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2022-07-28 · +30d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1538
183 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-0.13%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
66.7%
in alpha space · 42.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-15.99%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8460.766168-9.44%0.509-39.83%0.1475✓1.503,1392022-08-27
LUNATerraTerra 20.000100260.000091377-8.86%0.0001339+33.55%0.7219✗1.95662k2022-08-27
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.4316.1701-7.23%17.54+0.63%0.2338✗0.882.4M2022-08-27
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.1353.8471-6.96%2.891-30.08%0.0188✓1.753.8M2022-08-27
ORCAOrcaSolana0.97640.909303-6.87%0.79-19.09%0.1446✗1.64209k2022-08-27
OPTIMOptimism1.4481.3521-6.62%1.025-29.21%0.0663✓1.971.1M2022-08-27
TRBTellor TributesEthereum18.5617.4263-6.11%38.17+105.66%1.0266✗1.39534k2022-08-27
ETCEthereum Classicnative40.8338.3444-6.09%33-19.18%0.0980✗1.421.3M2022-08-27
BFCBifrostEthereum0.084060.079014-6.00%0.0675-19.70%0.0755✗1.3428k2022-08-27
UNIUniswapEthereum9.2758.7276-5.90%6.056-34.71%0.1196✓1.416.7M2022-08-27
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.11731.0551-5.57%–pending––1.0312k2022-08-27
QNTQuantEthereum103.7898.0361-5.53%94.38-9.06%0.1389✗1.014.1M2022-08-27
FORTFortaEthereum0.29510.278944-5.47%0.268-9.18%0.1578✗1.13323k2022-08-27
GMTGMTEthereum1.0120.95679-5.46%0.6853-32.28%0.0252✓1.77551k2022-08-27
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.183560.173875-5.28%0.15762-14.13%0.3062✗2.321,1272022-08-27
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,140.608,659.03-5.27%8,782.65-3.92%0.2549✗1.384.0M2022-08-27
AUCTIONBounceEthereum8.227.8099-4.99%7.33-10.83%0.1742✗1.36256k2022-08-27
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.54481.47-4.84%1.0479-32.17%0.0752✓1.515.6M2022-08-27
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.1163.9302-4.51%5.784+40.52%0.4825✗0.552.0M2022-08-27
FISStafiEthereum0.43520.418404-3.86%–pending––0.912142022-08-27
RADRadworksEthereum2.792.6839-3.80%2.14-23.30%0.0383✓1.08175k2022-08-27
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8450.816927-3.32%0.659-22.01%0.0878✗1.745.2M2022-08-27
APEApeCoinEthereum6.9246.6996-3.24%4.757-31.30%0.0500✓1.6811.5M2022-08-27
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.4072.3341-3.03%1.63-32.28%0.1095✓1.43160k2022-08-27
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.2657.0481-2.99%6.303-13.24%0.1087✗1.265.5M2022-08-27
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03870.037564-2.93%0.0348-10.08%0.1380✗1.2368k2022-08-27
AVTAventusEthereum1.581.5338-2.92%1.41-10.76%0.0386✓0.26283k2022-08-27
AAVEAaveEthereum100.4197.5987-2.80%82.11-18.23%0.1182✗1.679.0M2022-08-27
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0209380.020372-2.70%0.023238+10.98%0.2201✗0.51165k2022-08-27
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.48290.47032-2.61%0.3532-26.86%0.1121✓1.00224k2022-08-27
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.7243.6347-2.40%2.682-27.98%0.1507✓0.88754k2022-08-27
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.34.202-2.28%4.59+6.74%0.2137✗0.72685k2022-08-27
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.3573.2857-2.12%4.23+26.01%0.3575✗0.601.5M2022-08-27
XVSVenusEthereum5.65.4826-2.10%4.87-13.04%0.1275✗1.41959k2022-08-27
FIDABonfidaSolana0.50.490155-1.97%0.412-17.60%0.0259✗1.1413k2022-08-27
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.011460.011251-1.82%0.00757-33.94%0.1751✓1.27352k2022-08-27
