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2022-08-09 · +30d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1900
184 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.90%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
47.3%
in alpha space · 81.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-16.57%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
PROPropyEthereum0.780.794988+1.92%0.73-6.41%0.0006✓0.4783k2022-09-08
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,209.6023,650.48+1.90%19,295.10-16.87%0.0280✗0.9712k2022-09-08
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.02185.0687+0.93%4.9672-1.09%0.0060✓0.14367k2022-09-08
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09770.098081+0.39%0.0926-5.22%0.1246✓1.017,6272022-09-08
TRXTRONTron0.0684650.068698+0.34%0.061193-10.62%0.0062✗0.60216k2022-09-08
SUNSun TokenTron0.0064850.006492+0.11%0.005905-8.94%0.0368✓0.734,4282022-09-08
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1270.126923-0.06%0.0993-21.81%0.0900✓0.864,5002022-09-08
CVCCivicEthereum0.15480.154693-0.07%0.1402-9.43%0.0959✗1.07110k2022-09-08
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21830.217958-0.16%0.1767-19.06%0.0475✗1.421,2802022-09-08
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,158.2722,943.88-0.93%19,321.87-16.57%0.0093✗1.00455.4M2022-09-08
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04750.046991-1.07%0.0351-26.11%0.1151✓0.9810k2022-09-08
STXStacksnative0.47780.472222-1.17%0.3621-24.22%0.0523✓1.18892k2022-09-08
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13650.134881-1.19%0.1624+18.97%0.3862✗1.1155k2022-09-08
LSKLiskEthereum1.16891.154-1.27%1.0517-10.03%0.0789✗0.9552k2022-09-08
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0690280.06805-1.42%0.060978-11.66%0.0779✗1.041.6M2022-09-08
GTGateEthereum4.77384.7043-1.46%4.0459-15.25%0.0219✓0.71887k2022-09-08
AMPAmpEthereum0.008250.008127-1.49%0.00567-31.27%0.2401✓0.661.6M2022-09-08
NEXONEXOEthereum0.810.797408-1.55%0.894+10.37%0.3289✗1.18968k2022-09-08
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.59180.58259-1.56%0.4736-19.97%0.0030✓1.13318k2022-09-08
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.031790.031241-1.73%0.02409-24.22%0.0247✓1.301,7322022-09-08
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3280.321816-1.89%0.263-19.82%0.0490✓0.841.1M2022-09-08
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.1857.9712-2.04%57.99-2.01%0.1906✗1.0513.7M2022-09-08
LCXLCXEthereum0.05890.057677-2.08%0.0517-12.22%0.1177✗1.25339k2022-09-08
STEEMSteemnative0.25080.24557-2.09%0.2219-11.52%0.0684✗0.94681k2022-09-08
XVGVergenative0.003680.003602-2.13%0.00316-14.13%0.0722✗1.12517k2022-09-08
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12320.120319-2.34%0.1109-9.98%0.0778✗0.88370k2022-09-08
SCSiacoinnative0.004510.004404-2.35%0.00399-11.53%0.1040✗1.1299k2022-09-08
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25120.245267-2.36%0.2135-15.01%0.0487✗1.0491k2022-09-08
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.026320.025686-2.41%0.02088-20.67%0.0566✓0.83159k2022-09-08
BORABORAKlay Token0.355090.346308-2.47%0.27969-21.23%0.0077✓1.1413k2022-09-08
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012050.000011752-2.47%0.00001223+1.49%0.2185✗0.99864k2022-09-08
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0061810.00602-2.61%0.006191+0.16%0.1182✗0.5050k2022-09-08
KCSKuCoinnative10.53610.2608-2.61%9.277-11.95%0.0838✗1.021.9M2022-09-08
FTTFTXEthereum29.8829.089-2.65%26.05-12.82%0.0569✗0.929.4M2022-09-08
