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2022-07-29 · +30d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2423
183 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+5.32%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
62.8%
in alpha space · 44.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-17.79%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,870.279,784.87-9.99%8,473.37-22.05%0.1275✗1.394.0M2022-08-28
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8330.754848-9.38%0.489-41.30%0.1438✓1.482,9182022-08-28
TRBTellor TributesEthereum23.4421.3401-8.96%37.2+58.70%0.8265✗1.38534k2022-08-28
LUNATerraTerra 20.0000990.000090235-8.85%0.0001251+26.36%0.7115✗1.96646k2022-08-28
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.4116.1167-7.43%16.67-4.25%0.2053✗0.882.4M2022-08-28
AUCTIONBounceEthereum9.088.4087-7.39%7.2-20.70%0.1114✗1.36256k2022-08-28
ORCAOrcaSolana0.96780.899338-7.07%0.7842-18.97%0.1825✗1.63205k2022-08-28
XVSVenusEthereum7.647.0999-7.07%4.82-36.91%0.1140✓1.401.0M2022-08-28
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.043.7566-7.01%2.966-26.58%0.1036✗1.743.8M2022-08-28
OPTIMOptimism1.8431.7162-6.88%1.054-42.81%0.1013✓1.971.1M2022-08-28
BFCBifrostEthereum0.088030.082116-6.72%0.06897-21.65%0.0871✗1.3428k2022-08-28
QNTQuantEthereum106.2999.454-6.43%92.31-13.15%0.1243✗1.024.2M2022-08-28
FORTFortaEthereum0.32080.30042-6.35%0.2638-17.77%0.0909✗1.13309k2022-08-28
UNIUniswapEthereum9.0858.5544-5.84%5.739-36.83%0.1252✓1.407.0M2022-08-28
ETCEthereum Classicnative40.5338.2579-5.61%30.93-23.69%0.0638✗1.411.3M2022-08-28
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.11261.0508-5.55%–pending––1.0412k2022-08-28
GMTGMTEthereum0.9820.929651-5.33%0.6463-34.19%0.0194✓1.76516k2022-08-28
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.5214.2878-5.16%5.809+28.49%0.4102✗0.542.0M2022-08-28
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.067.6449-5.15%6.275-22.15%0.0482✓1.255.5M2022-08-28
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.18350.174847-4.72%0.15977-12.93%0.3642✗2.321,1272022-08-28
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.079620.076204-4.29%0.06229-21.77%0.0929✗1.50768k2022-08-28
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.42951.3707-4.11%0.9934-30.51%0.0283✓1.506.1M2022-08-28
RADRadworksEthereum2.622.5173-3.92%2.08-20.61%0.0197✓1.07175k2022-08-28
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8880.856097-3.59%0.645-27.36%0.0548✗1.735.2M2022-08-28
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.52130.502918-3.53%0.32-38.62%0.2563✓1.00234k2022-08-28
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.694.5252-3.51%4.34-7.46%0.0979✗0.71759k2022-08-28
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8613.7296-3.40%4.096+6.09%0.2103✗0.601.5M2022-08-28
AVTAventusEthereum1.571.518-3.31%1.39-11.46%0.0401✓0.24268k2022-08-28
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5290.51167-3.28%0.412-22.12%0.0078✓1.1513k2022-08-28
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.3933.2863-3.14%5.5537+63.68%0.6984✗0.891.0M2022-08-28
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0531.9888-3.13%1.36-33.76%0.0999✓1.43220k2022-08-28
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03880.037597-3.10%0.0345-11.08%0.1529✗1.2268k2022-08-28
DODODODOEthereum0.17280.167446-3.10%0.1182-31.60%0.1010✓1.262.9M2022-08-28
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.95162.8625-3.02%5.4352+84.14%0.7926✗0.77941k2022-08-28
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.3862.3143-3.01%1.511-36.67%0.1489✓1.42169k2022-08-28