ETHEthereumEthereum1,725.191,693.80-1.82%1,491.22-13.56%0.0920✗1.26383.0M2022-08-27
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.85810.6736-1.70%11.173+2.90%0.2850✗1.3714.4M2022-08-27
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche24.2323.8377-1.62%20.04-17.29%0.1058✗1.6027.5M2022-08-27
XEMNEMnative0.0492890.04855-1.50%0.044708-9.29%0.1240✗1.1832k2022-08-27
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16450.162062-1.48%0.1404-14.65%0.0762✗1.26411k2022-08-27
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.072110.07106-1.46%0.06428-10.86%0.1643✗1.52768k2022-08-27
ELAElastosEthereum1.7091.6848-1.42%1.758+2.87%0.1554✗0.65223k2022-08-27
SUSHISushiEthereum1.571.5478-1.42%1.0612-32.41%0.1240✓1.451.0M2022-08-27
DODODODOEthereum0.16380.161487-1.41%0.1246-23.93%0.0360✓1.282.8M2022-08-27
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06550.064608-1.36%0.0569-13.13%0.0401✗0.96183k2022-08-27
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.46540.459258-1.32%0.3492-24.97%0.0165✓1.48220k2022-08-27
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.275.2019-1.29%5.29+0.38%0.1254✗0.62786k2022-08-27
HIVEHivenative0.55270.546393-1.14%0.5335-3.47%0.1791✗1.161.5M2022-08-27
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02730.02702-1.03%0.02303-15.64%0.1095✗1.5411.5M2022-08-27
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08460.083734-1.02%0.0639-24.47%0.0615✓1.20155k2022-08-27
COMPCompoundEthereum57.9757.418-0.95%46.09-20.49%0.0228✗1.3932k2022-08-27
GITCOINGITCOIN2.84362.8167-0.95%2.0859-26.65%0.0241✓1.5810k2022-08-27
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047440.047024-0.88%0.04518-4.76%0.1181✗0.9115k2022-08-27
METISMetisEthereum36.336.0377-0.72%30.05-17.22%0.1557✗1.94181k2022-08-27
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.8531.8399-0.70%1.404-24.23%0.0196✓1.44217k2022-08-27
STORJStorjEthereum0.671380.666947-0.66%0.54155-19.34%0.0578✗1.5379k2022-08-27
BANDBandEthereum1.7561.7453-0.61%1.221-30.47%0.1035✓1.46316k2022-08-27
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.0111.9368-0.61%10-16.74%0.0354✗1.22241k2022-08-27
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0218760.021761-0.53%0.020673-5.50%0.1203✗0.988,3682022-08-27
KSMKusamaHydration65.4465.1148-0.50%45.84-29.95%0.1432✓1.19244k2022-08-27
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.60e-79.56e-7-0.46%8.80e-7-8.33%0.0919✗1.0024k2022-08-27
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.273.2596-0.32%2.47-24.46%0.1903✓0.5082k2022-08-27
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018830.018785-0.24%0.01518-19.38%0.0806✓0.76263k2022-08-27
WOOWOOEthereum0.19860.19825-0.18%0.1524-23.26%0.0239✓1.371,5612022-08-27
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.029.0046-0.17%8.4-6.87%0.0236✗0.53918k2022-08-27
DIADIAEthereum0.446410.445922-0.11%0.36774-17.62%0.0576✓0.7853k2022-08-27
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.115.0873-0.08%11.9-21.19%0.0096✗1.421.5M2022-08-27
QTUMQtumQtum4.48454.4831-0.03%3.1269-30.27%0.1683✓1.1028k2022-08-27
BORABORAKlay Token0.317510.318396+0.28%0.28228-11.10%0.1086✓1.3111k2022-08-27
MOVRMoonriverBase14.286314.3327+0.32%12.5391-12.23%0.0742✓1.1970k2022-08-27
SOLSolanaSolana42.9343.1056+0.41%31.54-26.53%0.0735✗1.3781.8M2022-08-27
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.9780.982172+0.43%0.963-1.53%0.1395✓0.913.9M2022-08-27
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.075340.075728+0.52%0.06819-9.49%0.0234✓0.741,3772022-08-27
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.227.2604+0.56%6.531-9.54%0.1150✓1.2716.2M2022-08-27
