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2022-08-07 · +30d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1837
185 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-0.14%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
57.3%
in alpha space · 84.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-18.93%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.040570.035645-12.14%0.02171-46.49%0.2815✓1.02159k2022-09-06
QNTQuantEthereum126.46111.4537-11.87%90.03-28.81%0.0204✓0.924.5M2022-09-06
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.107270.094577-11.83%0.05773-46.18%0.1832✓1.481.2M2022-09-06
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,438.5410,094.82-11.75%8,612.34-24.71%0.1365✗1.415.2M2022-09-06
DODODODOEthereum0.18190.161582-11.17%0.1191-34.52%0.0543✓1.203.3M2022-09-06
NMRNumeraireEthereum22.1919.7878-10.83%16.78-24.38%0.0064✓0.762.6M2022-09-06
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.038.9602-10.67%6.8-32.20%0.0058✓1.34385k2022-09-06
MOVRMoonriverBase18.297316.495-9.85%12.1746-33.46%0.0721✓1.1053k2022-09-06
TRBTellor TributesEthereum32.4829.2886-9.83%15.93-50.95%0.3006✓1.471.1M2022-09-06
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.8296.1657-9.71%5.919-13.33%0.0501✓0.432.7M2022-09-06
LUNATerraTerra 20.000099560.000090001-9.60%0.00037885+280.52%1.8127✗1.79466k2022-09-06
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8110.733186-9.59%0.439-45.87%0.2198✓1.402,7022022-09-06
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.083.6999-9.32%2.791-31.59%0.0726✓1.695.2M2022-09-06
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.21832.922-9.21%7.2344+124.79%1.0402✗0.641.2M2022-09-06
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche27.925.4313-8.85%18.21-34.73%0.0078✓1.5529.2M2022-09-06
OPTIMOptimism1.9121.7485-8.55%1.095-42.73%0.0592✓1.953.1M2022-09-06
METISMetisEthereum44.2240.4664-8.49%28.84-34.78%0.0542✓1.87293k2022-09-06
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.2497.5546-8.42%6.22-24.60%0.0571✓1.206.8M2022-09-06
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.074.6527-8.23%4.37-13.81%0.0652✓0.611.3M2022-09-06
ORCAOrcaSolana0.98850.9074-8.20%0.8135-17.70%0.2537✗1.73296k2022-09-06
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.195980.180119-8.09%0.15332-21.77%0.3189✗2.291,0642022-09-06
ELAElastosEthereum2.1832.0113-7.87%1.727-20.89%0.0823✗1.12225k2022-09-06
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04410.040642-7.84%0.0348-21.09%0.0867✗1.1577k2022-09-06
FORTFortaEthereum0.3080.28386-7.84%0.2418-21.49%0.0694✓1.10300k2022-09-06
UNIUniswapEthereum8.7848.0981-7.81%5.829-33.64%0.0398✓1.389.9M2022-09-06
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.56360.520219-7.70%0.3016-46.49%0.2690✓1.32232k2022-09-06
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0011930.001101-7.69%0.001265+6.09%0.3870✗1.181.3M2022-09-06
BFCBifrostEthereum0.083860.077423-7.68%0.06801-18.90%0.1443✗1.3129k2022-09-06
CHZChilizEthereum0.15130.139764-7.62%0.185+22.27%0.4929✗1.011.1M2022-09-06
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07350.067904-7.61%0.0558-24.08%0.0006✓0.94158k2022-09-06
RADRadworksEthereum2.482.2921-7.58%2.26-8.87%0.2118✗1.08507k2022-09-06
GMTGMTEthereum0.9310.860881-7.53%0.6322-32.09%0.0292✓1.61462k2022-09-06
APEApeCoinEthereum7.2086.6692-7.47%4.301-40.33%0.1038✓1.6011.9M2022-09-06
AAVEAaveEthereum101.3193.7515-7.46%83.58-17.50%0.2270✗1.639.9M2022-09-06
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5510.510928-7.27%0.399-27.59%0.0134✓1.1114k2022-09-06
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.948.2914-7.25%8.6-3.80%0.1093✗0.351.8M2022-09-06