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.8513.7401-2.88%3.876+0.65%0.2082✗0.88754k2022-08-28
APEApeCoinEthereum6.676.4806-2.84%4.649-30.30%0.0016✓1.6911.5M2022-08-28
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.659.408-2.51%8.09-16.17%0.0484✓0.521.0M2022-08-28
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.17110.8924-2.49%10.559-5.48%0.2366✗1.3715.1M2022-08-28
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06740.065762-2.43%0.0554-17.80%0.0163✓0.96183k2022-08-28
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.545.4152-2.25%5.16-6.86%0.0725✗0.62786k2022-08-28
ETHEthereumEthereum1,722.251,683.56-2.25%1,426.63-17.16%0.0809✗1.26387.0M2022-08-28
FISStafiEthereum0.40.391031-2.24%–pending––0.922142022-08-28
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche24.5123.9647-2.22%18.53-24.40%0.0552✗1.5927.5M2022-08-28
GITCOINGITCOIN3.02552.9598-2.17%2.0034-33.78%0.0822✓1.5711k2022-08-28
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.029960.029312-2.16%0.02162-27.84%0.0045✓1.5311.5M2022-08-28
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16430.160919-2.06%0.1337-18.62%0.0603✗1.25411k2022-08-28
AAVEAaveEthereum95.693.6573-2.03%78.57-17.81%0.1497✗1.6610.0M2022-08-28
XEMNEMnative0.0497230.04872-2.02%0.042995-13.53%0.1075✗1.1935k2022-08-28
DIADIAEthereum0.485590.476564-1.86%0.36304-25.24%0.1200✓0.7855k2022-08-28
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.47250.463728-1.86%0.3261-30.98%0.0636✓1.47220k2022-08-28
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.011340.011139-1.77%0.00825-27.25%0.0533✓1.26355k2022-08-28
COMPCompoundEthereum58.6957.7498-1.60%43.85-25.29%0.0037✓1.3928k2022-08-28
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.019090.018802-1.51%0.022963+20.29%0.2964✗0.49165k2022-08-28
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08870.0874-1.47%0.0619-30.21%0.1114✓1.19155k2022-08-28
QTUMQtumQtum4.664.5971-1.35%2.9825-36.00%0.2183✓1.0932k2022-08-28
METISMetisEthereum36.7236.2388-1.31%29.26-20.32%0.1648✗1.93194k2022-08-28
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.5212.3579-1.29%9.51-24.04%0.0239✓1.22241k2022-08-28
HIVEHivenative0.53710.53059-1.21%0.5282-1.66%0.2224✗1.161.5M2022-08-28
ELAElastosEthereum1.8611.8393-1.16%1.733-6.88%0.0638✗0.63223k2022-08-28
WOOWOOEthereum0.20330.200988-1.14%0.1381-32.07%0.1073✓1.371,5612022-08-28
SUSHISushiEthereum1.51.4856-0.96%1.0043-33.05%0.1100✓1.441.0M2022-08-28
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047210.046759-0.96%0.04418-6.42%0.1198✗0.9015k2022-08-28
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.8877.8167-0.89%6.251-20.74%0.0235✗1.2616.2M2022-08-28
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.021890.021705-0.84%0.020386-6.87%0.1292✗0.989,0542022-08-28
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.6314.522-0.74%11.33-22.56%0.0354✗1.451.6M2022-08-28
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018940.018831-0.58%0.01478-21.96%0.0946✓0.75258k2022-08-28
STORJStorjEthereum0.668590.665499-0.46%0.52437-21.57%0.0588✗1.5279k2022-08-28
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.60e-79.57e-7-0.33%8.60e-7-10.42%0.0892✗1.0025k2022-08-28
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.163.1518-0.26%2.33-26.27%0.2043✓0.5082k2022-08-28
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.077660.077572-0.11%0.06712-13.57%0.0005✓0.741,2712022-08-28
BORABORAKlay Token0.320010.319673-0.11%0.29294-8.46%0.1697✗1.3111k2022-08-28
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.155.1455-0.09%5.87+13.98%0.2514✗0.61587k2022-08-28