UMAUMAEthereum2.8642.8821+0.63%2.671-6.74%0.1163✓1.10597k2022-08-27
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3741.3842+0.74%1.146-16.59%0.0356✓1.292.4M2022-08-27
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.2620.264353+0.90%0.2612-0.31%0.0101✗0.0131k2022-08-27
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3571.3692+0.90%0.9661-28.81%0.1325✗1.241.2M2022-08-27
CHZChilizEthereum0.12070.121886+0.98%0.22+82.27%0.7843✓1.11617k2022-08-27
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV63.1363.7798+1.03%52.374-17.04%0.0486✗0.85386k2022-08-27
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.094340.095398+1.12%0.08547-9.40%0.0642✗0.26859k2022-08-27
CBKCobakEthereum1.0441.0564+1.18%0.86406-17.24%0.0077✓1.119,1202022-08-27
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.94160.95285+1.19%1.3728+45.79%0.5710✓1.181.2M2022-08-27
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.774.828+1.22%6.22+30.40%0.3614✓0.62587k2022-08-27
C98Coin98Ethereum0.49940.505567+1.23%0.376-24.71%0.1006✗1.1242k2022-08-27
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.1817.3974+1.27%13.8-19.67%0.0072✓1.371.3M2022-08-27
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.42952.4623+1.35%5.0801+109.10%0.8605✓0.78884k2022-08-27
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.8582.8972+1.37%1.96-31.42%0.0847✗1.7692k2022-08-27
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.591.6125+1.41%1.29-18.87%0.0181✓1.38114k2022-08-27
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.32022.3534+1.43%5.259+126.66%0.9612✓0.90979k2022-08-27
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010980.001114+1.49%0.00137+24.77%0.4327✓1.301.6M2022-08-27
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7832.8278+1.61%2.028-27.13%0.0813✗1.4443k2022-08-27
XMRMoneroMonero162.51165.6384+1.93%145.16-10.68%0.0593✓1.101.3M2022-08-27
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05240.053409+1.93%0.0436-16.79%0.0065✓1.20263k2022-08-27
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.31360.319749+1.96%0.2796-10.84%0.0737✓1.192.7M2022-08-27
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020990.021439+2.14%0.02261+7.72%0.2328✓1.03136k2022-08-27
IMXImmutableEthereum0.95280.974066+2.23%0.7896-17.13%0.0390✓1.431.4M2022-08-27
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011850.000012118+2.26%0.00001216+2.62%0.2205✓1.25986k2022-08-27
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.64e-73.72e-7+2.27%7.59e-7+108.75%0.8802✓0.96195k2022-08-27
API3Api3Ethereum1.8281.8701+2.30%1.69-7.55%0.1230✓1.29626k2022-08-27
XYMSymbolnative0.0550410.056326+2.33%0.0454-17.52%0.1088✗0.6120k2022-08-27
COTICOTIEthereum0.1060.108512+2.37%0.0908-14.34%0.0510✓1.32491k2022-08-27
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.51.5365+2.43%1.7824+18.83%0.3980✓1.43561k2022-08-27
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.4983.5841+2.46%4.212+20.41%0.2844✓0.71497k2022-08-27
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0031070.003186+2.55%0.003041-2.12%0.1274✓1.001.0M2022-08-27
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6120.627665+2.56%0.51-16.67%0.0385✓1.4184k2022-08-27
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.408860.419834+2.68%0.33622-17.77%0.0091✓1.22118k2022-08-27
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.365.5052+2.71%6.18+15.30%0.2319✓0.67514k2022-08-27
GLMGolemEthereum0.25470.261679+2.74%0.2424-4.83%0.1127✓1.0963k2022-08-27
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.57640.592395+2.77%0.5753-0.19%0.1746✓1.17624k2022-08-27