COMPCompoundEthereum63.8559.2367-7.23%45.35-28.97%0.0206✓1.3738k2022-09-06
XVSVenusEthereum6.846.3463-7.22%4.52-33.92%0.0739✓1.271.4M2022-09-06
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.11241.0324-7.19%–pending––1.1013k2022-09-06
CELLCellframeEthereum0.46930.435821-7.13%0.296-36.93%0.1490✓1.1380k2022-09-06
HIVEHivenative0.59910.556548-7.10%0.5213-12.99%0.1699✗1.122.1M2022-09-06
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1473.8553-7.03%4.174+0.65%0.1788✗0.471.9M2022-09-06
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.034360.031966-6.97%0.01917-44.21%0.2359✓1.3113.9M2022-09-06
CTSICartesiEthereum0.17580.163594-6.94%0.1307-25.65%0.0193✓1.16529k2022-09-06
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.7135.1022-6.92%34.44-8.67%0.2810✗1.4313.0M2022-09-06
ETHEthereumEthereum1,700.421,582.84-6.91%1,559.28-8.30%0.2615✗1.32407.7M2022-09-06
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0022850.002128-6.89%0.001603-29.85%0.0733✓1.001.2M2022-09-06
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.47363.2347-6.88%6.6193+90.56%0.8709✗0.741.7M2022-09-06
BANDBandEthereum1.8091.6849-6.86%1.182-34.66%0.0614✓1.40371k2022-09-06
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9981.8633-6.74%1.395-30.18%0.0008✓1.38234k2022-09-06
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.033020.030806-6.70%0.03333+0.94%0.3253✗1.1814k2022-09-06
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.40241.3086-6.69%1.0359-26.13%0.0845✗1.526.4M2022-09-06
DIADIAEthereum0.475240.443565-6.67%0.36615-22.95%0.0510✓0.6770k2022-09-06
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.0123.7469-6.61%2.889-27.99%0.0827✓0.85976k2022-09-06
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.7928.2351-6.33%5.599-36.32%0.1786✓0.994.0M2022-09-06
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.347.8144-6.30%6.659-20.16%0.0948✗1.2116.7M2022-09-06
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.8815.8163-6.30%14.19-15.94%0.1779✗1.372.6M2022-09-06
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.7411.0097-6.22%9.48-19.25%0.1038✗1.21263k2022-09-06
WOOWOOEthereum0.25510.239268-6.21%0.1524-40.26%0.1857✓1.271,5612022-09-06
GITCOINGITCOIN3.05572.8677-6.15%2.136-30.10%0.0156✓1.4813k2022-09-06
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0583.8087-6.14%3.962-2.37%0.1610✗0.581.6M2022-09-06
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017880.016793-6.08%0.01183-33.84%0.1877✓0.78175k2022-09-06
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.37410.6843-6.06%11.775+3.53%0.3712✗1.3113.7M2022-09-06
FLOWFlownative2.6242.4654-6.05%1.772-32.47%0.0640✓1.27505k2022-09-06
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8710.818485-6.03%0.614-29.51%0.0696✗1.704.3M2022-09-06
SUSHISushiEthereum1.51.4098-6.01%1.1464-23.57%0.0838✗1.391.2M2022-09-06
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06430.060436-6.01%0.0453-29.55%0.0273✓1.24799k2022-09-06
COTICOTIEthereum0.11920.11219-5.88%0.0892-25.17%0.0224✓1.20529k2022-09-06
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.775.4319-5.86%6.09+5.55%0.2218✗0.51964k2022-09-06
KSMKusamaHydration65.4261.7825-5.56%45.56-30.36%0.0655✓1.14419k2022-09-06
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.655.3404-5.48%5.2-7.96%0.0840✗0.532.1M2022-09-06
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.062.8945-5.41%2.1-31.37%0.0211✓1.43234k2022-09-06
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8580.811653-5.40%0.624-27.27%0.0169✓1.17246k2022-09-06
XEMNEMnative0.0515510.04877-5.40%0.041181-20.12%0.0588✗1.0937k2022-09-06
