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2022-08-01 · +30d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1444
184 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+5.85%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
57.1%
in alpha space · 52.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-13.86%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
SUNSun TokenTron0.0063210.006909+9.30%0.005668-10.32%0.0636✓0.909,1592022-08-31
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.55740.606442+8.80%0.4594-17.58%0.1076✗1.14341k2022-08-31
ZECZcashZcash62.8768.0865+8.30%59.88-4.76%0.0583✓1.251.5M2022-08-31
AMPAmpEthereum0.008420.009076+7.79%0.00619-26.48%0.2463✗0.911.6M2022-08-31
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.195.5849+7.61%5.8014+11.78%0.0692✓0.21210k2022-08-31
CVCCivicEthereum0.16470.176811+7.35%0.1445-12.26%0.0164✓1.2494k2022-08-31
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09510.101927+7.18%0.0821-13.67%0.0365✓1.216,7862022-08-31
KCSKuCoinnative9.96310.6751+7.15%9.001-9.66%0.0089✓1.082.1M2022-08-31
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0687210.073615+7.12%0.061277-10.83%0.0121✓1.151.7M2022-08-31
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07050.075422+6.98%0.0622-11.77%0.0322✓1.08567k2022-08-31
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04830.05162+6.87%0.0357-26.09%0.1682✗1.347,6872022-08-31
TRXTRONTron0.0699720.074773+6.86%0.063428-9.35%0.0486✓0.78373k2022-08-31
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7270.776305+6.78%1.078+48.28%0.5094✓1.21806k2022-08-31
STXStacksnative0.46130.489432+6.10%0.365-20.88%0.1075✗1.25778k2022-08-31
PROPropyEthereum0.780.827065+6.03%0.73-6.41%0.0346✓0.6179k2022-08-31
LRCLoopringEthereum0.42390.447324+5.53%0.3513-17.13%0.0435✓1.33127k2022-08-31
UOSUltraEthereum0.309120.326172+5.52%0.35+13.22%0.2449✓1.17398k2022-08-31
GTGateEthereum4.41644.6544+5.39%4.3008-2.62%0.0298✓0.73916k2022-08-31
LSKLiskEthereum1.2461.3075+4.94%1.0708-14.06%0.0411✓1.0643k2022-08-31
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.06410.06716+4.77%0.1161+81.12%0.6684✓0.81155k2022-08-31
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2210.23102+4.53%0.168-23.98%0.0926✗1.51821k2022-08-31
XLMStellarStellar0.1183040.123472+4.37%0.104365-11.78%0.0197✓0.996.8M2022-08-31
SCSiacoinnative0.004780.004985+4.28%0.00404-15.48%0.0138✓1.32112k2022-08-31
ZENHorizenBase18.1618.9243+4.21%15.53-14.48%0.0068✓1.37116k2022-08-31
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3350.349084+4.20%0.282-15.82%0.0595✗1.03959k2022-08-31
DASHDashDash49.7551.8087+4.14%44.55-10.45%0.0141✓1.11574k2022-08-31
GALAGALAEthereum0.06480.067464+4.11%0.0503-22.38%0.0791✗1.44154k2022-08-31
CELLCellframeEthereum0.32380.335488+3.61%0.3041-6.08%0.0727✓1.1576k2022-08-31
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016970.001757+3.56%0.00156-8.07%0.0333✓1.0211k2022-08-31
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash137.87142.7167+3.52%115.16-16.47%0.0368✗1.194.3M2022-08-31
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.030010.031017+3.35%0.02455-18.19%0.0390✗1.311,2932022-08-31
LCXLCXEthereum0.06020.062172+3.28%0.0577-4.15%0.1347✓1.40339k2022-08-31
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.188.444+3.23%7.033-14.02%0.0022✓1.2410.0M2022-08-31
BTTCBTTC9.70e-70.000001001+3.15%8.80e-7-9.28%0.0044✓0.836.4M2022-08-31
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0150170.015482+3.10%0.013176-12.26%0.0297✓0.881.6M2022-08-31
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7310.752509+2.94%0.528-27.77%0.1319✗1.4980k2022-08-31