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.029930.030762+2.78%0.03599+20.25%0.3754✓1.2514k2022-08-27
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7530.773995+2.79%0.663-11.95%0.0623✓1.25178k2022-08-27
XTZTezosTezos1.71661.7687+3.04%1.4676-14.51%0.0327✓1.26492k2022-08-27
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.1170.120614+3.09%0.1015-13.25%0.0144✓1.07357k2022-08-27
LTCLitecoinLitecoin63.4365.4142+3.13%53.03-16.40%0.0077✓1.1613.5M2022-08-27
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.160010.165055+3.15%0.1322-17.38%0.0475✓1.55205k2022-08-27
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.50212.5824+3.21%3.7353+49.29%0.5406✓0.98863k2022-08-27
FTTFTXEthereum30.2431.2233+3.25%25.8-14.68%0.0246✓0.9510.8M2022-08-27
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.30992.3868+3.33%1.7879-22.60%0.0718✗1.2524k2022-08-27
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13060.135004+3.37%0.1186-9.19%0.0963✓1.3049k2022-08-27
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21920.226628+3.39%0.1693-22.76%0.0491✗1.391,1792022-08-27
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.24060.24898+3.48%0.2201-8.52%0.1364✓1.4999k2022-08-27
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0069010.007142+3.49%0.00674-2.33%0.0357✓0.5440k2022-08-27
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7730.800635+3.58%0.652-15.65%0.0313✓1.00360k2022-08-27
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.043190.044757+3.63%0.03828-11.37%0.0125✓0.971,9372022-08-27
MANADecentralandEthereum0.980391.0161+3.64%0.77842-20.60%0.0327✓1.34399k2022-08-27
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.9914.1379+3.68%13.227+231.42%1.2662✓0.601.1M2022-08-27
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.872.9759+3.69%2.11-26.48%0.0759✗1.54192k2022-08-27
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,851.7024,732.09+3.69%20,036.69-15.99%0.0362✗1.00429.5M2022-08-27
BTTCBTTC9.50e-79.87e-7+3.89%8.70e-7-8.42%0.0197✓0.845.9M2022-08-27
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.425470.442352+3.97%0.32976-22.50%0.0476✗1.41592k2022-08-27
STEEMSteemnative0.25050.260525+4.00%0.2211-11.74%0.0380✓1.16643k2022-08-27
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0154290.01605+4.02%0.013178-14.59%0.0414✗0.891.2M2022-08-27
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24420.254201+4.10%0.2067-15.36%0.0087✓1.24110k2022-08-27
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash155.69162.4738+4.36%115.26-25.97%0.1354✗1.193.9M2022-08-27
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05470.057124+4.43%0.0474-13.35%0.0418✓1.31765k2022-08-27
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12160.127002+4.44%0.1035-14.88%0.0310✓1.005,8712022-08-27
LCXLCXEthereum0.06290.065701+4.45%0.0604-3.97%0.1608✓1.41337k2022-08-27
ADACardanoCardano0.51290.535886+4.48%0.45-12.26%0.0440✓1.2543.2M2022-08-27
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3309680.34605+4.56%0.296889-10.30%0.0714✓1.291.0M2022-08-27
FLOWFlownative1.8761.9616+4.56%1.823-2.83%0.1488✓1.27413k2022-08-27
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7490.783807+4.65%0.55-26.57%0.0919✗1.5180k2022-08-27
DASHDashDash52.4854.9261+4.66%45.13-14.01%0.0010✓1.12594k2022-08-27
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13590.142506+4.86%0.1236-9.05%0.0334✓1.013.2M2022-08-27
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.6342.7633+4.91%4.134+56.95%0.5641✓0.93105k2022-08-27
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33630.353047+4.98%0.2889-14.09%0.0006✓1.157.7M2022-08-27
