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2022-08-06 · +30d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1769
183 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-1.45%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
54.6%
in alpha space · 78.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-13.79%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.955.3023+7.12%5.0514+2.05%0.0227✓0.17228k2022-09-05
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0686410.071131+3.63%0.062695-8.66%0.0487✓1.181.6M2022-09-05
AMPAmpEthereum0.008340.008622+3.38%0.00599-28.18%0.2285✗0.911.6M2022-09-05
TRXTRONTron0.069510.071708+3.16%0.062937-9.46%0.0251✓0.71327k2022-09-05
CVCCivicEthereum0.16260.167727+3.15%0.1448-10.95%0.0378✓1.25102k2022-09-05
SUNSun TokenTron0.0063240.006496+2.71%0.00602-4.80%0.0517✓0.864,5222022-09-05
LSKLiskEthereum1.19371.2102+1.38%1.0444-12.51%0.0091✓1.0543k2022-09-05
ZECZcashZcash67.6568.5429+1.32%63.41-6.27%0.1104✓1.271.7M2022-09-05
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2230.22516+0.97%0.173-22.42%0.0403✗1.50716k2022-09-05
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,221.9023,407.37+0.80%19,866.30-14.45%0.0189✗0.9812k2022-09-05
KCSKuCoinnative10.50110.579+0.74%9.414-10.35%0.0470✓1.102.0M2022-09-05
PROPropyEthereum0.920.926495+0.71%0.72-21.74%0.1667✗0.5878k2022-09-05
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.07740.077799+0.52%0.1303+68.35%0.6241✓0.73159k2022-09-05
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.57290.575244+0.41%0.4722-17.58%0.0269✗1.15318k2022-09-05
SCSiacoinnative0.004680.004697+0.35%0.00402-14.10%0.0388✓1.31112k2022-09-05
GALAGALAEthereum0.06010.060134+0.06%0.0508-15.47%0.0382✓1.39179k2022-09-05
XLMStellarStellar0.1219030.121942+0.03%0.10507-13.81%0.0020✗0.997.0M2022-09-05
GTGateEthereum4.77754.7747-0.06%4.0071-16.13%0.0640✓0.75908k2022-09-05
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0064590.006454-0.07%0.00635-1.69%0.0571✗0.4944k2022-09-05
FTTFTXEthereum30.3930.3369-0.17%26.62-12.41%0.0108✗0.959.4M2022-09-05
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.031370.031305-0.21%0.02511-19.96%0.0287✓1.291,3502022-09-05
UOSUltraEthereum0.316260.315407-0.27%0.35+10.67%0.2692✗1.11366k2022-09-05
ASTRAstarEthereum0.05050.050353-0.29%0.0367-27.33%0.1245✓1.2910k2022-09-05
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21550.214647-0.40%0.1872-13.13%0.0733✗1.421,2762022-09-05
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7490.746025-0.40%1.044+39.39%0.5173✗1.22963k2022-09-05
STXStacksnative0.48450.48201-0.51%0.3681-24.02%0.0858✓1.24808k2022-09-05
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.452.4354-0.60%4.075+66.33%0.6473✗0.8992k2022-09-05
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3390.336843-0.64%0.271-20.06%0.0648✓1.031.1M2022-09-05
LCXLCXEthereum0.06040.059857-0.90%0.0558-7.62%0.1389✗1.41350k2022-09-05
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.430780.426453-1.00%0.34064-20.92%0.0472✓1.20124k2022-09-05
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26130.258564-1.05%0.1628-37.70%0.4607✓0.0131k2022-09-05
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10140.100334-1.05%0.0818-19.33%0.0254✓1.205,6912022-09-05
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07440.073585-1.09%0.0625-15.99%0.0000✓1.101.1M2022-09-05
ZENHorizenBase19.2719.0566-1.11%16.1-16.45%0.0339✗1.36118k2022-09-05
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.412090.407317-1.16%0.35378-14.15%0.0631✗1.38507k2022-09-05
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12980.128285-1.17%0.1025-21.03%0.0766✓1.004,7012022-09-05
