8=======>

2022-08-09 · +30d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1075
184 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-3.76%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
47.3%
in alpha space · 81.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-16.57%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0014790.001282-13.34%0.001335-9.74%0.2001✗0.881.3M2022-09-08
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,188.019,842.27-12.03%9,266.66-17.17%0.1817✗1.345.4M2022-09-08
TRBTellor TributesEthereum39.3534.7443-11.70%15.9-59.59%0.5611✓1.221.3M2022-09-08
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.319.1091-11.65%7.37-28.52%0.0059✓1.14482k2022-09-08
DODODODOEthereum0.17140.152247-11.17%0.1249-27.13%0.0089✓1.042.8M2022-09-08
QNTQuantEthereum125.81111.8375-11.11%101.92-18.99%0.0672✓0.884.2M2022-09-08
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.102850.091613-10.93%0.06043-41.24%0.1825✓1.291.6M2022-09-08
NMRNumeraireEthereum20.5718.4235-10.44%17.38-15.51%0.0717✓0.722.6M2022-09-08
LUNATerraTerra 20.000096780.000087599-9.49%0.00051629+433.47%1.8863✗0.62421k2022-09-08
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.8123.4562-9.33%2.931-23.11%0.1274✗1.615.2M2022-09-08
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche27.4324.9084-9.19%19.14-30.22%0.0090✓1.4030.7M2022-09-08
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.06592.7854-9.15%7.6822+150.57%1.0829✗0.381.4M2022-09-08
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7630.694818-8.94%0.469-38.53%0.1653✓1.262,7022022-09-08
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.4615.8891-8.85%6.112-5.40%0.0702✓0.183.4M2022-09-08
METISMetisEthereum42.6538.8871-8.82%29.13-31.70%0.0508✓1.88328k2022-09-08
OPTIMOptimism1.6181.4757-8.80%1.178-27.19%0.1288✗1.953.1M2022-09-08
MOVRMoonriverBase17.038915.541-8.79%12.7985-24.89%0.0077✓1.0358k2022-09-08
RADRadworksEthereum2.632.4004-8.73%2.6-1.14%0.2539✗0.96726k2022-09-08
ORCAOrcaSolana0.95310.870167-8.70%0.8317-12.74%0.2461✗1.61296k2022-09-08
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.13360.122099-8.61%0.13-2.69%0.2172✗0.85203k2022-09-08
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.8257.1524-8.60%6.478-17.21%0.0914✗1.055.9M2022-09-08
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.3874.0145-8.49%3.093-29.50%0.1214✓0.771.1M2022-09-08
FORTFortaEthereum0.30380.278027-8.48%0.2268-25.35%0.0066✓1.09294k2022-09-08
BFCBifrostEthereum0.085980.078773-8.38%0.07073-17.74%0.0972✗1.1329k2022-09-08
MINAMina Protocolnative0.9540.874773-8.30%0.652-31.66%0.1118✓1.01263k2022-09-08
GMTGMTEthereum0.9490.870259-8.30%0.6533-31.16%0.0150✓1.50469k2022-09-08
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.824.4235-8.23%4.54-5.81%0.1004✗0.411.3M2022-09-08
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.190920.175641-8.00%0.15778-17.36%0.3019✗2.261,0642022-09-08
HIVEHivenative0.60670.558411-7.96%0.5518-9.05%0.1758✗1.042.4M2022-09-08
ETHEthereumEthereum1,703.351,569.40-7.86%1,635.73-3.97%0.2774✗1.30453.9M2022-09-08
CHZChilizEthereum0.14570.134296-7.83%0.187+28.35%0.4930✗0.891.1M2022-09-08
FLOWFlownative2.9972.7624-7.83%1.956-34.73%0.1114✓1.29587k2022-09-08
APEApeCoinEthereum7.0246.4791-7.76%4.5-35.93%0.1120✓1.3911.9M2022-09-08
ELAElastosEthereum2.1011.9386-7.73%1.685-19.80%0.0458✓1.03261k2022-09-08
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04280.039505-7.70%0.0382-10.75%0.1570✗1.0577k2022-09-08
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.14511.057-7.69%–pending––1.1013k2022-09-08
AAVEAaveEthereum97.9690.4464-7.67%88.29-9.87%0.2568✗1.558.2M2022-09-08