XMRMoneroMonero158.78154.5529-2.66%152.39-4.02%0.1719✗1.031.2M2022-09-08
ZECZcashZcash79.8177.683-2.67%61.13-23.41%0.0186✓1.222.0M2022-09-08
API3Api3Ethereum1.961.9073-2.69%1.763-10.05%0.1003✗0.99588k2022-09-08
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash134.7131.0766-2.69%126.62-6.00%0.1693✗1.135.0M2022-09-08
NANOnanopayBase1.03761.0096-2.71%0.875349-15.64%0.0023✓0.8056k2022-09-08
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0033560.003265-2.73%0.002728-18.71%0.0216✓0.87988k2022-09-08
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.29e-73.20e-7-2.82%7.48e-7+127.10%0.9723✗0.68150k2022-09-08
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0153410.014901-2.87%0.012974-15.43%0.0105✓0.712.1M2022-09-08
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22610.219441-2.95%0.2042-9.69%0.1802✗1.3997k2022-09-08
ZENHorizenBase19.9219.332-2.95%15.53-22.04%0.0035✓1.19118k2022-09-08
BTTCBTTC9.70e-79.41e-7-2.95%8.80e-7-9.28%0.0721✗0.776.0M2022-09-08
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016570.001608-2.98%0.00152-8.27%0.0886✗0.808,9342022-09-08
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.32860.318769-2.99%0.2794-14.97%0.0567✗1.043.5M2022-09-08
XECeCashnative0.00004340.000042097-3.00%0.00004219-2.79%0.1580✗0.861.9M2022-09-08
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.83682.7515-3.01%4.474+57.71%0.5913✗0.581.2M2022-09-08
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.031560.030605-3.03%0.03515+11.38%0.3266✗1.0414k2022-09-08
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.5644.4251-3.04%12.416+172.04%1.0764✗0.251.1M2022-09-08
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.044640.04327-3.07%0.03746-16.08%0.0076✓0.842,3482022-09-08
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009870.009565-3.09%0.00886-10.23%0.0568✗0.745.3M2022-09-08
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.5392.4589-3.16%4.722+85.98%0.8050✗0.8486k2022-09-08
XYMSymbolnative0.0552930.053481-3.28%0.040974-25.90%0.1731✓0.5229k2022-09-08
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04280.041382-3.31%0.0382-10.75%0.1106✗1.0577k2022-09-08
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.52581.475-3.33%1.7721+16.14%0.4193✗1.30698k2022-09-08
DKAdKargoEthereum0.050770.04907-3.35%0.04438-12.59%0.0387✗0.7717k2022-09-08
DASHDashDash52.9751.1815-3.38%46.28-12.63%0.0813✗1.00552k2022-09-08
XTZTezosTezos1.80571.7445-3.39%1.5877-12.07%0.1135✗1.15530k2022-09-08
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07120.06877-3.41%0.0555-22.05%0.0682✓0.81151k2022-09-08
IMXImmutableEthereum1.10741.0695-3.43%0.8184-26.10%0.0397✓1.262.0M2022-09-08
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.14511.1056-3.45%–pending––1.1013k2022-09-08
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.08250.079612-3.50%0.06606-19.93%0.0466✓0.779072022-09-08
GALAGALAEthereum0.05990.057795-3.51%0.049-18.20%0.0381✗1.12185k2022-09-08
ADACardanoCardano0.5130.494926-3.52%0.479-6.63%0.1651✗1.0940.5M2022-09-08
SOLSolanaSolana40.3538.8885-3.62%33.62-16.68%0.0807✗1.2579.4M2022-09-08
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.29562.212-3.64%1.851-19.37%0.0196✓1.0938k2022-09-08
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.173820.167392-3.70%0.13663-21.40%0.0369✓1.32216k2022-09-08
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08810.084788-3.76%0.0599-32.01%0.1871✓0.89127k2022-09-08
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.9028.5609-3.83%7.389-17.00%0.0523✗1.1011.8M2022-09-08
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0180.978694-3.86%1.038+1.96%0.1574✗0.543.7M2022-09-08