XVGVergenative0.00370.003653-1.26%0.00309-16.49%0.0247✗1.30551k2022-09-05
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,960.9322,665.02-1.29%19,794.58-13.79%0.0130✗1.00427.9M2022-09-05
BTTCBTTC9.70e-79.57e-7-1.37%8.90e-7-8.25%0.0527✗0.846.1M2022-09-05
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010060.009922-1.37%0.00891-11.43%0.0235✗0.885.2M2022-09-05
MANADecentralandEthereum1.04721.0321-1.44%0.7895-24.61%0.0735✓1.31532k2022-09-05
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.8459.9594-1.45%60.36-0.79%0.1799✗1.1713.5M2022-09-05
XYMSymbolnative0.054630.053783-1.55%0.041483-24.07%0.1756✓0.5725k2022-09-05
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash141.34139.0102-1.65%125.75-11.03%0.0790✗1.214.7M2022-09-05
GLMGolemEthereum0.27080.266327-1.65%0.2373-12.37%0.0489✗1.1165k2022-09-05
XECeCashnative0.000044740.000043951-1.76%0.00004372-2.28%0.1679✗1.171.9M2022-09-05
CBKCobakEthereum1.15881.1378-1.81%0.85582-26.15%0.1217✓1.1012k2022-09-05
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.5248.3677-1.83%7.368-13.56%0.0559✗1.2311.0M2022-09-05
XMRMoneroMonero160.51157.2201-2.05%157.52-1.86%0.1688✗1.121.1M2022-09-05
ADACardanoCardano0.51140.500573-2.12%0.4987-2.48%0.1752✗1.2140.5M2022-09-05
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34920.341526-2.20%0.3046-12.77%0.0565✗1.158.2M2022-09-05
DASHDashDash52.5751.3634-2.30%47.59-9.47%0.0882✗1.11574k2022-09-05
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7690.750727-2.38%0.522-32.12%0.1451✓1.47135k2022-09-05
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0032410.003164-2.39%0.002935-9.44%0.0738✗1.001.0M2022-09-05
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12120.118297-2.40%0.104-14.19%0.0318✗1.08370k2022-09-05
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0158910.015499-2.47%0.013125-17.41%0.0322✓0.902.1M2022-09-05
DKAdKargoEthereum0.055230.053855-2.49%0.0442-19.97%0.0673✓0.8816k2022-09-05
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.169290.165039-2.51%0.13844-18.22%0.0542✗1.55212k2022-09-05
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12780.12457-2.53%0.104-18.62%0.0278✗1.402.9M2022-09-05
NANOnanopayBase1.04631.0198-2.53%0.898557-14.12%0.0131✓0.9458k2022-09-05
SOLSolanaSolana40.0739.0503-2.54%32.18-19.69%0.0095✓1.3780.8M2022-09-05
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.08640.084193-2.55%0.07583-12.23%0.0642✓0.271.1M2022-09-05
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011950.000011632-2.66%0.00001261+5.52%0.2650✗1.24934k2022-09-05
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017090.001662-2.75%0.001468-14.10%0.0287✗1.039,0932022-09-05
LRCLoopringEthereum0.43530.422887-2.85%0.355-18.45%0.0201✓1.31134k2022-09-05
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25860.251081-2.91%0.2097-18.91%0.0012✓1.2299k2022-09-05
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008850.008587-2.97%0.00785-11.30%0.0986✗1.27392k2022-09-05
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13850.134376-2.98%0.1229-11.26%0.0978✗1.2661k2022-09-05
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023020.022332-2.99%0.02235-2.91%0.1509✗1.01159k2022-09-05
STEEMSteemnative0.25780.249852-3.08%0.222-13.89%0.0562✗1.17768k2022-09-05
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.046510.045076-3.08%0.03742-19.54%0.0474✓0.932,3002022-09-05
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.33962.2668-3.11%1.8663-20.23%0.0144✓1.2137k2022-09-05
AVTAventusEthereum1.531.4818-3.15%1.45-5.23%0.0217✓0.29242k2022-09-05