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34240.352454+2.94%0.2885-15.74%0.0302✗1.147.7M2022-08-31
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.4761.1915+2.89%53.84-9.47%0.0445✓1.1613.6M2022-08-31
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,172.7023,820.17+2.79%19,990.40-13.73%0.0290✗0.9814k2022-08-31
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12550.128994+2.78%0.1003-20.08%0.1039✗0.994,9522022-08-31
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.41280.423959+2.70%0.31794-22.98%0.0797✗1.39583k2022-08-31
NANOnanopayBase1.01851.046+2.70%0.894603-12.16%0.0132✓0.9660k2022-08-31
XVGVergenative0.003750.003847+2.59%0.00335-10.67%0.0568✓1.31559k2022-08-31
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010210.010474+2.58%0.00858-15.96%0.0554✗0.974.7M2022-08-31
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12360.126645+2.46%0.1026-16.99%0.0045✓1.382.8M2022-08-31
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4352.4933+2.40%3.743+53.72%0.5434✓0.92105k2022-08-31
XECeCashnative0.000045140.000046219+2.39%0.00004452-1.37%0.1357✓1.161.9M2022-08-31
MANADecentralandEthereum1.01631.0381+2.14%0.77191-24.05%0.0989✗1.32525k2022-08-31
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006650.00679+2.11%0.006495-2.33%0.0360✓0.5438k2022-08-31
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,273.8623,716.65+1.90%20,048.26-13.86%0.0188✓1.00414.2M2022-08-31
FTTFTXEthereum30.7531.3141+1.83%26.73-13.07%0.0163✓0.9510.2M2022-08-31
ADACardanoCardano0.51280.521686+1.73%0.4458-13.07%0.0293✓1.2541.9M2022-08-31
CHRChromiaEthereum0.2070.210549+1.71%0.1824-11.88%0.0648✓1.401,1792022-08-31
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.419380.42599+1.58%0.33416-20.32%0.0620✗1.21118k2022-08-31
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.26812.2995+1.38%1.7939-20.91%0.0640✗1.2329k2022-08-31
STEEMSteemnative0.26570.269361+1.38%0.2291-13.77%0.0064✓1.13768k2022-08-31
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.26310.266622+1.34%0.2112-19.73%0.0497✗1.23101k2022-08-31
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14380.145662+1.29%0.1236-14.05%0.0273✓1.2859k2022-08-31
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.165410.167346+1.17%0.13698-17.19%0.0300✓1.54212k2022-08-31
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7720.779467+0.97%0.663-14.12%0.0146✗0.99377k2022-08-31
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011970.000012073+0.86%0.00001208+0.92%0.1845✓1.23986k2022-08-31
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.631.6435+0.83%1.31-19.63%0.0222✗1.37114k2022-08-31
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12070.121591+0.74%0.1033-14.42%0.0033✓1.07352k2022-08-31
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.5652.5828+0.69%1.915-25.34%0.0374✗1.7595k2022-08-31
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15410.15515+0.68%0.1324-14.08%0.0110✗0.993.5M2022-08-31
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23070.232211+0.65%0.2184-5.33%0.1599✓1.4897k2022-08-31
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.862.8786+0.65%2.15-24.83%0.0653✗1.52192k2022-08-31
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3627650.365092+0.64%0.29809-17.83%0.0091✗1.301.0M2022-08-31
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6460.649734+0.58%0.515-20.28%0.0230✗1.4088k2022-08-31
FLOWFlownative2.0252.0344+0.46%2.072+2.32%0.2081✓1.27415k2022-08-31
XYMSymbolnative0.0572340.057423+0.33%0.043128-24.65%0.1969✗0.6022k2022-08-31