AVTAventusEthereum1.531.4708-3.87%1.42-7.19%0.0216✓0.07173k2022-09-08
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26130.251168-3.88%0.1397-46.54%0.5844✓0.0135k2022-09-08
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.435250.418339-3.89%0.33034-24.10%0.0478✓1.04124k2022-09-08
UOSUltraEthereum0.34890.33522-3.92%0.38118+9.25%0.2916✗0.90396k2022-09-08
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.758.4012-3.99%7.407-15.35%0.0791✗1.1318.6M2022-09-08
GLMGolemEthereum0.26010.249591-4.04%0.3012+15.80%0.3657✗0.9865k2022-09-08
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2190.210114-4.06%0.17034-22.22%0.0162✓1.25716k2022-09-08
XLMStellarStellar0.1220430.117026-4.11%0.104355-14.49%0.0539✗0.937.1M2022-09-08
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3441840.329994-4.12%0.305298-11.30%0.1250✗1.12875k2022-09-08
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.855.608-4.14%6.37+8.89%0.1944✗0.37894k2022-09-08
CBKCobakEthereum1.10541.0592-4.18%0.85429-22.71%0.0370✓0.9812k2022-09-08
QTUMQtumQtum4.01453.8456-4.21%3.1692-21.06%0.0087✓1.0257k2022-09-08
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.089460.085674-4.23%0.06787-24.13%0.1905✓0.231.1M2022-09-08
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0228290.021857-4.26%0.020726-9.21%0.1014✗0.8512k2022-09-08
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3651.3066-4.27%1.188-12.97%0.1038✗1.102.5M2022-09-08
LRCLoopringEthereum0.44990.430626-4.28%0.3426-23.85%0.0165✓1.17165k2022-09-08
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.70e-79.28e-7-4.34%8.90e-7-8.25%0.0904✗0.7322k2022-09-08
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.03820.9929-4.36%1.2129+16.83%0.3722✗0.95907k2022-09-08
UMAUMAEthereum2.9452.8159-4.39%2.656-9.81%0.0983✗0.87585k2022-09-08
COTICOTIEthereum0.11290.107839-4.48%0.0972-13.91%0.0901✗1.07566k2022-09-08
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08110.077443-4.51%0.0618-23.80%0.0208✓1.131.4M2022-09-08
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06420.061234-4.62%0.0483-24.77%0.0333✓1.13827k2022-09-08
XEMNEMnative0.0493070.047017-4.65%0.044321-10.11%0.1247✗1.0137k2022-09-08
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16970.161709-4.71%0.1491-12.14%0.1192✗1.11548k2022-09-08
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.670.638368-4.72%0.525-21.64%0.0302✓1.2591k2022-09-08
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV59.71956.8807-4.75%53.27-10.80%0.0653✗0.72321k2022-09-08
MANADecentralandEthereum1.01980.970901-4.79%0.77284-24.21%0.0285✓1.10543k2022-09-08
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7160.681674-4.79%0.501-30.03%0.0673✓1.33137k2022-09-08
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.518.1014-4.80%8.78+3.17%0.1112✗0.171.8M2022-09-08
SUSHISushiEthereum1.431.3609-4.83%1.3273-7.18%0.2088✗1.291.2M2022-09-08
ELAElastosEthereum2.1011.9963-4.98%1.685-19.80%0.0165✓1.03261k2022-09-08
APEApeCoinEthereum7.0246.669-5.05%4.5-35.93%0.1409✓1.3911.9M2022-09-08
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.711.6226-5.11%1.4-18.13%0.0451✓1.06140k2022-09-08
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34520.327431-5.15%0.3078-10.83%0.1160✗0.988.4M2022-09-08
XVSVenusEthereum6.516.1682-5.25%4.8-26.27%0.0482✓1.121.4M2022-09-08
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.43170.408813-5.30%0.4045-6.30%0.2332✗1.35207k2022-09-08
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0133.7976-5.37%4.29+6.90%0.1714✗0.272.2M2022-09-08
MOVRMoonriverBase17.038916.1195-5.40%12.7985-24.89%0.0443✓1.0358k2022-09-08