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.517.8592-7.65%8.78+3.17%0.1416✗0.171.8M2022-09-08
UNIUniswapEthereum8.4397.7962-7.62%6.173-26.85%0.0040✓1.319.9M2022-09-08
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.758.0881-7.56%7.407-15.35%0.1170✗1.1318.6M2022-09-08
ETCEthereum Classicnative36.433.6512-7.55%37.1+1.92%0.3470✗1.3813.5M2022-09-08
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0321.879-7.53%1.415-30.36%0.0665✓1.20234k2022-09-08
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07120.065879-7.47%0.0555-22.05%0.0252✓0.81151k2022-09-08
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.51630.478391-7.34%0.3149-39.01%0.1769✓1.33245k2022-09-08
COMPCompoundEthereum59.2454.9938-7.17%48.43-18.25%0.1043✗1.2835k2022-09-08
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.002140.001989-7.07%0.001463-31.64%0.1258✓1.001.2M2022-09-08
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16970.157742-7.05%0.1491-12.14%0.1441✗1.11548k2022-09-08
DIADIAEthereum0.481560.447802-7.01%0.37908-21.28%0.0732✓0.5268k2022-09-08
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.28163.0525-6.98%6.8937+110.07%0.9060✗0.501.8M2022-09-08
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0133.7372-6.87%4.29+6.90%0.1875✗0.272.2M2022-09-08
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06420.059805-6.85%0.0483-24.77%0.0097✓1.13827k2022-09-08
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9273.6582-6.84%4.056+3.28%0.1702✗0.371.6M2022-09-08
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5190.483507-6.84%0.418-19.46%0.0373✓1.0113k2022-09-08
XVSVenusEthereum6.516.0651-6.83%4.8-26.27%0.0313✓1.121.4M2022-09-08
BANDBandEthereum1.7671.6466-6.81%1.273-27.96%0.0136✓1.35383k2022-09-08
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.38910.6231-6.72%13.883+21.90%0.4890✗1.2214.4M2022-09-08
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.01750.016324-6.72%0.01167-33.31%0.2105✓0.69167k2022-09-08
CELLCellframeEthereum0.44530.415563-6.68%0.2984-32.99%0.1325✓1.1080k2022-09-08
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.031560.029505-6.51%0.03515+11.38%0.3632✗1.0414k2022-09-08
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.3610.6215-6.50%9.92-12.68%0.1379✗1.14306k2022-09-08
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.29261.209-6.47%1.1279-12.74%0.1912✗1.446.8M2022-09-08
SUSHISushiEthereum1.431.3407-6.25%1.3273-7.18%0.2237✗1.291.2M2022-09-08
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.0447.5456-6.20%5.865-27.09%0.0922✓0.885.7M2022-09-08
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.5714.6152-6.13%15.71+0.90%0.2912✗1.212.6M2022-09-08
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8560.803575-6.12%0.643-24.88%0.0468✓1.494.4M2022-09-08
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.13960.131092-6.09%0.1043-25.29%0.0115✓1.203.1M2022-09-08
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.515.1767-6.05%6.34+15.06%0.2671✗0.361.1M2022-09-08
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.032150.030227-5.98%0.0209-34.99%0.1830✓1.0313.9M2022-09-08
COTICOTIEthereum0.11290.106154-5.97%0.0972-13.91%0.1059✗1.07566k2022-09-08
QTUMQtumQtum4.01453.7774-5.91%3.1692-21.06%0.0092✓1.0257k2022-09-08
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.17650.166096-5.89%0.131-25.78%0.1081✓0.713.9M2022-09-08
GITCOINGITCOIN2.89562.725-5.89%2.2544-22.14%0.0520✓1.3313k2022-09-08
LRCLoopringEthereum0.44990.423726-5.82%0.3426-23.85%0.0003✓1.17165k2022-09-08
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.62340.587628-5.74%0.5067-18.72%0.0143✓0.90755k2022-09-08