KSMKusamaHydration63.8763.9608+0.14%45.4-28.92%0.1109✗1.18257k2022-08-28
CHZChilizEthereum0.12920.129407+0.16%0.2102+62.69%0.7011✓1.10617k2022-08-28
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.97060.972163+0.16%0.9334-3.83%0.1350✓0.903.9M2022-08-28
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8482.8544+0.23%1.944-31.74%0.1052✗1.4243k2022-08-28
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV65.86966.1632+0.45%51.793-21.37%0.0790✗0.85398k2022-08-28
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26150.262745+0.48%0.261-0.19%0.0044✓0.0130k2022-08-28
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.2618.347+0.48%13.16-27.93%0.0669✗1.351.3M2022-08-28
BANDBandEthereum1.6741.6824+0.50%1.192-28.79%0.0610✗1.45316k2022-08-28
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.61461.6227+0.50%1.6656+3.16%0.3055✓1.43609k2022-08-28
MOVRMoonriverBase14.214.273+0.51%12.062-15.06%0.0629✓1.1870k2022-08-28
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.955.9828+0.55%6.04+1.51%0.1396✓0.66554k2022-08-28
SOLSolanaSolana41.9442.1787+0.57%30.45-27.40%0.0591✗1.3681.8M2022-08-28
UMAUMAEthereum2.9682.9903+0.75%2.607-12.16%0.0805✓1.11619k2022-08-28
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.9840.992286+0.84%1.201+22.05%0.4203✓1.171.2M2022-08-28
IMXImmutableEthereum1.0611.0703+0.88%0.7744-27.01%0.0459✗1.421.4M2022-08-28
CBKCobakEthereum1.04531.0554+0.97%0.84626-19.04%0.0052✓1.109,6842022-08-28
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3491.3627+1.01%1.129-16.31%0.0600✓1.272.4M2022-08-28
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.661.6771+1.03%1.23-25.90%0.0402✗1.38114k2022-08-28
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3281.3421+1.06%0.9332-29.73%0.1204✗1.241.2M2022-08-28
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.09350.094494+1.06%0.08638-7.61%0.0380✗0.26910k2022-08-28
C98Coin98Ethereum0.49820.503898+1.14%0.3673-26.27%0.0965✗1.1242k2022-08-28
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010830.001096+1.19%0.001346+24.25%0.4573✓1.291.6M2022-08-28
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.8033.8604+1.51%3.998+5.13%0.1729✓0.70670k2022-08-28
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05480.055628+1.51%0.0419-23.54%0.0413✗1.24263k2022-08-28
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.57e-73.63e-7+1.57%7.78e-7+117.71%0.9468✓0.94193k2022-08-28
CHRChromiaEthereum0.2230.226584+1.61%0.1592-28.61%0.0803✗1.391,0652022-08-28
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.62090.630945+1.62%0.4996-19.54%0.0055✓1.16624k2022-08-28
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.7122.7579+1.69%1.828-32.60%0.0674✗1.7692k2022-08-28
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021770.02215+1.75%0.02214+1.70%0.2020✓1.03149k2022-08-28
API3Api3Ethereum1.8711.9049+1.81%1.6-14.48%0.0745✓1.27626k2022-08-28
XMRMoneroMonero160.25163.2978+1.90%146.4-8.64%0.1055✓1.101.3M2022-08-28
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.973.0266+1.90%1.95-34.34%0.1408✗1.53192k2022-08-28
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.003160.003221+1.93%0.002987-5.47%0.1214✓1.00999k2022-08-28
COTICOTIEthereum0.10810.110306+2.04%0.0854-21.00%0.0001✓1.31491k2022-08-28
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.3090.315337+2.05%0.2731-11.62%0.0885✓1.192.8M2022-08-28
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.034050.034762+2.09%0.0242-28.93%0.1056✗1.311,3182022-08-28
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.83212.8934+2.17%3.6555+29.07%0.4252✓0.98917k2022-08-28