C98Coin98Ethereum0.49660.497965+0.27%0.439-11.60%0.0411✓1.1247k2022-08-31
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.046180.046279+0.21%0.03845-16.74%0.0420✗0.962,3002022-08-31
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0032560.003263+0.21%0.002994-8.05%0.0659✓1.021.0M2022-08-31
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.3644.3715+0.17%13.005+198.01%1.1771✓0.581.2M2022-08-31
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.79682.8009+0.15%4.0516+44.87%0.5148✓0.981.0M2022-08-31
XMRMoneroMonero160.69160.7735+0.05%149.22-7.14%0.0912✓1.111.3M2022-08-31
GLMGolemEthereum0.2770.277014+0.00%0.2447-11.66%0.0366✓1.0867k2022-08-31
CTKShentuOsmosis1.081.0797-0.03%0.91-15.74%0.0664✓0.701.5M2022-08-31
CBKCobakEthereum1.19911.1981-0.08%0.89656-25.23%0.1260✓1.1010k2022-08-31
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.61960.618926-0.11%0.5054-18.43%0.0303✓1.16642k2022-08-31
XTZTezosTezos1.81991.8177-0.12%1.5108-16.98%0.0035✗1.26492k2022-08-31
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.29e-73.29e-7-0.17%9.25e-7+181.07%1.1783✗0.96178k2022-08-31
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021560.021517-0.20%0.02304+6.86%0.2223✗1.03159k2022-08-31
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009380.009357-0.24%0.00799-14.82%0.0303✗1.26359k2022-08-31
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05320.053049-0.28%0.044-17.29%0.0004✓1.25269k2022-08-31
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7930.79072-0.29%0.663-16.39%0.0078✗1.23218k2022-08-31
QTUMQtumQtum4.14614.1258-0.49%3.149-24.05%0.1070✓1.0939k2022-08-31
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.8817.7884-0.51%14.14-20.92%0.0285✓1.351.3M2022-08-31
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.67660.3501-0.54%51.915-14.44%0.0245✓0.85345k2022-08-31
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3231.3143-0.66%0.9427-28.75%0.1471✓1.241.2M2022-08-31
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.3360.333789-0.66%0.2809-16.40%0.0040✓1.183.1M2022-08-31
SOLSolanaSolana41.6741.3899-0.67%31.5-24.41%0.0703✓1.3681.1M2022-08-31
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.03151.0245-0.68%1.1394+10.46%0.2805✗1.171.1M2022-08-31
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.092360.091705-0.71%0.08149-11.77%0.0817✓0.241.1M2022-08-31
UMAUMAEthereum2.962.9384-0.73%2.728-7.84%0.0925✗1.12619k2022-08-31
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.93880.931665-0.76%0.9535+1.57%0.1568✗0.903.2M2022-08-31
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06120.06072-0.78%0.0484-20.92%0.0322✓1.30799k2022-08-31
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.57471.5599-0.94%1.7276+9.71%0.3164✗1.44589k2022-08-31
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26180.259132-1.02%0.247-5.65%0.0463✓0.0128k2022-08-31
API3Api3Ethereum2.0222.0006-1.06%1.65-18.40%0.0020✓1.28637k2022-08-31
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.333.2933-1.10%2.03-39.04%0.4106✓0.4994k2022-08-31
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4231.4072-1.11%1.205-15.32%0.0345✗1.272.5M2022-08-31
BORABORAKlay Token0.345490.340857-1.34%0.31172-9.77%0.1068✗1.3112k2022-08-31
IMXImmutableEthereum1.07891.0638-1.40%0.8327-22.82%0.0341✓1.411.4M2022-08-31
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.078980.077851-1.43%0.06618-16.21%0.0533✓0.731,1722022-08-31
KSMKusamaHydration64.2363.2973-1.45%47.42-26.17%0.1120✓1.18354k2022-08-31
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.60e-79.46e-7-1.50%8.70e-7-9.37%0.0658✗1.0025k2022-08-31
