010310.009936-3.62%0.00972-5.72%0.0630✗0.745.5M2022-09-09
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,962.1823,072.87-3.71%21,364.50-10.84%0.0378✗1.00472.7M2022-09-09
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14280.13747-3.73%0.1389-2.73%0.1376✗1.1150k2022-09-09
KCSKuCoinnative10.77910.3757-3.74%9.611-10.84%0.0400✗1.022.0M2022-09-09
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12650.121742-3.76%0.1144-9.57%0.0386✗0.88370k2022-09-09
XMRMoneroMonero167.53161.1248-3.82%161.29-3.72%0.1193✗1.031.2M2022-09-09
STORJStorjEthereum0.717960.690493-3.83%0.55787-22.30%0.0545✓1.3857k2022-09-09
ZECZcashZcash78.775.679-3.84%66.01-16.12%0.0015✓1.202.2M2022-09-09
ADACardanoCardano0.53760.51692-3.85%0.5022-6.58%0.0967✗1.0942.6M2022-09-09
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.61340.589391-3.91%0.4993-18.60%0.0364✓1.13318k2022-09-09
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.16151.1158-3.94%1.0469-9.87%0.0182✓0.714.4M2022-09-09
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.00001240.000011899-4.04%0.00001292+4.19%0.1953✗0.98864k2022-09-09
DASHDashDash54.652.3858-4.06%49.01-10.24%0.0486✗1.00552k2022-09-09
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7660.734904-4.06%0.561-26.76%0.1167✓1.34137k2022-09-09
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.26490.254025-4.11%0.2217-16.31%0.0168✓1.0491k2022-09-09
XECeCashnative0.000046430.000044515-4.13%0.00004454-4.07%0.1005✗0.871.9M2022-09-09
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23260.222995-4.13%0.2145-7.78%0.1203✗1.39107k2022-09-09
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.7524.5549-4.15%12.387+160.67%1.0295✗0.251.2M2022-09-09
BTTCBTTC0.000001019.68e-7-4.17%9.10e-7-9.90%0.0273✓0.786.0M2022-09-09
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.085250.081644-4.23%0.06733-21.02%0.1039✓0.779772022-09-09
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05480.052475-4.24%0.0475-13.32%0.0196✓1.04248k2022-09-09
STEEMSteemnative0.2660.254575-4.30%0.2297-13.65%0.0055✓0.94629k2022-09-09
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0157660.015074-4.39%0.013248-15.97%0.0481✓0.712.1M2022-09-09
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.17040.16282-4.45%0.1374-19.37%0.0899✓0.704.2M2022-09-09
SOLSolanaSolana42.540.6056-4.46%34.69-18.38%0.0137✓1.2581.8M2022-09-09
XTZTezosTezos1.87331.7898-4.46%1.6453-12.17%0.0473✗1.15513k2022-09-09
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.38622.2783-4.52%1.936-18.86%0.0375✓1.0938k2022-09-09
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4441.378-4.57%1.234-14.54%0.0162✓1.102.6M2022-09-09
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8562.7224-4.68%2.192-23.25%0.0773✓1.2258k2022-09-09
BORABORAKlay Token0.367670.350454-4.68%0.29001-21.12%0.0591✓1.1413k2022-09-09
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.36440.347314-4.69%0.3246-10.92%0.0458✓0.998.4M2022-09-09
UMAUMAEthereum3.0982.9515-4.73%2.75-11.23%0.0293✓0.87587k2022-09-09
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34790.331325-4.76%0.2922-16.01%0.0056✓1.053.5M2022-09-09
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0202750.019306-4.78%0.02424+19.56%0.2468✗0.17215k2022-09-09
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008960.008527-4.83%0.00784-12.50%0.0462✓1.13457k2022-09-09
IMXImmutableEthereum1.1331.078-4.86%0.881-22.24%0.0581✓1.252.3M2022-09-09
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.026610.025311-4.88%0.02126-20.11%0.0797✓0.83159k2022-09-09
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.95922.814-4.91%4.4753+51.23%0.5313✗0.591.3M2022-09-09
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6970.662654-4.93%0.548-21.38%0.0471✓1.2591k2022-09-09
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09190.087365-4.94%0.0636-30.79%0.2152✓0.89130k2022-09-09
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.022.8707-4.94%1.85-38.74%0.3799✓0.52110k2022-09-09
NEXONEXOEthereum0.8840.840216-4.95%0.962+8.82%0.2730✗1.20984k2022-09-09
LRCLoopringEthereum0.46480.441524-5.01%0.3721-19.94%0.0369✓1.17174k2022-09-09
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.5299.0506-5.02%7.759-18.57%0.0267✓1.1112.4M2022-09-09
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08270.078547-5.02%0.064-22.61%0.0756✓1.131.4M2022-09-09