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.408430.417656+2.26%0.32806-19.68%0.0038✓1.21118k2022-08-28
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1310.133996+2.29%0.0996-23.97%0.1026✗0.995,4502022-08-28
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011740.000012014+2.33%0.00001177+0.26%0.2217✓1.24951k2022-08-28
MINAMina Protocolnative0.760.777926+2.36%0.645-15.13%0.0551✓1.24205k2022-08-28
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6030.617621+2.42%0.488-19.07%0.0385✓1.4084k2022-08-28
GLMGolemEthereum0.25160.258101+2.58%0.2362-6.12%0.1225✓1.0863k2022-08-28
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.4394.5565+2.65%12.382+178.94%1.1143✓0.591.2M2022-08-28
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0069910.007177+2.66%0.006708-4.05%0.0367✓0.5339k2022-08-28
FTTFTXEthereum31.0931.9338+2.71%25.35-18.46%0.0441✗0.9510.8M2022-08-28
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11720.120408+2.74%0.1013-13.57%0.0358✓1.07352k2022-08-28
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23720.243757+2.76%0.2134-10.03%0.1567✓1.4892k2022-08-28
XTZTezosTezos1.70931.7585+2.88%1.426-16.57%0.0361✓1.25492k2022-08-28
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.029850.030733+2.96%0.03552+18.99%0.3887✓1.2514k2022-08-28
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7630.785655+2.97%0.631-17.30%0.0258✓0.99360k2022-08-28
XYMSymbolnative0.0561280.057813+3.00%0.044396-20.90%0.1455✗0.6120k2022-08-28
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.28132.3506+3.04%1.7152-24.81%0.0724✗1.2424k2022-08-28
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.1730.178305+3.07%0.13172-23.86%0.0010✓1.54207k2022-08-28
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12980.133998+3.23%0.1184-8.78%0.1278✓1.2849k2022-08-28
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7710.796589+3.32%0.525-31.91%0.1235✗1.5080k2022-08-28
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.043230.044691+3.38%0.03732-13.67%0.0073✓0.962,4262022-08-28
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,784.5024,609.17+3.47%19,554.03-17.79%0.0341✗1.00439.9M2022-08-28
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05580.057808+3.60%0.0455-18.46%0.0154✓1.30787k2022-08-28
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.429780.445848+3.74%0.31363-27.03%0.0787✗1.39592k2022-08-28
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24430.253532+3.78%0.2024-17.15%0.0155✓1.23101k2022-08-28
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.7163.0506+3.86%53.38-12.07%0.0602✓1.1613.5M2022-08-28
BTTCBTTC9.50e-79.87e-7+3.86%8.50e-7-10.53%0.0146✓0.845.9M2022-08-28
STEEMSteemnative0.24760.257278+3.91%0.2183-11.83%0.0590✓1.14643k2022-08-28
ADACardanoCardano0.52220.543441+4.07%0.4291-17.83%0.0087✓1.2543.2M2022-08-28
FLOWFlownative1.8661.942+4.07%1.692-9.32%0.1117✓1.27382k2022-08-28
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash151.84158.2412+4.22%112.59-25.85%0.1074✗1.193.9M2022-08-28
MANADecentralandEthereum0.971151.0123+4.24%0.74832-22.94%0.0425✗1.33431k2022-08-28
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3311780.345645+4.37%0.291277-12.05%0.0825✓1.291.0M2022-08-28
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0150550.015721+4.42%0.013002-13.64%0.0167✓0.881.2M2022-08-28
LCXLCXEthereum0.06260.065449+4.55%0.0582-7.03%0.1573✓1.40339k2022-08-28
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,827.5024,919.51+4.58%19,646.40-17.55%0.0461✗0.9819k2022-08-28
NANOnanopayBase0.9929391.0419+4.93%0.862501-13.14%0.0006✓0.9758k2022-08-28