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.372.2425-5.38%1.457-38.52%0.1584✓1.30160k2022-09-06
LRCLoopringEthereum0.48060.455147-5.30%0.3263-32.11%0.0609✓1.30155k2022-09-06
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.66390.629684-5.15%0.5082-23.45%0.0115✓1.08726k2022-09-06
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.122.9595-5.14%1.96-37.18%0.3067✓0.50116k2022-09-06
STORJStorjEthereum0.688430.653135-5.13%0.5036-26.85%0.0485✓1.4769k2022-09-06
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4660.442279-5.09%0.431-7.51%0.2944✗1.53207k2022-09-06
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3191.253-5.00%0.8793-33.34%0.0939✓1.241.1M2022-09-06
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0198730.018893-4.93%0.025115+26.38%0.3472✗0.30173k2022-09-06
QTUMQtumQtum4.09193.8916-4.90%2.9851-27.05%0.0385✓1.0853k2022-09-06
IMXImmutableEthereum1.13871.0836-4.84%0.7744-31.99%0.0500✓1.361.7M2022-09-06
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.811.7229-4.81%1.23-32.04%0.0732✓1.26132k2022-09-06
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.045.7503-4.80%6.26+3.64%0.2081✗0.59887k2022-09-06
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4251.3568-4.79%1.103-22.60%0.0488✓1.222.5M2022-09-06
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.079690.075907-4.75%0.06355-20.25%0.0244✓0.738502022-09-06
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.4917.6135-4.74%13.11-29.10%0.0222✓1.301.4M2022-09-06
BORABORAKlay Token0.358150.341306-4.70%0.26857-25.01%0.0224✓1.2513k2022-09-06
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8070.770337-4.54%0.608-24.66%0.0436✓0.92380k2022-09-06
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.57481.5035-4.53%1.6782+6.57%0.4028✗1.40619k2022-09-06
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.7922.6669-4.48%1.774-36.46%0.0352✓1.78126k2022-09-06
UMAUMAEthereum3.0332.8981-4.45%2.544-16.12%0.0846✗1.02585k2022-09-06
XTZTezosTezos1.8881.8045-4.42%1.433-24.10%0.0214✓1.20530k2022-09-06
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23920.228697-4.39%0.2009-16.01%0.1871✗1.5189k2022-09-06
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08930.085413-4.35%0.0592-33.71%0.1324✓1.12124k2022-09-06
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6820.653017-4.25%0.482-29.33%0.0210✓1.3590k2022-09-06
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.98842.8626-4.21%4.417+47.80%0.6104✗0.841.2M2022-09-06
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.177350.169909-4.20%0.13097-26.15%0.0597✗1.53207k2022-09-06
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34310.328817-4.16%0.2593-24.42%0.0001✓1.133.6M2022-09-06
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7982.6817-4.16%1.947-30.41%0.0302✓1.3848k2022-09-06
C98Coin98Ethereum0.58870.564309-4.14%0.3885-34.01%0.1372✓1.1346k2022-09-06
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.16631.1183-4.11%0.938-19.57%0.0058✓0.814.1M2022-09-06
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.04391.001-4.11%1.0186-2.42%0.2459✗1.09933k2022-09-06
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.6854.5011-3.92%11.915+154.32%1.0637✗0.431.2M2022-09-06
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV61.87859.4695-3.89%49.549-19.92%0.0162✓0.79306k2022-09-06
FISStafiEthereum0.39040.375219-3.89%0.3-23.16%0.0268✓0.941492022-09-06
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.42e-73.29e-7-3.87%7.89e-7+130.63%1.0607✗0.88150k2022-09-06
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009060.008712-3.84%0.00747-17.55%0.1013✗1.22421k2022-09-06