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.4522.3286-5.03%1.545-36.99%0.2771✓1.16177k2022-09-09
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.042.8864-5.05%2.35-22.70%0.0582✓1.28227k2022-09-09
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3690050.350213-5.09%0.313944-14.92%0.0202✓1.13855k2022-09-09
WOOWOOEthereum0.24720.23453-5.13%0.1641-33.62%0.2279✓1.131,6562022-09-09
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017570.001666-5.19%0.001624-7.57%0.0676✗0.819,0932022-09-09
KSMKusamaHydration62.9259.614-5.25%52.65-16.32%0.0017✓1.07525k2022-09-09
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.975.6558-5.26%6.47+8.38%0.1771✗0.37894k2022-09-09
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3481.2765-5.30%0.9795-27.34%0.1228✓1.241.1M2022-09-09
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.9282.7718-5.33%2.01-31.35%0.1208✓1.75134k2022-09-09
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.880.831827-5.47%0.691-21.48%0.0156✓1.484.4M2022-09-09
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.45530.430374-5.47%0.4155-8.74%0.1196✗1.35188k2022-09-09
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.179750.169827-5.52%0.14129-21.40%0.0323✓1.32227k2022-09-09
GITCOINGITCOIN3.02852.861-5.53%2.3273-23.15%0.0535✓1.3313k2022-09-09
UOSUltraEthereum0.377990.357026-5.55%0.4161+10.08%0.2581✗0.91405k2022-09-09
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.032960.031124-5.57%0.02351-28.67%0.1636✓1.0213.8M2022-09-09
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.435.1218-5.68%5.39-0.74%0.0882✗0.322.1M2022-09-09
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.821.7165-5.69%1.48-18.68%0.0254✓1.07164k2022-09-09
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.5517.4662-5.84%14.71-20.70%0.0289✓1.241.4M2022-09-09
XEMNEMnative0.0521340.049084-5.85%0.046222-11.34%0.0571✓1.0237k2022-09-09
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0039610.003726-5.93%0.002899-26.81%0.1463✓0.91994k2022-09-09
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.62031.5235-5.98%1.8421+13.69%0.3398✗1.31619k2022-09-09
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.685.3365-6.05%6.39+12.50%0.2214✗0.361.1M2022-09-09
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.65740.617293-6.10%0.5324-19.01%0.0443✓0.90755k2022-09-09
QTUMQtumQtum4.19473.9359-6.17%3.3109-21.07%0.0556✓1.0253k2022-09-09
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.14620.137033-6.27%0.1126-22.98%0.0586✓1.203.4M2022-09-09
DIADIAEthereum0.489510.458344-6.37%0.39753-18.79%0.0833✓0.5170k2022-09-09
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.3067.7764-6.38%6.379-23.20%0.0968✓0.885.8M2022-09-09
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.1715.137-6.39%15.48-4.27%0.1609✗1.212.6M2022-09-09
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8830.8264-6.41%0.659-25.37%0.1173✓0.95377k2022-09-09
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0793.815-6.47%4.322+5.96%0.1560✗0.272.3M2022-09-09
BANDBandEthereum1.8491.727-6.60%1.38-25.37%0.0699✓1.35401k2022-09-09
CTSICartesiEthereum0.18610.173814-6.60%0.1548-16.82%0.0128✓1.12553k2022-09-09
COTICOTIEthereum0.12190.113823-6.63%0.0985-19.20%0.0204✓1.08566k2022-09-09
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0021570.002011-6.75%0.001551-28.09%0.1452✓1.001.1M2022-09-09
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.38941.2952-6.78%1.2042-13.33%0.0931✗1.456.8M2022-09-09
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.98611.1701-6.81%16.126+34.54%0.5077✗1.2214.7M2022-09-09
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5320.495564-6.85%0.444-16.54%0.0057✓1.0113k2022-09-09
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.1611.3173-6.93%10.69-12.09%0.0746✗1.15313k2022-09-09
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.197560.183858-6.94%0.17041-13.74%0.1811✗2.241,0642022-09-09
XVSVenusEthereum6.716.2434-6.95%5.02-25.19%0.0902✓1.111.5M2022-09-09
SUSHISushiEthereum1.581.47-6.96%1.3263-16.06%0.0470✓1.311.2M2022-09-09
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0463.7591-7.09%4.223+4.37%0.1592✗0.371.6M2022-09-09
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018930.017585-7.11%0.01236-34.71%0.2715✓0.71167k2022-09-09
ELAElastosEthereum2.1081.9558-7.22%1.685-20.07%0.0342✓1.00261k2022-09-09
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0491.901-7.22%1.485-27.53%0.1106✓1.19234k2022-09-09