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8080.762581-5.62%0.638-21.04%0.0094✓0.93377k2022-09-08
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2941.2228-5.51%0.9148-29.30%0.0656✓1.241.1M2022-09-08
XEMNEMnative0.0493070.0466-5.49%0.044321-10.11%0.1336✗1.0137k2022-09-08
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.264.9721-5.47%5.32+1.14%0.1258✗0.322.1M2022-09-08
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0201610.019065-5.44%0.024425+21.15%0.2782✗0.17215k2022-09-08
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.52581.443-5.43%1.7721+16.14%0.4413✗1.30698k2022-09-08
KSMKusamaHydration60.2657.018-5.38%50.26-16.59%0.0669✗1.07489k2022-09-08
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.892.7348-5.37%2.27-21.45%0.0462✓1.28227k2022-09-08
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.3372.2116-5.37%1.45-37.95%0.2122✓1.16172k2022-09-08
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.173820.1646-5.30%0.13663-21.40%0.0537✓1.32216k2022-09-08
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.5816.6475-5.30%13.85-21.22%0.0410✓1.241.4M2022-09-08
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.855.5421-5.26%6.37+8.89%0.2062✗0.37894k2022-09-08
BORABORAKlay Token0.355090.336481-5.24%0.27969-21.23%0.0211✓1.1413k2022-09-08
WOOWOOEthereum0.2360.223655-5.23%0.1562-33.81%0.1553✓1.121,5612022-09-08
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.711.621-5.21%1.4-18.13%0.0461✓1.06140k2022-09-08
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.872.7208-5.20%1.84-35.89%0.3001✓0.50110k2022-09-08
IMXImmutableEthereum1.10741.05-5.18%0.8184-26.10%0.0214✓1.262.0M2022-09-08
STORJStorjEthereum0.665210.630904-5.16%0.52967-20.38%0.0744✗1.3857k2022-09-08
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.7022.5652-5.06%1.843-31.79%0.0151✓1.74131k2022-09-08
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.43170.40986-5.06%0.4045-6.30%0.2306✗1.35207k2022-09-08
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.026320.025013-4.97%0.02088-20.67%0.0300✓0.83159k2022-09-08
UOSUltraEthereum0.34890.331647-4.95%0.38118+9.25%0.3023✗0.90396k2022-09-08
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.08250.078557-4.78%0.06606-19.93%0.0332✓0.779072022-09-08
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.670.638236-4.74%0.525-21.64%0.0304✓1.2591k2022-09-08
ZECZcashZcash79.8176.0328-4.73%61.13-23.41%0.0029✓1.222.0M2022-09-08
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3651.3005-4.73%1.188-12.97%0.1085✗1.102.5M2022-09-08
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08810.083943-4.72%0.0599-32.01%0.1771✓0.89127k2022-09-08
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.03820.989322-4.71%1.2129+16.83%0.3758✗0.95907k2022-09-08
UMAUMAEthereum2.9452.8065-4.70%2.656-9.81%0.1016✗0.87585k2022-09-08
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.83682.7066-4.59%4.474+57.71%0.6077✗0.581.2M2022-09-08
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3441840.328514-4.55%0.305298-11.30%0.1295✗1.12875k2022-09-08
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25120.239769-4.55%0.2135-15.01%0.0714✗1.0491k2022-09-08
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012050.000011506-4.52%0.00001223+1.49%0.2396✗0.99864k2022-09-08
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008710.008317-4.51%0.00743-14.70%0.0931✗1.14457k2022-09-08
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08110.077447-4.50%0.0618-23.80%0.0208✓1.131.4M2022-09-08