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3544730.340884-3.83%0.272462-23.14%0.0292✓1.211.0M2022-09-06
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.80e-79.43e-7-3.81%8.70e-7-11.22%0.0707✗0.7225k2022-09-06
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017290.001663-3.80%0.001469-15.04%0.0758✗0.958,9342022-09-06
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15880.152811-3.77%0.1271-19.96%0.0085✓0.843.6M2022-09-06
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25950.25001-3.66%0.1963-24.35%0.0007✓1.1698k2022-09-06
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05440.052432-3.62%0.0433-20.40%0.0612✗1.20256k2022-09-06
API3Api3Ethereum2.0892.0139-3.60%1.597-23.55%0.0038✓1.12606k2022-09-06
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0034230.003301-3.56%0.002767-19.16%0.0240✓0.961.0M2022-09-06
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0234910.022665-3.51%0.019706-16.11%0.0594✗0.9512k2022-09-06
NANOnanopayBase1.05491.0183-3.47%0.84826-19.59%0.0034✓0.8951k2022-09-06
STEEMSteemnative0.25950.250608-3.43%0.2072-20.15%0.0382✗1.09766k2022-09-06
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0159520.015412-3.39%0.012145-23.87%0.0637✓0.832.1M2022-09-06
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012020.000011621-3.32%0.00001199-0.25%0.2686✗1.13926k2022-09-06
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12830.124061-3.30%0.0977-23.85%0.0463✗1.362.9M2022-09-06
SOLSolanaSolana40.6239.2817-3.29%30.87-24.00%0.0417✗1.3579.4M2022-09-06
DASHDashDash53.3551.5996-3.28%42.68-20.00%0.0365✗1.08552k2022-09-06
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.1090.105432-3.27%0.1124+3.12%0.2248✗0.77163k2022-09-06
AVTAventusEthereum1.571.5187-3.27%1.47-6.37%0.0172✓0.24207k2022-09-06
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12640.122385-3.18%0.1014-19.78%0.0220✓1.00398k2022-09-06
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.35590.344801-3.12%0.2855-19.78%0.0354✗1.078.2M2022-09-06
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13740.133127-3.11%0.116-15.57%0.1144✗1.2061k2022-09-06
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.33262.2624-3.01%1.6996-27.14%0.0415✓1.1738k2022-09-06
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.045810.044439-2.99%0.03561-22.27%0.0278✓0.922,3482022-09-06
ADACardanoCardano0.52770.512053-2.97%0.4626-12.34%0.1406✗1.1539.5M2022-09-06
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7590.736507-2.96%0.475-37.42%0.1358✓1.44135k2022-09-06
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085320.082813-2.94%0.07402-13.24%0.0557✓0.271.1M2022-09-06
XMRMoneroMonero164.87160.0766-2.91%144.79-12.18%0.1188✗1.041.1M2022-09-06
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.6578.4123-2.83%6.874-20.60%0.0441✗1.1711.0M2022-09-06
DKAdKargoEthereum0.053780.052305-2.74%0.04195-22.00%0.0392✓0.8616k2022-09-06
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010460.010175-2.72%0.00852-18.55%0.0159✓0.925.1M2022-09-06
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10470.101862-2.71%0.0785-25.02%0.0221✓1.145,6912022-09-06
XECeCashnative0.000045320.000044124-2.64%0.00004054-10.55%0.1408✗1.081.8M2022-09-06
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1111.0826-2.56%0.94-15.39%0.0153✓0.602.1M2022-09-06
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash140.98137.4876-2.48%112.17-20.44%0.0437✗1.184.7M2022-09-06
XVGVergenative0.003740.003655-2.27%0.00295-21.12%0.0518✗1.27534k2022-09-06
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07940.077649-2.21%0.0605-23.80%0.0117✓1.131.3M2022-09-06