C98Coin98Ethereum0.56940.551249-3.19%0.4308-24.34%0.0800✓1.1246k2022-09-05
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15840.153231-3.26%0.1447-8.65%0.0855✗0.963.6M2022-09-05
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1781.1389-3.32%1.056-10.36%0.0185✓0.632.1M2022-09-05
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3534720.341709-3.33%0.298688-15.50%0.0536✗1.271.0M2022-09-05
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0232040.022425-3.36%0.020653-10.99%0.0602✗0.9612k2022-09-05
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05470.052785-3.50%0.0446-18.46%0.0218✓1.28269k2022-09-05
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.37e-73.25e-7-3.50%8.55e-7+153.78%1.1106✗0.97153k2022-09-05
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.6982.6023-3.55%1.916-28.98%0.0453✓1.76118k2022-09-05
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.077790.075029-3.55%0.06802-12.56%0.0101✓0.739072022-09-05
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6780.653881-3.56%0.533-21.39%0.0030✓1.4090k2022-09-05
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08690.083796-3.57%0.0559-35.67%0.2322✓1.16126k2022-09-05
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.6564.4884-3.60%13.008+179.38%1.1464✗0.551.3M2022-09-05
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.70e-79.35e-7-3.60%8.90e-7-8.25%0.0570✗0.7225k2022-09-05
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV61.42459.2022-3.62%53.71-12.56%0.0272✓0.84321k2022-09-05
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23530.226724-3.64%0.209-11.18%0.1367✗1.4789k2022-09-05
API3Api3Ethereum2.1192.0407-3.69%1.69-20.25%0.0004✓1.27619k2022-09-05
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.97582.8653-3.71%4.9518+66.40%0.6919✗0.981.2M2022-09-05
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.55891.5003-3.76%1.6684+7.02%0.3120✗1.39619k2022-09-05
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34110.328162-3.79%0.2822-17.27%0.0222✓1.173.6M2022-09-05
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.9417.2537-3.83%14.28-20.40%0.0091✓1.341.3M2022-09-05
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.762.6543-3.83%2.117-23.30%0.0129✓1.4447k2022-09-05
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.12.9785-3.92%1.97-36.45%0.3390✓0.50116k2022-09-05
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8080.776267-3.93%0.662-18.07%0.0060✓1.03390k2022-09-05
XTZTezosTezos1.87771.8035-3.95%1.546-17.67%0.0360✓1.28530k2022-09-05
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.6520.625772-4.02%0.5193-20.35%0.0148✓1.16755k2022-09-05
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.16681.1185-4.14%0.9784-16.15%0.0065✓0.864.1M2022-09-05
UMAUMAEthereum3.0342.9072-4.18%2.722-10.28%0.1015✗1.13572k2022-09-05
QTUMQtumQtum4.12753.952-4.25%3.3484-18.88%0.0053✓1.0853k2022-09-05
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8350.79796-4.44%0.663-20.60%0.0051✓1.21241k2022-09-05
IMXImmutableEthereum1.12911.0784-4.49%0.8473-24.96%0.0374✓1.371.5M2022-09-05
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.321.2604-4.52%0.9577-27.45%0.0903✓1.241.1M2022-09-05
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.09451.045-4.52%1.1375+3.93%0.2551✗1.151.0M2022-09-05
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.431.3653-4.53%1.17-18.18%0.0335✓1.272.5M2022-09-05
BORABORAKlay Token0.360270.343945-4.53%0.28593-20.63%0.0067✓1.2913k2022-09-05
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.45280.432194-4.55%0.3741-17.38%0.0753✗1.48242k2022-09-05