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9343.875-1.50%4.337+10.24%0.2199✗0.721.4M2022-08-31
SUSHISushiEthereum1.421.3981-1.54%1.0347-27.13%0.0864✓1.441.1M2022-08-31
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.16.002-1.61%6.7+9.84%0.2089✗0.66623k2022-08-31
DKAdKargoEthereum0.051690.050827-1.67%0.04593-11.14%0.0333✗0.9015k2022-08-31
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.032040.03147-1.78%0.03519+9.83%0.2967✗1.2414k2022-08-31
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.5747.4378-1.80%6.628-12.49%0.0733✗1.2616.9M2022-08-31
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.1813.9081-1.92%12.5-11.85%0.1033✗1.411.9M2022-08-31
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.2511.0271-1.98%10.1-10.22%0.0934✗1.21243k2022-08-31
STORJStorjEthereum0.711570.69742-1.99%0.55118-22.54%0.0097✓1.5188k2022-08-31
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.01790.017536-2.03%0.01358-24.13%0.1390✓0.78229k2022-08-31
COTICOTIEthereum0.11620.113808-2.06%0.0899-22.63%0.0419✓1.30472k2022-08-31
BANDBandEthereum1.7181.6826-2.06%1.275-25.79%0.0610✓1.45327k2022-08-31
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08580.084004-2.09%0.0595-30.65%0.1693✓1.18137k2022-08-31
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010960.001073-2.12%0.001342+22.42%0.4154✗1.291.4M2022-08-31
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.9472.8837-2.15%2.012-31.73%0.1472✓1.4349k2022-08-31
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0236210.023086-2.27%0.02152-8.89%0.0755✗0.989,6292022-08-31
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.891.8438-2.44%1.43-24.34%0.0417✓1.42234k2022-08-31
WOOWOOEthereum0.21060.204886-2.71%0.1531-27.30%0.0887✓1.361,6972022-08-31
GITCOINGITCOIN2.8592.7782-2.83%2.1594-24.47%0.0186✓1.5612k2022-08-31
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.815.6451-2.84%6.4+10.15%0.2166✗0.61732k2022-08-31
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.39910.092-2.95%11.825+13.71%0.3634✗1.3714.4M2022-08-31
ETHEthereumEthereum1,630.821,582.57-2.96%1,554.00-4.71%0.1692✗1.26387.0M2022-08-31
METISMetisEthereum33.6232.5595-3.15%31.03-7.70%0.2419✗1.94229k2022-08-31
COMPCompoundEthereum58.957.0392-3.16%47.14-19.97%0.0170✓1.3932k2022-08-31
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.5922.8428-3.17%19.13-18.91%0.0608✗1.6027.5M2022-08-31
MOVRMoonriverBase15.134314.6541-3.17%12.38-18.20%0.0068✓1.1868k2022-08-31
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.7768.4921-3.23%5.746-34.53%0.2320✓1.062.4M2022-08-31
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4710.455187-3.36%0.3462-26.50%0.0544✓1.47273k2022-08-31
XEMNEMnative0.0514460.04965-3.49%0.043941-14.59%0.0549✗1.1938k2022-08-31
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0024290.002344-3.51%0.001503-38.12%0.2951✓1.001.8M2022-08-31
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.28523.1694-3.52%6.6294+101.80%0.8712✗0.891.2M2022-08-31
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06740.064979-3.59%0.0574-14.84%0.0189✓0.96229k2022-08-31
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0199980.019265-3.67%0.030314+51.59%0.5301✗0.51165k2022-08-31
ELAElastosEthereum1.7951.7283-3.72%1.818+1.28%0.1460✗0.64189k2022-08-31
DIADIAEthereum0.487140.468268-3.87%0.3717-23.70%0.1139✓0.7863k2022-08-31
AAVEAaveEthereum96.5892.8048-3.91%84.85-12.15%0.1584✗1.6610.2M2022-08-31
APEApeCoinEthereum6.6446.3814-3.95%4.761-28.34%0.0347✓1.7311.3M2022-08-31
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.30621.2542-3.98%1.1463-12.24%0.1346✗1.515.6M2022-08-31