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.01750.016541-5.48%0.01167-33.31%0.2238✓0.69167k2022-09-08
AAVEAaveEthereum97.9692.5835-5.49%88.29-9.87%0.2334✗1.558.2M2022-09-08
C98Coin98Ethereum0.51710.488718-5.49%0.3993-22.78%0.0026✓1.1350k2022-09-08
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.872.7122-5.50%1.84-35.89%0.2969✓0.50110k2022-09-08
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0201610.019053-5.50%0.024425+21.15%0.2788✗0.17215k2022-09-08
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5190.490399-5.51%0.418-19.46%0.0231✓1.0113k2022-09-08
STORJStorjEthereum0.665210.628528-5.51%0.52967-20.38%0.0781✗1.3857k2022-09-08
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.002140.002021-5.54%0.001463-31.64%0.1422✓1.001.2M2022-09-08
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.3610.7293-5.55%9.92-12.68%0.1278✗1.14306k2022-09-08
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.824.5522-5.56%4.54-5.81%0.0717✗0.411.3M2022-09-08
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.38910.7534-5.58%13.883+21.90%0.4768✗1.2214.4M2022-09-08
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.7022.551-5.59%1.843-31.79%0.0095✓1.74131k2022-09-08
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05380.050782-5.61%0.0465-13.57%0.1011✗1.04248k2022-09-08
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8080.76243-5.64%0.638-21.04%0.0092✓0.93377k2022-09-08
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7442.5876-5.70%2.072-24.49%0.0021✓1.2254k2022-09-08
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.405040.381841-5.73%0.32661-19.36%0.0344✓1.05481k2022-09-08
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.13360.125915-5.75%0.13-2.69%0.1864✗0.85203k2022-09-08
BANDBandEthereum1.7671.6647-5.79%1.273-27.96%0.0245✓1.35383k2022-09-08
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.3874.1328-5.80%3.093-29.50%0.1504✓0.771.1M2022-09-08
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.62340.58722-5.80%0.5067-18.72%0.0150✓0.90755k2022-09-08
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.10271.0385-5.82%0.9741-11.66%0.0643✗0.714.4M2022-09-08
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.0447.5617-6.00%5.865-27.09%0.0943✓0.885.7M2022-09-08
HIVEHivenative0.60670.570166-6.02%0.5518-9.05%0.1550✗1.042.4M2022-09-08
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.515.1767-6.05%6.34+15.06%0.2671✗0.361.1M2022-09-08
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.3372.1955-6.06%1.45-37.95%0.2049✓1.16172k2022-09-08
BFCBifrostEthereum0.085980.080688-6.16%0.07073-17.74%0.0731✗1.1329k2022-09-08
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8560.802326-6.27%0.643-24.88%0.0484✓1.494.4M2022-09-08
COMPCompoundEthereum59.2455.4976-6.32%48.43-18.25%0.0951✗1.2835k2022-09-08
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.032150.030092-6.40%0.0209-34.99%0.1786✓1.0313.9M2022-09-08
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.5714.5694-6.43%15.71+0.90%0.2943✗1.212.6M2022-09-08
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008710.008139-6.56%0.00743-14.70%0.1147✗1.14457k2022-09-08
MINAMina Protocolnative0.9540.89122-6.58%0.652-31.66%0.1304✓1.01263k2022-09-08
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.5816.4189-6.60%13.85-21.22%0.0548✓1.241.4M2022-09-08
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.13960.130361-6.62%0.1043-25.29%0.0060✓1.203.1M2022-09-08
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.06592.862-6.65%7.6822+150.57%1.0558✗0.381.4M2022-09-08
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.319.6219-6.67%7.37-28.52%0.0606✓1.14482k2022-09-08