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.115.8193-4.76%6.72+9.98%0.2434✗0.67754k2022-09-05
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.831.7417-4.82%1.37-25.14%0.0432✓1.33129k2022-09-05
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.7947.4104-4.92%7.382-5.29%0.1833✗1.2616.9M2022-09-05
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.032.88-4.95%2.34-22.77%0.0179✓1.52234k2022-09-05
COTICOTIEthereum0.11410.108344-5.04%0.0939-17.70%0.0441✓1.26505k2022-09-05
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0202380.019211-5.07%0.025549+26.24%0.3443✗0.40173k2022-09-05
STORJStorjEthereum0.691750.656628-5.08%0.55546-19.70%0.0570✗1.5178k2022-09-05
XEMNEMnative0.0518040.049119-5.18%0.043718-15.61%0.0610✗1.2037k2022-09-05
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.63210.078-5.21%12.633+18.82%0.4274✗1.3613.0M2022-09-05
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.3662.2417-5.25%1.573-33.52%0.1421✓1.43169k2022-09-05
FLOWFlownative2.572.4319-5.37%1.919-25.33%0.0487✓1.27466k2022-09-05
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.655.3458-5.38%5.7+0.88%0.1543✗0.611.5M2022-09-05
KSMKusamaHydration66.4162.7755-5.47%51.33-22.71%0.0284✓1.16419k2022-09-05
CELLCellframeEthereum0.43230.408496-5.51%0.3145-27.25%0.0859✓1.1880k2022-09-05
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06470.061103-5.56%0.0496-23.34%0.0168✓1.29803k2022-09-05
SUSHISushiEthereum1.511.4254-5.60%1.2398-17.89%0.0699✗1.411.2M2022-09-05
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017710.016716-5.61%0.01272-28.18%0.1507✓0.83176k2022-09-05
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.755.4223-5.70%6.64+15.48%0.2902✗0.59878k2022-09-05
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9613.7345-5.72%4.31+8.81%0.2458✗0.691.5M2022-09-05
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.6310.9632-5.73%10.8-7.14%0.1644✗1.21290k2022-09-05
GITCOINGITCOIN3.00292.8249-5.93%2.3084-23.13%0.0295✓1.5613k2022-09-05
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.9315.923-5.95%14.53-14.18%0.1175✗1.412.6M2022-09-05
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0011170.001049-6.03%0.00133+19.14%0.4219✗1.241.3M2022-09-05
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8710.818342-6.05%0.676-22.39%0.0678✗1.744.4M2022-09-05
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.37331.288-6.21%1.1527-16.06%0.1162✗1.536.4M2022-09-05
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.9663.7188-6.23%2.972-25.06%0.0979✓0.85976k2022-09-05
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.002210.002072-6.26%0.001564-29.23%0.1328✓1.001.1M2022-09-05
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9931.8672-6.31%1.465-26.49%0.0351✓1.40253k2022-09-05
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.032650.030586-6.32%0.03562+9.10%0.3355✗1.2314k2022-09-05
ETHEthereumEthereum1,690.811,583.71-6.33%1,618.01-4.31%0.2124✗1.29407.7M2022-09-05
DIADIAEthereum0.472490.442529-6.34%0.38052-19.46%0.0387✓0.7670k2022-09-05
BANDBandEthereum1.8281.7102-6.44%1.307-28.50%0.0560✓1.43371k2022-09-05
HIVEHivenative0.58410.546397-6.45%0.5388-7.76%0.1607✗1.182.1M2022-09-05
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.44783.2239-6.49%7.2089+109.09%0.9346✗0.871.6M2022-09-05
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.888.2992-6.54%9.21+3.72%0.1750✗0.481.8M2022-09-05
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.835.291-6.64%39.67+4.95%0.3279✗1.4213.0M2022-09-05
XVSVenusEthereum6.626.1758-6.71%4.93-25.53%0.0204✓1.381.4M2022-09-05
CHZChilizEthereum0.14620.136327-6.75%0.2073+41.79%0.5790✗1.081.0M2022-09-05