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,177.3922,666.84-2.20%18,790.91-18.93%0.0223✓1.00414.2M2022-09-06
BTTCBTTC9.70e-79.49e-7-2.19%8.70e-7-10.31%0.0876✗0.836.0M2022-09-06
GLMGolemEthereum0.27110.265347-2.12%0.2232-17.67%0.0518✗1.0765k2022-09-06
LTCLitecoinLitecoin61.1259.8552-2.07%54.12-11.45%0.1319✗1.1113.5M2022-09-06
XYMSymbolnative0.0550550.053923-2.06%0.040185-27.01%0.1699✓0.5926k2022-09-06
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.427190.418548-2.02%0.31667-25.87%0.0105✓1.28507k2022-09-06
MANADecentralandEthereum1.05961.0382-2.02%0.73689-30.45%0.0809✓1.25532k2022-09-06
CBKCobakEthereum1.16571.1427-1.97%0.80255-31.15%0.1265✓1.0812k2022-09-06
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12940.126976-1.87%0.0961-25.73%0.0585✓1.054,5002022-09-06
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7510.737356-1.82%0.907+20.77%0.4720✗1.26963k2022-09-06
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.43380.426562-1.67%0.31421-27.57%0.0669✓1.14124k2022-09-06
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.59270.58336-1.58%0.4434-25.19%0.0314✓1.16303k2022-09-06
ASTRAstarEthereum0.05120.05041-1.54%0.0358-30.08%0.0802✓1.2510k2022-09-06
STXStacksnative0.49070.48344-1.48%0.3401-30.69%0.0974✓1.21808k2022-09-06
GALAGALAEthereum0.06060.059768-1.37%0.0473-21.95%0.0462✗1.34179k2022-09-06
LCXLCXEthereum0.06050.059686-1.35%0.052-14.05%0.1591✗1.42339k2022-09-06
UOSUltraEthereum0.316950.312745-1.33%0.33208+4.77%0.2698✗1.00366k2022-09-06
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3390.334757-1.25%0.25-26.25%0.0794✓1.011.1M2022-09-06
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4582.4305-1.12%3.885+58.06%0.6554✗0.8992k2022-09-06
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26140.258685-1.04%0.1539-41.12%0.5166✓0.0131k2022-09-06
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0063310.006268-1.00%0.006199-2.08%0.0957✗0.5148k2022-09-06
KCSKuCoinnative10.60210.498-0.98%9.033-14.80%0.0774✗1.091.9M2022-09-06
ZENHorizenBase19.1718.9915-0.93%14.54-24.15%0.0054✓1.30118k2022-09-06
FTTFTXEthereum30.6730.3852-0.93%25.64-16.40%0.0301✗0.959.1M2022-09-06
XLMStellarStellar0.1238730.122765-0.89%0.099872-19.38%0.0020✓0.977.0M2022-09-06
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.031720.031462-0.81%0.02333-26.45%0.0280✓1.291,3502022-09-06
SCSiacoinnative0.004710.004672-0.81%0.00379-19.53%0.0543✗1.26102k2022-09-06
GTGateEthereum4.76024.7231-0.78%3.9648-16.71%0.0149✓0.76887k2022-09-06
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21460.213319-0.60%0.1824-15.00%0.1398✗1.411,1742022-09-06
ZECZcashZcash70.2670.0022-0.37%57.93-17.55%0.0678✗1.231.8M2022-09-06
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2250.225541+0.24%0.15955-29.09%0.0488✗1.42703k2022-09-06
LSKLiskEthereum1.21621.2221+0.48%0.977259-19.65%0.0086✗1.0243k2022-09-06
SUNSun TokenTron0.0064750.006593+1.83%0.005724-11.60%0.0233✓0.784,5222022-09-06
AMPAmpEthereum0.008370.008533+1.95%0.00551-34.17%0.2784✗0.761.6M2022-09-06
TRXTRONTron0.0696580.071152+2.14%0.060766-12.77%0.0288✗0.61279k2022-09-06
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,110.7023,628.40+2.24%18,917.90-18.14%0.0167✓0.9812k2022-09-06
PROPropyEthereum0.840.85943+2.31%0.71-15.48%0.0697✗0.5878k2022-09-06
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.068960.070606+2.39%0.058897-14.59%0.0560✓1.131.6M2022-09-06
CVCCivicEthereum0.16180.166268+2.76%0.1322-18.29%0.0150✓1.16102k2022-09-06
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.8995.2343+6.84%5.1426+4.97%0.0197✓0.18234k2022-09-06
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.