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.39643.1484-7.30%6.9482+104.58%0.8497✗0.511.9M2022-09-09
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.1983.891-7.31%3.24-22.82%0.0971✓0.751.3M2022-09-09
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.18361.0967-7.34%–pending––1.1013k2022-09-09
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.5370.497305-7.39%0.332-38.18%0.2521✓1.32245k2022-09-09
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07390.068404-7.44%0.0602-18.54%0.0347✓0.81143k2022-09-09
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04410.040816-7.45%0.0391-11.34%0.0775✗1.0577k2022-09-09
LINKChainlinkEthereum9.0628.3824-7.50%7.744-14.54%0.0504✓1.1319.0M2022-09-09
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06860.06342-7.55%0.0518-24.49%0.0722✓1.13827k2022-09-09
APEApeCoinEthereum7.1166.578-7.56%5.047-29.08%0.1065✓1.3812.8M2022-09-09
COMPCompoundEthereum65.260.2044-7.66%51.69-20.72%0.0041✓1.2935k2022-09-09
CELLCellframeEthereum0.49510.456751-7.75%0.3091-37.57%0.2624✓1.1285k2022-09-09
FLOWFlownative3.0572.817-7.85%2.111-30.95%0.1414✓1.28649k2022-09-09
MINAMina Protocolnative0.9760.899103-7.88%0.685-29.82%0.1570✓1.00271k2022-09-09
UNIUniswapEthereum9.228.4885-7.93%6.51-29.39%0.1138✓1.329.9M2022-09-09
GMTGMTEthereum0.980.90208-7.95%0.7844-19.96%0.0319✓1.50469k2022-09-09
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.758.049-8.01%8.88+1.49%0.1183✗0.171.8M2022-09-09
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035180.03236-8.01%0.03907+11.06%0.3099✗1.0616k2022-09-09
HIVEHivenative0.62610.575349-8.11%0.5768-7.87%0.1213✗1.042.4M2022-09-09
CHZChilizEthereum0.15320.140627-8.21%0.2053+34.01%0.4815✗0.901.1M2022-09-09
BFCBifrostEthereum0.087430.080216-8.25%0.07407-15.28%0.0493✓1.1229k2022-09-09
ETCEthereum Classicnative38.8335.6197-8.27%39.19+0.93%0.2538✗1.3814.2M2022-09-09
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.3955.8593-8.38%6.12-4.30%0.0635✓0.173.4M2022-09-09
RADRadworksEthereum2.592.3711-8.45%2.58-0.39%0.1931✗0.95636k2022-09-09
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.13620.124597-8.52%0.1242-8.81%0.0947✗0.85206k2022-09-09
FORTFortaEthereum0.30780.281504-8.54%0.2292-25.54%0.0812✓1.08274k2022-09-09
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.790.721686-8.65%0.497-37.09%0.2292✓1.252,7912022-09-09
ORCAOrcaSolana0.97910.893992-8.69%0.8564-12.53%0.1407✗1.60296k2022-09-09
LUNATerraTerra 20.000098560.000089973-8.71%0.00043064+336.93%1.6444✗0.69421k2022-09-09
AAVEAaveEthereum111.17101.4793-8.72%91.14-18.02%0.0727✓1.578.2M2022-09-09
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.3487.6183-8.74%7.1-14.95%0.0510✓1.065.7M2022-09-09
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.924.4897-8.75%4.61-6.30%0.0735✓0.411.3M2022-09-09
MOVRMoonriverBase17.716.1395-8.82%12.9714-26.72%0.1003✓1.0358k2022-09-09
ETHEthereumEthereum1,854.121,689.29-8.89%1,719.21-7.28%0.1684✗1.31480.7M2022-09-09
OPTIMOptimism1.5691.428-8.99%1.411-10.07%0.2079✗1.923.3M2022-09-09
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.47091.334-9.31%1.3501-8.21%0.1310✗1.04907k2022-09-09
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche29.1826.3809-9.59%20.4-30.09%0.0955✓1.4130.8M2022-09-09
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.21082.9011-9.65%7.5152+134.06%0.9960✗0.381.5M2022-09-09
METISMetisEthereum47.2442.569-9.89%32.42-31.37%0.0546✓1.90362k2022-09-09
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.1993.776-10.07%2.999-28.58%0.0442✓1.625.2M2022-09-09
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.1518.9948-10.19%18.09-14.47%0.0336✓0.722.4M2022-09-09
QNTQuantEthereum126.64113.4688-10.40%103.35-18.39%0.0068✓0.874.2M2022-09-09
TRBTellor TributesEthereum38.6834.5602-10.65%17.28-55.33%0.5557✓1.201.3M2022-09-09
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.104270.092856-10.95%0.06971-33.14%0.1397✓1.281.8M2022-09-09
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.619.4-11.40%7.92-25.35%0.0414✓1.13562k2022-09-09
DODODODOEthereum0.18190.160339-11.85%0.1353-25.62%0.0491✓1.052.7M2022-09-09
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015210.001337-12.07%0.001388-8.73%0.1381✗0.881.4M2022-09-09
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,510.6010,093.58-12.31%10,439.05-9.31%0.1865✗1.335.8M2022-09-09
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.