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV59.71957.0458-4.48%53.27-10.80%0.0624✗0.72321k2022-09-08
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05380.051394-4.47%0.0465-13.57%0.0892✗1.04248k2022-09-08
DASHDashDash52.9750.6045-4.47%46.28-12.63%0.0927✗1.00552k2022-09-08
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.32860.313931-4.46%0.2794-14.97%0.0720✗1.043.5M2022-09-08
XTZTezosTezos1.80571.7251-4.46%1.5877-12.07%0.1246✗1.15530k2022-09-08
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34520.329807-4.46%0.3078-10.83%0.1088✗0.988.4M2022-09-08
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016570.001583-4.45%0.00152-8.27%0.1039✗0.808,9342022-09-08
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.9028.5076-4.43%7.389-17.00%0.0585✗1.1011.8M2022-09-08
NEXONEXOEthereum0.810.774157-4.43%0.894+10.37%0.3585✗1.18968k2022-09-08
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.70e-79.27e-7-4.41%8.90e-7-8.25%0.0911✗0.7322k2022-09-08
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22610.216152-4.40%0.2042-9.69%0.1953✗1.3997k2022-09-08
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7442.6241-4.37%2.072-24.49%0.0161✓1.2254k2022-09-08
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0033560.003211-4.32%0.002728-18.71%0.0050✓0.87988k2022-09-08
BTTCBTTC9.70e-79.29e-7-4.25%8.80e-7-9.28%0.0856✗0.776.0M2022-09-08
SOLSolanaSolana40.3538.6671-4.17%33.62-16.68%0.0864✗1.2579.4M2022-09-08
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.29562.2005-4.14%1.851-19.37%0.0248✓1.0938k2022-09-08
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.5644.3774-4.09%12.416+172.04%1.0873✗0.251.1M2022-09-08
ADACardanoCardano0.5130.492117-4.07%0.479-6.63%0.1708✗1.0940.5M2022-09-08
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12320.118335-3.95%0.1109-9.98%0.0944✗0.88370k2022-09-08
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.10271.0598-3.89%0.9741-11.66%0.0441✗0.714.4M2022-09-08
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.089460.085994-3.87%0.06787-24.13%0.1943✓0.231.1M2022-09-08
STEEMSteemnative0.25080.241231-3.82%0.2219-11.52%0.0862✗0.94681k2022-09-08
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.29e-73.17e-7-3.81%7.48e-7+127.10%0.9825✗0.68150k2022-09-08
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0153410.01476-3.79%0.012974-15.43%0.0011✓0.712.1M2022-09-08
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13650.131345-3.78%0.1624+18.97%0.4128✗1.1155k2022-09-08
AVTAventusEthereum1.531.4728-3.74%1.42-7.19%0.0229✓0.07173k2022-09-08
XMRMoneroMonero158.78152.99-3.65%152.39-4.02%0.1821✗1.031.2M2022-09-08
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7160.690135-3.61%0.501-30.03%0.0796✓1.33137k2022-09-08
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009870.009517-3.58%0.00886-10.23%0.0618✗0.745.3M2022-09-08
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,158.2722,335.63-3.55%19,321.87-16.57%0.0362✗1.00455.4M2022-09-08
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.405040.390668-3.55%0.32661-19.36%0.0116✓1.05481k2022-09-08
GALAGALAEthereum0.05990.057798-3.51%0.049-18.20%0.0380✗1.12185k2022-09-08
XECeCashnative0.00004340.000041887-3.49%0.00004219-2.79%0.1631✗0.861.9M2022-09-08
KCSKuCoinnative10.53610.1711-3.46%9.277-11.95%0.0925✗1.021.9M2022-09-08
NANOnanopayBase1.03761.002-3.44%0.875349-15.64%0.0099✓0.8056k2022-09-08
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0228290.022048-3.42%0.020726-9.21%0.0926✗0.8512k2022-09-08
XYMSymbolnative0.0552930.053423-3.38%0.040974-25.90%0.1720✓0.5229k2022-09-08