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8840.928098+4.99%0.84-4.98%0.0385✓0.711.3M2022-08-28
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13520.141952+4.99%0.1202-11.09%0.0284✓0.993.5M2022-08-28
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12730.13367+5.00%0.0992-22.07%0.0291✓1.372.5M2022-08-28
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.5372.6646+5.03%4.106+61.84%0.6130✓0.92105k2022-08-28
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.1868.6082+5.16%6.861-16.19%0.0176✓1.259.4M2022-08-28
XECeCashnative0.000044990.000047326+5.19%0.00004676+3.93%0.2164✓1.171.8M2022-08-28
XVGVergenative0.003660.003854+5.30%0.00289-21.04%0.0315✓1.31539k2022-08-28
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33680.354807+5.35%0.2823-16.18%0.0061✓1.147.7M2022-08-28
DASHDashDash50.6153.3234+5.36%44.14-12.78%0.0291✓1.11594k2022-08-28
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009410.009937+5.60%0.00848-9.88%0.0317✓0.974.7M2022-08-28
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2150.227904+6.00%0.164-23.72%0.0334✓1.51786k2022-08-28
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.9666.3305+6.11%5.639-5.48%0.0964✓1.082.1M2022-08-28
XLMStellarStellar0.1177330.125105+6.26%0.102736-12.74%0.0020✓1.006.8M2022-08-28
CELLCellframeEthereum0.29210.311386+6.60%0.3044+4.21%0.1995✓1.1375k2022-08-28
ZENHorizenBase18.1319.3474+6.71%14.8-18.37%0.0020✓1.38108k2022-08-28
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3030.323734+6.84%0.275-9.24%0.0405✓1.04766k2022-08-28
LSKLiskEthereum1.12781.206+6.94%1.0384-7.92%0.0589✓1.0643k2022-08-28
SCSiacoinnative0.004390.0047+7.06%0.00393-10.48%0.0789✓1.32103k2022-08-28
GTGateEthereum4.39224.7025+7.07%4.3228-1.58%0.0575✓0.72986k2022-08-28
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.17315.547+7.23%5.175+0.04%0.0288✓0.21210k2022-08-28
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015070.001616+7.24%0.001503-0.27%0.1249✓1.0116k2022-08-28
AMPAmpEthereum0.008920.009568+7.26%0.00642-28.03%0.2202✗0.911.6M2022-08-28
UOSUltraEthereum0.315140.338071+7.28%0.36389+15.47%0.3023✓1.17407k2022-08-28
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0689470.074158+7.56%0.06175-10.44%0.0419✓1.151.7M2022-08-28
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.07950.085516+7.57%0.0981+23.40%0.2993✓0.83148k2022-08-28
STXStacksnative0.43040.464182+7.85%0.3529-18.01%0.0295✓1.25606k2022-08-28
GALAGALAEthereum0.05490.059649+8.65%0.0493-10.20%0.0918✓1.44119k2022-08-28
LRCLoopringEthereum0.42260.459195+8.66%0.34-19.55%0.0385✓1.34104k2022-08-28
KCSKuCoinnative10.19711.0845+8.70%8.816-13.54%0.0164✓1.092.6M2022-08-28
TRXTRONTron0.0692960.0754+8.81%0.061392-11.41%0.0514✓0.79376k2022-08-28
PROPropyEthereum0.790.860156+8.88%0.73-7.59%0.0455✓0.6179k2022-08-28
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06920.075519+9.13%0.0604-12.72%0.0143✓1.07308k2022-08-28
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04580.050043+9.26%0.0357-22.05%0.0755✓1.347,1312022-08-28
ZECZcashZcash63.569.8359+9.98%61.17-3.67%0.1150✓1.261.5M2022-08-28
CVCCivicEthereum0.14940.164683+10.23%0.1396-6.56%0.0782✓1.2488k2022-08-28
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7150.790483+10.56%0.916+28.11%0.3843✓1.21806k2022-08-28
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.0870.096444+10.85%0.0792-8.97%0.0407✓1.216,3652022-08-28
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.56510.629462+11.39%0.4349-23.04%0.1469✗1.14350k2022-08-28
SUNSun TokenTron0.0062090.007302+17.60%0.005519-11.11%0.1062✓0.897,2112022-08-28
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.