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.4162.3169-4.10%1.522-37.00%0.2095✓1.41177k2022-08-31
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.8773.714-4.21%2.922-24.63%0.1079✓0.88754k2022-08-31
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5190.496837-4.27%0.418-19.46%0.0019✓1.1513k2022-08-31
AVTAventusEthereum1.561.4924-4.33%1.52-2.56%0.0506✗0.22268k2022-08-31
CHZChilizEthereum0.14940.142631-4.53%0.2179+45.85%0.5888✗1.11698k2022-08-31
CTSICartesiEthereum0.1720.164195-4.54%0.1395-18.90%0.0234✓1.25491k2022-08-31
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8493.6741-4.54%4.449+15.59%0.2800✗0.591.7M2022-08-31
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.536.2324-4.56%5.61-14.09%0.0129✓0.621.2M2022-08-31
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8610.821144-4.63%0.673-21.84%0.0585✗1.735.0M2022-08-31
RADRadworksEthereum2.392.2791-4.64%2.13-10.88%0.0920✗1.07301k2022-08-31
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.859.3908-4.66%8.84-10.25%0.0177✓0.521.7M2022-08-31
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.94512.804-4.79%7.8611+166.92%1.1464✗0.77978k2022-08-31
XVSVenusEthereum6.516.193-4.87%4.86-25.35%0.0335✓1.401.1M2022-08-31
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04130.039287-4.87%0.0349-15.50%0.0647✗1.2371k2022-08-31
AUCTIONBounceEthereum87.5997-5.00%7.66-4.25%0.2119✗1.37263k2022-08-31
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.54010.511496-5.30%0.3203-40.70%0.2573✓1.41234k2022-08-31
ETCEthereum Classicnative35.0233.1596-5.31%32.41-7.45%0.1876✗1.416.9M2022-08-31
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.074.795-5.42%4.79-5.52%0.1048✗0.711.2M2022-08-31
UNIUniswapEthereum8.3657.8979-5.58%6.142-26.58%0.0424✓1.408.5M2022-08-31
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.08050.075959-5.64%0.06211-22.84%0.0225✓1.50773k2022-08-31
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.19250.181465-5.73%0.15568-19.13%0.1920✗2.311,2222022-08-31
DODODODOEthereum0.17760.167387-5.75%0.1276-28.15%0.0840✓1.263.5M2022-08-31
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.07791.0127-6.05%–pending––1.0313k2022-08-31
GMTGMTEthereum0.9550.896827-6.09%0.6723-29.60%0.0238✓1.77513k2022-08-31
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.9194.6131-6.22%6.047+22.93%0.3530✗0.552.0M2022-08-31
FORTFortaEthereum0.30590.285812-6.57%0.2325-23.99%0.0387✓1.12300k2022-08-31
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.347.7847-6.66%6.25-25.06%0.0339✓1.246.8M2022-08-31
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.03680.03434-6.68%0.02026-44.95%0.3003✓1.5212.6M2022-08-31
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.6053.3633-6.71%2.959-17.92%0.1299✗1.735.0M2022-08-31
BFCBifrostEthereum0.084190.078337-6.95%0.07274-13.60%0.1264✗1.3429k2022-08-31
QNTQuantEthereum103.4696.052-7.16%96.47-6.76%0.1556✗1.014.2M2022-08-31
OPTIMOptimism1.5121.4032-7.20%1.129-25.33%0.0785✗1.981.7M2022-08-31
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8310.757438-8.85%0.475-42.84%0.2448✓1.493,6872022-08-31
ORCAOrcaSolana1.13981.0351-9.19%0.9023-20.84%0.1086✗1.65205k2022-08-31
NMRNumeraireEthereum19.217.4127-9.31%17.27-10.05%0.1204✗0.862.2M2022-08-31
TRBTellor TributesEthereum28.4425.7302-9.53%19.03-33.09%0.0939✓1.39641k2022-08-31
LUNATerraTerra 20.000104790.000094217-10.09%0.00022156+111.43%1.1450✗1.94592k2022-08-31
HIVEHivenative0.77450.691128-10.76%0.5573-28.04%0.0413✓1.171.4M2022-08-31
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,611.3210,339.83-10.95%9,021.07-22.31%0.0720✓1.404.2M2022-08-31
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.