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash134.7130.2235-3.32%126.62-6.00%0.1758✗1.135.0M2022-09-08
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.59180.572285-3.30%0.4736-19.97%0.0148✓1.13318k2022-09-08
ZENHorizenBase19.9219.276-3.23%15.53-22.04%0.0006✓1.19118k2022-09-08
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.044640.043214-3.20%0.03746-16.08%0.0089✓0.842,3482022-09-08
C98Coin98Ethereum0.51710.501001-3.11%0.3993-22.78%0.0223✓1.1350k2022-09-08
GTGateEthereum4.77384.627-3.08%4.0459-15.25%0.0053✓0.71887k2022-09-08
API3Api3Ethereum1.961.9012-3.00%1.763-10.05%0.1035✗0.99588k2022-09-08
XVGVergenative0.003680.003572-2.94%0.00316-14.13%0.0806✗1.12517k2022-09-08
DKAdKargoEthereum0.050770.049305-2.89%0.04438-12.59%0.0339✗0.7717k2022-09-08
MANADecentralandEthereum1.01980.991207-2.80%0.77284-24.21%0.0492✓1.10543k2022-09-08
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04750.046227-2.68%0.0351-26.11%0.0987✓0.9810k2022-09-08
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0061810.006015-2.68%0.006191+0.16%0.1189✗0.5050k2022-09-08
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.5392.4723-2.63%4.722+85.98%0.7995✗0.8486k2022-09-08
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.1857.7074-2.49%57.99-2.01%0.1952✗1.0513.7M2022-09-08
XLMStellarStellar0.1220430.119164-2.36%0.104355-14.49%0.0358✗0.937.1M2022-09-08
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.435250.425341-2.28%0.33034-24.10%0.0644✓1.04124k2022-09-08
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.031790.031141-2.04%0.02409-24.22%0.0215✓1.301,7322022-09-08
CBKCobakEthereum1.10541.083-2.02%0.85429-22.71%0.0593✓0.9812k2022-09-08
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26130.256176-1.96%0.1397-46.54%0.6041✓0.0135k2022-09-08
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0180.998251-1.94%1.038+1.96%0.1376✗0.543.7M2022-09-08
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1270.12464-1.86%0.0993-21.81%0.0718✓0.864,5002022-09-08
GLMGolemEthereum0.26010.255474-1.78%0.3012+15.80%0.3424✗0.9865k2022-09-08
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3280.322287-1.74%0.263-19.82%0.0505✓0.841.1M2022-09-08
STXStacksnative0.47780.469995-1.63%0.3621-24.22%0.0475✓1.18892k2022-09-08
LCXLCXEthereum0.05890.057968-1.58%0.0517-12.22%0.1127✗1.25339k2022-09-08
FTTFTXEthereum29.8829.4084-1.58%26.05-12.82%0.0460✗0.929.4M2022-09-08
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09770.09622-1.51%0.0926-5.22%0.1437✗1.017,6272022-09-08
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21830.215051-1.49%0.1767-19.06%0.0610✗1.421,2802022-09-08
AMPAmpEthereum0.008250.008161-1.08%0.00567-31.27%0.2443✓0.661.6M2022-09-08
SCSiacoinnative0.004510.004477-0.74%0.00399-11.53%0.0876✗1.1299k2022-09-08
LSKLiskEthereum1.16891.1645-0.38%1.0517-10.03%0.0699✗0.9552k2022-09-08
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2190.218434-0.26%0.17034-22.22%0.0226✓1.25716k2022-09-08
PROPropyEthereum0.780.778316-0.22%0.73-6.41%0.0206✗0.4783k2022-09-08
TRXTRONTron0.0684650.068852+0.56%0.061193-10.62%0.0085✗0.60216k2022-09-08
SUNSun TokenTron0.0064850.006532+0.72%0.005905-8.94%0.0308✓0.734,4282022-09-08
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,209.6023,397.26+0.81%19,295.10-16.87%0.0172✗0.9712k2022-09-08
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0690280.069781+1.09%0.060978-11.66%0.0528✓1.041.6M2022-09-08
CVCCivicEthereum0.15480.158306+2.26%0.1402-9.43%0.0728✓1.07110k2022-09-08
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.02185.2896+5.33%4.9672-1.09%0.0367✓0.14367k2022-09-08
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.