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5490.511913-6.76%–pending––1.1516k2022-09-05
CTSICartesiEthereum0.17430.162458-6.79%0.1398-19.79%0.0362✓1.26529k2022-09-05
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.0710.066166-6.81%0.0571-19.58%0.0095✓0.93158k2022-09-05
FILFilecoinFilecoin9.4458.8011-6.82%6.141-34.98%0.2056✓1.043.3M2022-09-05
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0413.7641-6.85%4.501+11.38%0.2641✗0.571.9M2022-09-05
AAVEAaveEthereum99.0892.2823-6.86%91.3-7.85%0.2360✗1.6610.0M2022-09-05
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.10841.03-7.07%–pending––1.0413k2022-09-05
WOOWOOEthereum0.26450.245716-7.10%0.1562-40.95%0.2592✓1.311,5612022-09-05
GMTGMTEthereum0.9230.85613-7.24%0.6925-24.97%0.0543✓1.80469k2022-09-05
APEApeCoinEthereum7.2646.7374-7.25%4.75-34.61%0.0951✓1.7111.9M2022-09-05
COMPCompoundEthereum65.0560.3162-7.28%48.36-25.66%0.0117✓1.4138k2022-09-05
METISMetisEthereum41.2338.2241-7.29%30.53-25.95%0.0521✓1.87293k2022-09-05
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.035250.032673-7.31%0.02134-39.46%0.2106✓1.4513.9M2022-09-05
RADRadworksEthereum2.512.3264-7.32%2.31-7.97%0.1518✗1.07507k2022-09-05
UNIUniswapEthereum8.788.1247-7.46%6.576-25.10%0.0050✓1.399.9M2022-09-05
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.56690.523849-7.59%0.307-45.85%0.3385✓1.32234k2022-09-05
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.034.642-7.71%4.72-6.16%0.1208✗0.701.3M2022-09-05
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.198360.18279-7.85%0.158-20.35%0.1946✗2.291,1202022-09-05
FORTFortaEthereum0.3130.288407-7.86%0.2337-25.34%0.0476✓1.10300k2022-09-05
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche26.6424.5371-7.89%19.44-27.03%0.0013✓1.5827.5M2022-09-05
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.5835.1397-7.94%6.361+13.94%0.2901✗0.522.6M2022-09-05
BFCBifrostEthereum0.086090.079254-7.94%0.07261-15.66%0.1132✗1.3529k2022-09-05
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04440.040852-7.99%0.0367-17.34%0.0761✓1.2376k2022-09-05
ORCAOrcaSolana0.98850.909412-8.00%0.8257-16.47%0.1527✗1.68296k2022-09-05
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.2857.6008-8.26%6.734-18.72%0.0615✓1.236.9M2022-09-05
OPTIMOptimism1.9011.7429-8.31%1.199-36.93%0.0844✓1.953.1M2022-09-05
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.085850.078379-8.70%0.06402-25.43%0.0179✓1.481.1M2022-09-05
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.21032.928-8.79%7.3781+129.83%1.0367✗0.761.2M2022-09-05
ELAElastosEthereum2.2792.0779-8.82%1.752-23.12%0.0032✓1.13219k2022-09-05
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8020.726624-9.40%0.487-39.28%0.1833✓1.462,7912022-09-05
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.2743.8688-9.48%3.005-29.69%0.0065✓1.755.2M2022-09-05
TRBTellor TributesEthereum31.7328.6844-9.60%18.31-42.29%0.2429✓1.39949k2022-09-05
LUNATerraTerra 20.000100020.000090262-9.76%0.00040493+304.85%1.8119✗2.10480k2022-09-05
MOVRMoonriverBase18.505916.5543-10.55%12.9054-30.26%0.0816✓1.1353k2022-09-05
DODODODOEthereum0.18050.161193-10.70%0.1279-29.14%0.0474✓1.243.3M2022-09-05
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.6319.3023-10.76%17.32-19.93%0.0141✓0.832.6M2022-09-05
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.69.4001-11.32%7.53-28.96%0.0128✓1.41358k2022-09-05
QNTQuantEthereum120.14106.4354-11.41%93.14-22.47%0.0112✓0.974.5M2022-09-05
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,723.9310,319.28-11.98%9,493.61-19.02%0.1319✗1.454.9M2022-09-05
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.