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2941.207-6.72%0.9148-29.30%0.0527✓1.241.1M2022-09-08
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.29261.2056-6.73%1.1279-12.74%0.1940✗1.446.8M2022-09-08
ETHEthereumEthereum1,703.351,588.10-6.77%1,635.73-3.97%0.2655✗1.30453.9M2022-09-08
RADRadworksEthereum2.632.4497-6.86%2.6-1.14%0.2336✗0.96726k2022-09-08
FORTFortaEthereum0.30380.282963-6.86%0.2268-25.35%0.0242✓1.09294k2022-09-08
GITCOINGITCOIN2.89562.6953-6.92%2.2544-22.14%0.0630✓1.3313k2022-09-08
UNIUniswapEthereum8.4397.8544-6.93%6.173-26.85%0.0034✓1.319.9M2022-09-08
CELLCellframeEthereum0.44530.414403-6.94%0.2984-32.99%0.1297✓1.1080k2022-09-08
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9273.652-7.00%4.056+3.28%0.1719✗0.371.6M2022-09-08
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.17650.164107-7.02%0.131-25.78%0.0960✓0.713.9M2022-09-08
DIADIAEthereum0.481560.447713-7.03%0.37908-21.28%0.0730✓0.5268k2022-09-08
METISMetisEthereum42.6539.6487-7.04%29.13-31.70%0.0314✓1.88328k2022-09-08
CHZChilizEthereum0.14570.135275-7.16%0.187+28.35%0.4857✗0.891.1M2022-09-08
DODODODOEthereum0.17140.159019-7.22%0.1249-27.13%0.0524✓1.042.8M2022-09-08
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.892.6794-7.29%2.27-21.45%0.0667✓1.28227k2022-09-08
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0321.8832-7.32%1.415-30.36%0.0687✓1.20234k2022-09-08
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.190920.176853-7.37%0.15778-17.36%0.2950✗2.261,0642022-09-08
WOOWOOEthereum0.2360.217893-7.67%0.1562-33.81%0.1292✓1.121,5612022-09-08
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.28163.0266-7.77%6.8937+110.07%0.9145✗0.501.8M2022-09-08
NMRNumeraireEthereum20.5718.9566-7.84%17.38-15.51%0.0432✓0.722.6M2022-09-08
ETCEthereum Classicnative36.433.5282-7.89%37.1+1.92%0.3506✗1.3813.5M2022-09-08
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche27.4325.2354-8.00%19.14-30.22%0.0220✓1.4030.7M2022-09-08
KSMKusamaHydration60.2655.3931-8.08%50.26-16.59%0.0958✗1.07489k2022-09-08
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.4615.9362-8.12%6.112-5.40%0.0622✓0.183.4M2022-09-08
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.51630.474142-8.17%0.3149-39.01%0.1680✓1.33245k2022-09-08
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,188.0110,258.14-8.31%9,266.66-17.17%0.1403✗1.345.4M2022-09-08
LUNATerraTerra 20.000096780.000088628-8.42%0.00051629+433.47%1.8746✗0.62421k2022-09-08
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0014790.001353-8.49%0.001335-9.74%0.1457✗0.881.3M2022-09-08
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.102850.094089-8.52%0.06043-41.24%0.2092✓1.291.6M2022-09-08
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.8123.4847-8.59%2.931-23.11%0.1192✗1.615.2M2022-09-08
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.8257.143-8.72%6.478-17.21%0.0927✗1.055.9M2022-09-08
QNTQuantEthereum125.81114.607-8.90%101.92-18.99%0.0427✓0.884.2M2022-09-08
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7630.694038-9.04%0.469-38.53%0.1641✓1.262,7022022-09-08
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.264.7562-9.58%5.32+1.14%0.1701✗0.322.1M2022-09-08
ORCAOrcaSolana0.95310.857193-10.06%0.8317-12.74%0.2611✗1.61296k2022-09-08
FLOWFlownative2.9972.6951-10.07%1.956-34.73%0.0868✓1.29587k2022-09-08
TRBTellor TributesEthereum39.3535.2012-10.54%15.9-59.59%0.5742✓1.221.3M2022-09-08
GMTGMTEthereum0.9490.840635-11.42%0.6533-31.16%0.0197✓1.50469k2022-09-08
OPTIMOptimism1.6181.363-15.76%1.178-27.19%0.2082✗1.953.1M2022-09-08
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.