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8840.928211+5.00%0.84-4.98%0.0245✓0.711.2M2022-08-27
NANOnanopayBase0.9965431.0483+5.20%0.882839-11.41%0.0014✓0.9857k2022-08-27
XECeCashnative0.000044280.000046583+5.20%0.00003688-16.71%0.0287✓1.181.7M2022-08-27
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.030570.03218+5.27%0.02469-19.23%0.0370✓1.311,3002022-08-27
XVGVergenative0.003690.003887+5.35%0.00292-20.87%0.0576✗1.31505k2022-08-27
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,875.3025,205.76+5.57%19,933.00-16.51%0.0641✗0.9819k2022-08-27
ZENHorizenBase18.4619.4945+5.60%15.2-17.66%0.0080✓1.38100k2022-08-27
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009230.009758+5.72%0.0087-5.74%0.0540✓0.974.7M2022-08-27
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.936.2773+5.86%5.829-1.70%0.1181✓1.102.0M2022-08-27
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.8568.3338+6.08%7.044-10.34%0.0510✓1.269.4M2022-08-27
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2160.229142+6.08%0.171-20.83%0.0295✓1.51786k2022-08-27
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30140.320121+6.21%0.3144+4.31%0.1816✓1.1575k2022-08-27
UOSUltraEthereum0.325690.346366+6.35%0.34004+4.41%0.1864✓1.18407k2022-08-27
LSKLiskEthereum1.13561.2086+6.43%1.0488-7.64%0.0454✓1.0743k2022-08-27
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11480.122238+6.48%0.1033-10.02%0.0729✓1.382.5M2022-08-27
XLMStellarStellar0.1166880.124354+6.57%0.105594-9.51%0.0106✓1.006.8M2022-08-27
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.32295.6828+6.76%5.1648-2.97%0.0594✓0.21214k2022-08-27
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3040.324747+6.82%0.28-7.89%0.0332✓1.04681k2022-08-27
AMPAmpEthereum0.008950.0096+7.27%0.0066-26.26%0.2148✗0.921.6M2022-08-27
SCSiacoinnative0.004420.004745+7.36%0.00389-11.99%0.0320✓1.32106k2022-08-27
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0691040.074319+7.55%0.063422-8.22%0.0422✓1.151.7M2022-08-27
PROPropyEthereum0.80.860844+7.61%0.75-6.25%0.0309✓0.6179k2022-08-27
GTGateEthereum4.29644.6268+7.69%4.376+1.85%0.0703✓0.72968k2022-08-27
STXStacksnative0.43440.469265+8.03%0.3638-16.25%0.0354✓1.26606k2022-08-27
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.08360.090334+8.05%0.1016+21.53%0.2614✓0.83155k2022-08-27
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015240.001653+8.46%0.001454-4.59%0.0485✓1.0120k2022-08-27
KCSKuCoinnative10.34311.2243+8.52%9.134-11.69%0.0156✓1.092.4M2022-08-27
TRXTRONTron0.0697620.075759+8.60%0.062935-9.79%0.0483✓0.79376k2022-08-27
GALAGALAEthereum0.05320.057808+8.66%0.0509-4.32%0.1267✓1.46109k2022-08-27
LRCLoopringEthereum0.4310.468364+8.67%0.3569-17.19%0.0361✓1.35104k2022-08-27
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04430.048295+9.02%0.0366-17.38%0.0436✓1.347,1312022-08-27
ZECZcashZcash63.6469.8611+9.78%61.36-3.58%0.0924✓1.271.5M2022-08-27
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07010.077052+9.92%0.0608-13.27%0.0511✓1.07299k2022-08-27
CVCCivicEthereum0.14980.165095+10.21%0.1419-5.27%0.0660✓1.2587k2022-08-27
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7230.802209+10.96%0.936+29.46%0.3644✓1.21806k2022-08-27
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.54660.606817+11.02%0.4567-16.45%0.0859✓1.14350k2022-08-27
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08490.094376+11.16%0.0845-0.47%0.1009✓1.216,3652022-08-27
SUNSun TokenTron0.0061790.00728+17.81%0.005618-9.08%0.1046✓0.894,8812022-08-27
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.